Presented by Green Sheet Racing. Get yours at GreenSheetRacing.com. Saturday’s edition will feature Louis’s most likely winner, the favorite he’s against, as well as his favorite sequence.
Breeders’ Cup Recap, NTWAB Reception
Full Transcript
Alright, welcome to another edition of the horse-racing,
happy hour. I am Mike and awful and I'm
joined by none other than the person who says I got Olympiad
and blue prize, blue blue stripe, right believer bro, call
psych that but I appreciate it. How are you so proud of his too
long shots of came in second? Which again if you're if you're
playing the Louise long shot I mean they're not play show but
baby that's a place your bet for sure.
To be fair we gave with the winners in those races as well
too. So we do the flight line was
going to win. We said Olympia, I could hit the
board and if you played that Flightline Olympiad 18 Exacta,
you know, that's not bad tt-that's.
We're finally getting to 21 on flight.
Light has correct. Yeah, forget about it.
All right, before we go too far, I want to make sure that we
recognize and we've hinted at some of this stuff before seeing
that we have an announcement to make and then he hasn't already
been made. So you know, it's not it's not a
secret anymore but But we haven't been able to have any
kind of reaction to it whatsoever.
I'm extremely humbled Louis. I know you are as well.
Are you there Alicia? Louis.
This is great, right? Yeah, I don't know if I
connection or yours. All right, you're good now,
you're there, but you're kind of in and out, I don't know if it's
connections. Bad did you, are you skip it on
me? Or my skipping on you, you're
not skipping on me. All right, it'll work itself
out, it's just you put on me that got it.
All right, so let's just, you know, sorry for that.
Great, great podcasting right there.
This is the last show and you're gonna get laughs stuff.
That just happens Lily. Anyway, I'm extremely humbled,
and I know you are as well. To be the first where podcasting
is our main delivery. It's really up for us.
It's our only delivery to be the first people inducted into the
national Turf writers and broadcasters just it's
unbelievable, right? I mean, we get some reaction to
that. I mean, how did you feel about
it? When when we were asked to, you
know, when we were approached and then just to get in, on the
first try, which we hear a lot of people don't give it just
Yeah, that I think was more of a surprise than anything else, you
know, when we were approached about doing it by several
people. But first guest we've ever had,
what do we do Breeders Cup coverage from Josh?
Everybody from the LA Times? You know?
It was kind of one of those okay, sure maybe, yeah, sure job
high five. Yeah, that's that's something we
should do. And then you and I kind of
talked about it made sense, more, and more us.
We went down that road and I mean just incredible shows of
support from people, you know, like hey, Glad you guys are you
know in the group when we were British cut this last weekend,
so it's been, it's been great, it's been really quickly.
It's been really satisfying getting to talk to people and
they gave you an eclipse of what award vote, Mike.
How do you feel about that? Well, I gave one to you as well.
It's not just me. I mean that's exactly how I kind
of explain it to people. Like what just happens like,
like, you know, the group of baseball writers are kind of
votes on the Hall of Fame and I was like, well we're kind of in
that horse racing group of media now that gets a vote on this.
These things called the eclipse awards every year.
Well, it's kind of like having a vote I guess in the top 25 or
vote for the Heisman which I know doesn't mean you lose
because he thinks the Heisman is a joke.
Yeah, the it's but it for me, it's pretty amazing that we have
kind of taken this show and just knowing the history of where we
kind of started how everything kind of came about.
And In end that we would get the, we get to vote on these
Awards here in a couple weeks, actually, it's pretty
incredible. And something, I don't take
lightly, I think you're going to start seeing some things, we
launched a website by the by the way, I don't know how like put
together it is yet but one thing I'm going to do on that website
as I'm going to be posting my rankings.
So people kind of know where I'm at, I'm going to be doing
triple. I'm going to be doing a cult,
Philly Derby Oaks ranking Before the Derby.
And then after the Derby, I'll transition into all the
different classes for the, for the eclipse Awards and start to
just get people. Because I want feedback.
Like, I take that as a responsibility for us to be the
voice of our listeners, right. And I want I want feedback from
our people to say hey this is who I think should be in
whatever I want people to call my rankings crazy and say this
is who should be here, why? And whatever else.
And get as much perspective, on those things, as much our vote
is the people's vote. That's how I Gallery.
Okay. I don't feel that way at all,
but make sure that you give Mike as much feedback as you can.
Well, lose a little bit more, so I think it's a great idea.
I had no idea you were going to do all that.
I think it's it's terrific at the website does allow us to do
more, more things like that. And so check all that out horse
racing, happy our.com, all of our episodes that have it, we've
ever put out her up their links to our sponsors and coming soon.
Would it surprise you? If I told you that?
I've never been to it yet I still have Not been to the know
that surprise you coming soon what that we're going to some
merchandise. Yeah Merchant.
Yeah. All right so if you want to get
a horse racing happy our swag you know you can do it.
All right so we'll have all that stuff ready to go and it'll be
great. And you know thanks to our
buddy, Zach, you kind of put all that stuff together.
Yep. But you know I I was amazed at
just a legitimacy. The amount of people that came
up and congratulated us at breeders, Yeah, we actually
didn't officially know that we were in the horse.
The special surprise in broadcasters until yesterday.
Yep. But the all those people come up
and say thank you and just to legitimacy kind of gave and just
open up some content, some conversations that's really
appreciate it. So thanks to those people at the
in TWA V were honored and humbled to be members.
So let's talk a little bit about what we saw in the Breeders Cup.
Zach is not here. So we're not going to get any
kind of video breakdowns, but I really looking back.
Back on the weekend. I think it's the absolute best
day of racing on a Friday Breeders Cup that I've ever
attended. Okay, the ones I attended which
is you know it's seven or eight of them.
I guess I've been too and overall for the two weekends and
of course we got to see just the absolute star of stars with
flight lines performance which was masterful, sure.
I feel like this was the best quality racing and Breeders Cup
I've ever seen. Wow.
Okay. I don't think we had some of the
star power that we've had in past years in the other races,
but to have a flight line in the mouth that in the same weekend,
super high-end to have, you know, a Miler like modern games
put a weight that field which we thought was pretty wide open and
it ended up not being you know, in the Sprint though.
For example, I don't know that that was a great field in
Jackie's Warrior, certainly didn't give his best effort.
So you know, I thought some of the races were that's probably
the only disappointing race to me though.
Thinks I made really disappointing to me that disc
that was a freakin like classic type race.
I mean that distaff race was it's an all-timer it's an altar
was unbelievable and we saw some unreal finishes and you know, we
saw on juvenile day in the very first British of race of the
day, we saw a record. I mean, you know, I just I was
blown away, I thought I thought either we didn't see.
We saw the only launch out. We really saw coming in, was
that Sprint, you know everybody. This was kind of, we saw a lot
of horses in that 5 to 7 to 1 range that came in, right?
And we saw a couple favors hit but I mean, I thought that
Fields I thought maybe didn't have a star power, but the depth
and the fields were as good as any, for your scope, we saw?
Yeah. It was, you know, we always talk
on the weekend about, you know, the front end class but also the
backend class of those fields as well, and there seemed to be
class in both in both of those. But I yeah, you know, I mean, I
guess on Saturday, I mean you consider Rebels romance and
all-time Of course, because I don't know.
I think that horse is probably but I'm not saying but don't get
me wrong, I'm just saying that the race the racing itself was
good. I'm not saying that the quality
of the horse that like we, you know, we also didn't have IE
there, we didn't have some other horses like that Jack
Christopher wasn't there? But the racing itself was
top-notch? Yeah, no, I had a great.
It was great for sure, who's great.
Yeah, I mean it was Bellman being Louisville.
Good there it is. There it is.
It only took 9 minutes. There we go.
No, no. What was your main takeaway for?
Like, what was your highlight, but was it, let me with flight
line. I'll get to see flight line was
cool, for sure. I don't know how often I'll get
to see something like that in my life, you know.
Hopefully, hopefully we'll get another one at some point, but
that was way up there. That distaff was really special,
you know, just the three of those fillies mayor's, I guess
at this point, pushing each other that way.
And then you know I I think the other thing, I'll always
remember, is how freaking windy it was on Saturday.
Oh my gosh. And I mean, just, I mean,
frankly, It's astonishing. How well everybody did that
weird because it was it was I think we talked about is like
about 10 to 12 miles an hour from being hurricane.
Level winds it was it was remarkable that way and so yeah
I guess that was the biggest takeaway for me the other I
guess just being that you know the Euros are going to dominate
the grass races in the Breeders Cup and now that they've won all
of those races, you know. Nothing is off the table.
You know when you get a bill Buick, when you get a Charlie
Appleby just Picking off races picking off spots.
Oh, Rebels, romance was running a Germany, it's not now, it
doesn't matter. It's better than what we're
doing here. And so, I think that was kind of
the biggest takeaway for me on that side was just that, you
know, we got miles and miles and miles to go the grass side to
catch up with Europe. And, of course, now we play the
game of who's, who's going to study, who's going to stick
around who's going to race, he's going to stay in training and he
surprises of what you've seen so far on that front.
I mean, pretty much what we thought and before we go too
far. We know that epicenters
obviously going to go to study because of his injury.
I'm so we had two significant injuries with domestic spending
epicenter but the the horse Kara Keeneland yeah access to the
veterinarian's. Yep was so quality in some
situations where horses would not have survived.
What they went through both horses are going to be fine,
they might not race again. But they're going to be able to,
you know, enter their stuff careers and be fine and and hats
off to the veterinarian care there.
That was able to really save those two horses.
It's it is the biggest upside of being in Lexington as that you
have things like Rood and riddle right down the street, right?
So it's a testament to the people down there that they're
doing things absolutely correctly.
And like you said, I don't know how long ago it is.
That epicenter doesn't Walk, don't walk him on to that.
Out of that, that that and ambulance frankly.
I mean so I just yeah, it's proved even since we've started
this show. And so yeah, it's good to see
Franklin while they actually, like, literally put the curtain
up with it. You know.
And a lot of people like when I was a kid, you saw that curtain?
Go up. It was done and it was yeah.
It was not good, but you didn't you knew that was pretty much
over and and that was not the case with with epicenter.
And we're just happy to see that that horse is going to go have
Hopefully a really good study career but horses that are, of
course, Flightline cells. For two of the 20 of the 40%
share. Fly line goes for 4.6 million,
which values that horses 125 million dollars is going to
stand at Lanes in that was no surprise there.
There were some Scuttle their that he might race a little bit
as a five-year-old. But I mean, you can't rent this
place out worth it. Yeah, that's cameras.
Well, if you know, we were talking about this with a with
another person today, the that four million dollars is more
than he can earn in Like two races in the US, I mean like may
as well just take the cash from the partial sale and move on.
I mean, it's right makes much more sense.
The other thing, by the way that I should mention the Breeders
Cup is still the best betting in the world.
The last three winners of the last three races on Saturday, in
the Breeders Cup, where Malik, that Rebels romance at flight
line and the pick three still paid forty one to one.
Whoa, that is still the best betting product in the world.
So, I mean, it's not even close. You know what?
Excuse me. Would you could get, you know,
41 21, and it includes Flightline Rebels romance and
freaking me out with that. That's a, that's a good price.
That's a good better product. You've you've been a coffee
machine. Whenever you get that
microphone, like you'll be good. And then you put the microphone,
you start coughing. Are you allergic to something on
the microphone? I don't know the answer to that
but it happens in studio during the radio show, too, so who
knows? Yeah, I don't know, it's kind of
a kind of interesting because hopefully you know, it's feeling
better. You know, otherwise Dan's going
to have to do the show by myself.
I would not be captured by Crush every human being that's ever
lived. Live.
I'll be doing the show day in here pretty soon, right?
Is it going to still happen? It is.
Alright, so now to turn to you as being 684 that damn the Dan
and Mike show so everyone's dream.
That's right. Everyone's watching.
All right, Jackie's Warrior. You know, I've said it before, I
would I just don't trust Steve asmussen in these big spots.
Yeah. Right.
You have said you know, I sat on the on our pre-show and it said,
I would not single Jackie's, where because of what happened?
And then because of the interest in, keeping my cut my ticket
affordable, I single Jackie's Warrior.
Yeah, yes. And and shouldn't have done
that. You know, I should not have done
that. Well, it depends Yankees were
just a little bit because the amount of water they had to put
on the track to stop it from blowing away.
Literally yes, that is not I mean we're talking about crazy
win, right? I mean it was Lifting me out of
my chair. Oh crap.
I'm not a small person and I was trying to keep our tent from
flapping as much and so I'd stretch it 10 out as much as
possible. We would have guessed the win
and I would lift like four inches off the ground, wouldn't
worry? Yeah, four inches.
So the um, I I do think though that the track while listed fast
was more, probably good that it was fast.
It was fair. I mean, the best horse is still
one there racism still ran reasonable times but all the
records came on the turf. Hmm.
And so to be that that gave away, that it was not quote,
unquote fast to be, it was good. I don't think of that as a
controversy. I do think though we need to be
fair to better, and if it's not fast fast, tell him.
It was it two years ago at all? If flight line runs over the
course. For two years ago, he runs in a
buck fifty eight and four. I mean he just does and so that
he ran that quick up front was cruising along at the end and
still ran over two minutes in the in the in the time.
For a long to me spoke to a Whether track than they were
really announcing their? Yeah, I would probably agree
with that. You know, it didn't, we were
arguing right before the classic whether or not it was faster.
If it was night fast you and I were having that conversation
and I thought it looked like it was in pretty decent shape but
then I saw that I saw that time and I had to agree with you like
the definitely slowed him down a little bit.
They had to put that win was kicking so much.
I mean you would have had you would have had dirt flying
everywhere I mean it was it was it did.
I think they did the right thing just list the track of what it
is, what it is. So the better has a better idea
of what's going on. That's all I was.
Yeah, I would agree with that. What did you think about
baffert's weekend? We saw, I'm going to actually
say, he obviously did not want to Breeders Cup race, but he
might have had this star, the rising star Saturday when he won
the first race and then got booed Arabian Night, what was
your take on that horse? And I think we could be seeing
something a great Martha knows that's one of those horses that
you see, and all of the pieces fit, you pay that kind of money
for it. You'd want that kind of wind.
And so to me it was one of the highlights of Saturday frankly,
right? How just absolutely dominant
that horse was. And so now, I'm, did you notice
your horse actually ran third in that race?
Oh yeah, yeah, expect more. There you go.
Yeah. Yeah my little more triangle
thing. Right?
There it is right there. Yeah expect more I don't even
know. I'm Even better.
I was trying everything set up. I'll even bet that race had
barely got to see it but then I was told, you know, again
Arabian Night just blow the field away his I mean to run
seven furlongs and one just under 122 first time out.
Yep. I mean, just tell people how
just amazing, I was that's that's insanely fast.
It was open links. You can actually watch the video
replay at aqua base and, you know, it started the day and it
started the tone of the day before comes out the booze ring.
Down and not a couple booze. It was a lot of well yeah, a lot
of do we were at the end of the, we are at the end of the
grandstand far away from the from that area and we could
still hear very audibly what was going on.
And so that that kind of set the tone of dead dad's opinion, was
that people had lost on their tickets because of bad for the
day before on Bedford horses at least.
I have not of that opinion. I think it's for a different
reason and so yeah, it was, it was noticeable and it was loud
but yeah, no, he didn't have the kind of weekend.
I think that he thought he would.
There's no shame. I And how table random the, the
classic. I mean, I'm going to go ahead
and say it right now. Table wins, the Breeders Cup
Classic in 2023. Sure.
I think that's real possible. And just a, you know,
essentially within a half lengths of horse like Olympia
that had the the year that he did no shame in at all.
That's a gets a probably million-dollar check there.
And, you know, that's a that's well worth the trip from
California Olympiad retired this morning to stud.
So we will not see Olympia next year race, but we will see the
The winner. Goodnight Olive, who will raise
her at 5:00 for the good of the sport is as they said they want
to they want to do it for the sport.
I gave this as likely as I can. That's not what you're doing.
You're going to pick off a bunch of checks and that's okay.
Yeah, that's fine. Just be it is fine.
It's not only what it is. Yeah, right Cave Rock was bad
for each. Other horse in the Breeders Cup
juvenile was about as big of a favorite.
And on the juvenile days, we were going to get were you
disappointed by his second-place finisher?
I mean, is this what we're going to see, sometimes out of out of
to your horses? I mean, yeah, it's more, the
two-year-old thing than anything else and the horses that did run
well in that race. We said, if they improve like,
two-year-olds, do they got a real shot here, they came
through and they wanted. So I don't think there was any
sort of major surprise with that more just that I think Cave Rock
didn't really run a good race. That's what was surprising.
Yeah. But to be fair, it's windy as
bleep, he's out of California for the first time.
They put him in a freaking shipping, container to get him
there. And so It's, it is.
I don't know. It was a c-minus performance for
sure, that horse. That's a great question.
Do we think he comes back at a better level later on?
I'm gonna guess that he does the grounds sometime.
Late winter, early early spring at Santa Anita.
We see that cave rock jam. Yeah.
Something like that. And then we see him back on the
Derby conversation and we have to talk about Cave, Rock and
which Barney's going to go to. So we can run in the derby.
It's really interesting because I always enjoy how bad for
treats is three-year-olds on the trail because he kind of tries
to keep them apart. Yes.
Right. You know so be really kind of
watching what he does with Arabian Night and what he does
with K-Rock and he keeps in Santa Anita and and the spots
that he puts these horses in, you know, I'm assuming that one
will go to Arkansas and one will stick with their traditional
California route and you know, so we get to kind of watch that.
And then of course the eventually, they're gonna even
though even shipped up to Golden Gate to play to pick off the the
El Camino Real for the Preakness with Blackadder.
So it's not like he isn't looking around for his other
three year olds to try versus as well.
Yeah, but it will be interesting to just kind of see where he,
how he points those two horses. And then, of course, eventually
do you think they wait as late as they did last year to go
ahead and switch the The trainers for the Derby point
perspective, because his horses, when they get no Derby points.
Correct, what was the question? Do you think they wait as late
as they did last year? To with Cave, Rock an early
night before they switch the trainer?
Yes, I do. I do because he doesn't run
non-winners of hundred-point races in the derby.
You just doesn't do it. Yeah, that's true.
That's just his style. So I don't think he cares that
way. Okay, well let's see what we got
here. Next Charlie's birthday today so
happy birthday Charlie. I gotta make sure you put that
one out there. My oldest is 13.
Only thing I'll say I talk about it.
I talked about it on air this morning.
My oldest is all is autistic. And it's a, it's a difficult
thing. When you're a first-time parents
who to imagine that your kid isn't normal in some sort of
way, whatever it might be, but I want to encourage anyone.
If you've got young kids, and you think there's something you
could tell cause you're a parent, you can tell there's
something that might be a little harder for them than it is for
other kids or whatever it might be.
Do the resources now are so good.
The people are so kind they they will love your kid the way that
you would want someone to love your kid and so just go go ask
for help. People want to help and they're
the resources. Like I said are just they're
incredible and so he's gonna have a great, he's really
excited to become a teenager today and he's in middle school
now and he's doing the whole thing.
So you're just ask for help. When you need it, it's always
worth it. And yeah, happy birthday
Charlie. I mean, it's been fun to watch
him grow up so he's taller bleep too.
So, yeah, these growing taller and taller.
Yeah, that's fantastic. Is he following you yet?
You know, it's not always about sketch my wife though.
So All right, so the Breeders Cup at Keeneland good or bad.
You like it there door, should it not be there?
Here's my take over all like it's not great from a spectator
standpoint. Obviously it's really tight.
It's really small but it's so important at such a important
location from the Breeders like yep, Horsemen perspective.
Yep, I can totally understand why it's good to be there.
I also feel like because of the wind on Saturday and we probably
had so many people who were just local because of the proximity
to The Horseman, the Breeders and all that stuff.
I think that there was a lot of people who left.
I mean yeah probably I mean I thought the parking lot was more
crowded on Friday than wasn't Saturday.
Let's put it that way. Yeah, I think it was two and I
just you know I I see it as you have to take the good with the
bad there. As far as just look less people
can go and it cost more money. You're really only catering to
one kind of horse racing fan. Would you go to Keeneland and If
we accept that that's fine. But if you want as many people
from as many walks of life to attend the World Championships
of your sport, then you need to go to bigger places like San
Anita or Churchill Downs or a Belmont Park or whatever it
might be. You just have to.
Now all of that said. It's really expensive to go to
the Super Bowl. It's really expensive to go to
the final four. So this isn't without precedent
in American sport, it's not. Like, you know, you could just
walk up and get a ticket to the Stanley Cup finals.
That's not how this works. So I understand it from that
end, but in horse racing, you are really shutting out.
A huge number of people, by going to a place like England
and charging five thousand dollars to go.
I mean, it's worse than the Derby, frankly for average seats
and so it's it is just it's prohibitive that way, but if we,
I'm Eileen More. Please don't do it every other
year. Now if it's 25% of Breeders Cup,
so if it's 20% with something like that, I'd probably be a
little more comfortable with it, but the idea that is going to be
there every other year or something like that is to me,
it's, it's uncomfortable. Should it rotate between the
four tracks Delmar sanity to Churchill and Keeneland?
I'd like to see more tracks involved.
I think New York, deserves a place at the table for sure.
I think Belmonts, absolutely legitimate place to hold
Breeders Cup. I mean, the, whether those
probably the biggest Factor there, but it's a, I've been a
38 degree breeders cups in Louisville.
I mean, it's not 100%, but I think you got a better.
Chance of having them in New York than you do inaudible maybe
maybe but horse Racing's like football you played outside and
whatever the weather is you do it.
So yeah, I'm gonna make it. The weather matters, never leave
Southern California. Yeah, I think we should go ahead
and start a petition to bring it to Horseshoe Indiana.
I think they need an Oaks and Derby prep.
Yeah, there you go. That would be kind of fun, even
better. Yeah, I, you know, there's a lot
of people who there's definitely debate on Twitter on horse
racing Twitter, which is the lowest level of Twitter.
There it is. Yes.
The bottom of Twitter that, you know, there's a lot of people
said, I don't have anything. I need every year.
There's no place better than Santa.
Anita. Sure.
And of course, there's the people who tell you is like, it
should be a Churchill every year.
It's like, I can tell you this. I do think Churchill handles, to
crowd better than anyone, can he just handle the Sun, the scope
and size of the event. It actually, we did the numbers
before the field sizes are about a horse per race bigger in the
Kentucky racist than they are on the California races.
Now, the one caveat is and you talk about this and, you know,
Japanese forces. So, Japanese sources this Yeah.
And that's not good for the sport.
It was good for the sport when they won last year.
And and so I'm with you, I think that needs to be a rotation
where we see Western Breeders Cup so we see Eastern breeders
cups but what that balance looks like, you know, I haven't really
formulated yet. All right.
So yeah I think we'll make sure we're saying Anita I'm hoping to
go. I've now been a scene in either
before I know you and I are planning on going right now.
Is there goes? But you know especially since we
think that our show is getting out more and more popular, which
it definitely is and we appreciate all you listeners out
there for allowing that to be that we think we should.
We will have a seat at the table and Withers meetings for the in
TWA be. And I think I want to try to get
as involved with that organization.
It's possible. We don't want to just be the
podcast or so you Don't do anything.
We want to give back so you know, we'll see.
We'll see, we'll get the last thing.
It's going to have been to Delmar before dunbar's a great
track and it's definitely attracted.
I could see having some similar challenges to Keeneland as far
as how many people can actually host on site for further your
scope. So, you know, the other, the
only Rumblings I've heard, obviously Santa Anita this year,
NBC has the contract for two more years for the next to
readers cups. And there's, there's Scuttle
that they wanted at Del Mar, so they get that full prime time.
I'm classic in the in the sunlight and so that would have
to be out California. So absolutely we might go to
Southern California for two years.
I didn't hate it. When they would go back to back
years at Breeders Cup sites, like to San Anita's to Churchill
something like that that wouldn't hurt my feelings
frankly. And so it'll be like if you
turned on the lights. Oh I am very aware.
I very, very aware. It's Keeneland.
That is the place that you can't do that, right?
I understand, but that's in the and Rachel. 2010 was under the
lights, Churchill running at 7:30 whatever.
Great done before. Absolutely.
All right. Speaking Churchill Downs.
We're going to go onto our, his hair handicapping segment, which
is, of course sponsored by our friends.
At Green Sheet racing got a Green Sheet racing.com and get
your green sheet for the weekend.
It was an interesting conversation again on horse
racing Trader, which is again the lowest level Twitter.
So instead if you paid for pics, then you're not a horse player.
Did you see that each week? Louis, I did I did, which, I
thought was interesting, because that's when I would have said, I
would say that, you know, do you 100% should do your own
handicapping? Yeah, but we've always said that
there's nothing wrong with, especially, when you have deep
deep deep Quality fields to get some validation or to get a
different perspective of what someone else is thinking, and
that's the handicappers at Green Sheet, do an incredible job.
And of course, if you get your green sheet, you'll get Louise,
most likely most likely winner favorite.
He's against and then whatever sequence.
He's giving out that we can, which is the the sea To go out
this weekend is what Louis late pick five for the claiming Crown
at Churchill Downs. Take 5, huh.
Now, you're also doing this thing over with horseshoe so we
talked about what they're doing for Veterans Day tomorrow.
Yes, please. Because this is like, I think
really awesome every year mean Ashley Rachel gave me a bit but
this year I didn't get one but it's okay.
Whatever. Racial living short this year,
I'm not gonna lie, we got a bet. Go ahead Lily talking about it.
So let me put mine up, let me pull this out.
The, you know, I Really want to get the email up.
I apologize. Great radio, I'm sorry.
And I'll give a little context while you're alive.
Louise doing that. So this is Li do the pick five
promotion. Yeah.
Horseshoe gives us, 250 bucks to wager and they put it into the
pool and it is I've put my ticket together.
I made sure to do it before I got here.
I just I didn't want to have to worry about it tonight or
tomorrow. And so I got mine done, it's
$252. There were your give, it a
little bit of leeway on either side of 250 bucks and it all
goes in. They match that donation for a
local organization in Indian any in the Indianapolis area for
veterans. And if you win your bet, they'd
pay you your amount of the BET and then they donate a match of
that to the veterans organization.
And so, what we're trying to do is you're It's rock and a hard
place here because you'd love to hit that longer, take it that is
owns 20 25 Grand to make horseshoe, write a big check but
also just want to hit the damn bet to write like that you wanna
make sure that that happens to. So we're doing a that the
website for that is H fa V. Excuse me, Agent.
Vaf of Indiana dot-org. H.
V AF of Indiana dot-org and they are essentially an organization
that helped you know, homeless vets in the Indianapolis area.
And you know, so, that is They've asked me, this is two
years in a row. Now, they've asked me to do
this. It's really humbling to be
involved with this and so hopefully, that's it.
We put together. I've actually had several people
look over the ticket for me to make sure that I'm not leaving.
Anybody obvious out, at least and so have to have your
opinions in a pick five ticket, but I want to make sure I did my
best for them, so, there you go. Alright, so that's going on
horseshoe tomorrow being very mundane.
Thanks, I get in the pick. Lemons, thanks for all of our
veteran listeners. We really appreciate what you do
for our country and the fact that we can have the freedoms
that allow us to even The show which in some countries probably
won't even be possible. I mean, honestly, so dope and
then we get the broadcast those countries which makes it even
better. Eat it.
Eat it. I will you claiming crowned a
believe it or not, I've had a horse that I owned.
We're racing the claim ground days.
Oh, look at you go down. 2011 or so if I had to guess.
Yeah, and I'm telling you right now.
So what we did is we had a Syndicate which was kind of ran
the kind of like a mutual fund. Like we might had two horses and
we might have four horses. You never know, you know you did
know. I'm But they're the people who
are running Cindy camera constantly claiming horses if we
would have horses claimed and whatever else and we actually
had two horses that day running and cleaning Crown Races.
Neither one of them one but it was still like it was really
really exciting. Like for the for the lower.
I mean really when you talk about there are some trainers
that just like specialized with this level of racing.
No question. They race often but in they know
how to position their horses to pay the bills.
I mean that's basically what these guys are trying to do.
They gotta hit the board and pay the bills and there's a it's
like it's really almost two completely different sports.
When you talk about the horror, the trainers for stakes races
and the trainer's this level going from Breeders Cup to this,
I had to completely change my mentality about how his
handicapping, for example, thank God.
I had done the Friday at a horseshoe Indianapolis because
it's all state breads. So you know, a maiden special
weight might have a 33 buyer as the highest returning buyer, you
know, that kind of thing and And so I getting back into this kind
of racing. The cool part is I think is
because there's these horses run at lower levels, there's more
consistency with them whereas if you run a lot of grade 1 grade
2, you're not going to pick those all off, right?
You're gonna hit the board, maybe a couple times but you
know you're not going to win, you know, not everybody's flight
line, you're not just going to pick all those off your not
modern games whatever and so this has been a cool opportunity
actually to dig back in. It's very different kind of
handicapping and I think this is such a cool day.
Can you talk about that little? Can you talk about how you had
to adjust your handicapped? Sure, I get that.
Part of the show, right? Yeah, so I think a lot of this,
you know, the first thing I do is I look for horses that are on
streaks of winning and the other part of this is the drops in
class here are so much more obvious, okay?
Because if a horse is running in a high-level allowance at
Keeneland, it's better than the company that's here for the
stakes. Race, For example, you know, for
example, in the first race, and I'll just give it away Mike.
If you want to introduce the race, I could talk about my
handicapping that way we can go for, okay, we can do it.
So this is race seven which starts the pick five, we're only
talking. About Star Lounge races today.
This is an eight thousand dollar race mile and a 16th on the turf
going to be real interesting Louis also does just see how the
turf looks at church. All right now, correct, we're
getting some rain tomorrow so it'll be interesting to see what
they're doing on Saturday could be getting dumped by right.
I mean it's not just a little bit because that's honoring.
Lots of lot more wind coming. Phillies and mirrors here, three
year, olds and up, 150 thousand dollars on the line.
Who's did you like this was? You said there was a real
obvious as I would. You said.
Yeah, so you know, this is a starter allowance for horses
that have been at a claiming price Twenty-five thousand
dollars or lower. And so I'll horses that were in
that group. Before I this is a chance of a
single for example. And the reason is sunny one, the
4 is in here. If you look where this horse has
been running, it's been running a Keeneland Kentucky Downs
before that at Horseshoe Indianapolis one at Horseshoe
Indianapolis three back by open likes five open links in a
starter allowance like this. Race came back.
Ran in the ladies Turf. Great three at Kentucky Downs.
Ran fifth to only lost by two lengths.
Toodle ikke. Well, that's pretty horse pull
doulica okay. Wow I was back last time out at
Keeneland, wins an allowance race at the distance - 16th
hundred. Twenty thousand dollar allowance
so comes back off that Kentucky Downs Turf runs well at
Keeneland is going to come over here.
So if that horse runs well at Kentucky Downs and at Keeneland,
I don't care what the conditions are on Saturday.
Sunday, one's going to run a big race.
Keeps James. Graham in the irons here for
Connor Murphy and so should be a really, really good opportunity
for a single. What's amazing?
Is the train. Only Hits it like 12%, and all
of them are this horse and so that's what we're talking about.
When we talk about claiming Crown is a bunch of guys
grinding and trying to make it, you know, trying to make a check
of these races. Like you mentioned Mike with
horses that want to run and our you know our hit the board and
doing the thing. And this is absolutely one of
those races where you can go shorter with Sonny one.
I do think there are some other horses in here that you could
use, if you wanted to bye-bye birdies in this field has won
five times this year, it 11 runs, that's the nine horse, for
lots of Great Estate experience on that horse to I mean tons, In
the Santa Margarita out at Santa Anita in the misdirection
Brandon gets horses like blue stripe, legs Galore, private
Mission Etc. Bye-bye birdie did run second in
in the misdirection which is a listed.
Spritz takes we are going to turns here but that's the kind
of horse that letter Powell has on for a long time.
There's train for a long time. Scuse me and is actually up for
sale at Keeneland right now, and so be interesting to see what he
ends up doing one, an allowance at La Salle, over six, furlongs
on the dirt recently and it's going to try the turf.
Here over two turns and still be interesting as well to see if
she does and less than that. Tyler is on Starship.
Malam Alomar, who really is probably five to one only
because Tyler's on board. Correct, you're happy about it.
I'm going to get Tyler. I'm telling you right now,
Tyler. So freaking awesome Leslie.
Yeah, we met Tyler and you're going to probably have a pretty
good day. I will if you see, Tyler on
something that's greater than 7 1821 like just put you dollars
on it is worth it, take the money.
Alright, we're going to move on. To the next race which is race
eight, another against our allowance rates.
This is a hundred thousand dollar purse.
It's a 64 long Sprint on the dirt for three-year-olds and up.
Louis is this one going to? We're going to spread a little
bit more here, we are. But by the way, this is for
horses that have run at least once for eight thousand dollar
claiming price or less my lifetime.
That's awesome. So you know in this race
actually I landed on three horses.
The one horse coming out of Indiana.
Grand has One is last five. So, something in these kinds of
level of races is, I'm just looking for winners.
What I'm trying to pick my top horses, we get a single in the
last race. Silver, Moon Road here for 21,
Randy, clap. We know that name up at
Horseshoe, he and Sammy, our Bermudas are hitting together
22% pretty solid number here. This horse is definitely part of
that. This is a get out front.
Stay out front type very, very fast running one tens and 10.
Threes in 64, a long five and a half, for a long type races is
actually dropping weight to run in this company has been running
with one. Before and 122 drops down to
120. But those five wins this year,
our after the move to the clock Barn.
So it's been a very, very good move out of the Tom Vander, Berg
bar into the Randy Cloud Barn has won five straight.
And by the way, that includes sloppy, go good, go fast go.
So if the track is even a little bit wet, this horse is going to
be just fine as well. I lay down the ten horse in the
second spot and we're going to talk about a very cool horse in
the third spot. Powerfully-built is coming in
here. This is the Tyler horse at least
partly picking a just because of that.
What is last? Two sits on the Move in the
barn. Here, both at six.
Furlongs, what at Monmouth? And one the Delaware I like
that. The horse.
One over several different surfaces is 6420 lifetime at the
distance. Like I mentioned, 242 last two
out career best speed figure last time out for this six year
old gelding. So there, but they must be doing
something right in the barn. They're not a combination, you
see very often. But when the horse shipping in
from the east coast to be able to book, Tyler, I think is a big
deal and then the seven Beverly Park is running for the twenty
sixth time this year. Holy cow has won 12 of those
races is 345 at Churchill Downs. So this is One of the few horses
in this field and on this day, that has a lot of experience at
Churchill Downs. 22, wins and 42 lifetime starts this horse.
Just picks off starter allowances.
This is what he does Norm cash moves from all over the country.
This year, he is One races at Charles Town.
Belle Terre, Churchill Downs, thistledown.
Did you do do that is Timonium? Which is the State fairgrounds
in, Maryland, came back, one at Churchill Downs and last time I
want to Charlestown And they take this horse everywhere and
he kicks ass everywhere. That's what he does.
So you can't leave him out here tickets.
I mean, you can but you're stupid.
Rob has got Ralph has got experience all ride him as well
raffle bejarano so he knows the horse.
So that's a nice thing as well. So I laid it 17-7 in this race
and of course that horse Beverly park has won three out of his
last four right there. And let me tell people a little
about Timonium. It's kind of like it's kind of
like the Bristol of NASCAR's, you know, the short track,
right? It's kind of the Pimlico of
Pimlico. I want to see how long the track
is. I can't remember, time is its
tiny, right? I think it's, I think it's five
furlongs. Wow, maybe six and so it's a the
fairground tractor knows a lot of people who probably have
never even heard of that track before.
But again, it's a really like an inch.
It's a really interesting place and they do the sales there
because they have so much space. And so it's a, it really does
make sense, especially for the Of where it is because it's
closer to the farms in Maryland. And so yeah, they run a 78 day
kind of schedule there at the Maryland state fair.
And you know we you know if you live in California if you have
Northern California the state fairs are where you go to watch
races in your town. Yep.
I mean good Golden Gate's out, you know, they're running at all
the different, all the State Fairgrounds out there so we
we're just not used to that here, you know, and if it
happens around in the midwest, it's usually harness racing at
some of the the fairgrounds in that sort of thing.
We had Thurber has been on the coast, they'll run.
In in the, in the State Fairgrounds.
So sodium is one of those. Some of the best pictures.
If you, if you want to Google those with the with the carnival
rides in the background is the horses are rounding, the final
turn. Okay, we're going to move on to
race 9 halfway through our card starts also.
The late pick three. This is a seven for a long race
on the dirt. So we'll just start about
halfway up the mail Chute, and we are going to have 125,000
dollars on. This is also 3 year olds and up
little bit of a higher class horse.
Louis, who did you land on in this one?
This is my biggest spread race of the day, and I think the
morning line maker sort of agrees with me on that.
I landed on the 8th again or the one again, as my top horse eight
straight starts, hitting the board for this horse.
Ragtime Blues has been running all over the place at different
levels, including at Saratoga Aqueduct, Laurel, Pimlico Parks
before, that one, at parks, in that race that I mentioned has
been in the, in the, in the breeding Barn, for the last
couple of races as one one of Those rents Second Twice.
It's kind of an every other type horse.
Picks up, Paco Lopez here which I really like and should get it
should get a good ride here. He's a, he's okay being in
second or third. So I don't think the real hurts
him too much. Especially, you know, my coming
out of that shoot at Churchill Downs.
You actually have moved room to move over make an adjustment
once you get onto the make track and so that shouldn't have
dressed shouldn't bother him too much.
Then I went to the five, no burn, who's one half of his
races this year, hit the board in eight of ten that he's
running in his last four races. For example, second first,
second first, before that first, first first, third by 3/4 of a
length. So this horse is always part of
the equation. Are you telling me that we could
have like coming down the stretch in this race?
Because PSI is and Paco Lopez. Absolutely.
And then we could like, like see a brawl afterwards could be
like, yeah, Tyler just blows by at all or said as colleges and
like those dude. And so this horse is
consistently runs with 90, 90 plus speed figures, we're
talking about a seven for a long Sprint.
Aunt has been riding with Dylan Davis.
I think the Buddha Louis, I is a major upgrade here and so that's
a positive has been running in handicaps allowances, an
optional claimers, the last four out.
So in better company as well, this is a twenty thousand
dollar. Breeding job was a 40,000 dollar
sale at the cute list of Timber sale.
Has earned over 300 K it is Lifetime.
One of those horses that I always refer to as Mike, of
course, of a lifetime. And then, the two Divine leader
I Circle here, because I think Edgar Morales is on The
precipice hero being a very, very good writer in the midwest
on the Kentucky Derby around the Kentucky Circuit.
Second last time out at Keeneland in an allowance,
similar level of this by ahead with Edgar aboard, the Queen's
Jewels is back in this race, as well.
Randall, a lifetime best number in that race before that for
back and five back ran first and second at Churchill Downs on
this track. So, I like that as well, 24-6
lifetime at Churchill with a 90 speed figure.
So I think that has a chance to be something, the 12 that I just
mentioned. Is is the queen Jewels.
I mean and I love the Tom Vandenberg florell, Giroux
combination here. One right here.
Yeah. 12:45 22% together at Churchill Downs, their last 18
together, the lat, Tom Tom van osburgh's stats, as well, 21% in
Sprints, and 17% of his horses, who won their last start, come
back and win again. And so while this horse hasn't
put together back-to-back wins in quite some time, he has been
running a company and his last his last five races first s by
3. A third, third by 3/4, and
another win. And so this horse is always part
of the equation and at 12:45 I think is awesome value.
Then it look to the nine. Lieutenant, Junior grade ran a
98 speed figure last time at Keeneland.
So who the heck knows maybe the horse.
Could replicate that. Again beat, Matt craw and
attorney, Michael everybody. My excuse me, last time out at
Keeneland in a blistering, 110 over that six furlongs.
It's so we'll see if that's something that they can, that
they could replicate with that horse.
And then I laid it on the six, as well, family man, because
it's Tyler. And I think that sometimes on
these days, these are the horses that just dominate after
breaking his Maiden at 10K in a maiden 10, Family man has only
run in starter allowance company.
So this horse is used to this sort of level.
So I went 15 to 12 9 and 6 in this race, grab as many as you
can, you know, fail, me and some bleach could be a horse for the
show to write it. Looks like a 10K.
Yeah, I think he'll be out for claim for 10K ohm.
All right, Race 10 again, another star announced, this is
a mile and an eighth on the Dirt 3 year olds and up hundred
seventy-five thousand dollars here.
But we're gonna go to turns for the first time.
Well, As we did in lecture 7 as well.
Yeah, I'm first. Time in the dirt.
Who do we like in this one? Louis.
Very cool race. This is for horses that have
been at a 35,000 level or lower. So you actually get a fair
amount of horses that were probably in from maidan, tag at
that level and didn't get claimed.
So, for example, benevento, the one ran in a maiden, 25.
At a first time out, didn't get claimed, they immediately put
this horse in optional claimer category.
Ran in the Haskell this year. It didn't work out, but finish,
fifth didn't even finish last hope five out of eight horses in
that race. Last time comes back runs at
Pimlico and wins by seven and a half lengths in a listed stakes
and we get to get that horse here because he broke his Maiden
at 25k, it a maiden. So that's a real thing to kind
of look at to what are the conditions of these races,
right? So the fact that he broke his
Maiden at that level, I think goes away because this horse ran
forth in in the slop at Monmouth in a listed Stakes.
Comes back wins an optional claimer, they run them in the
freaking Haskell, right? Doesn't work.
But comes back at Pitt. They give a little bit of time
off, comes back at Pimlico, wins wins for fun and I mean for
freaking fun at Pimlico and so if that if that's the kind of
for p-branes to Churchill Downs just forget about it, this could
be a potential second single in the sequence, but I'm going to
try to beat him just because he's making the trip.
I'm going to try to beat him with decision maker who's a
horse has had success at Churchill Downs.
One last time out that the horse ran here, this horse with with
Tom Vander Berg seems to flip between turf and dirt going from
Turf to dirt last 14 times Tom Vander Berg has won six of
those. So huge percentage 43% doing
that exact thing. So I'm going to hope that that
holds up the form has been there as well.
Brandon Kentucky Downs over a mile and 5/16 on the turf and
was third by a neck that horse was actually in the lead a
furlong before that. So to me that speaks to a horse
that at this, kind of distance is going to be very, very, very
much part of the equation floral Drew back aboard.
They put it back on the turf. Last timeout, didn't like it.
Let I don't hold that against the horse and frankly, I think
that's the kind of race where he jogged in didn't use.
A lot of energy, he's going to have it all here.
So my long shot of the day is actually going to be decision
maker on top here. The 821 price on him, not that
much of a long shot, but I think, I think you'll get eight
ten twelve to one on that horse. And that's, that's a really,
really nice. Number Intrepid heart is in this
race. Tyler, got family-owned is
aboard. This horse has won, its last
run, its last three at Churchill, all 90-plus speed
figures. I worry about that horse as the
morning line favorite because he seems to have a case of the The
s. S s s s s his last five times
out that bothers me a lot but the speed figures are there so
maybe he was just in better company but if he was why aren't
those horses here? Maybe they don't qualify but he
did run in the fort Larned and he ran second, maybe we're
talking about this race a little bit differently.
Had he pulled ahead in that race and then I think you have to
look at the 10. This is a horse.
We just talked about Mike, our nation on Parade.
One that Marilyn Milling classic and absolutely dominating style
if we get any kind of class out of these Ghosts in these fields,
especially from that Maryland, circuit or the New Jersey
circuit. He could be a problem as well.
So 8 15 and 10 in the feature, on this car I'm going to take a
long shot here with number two frosted Grace.
Yeah, sure at 12:40 this horse is coming off to great start
last timeout. Raina, a really impressive win
at Keeneland on October 15th with a 102 speed.
Figure ran a 93 spec for your Churchill Downs, the race before
that 21. Man, this is a horse who's been
in some big time graded stakes races before You know, never
really performed at that level. Sure this is a horse that I
think that could definitely be worth the long shot.
Play with a two-horse okay, race 11, we're going to go mile and a
16th on the turf and we are were for three-year-olds.
And up here, 150,000 our race Louie.
Who's going to win to wrap up? Our pick five ticket here.
Yeah. Lifetime, claiming pressure 25k
or less. I landed.
I agree with the favorite here. Mike maker toggle family-owned
one-night. In towards the four horse.
Here has been running at high level allow its company last
couple times on including a win at Kentucky Downs over that mile
course there again, excuse me if those if those horses come out
of Kentucky Downs and they can run their kind of, doesn't worry
me about the conditions of the turf course, on Saturday at
Churchill Downs. So, I like that a lot.
And then I went to the outside to the 11, which is freedom
matters, of course, this horses from Florida.
And so we're doing all kinds of different distances.
Doesn't do a lot of to turn stuff, but last time he did, he
want it Colonial over a mile, and a sixteenth on the turf.
We've seen a lot of horses. Come out of allowance races at
Colonial and performed really well at other tracks.
And so, looking for that form Again.
One Last Time, Out of Kentucky Downs in an optional claimer
under Ed guards. Ayahs who makes the trip for
this race, which I really like saffy Joseph, Junior ship in
this one. In the two of them hit together
29 percent. So that's an incredible number.
A lot of those are in Florida. I absolutely admit that.
But saffy, of course, going Sprinter out at 23 percent as
well. So I think, He's got this horse
well positioned as well and that I'll look to the nine which is
Big agenda. I'm really talking in the last
one here but I think there's a reason has been running in in
claimers in New York but has been running really well in
them. And so and listen to the last
three jockeys on this horse, Jose Ortiz, I read RTS, Javier
Castellano, you don't book. Those kinds of riders unless you
think you got a serious shot to pick up a check.
And so I ended up for 11 and 9 in that part of the sequence, my
total ticket costs about $180 And I think that if it hits its
freezer pretty reasonable ticket, especially considering
we only have one single. All right, so Louis, we're
gonna, we're gonna end up right here, big things coming for us
in November, you want. Let's just real quick, just kind
of talk about what our post Breeders Cup, you know, white
kind of looks like and as we kind of transition into 2023,
we're going to go for the next couple weeks together as we take
you into the Clark handicap, and we're actually will go to the
cigar my After the week after that as well too.
And then, and then I kind will do will do a live show from
Churchill Downs o'clock Friday by the way?
Probably not. You got that way about yourself
first. You might be there, but I won't
be there. Yeah, I know.
All right, I got Thanksgiving plans with the family on Friday.
Yeah. Okay.
Okay, the wife's family. Okay, yeah, well, I thought
that's why we were talking. Now, that's why we're talking
about. It makes plans without talking
to me first. Like this is just for the show
out there with Daniel. That's all I know.
Oh, you're doing that. Okay.
So that we actually would probably be the show because I'm
sure we're not going to record on that Thursday.
If we record on Wednesday, we might do that.
So we might not repine, I can record on Thanksgiving Day,
great. I'm not against it though, I
don't know. But then we'll head into the
offense dude. But you're not talking about
Thanksgiving Day. That's probably true.
Like the Salukis next week, for example.
Yeah, right at Churchill. So we'll talk about that card
next week. And then after that, you know,
we do get into the into, right. Or, but that's the the Cardinal,
the Fall City, etc. Those are going to be big races
on the 24th, and then of course, think save you a lot of really
great your two-year-old races on Thanksgiving, right?
Yeah. And the goldenrods coming up the
Kentucky, Jockey Club, all those races on the 26th of November.
And so ya know there's lots of good races and then you know,
you know you just have to decide if you're staying on till the
cigar Mi essentially. Yeah.
And then you kind of transitioned talk about what
you're doing. Turf way.
Yeah, so well I mean it's not just hard way we'll be In lots
of different courses, you know, Delmar Turfway.
Those sorts of things that are open in December, January
February. I'm going to start doing
one-on-one interviews with people in the industry that do
different stuff. Whether it's clockers or it is
people on the gambling side or its people on the track
management side, whatever it might be, we'll do some
one-on-one things and then we'll have a second segment of me just
given out a little bit of a sequence but look for those
shows in the winter it will kind of keep you will keep you warm
and toasty and occupied through the the dog days of horse.
And the stories of what happens behind the scenes and who those
people are. And it's a good chance I think
to get to meet some of them. And frankly it's because of an
TWA V that we got the Rolodex that we do now and we'll be able
to talk to more people that way too.
Well, I mean and that's such a cool thing to do just to give
people some insight scoop on on the different jobs that taste
for these horses, this show up in the track and what they do
and what it entails and there's amazing people and these people
that have been doing these for a really long time, you know.
So it'll be kind of cool to kind of Kind of showcase the everyday
Horsemen, you know, and not just that not just the owners from
the trainers and jockeys and stuff like that.
So yeah, it'll be fun. Will try to pull the curtain
back. A little bit for everybody that
listens and hopefully those, hopefully people enjoy the shows
will keep going. We haven't been I'll pop back on
as we get into Pegasus and start talking about what our Eclipse
award ballot. Looks like, for this time out,
which will be a lot of fun and we'll start going straight to
Triple Crown season and you know, we're planning, some big
things, nothing really official dinner.
Just yet. But we're planning on trying to
do some great things and bring you even better coverage in
2023. We think 20 or 30, a big year
for the show. That's basically comes down to
right? Lily what do you all right?
Well we're going to pay the tab. We're going to get out of here.
This has been another edition of