Join NBC's Steve Kornacki, Maryland Jockey Club's Mackenzie Pfeiffer, & Happy Hour's Barry Spears as the draft the 24 eligible horses for the Derby w/ our host Louie Rabaut.
6th Annual Kentucky Derby Draft
Full Transcript
There it is. Terrible music, terrible music.
Fantastic podcast. It's the horse racing happy hour
hanging out with you. 6th annual Kentucky Derby Draft You know
what time it is Sunday before Derby.
Time to get going with our picks here.
State draft through the 24 horses entered in the Kentucky
Derby was out there for the draft yesterday.
You can check out all of our work there, by the way, at Blood
Horse and bloodhorse.com. Sean Collins and I taking you
through the week. Excited to be alongside a trio
of guest pickers with us this year, including a past winner in
Steve Kornacki, who once got a trophy for this thing I got.
We have to go there first. What's got a trophy for this
thing? It's one of my favorite stories
since I got into this, Steve, that we, we, we 3D printed this
thing for you, my friend Zach. By the way, a shout out to
producer Zach, who's no longer on the on the show, but he went
ahead and made this Steve. How far did this actually get
back to New York? And good afternoon.
To you, I that made it to the hotel room and and then it began
disintegrating and I said I'm going to put the remnants in my
bag and then it crumbled completely.
And I said, you know what, I'd rather have the memory than the
trophy. That was the early days of, you
know, a little like old Pimlico Barry.
That trophy was not well constituted at that point, and
it kind of fell apart in Baltimore.
So there you are as well. So, Mac, if you wanted to know,
and Mackenzie Pfeiffer with us from the Maryland Jockey Club,
nice enough to join us on the draft this year.
That's what Pimlico used to look like for you young kids.
I'm not sure you knew that. Believe it or not, I have been
to Pimlico before. I know that's shocking, but.
Oh man, so there you go. We'll take out, we'll take Steve
and Mike get off off the screen there.
By the way, Michael, be my Co host tomorrow before Barry gets
here on the radio there. If you want to join us 11:50
each weekday here at ESPN Louisville, ESPN louisville.com
if you'd like to follow along on that one.
Introducing our panel this year, Steve Kornacki past winner of
this thing as well. That was the mage year actually,
right? No, you did not have mage.
You had yes, you had Mystic Dan. That's exactly right.
So I won last year. I got sovereignty with the 4th
overall pick, but Steve Kornacki from NBC Sports joining us here.
You were pretty excited to get back at this.
I like it. I like it.
Was, although I guess I got to ask you, I mean, is this like
the NFL? Can we trade draft?
I don't like having the first pick in this thing actually.
OK, All right. I'm not against that as as an
idea. However, Steve, I'm not going to
allow you to do it for graphics purposes, and so that part's not
going to work. I give you my pick in a horse to
be named later. That was going to be my my
office. I mean, I don't hate the
concept. Mac Piper with us from the
Maryland Jockey Club, we'll be visiting you at Laurel in about
3 weeks. Excited to get out there.
You get to beat Mary and I'm sure Steve will make the trip as
well. The Kentucky Derby though, what
I mean, what kind of day is it in a place like Maryland?
I've heard so many stories and I'm a spoiled guy, go to the
Derby every year, but I hear these stories around the
country. Our biggest day is Kentucky
Derby Day, whether we're running or not.
Look, I it doesn't matter where you are.
I think cheering on the Kentucky Derby.
Some days I'm rushing home so I can put it on the big screen.
But no matter what's going on, I have a stream following me
around. No matter what, that's exactly
right and you all know Barry Spears from the horse racing
Happy are Barry be your first Derby this year, but I'm making
you work quite a bit. Is it going to be worth the
trade do you think? At first glance, no, but I think
after I'm there, you know a day it'll be all right.
Yeah, you'll be all fitted, justified.
My kids love Barry, so that part is very, very good for him and
his broadcasting career every time he comes to Kentucky.
Yeah. The family does all that stuff.
Had to watch The Simpsons with my 9 year old daughter last time
he was here. That's like spectacular stuff.
Again, the state draft here as we go through the 24 entrance in
the Kentucky Derby. 4 this year. Steve Kornacki's up first.
No pressure on this one. But Steve, go ahead and actually
talk us through. If this were the NFL draft,
would you be waiting the full amount of a lot of time to see
if someone wanted to trade for the pick?
Yeah, You know, I, I, I look at it this way, it's like I'm not
going to get another crack at this till #8 So I, you know, I,
I think I, I, I had a dilemma here where it's like, I don't
think the horse I'm going to give you here is, is the horse
I'm going to end up picking. Like, you know, when I got to
give out a pick on on NBC or something.
But I just think, you know, relative to what's what I'm
going to be down to at 8, I kind of I kind of have an obligation
to to pick so one. Way of saying I.
Want to try this? Hang on Yeah.
From the home studio with everything.
Let's. Go all right here.
You got Steve with the first pick in the looting vote.
I'm 6th annual Derby Draft Steve Kardaki Selects.
I'm going with the number 18 horse.
Further ADO. Nice.
Father Adieu, as we saw on his saddle cloth, was the winner of
the Grade 1 Bluegrass. Barry and I were there for that
one. Boy, if you were looking for the
WOW performance of the Derby Trail Steve, it might have been
that one. Yeah, I mean it look, they've
been two performances by him really I think where you just,
you know, sort of course they were both at Keeneland, which
raises the question of is this going to be transferable?
Also kind of look at some of the competition.
What did he really beat? I've got my outs, but I
basically looked at this from the number one pick standpoint
of I didn't want renegade with that.
I think if they were drawn opposite here, if renegade had
the 18 and if the the the one was further ado, I'd be on
renegade here. But I I felt kind of obligated
to to take one of them with this because I think the potentials
there. I I like this post for this
horses style speed drawn inside Johnny V can kind of work it
out. And if if the Keeneland form
holds up, I think this horse is going to be in a good position
to win it. Well, and Steve, he did win the
Kentucky Jockey Club in the fall, right?
So he does have a graded win at Churchill Downs and and frankly,
we've watched Sovereignty break his maiden integrated stakes in
the Street Sense last year at Churchill Downs.
So maybe we get a repeat there. Yeah, I, I mean, it's same.
I just, I the, there's the buyer regression and everything that I
wasn't wowed by that Churchill performance.
And this was a horse coming into the three-year old year.
I was kind of looking to, to kind of be against.
And then what happened in the bluegrass and just just, you
know, made me say I got to, you know, I got to take this
seriously. All right.
So, Mackenzie, did your big board get screwed up in any way
here with the selection of Further ADO, or Further ADO as I
call them? You know, it actually not too
much. That was a horse who I didn't
expect to go in the first round though, and I did have on my
list. So, grand scheme of things, it's
curious, but man, I didn't. Expect to go in the first round.
Took the first over all. Not coach to.
Be honest, I really thought he was going to take Renegade, so
OK. All right, so we will we will
ask you then. With the second overall pick in
the Horse Racing Happy Hour 6th Annual Derby Draft, McKenzie
Pfeiffer takes. Renegade.
I mean, all we're going to hear about is Renegade from the one
post, right? Someone has to just go ahead and
give him a shot. And I don't know, Ripoli, he's
been chasing the Derby. Feels like this is the right
time and I just thought he was a horse that breathes different
air in that last outing. If he can handle the trip from
there, I think he can work something out here.
Renegade on the rail, Barry, you never like the rail, frankly, in
any of the shows that I do with you.
This is the Kentucky Derby. Do you like the rail for
Renegade here? Definitely not I I learned my
lesson a few years ago with known agenda.
I like that horse quite a bit. And he drew the rail and I think
it was under the new gate too. And he just got slammed and, and
had no shot. So I, I, I, I don't think that
really is a is advantageous, although Renegade is very
talented, talented enough to win this race.
Despite that post, I I'm going to take my chances elsewhere.
And Steve, you said it earlier, would Renegade have been your
top pick if we had swapped the one in the 18 post there?
Yes, yeah. I mean, I feel the same way
Barry does about that. That one post, that was when I
saw that yesterday. I that that was a huge piece of
information. It was the one thing at the
Derby draft that, excuse me, at the Derby draw, I should say
that everyone kind of went. We didn't have one of those last
year. And then this year we had we had
the the Renegade almost very early, frankly in the draw.
Their full effort went to the 20 right after that as well.
Brad Cox's face was, it was perfect today, that one.
All right, we move on to pick #3 his name's Barry Spears.
You know him from hanging out with me on the Horse Racing
Happy Hour. With the third overall pick, the
6th annual Horse Racing Happy Hour Derby Draft, Barry Spears
selects. Well, since I do live in
Florida, which could be considered the jungle, I am
taking the Puma #9 all right. Right, the Puma, of course.
Same connections as Mage Kentucky Derby winner just a few
years ago on this program. Hall of Famer Dan Issel selected
Mage to win. Barry, you are the the closest
to a Hall of Fame basketball player on this day as we have.
Well, yeah, I could say that probably by a lot.
That's. Exactly right.
What do you I hit so happy instead of the Puma and that's a
bad job. I mean, what do you like about
the Puma? I think this horse is coming out
of two really good races, at least Derby trail wise.
I thought Tampa Bay Derby is definitely a live race and the
Florida Derby was was definitely a live race.
The Puma got wide trips in both of those races and and ran on
well. If he gets any kind of trip in a
race like the Derby, I think he's going to be really, really
tough. The Puma wins at Tampa, turns it
around in three weeks. Mac at the Florida Derby, Very,
very good finish there as well. I think the five weeks after
that race really sets him up well here.
It does. I was a little curious what we
would see on a quicker turn around, right.
And for me, I look a lot at this race as getting a horse to peek
at just the right time. So I don't mind taking a shot
there. The Puma, That's my only
question is can we just keep building off of it?
Right now I think it's a reasonable one.
There he'll break from the 9 hole wheel of the Puma.
We saw Ramiro Restrepo the other day, again part of the ownership
team with Maids. They bring him up from that
Florida Derby. Florida Derby of course, one of
the grand grand stages ahead of the Kentucky Derby for high
level success as well. Sovereignty, a second place
runner just last year won the Kentucky Derby as well.
Time for me to go. That's right in the 6th annual
Horse Racing Happy Hour Kentucky Derby draft Louie Robot takes
and I, I'm very happy that this happens to me every single year.
I'm going to take commandment in the four spot.
This is fantastic stuff for me. I'll go ahead and get
commandment off the board there. Top horse on of the points
aboard at this point and four, frankly, for the rest of the
week as well. I've been around Brad Cox quite
a bit this week and frankly, that's a confident guy who feels
like he's got a really, really good shot of Commandment is
absolutely part of why he feels that way.
First place in the Florida Derby, first place in the
Fountain of Youth. And if you all remember back to
those two races, it was Commandment running two very
different styles to get it done. I thought I saw a lot in that
Florida Derby as far as the Gallup out the time after that
race, especially after the 9 furlongs.
Going to need to get 10 here on Saturday, Steve.
And I think Commandment, absolutely.
It's all of that. And I'll be real honest, I'm not
sure outside of Johnny V right now that I like anyone in the
world on my horse more than Louis Saez.
The horse likes to win. I mean, this is, and my only
concern, I guess, with commandment would just be those
fields in Florida, you had like 5 or 6 other horses on the
track. So the horse could kind of take
back a little bit. I, I think traffic could be a
bigger issue for commandment in the Derby, a much bigger issue
than you had to face. And I mean, you showed a ton in
Florida, you know, overcame a lot within those races.
But again, that was in the context of just five or six
other horses on the track to kind of navigate through and
around, which he did brilliantly.
But I think could be a different story.
He could find himself, you know, looking ahead at a bunch of
horses like he hasn't before. One of those things that we have
to watch year to year Mac is the field sizes in different places.
Who would have thought the Ruby in the wood would have the
largest fields coming into this? But commandment overall, what do
you think of? Him, I actually he's one who I
kind of have to agree. I'm a little bit worried about
the trip for him. I think he's done very
impressively and as you said, he's figured out how to win,
which I really respect. But you know from a betting he's
probably going to be a short price in there.
And and so that was I was really leaning a little bit more on
Renegade. I think he has maybe more
tactical ability. Yeah.
All right, so through round one, let me let me kick this thing
out. I think it's playing the older
version of our of the Google Doc that we were using for this
thing. Here we go.
Let's try this one now. Nope, not popping up.
So did you do that? I'm sorry, deal with a return
here. But of course, the top 4 picks
here so far, Steve going with the 18 horse here in further
ADO. Mackenzie went ahead and took in
the second spot. Mackenzie remind me Renegade,
who will break from the one, The Puma, the nine horse will break
for Barry in a pick three and then me pick four.
I will take the top in the point standings with a commandment.
And this is where it gets interesting, I think.
And let me see if that actually updates.
I thought it did not. So this is where it gets
interesting is I think once we get into this kind of level of
thing and I see all of you looking at me right now
wondering who it is that I'm going to go ahead and grab in
this spot. But I'm not going to do anything
that I think anybody is too surprised by.
But I'm going to take a horse that I watched work this morning
and I thought looked unbelievable.
And it's a horse that Barry and I saw in person.
And so with the 5th overall pick, I'm going to take patente.
I'm going to take Bob Bafferts, trainee here, put in a speedy,
speedy work this morning. I think they knew they were in
after the San Felipe and tried new tactics in the Santa Anita
Derby. And I don't think he's going to
have to do that again in the Kentucky Derby.
He's not going to be the fastest horse here.
He's not going to have to be the fastest horse here.
I don't think he's going to have to go like he did with Robusta
with that group last time in the Santa Anita Derby.
I think he's going to be able to sit just off of it.
Bob Baffert's been telling us since this horse, but frankly,
before he broke his maiden, hey, he might not win here at six
furlongs because he's just going to want all the distance.
I've got great news for him on Saturday, Barry.
He's going to get all the distance.
What do you make of Potente? In my 5th pick here.
I like Potente. You know, he seems to be a horse
that is kind of on the rise and probably getting better.
My issue with him is he's very, very big and if he gets stopped
somewhere during this whole journey, it's going to be tough
for him to stop and get started again.
I mean, when he won the the San Felipe, he really had to get
motoring to beat Robusta and he had to get clear and roll.
I don't know if he'll have that ability, but I tell you what, if
he does get the trip he wants, he's going to be rolling late
for sure. You know, I think that's exactly
right. Wander Nandez into ride Steve.
I saw a look, a little bit of surprise on your face for that
one. No, I yeah, a little, a little
earlier than I I thought he would go.
But I mean, the way these this works, I get it if you, if you
have one you like get it while you can, you know, yeah, I think
of the two Baffert horses, that's definitely, that's
definitely the one that I'd like.
I'm a little, I'm a little confused on the intent Baffert
has for both of these. Just sort of tactically, you
know, seeing the blinkers go on, on, on, you know, on Litmus Test
and then seeing that work you're talking about today, you know,
he's not going to have him dueling each other.
Me I I was kind of thinking he wants litmus test to try to set
it up for the 10 day. But definitely, yeah, I think of
the two Baffords, This is Where I'd Be and Price Bafford and the
Derby. That's exactly right.
Good stuff there with Potente going 5th.
We go back to my colleague here, Barry Spears, 6th pick overall,
6th annual Kentucky Derby draft here on the Horse Racing Happy
hour. Barry Spears, Who do you got?
I'm going with Chief Wallaby. Bill what all?
Right, we get it with the Florida horses already, but why
do you like Chief Wallaby? It's another horse that I think
has a world of potential. I'm glad they got into the race
because I think this horse had a little bit of bad luck in the
last two in those steak races. And I think they got a lot out
of the last one in particular in the Florida Derby.
The horse didn't really get a great trip and and kept running.
I think he probably quote UN quote needed that race.
He he came out of it looking very well.
His last work at Churchill I thought was excellent.
He he's sitting, he looks like he's sitting on a really big
race and I think he might deliver it on the next Saturday.
So I, I, I think he has the running style, the versatility.
He just needs the opportunity. I think he's going to get it.
Yeah, total maintenance work this morning too, Barry, and he
looked totally fine. He looked great to me.
I thought he looked really, really good this morning.
Showed that speed last week back.
What do you think of Chief Wallaby in this spot?
I actually really like this this horse as a pic and as he
mentioned, looks like he's sitting on a big race.
Both the Galla bouts from his last two efforts, I thought
really telling. Anyone's going to have a horse
primed at just the right point in time.
It's going to be these guys. But the gallop outs, I thought
really telling, like just building this horse for the
distance. He seems like he's asking for it
all. Right Mackenzie, I asked you
about Chief Wallaby. I am now going to ask you for
your next pick here in the 6th Annual Horse Racing Happy Hour
Derby Trap Back Piper with the 7th overall pick selects.
I have to be honest, this might be a little surprise.
I'm going to go with the other Mott in Incrediblet with Riley
Mott. Riley Mott That's exactly right.
Incrediblet breaking from the 11 hole here as part of the Derby
festivities. What do you like about
incredible winner of the Virginia Derby?
It's a little bit curious, the street sense, right?
Really impressive they put this horse away First off the bench.
I don't know if we really still have an answer about the Holy
bull from this horse. Riley doesn't.
To be honest, I don't really need one.
You look first time out six furlongs, whatever you want to
call it. They called him one paste in the
short comment. I don't think this horse is 1
paste at all. I think he's very dynamic and
the trend that we saw best third off the bench looks like the
timing lines up here and he navigated a ton of traffic.
It was a big congested field in the Virginia Derby.
See how those times hold up? But I think he can sit the right
trip here. Steve, what do you make of a
horse coming out of A1 turn race?
Do you care more about the turns or about the 9 furlongs in that
race? No, this, this was going to be
my pick if if, if what just happened hadn't happened and I
didn't expect to happen. I, I thought I was going to get,
get incredible at at #8I yeah, part of it is the, I mean, just
so visually impressive in, in that Virginia Derby.
Just the way he pulled away, the figure was a little bit light.
But then the fact that he has the win over, you know,
Churchill has A2 turn stakes win at Churchill.
We talked about it a little bit before the Wood Memorial with,
with Albus, whose name will come up here probably much, much
later in this, in this show. But Riley Mott, I think has
really kind of been on a tear, you know, kind of at the stakes
level and you kind of feel like, you know, he's he's going to
have this big breakthrough somewhere.
So I was kind of eye and incredible as a as a as a sneaky
one. How?
Do you feel about that, Mac? To to stealing things from Steve
Kornacki? You like that?
You like doing that how you feel?
You feel OK about that? I don't know.
I would feel good about it. I'm flattered.
Look, I almost took this horse as my first selection, but I
really liked Renegade too, so I kind of just went there.
But that, that's encouraging. Part of me, the GM is being
patient and Mackenzie fight for building that roster through the
draft here. It's our 6th annual horse racing
happy hour Kentucky Derby draft. With the 8th overall pick, we go
back to Steve Kornacki, NBC Sports.
What you got? She's just just the our draft
room has just been thrown into total, total upheaval here.
Binders are being opened up and here's where we're going to go.
So happy. Oh wow, oh wow.
Santa Anita Derby winner Mike Smith aboard I got to tell you
there's a an interview we that Byron King did the other day for
blood horse with Mike Smith, who just laughs through talking
about so happy, just not caring about workouts just doesn't
care. But he gets to race 8.
He's like, let's get going. And so so happy winner the Santa
Anita Derby. Steve, what do you like about
him? Obviously the questions before
the the 9 furlough Santa Anita Derby were hey, your dad doesn't
like to go 9 furlongs, what about you?
Yeah, and I'm still I mean, that gave me a lot of pause here.
Run happy, you know, and should you just kind of dismiss him on
that? But I thought the Santa Anita
Derby, look, if you just told me take the name, take the lineage,
take everything else off it. Tell me a horse in the sand,
Anita Derby who kind of ran, you know, up close to the pace, just
a little bit off of it and then poured it on in the stretch and
put up a triple digit buyer, you know, coming into the Kentucky
Derby. And by the way, put Mike Smith
on board. You know, I think it's I think
it's worth taking a shot on that horse And and given what's
what's on the board here, you know, I'll overlook the run.
Happy for what could be some upside.
Underwhelming for sure when we were out there for the San
Felipe Berry, but boy turned it around in a big way in the Santa
Anita Derby. I think as good a pick as any as
at 8 at this point. Yeah, I think he's fine under
the radar a little bit. I think he's better than what
people expect. And you know, being out West a
little hidden, it's hard to to match these horses up when they
finally meet each other. But I I think that horse is as
good as any in this field. All right, so let's see if I got
that. Look at me.
All right, so there you go with our first two rounds.
Look at me figuring out technology on the fly.
Steve with the first overall pick did take further ado break
from the 18 this year in the Kentucky Derby with his 2nd
pick. You've just heard 8th overall.
He will take so happy Steve will be up next to kick off the third
round of this thing. Mack of course taking Renegade
who will have to break from the one.
But if I think if Mike Ripoli just keeps yelling on Twitter,
that horse will be just fine breaking from the inside.
Incredibles, of course her second pick.
Loved him coming out of the Virginia Derby.
Barry's just probably going to keep picking Florida horses, so
he went with the Puma and Chief Wallaby.
We also had a debate, like when you're in a show, Barry, like
you and me, does one of us have to call him the Puma?
Just to be a little weird, I think.
So you know this. Is like, I'll call him the Puma,
you call him the Puma and people are like, did Barry just say the
Puma? Like what we is that what just
happened here? Like I I'm just wondering if we
have to do that this week. I think I've seen people do that
on everything. I've seen somebody's
mispronounced that name. It's crazy.
I thought it was just a simple 4 letter word, but I guess not a
little. Easier than that and I went
ahead and took commandment and patente with my first 2 picks,
4th and 5th overall in this draft Horse racing happy hour.
Lou Robot, Barry Spears, Mackenzie Pfeiffer and Steve
Kornacki hanging out with you. It is time to hear from Steve
Kornacki once again. 9th overall pick in our 6th and Horse Racing
Happy hour Kentucky Derby draft. Steve Kornacki takes we're.
Going to go with full effort. OK, I cannot believe this horse
made it to this point in the. This hurts my heart a little
bit. Steve, this is the one that I'm
upset about. All right, talk to us about full
effort. Yeah look it's drawn way outside
not too concerned. This is a deep, deep closer look
at the the last couple years in this race, you've been getting a
lot of speed a lot of pace early on.
I think that could be the case again this year.
You got 6 speed coming over from the UAE Derby who has some sort
of summer is tomorrow vibes. I I I think kind of around him.
So the possibility of this thing heating up and someone coming
from way off of it and that I'll tell you, I have learned from
experience, from sort of painful experience, the perils of kind
of dismissing the Jeff Ruby Stakes and the synthetic surface
and saying, boy, whatever, that's not going to be
applicable here. You know, 2 films almost won
this thing. You saw a rich strike come from
out of the clouds in the summers tomorrow year.
You know, that race has not been bad, you know, in the last
couple years in terms of a prep for the Derby.
You know, look, the buyer was in my mind, 94 is kind of like the,
the, the, the mark. You know, I want to see him
above that ideally. And it's right there with that
buyer. And there could be some real
upside here. So I'll go full effort.
I think you're going to get a good number.
You heard him mention there, Mac, the synthetic surface
moving to Churchill obviously with two fills an animal Kingdom
and you know a different surface then.
But rich strike obviously not in the Derby itself, but a horse
like sees the Gray winning in your place there in Maryland in
the Preakness as well. Are we are we slowly gradually
moving ourselves past this. These synthetic horses can't do
it anymore. Talk in in in our circles at
least. I just don't even pay attention
to it. I mean, the horses, some of them
don't take to it and that's fine.
They're all individuals. But the horses who can transfer
back and forth. I also just am not worried about
it. I mean, think Final Gambit that
Brad had, I really like that Wordless last year, was waiting
for him to get onto the turf. I was talking about this
earlier, maybe forget I mentioned that, but honey,
anyhow, I hold nothing against him, full effort, very
impressive. But I might hold something about
Steve because this kind of blew up my like.
So. Yeah, incredible.
It's really making me bad here. The incredible pick now hurting
but full effort. The first pick in the third
round here of our 6th annual Kentucky Derby draft on the
Horse Racing Happy Hour. Mac, you are up next with 9th
overall pick. Second pick in the third round
here. What do you select?
I emerging market. OK.
Dang it. Were you going to take that one
before me, Barry? Yeah, I was OK.
All right. I feel a little better now.
OK, go ahead and tell Barry and me why you just ruined our third
round. Because I love stealing candy.
Truly. Actually, I can't have it in my
house so so this one horse who lightly braced lots of upside,
it really fits the bill for the job here.
Post position works quite well for me, checks a lot of boxes
and I thought very impressive last time out.
I like Golden tempo a little bit, but just what we saw from
this one in Louisiana. Derby had to do quite a bit of
work and for a second time starter I have to give him a ton
of credit. Mile and three sixteenths in
that Louisiana Derby. Second time starting ever.
Flabby and Pratt been aboard for both, will be aboard in the
Derby as well. Barry, if you were going to
select this one, tell us why you were going to select this one.
A lot of upside on this horse and that's that's definitely a
draft word in wingspan. I couldn't fit wingspan in, so I
had to say upside. But yeah, I mean, the source has
22 pretty good races. I mean, 1A Grade 2 second time
out and that's that's pretty tough to do against this caliber
of horse. The Sky's the limit on that
potential there. It's just a matter of whether we
see it sooner rather than later. I loved him too, how he battled
Pavlovian, who's going to be in this field and has the most
starts of any horse in this field, right?
So he's battling a horse that's been tested in races, Steve.
And the other part is, hey, in 2018 I picked Justify and I was
told that, you know, horses that didn't race the 2 can't win in
the Derby. Maybe a third time starter can
win the Derby this year. Yeah, no, I mean, it just it
sort of fits where racing is going, right.
I mean, this is the, you know, it's the fewer starts and the
word upside now replaces experience.
So yeah, no, I, I what I was just going through in my mind
there. This was the third.
I had three horses in mind for those two picks.
This would have been the other one, so.
OK. All right.
OK, So you know what, Steve? You know what that means?
It means your draft room is doing a good job.
It's just you don't get to pick right now.
That's all it is. Yeah.
No, your draft room's doing a good.
Job. Yeah, they're all over it.
All over. That's exactly right.
All right. So of the top qualifiers to this
point, by the way, so we are now is that 11 picks into the draft,
if I'm doing my math correct here, 3/6, 8:10 and 11:00,
that's exactly right. Through 11 picks, I think we
have taken out of the top points performers, all of them except
for this horse. And I'm gonna go ahead and take
him here and his name is Silent Tactic.
I'll take. Silent.
You're just gonna skip me? That's how that.
Goes you're up, Barry. Wow.
So Barry, I'm about to take silent tactic.
Let me take. That's okay, you could have that
horse. I don't like that horse.
Go ahead and got that. Skipped Barry for absolutely no
reason. I'll hear about it all day
tomorrow. What Barry, Who you taking to
this mod? Pick a leather.
Well, you. You.
Referred to it earlier because this is the the time in this
sort of thing in the draft where it gets a little weird where you
got to really kind of make excuses for horses that you're
taking. I'm not going to make excuses
for this horse, but you hinted to the reason why I'm taking it.
This horse has 10 starts lifetime, which is almost double
what everybody else has and I think that should work out in
their favor. I think the source is on the
improve and it's Pavlovian from Pavlovian California.
I was out there today, Barn 41, Steve, when you get to town, go
hang out there. It's where all the cool kids
are. Him, John White with great
white, John Ennis, excuse me with great white, the Intrepido
team, Jeff Mullins are all I hanging out there.
A very chill spot. Southern California vibes there,
Steve, but Pavlovian. So you know, I'll go to Mac for
this one. The the experience factor for
this. How, how much is that worth do
you think in a race like this? This is 1 where I go back and
forth. I mean, I took emerging market,
right? Because I give him so much
credit for facing Pavlovian. He's improved.
He's been very consistent, you know, besides the time he lost a
rider. But other than that, very, very
consistent in my eyes. And I think he stepped up really
nicely in recent weeks. How much does that do for him
coming in here? I just don't really know.
And that's where, you know, betting 30 to 1.
Great. I'll take it, right?
Right. I think that's where you're
going to largely be. As you just heard from me by
picking this spot will be silent tactic.
I'll go ahead and take the mark Cassie Tradie out of the
Arkansas route to the Kentucky Derby and I will be very clear
about this. I, I do not think I will include
this horse in my multi race wagers, but there is absolutely
a world, Steve Kornacki, in which this horse just picks up
the pieces and makes one of those great Derby runs that
we've seen year over year. Frankly with him.
Christian Torres of all things I think of as a patient guy who's
going to be able to make the late move with him.
Silent tactic getting into the bottom half of the Derby field
here, but that Derby run is at least a possibility in in my
mind. Yeah, no, I mean, I think Barry
said it. We're into the imaginative phase
of the, you know, where you've got to sort of conjure, Yeah,
but I mean, look, comes, comes from, you know, way off the
pace. And if if the setup is there and
he happens to be in the right position and, and and definitely
from a betting standpoint, I think this is going to be a very
popular horse to fill out people's super fetus.
What do you think, outside of Renegade Barry about the
Arkansas route to the Derby? This one is going to have to
pull something like a Mystic Dan to win the Derby here.
What did you make of the Arkansas route?
It's it's hard to tell. I mean, from what we've seen, at
least points wise, the horses towards the top, it seems like
there were other better prep routes than going through
Arkansas this year. That being said, we've all been
fooled before. It's almost like the NCAA
tournament where the Big East teams win a lot of games, get to
the tournament when not. So I, I, I think having a horse
that performed well there will be OK and, and silent tactics
seem to have that kind of running style where they'll be
picking up pieces and sometimes that happens.
I mean, we've seen Rich Strike win under these kind of
circumstances. If the pace gets super hot,
Silent tactic would be that horse.
Silent tactic, of course, my third overall pick in my draft.
So we are through 12 picks here, as you can see on screen there.
Who do, who do we think feels best about their draft at this
point? Who thinks they've got the
winner? For sure, that isn't me because
I feel very good about my stuff. You got the Puma there.
You feel good about the Puma there, Barry.
Yes, the Puma is one point. I feel like if man, I almost I
almost did a day Barry where I just went didn't tell you.
We have a Puma outlet down the street.
I was just going to buy you like a Puma head to toe outfit all
one color, something like random maroon thing or something and.
Make it. Yeah, I could.
I could be Usain Bolt for the day.
Boom and just interview the Puma.
Like just talk to a horse for like 3 hours and see if anything
happens. But we didn't do that back.
I feel about your first 3 picks here.
Look, I think from a betting perspective, I'm feeling
comfortable. Would I maybe love to trade with
one of Steve's? Sure, sure.
I'm going to scout out something that might be have a lot of
upside for him. Steve, you've got two Grade 1
winners and a Brad Cox horse in your top three.
You got to feel pretty good. I do, although I will say like
I'm just looking at these on the screen here and, and looking at
berries and seeing the Puma and Chief Wallaby and then just
thinking about that Florida series and how I think it
probably stacks up to the rest of them having those two coming
out of those races. It it versus from my standpoint,
having none who came from those races.
You know, that's I, I think if you take the horses out of it
and just say which, which series was the best?
I think it was Florida and and Barry's got 22 who were right
there. So.
All right. I think now that we're going
into the fourth round and you talk about, you know, oh, we're
getting into this part of the draft or whatever it might be,
it's time to throw 1 downfield and I'm going way downfield.
This is a horse. That I saw today on what?
If you're gonna pick my horse, I'm gonna be upset.
I think you're gonna but. You think so, huh?
Yeah, it's gotta be a Japanese horse.
It is not a Japanese. Well, that's good for me.
I drove downfield back to California with Intrepido, and
here is why. The world is very simple for me
in this case. I don't like any of the other
horses that are still on the board, and I think Intrepido is
just going to have to go from the three.
And I think there's a world in which he just gets the lead and
he just hangs out there and for whatever reason, there's a bunch
of traffic behind him and the things don't work out.
It used to be that we had frontrunners in this race that
performed pretty darn well. I'll take Intrepido and Jeff
Mullins at this point to get the job done.
Hector Barrios going to get them out here.
Hasn't really been great since that Grade One win in the
American Pharaoh last fall, his second start ever.
So he'll have to be a lot better than he was, say, in the
Breeders Cup Juvenile or in any of the other races in Southern
California since then. But he really likes Churchill
Downs, has really been comfortable here.
Seems to be a, you know, in a in a great mood since he's been
here. I talked with his exercise rider
today. Seems to be on the uptick.
I'm simply hoping that Intrepido takes the next step.
Steve Kornacki has never raised his eyebrows higher than he just
raised them. What do you take of what do you
make of Intrepido? Well, no, I was excited that
you, that you took him because I, I have no interest in taking
him. But then I I heard, you know,
Barry's comment and I think Barry's going to take who I want
before before it comes back around for me, Sky.
Well, that's what I get all. Right, so we will remove the
name in Trepido from the board. We go back to Berry for the next
pick here in the 6th Annual Horse Racing Happy Hour Kentucky
Derby. Draft Backfire for Steve
Kornacki, Barry Spears and Louie Rebel hanging out with you.
Barry, your pick here in Round 4.
We are going with Dan and Bourbon to the hoop, my friend
to. The hoop indeed.
Dan and Bourbon, of course, comes out of the Fukurayu Stakes
there in Japan, won that one at Nakayama, qualifying through the
Japanese road to the Kentucky Derby.
And Barry, at some point, I think we all say this, and he
was right. There, of course, was the
Breeders Cup Classic winner a couple of years ago, just in the
duty as well, and forever young that a Japanese horse will
breakthrough in your mind. Dan and Bourbon the most likely
candidate of the three. Yep.
Yeah, you know this horse drilled A-16 horse field going a
mile on the 8th first time out, comes back in in February and
wins at a mile and three sixteenths fairly easily and
then comes back and wins that last stake race there.
I mean last year, I forget the other name of the, there was 2
Japanese horses. One of them got sawed off and
came running late. Probably would have been closer
to the finish as as one of the horses in the top three if they
didn't get such a poor trip. And the thing about the Japanese
horses is I feel like they're very, very well prepared to go
this kind of distance more than our horses here are.
If there's anybody that can get the distance, I would think a
horse like that could. But we'll see.
I mean, they're they're going to be flying under the radar until
they win one of these. But I think they're a lot closer
than people might think. Dan Bourbon, the son of
Maxfield, to purchase at the Keeneland sale.
Frankly, maca, this isn't it. Some, you know, horse that was
bred by a bunch of horses we've never heard of.
Do you, though, make much of the big fields in Japan?
Do you consider that an advantage heading into Saturday?
I do and I certainly can't deny him, especially when he just
puts them away and keeps on going the mile and three
sixteenths. I also like that blast out was
over a muddy track as well. You know, I think it's just one
more thing. He's a lightly braced horse 1 /
a wet track on debut and you never know what the weather in
Kentucky's going to be. So if you have an international
horse that has a few other tricks, just another benefit to
them. Good stuff there.
Appreciate everybody hanging out odd of the program.
It is time to go back to Mack Pfeiffer joining us from the
Maryland Jockey Club. By the way, with her fourth
round pick here. Mack, go ahead and tell the
people who you took in this spot.
I was just trying to make up my mind.
Wonder Dean. OK, Wonder Dean.
All right. Well traveled horse and I have
to be honest, I have nothing against the horses coming out of
the Derby over in the UAE Derby. So I give him a little bit of
chance here and think he's has reason to improve, so I'll take
a shot. He's a cool horse, by the way.
He's been here for the longest of the Japanese trainees as
well, has been working over the course for an extended number of
weeks. Frankly, Steve, what do you make
of the horses coming out of the UAE?
Do you hold a prejudice that Mac doesn't?
You know, I kind of have look forever young, you know, came
out of there, but I view forever young kind of as the exception.
But you know, given where we are in the in the draft right here,
I mean, look at that race. It's a it's basically a mile and
316th. So it's a little bit longer than
most of these preps you got in that race.
The horse who very well could end up being the speed of the
speed here in the Derby, who wandered Dean, you know, ran
down, overwhelmed and and, you know, won, ended up winning
pretty easily. So, yeah, given where we are in
the draft right now, there's and there's just sort of the mystery
around, you know, the overseas horses, the mystery around the
the Japanese horses. It's it's certainly if if I
wasn't in this extended gap between picks again, I probably
would have gobbled this one up too.
Great news for Steve. He's got the next two.
He's. Oh, exciting from.
NBC Sports At this point of the draft, who doesn't want?
2 picks in a row I'd be one shelf with an empty, but here we
go. The shelf may be empty, but
Steve is not. His pick here at the 6th Annual
Happy Hour Draft is. Litmus test.
OK, all right. I think I don't need a reason
other than this is a Bob Baffert trainee, But tell us why you
like Litmus. Test at this point, yeah, I get
the one Baffert, yes. And then I guess if you're
trying to make the imaginative case here, I would say take a
look at the races at the end of the two year old season out on
the West Coast Del Mar. Losal, the figures were pretty
good. The the performances and the
Arkansas series were not good. Maybe maybe you know, you could
say Oakland just didn't agree with this horse.
Maybe Churchill will. Maybe you were seeing some of
that potential last year that can be realized.
The blinkers go on. Maybe somehow the speed is not.
You know all we've seen Baffert do this before, right?
We saw Authentic go to the front.
We saw Medina Spirit go to the front and I DQ D but cash the
ticket, you know. So I'll take that chance at this
point in the draft. Right.
So both Baffert's off the board there, Steve.
Now with further ado. So happy full effort and litmus
test, Mack taking Wonder Dean there out of the UAE Derby
emerging market, the winner of the Louisiana Derby, incredible
Virginia with Derby winner and Renegade, the Arkansas Derby
winner. A lot of winners on your list
there, Mack. How about that?
I like that. And then Barry, the Puma, Chief
Wallaby, Pavlovian and Dan and Bourbon.
Far fewer winners, Barry. Yeah, well, that's that's
debatable. It only matters on Saturday and.
Of course, at the top. Of the point standings for me,
Commandment. I'll take the other Baffert and
Potente silent tactic out of the Cassie barn, of course.
Wild card for me. Intrepido breaking from the
three out of the California scene.
We go back to Steve Kornacki for his fifth round pick here.
I'm sure he is just dying. Tell the American public what he
is going to do here in the fifth round.
Steve Kornacki, NBC Sports horse Racing Happy hour, 6th annual
Derby draft. Who you got?
Golden tempo. Yeah, you.
Do all right, tell us about Golden.
Tempo again, we're we're looking at a, you know, pretty deep
closer here who comes out of that, you know, Louisiana Derby
where you talked about emerging market, you know, the Chad brown
horse, you know, with the potential Pavlovian who you
know, you know, had was the speed there was dogged had the
blinkers on. Seems like a different horse
since they did that And you know, kind of coming up the rail
late was golden Tempo again going this is like that UAE
Derby. It's a little bit I kind of have
liked the Louisiana Derby race just because it's a little bit
longer mile and three sixteenths, you know, than these
other preps. So, you know, and I, I think
earlier in the Le Compte, you know, the 1st in that Louisiana
series, they're just visually the figure was, but visually,
the way that horse closed in the Le Compte, it just blew by
everybody in the stretch, you know, needs, needs to show more,
you know, needs to get faster. But this far, this deep in the
draft, we'll take that chance. Barry, this is the kind of horse
you make the case for a lot, frankly.
First of the little cops, third in both that Grade 2 Risen Star,
the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby. What do you do?
What do you like about Golden Tempo on the spot?
Very consistent runner, kind of does the same thing every time.
Very tough read, especially from that post.
I'm sure Jose Ortiz is probably going to try to land this or
somewhere mid pack and kind of clear, which might leave this
horse kind of out wide. But again, if they're clear,
they don't get stopped, they might be OK.
You know, this horse likes to make one big run.
If they get stopped, they're in trouble.
If not, they have just as good a closing kick as anybody in this
race. We are now to pick 18.
We go back to Mack Pfeiffer for that one, she's from the
Maryland Jockey Club. You will hear a little bit of
noise because this is the 6th annual Horse Racing Happy Hour
Kentucky Derby Draft Mac. Pfeiffer, who you got here?
I, well Steve, took my next one. So.
Dang. I What a great.
Year this I just need to go fight or something it's.
Definitely making me a little bit more competitive.
So the best move for me is to grab Robusta here, OK?
Right. Robusta, second place finisher
in the San Felipe is on the grounds work this morning at
Churchill Downs. Doug O'Neill has said, by the
way, just for your purposes, especially back, he'll be at the
Preakness if he does not draw into the Kentucky Derby here.
But Robusta, yeah, second place finish there in the
aforementioned San Felipe. What do you like about him?
This is fun. I mean, has run the right races,
been in the right company. The outer post might actually
just kind of work things here. There's a ton of speed, but if
this one somehow manages to take another step forward and I can
just kind of forgive that last out, I don't mind looking at the
others. Robusta her pick here.
Steve, you're stealing all of her other picks.
What do you think of this pick? Yeah, I mean, look, I I gave you
so happy much earlier in the draft Robusta, you know,
finished ahead of so happy, you know, 2 back, you could say
right in that in that last race in the in the San Anita Derby,
probably not doing, you know, the dueling on the lead
basically tired out. So, you know, kind of, you know,
sit back just a, you know, a little bit here.
Don't get as caught up in it and you know, maybe you get a
performance much more like you did, you know, in that San
Felipe. With round pick for our guy
Barry Spears, of course you know him from SoCal Saturdays here on
the Horse Racing Happy Hour Podcast Network.
You're round five pick here Barry, right to party, Attaboy
out of of course the wood memorial there in second in that
race. What do you like about Right to
Party? Well, because it's a it's a
Beastie Boys song. Honestly, mostly.
But you know, honestly. That was a good job.
It was a good job running up in New York.
It was a good job, yeah. Yeah, yeah.
Where else could they have run? But I thought the wooden
memorial was fairly weak shades of Burbonic a couple years ago
where that race just fell apart and a huge long shot won.
Not saying that Albus is is not as talented as Burbonic, but I
thought the race was was a little strange because the horse
that I thought was the best in there, Iron Honor, just got a
horrible trip from the way outside and and things got a
little wacky. Albus wins the race, but right,
the party didn't get the best of trips and and finished up pretty
strong. I think that's OK going into a
race like the Derby where they can pick off horses late if they
get a decent trip. I don't, I don't think they're
going to be kind of up close to the the horses sort of on the
improve, but definitely need a lot of help, a lot of pace up
front, which they'll probably get.
So hopefully they can get clear and get in the number somewhere.
Right to party Steve in the wood memorial there I thought did
some good running late, but boy, just not a fast race this year,
No, I mean. See, you know, and, and notice
I, you know, I'll be bragging about having, you know, Albus in
the wood for the rest of my life.
But I haven't touched Albus in this, in this Derby draft yet.
So it tells you, it tells you what I think of how that race
went. But yeah, no, I think, look, I
mean, if nothing else, you know, I think Right to Party is a
great kind of superfecta horse, just just given the style as the
odds are going to be. No, I think that's probably
right. All right, get back to your host
in Louis Revo. My fifth round pick will close
out the fifth round here. I'll start the sixth round with
the next one as well. We're at this point, we really
are. We are really, really at this
point in this draft. Steve, I'm going to go ahead and
take Elvis and I'm going to take the Wood Memorial winner because
we, I, I, I have to choose between choosing a horse that's
in the field or one that's not in the field essentially at this
point of time. So I'll take the horse that's in
the field. Steve, I also need to show you
something, I think. You're going to like this, so I.
Steve, Steve's one of these guys comes on the show.
I don't know, Steve. We probably got 6-8 times a year
or something like that. And a couple years ago we did
the Pennsylvania Derby preview for whatever reason.
And of course, we talked about the cotillion and Steve couldn't
get off a ceiling crusher. You know, I can't get off
ceiling crusher. Oh, I know the the weather looks
terrible, but I just, I can't get off ceiling crusher.
I can't do. And she wins.
She wins for fun, frankly. OK, Steve's been out a little
bit of a drought on this show, so we needed him to come back,
come back with something. So Steve, I did something for
you today. I was at the Mott barn today and
Riley was there and he he got some new Elvis gear.
And so I went ahead and had him sign.
Oh my gosh. And Elvis, this is a bumper
sticker, but you can stick it wherever you want, Steve,
believe it or not, I, I you probably don't own a car, do
you? You.
Know I'll put on an Uber around here maybe.
Snap it on there. Signed by Riley Mott at his
first Derby with his Wood Memorial winner that you picked.
How about that that? Is that is awesome.
Thank you. If you had showed me that before
the draft, we was at a very different, very different chain
of events here. But I get Elvis here in the
fifth round, We'll get into the final round here.
I'm not going to pause the show to show you the fifth round.
We're not doing that. So I will take Boy at this
point. I'm going to take Great White in
this spot. I know he has not yet drawn into
the field, but we have seen way, way, way weirder things than the
I bet you did the 21st horse drawing into this field.
John Ennis been in the Derby before.
He is considerably calmer this year, 2 years later.
Mac, you've seen this before as well, Trainers that get into a
big race scenario for the first time, maybe a lot of nerves
around it. A guy like Ennis who has an
operation the size that he does, he owns half of this horse, for
example, going to be a lot calmer here.
Do you think that will have an effect on a great White's
performance? Possibly.
I think when you're able to just kind of get in to a different
sort of headspace, everything around you changes.
Here's another one where if you draw a line through the last out
and just kind of go back to the synthetic, I don't mind
forgiving this horse, especially with him being caught on the
inside in the bluegrass. So but you know, also if there's
a scratch, say you know, one of our favorites goes, you're the
first one to get in. That's exactly right.
I'll take the the 21 horse here in Great White.
Go to Barry for his sixth round pick here on the 6th annual
Horse Racing Happy Hour Kentucky Derby Draft.
High level technology on this show Barry, who you got in round
6? We're going to take Ocelli all.
Right. What do you like about the
maiden here? Right.
You don't know this, this horse hasn't really run all that
poorly. Very competitive, just hasn't
gotten over the hump for whatever reason.
Even even the third graph figs are pretty decent in comparison
to everybody else. But coming off the pace,
hopefully if they can draw and they can grab a piece of this,
but a long shot for sure. A long shot for sure.
Ocelli comes in a maiden. Steve, do you love maidens in
big races? Especially the Kentucky Derby
number. One, you should have taken the
1st overall. What are we doing there?
All right and go to back and for her sixth round pick, we're down
to just a couple of horses left, six beat and Corona Del Oro.
One of them's in the field. Mac, if you wanted to go with
that thinking, I don't know, you could ruin Steve's final pick
here as well. It seems to be you. 2.
I like I like a little rival here, which is funny because I
told Steve I was having someone on from the MJC and Steve has
become the Maryland Jockey Club's biggest fan this year.
That actually happened in 2025. So it's it's it's I like it that
there's a little bit of a rivalry here.
Who you taking with your final pick?
Oh Lord. Well see, I feel like I messed
up in taking robusta a little early, so I do think I need to
take 6 speed in the field just so I'm not with two horses.
Totally Sol. 66 speed of course comes in and by the way, I got
to interview a trainer, Bupatsemar, really nice guy,
really interesting guy. Last time Michael Bartholona,
likely to to make the trip for the Derby as well, was second in
that UAE Derby, first in the UAE 2000 Guineas before that, the
prep race for that one should be part of the early speed and
congratulations, Steve. I can't, I mean, I just, I, I
should have another sounder here.
I don't know what it would sound like, but oh, you know what it
is. Hang on.
I think does everyone, does everyone hear that sounds?
Do you? Do you?
I think I think Barry is going with this.
Poo diddly. Poo diddly.
Poo diddly. Poo diddly.
Poo diddly. This is a show that loves Jim
Mora Sound playoffs. You know that.
Sort of thing we love. Jim Mora on this show diddly poo
you get Corona de Oro Steve. Let's go ahead and do this.
Does this horse run on Saturday? Yeah, this is the mystery
irrelevant pick, right. So I, I would like to petition
for some kind of point in this thing.
If the horse just gets in, I think that's, you know, that's
victory for this horse. I'll allow it.
I'll allow it. I don't like it, but I'll allow
it, yeah. I don't like it at.
All just get in the gate. That's it.
Don't eat it. The one when it opens, just get
in the gate. Oh man.
All right, so let me grab the final rendition of this draft
and I thank my 3 guests, Steve Kornacki from NBC, Mackenzie
Pfeiffer there at the Maryland Jockey Club and of course my Co
host Barry Spears. You'll hear him way too much
this week on ESPN Radio with me. Here I can come.
Yeah way, way too much, but we'll go ahead and put this one
up on the screen. Thanks to producer Tommy hangs
out with me every year on this program puts this graphic
together for us, which I did not properly put up earlier in the
show and it was Tommy's fault. Not just kidding.
It was my fault. But Steve further ado so happy
full effort litmus test golden tempo and Corona del Oro amongst
your picks. Go ahead and do something now
that you've had many rounds to sit around and be angry about
how much time there is between your picks.
Who's your most likely winner on your listed of the longer shots?
Who would you want to put in the back end?
Save a super effect. Yeah, Further ado I think is the
most likely clearly from from what I've got there and on the
back end of the Super effect, yeah, I think it's golden tempo,
you know, potentially come in late here and yeah, full effort.
Well, I've heard of, you know, show.
Me the ads on those two, you know, yeah.
No, that's right. I I'm fascinated by what full
efforts number is going to be because the connections and all
that stuff, Tyler and all that, but Mac Renegade, incredible
emerging market wonder, Dean Robusta and A6 speed here.
Who's your most likely winner and who do you think can fill
out that superfecta? Look, I have kind of an
interesting draft here, how it came together.
So most likely winner, probably incredible, right?
If he builds off of that last out, I think he is the most
likely winner. Renegade.
I'd say yes, but it's the post position.
So, you know, how much do they have to do so early?
Yeah, maybe Renegade, a potential superfecta horse
actually for the back end of that superfecta if he has to
work out a drip from the rail, who knows in that spot, Very,
very California and and a Florida heavy here, the Puma,
Chief Wallaby, Pavlovian, Dan and Bourbon, right to party and
Ocelli most likely to win there. Barry most likely to fill out a
superfecta. I think most likely winners,
probably Chief Wallaby, although I do like the Puma quite a bit.
There may be some question marks there with the distance and
everything with the Puma, but I think Chief Wallaby is is
putting it all together, at least from what I've seen this,
you know, his workouts and things like that after the
Florida Derby. Looks like he's he's really
doing well. And I think Dan and Bourbon is
the one that is most likely to fill out the superfecta.
They're kind of flying under the radar.
Yep. And the horse seems to be pretty
good. So we'll take that one.
Lost in Derby 150. Is that TO password finished?
5th That's the horse I was thinking of.
Yeah, No, but like got thought off really bad.
Yes. Is that TO Password finished
fifth in that race and so we had two Japanese finishers, 3 and
five in that race. No, no, I'm with you, man.
I think Dan and Bourbon, especially with the breeding and
what it just the build, I think he's one of those that can
absolutely do that. I'll go ahead and say, man, I
think Potente is the winner out of my group.
I just think a lot of that horse and I think by the time we get
to this point, Baffert's got the speed in him that he wants.
I think he can be tactical as well.
I think he just wants the distance at the 10 furlongs.
And I also think like Madita Spirit has been brought up I
think twice on this show. I think he's going to be like 12
to one or 14 to 1, something like that in this field.
And so I think I'm going to get Baffert a little little value on
Baffert of all things, and I'll go ahead and I'll take Intrepido
for the back end of my superfecta and kind of double
down on taking him with the 4th pick.
I don't think it will be that he'll come rallying late.
I think he'll be trying to hold on if he gets out front and get
get, you know, passed by a couple of horses in the stretch
if he does end up there in the superfecta.
So there you go again. If you win this thing, we give
you a trophy, but it falls apart as soon as you get it.
So it's really a crappy trophy. It's not as.
Can you eat it? Like is it edible?
It looks like cheese, don't it? I mean, it really does.
I mean, it could be a cake, it could be anything, man, you
know, hungry. It's dinner time.
Steve's the. Steve's the TV, What was it?
What was it made of? I got this weird rash in my
hands afterwards. I don't know.
It was made of Austin, TX. That's what it was made of.
All right, well, Steve Kardacki, NBC Sports, he'll be in town
this week. Which days are you part of the
broadcast? Are you guys strictly Friday,
Saturday this year for your your part of it?
Yeah, Yeah. No, we in the NBC this year it's
the Kentucky Oaks, primetime Oaks for the first time.
Yeah. Yeah, trying the 8:00 start time
there. I got to say, Steve, as a guy
who, you know, follows a lot of college sports, another network
had a lot of success playing college basketball on Friday
nights. Huge numbers, frankly.
And so I am fascinated to see if that trend follows where
Americans since COVID are less out on Fridays than they used to
be and are watching TVA little bit more.
If the Oaks does get a bump that way, no.
Matter what, I'll say it's a good idea, but I think it's a
great idea because it always seems to me you're there at the
track on Friday and they got 150,000 people and then this
race is going on while so many people are still at work.
The build up to is taking place during the work day, you know,
make it an event at night. And I think, you know, it's it's
it's something people could really kind of latch onto.
I mean, Barry and I do this this podcast thing our.
Largest markets are LA and San Diego.
They just are. And people out there love their
horse racing. Mac.
And so I think moving the race a little bit later there will be a
good one as well. What do you got going at Laurel
this weekend? I imagine there's some kind of
Derby party. Is there a costume contest?
There is. There's a Derby watch party and
we have the. OTB at Timon, I mean, you can
always go out to the Big T and watch the races there as well.
That's actually kind of great people watching experience and a
little bit smaller than being at Laurel.
So it's a little closer to my home.
So I usually bounce around watching races on big days
between there. You'll see, you'll see Mac in a
couple of weeks. I've yet to wrangle her.
For extra work around the horse racing happy hour in the
Preakness, but I'm sure she's already figured out that I'm
going to ask her. But Barry Spears, of course,
flying up here tomorrow. Barry, I'm going to make you do
this in front of all the people watching and the other two
people in the room. How excited are you to get up
here for the Derby, Man? Totally.
I've never been to the Derby in person.
Obviously I've been playing the races since I was 8 years old.
This is like a dream come true. So to be working and doing all
that, it's just going to be an experience of a lifetime.
I can't wait. If you are in town Tuesday
night, Barry and I will give the.
Blood Horse seminar Tuesday night, 7:00 at Blind Squirrel
Restaurant. Doors open at 6:00.
I never charge for this thing. Dinner's on me and the bar is
open. Come have fun.
I know the Derby is really expensive.
It doesn't have to be for one night.
Come hang out with us at the Blood Horse Get together Tuesday
night there. By the way, I'll hand you a
cigar when it's done. Like, let's just have fun.
Let's let's do the Derby. Let's do the darn thing.
It's always a great time. I'm so glad Barry gets to come
up for it this year and really appreciate Steve.
Really appreciate Mack jumping on the program as well.
Happy Derby to all three of you. Happy.
Great week. Looking forward to this.
Oh, man. Well, Steve?
Will be here soon. Barry will be here soon.
Yeah, we'll get my trophy in person.
That's right. Oh man.
I don't think that's how this works, but we'll play some
crappy music to get us out of here.
This has been another draft here on the horse racing happy hour
six years in a row makes the Steve Kornack from NBC Sports
Max 5 from from down there at the Maryland Jockey Club and of
course my Co host on the horse racing happy hour Mary Spears
for joining us here on the program.
Happy Derby week to you and yours.
Look for more content throughout the week.
See you.