2023 BC Saturday Dirt Preview

All right. Welcome to a, a different type

of episode of the horse racing Happy hour.

Yeah, the Clink. Clink.

Are we mailing it in? Louis, is that what we're doing

today? No, we're not doing that.

Yeah. No, not me.

Now we're going to do, you know, not as much handicapping

tonight. You know, we're in that kind of

season where things are kind of gearing down with the big horses

getting ready for Breeders' Cup. So we're going to go through

class by class today, especially on the dirt races to really,

Louis. More than, you know, dirt

especially. Yes.

Yeah, we're going to look at Saturday dirt races because, you

know, we can't really do too much on the juveniles just yet.

And then we want to have a conversation with our man in

Scotland, Mr. James Welsh, before we start talking too much

about the European horses. So they went on the green stuff,

not the brown stuff. So that's right.

We'll we'll wait for old James for that one for sure.

And so, yeah, so we're going to kind of just go through these,

these Breeders' Cup Classic or these Breeders' Cup classes and

just talk about how the fields are shaping up, what we think

and and almost kind of do in some ways, I guess kind of a

horse racing recap of what's happened so far this year,

right? Yeah, that's exactly right.

So I've got a top five in every class that we have.

I laid out all of the horses that were essentially able to be

nominated for the Breeders Cup so that Mike could have his

comments as well, of course. And so I've already got, I've

already got a horse on here who I think is going to win.

It's not even on the list. Beautiful.

That's fantastic. So that's fantastic.

Is it hot Rod Charlie it is not. It is not hard Charlie, it is

not. I got flight line in the

classic. Flight line in the classic.

I'm just going to make sure because.

But I I think he is eligible and I think he's still going.

So I was just kind of surprised. So we'll we'll talk about later.

We'll get there. We'll tease that media section

and grab the PDFs of the of the eligible horses who have points

in the Breeders Cup and went ahead and made the made the

breakings out of that because there are a lot of people who

tell me that horses are running or not running and then Forte

retires today And so who knows? I mean it is what it is and a

lot can happen in the next couple weeks, right, Louie?

I mean we see it almost every year.

I mean and then one thing also I'm going to ask you this

because I I honestly just I'm interested in your opinion.

Are we going to see another like Japanese influence here?

I have one on the sheet that's not from Japan but is from

outside of North America that I think even on a dirt race just

she's had a ton of success. The timing all makes sense is an

absolute wild card in one of the races And so we'll talk about

her as we go. All right.

Good deal. Well, let's do a little bit of

the answer is yes. I apologize.

You asked a question that I didn't answer.

Yes, there is a well, you know that's what you media types do

right. So you media types we only got

one. I got listen on your show

Wednesday I got you know taken to task by Isol because I only

gave like a a one word Isol and then you and then you my my poor

buddy Ben Roberts. You guys were so rough on him

today. What he was funny.

Hey can I get let me give a shout out real quick as we know

baseball playoffs are going on today to a bellarmine pitcher

pitching tonight for the Diamondbacks and he was the he

pitched game one of the entire playoffs for these Diamondbacks.

So good luck to Brandon fought and hopefully he can get it done

today. Rookie season.

To be in this situation where the Diamondbacks have basically

played themselves into a chance to go to the World Series is

unreal. So.

And they need him to be great. If they're going to do it.

That's exactly right. Yeah, they do and they don't

really what they need. It's almost like the the game

manager, quarterback, they just can't have them blow up, right.

And then they hopefully they can get enough bats to go.

And you know if he has a quality start, they're going to be he.

They just need him to give a good five innings and that's it.

So, all right, we're going to do a a replay here 1st and we're

going to look at the Grade 1 Queen Elizabeth Two Challenge

Cup at Keeneland less last week. We got no sound, but there's a

There we go. And here's a Lucy Princess

coming after Maj. and Mission of Joy tries to find room between

that pair. Maj. has the lead mission of Joy

Second, a Lucy Princess third. Lindy is up to 4th and coming

late. Maj. still the leader mission of

Joy. Then Lindy, Maj.

Lindy running on Maj. Lindy trying.

Here's the Wire. Maj. takes it.

Maj. hangs on right there for the win.

That would raise us any further. Lindy would have had it, so

maybe, yeah. I so interesting Kurt Becker's a

little louder this year at Keeneland.

Are the green coats OK with that?

Are the are the are the beautiful rock formations at

Keeneland OK with Kurt Becker being awake and showing emotion?

Are they OK with that? Maybe they got him a new

microphone we're allowing now at Keeneland.

Is this a different place? Do I need to talk to Danissel

that his child is growing up and turning into a maniac?

Who knows? Did you think that?

Did you think his call was over the top?

That's as excited as he's ever been.

OK, well, ever so Queen was the it's obvious to be the calm

announcer. It's Keeneland.

It's the Masters, right? I mean, it's it is what it is.

He should be Jim, Nance. There's Amage is coming down the

stretch and wow, she's quite quick.

And here comes a second challenger within a few strides.

I mean, that's usually what he is.

That's Kurt Becker. Like, the good thing about

Keeneland is it's at the time of year when you need to take naps

anyway. So you just, you throw on

Keeneland, go to sleep. It's great.

I almost went to Keeneland today.

I was close. I think I actually, I texted TK,

have you used your pin to get in yet?

Have you used your. No, I've not done that.

But I texted TK and I was like, hey, are you going to Keeneland

today? If you would have said yes, I

would have been there. I just, I just went and hung out

at the cigar club up in Lexington for a little bit and

did some work. So.

Oh, you were on Danville today? I was.

No, I was up in Lexington today. Yeah, it was, you know, so it

was like it was right there. And I was like, yeah, hey, do I

go to Keeneland and get nothing done?

But I gotta say, I, I connections immediately

afterward are like, Oh yeah, we're going to stretch her out

to a mile and a half. And it's like, why?

What do we do? Or a mile of quarter?

Excuse me, why? Why are we stretching to a mile

of quarter with this horse that obviously wants to be, you know,

on near the lead, whatever. Why, why are we not trying to

turf mile with her? I I don't know.

Maybe there's just not a shorter the only extra distance I just

think is unnecessary at this point especially for a

three-year old. She doesn't need to do that she

can do that next year. I think she can do that in two

years. Whatever.

I I don't know why we're you know that that group at least I

shouldn't say we I I don't have millions of dollars to on a

horse like Ma and so I just I that one I don't understand I

would push back a little bit on her extending out like that so

we could have Maj. and Mage when Breeders' Cup raises would be

beautiful. Hey Blue, let's real quick.

Let's remind people kind of what we got going on Breeders' Cup

week. We're going to be doing our

thing out of Chef's Cut, right? Is that is that for real?

November 1st, we'll have our live episode from Chefs.

We'll do that like we usually do for big race weekends.

We'll have our normal crowd, some added potential celebrity

guests as well, might have some fun with that.

I don't even know what this is. You don't even know yet, which

is great. And so we'll work on that.

Mike and I fly to Los Angeles on Thursday.

We will do a late night pod on Thursday, probably just a quick

check in pod when we get to town and then Friday, obviously.

Why? Why?

Why? OK, you don't have to be on it.

Never mind. And so other people who who are

going to work will do it and then we will.

There's not anything to talk about.

We're going to get on Friday morning, right?

Are we going to do Friday during your all normal town 11:50?

Correct. So we'll be on 11:50 Eastern,

7:00 AM Pacific from out there in Arcadia.

We are still finalizing our spot at Santa Anita.

Once I know that, I'll make sure that we share it as much as we

can so that if you happen to be out of Santa Anita this year,

you can at least wave to us or come steal a little cigar from

Mike. And so we'll definitely do that

And and then on Saturday, we will have a show from 9 Eastern

until 10 Eastern on ESPN Louisville and that will be what

that'll be, one of those shows that that you can pick up

anywhere. We did one last year at

Keeneland. It was about 5556 minutes.

Mike, if you remember, we actually didn't take a break.

We're going to do exactly that again this year.

So we'll get you ready for that Saturday card in an hour show,

nice and easy, available anywhere in the world.

ESPN louisville.com. Just ask your smart speaker for

ESPN Louisville or release it as the podcast at 10:00, so at 7:00

AM Pacific, so that if you can't catch us live, you'll be able to

catch it right after. And are we going to have, is it

going to be Dan and is Kilroy going to be on the air with us?

Yeah. So Dan and Kevin Kilroy will be

joining us for all of our coverage out there at San Anita.

Yeah, we're going to be, we're going to have to make sure that

everyone's really just like shortened to the point so we get

all everyone's picks. Well, I was impressed.

We did that Maryland million show in like 55 minutes.

And we have a lot of like playful back and forth, too.

So we can do that. I know we can do it for breeders

now. Sure.

It takes just a good facilitator and then we can do it,

Definitely get it done. So with great hair, yes.

So chef's cut Wednesday night. If you're around Louisville,

Jeff sells tickets for that. You can reach out to him for to

see if you want to get in. Yeah.

Chefs at pizzeria.com. And that's that's a lot of fun

for us, 'cause I love interacting with that audience.

And, you know, that's really good.

And then and then we'll be out in LA Thursday night, grab some

dinner, maybe get on for 15 minutes, maybe we'll maybe we'll

have a little pot over dinner. I don't know.

We'll see what what comes out. I think it's going to be

something like that. Real simple.

Just say we're on the ground. Look, Kevin Kilroy exists, you

know, that kind of thing. So yeah, we'll do that.

Friday we will be from 11:50 on ESPN Louisville.

You can catch us on the iheart speaker.

We will post that also though on the pod and then Saturday we

will be there like Louis said, 9:00 to 10:00 AM.

So it's going to be nice because you know things but if you are

at Santa Anita, we will have a single barrel cigar for you.

And so, oh, there it is. Those are arriving tomorrow at

my house. And so we'll have a nice

selection of those. We'll make sure that the first,

I think it's the 1st 10 people that come find us at Breeders'

Cup will get us cigars. There you go.

Nice. All right, good deal.

All right, so let's get into it, man.

Let's, let's go through it. Let's go go through these fields

and we're going to start with the filly and bear Sprint.

I think this is a more intriguing matchup.

I mean, I think you got, you got.

I mean this is, this is a great field.

I mean, your top five right off the bat, the fifth horse came in

and won. I wouldn't.

I wouldn't be surprised. Right.

So let's go through this field real quick.

Oh, Zach, hi. Can we talk about the point

system? Sure.

That'd be a good thing to talk about.

Let me talk about the point system.

There is a qualification system for Breeders' Cup and if you are

wondering what that looks like, the selection process is

essentially that a maximum of 14 starters can be in the gate for

each of the Breeders Cup championship races, So obviously

the the track at different places.

Sometimes the turf spread at the dirt mile have been limited to

12 starters, but generally speaking I know that at Santa

Anita they're capable of carrying 14 for most of their

races. the Breeders Cup Limited has adopted mostly just a field

selection system and then in case there's too many subscribed

horses. So a couple years ago, Mike you

and I were at Keeneland in 2020 for the Breeders Cup and Order

of Australia won and he came in off the bench essentially.

And so he's one of those horses that was in an oversubscribed

field, was lucky he got in on the 14th spot, so obviously he

had made the selection process that way.

The other pre entries, you know they they do have the winning in

Breeders' Cup Challenge series which is I think a lot of the

horses at the top of the list that we have that we're going to

talk about today are are largely from that.

And so there are horses that have qualified through usually

graded stakes all over the world frankly, but many of them in the

United States and North America as well.

And so that's that's another way that horses can qualify.

And then there's a point system for graded stakes performances

during the year. And then at the end there is a

panel that is employed by the Breeders Cup that quote UN

quote, it's essentially since we're in the bluegrass, it's a

selection committee. And so after they get through

all of those things, if they need to fill a field out and

there's too many horses ready to go for those races, you can go

ahead and qualify that way as well.

And this has been horse racing 101.

I'm Louis Robot. It's presented by from our

friends at the Maryland Horse Breeders Association.

So consider the advantage of buying and racing.

Maryland breads. Maryland breads and Maryland

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or call them 410-252-2100. We thank them.

Of course, they'll be hanging out with us through Breeders'

Cup as well. So how about that?

Where can people find those point systems, Lee?

The point systems are available at the Breeders Cup website

itselfsobreederscup.com. They've got all that there is

actually. I don't think you have to be a

media member to get into the Breeders Cup media part of the.

I don't think so, yeah. And so I think anybody can go to

itmembers.breederscup.com, really good resource, shows you

all the horses that have qualified through the

qualification system and the others that have qualified

through that great estate system.

OK. So we're going to look at the

first race we're going to look at today is the filling mare

Sprint and Zach was that a good explanation of of the

qualifications? Yeah, that was perfect.

I just wanted like, like you guys said, a bunch of stuff

about getting in and it was like, no.

But tell us how you get in. Well, it's not like it's not

like the Derby where there is just a set of races and you have

to be in those races. It does deal with graded in

Group stakes if you will, group races around the world as well.

OK. I'm just, I'm looking at this

real quick just making sure that my horse is in versus the point

system and he is and he's definitely not on the show

sheet. So all right.

Oh I went based on the the website not on the PDF that I

ended up posting, which is I'm working at the website the the

divisional point leaders. Oh, is it having a meltdown?

Nope. OK is it verifying?

No. OK 'cause he runs this weekend.

OK, OK, so just fucking tell me. No, wait till we get to the

Classic. I'm not going to talk until you

tell me who it is. All right, that's fine.

That's going to be the best show ever.

Then here we go. So the the in that Philly and

Mare Sprint, listen, you're going to get EZ, you're going to

get you Giri, You're going to get Matarea, You're going to

get. Good night, Olive.

I'm really liking Matarea in this spot and I think that's

going to be a really good price on Matarea.

So, Zach, what do you think? Nobody's going to speak.

That's good. You want my opinion?

I I have to say that, you know, if I had to pick someone here by

by name alone, I'd I'd go with Darth Vader.

But well, you know, I will too, because I love the Star Wars

themes. But man, what a year EZ has had.

I think there's a chance EZ could just tear it up.

We got sick. He's not going to listen.

He's not going to listen until I tell him that Zanden's not on

the Breeders Cup Classic list. So I just said it, Louie.

How far you know who else is you.

You know who else is not on the Classic, and I'm very

disappointed this year I'm going to win.

Zanden, we know, is not running in the Classic.

That's why he's not on the list. They've already declared that

he's not going to run. I just looked at it again.

He's listed. I'm kind of disappointed.

He listed in two different places.

So for example, and he's listed in multiple places.

I don't know what the trailer said.

He's not running, man. Zanon's not running in the in

the breed of scope class. Then where's he running?

He's not. Well, he's listed.

They don't run anymore, Mike. Well, I I didn't.

He's not. He's still listed as active

court, and I said he has. I saw two different sites where

they had him in there as the, as the and the list.

So I don't know. We'll see.

But sure. All right.

So who do you like in that Philly mare Sprint?

Yeah. So EZ's the class here.

I don't think it's even a question.

Three straight graded wins. I think she's the best in the

division at this point. And for all the jokes we make

about Steve Asmussen, Asmussen 6 furlong sprints on the dirt are

absolutely his. Do it again for me.

Asmussen There it is. So I I work hard to get that

down about Steve Asmussen and everything that he does. 6

furlong sprints on the dirt like you would agree are his absolute

specialty. It's where his best horses have

always been. Metoli on up so I I, I looked at

Kozulu as being the top of this class.

You giri did just win that open mind at Churchill Downs.

She followed it up with a win in the Thurber Classic of America

at Keeneland as well. So she's in a really really good

vein of form right now. They seem to have found

something with her. Going back to one turn seems to

be really effective. Goodnight Olive is an

interesting entry here Mike, because she's the the closing

type that can pick off a Sprint race, right?

So I've had a couple of those at Churchill Downs pretty recently

where they seem to find their stride better after it falls

apart in front of them. This is the Breeders cup man.

These horses are going to be flying out of the gate.

You know EZ is going to be going absolutely as fast as you.

Can you Gary, the same. This is the kind of race where a

a good night Olive could absolutely pick it off.

I have Kirsten Bosch in the fourth slot here in this class.

She's a local shooter. She won the chilling Worth last

time out. It's a great at stakes there.

The splits in that race are just absolutely outrageous.

And so I'll be interested to see how well the California horses

do in the Breeders Cup. Because sometimes, Mike, I think

that, you know, just familiarity with the track and being out

there and whatever else, not having to travel all those kinds

of things, especially in the dirt races seems to be something

that really matters. So to give you an idea with

Kirsten boss for example the splits were 21 and 343 and

three, 108 and four and the final time going 6 1/2 furlongs

was 115 and one that's flying. If she can recreate that at

Santa Anita she's absolutely got a shot she'll be 4th on my list

And then Matt area I only have in there because I really I mean

she's won me some money before and I do think at some point

Mike sometimes in these races she's and we know that she's

she's talented, she's capable of winning you know high level

races. Is this the one where she is

able to, you know, put it together, you know, one last

time win a race like this? I don't think so.

But I do think the top four in there all have a serious shot to

win. EZ, though, being the class of

that one, I I mean, I don't think there's any question.

EZ is the class. I'm just saying I've gotten,

I've gotten bitten so many times by thinking that like a horse

could be a single in these races.

And there's a reason why it's the Breeders Cup.

Like because everyone everyone in this field is good.

And even the the deeper horses that you had on that list of 16,

I mean there's several on that list that aren't ranked that if

they snuck up and got the win, I don't think anybody would be

like, Oh my God, I can't believe that just happened, you know.

But EZ has obviously been just incredible as it's gone so far.

All right. We're moving on to the breach of

distaff. All right.

Louie and the. Stretch and the.

Who comes into the final three sixteenths in front, blue

stripe, trying to pull up an upset.

Ness has to do more. Malathon is there on the

outside. Clarriere is coming up the

fence. Oh, there's strumming in this

step. Here's it's Clarriere blue

stripe. On the outside, it's Malathon

coming to the wire. Who's into the bead?

It is very close. Then Balathon get up with the

last stripe. Blue stripe, run.

The race of her life. Clarriere was third and next

finished four. All right, so after a very

suspect week of trying to pick long shots at the Breeders Cup

man I went blue stripes 2nd and then Olympia had second in the

disc happened in the in the classic last year.

But that was battle of that nosing out a blue stripe and

what was probably like the best race we saw at the Breeders Cup

last year. Yeah, it was really good.

I mean it was, it was, you know, and to be honest, it usually is

one of the best races, if not the best race.

You know, obviously we saw a stud with with Flightline last

year, which was special, but at the same time we just got on the

show right? Fall in love with Philly's nurse

because you'll get the 345 year olds all running against one

another in races like this prior to heading off to breeding.

And and last year was no different for sure.

So you got idiomatic at the top of your list.

Louis coming off the win in the Grade 1 spinster, talk a little

bit about why she's your number one.

You know, it's interesting and and we've learned this on this

show, Mike, just from getting to do some of the work that we've

done where we the old biases of where horses break their maidens

and where they they start and where they train are starting to

go away, especially in this region.

So you know wet paint breaks or maiden it horseshoe Indianapolis

goes off and picks off a bunch of races on the Kentucky Oaks

trail for example, we got idiomatic, who ran essentially

the first half of her life on synthetic moves over to dirt and

it's just fine. It's really remarkable, frankly.

And so she's won seven of eight lifetime.

She's won four straight graded stakes including two grade ones.

She's just the class of the the the two turn Phillies and mares

right now. And so I fully expect her to be

part of the equation when we get to that Saturday out of Santa

Anita. If we're talking local horses,

we have to talk bafford, especially when we're talking

dirt, Mike. I think Adera Manor in this case

with five straight wins and four straight graded wins with that

back for connection with all of those things is just going to be

comfortable there. She's going to know the course.

She's not going to be you know the paddock training is going to

be pretty easy for her for example.

And so I think she's got a real serious shot here just because

she's going to run a running style that it's going to be come

come get me essentially. And so I I think that can always

win races. I do think Idiomattox a little

bit more talented but we'll find out that's why they're.

Oh. Man, I'm already excited for the

disc tab Mike. This is great.

So glad we're doing this. Then sealing crusher.

Go ahead. Well, we got.

I mean just to just to mention some of the people, the the

females that we've seen there before like Clairiere, stuff

like that. What what kind of chance do you

give a horse like that Like a Clairiere.

Yeah. Oh, if she runs a race, she's

going to be there. You know this last year was a

nice reminder of this the blue prize who's 22 to one, right.

Goes off at 22 to one and she's right there and she's between

horses. She's in the middle of three

horses at the finish line still grinding as hard as she can.

No, no. I would look a horse like

Clairiere if she if if for some reason the pace just falls apart

in front of her, if we're running high, you know, low 20

threes and then a, you know, like a 47 and one, you know,

maybe a 46 and change if we get into that, that's where

Clairiere can kind of sit off and just pounce that that

absolutely can happen. And I think the distaff has

shown us that while horses like Malthat who are Alzheimer's,

we're really, you know, just exceptional Mayors definitely

are usually the ones who win. You know it it, it definitely

can turn the other way as well. Ceiling crusher.

Zach was on the show that night when we had, you know, everybody

was like what I'm saying. Zach remembers though.

Steve Kornacki giving out ceiling crusher on this show 444

at Santa Anita back-to-back stakes won that cotillion in the

absolute crap and we had no idea how she would run outside of

California in the crap, etcetera seemed to be no problem for her.

And so I think getting back to California and staying there,

training out there, etcetera, I think it's a big positive for

her. So I'll put her in the third

spot. That might be a bit of an upset

for people but I think she belongs pretty mischievous man.

Had the best first half of the year for a three-year old filly

that we we've seen frankly in a while.

It's been a minute she was that good.

The Kentucky Oaks. The Acorn wins the test, of

course under bad circumstances. Second in the cotillion in the

slop. I'm not going to hold that slop

against her that if you remember Delaware, Monmouth and not

Monmouth then Delaware and Aqueduct both canceled the day

that they ran the the Pen Derby and they ran anyway in in

Philadelphia. That was an absolute monsoon

slash hurricane of the situation.

And so I would be I I would be surprised if she doesn't bounce

back and have a really good performance here.

Go ahead. I'm actually just fascinated

though too. I mean you mentioned the West

Coast horses that could come in and do something and and we're

going to see a horse who's hasn't run in a while.

But Faiza do you think Faiza could jump up and and like just

surprise people here she's capable.

But I I tossing bafford in Santa Anita famous last word.

That's right. Right.

I mean exactly right if if Bafford's putting her in this

race he thinks she has a shot right.

And and we haven't seen this horse run since the black guy

Susan. But at the same time or maybe

that's where they just she just last got points in this thing.

I mean she was pretty she was pretty dominant Santa Anita in

the first half of the year. Black guy Susan's her last race

man. She's coming off from a huge

layoff. That's what I really wonder

about is, you know, obviously the bafford horses run well

fresh and off, layoffs like that.

But man, I guess competition like this where you're going to

have other horses that, you know, maybe they're training up,

but it's only been two months that they've been off.

I think that's much of an advantage.

And then Bayesa de Arteaga, man, I don't know what to do.

This horses won nine straight races.

Five straight graded races. But it's in South America and

that's not what we're used to for being upset, mind it.

But then Blue Prize is an Argentinian.

She ran huge last year. Now that was after a bunch of

races in California and she'd obviously moved north of the

border. I, you know, don't, please don't

bombard me with that. But, you know, I just, I I just

wonder once in a while if this is the kind of horse 'cause we

saw in the distaff a couple years ago, like you mentioned

earlier in the show with the Japanese entry that we just

weren't ready for, right. I mean, that's just not ready

for. Could Bayesa de Arteaga be that

horse? I don't know.

That's why she's on the list. And Ceiling crusher, who we

mentioned before, was actually not even breeders got nominated,

so they had to had to pay that supplement there.

So pretty interesting stuff right there.

All right, good stuff. Louie, we're going to go on to

the dirt Sprint. In the dirt Sprint.

I think this is another one where a lot of people are going

to have this as your #1 elite, elite power up there as the top

choice. Talk about what you like about

elite power. Yeah, I do have them on top.

I think that the eight straight wins before the Vanderbilt

showed what he really is. He's a winner.

He likes to pass horses and in these sprints, especially in the

Breeders Cup, it's going to be an all out.

Especially Gunite is going to go just is.

It's what he does. He gets out there, he says come

catch me if you can. He goes slower in the last

furlong than he does in any of the others.

And if you can catch him, you can.

If you can't, you can and that's it just is what it is.

And so in my mind, Elite Power is going to be the one that's

going to be the best at sitting off the pace, picking off horses

as they try to do their thing up front.

And maybe he would be that one just to to to pick him off.

You're also going to get Irad in that in that saddle.

And he is as good against other other great jockeys as anyone on

the planet. Gunite though one of it a grade

one this year, he's the fastest sprinter on the male side.

But it doesn't mean that he's going to win necessarily.

And it doesn't mean that he's going to be in first place when

they hit the line at Santa Anita either.

There's a reason he's behind. It's because he's won two of his

last four and again, Elite Power 7 for eight before the

Vanderbilt in which he finished second wild card.

I think of the entire weekend as the chosen Bron and this is a

horse we talked about ahead of the Bing Crosby Mike that I

couldn't figure out if coming out of state bred competition in

California if those splits meant anything.

We talk about classical and class on this show, Talk about

class, and we're talking about the Breeders Cup.

This is class of class is the chosen Bron and that class he's

a Grade 1 winner at this point right.

I mean you can't take that away from him ever the Bing Crosby.

We've seen great horses in that race.

Mike come out of that it's a legitimate grade one say what

you want but about Southern California.

But look the the greatest takes the Del Mar legitimate.

It doesn't. They just are and you get bigger

fields and you get you know you get the top horses.

Is the chosen Von really the best of the California

sprinters? If he is, and he can keep those

clips going, I think he's got a serious shot against this field,

or at least at least to pick up a really big check.

One in Vermilion beat Elite Power and the Jerkins 3 year

old. Best lifetime speed figure ever

though was in the last Barrera at Santa Anita.

So can this horse get back to California and reclaim some so

win the grade one on the East Coast and then come back to

California get your California's feedback.

That's a fascinating combination.

One of a million like I mentioned a three-year old

peeking at the right time growing up in the fall here.

Can we see that horse be part of that equation at the at the end

as well? I absolutely think we can.

And so that'll be an interesting entry there as well.

And then anarchist I have in two different groups.

I have it in in in the in the Sprint and then I have him in

the the mile because I think they're in between deciding what

they're going to do with anarchist.

Anarchist did win the pad O'Brien to Del Mar 4/4 times at

San Anita 4 second place finishes.

So interested to see if he can just push through on a on a

field like this. I have him 5th for a reason.

I don't think he's as good as the other four.

Fascinated by the chosen Bron as a as a as a local wild card.

I think that one in Vermilion might not win it this year, but

I think that's a horse if they continue to race him could win

it next year, the year after. So if elite power was to win, be

only the third horse to win this Sprint and back-to-back years.

The other two being Roy H who won the 17 in 2000, 2017, 2018

and then midnight loo 2007 and 2008.

So it happens every 10 years and this is not on that 10 year run.

So we'll see if elite power can break that trend I guess a

little bit and get that W and we covered that Roy H win.

We did. Yeah.

The last one, Yeah. Yep, Yep.

Yep. So all right, we're going to

move down move down to the the Cody's wish dirt mile.

So although I would say Cody's wish has shown a little

vulnerability here lately, right.

So with the. Rail Gunite Cody's wish coming

up on their outside and the three of them will turn for home

together and they're into the stretch.

It's Cody's Wish and Cyber Dive. Slow down, Andy.

In between horses, down to the final 16th.

Cyber Night from the inside. Cody's Wish on the outside down

the center of Slow Down, Andy. They're coming down to the

finish. Here's the liar.

Oh, the wish has come true. That one's for you, Cody.

Cody's wish has won the Breeders Cup turn.

Great moment there. Hey, Larry, call us.

There you go. Cody's Wish, you know it's

obviously it's a great story Louis, but we just talked about

it like it's really it's really difficult to win these races in

back-to-back years. Cody's wish capable for sure

lost in white Abario in the Whitney, but did win that

Vosberg last time out. Who do you and of course won

this race last year who do you like besides Cody's Wish or or

do you think Cody's wish can take on flight line in the

Whitney this year? That course it was unbelievable.

But look, Cody's wish two turns, That's where you get worried.

Now he did it last year at Keeneland as we just played,

right? So he got over the two turns for

the mile. No problem.

If you are in the urban handicapper sniper Barry Spears

camp, the two turns doesn't matter.

The mile matters, right? He's right.

If you consider Keeneland last year trying to stretch out past

that they had thought about the classic for this horse, decided

against it. I do think the mile's a better

spot with the way he's been breaking from the gate lately

Mike. It went from like, is it a one

off to oh crap, he keeps doing it and that's not good against

Breeders' Cup competition. And so I don't want to say he's

quote UN quote vulnerable. Look, he's the class of this, of

this, of this group. But if he stumbles out of the

gate in the Breeders cup man, he can lose.

I mean it's just it's the nature of these things.

He almost, I mean Cyber Knife almost caught him last year.

Cyber Knife. Now Cyber Knife had a nice

three-year old year, let's be very clear about that.

But he was not the horse that Cody's wishes.

And all right, so let's keep going.

So that's 1/2 here for me is Zozos impressive in the ack,

ack. He's 3 for three.

Last three out at a mile. Is everybody all right?

Let alone I guess the. I guess the storm's rolling

through is bad enough that they need to sound the the storm.

Is it running at your house? Sheesh.

I don't know. I'm in my basement, so don't

worry about it. I'll talk for a little minute

here. The only thing is here,

remember? And the the Breeders Cup site

matters a lot for the layout of the track.

We talk about Saratoga, we talk about Ellis Park and their one

mile shoot, which is essentially a 1 1/2 turn race when horses

run out of mile there. Churchill's not like that.

It's a pretty straight run down the stretch.

It's not a hard turn at all to get onto the main track at

Churchill out of the mile shoot, where they also run 7 furlong

races around the corner here and I Zozo's graded a mile didn't

need to do any work to win the Akak.

We also watched Senor Buscador win that race and then try the

two turn at Keeneland. He didn't love it.

I think Zozos now is better, a better horse than Senor Buscador

was when he ran in the Breeders Cup.

Now since then Sano Buscador has won great stakes out in

California at two turns longer distances.

He's shown it as an older horse but at the time he was in the

Breeders Cup I don't think he was as good as Zozos is right

now coming in. So interested to see if he can

keep it going. Like I said 3 for three on dirt

at a mile. His last three out practical

move is is slated for this field.

Four straight wins, three of those at Santa Anita.

Two grade twos and a grade. One second off the layoff here.

Love that practical move. Trained by Tim Yak, Teen down

there in Southern California so the horses can be able to train

and stay at Santa Anita as long as they need to.

I think he's absolutely got a shot here because of those

connections because of the familiarity with Santa Anita.

Interested to see what they do with his running style.

He's kind of a versatile horse. I think he can do a couple

different things but I think he's absolutely the third best

in this group now that I'm talking through it as far as

chances to win in the mile I might put him a spot ahead of

Zozo's So I mean that's another horse again we saw win the San

Diego Derby missed the Kentucky Derby but they they at least got

that even if it was kind of a tune up race in the allowance

optional claiming race in in earlier this month.

So it looks great. Good, good figure.

I mean great, great speed figure in that race.

And it was for sure. Look, I mean, let's call it what

he was. It was lesser horses for sure,

but you need to see him run against other horses and know he

could do it, right? Yeah.

Had to get back out there and show him, show it to me that he

was capable. Because if you tell him he's

going to go straight from the Sanity to Derby to the Breeders

Cup, that's a hard pass for me. Fascinated by him.

I think Timmy Actine's growing into his role as a as a trainer

the last couple of years. A lot of scrutiny on him because

of the move during Derby season from Baffert to him but I think

an underrated trainer that does a good job out in Southern

California. One in Vermilion man.

This is again a horse that we saw in the in the Sprint

dominated verifying last out in the jerkins.

Interested to see it which way they go with him.

I would lean toward one turn with him.

But if you think that the two horses at the top there aren't

touchable and that maybe maybe Cody's wish isn't going to get

out of the gate, well I don't know.

Not sure. And then I have Anarchist in the

5th. I think the mile distance

actually in this field fits him a little better.

If I were in ownership or in in decision making with Anarchist,

I would put him in the mile, the last horse to win this race

back-to-back. And actually the only horse to

win this race back-to-back was Golden since in 2013 and 2014

both of those races were at Saint Anita.

So, you know, there you go. I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm definitely

thinking I'm going to be betting against Cody's wish, which means

Cody's wish is going to win the Disbursement Horse of Breeders'

Cup. The disbursement horse is going

to go right there. All right, now moving on to the

Breeders Cup Classic. You know, to get the news today,

the forte's out, it is like freaking pouring here, here.

I'm going to, I'm going to let you just talk classic.

I'm going to mute myself. Oh, can you hear?

It We can't hear you. We can't.

OK, good. All right, good.

I mean it is like. The value of a of a good shotgun

Mike it is. It is coming down in buckets

right now. Like, I didn't even think we're

going to get that much rain. Life is good trying to claim the

2nd cava's third down to the 16th pole and it's flight line

and it's mind tingling jaw-dropping on firing

secretariat like Raiders cup. Classic Wind being wanted by 8

likes on the wire and that was Olympiad followed by Cava and

Rich Strike was for. I just want to say if you can

find the jockey Cam on Twitter of this, watching Life is good

and watching Flightline just burst away and disappear.

It is an amazing experience and it's good.

I mean that was so awesome last year to be there for that and

for us to witness just the amazing horse that Flightline

was. And you know this is I'm, I'm,

I'm not going to lie it's a little, it feels a little down

for me just at that from that standpoint.

But again if Archangelo wins this race, I think we've got a

great story here and we've got a no doubt about it, Horse of the

Year, our three-year old Horse of the Year.

No, that's right. And frankly you could probably

push the horse into horse of the year conversation for winning

that as well. Look, there are lots of

different kinds of races. You and I are of the opinion we

don't mind getting shorter prices if we get to watch

greatness. That's totally fine with us.

Flightline was one of those needs to be said for full

clarification on this show. His Pacific Classic was better

than his Breeders' Cup, but the conditions at the Breeders Cup

sucked, so I didn't give you credit for how crappy it was

that day at the Breeders Cup, we almost lost M3 different times

to the Wicked Witch of the West. I mean the wind.

And so dude. And people have never seen me.

I'm not a we were. In those media tents and the

tent was like lifting off the ground.

I had both feet off the ground several times trying to hold on

to that tent. I mean, it was, and I'm not a

small person, I'm a big sandbag. It was unbelievable.

It was like Dukely, something going inside.

All right. So in the Classic, I do have

Archangelo on top. I I think it's because and I

think if you if someone sat down with me and said here's who I

have or someone else blah blah blah and we sat down five people

in a in you know trying to figure out where we we landed.

I'll talk to James Welch next week and maybe you know he can

tell me who his favorite is and I got five different answers.

I wouldn't be mad at him. I I get it this year.

I think it's a it's a pretty open race.

I think there's certain horses that I don't trust to win it,

but I don't think there are a lot that I would just draw a

line through. Immediately.

I will have Archangel on top just because he seems to have

figured it out. He reminds me a little bit,

excuse me there about a practical move a little bit as a

three-year old getting to his best form later and later in the

year did. And I think Mike, you'd agree

with this, Did he not beat the best 3 year old field of the

year in the Traverse? Oh yeah.

Oh yeah, I think so. Yeah.

So I think even in a year with a three-year old class, we kind of

wonder how good it is. If you get a chance here in the

Breeders Cup to find out, especially on the dirt side,

right. And so I think our dangelo for

me is on top just because he's been so consistently good the

last four races. Arabian Nights the local shooter

man 3 for four lifetime. His only loss is a trip to New

Jersey in the Haskell. That trip was never going to

win. Workout comes back front runs

and wins the Pacific classic. Guess what you can do in any

race, get to the front stay in front and win.

If he can do that here with this group, then if they can rock

them to sleep and and run decent fractions, high 20 threes high

40 sevens and kind of cruise around at Santa Anita, I think

they can do it. And again, the Baffert

connection at Santa Anita, leave them out at your own risk.

It's a way to make money for sure but you're probably

throwing a ticket on the ground at some point.

I love how rock ride man. Go ahead, I want to know.

Seriously, I want to get on this, though.

So I'm. I'm literally looking at a news

article with Chad Brown four days ago talking about Zanden

running the In the Greer's Go classic.

Oh, good. OK, then I saw the wrong thing.

That's great. OK.

I just want to make sure because I think I think that horse has

the fore. You're near my top five.

Oh, my God. We'll see.

I'm going with it. All right, go ahead.

This doesn't change my broadcast day at all, but now it does go

Rocket Ride I think is one of the better three-year olds as

well. I think the Haskell was the best

win by any three-year old in any race this year and I think he

was really close to the Pacific Classic, just ran out of time.

I think any other kind of pace scenario he wins there.

I think we'll get a different pace scenario in the Breeders

Cup and he's got a serious shot. Listen people, listen.

I love you. It's White.

A barrio season, people. It really is, though.

It's amazing how much this horse has improved.

Listen to me, people. Y'all doubted me.

That's right, White a barrio drank.

That's right. Y'all dropped.

He doubted it. He doubted it.

White a barrio. Shows up with new performance.

Was the best, was the best performance this year over two

turns of any horse in North America on dirt.

And so let's let's be really clear about what he did.

I don't love the training up to the the classic.

That's all this time off for him, but I get it.

It's 2023. That's how trainers act these

days. The Dutro folks sent them out

West pretty much as soon as he won because it is a winning in

and if you can get that on the Breeders Cup, you take advantage

and you go, I get it, I get it for the connections.

If he runs that race again, he wins.

Mike, I mean it's pretty simple. He runs that winning race again.

It was the best one in North America this year.

If he does it again, he will win the Classic and of course that

is his most recent performance, right.

So it's got we got to wait it that way but we we haven't

necessarily seen that from him before that.

I mean he's had some nice races. He's had some nice wins.

Here's my thing you know he gets nosed out in the in the Cigar

Mile last year when it was still a grade one.

It's a grade two this year. If he wins that race and he's

got all the Florida races, he's got a win at Aqueduct in in

December and then he comes back and he wins the Whitney at

Saratoga and he's kind of bouncing around winning.

I think we take him a lot more seriously in this race.

Now, to be fair, I think he's going to be one of the two or

three top bet horses in this field because of that Whitney.

They're going to go back, they're going to see the speed

figure, they're going to see the connections, the horses listed

right behind him. People are going to see that

they're going to be, they're going to be swayed by that.

But I don't love the time off. Be interested to see how you

know how he takes to it. But you know, I still haven't

top five here. #4I win a little wild card with #5 with Bright

Future who did nose out proxy in the Jockey Club Gold Cup for

Todd Pletcher and and anyone listens to this show knows I'm a

huge fan of Pletcher how he operates, how he places his

horses. Bright Future is another one of

those rising horses getting better as the months go by I

expect him to be at full strength and very good in the

Breeders cup classic So 12345 R and Archangelo Arabian.

I go Rocket Ride White Abario and Bright Future and like I

said I think I could sit down with four other horse racing

people and they would have a totally different pick top five.

Yeah, I I think so. I I just want to say 18 months

is a long time. But I put 50 bucks on White

Abario when you said he was going to win the Derby.

That's all I'm saying, you know. And it's it's a little

unfortunate to you. Like, you know, I I remember

last year he loved one in white Abario too.

So it's a whole thing. Yeah.

Anyway you know we didn't get to see Taba have the the season

that we thought we would we would see him have.

You know we it's the this the group of older horses have have

kind of rode off to the sunset right.

And then the the three-year old class is maybe not shake shaking

out exactly how he thought was going to shake out so but listen

I think Archangelo wins. It's a huge it's a great story

and and Archangelo just because that horse didn't run the Derby

doesn't. We've seen plenty of great

three-year olds that did not win that did not run in the Derby

right so like Arrogate for example so and I loved having

Jenna on the show. Oh yeah it was huge.

It was awesome. It's great that she won the

Belmont. It's great that she won the

Traverse, but in the national scope of things, Breeders' Cup

Classic gets her a lot more exposure and is a major positive

story for horse racing that we can sorely use.

I 100% agree with that. And of course his daddy was

arrogating. So you know, let's let's go for

it. So all right, Louis, anything

else you want to add about Breeders' Cup season?

We'll get into it, man. I'm, I'm already little kid

excited about going out there. So first time in Santa Anita for

both of us. I've never been to Los Angeles.

I don't know how. Oh, really?

Yeah, I've. I've been all over California,

all over the West Coast, Phoenix, Vegas, Denver, you

know, all over, all over the place.

Austin, everywhere in, you know. So it's not a void of going

West. I've spent a ton of time in

Seattle, San Francisco, just LA for some reason.

I went to Charleston, SC for the first time, and I've been all up

and down the East Coast. So sometimes you just have these

voids and travel, and I'll get to check off a big one here.

Trying to think of what it is for me.

I'm going to South Dakota for the first time next week.

I don't think Sioux Falls counts as much as LA, though.

Comment about the governor? Oh, yeah, she's hot.

She's good looking. She might be crazy, I don't

know, but I have no no idea about that.

But she's hot so. I've never.

Stopped in New Orleans. I've driven through it like

highways I've never. Stopped in New Orleans.

That's my my massive hole. I just want to stop in New

Orleans and and Spencer go. To the springs or whatever.

That's that. Very well.

Give me mine, too, Zach. I I've never stopped.

I've never been to San Antonio. I've been to LA twice, so I've

been to Dodgers Stadium twice. I saw all the.

I saw the Dodgers play the Yankees, and I saw the Dodgers

play the Cardinals. So and then I saw the, I guess

it doesn't really count when you go to Anaheim because Anaheim's

not really LA. So I saw those Angels play here

recently against the Reds. I think we saw Shohi Otani's

last pitch ever. I don't know.

That's right. It is time to get into

handicapping. Wanted to remind people about

gold book bets, gold book, bets.com.

If you buy the book this weekend, we'll get you in for

40% off the Breeders cup package that we're going to have in a

couple of weeks. So head over there.

Gold book, bets.com. Go check it out.

Tomorrow we'll have a racing from Keeneland along with some

bets. If you're in a sports betting

area, we'll have you covered as well for a couple of college

football games tomorrow night as well.

So get in gold book, bets.com. We had our best sales day ever

outside the Derby week today. Today we had a big special get

in now 40% off of Breeders' Cup. If you go in and buy any of the

next three days, Gold Book bets.com.

So that's the 20th, 21st and 22nd of October whenever you're

listening to this. All right, so we're going to

talk real quick about Race 6. The Perryville, which is a 7

furlong race on the dirt for three-year olds, $250,000 on the

line at Keeneland. Have you been to the Perryville

battlefield? Oh no, no.

I've been to this race. I've not been to the

battlefield. Yeah, it's supposedly very, very

haunted. Yeah, if you're into that kind

of thing. OK, yeah.

Who do you like in this race, Louis?

I'll just watch The X-Files instead.

This is 1 and and we're in this weird part of the season where

these are the other three-year olds, if you will, right.

These are the guys that essentially, you know what,

Mike? This is a grade 3 minus.

You've been upgrading system in a while.

You're going to upgrade it. I'm upgrading it because comics

game race Kane. Obvious Kentucky Derby starters

race Kane never made it to the Derby.

I shouldn't say that, but he did run on the mat win and was

second in the Indiana Derby by a nose behind Verifying.

Verifying in this race won a grade three has since come back

and ran in the Jerkins. Ran second in the Jerkins at a

grade one behind one in Vermilion who's going to go run

in the Breeders Cup and I think has a serious shot in the to

pick up a check at the Breeders Cup.

So the other horse though that I think is really interesting and

is a late bloomer didn't break his maiden until July at Del Mar

is Doctor Venkman and they're shipping him in Mark Glass.

Shipping him into Keeneland for this race.

Really interested to watch Mark. Mark Who's Mark?

I'm talking to Mark Ennis a lot. Sorry, Mike is that it's going

to rain today and it's going to rain tomorrow.

And so the course is going to be wet at Keeneland.

It'll be interesting to watch what's on turf, what's off turf,

etcetera. How dry will the course be by

Saturday? It should drop stop raining

tomorrow on Friday the 20th ahead of the 21st.

What is that going to look like? Doctor Venkman used to those

California conditions, but we've seen a lot of horses travel from

California and perform really well at Keeneland.

So I'm going to put Doctor Venkman on top because I like

the price we'll take and the Ghostbusters reference, but also

that I will take Johnny V as well in this combination, the

two of them over their last seven.

So I'm hoping to get off the schneid with the two of them.

I think verifying this is we had Chad Brown on, Chad Brown, Brad

Cox on the on the radio show a couple weeks ago.

I asked him about the Jerkins and how I thought he turned back

to one turn is ideal for this horse.

I do think 7 Furlongs a mile is about what he wants to do with

the mile. By mile I mean the mile at

Churchill Bounds, one turn mile or Saratoga, something like

that. I think we'll see a lot of that

from him as a four year old. I have him in second spot there.

I went to the Four Horse next. His name is Raised Kane ran

Remington last out in the Oklahoma Derby and didn't love

it. We're going back.

We're turning back here for trainer Ben Colebrook.

Second off the layoff here he hits a 25% and he goes from

route to Sprint at 14%, Decent sample size there and so

interested to see him move this horse from going two turns back

to one turn. And I really, really, really

this meet have been leaning on Lee Luis Saez by the way in the

gold book today. We did have the exacta in race

five 127 to 1. Yesterday we had a pick three

that paid 75 to 1. So we're on fire at Keeneland

right now. Make sure you get in and check

that out as well. And then last I did have

confidence game. This is a Kevin Kilroy special

he'll tell you all about it Friday morning on Islam Louie.

All of the things about this though off the layoff scream

that he's not going to win for trainer keeps his hormone

unfortunately. So I have him in fourth place

fourth spot, a slot I should say for a reason.

I think you can use the top two five and one on top if you

wanted to play a multi race sequence and move on and so I

will use the old Ghostbuster reference in Doctor Venkman on

top here 51 love the doctor Venkman reference OK race and by

the way I think it's a solid grade 3 field that's a that's a

pretty decent field but this time of year and what's

available that's at least a grade 3 minus field.

Yes and if you if you really want to on on the 21st you can

watch the Perryville Stakes and then they're doing the

Perryville like ghost stories and haunted tours on the

battlefield that night. Although I think it's sold out.

Zach, are you into that stuff? I actually don't know, 'cause I

do like, look, I love The X-Files, for example.

Like, I love those kinds of stories and that kind of stuff.

But I didn't know if Zach's a ghost guy.

I actually don't know this. No, Like, not a ghost guy.

Or like it freaks you the hell out.

It definitely does not freak me out.

I am way too like norm, like low key about that kind of stuff I.

Mean. It'd be.

It'd be fun if it was true, but I'd rather the telekinesis was

true than ghosts like and that we're getting visited from other

dimensions by. Uap, That would be awesome.

Multiverse aliens. These are all things I would

rather believe in. Like, like I have those moments

where I'm. I have those moments where I'm

like, aliens are real. They have to be right?

Like statistically and that. But those I'm like I don't know.

I I believe in both. There you go.

I believe in both and I you know I'm into this this Exorcist

Files podcast right now I'm I'm into that so talk about the

exorcisms. I.

I I was about to say I wonder what the overlap between I grew

up Catholic and I believe in ghosts is because like because

Catholics have like super ghosts.

And I mean that in the most respectable way, right?

Like you, you have like the Saints are looking over you and

angels and think like right, like you have well, there's

spiritual. Things that exist, yeah.

Communion of Saints and all that stuff.

Sure. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Can I get it? There's a lot, by the way.

Yeah, Let's go on to the the the Raven run.

Grade 2 Raven run here, 7 furlongs on the dirt, 3 year old

Phillies. 350,000 on purse. Louis, where'd you land on this

one, man? Potential future superstar in

here for Brett Binkman. Brinkman of all things.

Look, the daughter of Lord Nelson bred her for 10 grand.

Already won 268 grand as a chance to pick off another

$100,000 check here. The seven horse under Tyler.

I want to warn everyone, if I pick Tyler in a race, the horse

finishes second. If I don't pick Tyler in a race,

that horse wins. Wins, no question about it.

And so I think not only is she most likely to win, I think that

if you wanted to get skinny, this is your spot.

She was excellent at Delaware in a listed stakes.

Come back, comes back in the Grade 2 Prius at Saratoga.

Not as the favorite by the way. It wins by 8 3/4 likes in

September. They obviously were pointing for

this. Did a great job with her as

well, getting her ready. She's actually moved to

Keeneland within the beginning, at the beginning of the month.

Excuse me, not within at the beginning of October.

Getting her ready for this race, getting her comfortable at

Keeneland as well. I think she's your chance at a

single in the late sequence if you wanted to use her in that

way. The four horse here is an

interesting one as well. In Vava.

We've heard her name a couple times this year for Cheri Devoe.

She hasn't won at Keeneland yet this meet, but she does get

Jonny V in the saddle for this one.

Two of them impressive 4 for their last thirteen together

38%. Interested to see if they can

keep that kind excuse me, 5 or 13 going see if they can keep

that kind of percentage going. Did win last time in that

Charlestown Oaks but it was over W wet fast conditions.

A lot of horses just didn't like it.

But she did beat undervalued asset, who I think is a fine 3

year old filly in that race by open lengths and so interested

to see if she can continue that form into this one.

The 6th horse in this race. Excuse me, just lost my notes.

Is that for Brad Cox? And so wasn't that Prioress

didn't go well when she was there.

Before that, she was right behind Maple Leaf Mill in the

Victory ride, a Grade 3 at Belmont.

The horse has been training at Ellis Park of all things and has

been training really well. Seeing some of those workouts

last time she had, you know that that opportunity at Belmont in

the victory, right. She was really good.

Threw in a clunker last out. Brad Cox does a really good job

of getting horses ready for races at Keeneland.

So I do have her in the 3rd. I have a super long shot that I

think is really interesting here that you have to once in a while

I did. I did this on Maryland preview

day and the horse missed in the turf Sprint.

MM yes. Yes.

The 2nd place Louise long shot was back.

It just, it it crippled my soul. Yeah, the three Nam de Plume,

Flavia and Pratt Paolo Lobo. Hear me out.

Highest lifetime speed figure is 77, but this is a horse that

went from 68 to 73 to 77 from Turfway to Ellis Park on the

grass. Paolo Lobo's moving this horse

to the dirt for this race. I have good news.

He goes turf to dirt over his last 54 starts At 24% winners.

He brings horses off a two-month layoff back at 8 at 19% and you

get Flavi and Pratt. Man, I just, I think all of the

angles line up here and you get Flavi and Pratt.

There have been some not so great morning lines at Keeneland

this meet. I'm not going to be mean about

it. Nick's talked about it.

I think he's a little stretched too thin.

They've gotten better this last couple of race days.

I would say the last four or five.

I think Nick's done a nice job. They were way out of whack early

on, but to be fair to him, Keeneland is so boutique man.

It's hard to predict who's going to be great and you know who's

going to be good coming out of Kentucky.

Downs is going to be worth a damn after breaking his, you

know, his, his collarbone, that kind of stuff.

Hard to predict those things early in a meet like Keeneland.

He's really settled in after that.

I think 20 to one is probably what you're going to get here

and I I'm interested to see her and what she can do here.

Broker Maiden in 2022, first asking in December at Turf.

Way comes back, runs in February, takes all the time

off, Runs at Ellis in August, wins right away.

We're getting floppy in here. Give me the horse that non de

plume 20 to one. That's a delicious price.

Include her in your xactus and trifectas.

Yeah, I love. I love that pick.

Actually, Louis, I think it's great.

So you never know. I mean, just how race is set up

and whatever else. If she looks like a horse that

wants to be out there and he wants to be in the.

In the business. Yeah.

Yeah, absolutely. All right, let's pay the tab.

Let's get out of here. We thought this would be a quick

show. We still did an hour.

But, you know, that's what happens.

All right, Rui, what's that? You got?

Zanda #1? No, I still think Archangel and

everyone, but I like Zanda in my top three.

OK, How about that? Yeah.

Yeah. So I got Chad Brown's number.

Maybe we'll try to get him on the pod.

That's right. The weird.

What? What restaurant?

We're at some Mexican place. We ran into Chad Brown.

Senor Iguanas over by U of L Yeah.

And there's Chad Brown at the bar.

So, yeah, all right, well, we're going to pay a tab.

We're going to get out of here. We'll see you next week on the

Horse Racing Happy Hour.