Louie sits down TK Kuegler from Wasabi Stables and Brian Skirka from Monmouth Park. Louie gives his picks for the United Nations and the Haskell.
2023 Haskell & United Nations – TK Kuegler & Brian Skirka Drop by!
Full Transcript
The World's Most Ridiculous Intro on the World's Most
Ridiculous Horse Racing Podcast Welcome in Horse Racing Happy
hour. I'm Louie Rebeaux Solo tonight,
hanging out with you, Mike and Elfo somewhere in the woods of
Wisconsin. My guests they don't.
Care for Italians where he is and he's not ever coming back.
So that's where all what's going to happen here.
We bring you in on this episode ahead of the Haskell of course
and opening day at Delmar tomorrow.
So a lot going on actually in the horse racing world, given
that it is mid late July. We'll be joined today by TK
Coogler from Wasabi Ventures, from Wasabi Stables of course on
the horse racing side. And then I will have our guy
Brian Skurka stop by again from Monmouth Park.
We'll talk all things Haskell, United Nations, Monmouth Cup,
etcetera going on there. And how I would bet the sequence
all of those sorts of things. But we'll start as we always do.
We'll go back to those replays that we had last week at at
Saratoga is where we went last week for for all of the
happenings. Casa Creed does win that Kelso
was a horse that we talked about on the show.
Zach, Producer, Zach hanging out of course with us tonight that I
thought was really well placed to get back into this kind of
win at a place like Saratoga in graded company.
With other quality horses in this field, frankly thought the
second start here it back in North America after right
running in the Arabian Peninsula would get him into that good
spot. So let's go ahead Zach, go ahead
and play the replay for me here. If you've got it ready, this is
last week. We're looking here at a Casa
Creed in the in the. Annapolis will go even wider,
white cap far outside as the field turns for home.
It's still big. Everest clinging to a narrow
lead. Casa Creed right to him on the
inside English Bay. Farther back.
Annapolis has a lot of work to do.
Casa Creed A2 length lead coming to the 16th pole.
Annapolis finding his best stride.
But it's Casa Creed. Casa Creed.
What a classy individual. So able to come back after
running in that japer at six Furlongs at Belmont.
Behind, of course. Caraval.
No shame in that. Comes back, stretches back out,
does a great job there. Great ride, great trip as well.
Talk about these older geldings that are still running along
doing the thing on the show, We remind you fall in love with the
Phillies. They run longer, but you can
always fall in love with those turf geldings who seem to run
forever. And Zach?
I'm seeing someone's knocking on the door here, so let's let them
in. Maybe he wants to watch replay
with us. Ohh, there he is.
There's TK. Hey buddy, how are you man?
I'm good. How are you?
Look. Long time coming that we get to
hang out and so thanks for joining us here on the horse
Racing Happy hour Could find you at TK.
Did I pronounce your name properly?
You crushed it. How about that?
I'm living it. I'm living a whole life of
crushing things, TK. Yeah.
It's beautiful. Yeah, yeah.
So good to have you in. You are on all different sides
of the the horse racing spectrum.
Here you are a Pick 5 monster, but also love the ownership side
of things. We'll get into that with you
later on in our Horse Racing 101 segment presented by our friends
at the Maryland Thoroughbred Breeders Association.
But Costa Creed there, man, sometimes we get those older
gellings that just they pick off those races at the longer turf
distances. That's unbelievable, right.
I mean that's that's the beauty. That's often there's two things
there. You talked about the gelding
aspect of it, but there's there's also the turf aspect of
it too, right, Right. I mean all you got to do is look
at Europe and yeah, it's not unusual to see a seven and
eight-year old running 2 1/2 miles somewhere.
In Europe. So that's exactly right.
Yeah. His last race was at 3-3 miles
and three quarters in France, and now he's running in Ireland
at 2 1/2 miles exactly. Exactly right.
He's using the speed and the cutback is that's what it is.
So. He last ran during the Ford
administration. Yeah, exactly.
So we did see a massive upset TK last week and I'd love to get
your thoughts on how you play 2 year old races because we are in
2 year old season now as we get into the summer fall here.
So yo-yo Candy, Zach, let's pull up the Sanford win here for
yo-yo Candy finished behind the favorite the previous time out
of Belmont by 10 by 10 lengths. Excuse me, turns the tables here
in the Sanford at Saratoga. Lengths to make up for lengths
clear of his rights, they pass the quarter pole and turn for
Home and Market Street On the outside, challenging as yo-yo
Candy is rallying Dickens along the inside.
They're a furlong from the finish.
Gold Sweep still has plenty of work to do, but he's starting to
make up ground alongside Triple Tray, 16th Pole, yo-yo Candy
with a 2 1/2 length lead and yo-yo Candy.
Has won the Sanford. So we see this at this time of
year as I mentioned TK, we see these horses growing up right in
front of us. Another time that I always think
of when we get to watch these horses grow up is going from
those October, November high level juvenile races into that
hard you know set up Derby prep schedule essentially where we
see those horses become. You know the great three-year
olds that they can become? Or maybe they were great as two
year olds. Essentially really great at
basketball at 8th and 9th grade, but they get to their junior
senior year of high school and they're just not as good, right?
Maybe they were taller when they were younger.
Whatever it might be. yo-yo, Candy obviously had tried it at
Belmont previously. Loses by a double digit lengths
last time. How?
How would someone have seen this horse last time out?
Well, it depends on how you're what have you bet right a little
bit because you you mentioned I'm a pick five guys, so I.
I'm playing a lot of horizontals, so if you look at
the sequence there and how you think about the sequence, when
you see a 2 year old race, anything can happen, just it
doesn't matter. And if you watch that race and
you watch the replay just now, the heavy favorite is probably
the best horse in the group, right?
Just you know how it finishes. It breaks badly and it gets
everything that goes wrong. Well, that's what happens in two
year old races, right? I mean that's just the nature of
especially in a place like Saratoga where everybody's
gearing to go run, right. So you're, you know, so you
could even have a first time starter in a race like that that
could have jumped up and won and you wouldn't know very little
about the horse. So and we saw that on Friday by
the way in the, in the excuse me, on opening day in the
debutante, right. So I mean there was 100% on the
Philly side. Yeah, Yep.
Yeah. And so you know, so you as a
horizontal player, I'm looking for a big price in that.
In a race like that I'm going to go skinny somewhere else, really
skinny singling. You know, I'm going to try to
find a single when I see a race like this in the sequence,
hoping that happens. No, I can tell you I didn't hit
the pick five in this case but but, but that was but I had
yo-yo candy. In my pick five.
Why? Because I was very wide there
just as a personal thing, the owners of Yoyo Candy, great
people, they had the box next to us at Tampa.
So super nice people. So it's always nice to see
operations like that get a nice big win.
So but but yeah it was in my mind when you see a race like
that or or you see another one that at Saratoga to think about
this very similar estate. Bread allow straight state bread
races cuz you got all kinds of weird stuff happening yet you
know I hit the pick 5 yesterday, the late pick five it at at at
Saratoga yesterday and it ended with a state bread race and.
New York. Challenge.
Exactly. And so, and it was a little bit
of a price that got home, but I was so wide.
It wasn't like I was a genius and I knew that horse was going
to get there. It's because I had already hit
two singles to get there. Oh, nice Okay there.
Well, there you go. So that's, that's some good
advice. I agree by the way on the two
year old thing, especially expecting a 2 year old horse to
have back-to-back great races with no issues.
It's just unrealistic and you're in ownership.
But we'll get to this. The fact that any horse ever
gets to the starting gate to me is still a remarkable
accomplishment of of man's desire to have a horse racing.
So Zach, let's go ahead. We'll get to that final race
that was there on Saturday at Saratoga.
Of course the Grade 1 Diana, the Chad Brown Invitational.
We got the Grade 3 winner in white beam jumping up in a very
competitive end of this race. Yeah, there's some momentum now
within four of the lead, as in Italian now has to fend off
white beam 111 and four for six furlongs.
They're at the top of the stretch white beam firing a big
shot on the outside of in Italian.
In Italian a length white beam on the outside.
Market segmentation trying to get by.
FEV Rover for 3rd coming to the 16th poll in Italian set down
white beam trying to get her in Italian ahead white beam.
Big effort from FAV Rover in Italian white beam.
A final try, white beaming in Italian in a photo finishing.
Still getting used to Frank Miramati, but the.
Incredible splits there, by the way.
We're 135 1/2 essentially at the mile there.
So they're flying. I mean, in Italian was
absolutely flying. I think if you look at her at
the end there, you think she's slowing down, but really she is.
She's done all the work. She's got a huge pace there.
We get white beam at the end. We're seeing Flavia and Pratt
prove that he is really one of these absolutely elite riders in
the stretch. You get a full example of that.
I will be very honest. This was a race that I did not
bet because I thought this kind of outcome was possible.
I just didn't know which one of the other four horses might hit.
100%, a 100%, It's a race like that.
You have two choices, you take a stand with one horse or don't
play it, in my opinion. So those are your two choices
when you have a field like that and a situation like that, if
you say I'm gonna play it. Take a stand with something and
you know and and you got to and you can't take away anything
from an Italian. I thought the Italian ran a
great race right. You know but that's that's what
makes this game wild is a better right you can have if you had an
Italian there and and you're like boy I had the horse ran
great I knew the horse was going to ride great and it still
wasn't enough. You know you still go throw away
all the tickets if you if you don't have it so.
Chad Brown has now won a 77 straight renditions of that
race, so Congrats. Relations to him I'm.
Sure. I'm sure he's very proud of
that. We were interviewing Brad Cox a
couple Fridays ago ahead of the Indiana Derby and we said, hey,
if you win the Indiana Derby, what are you going to do?
And he said, I don't know, get my car, go home and go to bed.
All right, great. That must be nice.
Win a Grade 3 and with one of your three-year olds and just go
ahead and drive home and watch workouts the next day.
All right, Well, yeah, just of those three races, who do you
think's the most likely to bounce back and have another
good race? 3 Casa Creed yo-yo candy.
Yeah, I'm gonna say Casa Creed because I I just think Casa
Creed is the, you know, a little bit depends on you know where it
goes and what not. But I but I would say if you
had, if I had to pick one of those three, I'm taking Casa
Creed. I'll take white beam here just
because I think a little bit more experience in the trad
brown, whatever it's going on up there in New York with the with
the turf trading it's a little more time in his barn.
I think she'll she'll really appreciate and I think that
she's the kind of horse. Especially if she can keep
getting a Flavian Pratt or whatever super high level amount
she's going to get, I think it's a chance that she ends up
picking off another major, major race before the end of the year.
And of course we have TKN. He is our guest for racing One O
one with the Maryland Breeders. And of course, hey, this Sunday,
the Maryland Horse Breeders Association.
They're going to host their 89th annual Yearling show live from
the Maryland State Fairgrounds at Timonium, a place I haven't
been on my bucket list, TuneIn as some of Maryland's future
stars. They're going to be showcased to
judge by longtime trainer Ned Allard.
And all of the winners will receive cash prizes.
That show starts at 9:00 o'clock Eastern Time on Sunday.
tunein@facebook.com Maryland Thoroughbred.
So go ahead and check them out. Great partners of RSTK.
I know you have a large ensemble of horses in the state of
Maryland. How many do you have currently
in Maryland? We 26 broodmares right now.
So you then you start throwing it in the yearlings and you know
it is our base of breeding operations.
So I think we're easily one of the two or three largest
breeders you know sort of in Maryland.
And we, yeah, we've been hanging out with them, but, you know,
we. We try to do the Preakness as
often as we can. It seems to TK coincide with my
kids First Communions, unfortunately, because they try,
they try to avoid the Derby here, right?
So they're like, oh, two weeks after Derby, we'll just have
we'll have First me and I'm like, can we do it three weeks
after Derby? Is that through moving?
I love my family, but what are we doing?
Did they not understand that's a dark weekend?
That's a. Dork, come on guys can't do that
to me. And so, so we were there this
year. It was actually a gandolph was
first trip and I think we had properly prepped him for
Pimlico, which was. It's not Churchill Downs and so
just it's, it's Okay, by the way.
You're going to have a great time.
People are in a terrific mood. It costs something in the
magnitude of 90% less than going to the Derby.
And so there's going to be a lot younger people, the the crowd.
That's the thing that Zach and I noticed this year is, you know,
they've really stretched out that Derby weekend at Churchill
from just being on Saturday when I moved here 15 years ago.
You could go to Oaks for 60-70 bucks.
Go sit in the grandstand, have fun with your buddies and and
whatever else and now it's all grouped together and all those
kinds of things. They pushed a lot of that crowd.
They had like 5556 thousand people on the Thursday before
Derby and that crowd was very young.
It was very interesting to watch and everyone was dressed like
they were going to the Derby, but that was their Derby day,
was that Thursday because you could go for 50, sixty, $70.00.
And so we've watched that change, but the Preakness still
has some of that feel where you get the younger crowd but you
still get. Man, I have a selfie on Twitter.
I put up, I think the guy's been a 41 straight Preaknesses, you
know, that kind of thing. And so Maryland has its own
thing, but there's a lot of pride and what I like TK that
I've noticed is their progression of how they build
their series up to the Tessio and then up to the Preakness.
It's so logical. It's 7 furlongs and then at
Laurel you have the one turn 8 for a longer, then you go nine
and then you, you know, the Tessio's 9 and then you run the
Preakness. I mean, just it all of them make
sense and there's so much logic to it.
So that's a really good state bread program there.
Have you benefited from it? Very much.
Like I said, we're we're, we're pretty, we may even be the
largest breeder in the state of Maryland.
You know, I'm not sure but we're pretty close.
We're the fighting distance of it.
So you know I had a I had a horse win the other day where
you got we got a state bread breeder about us we sold the
horse. It's been gone for a year and a
half but you know yeah. Cuz you're getting.
You're going to get 30%, right? You're going to wind up getting
your 30% as a breeder? You know, and without any bills,
which is you know, can't you can't hate that as well.
Yeah, So this is horse racing 101 and we've had on, you know,
we've asked different people. So our first, our first was was
Jenna Antonucci. So no pressure, no pressure.
Follow, no follow. Hello, Jenna Antonucci.
The Dan Hillman, of course we asked him, you know, if somebody
wanted to be a DRF guy, if they wanted to be a public
handicapper for a living, how would they go do that?
What does your day look like, Dan?
We asked him about that. You do a lot of different things
and I know that horse racing ownership is not maybe it's
becoming your number one, I don't know, but it isn't how you
started, at least in business. What is your, what is your
approach to horse racing ownership?
Do you do you know, cuz I, you know, if people were looking at
wasabi from the outside and what should they know about it?
Yeah, I think, I think it's, I'll do 2 pieces there cuz it's
a one-on-one piece. So, you know, without being much
of A plug, our approach is a little different than probably
anybody else, you know when I started off in this.
I had the dream of building more owners.
That's what I wanted to do. I wanted to educate people to be
good owners and then they could go off and be owners on their
own. They don't have to stay with us.
That was the dream. And so to do good education, we
spend a lot of time as a community.
We have an incredibly about 1400 people actively talking to each
other all day, every day, so and so we have a platform where
people sit there and talk all day.
About all kinds of things, from wine and food to, you know,
horse racing and handicapping and you name it.
But sprinkled in there is a lot of education and I think it
would be if you, if you think about like how they treat
ownership in Europe, you you actually have to take some and
get some education before you can get a license.
You have to prove that you can pay for the horse that you're
buying. You know that you can support
it. These are all things that I
think. Make a good man.
It's hard to do that in the way things are regulated here, but
it would be interesting. And So what I did with Wasabi
was let's do that education and let some people go off.
And sort of how we do that is I do it.
We're probably the only people. The only syndicate in the world
that does this, but if you buy into a horse that we claim and
you get your, you buy your 1% you you're basically paying what
we paid for the horse, the 1% and you have no ongoing bills
and no risk of loss. So if the horse loses money,
it's on me. You're not paying anyone ongoing
bills. I just do it so that there's a,
you know that education piece and I think not everybody can do
that but but but we do and. You know, and the last piece I
would say bringing it back to sort of ownership 101 is that I
would strongly urge anyone before you jump in and say, hey,
I want to buy it and run my own horse, simulate it, go ahead and
pick a horse that's already been running, take just pick it at
random. Any horse in the program, don't
pick the one that looks the best, just pick a horse in
random in the program. And figure out how what the
expenses were and what the revenues were for let's say a
year or two years or some period of time and do the math on it.
And then you'll quickly realize that it's probably lost money if
you did it right. And if you lost money, could you
afford to lose that money? Because that's one of the key
things that I think people, you know, it's most of the time guys
with egos, they jump in, they go to off sale, they buy whatever
expense a 2 year old they. They're told that they should
buy and the horse can't run. And lo and behold, lo and
behold, now they're way underwater and all this game's
crooked and I don't want to be a pride.
Well, if they had got a little of that education and taking the
time to do what I just described, they may not have
that feeling. What's more exciting?
Hitting the pick five or a random horse you claim?
Picking off a low level claimer at Laurel?
Oh, it's just totally winning a race, right?
Is there's nothing like and and I love the claiming it.
We're big in the breeding and so we raced the breed you know
breed the race and all of that. And that's wonderful and that's
got its own thrills that you have a horse that you breed and
then it runs and it wins. And all of that fun stuff there
is that's a great joy too but it's a different joy.
But the idea that you can claim a $25,000 horse at Tampa.
Who now probably ran the fastest buyers figure last week in the
country that means you did something right when you claim
it as a 25K maiden a year ago and ran in the Haskell.
You know we're going to talk about the Haskell a little here.
You know that was a 25K claimer we picked and was in the lead of
the Haskell as a turn for home. So you know that's that's
there's a pretty big thrill in that.
How did you get into horse ownership?
When did you? When did you see your first
horse race? Are you are you one of these
guys, Same last name as someone else, like everyone in horse
racing? Or are you like me?
Close, but not quite so close. My great grandfather was a
trainer and so I fell in love and he lived to be like 95 years
old. So I got to hear all his stories
and no one between him and myself.
Had anything to do with horse racing in the family, right?
So they they they all fell out of it, just.
And so I promised myself when I had made enough money in my
life, I would go off and started racing.
You know, I'd started stable. I'd started racing stable.
And the deal with my wife, This is true.
Family lore here, this is, and it's very true.
Was that we have four children and I could not start the racing
stable until the youngest graduated because if we were
going to travel around my wife wanted to go with it and she
didn't want to just sit at home while I'm off at you know, Santa
Vita watching some horse run, right.
So. So that was the deal and.
Family lore, which is almost exactly true.
As my youngest daughter is walking across the stage.
I'm claiming a horse and and all that.
That's close to true. It's it's it's me, you know,
might be a little apocryphal, but it's it's not too far from
the truth. Owning horses and and having an
operation means you have to trust a lot of people.
Yeah. Who?
Who is it in the industry that you think you have to trust the
most? Is it a breeder?
Is it a? A bloodstock agent?
Is it a trainer? What?
Who? Who's the person that you're
trusting the most? Here I think it, I think it's
both. And you know, what I did was I
basically in both of those cases like a bloodstock for the
bloodstock agent and the and the trainer.
In both cases I basically made them employees, you know, so I
took them over and made it private.
And that was, you know, just like employing anyone else in
some ways. You bring them in and you, you
know, so Jesse Cruz is our primary.
Mary Trainer, we use a couple others, but Jesse Cruz is and he
and I have been together, you know, four years now.
And you know, we spent a lot of time together and it's like any
other employee, right? You know, I got a couple of
other hundred other employees and other businesses.
You know, it's like anything else you you you learn to trust
them and you learn how they work and what they do well and don't
do well and help them where you can.
And the same thing I have George Adams on the on the Bloodstock
side, you know, really runs a lot of our breathing operation
and you know, but that took a lot of trust to your point and a
lot of conversations and observing and all of the things
you would do with your hire. That's one of the crazy things
like in this game is that so many owners come in.
And they just start firing away, right?
It's like. The Jerry Jones approach, right?
Yeah. Did you interview anyone?
Did. You actually spend time with the
trainer. Did you watch their operation?
Did you go in the morning and just observe how they treat
their own employees? All these kind of things.
And you know, and most of the time they're like, no, I had no
idea, You know, I just, I just picked one up, you know, I saw
he was there, he was drinking and I like to drink.
So next thing you know, he's my trainer.
I'm like, well, that's fantastic That I said, is that how you,
you know what Most most people come into this business, right?
We're successful in something else, right?
It's not right if they're an owner in this game.
They were, they were doing something else 1st.
And it's amazing to me they come in here and they lose all of
their business sense. Right.
It's like, it's like you hired someone to run and in some cases
multimillion dollar business for you.
And you did that because they're good, you know, they're fun
people to be around. Well, you wouldn't do that with
any other business. Why would you do that here?
Interesting. All right, well, we're going to
look at a sequence at Monmouth this weekend.
TK that is an all stakes pick. 5T K plays lots of pick fives.
Is your preference a? Claimer and allowance Kind of
pick 5A mix of stakes and allowance of claimers or an all
stakes pick five. What's your preference?
I think it depends on what the sequence, where the sequence is.
And what I mean by that is if you're playing like an all stake
sequence where the handle is gonna be really really large,
then that's great because. Because then there's you've got
a chance, even if it's a little chalky and you hit one bomb that
you could still get a nice payoff if it.
If it's a normal everyday pick five sequence, then I'm I'm
going to want something somewhere in there where the
crowd is not picking what I'm picking, you know?
And I'm so I'm going to have to have maybe two races where I'm
where I'm going against the crowd to get the payoffs that
I'm looking for, so. So I don't know if I answered
your question, but I think it depends.
I think it depends. I think it's easier in some ways
to handicap a stakes thick five. I agree, right, because because
you're dealing with better horses, right, when you do a
$5000. And usually more consistent
horses. Consistency, I think, is really
the toughest part, yeah. Yeah, yeah, A $5000 claimer at
the bottom at most tracks, you know, or whatever the bottom
claimer is in the track at any given week.
Any of those could be not running well and you won't know
it until it's too late. Yeah.
Whenever I hear at Horseshoe Indianapolis, for example, where
we do a lot of work that it's a state bread race and it's a, you
know, it's a 12/5 claimer, I go okay, how many can I grab, you
know, because it's going to be, I mean.
They run every 2, 1/2 weeks and you just said they just trade
wins and it is what it is. And my favorite though I think
for sure is that a Sinnaboya Downs, there's a there's a
condition called Manitoba, Saskatchewan, North Dakota,
South Dakota bread and I think not even close.
That's the best condition in horse racing I don't think.
It's close. No that could, you could,
absolutely could. Manitoba.
Saskatchewan. North Dakota.
South Dakota. I just.
I think it's. It it tickles me, TK.
It's what it does. All right, so we will go to
Monmouth. Did you did you get a chance to
look at the Oaks on Saturday? At Sarah Took a by chance.
I did, but only in passing, but I I I you know.
Definitely. I mean, just me see the return
of wet paint. You know, Sacred Wish is here.
She's an interesting horse to me, gambling girls in the spot.
She almost picked off the Kentucky Oaks this year in that
that pretty mischievous. And gambling girl 1-2 we've
obviously seen pretty mischievous back that up with a
great comeback in the Acorn. So she showed that she belongs
every bit of 10 to one and and more on Oaks day reminded me a
little frankly one of the first Oaks that Mike and I work
together I think it was in 20/19 was when Serengeti Empress won
and she was the she was the horse that when we saw her in
the mornings we went oh whose colt is that and then we found
out it was Serengeti Empress and she's just jogging by and I'm
like good God. I'm betting on that.
And then we watched the number tick up and she got the 13 to
one she gains. She's in the lead on the first
turn in the Oaks and I'm thinking it's too soon.
Here it is. OK, never mind.
Terrible choice. And she just gallops home
beautifully. That's kind of what pretty
mischievous. It feels like this year she's
really, you know, shown that she belongs in that group.
But we also get Hoosier Philly, who came back in that Monomoy
girl over that that one mile kind of 1 1/2 turn thing at
Ellis Park. Interesting race here.
I'm not sure it's a Grade 1 field, but it's at least an
interesting race. Do you have a favorite here, TK?
Well, I've got a rooting favorite.
I'll say that wet paint. We have a broodmare that is very
closely related to wet paint. So it would be.
It's always nice cuz that that makes that up, makes our brood
go up in value. So just like we root for disarm
because we have a full to, we have a provedmare that's a fold
of disarm. So you always root for that, but
from a handicapping standpoint, I think you're spot on honestly.
I think you're gonna see, I think this is a pretty wide open
race because it's because you can make a case for four or five
of them sure. And I think that's that's really
that's always a good especially. Younger horses again you know
it's anything could happen a little bit there and but I, I,
I'm, I'm, I think this could go any I, I I'm going to be rooting
for wet paint so it's always hard not to It's because that's
going to line my pocket more than probably if I hit the big 5
candidly. So okay got it all right well.
You get Flavia bread at Saratoga, which lately has been
a very good idea to choose. So I I am really interested at
at the amount of time off that they've given.
To gambling girl I think that there's a very clear there's a
very clear path with this may be a warm up for the Alabama I'm
not sure. But Pletcher I praised on this
show many times I think places as horses as well as anyone.
I I don't know that Hoosier Philly is good outside the state
of Kentucky. She was fine in the Black Eyed
Susan. I thought she ran a fine race
but I I just I I really do wonder if she's a little more
captive to running good races in Kentucky.
But yeah I. Again it is a lazy a lazy man's
take on that race. I don't know that I'm touching
that one. I just.
I was man producer Zach will tell you I love wet paint.
I mean starting in the mouth. Martha Washington, we we we
leaned on her very heavy and then she let me down big time in
the Kentucky Oaks. By she I mean she got a terrible
ride from Flavia and Pratt in the Oaks which was really
disappointing but. You know when you finish fourth
by three lengths in a major race like that, I usually don't hold
it against three-year old horses.
So she's definitely got a shot on Saturday.
Zach, go ahead and pop on the screen for me.
I want to make sure that I'm. Is Brian here, man, If he Cuz if
he is, let's get him in here. How about that?
I have no idea. Who knows who here, but Zach,
let's go ahead. We'll take those logos off the
screen so I can see T K's beautiful face.
As we get into the handicapping here, Brian Skricker joins us
from Monmouth Park. He is not from Louisville, as we
learned last time. He was very offended that I
would ever even ask that he if he was from Louisville.
And so I will make sure not to do that today.
Brian, how are you, man? You doing all right?
I'm doing great. I decided to give you a pickup
and I'm back again. But proud New Jersey in here.
There it is, All right. Little New Jersey on the
Thursdays names Brian. Circuit Skirk.
Excuse me. Find all their stuff this
weekend Really excited for them. One of my very favorite days of
the year and I actually might like the United Nations race
more than I like the Haskell, but no one needs to know that.
Luckily, I didn't say that out loud on a podcast.
All right, so not on the show sheet, but the matchmaker is
Race 5. Why is the matchmaker Race 5 and
not Race 9? Brian go?
Line line. Actually don't make sense in
here because it actually gets a Sprint into that that pick five
sequence which is very helpful actually later on Brian was nice
enough actually to send me TK the takeout rates at Monmouth
Park. Sometimes takeout rates a little
hard to find. Cool thing at Monmouth pick
fours, pick fives both 15%, very playable.
So if you are playing a longer wager this week and at Monmouth
there maybe wanted to play a couple different tickets and
press a couple different ways depending on who you like and
who you don't. Very playable and that
matchmaker will end the early pick 5.
Which starts in race one gives you an opportunity between some
made and special way, some optional claimers and of course
that grade 3 and race 5 as well. So Brian will go to race eight
though the Monmouth Cup here you were on last month for us with
us excuse me a little bit of a preview ahead of some of these
races. We're seeing some of those
horses that we did see last month who ran those really good
races. We're going for $400,000 here.
Mile and 8th on the dirt. This is for three-year olds and
up in the Monmouth Cup. This is essentially the older
horse version of the Haskell. Brian pretty prestigious race
here, who we see Proxy here in this spot, a Grade 1 winner
outside of Proxy, do you think there's someone who's a real
threat to him? It's it's tough.
I mean proxy has all the back class.
I mean he's going to be every bit of 1 to 5 two to five based
on his past credentials. He he is a horse that I have
been on proxy for a while he's that horse that let's say that
I've I've. You know, bet him five out of
the six last his last races. He lost the five that I bet on
him and he won the six. He's like one of those horses.
Oh, yeah. Yeah, we.
All have him. You know, he runs in spots a
little bit like he needs to be on the outside.
Well, he's one of those horses. Like he'll be under a drive at
the half mile pole dropping back and then you'll just assume that
he's, you know, not gonna run his race that day and then he'll
come flying at the end to get beat of nose.
So he's kind of a weird horse. He's a horse at no, you know, at
2:00 to 5:00 that. This is a race that I might try
to beat him in just based on, you know, we kind of runs in
spots and he, you know, he doesn't give you his best 24/7.
But then you look through the field and you're kind of like,
who am I gonna beat him with And there's not really a horse that
jumps off the page that the one thing I would say is proxy is
one of many closers in here I don't see like a confirmed speed
horse. I'd probably say the horse to
outside to Proxy's outside Waylon Springs is probably the
low and speed in this race. He wanted yeah to he he won an
allowance last time out so you know he's never been in a stakes
going two turns. He ran in the chick Lang the
Sprint race you know last year so he definitely does not class
up to proxy. He he would be the only horse
that I would maybe take a shot and just really hope to get
lucky that he's left alone on the lead proxy decides that hey
I'm not going to you know run my a race today but I I proxy's
going to be awfully tough at a very very short price.
There are listeners around the country who are tuning in to
check out the Haskell this weekend.
In the in the past performances, a couple of horses here ran a
mile at Monmouth. Is that one turn or is that two
turns over the track of Monmouth?
Two turns. So we don't run many flat mile
races. Usually they're a mile and 70
yards, but a mile is 2 turns and it's literally start at the
finish line, end at the finish line, and it is a pretty short
run to the first turn. That's kind of why we run a lot
of mile and 70 yard races just to give a little more room to
the to the first turn. But a mile is 2 turns at Mama.
The other horse that was not mentioned there that was in that
race was anti gravity. The the one horse here for Dan
Ward and Nick Juarez will be coming out of the one hole
there. Dan did you Dan, I host with a
guy named Dan for 10 hours a week in the mornings and so
that's why I called TK Dan for no reason at all.
TK outside of proxy to you. Well you get to be a Hall of
Famer for Dan to be fair. You 8 times he's an 8 time hall.
I work with an 8 time hall of. Famer, I know, I know.
What do you ever do with? That anyways.
And he's nice. Whatever.
Get out. I know.
We're I mean proxy man class that we have a stay in classical
and class on this show. Boy see top class here.
Totally. I mean, I think Brian nailed it
spot on on this race. But like Brian said, I have a
hard time betting the source two to five, You know I'm going to
try to beat it here and. The one horse I'm going to try
to beat it with this calibrate is is the horse and I'm going to
I'm going to probably throw it's another horse coming.
You can make a case that it's dropping down in class as well a
little bit here so and ran ran a decent run in the Brooklyn so I
mean I think you could you can make a case for possibly how's
that. He calibrates the was that
definitive or what was that maybe Ness who you know very
well from the Maryland circuit of course is is training there
and so calibrate would be there man I I just I think you lean on
proxy in this spot I think Adolphin very rarely misses with
these kinds of horses Michael Stidham sends him out here he
made proxy made me look Brian you were talking about when you
bet him he made me look really smart the Clark last fall so I'm
a little worried I'm biased about about me having said no
the the layoff really doesn't bother me about.
About him and the Clark and then he runs out there and he runs a
great race of course that we were we're lucky to be at at
Churchill Downs so we'll we'll go on to the next race here
which of course is the Wolf Hill and the Wolf Hill is a 5 1/2
furlong turf Sprint it's over one and one third turns there at
at Monmouth who has the has a pretzel of an of a turf course
there. It's very cool for three and up
it's $100,000. Here it's a listed stakes.
And TK, I'll go to you here first a little bit.
I think a couple more horses we could bet in this one than the
last race A. 100% I personally am gonna if you put a gun to my
head and said you gotta pull the trigger and you're only gonna
get picked one, I'm gonna pick nothing better as my one horse
to pull the trigger on. But this is probably a race.
It's a first of all. It's a turf Sprint.
Is there anything? There's nothing better in the
world than a turf Sprint we should have. 3 Turf Sprints
Every card is what? If I was king of the world, We'd
have 3 turf sprints every card. And you could do it right
because you just you just move it around.
You're not even working the same part of the track.
You could you could get creative here and make it work anyway.
Change the finish line. Let's go, people, Yeah.
Exactly. You know, I digress.
I digress. So.
But I you know, but I so. But I think you could make a
case for at least. Four or five horses here.
And when you have that situation, once again, if you're
playing a horizontal and you don't feel really strongly about
one of them, this is a race that I'm probably going to spread and
I'm probably going to be looking three or four or five horses
here with a couple singles somewhere else.
Nothing better. Dropping out of the Grade 1
japer at Belmont last time out. Is the seven horse here for the
Duarte barn. Louis Size picks up the mount
here, which I wrote in my notes. I have nothing better in the
second spot here, Brian. I think the addition to Louie
size is a major positive here. Horse does have five wins in the
last 10 starts, four of eight lifetime at Monmouth Park, so
likes the course. Brian, for you, you've worked
there for a while, You're a Jersey kid.
Do you look at how horses have have performed over that turf
course at Mama? Does that matter to you?
Oh, 100%, Yeah, I do that at any track, really.
If a horse is, you know, 3 for 30 and all three of those win
these three for three at a track, you know that that means
something. So yeah, so nothing better.
Definitely is a Monmouth. Probably the few horses in here
that love Monmouth Park, you know midday image.
The two is 3 for eight at Monmouth Belgrano.
The four loves Monmouth 8 out of 12 in the exact and and nothing
better for for 8:00. So yes, I do, you know, factor
that in for sure. I like for Harp here, the 9:00
for sure. I have him slightly ahead of
nothing better in this spot, 97 on top for me.
I think the addition to Paco Lopez is a major positive.
Paco knows the course. As well as any jockey frankly in
the country right now that layoff of the course, that
layout there where there's kind of an indent coming into the
track and then you take a slight left to get onto the main turf
course. I think that once in a while for
horses that aren't used to the track and we don't have too many
of them here, that could set up for for a closer if there's a
little bit too much speed on the front even the one horse here is
10 to one. I'm gonna include that horse
here coming out of a 5 furlong handicap at Gulfstream Park.
I think that. The sub 57 five prolongs is a
winning time even in this group, so if it gets too hectic up
upfront, Joel Rosario in the mouth there might be able to
carve out a trip for this horse so that one hole hurts less.
I think for this horse a long term.
I mentioned midday image in my notes.
Is Whitty going to win again is really my question here.
Is that 5 horse going to be something that is worth
including here? I have six horses in this field.
I included in my ticket 97124 and five.
But I think you can make a lot of cases for a lot of different
horses. But I'm interested to see if it
gets so out of control up front that maybe a horse like Eamon
gets to the front and takes over.
In this one we go to the next race.
It is the great three Molly pitcher, by the way.
If people are wondering, yes, the the, the, the purses are
massive. The last, the last winners of
the the Monmouth Cup. By the following horses, highly
motivated Dr. Post global campaign war story are the last
four winners of this race. It's a very serious race, Brian.
Can you name the last horse to win it two years in a row?
No. OK, it was Braidster in 15 and
16 for Eddie Kennealy and two different jockeys there, Cory
Landry and Joe Bravo as well. So an interesting old jersey Joe
there. How about that?
But we do go to the 10th race, which is the Molly Pitcher.
Another one of these races where you've heard.
Of the winners it's a half million dollar race.
Phillies and Mayors a mile in the 16th.
A little surprising. It's a grade 3 to me because of
who shows up in this one. We get some serious high level
class in this one and search results coming in for Chad Brown
obviously a daughter of flatter Ley DaVita coming out of that
win in Cleveland. At Thistle down in the Lady
Jacqueline we get another, a horse that came out of that very
productive Alair DuPont at at excuse me at Pimlico couple back
Interstate Daydream came back, ran second.
In the Indiana Oaks and then we get Misty Vale coming back,
running in that in that Lady Jacqueline.
But of course Laid Aveda or Misty Vale excuse me, runs
second and that comes back here. Laid Aveda comes back wins in
the Lady Jacqueline. Very productive race there.
TK again class going class. A little hard to look past
search results. I'm interested in a couple of
new wish shooters here. I think love is an interesting
horse because she breaks her maiden as a four year old that
Keeneland goes to Churchill wins in an allowance race.
Goes to Ellis in the slop wins by 685 lengths, which is really
impressive. So I'm interested to see if
we're going to go outside of search results.
I might try one of the newer shooters.
She comes up as one of them and then the three horse in this
race is distinctly possible. That's a brown sized combo.
If I had to lean on one, I would go more with with that.
With the six horse, they're in love.
Where would you land? Take care.
It's so funny you mentioned love because I actually watched a
bunch of, I watched the replays on a bunch because you don't
have a bunch. But I watched the replays today
of the of the last couple races and there's something about that
horse that it kind of explodes when it hits the ground, right.
Kind of, you know and and I honestly, you know Tyler stays
on here, you know, so and is there anybody.
Training better than Brendan Walsh right now.
Yeah, he's winning all over the place.
So. So I think it's a really
interesting because I think, I think what you're going to get,
you know I think the Chad Brown effect here is going to get even
money bet on it. Yeah, I mean you're going to get
even. It's going to go 4:00 to 5:00 to
even money or somewhere in that range and and that's what you're
going to, that's what you're going to see on search results.
So once again if you're in these situations.
Yeah, maybe that's maybe that's the way it's going to go.
But as a gambler, you should be looking for value somewhere
here. And making a case for love is is
a case that I can make. Is really the story.
Brian We also see laid. Avita, like I mentioned, she's
coming out of this Falcon net is another horse that ran in that
DuPont. I think Pletcher had ideas for
her earlier in the year, ran her at a bunch of those, those
listed stakes. We find her back in a Grade 3
here. A horse like Falcon at a horse
like Misty Vale or a boy. Are you gonna lean on that class
and someone like your searchers also?
No, I'm leaning on the two that you said.
I'm a huge search results fan. I always have been.
She tries hard every time, and she just falls so short to
either, you know, a champion like Latruska or, you know,
finds the distance just a little too far.
I think that's why Chad Brown is here with her.
He brought her here last year. I think like a mile and a 16th,
around two turns is absolutely perfect for her.
And there's not many, you know, all.
Big races in New York and Breeders' Cup they're a mile and
an eighth which is probably like 50 yards too far for her.
So I think this is his kind of you know race of get her kind of
a relatively you know more easy race than those grade one bears
are in New York at her perfect distance.
And then you know bring her back in the personal ends in it at
you know the longer distance and just have her run her eyeballs
out and she just, you know whether it's Clarier or Malathad
or. Her Latrusca, like I said she
just runs some unbelievable races and finished second and
third so I'm a huge fan of hers. She's going to take a lot of
beating and the only horse I think can beat her is is love
just cuz she's a she's an unknown she's never running
stakes company but as you said she's just trouncing horses that
she she's been facing and to me she's the only speed horse in
the race as well so so you know even though she doesn't class up
to search results she might have in a you know paper so far.
You know, she might have a pace advantage and you know, she she
could be anything. She's she's, you know, slow but
surely improving. I think, I think that's the key
Brian is, is that with love is that we don't know.
Nobody really knows, right. I mean she may be the class you
started later, right. And you know this could be the
coming out party or something you know here.
So I, I, you know if I'm going to look for value, I'm going to
try to pick that because a lot of the other ones if you try to
make value, you're stretching, right, I mean.
You're really stretching to make a case for some of the others on
this on this in this particular race.
Last five trainers to win this race Brown Pletcher, Mod Asthmas
and In Motion. You may have heard of them with
past winters. Includes search results
Horologist Midnight Bizu How this is a great three, I don't
know but here we are. Search results of course.
The winner last year reentered here with Chad Brown in this one
and you know would be nice if loved one here you know.
Good dolphins. Such a mom and pop operation you
would just feel really good for. OK, I almost got it up.
Absolutely. All right, so the United Nations
is the next race. It's grade one.
So this one's a grade one and and should be a grade two.
And the Molly pitchers are grade 3 and should be a grade two.
Don't listen to me, Brian. Hundred $600,000 a year 3 and up
go to mile and three days we're going the nice, the nice, neat
11 Furlongs there. Three turns at Monmouth.
One of my very favorite races of the entire calendar year here in
North America. We see the old dog in in Red
Knight, one of my favorite turf horses.
Frankly since I've watched, started watching horse racing.
I really love that horse. We have two horses in here
Brian, that I I'm a little concerned we're entered just
because of their names. Foreign Relations in the United
Nations. I'm just saying and Planetario
in the United Nations. I'm just saying geography names
and and space names. It's a little much, but I'm
gonna allow it. I happen to think that both of
those horses actually have a shot here.
Where did you land? Well, if you read the very, very
fine print of the rules of the race, the descriptions of the
race, it does say that there's a significant discount both in
weights and entry fee if the name of your horse does have
something to do with the United Nations.
So maybe the. Maybe that could be but but I'm
with you. I I love the United Nations.
It's one of my favorite races of the year.
It used to be I'd say this is probably the 5th or 6th year
maybe even more that it's it's been run on Haskell.
They used to have its own separate day.
It used to be you know United Nations day and that was one of
my favorite days of the year. But now to be able to bet a UN
Haskell double is a very cool thing.
This is a spectacular running in my opinion.
There are there are many horses that can win this race.
I'm gonna focus in on Catnip planetario.
I'm with you. I actually have been a big Red
Knight fan for a long time. The horse that I'm using at I
don't have the morning line here, but I'm hoping for for
large odds Is Yamato this. Is 15 one?
Yeah. He's a horse that you know he
was claimed what is that 32 race three races ago by by Mike
Maker. He used to be trained by Marat
son call you know he only has a few horses at Breeders' Cup
winning trainer you know does a very good job.
Was running in like starter allowance races and allowance
race here or there for some reason just in one of those
races he caught my eye so I followed him and like the lower
level he ran at Kentucky Downs I think a few times and one like
going long at Kentucky Downs. So the day that that I saw Mike
Maker claimed him and obviously Mike Maker is just known for
claiming horses. And you know boom, they win a
grade one and a mile and 1/2 in their next race.
I I kind of earmarked in the back of my mind I said this
horse is going to win like that mile and a half race at Kentucky
Downs or some some big race so. So maybe it's the UN you know he
probably would not be my top pick.
You know as as you said earlier if you put a gun to my head
probably catnip is my top pick but your your motto is
absolutely on the ticket and I and I like that Saez is a board
here. Back in the days when he was
trained by Marat Song Call and I first started, you know,
following the source, Luis Si has wrote him all the time.
You can only see one of those races in his PPS, but if you
had, you know, all of his lifetime starts, I'm gonna say
Si is has ridden him 5-6 times. So to be reunited I think is an
interesting little price play there.
But Catnip ran incredibly well last time in the in the prep
race was sitting close, had traffic basically dropped back
to last and still came on. He's an improving horse too.
That's two for two at Monmouth going back to the topic we
talked about earlier, horses for courses.
So I think Catnip is going to be the top pick, but Planetario
Yamato have to be on the tickets from.
Yamato lose size in the Irons TK6 races at Monmouth this year.
Three wins in two seconds. Not been on 6 races there, so
obviously getting good amounts of doing a good job with them.
My guy, Red Knight. Say something nice about Red
Knight. I think Red Knight has every
chance to win this race, but I always am worried about singling
a horse that comes from the clouds in a race like this,
absolutely yes. And that's the problem because
anything could happen, right? You know, horse gets in the way
on the in the in front of it, slows more meds on it, it all
falls apart and and we. Unless a miracle or a lightning
strikes or you know somebody comes down with tablets from the
mountain or something, it's going to be he's that's what's
going to have to happen here right?
And so I can't I I struggle, struggle, struggle the single
horse in a in a horizontal play that runs like that on a in a
race. So especially when you're once
again probably going to be short odds here.
So a lot of money is going to flow in horizontal bets to that
horse I. I'm like Brian, I I like catnip.
If you put a gun to my head and put it, I had to pick something
on top. I'm picking catnip.
But I I think you can. This is another one where I'm
going wide and trying to get a big price here when all the
money's flowing to Red Knight. There you go, No Chad Brown
horse in this race. He won at the last two years
without Amo last year trip of on the year before Aquaphobia, the
year before that for Mike Maker. And then Hunter O'Reilly won the
race in 2019. Paco Lopez aboard Flavian Pratt
has won the last two as the jockey.
I'm a huge fan of Red Knight of very open about that on the show
here, man. Planetario is an interesting
horse that did love the distance in the San Juan Capistrano last
time at Santa Anita, first win in the US after eight starts in
Brazil. So I'm interested to see if
trainer Richard Mandela sort of has the feet under this horse
since that, since that race. I don't think that Richard ships
that horse for no reason here. And so I am going to.
Use that horse. I'm really interested in
therapist here who were in a really, really good race last
time at Ellis Park. Over a mile and a quarter needed
a little bit more distance. And I have great news.
That horse is going to get a little bit more distance here.
So it just didn't see that horse didn't get it done in the
Louisville. That was a surprisingly
blanketish finish for ten horses there.
I think all of them were within four or five lengths here at
Churchill Downs on Preakness weekend, and that Louisville has
come back to show some pretty good horses.
And that's why I think we're Foreign Relations has a real
shot here. Declan Cannon by the way, too is
out of his mind right now. That percentage has gone from
somewhere in the 1112 range to 15 in just the last couple of
weeks overall for him. And so he's having a great time
the last couple of weeks as well.
So I think I'm with you wide open race.
If you did want to lean on Red Night, you needed a reason.
He isn't every other type and this is the every other race.
All right. So let's get into it, guys.
The big race of the day that isn't called the United Nations
is the Haskell. Smile and an eighth.
This is the jersey Derby. Even though they have a jersey
Derby, it's a mile and an eighth of, like I mentioned, 3 year
olds. Of course 1,000,000 bucks here.
There is a late pick three starting here.
If you're out of all your tickets and you wanted to play
the last two races afterward, obviously there are two getaway
races here. Brian, what kind of crowd
numbers wise do you guys expect on a Haskell day?
I would say anywhere. So in a given year anywhere
between 25,000 and you know 60,000 was the highest with
American Pharaoh there. So if we had, you know, the
worst Haskell field of all time I would say and horrible weather
I would say we would have 25,000 people.
It's still a party. It's still the biggest event of
the year. People are still going to come
out. What really drives and pushes
the attendance over the top is the horses we get in the Haskell
and thankfully you know to have the Kentucky Derby winner as we
do this year, you know that that again I think I used this line
last time, but like I run the marketing department at the
track. No one is going to sell more
tickets than being able to say the Kentucky Derby winner is
coming to run in the Haskell. So that kind of help didn't help
do my job for me. So I, you know, I, I would say
we should be in the 35 to 40,000 person range this weekend.
Supposed to be good weather, knock on wood.
So yeah, I saw that should be a good time for everyone.
There you go. Well Brian, I'll let you pick
your your Haskell winner. At least a couple that you would
end your your sequence with. I have to say when.
When we get to this part of the season and we are traveling the
country for the derbies, this is the exact field that I want.
I want the Derby winner. I want a horse like Papa Trice
who's shown it on the big stages that he belongs in those groups.
Even if he looks a little, a little distracted, he's a little
immature, extra nieho. We saw him in October at Keelin
and oh man, all of our, our, our eyes all lit up.
And then of course he had to go to the bench and not run until a
Derby weekend. Unfortunately you get the
Baffert Shipper in Arabian Night $2.3 million purchase.
I gotta say, man, this is exactly what I want in a Haskell
TK. 100% my friend, 100%. And you get Go Rocket Ride,
who's an absolute wild card. You get Salute the Stars who won
the prep race coming in the Pegasus last month.
Brian. Go ahead, man.
Who you got here, man? Yeah, to your point, this is one
of my favorite Haskell fields in a very long time.
We've a lot of, we've had a lot of good haskells, a lot of not a
lot of times. But sometimes we get the, you
know, the overwhelming superstar, the Rachel Alexandra
who with all due respect couldn't lose.
American Pharaoh couldn't lose. Big Brown couldn't lose.
So it's kind of that battle between the, you know, a huge
crowd comes out to see Rachel, Alexandra.
So that's great for onsite. But in terms of a betting race,
you know it's who's gonna finish second?
You know, this race, who's gonna?
You know, you could ask. It's an 8 horse field.
You could ask, you know, six different people who's gonna win
and they can give you 6 different horses.
This is a phenomenal race, as you said at this point.
So we obviously have the Kentucky Derby Winter Mage.
You know their camp has been pretty honest and outspoken that
this is a prep for the Travers, you know, doesn't mean he can't
win the Haskell. Obviously he's a Kentucky Derby
Derby winner and should be respected.
But I think this is a stepping stone to their their main goal,
which is the Travers. So might be an opportunity to
play against Tap it Trice, like you said.
Is a horse that looks like he should just be dominating these
races and for whatever reason didn't run great in the Derby.
And then you know, finished third with his best buyer in the
Belmont. But that race should have suited
him in terms of the distance. So the only to me, the only
reason to like tap it Trice is for my own opposite of
selfishness. I've liked him all along.
He was my Derby pick. He's my Belmont pick.
He's not on any ticket for me in the Haskell, so just for that
reason he'll probably win. Yeah, yeah, the needless
Besmirchman of Tappettrice begins on Thursday.
There it is. Exactly.
So I'm I think, I think extra and Aho is going to be my my top
pick. I'm going to use them with Go
Rocket Ride and Salute the Stars and just saying that out loud
you have to pause because by saying that out loud that means
that. Arabian Night trained by Bob
Bafford who's won this race 9 times who has an undefeated
horse is at best like my 4th pick which how is that possible?
But that shows how deep the field is.
My opinion this year with the three-year olds is I think
they're this isn't to say that they're not any good, but I
think this is a year that they're going to take turns
beating each other like mage One.
You know we saw three different horses when three different
Triple Crown races. So what one of the new faces to
me is, is the horse that I'm interested in.
Arabian Night is going to be on. You know, I'm not letting Bob
Baffert win his 10th Hascle and beat me.
So if that horse wins, I'm going to have something, but I think
extra and a hoe. I saw him today on the backside.
He is a massive, massive animal he's building his way up to.
This. You know his last race was was
quite visually impressive. The burst of speed that he had
the his connections are talking about him with with a lot of
confidence. I I think he's going to be the
top pick but go rocket ride your point with planetarium in the
last race. You know Dick Mandel is not just
coming for a vacation on the Jersey Shore.
He's pointed this horse to the Haskell for two months.
I think this horse is going to run well and and Salute the
Stars is a horse that I think is going to get overlooked a little
bit. He won the Pegasus, we talked
about that last that race last time.
He's a little quirky too, you know, he he threw his head
around in his last race. He was very ranked early but he
still came flying late to run down Kings barns.
I think he has a shot at a big price here as well.
There you go. Well TK, is there any chance
that the Haskell mimics the Preakness and Johnny Velasquez
is on the early pace and just rocks everybody to sleep and we
just get Arabian Night out front and he stays out front?
No. I've got I got a nice cold
exacta of extra Nejo and salute the Stars I echoing a little bit
of what Brian said. I we ran we ran in the Haskell
last year and yeah and we and I will tell you this field of in
this Haskell is way better than the field we ran against last
year. Way better, top to bottom.
There's you can make a case for all every single horse in this
race you it's there's no horse that you could just cross out
and say there's no chance and you definitely had that with the
Haskell last year but but in this what I would I like extra.
And Aho, when you have those situations I'm looking for some
value. Once again I'm looking because I
think a lot of the money's going to gravitate into a couple
different places. Money's going to gravitate to
Mage. Money's gonna gravitate to
Arabian Night. That's the way it goes, right?
So. Derby winner and Baffert They're
gonna get money. That's exactly.
And so when you have a situation where any of the horse you
believe as a handicapper you can make for a case for any of the
horses, narrow it down and leave them out is kind of one of my
logic. So I'm gonna have just those two
on my pick five. That's all I'm gonna have out of
this race. And and I'm, I'm heavy on an
extra, extra an A ho because I like it spicy.
I was going. To ask you with wasabi, do you
enjoy wasabi? I do.
I do. The name came because the the
big sushi fan that's you know 20 some years ago when I landed the
name. So but yeah.
Brian Do you enjoy either spicy food or sushi or both?
Both. I am a I'm a big spice I've
always liked. I am a big fisherman, so I go
fishing all the time. So it actually it actually took
me I I've only eaten sushi probably the last let's say six
or seven years I had. I had a mental block with raw
fish as someone who goes fishing all the time and it.
Stops me, yeah. Yeah, it took me a long time to
get over that. But yeah, now sushi pokey bowls
I'm at, I'm at. There it is.
All right. Well, good.
All right. Well, I want to ask if you're
sake people. That's really not fair.
But we'll get, we'll get out of here on that.
Brian, we talked about the The CCA Oaks earlier.
I'm totally putting out on the spot.
Do you have a pick in that race If you don't totally understand,
you work at Monmouth, not at a different place.
I absolutely would have one if it was any other week but
Haskell Week, I would know who was in the field.
I, other than the horses that you mentioned that I may or may
not even remember now, I don't know who's in the race.
There you go. I'll give you three horses.
You tell me who wins wet paint? Gambling girl.
Who's your Philly? Not wet pain.
I feel like she's been disappointed if memory served.
I know you know she was the favorite in the oaks.
If if memory serves, and I think she's lost two in a row without
having the pee pees in front of me, I'm going to go with who's
your Philly? I feel like she won her first
couple races and then lost a few, but she bounced back.
She won last time or did she beat wet paint last time?
Were they in the same race? That's a great question.
Now I'm putting. Yes, she did she.
Yeah, she beat it by 3 1/2 lengths, yes.
Right. So I'm gonna go with her do.
Maybe she had a little lull sometime early in the year.
Maybe she's back to her top form and keep the winning ways going.
We watched her here, man in the fall as a 2 year old.
She was I I as far as two year olds go, she's as good as I've
seen maybe ever. I mean, she was unbelievable
last year. Go ahead.
I'm sorry. I was just gonna say, yeah, I
think Brian's better without the Pp's that we are with the Pp's.
Just I just want to put that out there.
Yeah, it's embarrassing. Thanks for saying that a lot on
my podcast. Appreciate that.
These brights. Where should people what I mean
if is there something, you know, that that is a Monmouth
tradition that I can replicate at home.
So you know for example in little Woman it's Derby day.
You know, even if you're not at the track and you're just at a,
you know, grocery store in town or you're you're you're popping
to the corner to pick up a six pack or something.
There's a guy in a, there's a guy in a bow tie.
There's a woman in a hat, right, Because they're on the way to a
party or whatever. If I wanted to do Haskell at
home, which by the way you should be marketing and you're
welcome. We did.
Darn, darn COVID. That's exactly what we did.
You should do it anyway for guys like me who are watching the
Haskell and can't just go to Jersey cuz like TK.
I have 4 kids but none of them have walked across the stage yet
for graduation. What should I be doing at home?
Is there a drink in the Haskell or anything like that?
There is. We have a drink called the
Summer Wind. Now you're gonna have to make me
remember what's in it. It's vodka, triple SEC, maybe
like Sprite, something like that.
But I would say it's very similar.
This is our Kentucky Derby, so the same bow ties, the same hats
that you guys wear to the Kentucky Derby, same thing.
And then it doesn't have to be the summer wind, but a Haskell
tradition is drinking heavily. So whatever your, whatever your,
you know, booze of choice is, it doesn't have to be a mint julep.
It can be a beer. Whatever.
If you're doing that, you're doing what?
People are doing it Haskell Day, so you're you're part of the
crew as far as I'm concerned. Well, there you go.
Well, he's Brian's Kirk. He is with Monmouth Park.
We thank him for hanging out today.
What is the, what's the website? Where can people go just to kind
of get the the lay the land with with Mama.
Yeah, monmouthpark.com. We have a couple Haskell pages
with everything that you'll need.
Everything from, you know, BIOS on the eight horses that are in
the field, to if you're coming, day of all the event information
where you can buy your tickets, dining options.
Pretty much anything you need is at monmouthpark.com there.
You go and. I I was on the site again on the
spot. Is there a contest online at all
that's going on this year that people can get involved in?
There is. We have two different contests,
actually, on Haskell Day. So we have a paid, you know,
live money, you know, quote UN quote, actual handicapping
contest. That's $1000 to enter play
through TVG and express that they can contact me anyone who's
interested in signing up bees.kirk@monmouthpark.com.
But then a cool kind of tradition that we do every year
on Haskell Day is we do a free online handicapping contest.
So it's it's kind of pick and pray every race on Haskell Day.
So if you go in you have to pick one horse in each of the 14
races. On Mama day you get the mythical
payouts for $2.00 across the board and then whoever has the
most money at the end of the day.
After the 14 races, we do cash prizes to the top three,
completely free to enter. It's pretty I'm pretty sure the
website is the Haskell game.com. Cool.
It might just be haskellgame.com, but I think
there's a there but all that informations at monmouthpark.com
too. You just have to be signed up by
the first race on Haskell Day, but it's all free to answer, so
you might as well take a free roll.
You're handicapped in the races anyway, so you might as well
take a shot. There you go.
Cyber Knife, Mandaloon, authentic, Maximum security,
good Magic, Gervin, Exaggerator, American Pharaoh and Byron, the
last winners of this race. When you talk about grade ones,
that's a grade one list. Brian, really appreciate the
time, man. One, when's the last time we're
going to next time we're going to bother you?
Do you have any idea? Whenever you want.
We got a couple great at stakes left the meaning of the air, so
just reach out. And even if it's not about
racing, we can talk about geography or something,
whatever. Well, there you go.
Little New Jersey talk on a Thursday.
Why not? All right, There you go.
Thank you, Brian. We'll see you next time.
Buddy. All right.
Sounds good, guys. Thanks.
All right. See you then.
All right, TK. All right, so we've gone through
the Haskell card. I love that they have the same
takeout for pick fours as they do pick fives.
I think that is for anyone who really wants to either take a
stand with that pick four or if you get bounced from that pick
five you could play the pick four and not have honestly in a
lot of places like 910% higher to play the.
Maybe sometimes double the takeout rate to play the pick
four if you get bounced with the pick five, I think that's
probably why they do it, but it's nice to have those options.
So yeah, how many pick fives will you play at Monmouth on a
day like high school? Usually my go to number is 2,
sometimes three. I'm not one of those guys that
does like 5. I'm I'm usually A2 for a big day
like that and if I'm and if I'm actively handicapping right so
but I'm not I'm not I don't tend to be I usually get my beliefs
and you know my big strategy I I've hit 268 pick fives since
the beginning of 2020 that's that's my number and so and what
I usually look for is I look at the sequence and I look.
Who is the most likely heavy favorite that I don't like And
then that's where I start from and I build the ticket around
that and you know trying to find some wacky ass price and so and
that's kind of how and that's kind of how it plays out but but
what I what I find myself and it's a mental thing because I
know some really great handicappers.
And great betters who do multiple on a horizontal many
multiples four or five. I always just believe.
I gotta believe what am I gonna do, root against myself.
So I just can't get past that mental state so I just don't so.
There you go. All right, well, yeah, that's
like the guys who have like 3 fantasy teams.
And they're playing against their own guys.
And I'm like, how do you do that, bro?
Like, I don't. I can't do that.
Stuff. I don't know.
First of all, who's got the time?
I, you know, he's got time to do 12 different fantasy leagues,
so. I'm with you, brother.
All right, well, he's TK Coogler.
You can find them online. Hey, what is?
I know you're at TK Coogler on Twitter.
What's a good spot for Wasabi? Yeah, wasabistables.com is the
easiest way to find us and check out what we're doing.
How often do people do? Do people sign up with you guys?
About three a day. You have 1000 people sign up a
year. Yeah.
How about that? How about that?
Producers actually like that. How about that?
I love. That all I've been waiting for
this whole time is like TK. What paperwork do I need to sign
to join the ownership? Group well, the problem is.
That's the beauty of having a software guy build a website.
Yeah, build a. No, no, TK, I want you to hold
me by the hand. I want you to sit next to me and
cuddle while you while I sign up.
OK. And.
You're almost my type. I would have to tell you that
you're almost. My.
Type yes. I told you, Louie, I told you.
You did tell me that's that's my that's a blind spot for me.
That's what that is. All right.
Well, he's TK Coogler. He's with the Wasabi Stables.
Thank you for being part of our horse Racing One O 1 segment
with the folks at the Maryland Thoroughbred British
Association. They're hanging out with us all
the way through Breeders' Cup this year, which is awesome.
We're going to be announcing a new partnership tomorrow with a
local group, honestly Louie on ESPN680.
So if you're interested, our guy Kevin Kilroy dropping by
tomorrow, we'll be talking Haskell Oaks.
And then every Saturday we'll be picking one race that we really
like, get a Kentucky track, Ellis Park, of course, this
weekend. And so we'll be doing that.
As well, TK, don't be a stranger my friend.
We'll have you back soon. OK all.
Right, sounds good. Thanks.
Zach, let's play the. Music and just for the The
advertisement for Hissful and Louie, you can find that by
saying ESPN Louisville into any of your smart devices.
Yeah, that's exactly right. 10 to noon Eastern.
Every day Monday through Friday, you can listen to me talk about
college basketball, which is its own adventure.
How about that, Zach, Go and play that music.
We'll get out of here. Thanks, everybody,