Matt Rybaltowski joins the show. Louis talks his Pick 3 for Jerome Day at Aqueduct.
Kicking off 2023 with Matt Rybaltowski and Louis’s Pick 3 for Aqueduct
Full Transcript
All right, everybody. Welcome in brand-new 2023
addition. Horse racing.
Happy hour. I'm your guy Louis Robo, hanging
out with you wherever you are in the world.
And I mean, wherever you might be in the world happy new year.
Thanks for joining us today. Wanted to give a shout out to
some of the people were hanging out with today of course and
every week and at least through 2023 will be hanging out with
green tea, green tea raising.com.
Check out my picture on Saturdays tonight.
We are drinking the 100-proof Cooper's craft from our friends,
brown-forman down the street here in Louisville, and I'm
going to take the band Off of the cigar because they did not
pay me to smoke it and then I'm going to talk to my friend, Matt
Rebels, house key back of the house how are you tonight?
Great, Happy New Year, we were going to have you on your
birthday and then you decided to become.
I don't know if it's a term but in plagued I think is the term
that is correct for you. So if you care to share with the
audience, what happened to you, Your birthday, you poor guy but
yeah I went to Vegas for a gaming industry conference and
my sister lives in Philly. So so I flew back there and it
was completely fine drove back to the Albany area on my
birthday and started to feel it. You know, coughing
intermediately. Felt a little fatigued.
I also got fatigued. Are we freezing?
Is everyone Frozen? Welcome to the horse racing.
Happy hour. This is your host zehner because
my other hosts have left. New Year.
Mike's not back yet. Still can't hear you.
Welcome back. Matt just like your birthday.
You brought with you the plague Louis and Matt, let's go.
Well, who's going to tell us? What is that soup whiskey?
Yeah, a little tea tea and homie.
You have an awesome Zach I do live in Austin.
Awesome. One of the things we're talking
about is because I got an RV. This last fall is looking at
some races in Texas and in Louisiana for this year that's
actually one of the surprises for this year is we're going to
possibly bring the RV out and we'll run the show from the RV.
The RV has its own Are not connection with with a on
sponsored company and so we'll get internet and we'll be able
to have like, it's about 110 square feet inside the RV when
you put it all out. So we've got fridge stove,
microwave Grill, all that stuff. And we'll be able to basically
have a lot of intimate man time, which will be nice.
Well yeah, very intimate, man time.
So I'm very much looking Good for you, that's good 11.
So there won't be that much into.
This is what we will be able to Hope is that we can do some
sit-down interviews and things like that at the RV and and not
have to worry as much about the pre and post-race stuff.
We can schedule stuff with people and say like, hey, you
know, before the race has started or the day after won't
you come out to the RV and will, Set up some chairs and a table
and pull you in for an interview.
Get out of the way so you guys can talk.
All right, so curious. There you go.
My apologies to everybody. I don't know if that was Matt or
B or both, but this is the horse-racing happy are back at
it with minute five, if you have stuck with us so far, we
appreciate you very much. Matt did you get through your
story of your horrific illness? So I think I would I was cut off
at the second when I, when I tested positive, you know that
it was always one of my birthday wishes over the last week.
Here's was positive and knock on wood.
I was good all throughout that time and on my birthday that was
someone's birthday present. I received was was a positive
test. So like I said before, I really
wanted to go on the show that week and take part in the
year-end review, but literally I cannot speak like you can come
out here and he texted me the night before you were like I
can't talk to you. About your article anyway and I
wanted to have you on to chat about it and because you know
we've talked on this show a lot and I'm sure people might be a
little tired of hearing about it, but who's going to be that
crossover, branding, that's going to be able to allow you to
not necessarily mingle the funds, obviously, for legal
reasons, but allowed you to use a single app to bet on Sports.
Bet on horses, I'll run the Gambit essentially and there was
a cool deal that happened in the fall or at least an interesting
to you. I shouldn't call it cool but an
interesting deal that happened in the Falk.
You tell the folks listening about that.
At. Yeah, yeah, it was, it was a few
weeks ago, to wrap things, became the official sports book
of Churchill Downs and what, what happened was before that at
the start of the year 2000 when spires for a while, took a shot
at sports betting and just really poorly to be frank in
some states. They only receive one.
Market share or so. And so, so, Churchill pull the
plug on on sports betting. But what you're saying among the
major operators? Now is that all of them are are
dipping their toes into sports betting.
So the new Venture is going to be called DK horse and so so
DraftKings is going to be the front-facing brand for For all
aw ADW wagering with with, or chill on the sports, betting
side. So with DraftKings in it and now
you have DraftKings and FanDuel points, bet Caesars and bet MGM
all have horse racing apps, so slowly.
But surely, you're saying the the sports book operators become
involved on the fourth side. So it's kind of weird that it
finally happened, kind of explain to people there's
there's a large difference between taking bets on Sports
and taking bets on horses because it's obviously you know
the pair of mutual thing is very different than betting against
the house, right? Can you kind of explain the
difference of how an outfit like decays get it gets paid through
a horse wager rather than, you know, betting, the Giants - 3,
something like that? Yeah, well you you'll see, you
know, especially in the pool. All the way that that different
favorites are priced. You see them in now in the
Kentucky Derby Futures, right? Maybe the lowest the lowest shot
on the board, Arabian Night is Arabian Night, and Forte.
There are around ten to Fifteen to one in the sports.
Betting, Futures pool like, like the bills, and the Chiefs odds.
Are much lower plus 350 on the bills in the four to five
hundred grains range for the Chiefs so that that benefits the
the better a little more on the horse racing side because his
odds are are better there. Yeah.
Only the coolest out come of it is that you have multiple spots
to go? Get those kinds of numbers,
right? Yeah.
That's so one of those competition, an area, right?
Yeah, yeah, there are in some states.
There are still regulatory changes that need to be made
because States prevent a tws from being in the comic, common
wallet for sports betting. So if you want to have an ADW
account and a sports betting account, add a, you know, our to
Draft Kings are a bet MGM it has to be separate, but that's
something that all the sports books are.
Working on to to get it all in the same channel there and
that's within you within those apps.
You'll be able to say let's say I hit a 10 to 1 horse and turf
way and I want to turn around and bet the Monday night game,
you know, herb. That's a bad example.
But the Thursday night game, something like that, you think
eventually you'll be able to move those funds over and make
that bet. Well yeah, those regulatory
changes need to be made but Eventually, it looks like that's
where the industry is, is headed and it's just a need to change,
right? Because yeah, I agree.
I think was known as patients and take those bonds and you
know, like oh, take your winner from Remington Park and then
edit on the bed and on the Jack's Titans game on Saturday
immediately after so no, it's cool.
It's so what's, what do you think the future is here?
Do you see a more Or I mean is it going to be slow like New
York and Florida? Get ahead of the game here and
then some other states figure it out or like a West Virginia gets
ahead of it because they always seem to be weirdly ahead of
things, the gambling site or Louisiana or something, or do
you see it more as once one of them doesn't most of them will
do it. Yeah.
Yeah. We talked about this book before
over the summer, with the proliferation of fixed odds and
I think I think a lot of states are taking a wait-and-see
approach and that they want. Fixed odds, take off.
And they want to see tangible proof.
That Bettors are really interested in it before other
states adopted. The biggest one is New York that
I think they, they want to see more evidence that, that betters
in New Jersey are interested before never bets adopts fixed
odds. And that's why It hasn't
happened yet. So yeah, maybe this summer for
the Saratoga meet, that's something that that New York
will consider. But again, there are, there are
legislative changes that are needed for fixed odds.
To be approved. Their current check out all of
his stuff. Where was that article actually
add? Which I, which of your sites for
the giraffe pings, one, that was a nurse I call.
The u.s. bats USPS.com, I think that's at u.s. underscore bets.
By the way, on Twitter, the funnel fun follow over there as
well. Well good, man, you know, we
talked about that it like the actually on this show we went
over that article and so hopefully people aren't you
tired of hearing about it but I mean, it look without the
gambling, this board, doesn't matter, right frankly.
And so have to go to some kind of Saudi model.
And frankly, the cash just as rolled around this country like
like it's out of your area. We need someone to pay for these
pools. So I voted on the eclipse award
for the first time ever this year, Matt.
And I know that there are and I heard somebody say the other day
they think that there needs to be more categories and I thought
good God what? Yeah no it doesn't need to be
more generous. People outside of horse that a
year and older dirt male going to Flightline.
Did you? Did you have one that you felt?
Maybe you were a little bit different on.
I think I don't know about you who he bought it.
I think. Yeah.
The most contentious one is Ismail Sprinter, right?
Yeah. I think that's her.
Yeah, because strike power be Jackie's Warrior.
And they're only mad soap and it happened to be the Breeders Cup
Sprint. You could argue that in his two,
most important races of the Year, Jackie's Jackie Warrior
lost, both of them. But on the other hand, he was
14, pretty big races. So yeah.
So it's probably between those two, I wouldn't really consider
Cody's wish Sprinter, you know, he he won the 77 Furlong race
before. Go against Jackie's, Warrior.
And then the dirt Mi do those two really aren't sprint races.
Think you have to look at a pure Sprinter as a sixth Borough
Longhorn. So if there's a two horses for
that category, it would be between those two.
Would you have Jack, Christopher, your top three
then? Yeah, probably yeah.
I he's one of those horses him and Matt Arabia on the
three-year-old side that I wish would have run just a little bit
more because I think they could have made some noise.
As I don't know, the matter is catching and asked are, you
know, a secret oath or spend a rail or something like that but
I think if she wins a couple more races she's interesting.
And then you know, Jack Christopher outside of going to
turns on the Haskell was freaking excellent.
Yeah. Against three year olds, right?
And may have gotten more play in that very complicated
three-year-old male category. I had job serve on for the last
of the Year interview episodes which you and I are continuing
now, where would you land on three-year-old male, if you have
them? So, so we go with every Center,
one modern games to and table 3, okay?
Those are my top three. I have them in a little
different of a doctor season. I had ended up putting modern
Games first because I think that his two best wins.
Are the two best wins by three rule this year.
And so I just I decided to put him in the first spot.
I did land on epicenter in the second spot because I do think
the Traverse field was probably the best three year old
restricted field and then I do have table third because I think
you can't You can't look past all of the grade W, right?
I mean it's a point. You have to give him credit.
I was right there with CyberKnife.
I thought the CyberKnife had a really really nice year as well.
John said for him, the reason he didn't vote for for modern games
is that for him, the three-year-old male is about the
Triple Crown Series. Does that way into your head as
well, because you just gave you a horse.
A didn't win, a classic race ended up winning the Traverse,
but I imagine the reason you would put up a center ahead of a
modern games is more races in the United States.
Number one but also he was part of that process as well.
Yeah, definitely. I I can't remember a time when a
three-year-old Turf specialist has 13 year, old horse of the
year. Yeah, I agree with that being
said, you, you might select modern games as male Turf course
of the year. I got them for both.
Yeah. Yeah.
Among all categories I think there were Only three horses in
North America. That 12 grade ones that's modern
games Santino and cassock read, but to your point before one of
them was the Woodbine mile outside of the the u.s.
So that's why voters might be a little reticent to put modern
games there in terms of epicenter.
I just I thought that Travers performance was absolutely
awesome here Ran 159 and change and that that was the fastest
time in the Travers in the last 25 years, besides error Gates
time and tactically. He's just ran a perfect race
there. He stalked, he sat right on the
pace and pounced down the stretch.
I think another Factor on why epicenter deserves it is.
Are you finished second in the first two, two legs of the
Triple Crown and then you really have to throw out his Breeders
Cup Classic to because of the guitar.
Yeah right. Yeah because you got hurt so so
you don't know if he was completely healthy in that case
he definitely could have contended for second with
Olympiad and the others. So yeah, I would go with
epicenter. First.
Any other categories where you felt like there was an obvious
winner or not. I thought the most obvious was
probably breeder with good dolphin Flightline.
Obviously horse of the year, older, dirt mail, where would
you have landed with older? Dirt female.
Do you think do you think malice that did enough to win that
category? Yeah, pretty handily.
I agree with you. Yeah, especially the way she she
finished the year, winning the personal and zooming in the
close race and then Our that, that was a really deep field in
the in the distaff where she won that race to, and yeah, very
good field. In an unbelievably good race.
Yes. Oh, unbelievable.
Yeah, it was a thrilling finish. I would say, clearly are had a
really strong year, he's in my top three shit, a great year.
Ya, and, ya know, looking forward.
It's encouraging to see how she does this year.
Could be once who between her and and nest in that category.
Yeah, if good night, Oliver comes back to sprintin.
I think she's gonna have something to say about it
because I think she's gonna pick off a bunch of races.
Again, she ended it she laid into my top three as well.
So and she was my females printer this year.
So yeah, no interesting sort of stuff.
I was telling John what are the fattest things for me was
thinking about American Turf racing that how bad it is.
It's just not great, right? It makes me sad.
The horse was that largely ran outside of the United States for
my top of the, you know, I went to bother games the rebels
romance for by talked to Emile Turf and then I decided to stay
with a horse that's been running mostly United States or think
exclusively. If I'm remembering more like
goddess on the females. Yeah, I thought she was.
I thought she was the best of that group and so kind of an
easier one for me there. But you know, made me kind of
sad. I have a little different in the
two year old category because while Wonder Wheel did nothing
wrong and I think she's going to easily win the Philly, I voted
Hoosier Philly the best because I think she's the best juvenile
in training right now, I've talked about it on this show, I
think he's better than Forte right now.
Even for example who I voted first in my two-year-old male
category, and so I think with Tom Amos says things like baby
will be standing in the Winner's Circle across the track,
referring to the Derby Winner Circle.
That's that is assigned to be. He is not predisposed to, to
hyperbole at all. So that that stood out to me as
something that made me think, okay?
Okay tiles. Be a pretty serious here.
So it's funny you brought her up because I was looking at Derby
Futures. Before we got on, and who's your
Filly is 75 21 at Caesars? Dude, that the the last pool
before she ran her last race, all Phillies was 3282 one and
then she won it. It dropped to like 51.
I mean, like, just just for her one performance there and it's,
it's worthwhile because it's at Churchill Downs.
It's two terms. It's all those things right?
It's what it's what you want to see on that early Trail for
two-year-olds and frankly, we see so much more that
two-year-old Phillies translate to a three-year-old year that we
do on the cold side. So I think that there are a
bunch of people who are like, maybe I'll throw 20 50, 100
dollars on something that I can get 50 to 1 in a Futures pool
rather than at 325 for all other horses.
Whatever that might look like. So what is all other horses at
right now? Now, although other Colts or
whatever, I'm not sure. I want to say anything.
I want to take 30 to 1 or so, but yeah.
Yeah, that's worth mentioning because the, the pool for the
Derby is limited to a certain number of horses and in Vegas,
there's like a thousand. So yeah, it's the difference.
You have to be the Thousand horses.
Yeah, yeah, yeah. There's no value in taking
four-day at 9 to 1, right? Right now in January because
what what's the best that you're going to get them at on Derby
morning, right? Like where we were from 1922?
Yes, exactly, right? Yep, absolutely.
And frankly if you're playing a horse like 40 in the derby and
he's developed the way that he's looked as a two-year-old, you're
not playing them straight up, you're playing them in an Exacta
pool. You're playing them in a
trifecta pool. You're playing it as part of,
you know, the last leg of a pig for something like that.
So that 922 doesn't, it doesn't matter.
Frankly and so Yeah, I'm with you on that so but no it was it
was interesting and fun to do the the eclipse awards for the
first time. But I'm excited this weekend
because we do get the Jerome the east coast and then we get the
Sham out west. And in my mind this is always
kind of the start of the Derby prep season.
I know that we have points races before this, and I think, I
think the Oaks season starts earlier.
I think that you can you can glean more from the Phillies in
the to turn races in November, December, But for me that Derby
prep season, really starts this weekend in the drill.
Have you had a chance to look at that field?
I think that your own feel too is kind of weak.
I do. You know the last Derby winner
to come out of draw. Last funny side we were going
for Foose ihe Pegasus. How about well you know what I
like about this is wrong because they have to run a mile and an
eighth. Over two turns in the fall.
And then, they run the acorn over a mile over one turn.
I think the Jerome is perfect because it's a mile, but it's
only one turn. So you have to, you know, it's
technically a route but at least you have to go a mile, right?
We learned something. I think about Colts when they go
full mile over the dirt and so interesting.
The only thing that's really interesting is you get a horse
that was kind of hot early which is Andiamo offer ends in this
group right there with Kelly Green and that horse you know
comes out wins right away. Over a sloppy track at Belmont.
Comes back wins in the mud in the funny side of Saratoga.
Over seven furlongs or six and a half earlier, excuse me.
And and so if it's going to rain in New York tomorrow on Friday,
we might have good muddy conditions on Saturday.
If it doesn't clear up much at at Aqueduct.
I that's the only thing I would say on the handicapping side for
people is kind of look at that wet form on Diablo offer as they
love the slob. And so if it's still wet out
there that might be a horse to play circling, the drain of
course coming out of a to turn Maiden win in Maryland but
that's the kind of horse were Getting here, we're getting
Maryland. Breads were getting fair, you
know, Florida breads, that kind of thing where it's not the
usual, you know, sort of bigger shots, you know, Chad Brown
taking a shot here with who's become one of his favorite
riders. In many Franco with the one
neural network here. Second favorite.
The favorite in this race is Arctic arrogance, which is a
terrific going for a horse. And it really is and because if
anyone doesn't know it, true, that is.
Frosted make sense. Arctic mom is modest bathing So
they flipped it and made it arrogance, which I love.
And so huge speed figures. Last two times out wins runs in
the Remsen in the slop. It still runs a really good
race, but why behind up, you know who people think a ton of
in Italy cropped out, right? So by less than a like half a
length or so and so if he can recreate that kind of form, in
fact, if he can improve in the linearized barn before that
race, he's got a serious shot this weekend.
He's like an 825 kind of favorite on the morning line and
so should be part of the equation.
Asian there. But you know I like the race and
what it, what it represents mad as far as going a mile, you
know, going you know, going that one turn because I think it's
fair for horses at this point in their development, but this
field in particular your right is not incredibly enticing.
Yeah, I think like neural network is three to one or more.
So that's right. Yep, he's the wise guy pick and
then and yeah, diamo diferentes, about 6 to 1.
So yeah, there's some value there.
Especially like you said, if there's a ton of rain there,
that could be a good pic. Yeah, Arctic arrogance has won
over a muddy track, but that was to break his Maiden in September
at Saratoga wet. It Saratoga in September is
different than wet at aqueduct in January.
So it's a little bit different. So we'll see, I'll hold that
shakes out. Oh, Matt, is there anything else
you need to plug man, before we get you out of here?
No, I mean in the Sam it's a six-horse field and For the
sink. There are bathroom horses so
that's kind of ridiculous. I would just say that, I think I
think baffert's, I wouldn't call the Reclamation project, but
2023 could be be his year. You know, like you look at the
top 25 horses in the Kentucky Derby future, wagering pool and
Six of them are baffert's, and then you have tables probably
headed to the Saudi cop and you have defunded and concert
grammar to, so he's gonna stick his partner.
No. Yeah, he could be back with a
vengeance this year after everything that happened.
I think the Sham could be a look ahead to what the Preakness is
going to look like because I think backwards gonna have half
the people to break this. All right, man.
Well, last question for you then because you brought it up, if
you own a horse that's in the backward.
Barn. Do you consider doing something
that isn't the Tim Yak teen route and maybe call up a
pleasure. Call up a brown.
Call up and asthma's and call up the cops something like that.
Yeah, I mean I mean it's a good question it happened a couple of
years ago with like this good, right.
And then life is good went through 2 plus or permanently.
So if you use yakeen of the Assistant trainer or your backup
quarterback per se but fabric could oh, he's reclaim one of
those horses. So I think you should go to the
acting route again. Okay.
Yeah. I think a lot of those owners
will be loyal to baffert that way and go where he says that he
would like them to go. And that was pretty clearly to
me acting went last year and so I think we're going to see a
bunch of that again this year. So it'll be interesting.
Is he still not? It allowed at night, retract the
question, I'm not sure. I know he's not allowed to race
any horses in the Kentucky Derby this year and it's a two-year
ban. So this is the last year.
Yep. I'm not sure about the New York
tracks, there's been constant litigation, so that's all means.
Not sure what the update is. I would say, I think if the dirt
Was wrong that this weekend? My pick would be a raven night
Raven line. Yeah, just from his race at
Keeneland on Breeders. Cup Day impressive.
Yeah. He he shot out of the gate broke
really well. I think the kid 05 length lead
with eighth of a mile laughter so and just cruise home.
So I would take him over Forte and logins.
Great. Now we're I would take, I would
take the double digit odds on Hoosier, Philly, and run to the
bank to get as much money as I thought.
That's what I will be. So his name is Matt Roberts,
house key at Matt Roberts. House key on Twitter, find his
stuff at sports handle. U.s. bets Forbes.
Lots of good places as well. Matt, stay warm up there.
Is it going to get colder? You are you do for snow or
anything up there? Oh, you know skin, you never
know. It's it's been in the 50s.
This week in the Saratoga area, it's crazy.
You go, go four and a half hours away to Buffalo.
And there are people who wrote it down from their cars and it's
yeah, right. Yeah, yeah, their entire homes
were look like icicle. I don't know how people live
their men. I really don't get it.
By the way, you know what? Actually you bring up Buffalo.
and you know with the incident in the game on Monday Night
Football, You know, and we get the good news from the UC
medical staff today that there's been a lot of improvement in his
condition and and apparently he's writing things, he's
cognizant that way. Guess his neural function is
good which is the whole situation is a testament to how
well set up the Bangles are for a catastrophic situation.
I mean it absolutely saved his life how quickly they are of God
and how good do you see folks that they did and so cool.
Most everybody on that side. Now that we know that he's going
to be okay, I think that it's okay to ask the harder, it
assures me the easier questions about this, which is do they
play the game? What do we do with all this
money tied up in Daily sports or in fantasy sports or year-long
fantasy sports? You cover this stuff, what do
you think ends up happening here?
Well, all all phenomenal questions and look like is this
are articulated. First and foremost ever.
Everyone is just relieved that that the Mars condition has
improved. So, so rapidly unbeli.
It's unbelievable. I'm beyond, I'm over the moon
for the guy because I in first family, because I can't imagine
Just watching live where you watching live by chance.
Know, so we all received alerts on our phone and when we saw the
game was delayed and then we turned it on ESPN and saw a
video of it afterwards but my never unsee.
It. Either is, you know, the thing
live that stood out to me was the Bengals players.
Oh my God, someone get out here like just, you know, and how
quickly they recognize Aged get that freaking ambulance out
here. Is back from Canada.
I mean it just it was so it was so impressive how people in that
situation on the medical side were so calm.
So collected, so professional that.
He's in this body is today it's it is absolutely.
Dude, when we were growing up at that doesn't happen and it's a
much sadder story. And so, I'm glad that we've made
those moves and got better at those things.
Yeah, it's like the with the famous LT sack of Joe.
Theismann way. Nam advisement broke his leg and
it it sounded like, like, like like a shock on uncoiled.
Same thing. Like LT like motioned.
Me Bailey. He was so sad.
He was so sad to that over there.
Get over there and my sisters are respiratory therapist at
Children's Hospital of Philadelphia.
So we've been texting back and forth all week on Hamlin's
condition and she said that there, There's a stat of when
you go into cardiac arrest. And if your, your heart is not
revived, at least 3 minutes late.
If you don't go undergo CPR, at least three minutes later, the
survival rate is 25%. So that's that's just speaks to
like how impressive the response was and how, how critical it was
that. It was so immediate and and that
his car Pete was restored. So, so quickly because like we
said before, it looks really dire earlier this week,
terrifying terrifying. So but now now cool, the betting
implications of it. Actually there, there was a two
million dollar contest fantasy contest and all Underdog fantasy
earlier this week and They included the results of Monday
Night Football in the contest and honestly I don't know if
it's been resolved yet maybe it hasn't just because there's
there's so much on the lot on the line but on the sports
betting side you have to look at at all these type of bets right?
Let's see AFC North champion what if someone put 50 Grand on
The Bangles? To win the AFC North at the
start of the Season. There, there's a chance.
If the Ravens win that this week, right?
Don't win the division smaller things like, if you play Lamar
Jackson, right, right? Like like I think the Ravens
deserve to know if it's worth it to play Lamar.
Jackson that? Yeah, like that.
Joe pero season yards, it's something like 4400 the
over-under on on that. The 18th game that was cancelled
or the 17th game. That was cancelled that has an
affect things. Like touchdown totals for the
year that has an effect. On a lot of people put Wagers
on, you know, first first touchdown score, For the bills,
that that never happened because it was 73 when the game was
canceled. So, some of the books, they've
been good about about it and have issued refunds.
But yeah, it's it's something that created a huge headache
earlier this week. And yeah.
All I have to say about that is I'm glad that Hamlin's doing
better because that's right. Yeah, That should be first and
foremost of on everyone's mind, not betting.
No, it's just, I mean, with the NFL with, with all those things,
you know, it and, you know, a guy who hosts on it, the station
where I work at ESPN. Louisville, he pointed out, you
know, at some point we had to play baseball games after 9/11,
we had to go back to football after 9/11.
I remember going to the Michigan state.
Missouri, game the last Last week of the year because that
game got postponed from 9/11 to the end of the season, right?
That kind of stuff. Like we've done it before as the
culture and so I'm hoping they can figure out something that is
Equitable and also takes into account you know.
How the, but how the bills are feeling right?
I mean, because those players, having that kind of stuff.
And frankly, I talked about this on our show on ESPN little that,
that was a traumatic in-person experience for 70,000 people.
Any traumatic, on television thing for I don't know, 18
million people. Is that how many people were
watching that game number four on Monday night for that game?
I mean, we're all home, it's a holiday essentially, right?
And that's the only football on at that time, it's an awesome
game. You got two great quarterbacks
and everything else. And so it's one of those moments
I think that for a lot of people, that's where were you,
when kind of moment, you'll know where you were when you got the
alerts, I know the exact colors right there, watching TV right
there. When it happened and it'll be
one of those moments eventually that we'll talk about.
And I think the only good thing about it is that if he does
recover neurologically and possibly even physically, I
don't anticipate in playing football again or whatever.
And we had a guest on today who talked about the fact that he
doesn't qualify for the NFL pension yet.
I'd like to think that we're better than that as a culture
and we're going to make sure he's taken care of and his
family. Yeah.
Right. There's lots of there's lots of
different moving pieces here. And it's also, by the way, I
don't think it's insensitive to talk about because we're talking
about, I mean, how, how much money's been on the NFL every
year? I mean it's got to be an insane
number. So it's a, it's in the billions,
many billions, that's right. And so we're talking about,
we're talking about the most popular game of the, the
penultimate week as last week of the season and just how much how
much money is in this man. And it's, I think, By the way
they do play this game. And I think they push the
playoffs back a week. And this is the only game that
week. Now, I think you got to go play
it on a neutral site. I think you go play in Detroit
or something. Go put it in a dome or put it in
Minnesota or whatever, where you just you.
I don't think the bill should have to go back to that field
right now. I don't think that's fair and
it's unfair. It stinks for the people who
paid to go to the game of course.
But at the same time like we have to be realistic about what
the outcome is here. And what you know, all of these
different moving pieces are but I think it's the NFL and I think
they're going to play the game, I think it's going to happen.
So you know what's up? What was kind of eerie is about
20 years ago? Or so there, there was an Umpire
who who collapsed in Cincinnati. Yep.
John would share. Airy.
And it was one of the worst scenes I've seen on TV in a
sports game. He had a massive heart attack,
his leg started wobbling and he collapse, and I read this on the
internet for him last night. There's a good chance that there
were dozens of fans who were at both games, right?
So you have them experience a dent and And the handling is
yeah and could call. And then you also had the
Antonio Brown hit across them the middle, and the bangle came
and the to a concussion as well. So it's just, it's one of those
weird coincidences that all those incidents happened in
Cincinnati. It's not saying anything about
the city. It's just that At all them
happen there, you know, you know, I was thinking when they
get a weird way to Canyon Martin's injury happened in
Cincinnati to and that's right. I mean, no, I have a lot of
these examples. Yeah.
Those are gruesome injury with argued that Kenyon Martin.
Dude. I look back on that and I think
about that not a lot. But enough that, that that guy
in college, I can't name five players that I've watched play
college basketball better. Kenny Martin, I use that good in
college. I mean, and that and that
Huggins, you see, team was loaded.
I've already uploaded what they were going to be one.
See, no question the whole thing and so yeah.
Cincinnati Mick. You're totally right.
That's I hadn't thought about it that way.
Yeah, yeah. But I was thinking well, and
sorry. Doesn't this is kind of Macabre,
but you're good. All those become.
Yeah. Let's let's say something like
this happened in horse. Grayson.
Right. Because on on major things,
you've seen you've seen horses. Go down, you've seen.
Oh, I read. I read very recently.
I mean if he thought got a helmet the exact spots of the
horse to, I mean, like not all this.
I mean, I even I read Ortiz, man, I mean, this is a, this is
not, it was 18 months ago, I mean, it's not that far in the
past. Yeah.
Um in the in the 1990 Breeders Cup goal for Monde, Went down
and there was this. Tragic and then Mongolian going
groom. Yeah, thank you.
Yep. Yeah.
So I'm realistic enough to to to look at the recent history of
horse racing and kind of come to the conclusion that that if a
horse goes down in a, you know, in a major race, the card will
continue. But let's say it happens to a
jockey right there. There was that?
Arlington million where? Yep.
Gary Stevens got thrown from the horse and got kicked in the
head. Same thing with gopher wand when
Randy Romero, fall off there. But let's say something similar
to Hamlin. Let's say, if it happened to to
a jockey what would the racing officials at?
At the track to? What would they canceled the car
with the Breeders Cup cancel? The the rest of the Cardiff?
So right now I went down in the Belmont, right?
He went in down in the fifth race at Belmont and I think they
just kept. They finished the card.
There's the card. I'm with you now.
It wasn't as catastrophic as what we saw on Monday.
I want to be clear, or was it gosh?
I mean live. It was bad, man.
The I read still was bad live. It was bad.
Yeah, that was a Thursday. I don't know.
I remember that. And equal pay was the philly,
that's right? Yeah.
Yeah, I don't know, man. That's a great.
It's a unfortunately Macau. But very good question.
I yeah. If somebody gets hurt the Derby.
Do they run the last two races is essentially what you're
asking. Right?
Exactly yeah. I think they're on the last
three races. I think that's horse racing, by
the way, the Bangles bills prior to the game.
That estimate is somewhere around 300 million.
Bet on that game one game. Yeah.
Well, you know, that's right. No, and not, again, that doesn't
include the season-long stuff that Matt brought up and it
doesn't include, you know, prop fast although fantasy stuff.
Yeah, right. Yeah, right.
Yeah. That's a, that's a tough
question. It's a good question.
It's a tough question. You're not, you know, from being
in in Michigan and 1971. What was the receiver's name?
Chuck Hughes I want to say, I think that's true.
Yeah. He he was hit by broadcast
across the middle and he wound up passing away.
Unfortunately, at the hospital after night in October.
Yeah, yeah. And to this day that that's the
that's the only on field. Death in NFL history and
importantly ironically he's a Western PA guy like oh yeah well
I mean to be fair a ton of great football players are kind of
Western PA so it's not too shocking but yeah no it's the
you're right. It did you see his family's
response actually this week? No I didn't see it.
Yeah I know just how I mean there.
Apparently you can imagine even 51 years later, they're still
out. There's a scar with that, right?
And but they have been Essentially just keyed in
totally gluten on the situation, and I think that they, I bet
today's news, I haven't heard anything from them today, but I
have to imagine today's news was just one of the one of the great
days they've had to the last 51 years.
I'm not kidding. I mean, because it is I would
like to think that I am. I am optimistic about medicine
and those things, but the Watching.
What happened has flooded me so much with with, with negativity.
That it is. It's such welcome news.
Today. I, it broke while I was on air
this morning and I was so happy to be able to share that news
with whoever was listening, right?
I mean, that that the bills have tweeted 24 hours, incredible
response. He's, you know, he's
neurologically intact and I thought, holy crap, it literally
was just his chest, he didn't have a stroke or anything like
that. Thank God.
I mean, like literally just the very best news.
I think we got that like 1033 this morning or something.
Yeah so accused you're right man.
Yeah unbelievable and all that was late in the game so they so
they didn't postpone or cancel it.
And of course, 51 years ago it was a different time and same
type of thing. That was a freak accident.
I read that buck is called over to the sideline right away.
He He winces extremely scared of what happened.
So in his was his was like a, it was like a, like, a spleen or
something, right? Like something ruptured, right?
I'm not well sir. I thought he was hit in the
chest but he he wasn't even met to catch the ball on the play.
It was like he was sort of a Decoy for for where the The ball
was going and okay, what is? This is interesting actually, so
he hit had an undiagnosed in advanced arteriosclerosis.
Oh one of his coronavirus coronary arteries with 75%
blocked. So once the injury happened, he
couldn't get enough blood there to take care of it.
Anyway, the family had a history of heart disease, so even though
he was a healthy guy, it didn't matter.
He had the genetics that was set up that if this had happened, it
wasn't going to work out for him.
And so, yeah, obviously Tamar's got Got pretty incredible jeans.
He's he's doing okay, but yeah, it's, um, Yeah, not that.
Their response has been very interesting to follow because
they they've been thrilled that Tamar got the right care and all
those things. And like I said, you know,
hopefully we'll get even better at this, you know.
You know, you follow the World Cup.
You did a bunch of work on that. One of the things you always see
soccer players working out with are those those chest monitors
those heart monitors. They almost look like sports
bras, frankly when the players are running around, they do and
But there's such an emphasis on watching those vitals and doing
those things. And I think it's such a, such a
positive development of what we've been doing with athletes.
And so hopefully it continues and you know, someone, you know,
we had we had a segment yesterday on the show and
someone asked, you know, do do you think there are going to be
changes in? Are they going to get better at
this stuff? And all I could think was how
could they get better at what the response was?
And that's what I should like. That's how to be.
That's how good the response was.
That it was so immediate and you brought it up the statistics
with your sister, right? The three-minute response, the
percentages on that. I think that's what stands out
here is. How good the response was what
we have to decide. Is the society, is that people
should be able to do this or not.
Right. That's the bigger question here
is, that should you be able to play football?
You have to be. This is this is more of a 1 in
100,000 kind of thing than it is.
Or one-in-a-million frankly with how many hits these guys take.
I mean in every play, there's a collision.
Ian of everyone on the field. Except for three, guys, that's
what football is and and what. And that's, that's the question
to ask to me. And and, and I think as long as
people understand the, the risk that they're signing up for a
football is football. Where he goes?
Isaac, I was going to say are you going to stop snowboarding
then skydiving? Or like people working?
Like there's an argument to be said that like in a way, put
ball football players are taking a advantage of it because of the
past of how football was developed and they're pushed to
make money and you know, there's a lot of larger political and
other conversations but if you just take it down to sport,
There's so many sports that are not safe.
But someone from the UK said something that struck me and
that's why I jumped in is they said What's made football,
worse? Is that in making it more safe,
we armored up these people, but in armoring up these people we
made it less safe. Mmm.
You know, a sport like rugby can never get more dangerous because
there's no pads. You have to have the rules that
stop it. And the more we like this year,
the there was a brand new thing called The Guardian cap and
there were a couple Teams that had them like phone Captain
Literally ties. I've seen those helmet training
camp, right? Okay.
So now we've got that. Then what do we put balloons on
top of it? Do you like, do you have like a
way? I will say some of those videos
where the guys are in those balls that completely surround
them are pretty serious. They're pretty hilarious.
Yeah. But I mean hypothetically,
right? Like we have the technology that
instantaneous with air bags and stuff like that, you could pop
an airbag when a QB takes a hard hit, is that the next
technology? At the football.
Like you're you're still do your shoulder pads or whatever.
Yeah. Right.
Yep. And it just stops and you have
to on your hips or whatever. Whatever.
Yeah, yeah, yeah. It's going to, it's going to
look different. I mean, it is, and I will say,
if people think things can't go away, they go away.
They do. It's why when I moved here, and
people told me the Derby could never go away.
And Churchill Downs is running mate.
Special waits for like 15 grand. I mean, like not only can go
away like Careful what you wish for I mean it's you know it's a
fascinating conversation. I appreciate you being so candid
the candidate and because it was it was perfect timing right?
Like correct I could not have been a more routine tackle.
I'm right? Yes was like yes it was like the
the exact like like Ms and in the in like the old Circle cycle
of how his is heartbeat. And when he was hit that that
that cause it was almost like the perfect storm and I I read
something like there, there's around 30 cases of it, that type
of injury Nationwide the year but like think of all the sports
we mentioned on the pro college and and Youth Level those are
like thousands of Matches and so only have 30 of those results.
Yeah, this shows how rare of Anna Kurds.
It was so, Harry Carson said it best on CNN.
He said, listen, I was a tyrant with my family.
I told my daughter, your sons will never play football.
Never, I am going to be the one to tell you that and that is
what I did with my kids. I said, you will never play
football. And that is a family by Family
Choice. You cannot make that decision
for grown men who are mentally Julian's of dollars.
Sure and betting organizations that are making billions,
There's no world where that ends, right?
Every time someone dies skydiving dies snowboarding
dies. Like it disport doesn't end, you
made that decision. You made that choice and it was
CTE. Now, who was it was luck?
That retired couple of years. What like eight years ago?
He was just like dude, I can't take any more hits.
I'm done. You're looking at a guy who's
had more than 10 concussions playing hockey and I've had a
cracked and I play a crappy levels.
It just is what it is. No totally.
And so once you get to an NFL kind of level you are taking it
into your own hands. I totally agree.
Yeah. So all right in September this
this year right to uh yeah that for concussions in the space of
like a week. Yeah the first one he had
against the bills. It was scary though the back of
his head smashed against the ground and all of a sudden he
was back in the game. Right after halftime.
Yeah, by the way, by the way, that is the ultimate
juxtaposition of of medical care how they treated to a not good.
What they did with them are way better and and even so if we got
better this year just from those two incidents happening in the
same season, we've gotten better as frankly as a sports culture.
And I hope that's the case. Matt, I'm going to let you go
buddy. Where can people find yourself?
Ah no Sports handle.com and at Matt Rivals house key on Twitter
that's M. Attr.
YB alt is in all ows Ki you go. He's he's thanks guys.
Yeah. Yeah.
Really has affected my life in a really significant way and if
anyone wants to talk to me about it at Louis Rob O Allah you is
Raba UT horse happy. Hour is our Twitter feed for the
show. I mean I'm happy to talk about
it but it really affected my life.
I had to undergo some treatments very recently to to kind of
reverse the effects of that. I'm not at the CTE level.
But I'm, you know, they talk about A1C for leukemia are for a
for diabetes. I kind of have the A1C of
concussions. It.
So I have to have to be kind of reasonable about about my brain
and what what I do and so I have I have a lot of sympathy for a
guy like two of her example. The other thing though is with
Tamar is that I think he's gonna be okay.
And the cool. And here's the cool thing for
him. And I'm going to get sappy for a
second, he played a pit for college and then he played for
the bills and both of those places are fiercely loyal
blue-collar places. That guy he's gonna be okay.
As far as jobs and different things my point about the
pension was he showed up and did the job?
It was obviously going to be good enough to do it four more
years, it isn't his fault that this one-in-a-million accident
happens. So let's figure that out.
Let's figure out the pension for him as well.
Go ahead with your takeaway to. Yeah.
I was gonna say, there's also the option of the Bills play out
his contract to get them to pension, right?
And he doesn't retire, but he doesn't play another game.
Right? Right, right.
He's not, he's not a, they need it.
They need to be billion dollar. Playwright like they don't they
can afford to keep him on track there on the roster spot is
tough. But yeah, I'm I hear you on
that. I just hope the nflpa or
whatever can figure that out for him because absolutely, you
know, at some point like you If you're in a union, B Union
supposed to take care of you, it's a hopefully someone will
step up in that spot it and do it.
We are job with with acho. You know, he could be on that
show. Put them on the broadcast.
Whatever. I'd be like, yeah, I could give
him something. I mean, frankly.
Yeah, NFL Network, honestly, if I'm in Buffalo and I'm doing
radio, like, I do in Louisville, I'm figuring out a way to have
the guy on every week and we throw them everybody, but we get
a sponsor that Just funds him, you know what I mean?
Like that kind of stuff. So I think there's there's lots
of different opportunities for him or if it's in Pittsburgh,
whatever, you know, and I'm optimistic that that will
happen. And so I have to say to one of
the more very football things that happen with this is that he
wakes up in the first thing. He writes down his, hey, yo, did
we win the game? And I get it, I totally get it.
So so I'll share a personal story.
So my brother had leukemia when I was a teenager and I was the
bone marrow donor and the the anesthesia did not go.
Well for me, I'll put it that way.
So I wake up in a haze. My grandfather sitting next to
me in the hospital and I wake up an hour ago, but you know, we're
going to sleep here overnight. I said that today I had that
flash back to being 17 and wondering how am I, you know, 23
year-old brother's doing was essentially at that day.
It's not. And when you play, when you play
team sports, it's about other people, right?
And you that, that to me, by the way, tells me, he understood the
risks. Oh yeah, because he's lying on a
hospital bed. His first response is hey, how
did my team do? That's a?
And so if there is a, if there is a takeaway for the mentality
of these guys and how they approach the world and how they
approach, man, I mean just community and culture and
whatever else. That's the giveaway right there
and I think that you can either celebrate it or you can be
against it. I'm not I'm not going to tell
people how to think about it but for him, that's what it is.
That's that's his that. Who he's chosen, his family, you
know, and Zack, you know this very well.
So you and I are very close, you know, I would think that you and
I probably talked more than you, you have three brothers.
You probably talked to me more than you talk to your brother's,
right? And I is just right.
You just but as you get to be an adult, that's what you do.
You choose, who your family is right?
And and so Tamar's done that with with the bills.
And, you know, the bills Mafia thing is real.
All right, we find out. There's a fundraiser thing for
for like, $2500 open over 7 million today, You know, where,
where where people are really turning out for that.
And so, it's been Children's Charities are twenty thousand
dollars in the first five minutes after he left a few.
Yeah, it's so people went to look for that, right?
They didn't broadcast. That ESPN didn't mention that
when it went on Monday Night, Football, people went and found
that. So my hope is that even in dark
moments, you see the humanity of people.
I, the thing that I responded to the most Zach was was his
teammates responses Yep, and if you can't see Humanity in how
people respond to tragedy that happens in front of them, that I
have nothing for you and that's that's where we'll close that
topic. I appreciate that talking about
it because he does cover. He's a good followed by the way
on Twitter. I mean it's a he covers football
head coach horse racing. He did a great job covering the
World Cup. Matt is cover the Winter
Olympics in Sochi and he's been he's been all over the place,
doing all kinds of things and he's one of my favorite people
have on the show has been a great friend of the show for a
long. I'm Matt wants sent me a bottle
of barbecue sauce from Kansas City because he went on a road
trip and was good. He's got good taste of barbecue
sauce, was it will say that but I did want to do a little bit of
handicapping before we get out of here.
This is the horse racing. Happy are my name's Lou your bow
Zach producer. Sack is hanging out with me.
I am not going to talk about the turquoise preview Stakes today.
I wanted to put the field is so short, and I have a feeling out
of the six horses, it's very rare by the way, this is a A
Turfway, anomaly six horses in this race.
I think two of them are going to run into made tomorrow on
Friday. So we're gonna force field Turf
way. So I'm not going to talk about
that. I think the late, the lake card
at Aqueduct is really interesting where we have on
this one or three, you know. I'll walk through the late pick
three. The Jerome is an interesting
race, it's now become a listed Stakes went away from a grade 3
to listed stakes and part of that I think is because of
what's come out of that race, we mentioned it 2000 was the last
time that it Derby winner came out of this race with food
statue, Pegasus. I have mixed feelings about
that. It's obvious that, you know, you
have more Derby contenders would have you out of some of the
other preparation has. But as far as restricted
three-year-old races, I've always thought that the Jerome's
is a really, really good race. It's the second oldest a trace
in the United States. A really, really I mean and it
and I also don't what I don't want to happen is a track like
Aqueduct which picks up the slack for guyra during the
winter? You get to valued in any kind of
way because it happens to run in January and they can't run on
the turf Course in New York. It's not their fault.
It's freaking New York's, Ozone Park and queens.
What are we doing? Like don't don't devalue what's
going on and Pre-K training in the morning?
It's know everybody. Yeah?
Right it sucks. The weather sucks at this okay?
Aqueducts picking up the slack for naira.
They don't get that if you flip Saratoga right now it gave
Aqueduct saratoga's races. You would think of aqueduct in a
very different way and it's not aquaducts fault, 150,000 dollars
on the line here. Obviously, for three-year-olds,
that one turn one mile over the dirt.
There I do think the to make Mega favorites are the play
here. So if we're talking about the
late pick three, cool thing at my rho, 1 minute, 1 dollar
minimum on the Pick 3. So, the pools do tend to be
better. This is the third leg of the of
the Grand Slam. So if you want to play that
we've talked about on this show where you pick the horses that
finish in the top three, In the first three legs.
And then you have to have the winner.
The last race that will be race 9.
The Queen's call Queens County, which is also listed Stakes to
be. After this one, we'll talk about
it, but I would go with the, the 6 and the one, the 6 is Arctic
arrogance, and let me make sure that I have.
All of my pop, my boarding lines here.
This was a job of mine on the show.
Something that I always do when I handicap is I get the the past
performances as soon as I can so that they don't have the morning
lines on them. So if you're if you're someone
out there that is like, you know, you play On Saturdays.
Go ahead. As soon as you can grab your
form as early as you can forget. About the morning lights, don't
take someone else's opinion into account for what you think and
then check the morning lines. Later, what I found this weekend
is I agree with the Morning. Light makers name is David are
gonna you just really really good job with Myra.
Our kicker gets land in the top spot with me is the six horse,
825, linearized. Jose Luis Cano, this horse is
dropping, Out of the room stood. A grade to going a mile and an
eighth. So he was able to show that
distance R. And by the way, at Aqueduct
Adam, I'll in the Sleepy Hollow wins the Sleepy Hollow by open
like four and a half lengths last time out before that
against quick to accuse and StarQuest.
And so to me, that's the horse to beat here.
Has won over wet. Go as well.
Like we mentioned at Saratoga in muddy.
Muddy conditions, their surface at Saratoga surface.
At Aqueduct are going to be different.
I compare Enough to Belmont to be very similar, more Sandy on
Long Island. But I do think that what
experience does matter because I do think, even if, even if they
list that course as fast on Saturday, I think there's going
to be some moisture in it. That's just my sense of looking
at the weather weather, man. Louis of course here with you on
the horse racing. Happy hour my sense is it's
gonna be there's gonna be more sure in that track.
So I like that, about neural network comes in here.
Broke has made over his only run.
Once broke is made in seven furlongs.
It'll Maiden special weight, the state in the state bread at 7:00
for lunch. I don't think it's an accident.
That Chad Brown has him in here with Manny Franco, the two of
them hook up. The last 215 runs at 25%.
I think that's very telling. And so that horse is 141 once in
a while you just have a horse that is just, he's just great
won by five lengths. Open length with Joel Rosario,
last time out, the training numbers make sense.
Here has been training at the Belmont training track and I
think the numbers all Make sense 48 over 4 10 2 over 5.
I think all those numbers match up last time, outran, one 12
over 6. So I think those numbers all
match up to be competitive in the drum.
So I'll go 610. Go short here in the eighth,
you're going to sense a trend here.
My people that I am not going along in any of these races in
the ninth race. I landed on the 7 horse, let me
pull up the echo base because I do not have the actual post
numbers in front of me because I really do try to cap that way,
bubonic is Excuse me, I apologize.
Nighthorse is law professor for Rob actress and many Franco.
So obviously, I'm going with the Manny Franco double here.
Law professor is dropping out of the Breeders Cup.
It's kind of all you need to know as far as I'm concerned and
frankly in that mild the British captured mile this year with
Cody's wish with CyberKnife, with slow down and III.
Really, really good horses, and horse finished, fifth with Jose
Ortiz. Before that ran over, sloppy, go
at a mile and an eighth in the Woodward grade one at Aqueduct
as well. So the horse has experienced at
Aqueduct has a 95 speed figure at Aqueduct.
This is the kind of horse that drops into listed company.
Goes ahead at the mile and an eighth distance if you don't
know. At Aqueduct, that's a start line
to start line finish at Belmont. It's a mile-and-a-half start
line to start line and Aqueduct. It's a mile and an eighth.
So they like to look at the tracks big on Long Island.
Zach, that's what they left. And so I do think law professor
is the play here. Coming off of a little bit of a
layoff with Rob actress. They hit a 24%, he's 24 percent
on dirt and hits, the 22% in routes at Aqueduct.
He and Manny Franco hit together at 30%, so that horse will
obviously land on top for me. And then I land The two horse
here, which is going to be unbridled bomber.
Dylan Davis, James Ryerson and this is a recent Forum pick,
then the horse last time out and two times up, one at Aqueduct,
90 For Speed. Figure 96, speed figure both by
more than four lengths in allowance company at non to
lifers at the hundred thousand dollar level and then drops into
the optional claim a level winds by 4 lengths, the speed times.
Make the final times. Excuse me, make sense to me
here, 151 over a mile and an eighth.
That makes a lot of sense to me, for example, the mile and an
eighth in the Woodward was one at 149.
We're talking about a horse that ran that in 151 over sloppy go.
So I think that, you know, I think these are the kinds of
numbers or 151. If he's improving, which he
seems to be or at least he's in that class will use those two
horses and we'll move on. I apologize for the chalk.
There'd be white like, you know, residue flying in my face right
now. If people had their way on
Twitter, but it is what it is. So while you look at all the
horses and it is it ends up being that classical class.
As we say on the show, everybody finish your drink as we get to
the end of the show here. In the last year's I did land on
funny how which is New York bread in the last race in the,
the allowance here. We're going seven, furlongs,
one, turnover. The dirt Mi their eighty two
thousand dollar purse and this is for Phillies and mares for,
and up a reminder, by the way, we just ended the three and up
season as soon as we get to January, go back to Florida
because some of these horses, including funny how we're just
three Six days ago. And so now, they're four years
old, that's just how it works. The horse racing, she has won
her last three races including all of them at Aqueduct 343
lifetime, 85 speed trigger last time on 69 7385 her last three
speed figures. Guess what?
All of them at Aqueduct, six, Furlong six and a furlong six.
Furlongs her biggest margin of victory was over six and a half
or loss. We're going seven here.
My sense is actually sevens going to be fine.
She's gonna be good to go Trevor McCarthy those first two races.
Then Joel. Rosario, we get We get Davis
here with rental with Raymond handle, the two of them, very
limited sample size, guess what? Last time they get, they got
together, they wanted Aqueduct and so I'm guessing that funny.
How frankly is my pick of the weekend, even though all these
other horses are coming into these races looking really great
funny, how will be my life, my most likely winner in the last
race use. Wonder last three all an
aqueduct. I do think that the for yo, cuz
who's coming in off of a layoff in an extended lay off?
By the way, you might look at that and think - - man, all
those were enlisted company. She's three, four, five
Lifetime, and no reason to leave her out, Bill mot, excellent
record of bringing horses in off the layoffs at 21% over a six
month. Layoff she gets Lasix for the
first time which is a 26% angle with him.
He and Jose Luis Cano, hit at Aqueduct 26%.
So one in four in the last race, I'm looking at two horses in
each race that that dollar basis in a dollar ticket.
So 16, 27 14, Or in those three races you can play for a buck
for eight bucks. My suggestion, play it for
whatever is comfortable for your range.
Essentially, if you play for five dollars to forty Dollar
Bet. So if you if you if you play
your your sequence Wagers for that kind of amount, that's not
a ridiculous thing to do here. Because frankly, if it does talk
out, you're gonna have to spend a little bit more money to, to
make some money, frankly. But those are my picks.
Those six horses in the late sequence at aqueduct.
I have such a soft spot sack for those, for these for these
tracks, the Aqua Dots, the the turf ways.
The, I guess those are the two best examples because, you know,
Gulf Stream moves to the championship meet in the winter.
Yep. And it's not their fault because
they are in South Florida, God bless them and Yeah, so I just,
by the way, I need to announce on this show.
We will not be at the Risen star.
I am going to Puerto Rico that week because I tried to work
things out and it did not work out for the Risen star.
So instead I'm going to be celebrating something personal
with my wife and my family that week in Puerto Rico.
So we are going to work out at different dates with with the
folks at Fairgrounds and so we will get your we will get your
RV to New Orleans but it will not be for the Risen star, but
that will be, that's Valentine's weekend dish I think after,
right? Yep.
And so, um, So we'll figure out something there.
By the way, if you need a longer shot and that last race, hot
fudge. Isn't that race?
Too bad were not. Here is a 2-1 half my crew here.
That'd be the everything horses coming off a very short, lay off
here, frankly, for Linda rice but ran really well in the sweet
Mariner and is coming back in. But that was the 64, a long
race. We're going to look a little bit
longer. I have fudge at that kind of
number is a good race. I also, by the way, in the
Queens County, the 8l quest is a horse.
For course, at Aqueduct 12:50, the eight horse in the Queens
County the ninth race at Aqueduct.
If you wanted love a shot though.
My long shot play of the week. That's are canceling.
Robert Reed. Junior on that one.
So we'll figure that out, but folks.
Thanks for hanging out with us. I know we got a little heavy
with the talk. The NFL this week, but I think
that look, it's the story, it is in and it transcends.
It's not a football story. So it's human story and the news
today to get to say that to people on the air sac was was
cool. It was because so Often we get
no because I crispier got fired today because he chose a woman
written a bit, a woman or whatever like bleep off, what a
terrible and like. And that's usually the story I
have to talk about but it's technically like slapped his
wife at New Year's Eve party right there and instead I got to
talk about doctors doing amazing work in emergency medical folks
doing amazing work team doctors doing amazing work and in a
dangerous place in front of by the way, imagine it's one thing
to be be a doctor in an emergency room and there's 20
people in the room. It's another one to be one of
those folks on the field and there's 70,000 people there.
That's a legitimate thing. And, and I think that cannot be
overstressed. I I'm so I'm so moved and so
impressed by that. I had a, you know, I had an
incident playing hockey where I had to be picked up by an
ambulance, in it took so long that I remember, the only thing
I remember about it was being cold because I was lying on the
ice that long and It wasn't that anyone did anything wrong
because they couldn't move me. They didn't know.
I might my skate missed and, and I fell into the boards in the
most awkward way. It wasn't that someone did
something to me, but, but the Jersey I was wearing was hanging
behind. They had they finish the game
and the next day, I attended the game because my, my teammates
had won the game. That I got injured in a, my
jersey was hanging behind the boards.
It's cut. They cut up the front of my
jersey to take it off. Might I had I had shoulder pads
in hockey. That had duct tape on the front
because my parents were too cheap to buy me new.
I'm kidding, I'm kidding. I didn't want new ones.
I wanted those right. Yep.
That's what athletes think. That's what they go through.
And and so for him, I'm I get I get the did we win the game
thing again? It it makes sense to me.
It makes freaking sense to me and and so I hope look, we
tragedy often gives us great. It gives us great opportunity to
come together and be better. And it often gives us great
opportunity to be worse. 911 made us were exactly.
Yep. For example, politically made us
worse, it divided us in a way that shouldn't have happened.
It didn't need to happen. It should have been such an
obvious thing. The experiment of America is
better than whatever that crap is be better.
All of us. Let's be better and and instead
we did something different. Hopefully with the Mark we can
be better. We can move on and and we can
make it just you can make, we can make a frankly, is that You
and I know this, you can make it better for our kids, right.
All right folks. It's been the horse.
That's my also that right. That's right.
All right, by the way, also know the next day on Twitter, if
you're not doing that yet, join the thousands of people that
follow. There.
Wherever you're listening to the world, we appreciate you.
This has been the horse racing, happy hour brought to you by,
and I have not mentioned that in five seconds.
Great racing racing racing.com, I do have the late, pick three
up there at Green Sheet racing.com, if you need all of
those sorts of pins. Also taken all of the, the notes
from the other handicappers, at Green Sheet, you know, just get
as much information as you possibly can.
Your opinion, my opinion, other people's opinion, just get lots
of people's opinion because sometimes they might see
something that you don't, but I'm Louie.
Turbo atler bow on Twitter Zach as zehner on Twitter.
Producers act. We appreciate you, buddy.
Go and play that music will get out of here.
Oh no, no, no, okay. Now we need to have a
conversation, you're a bad person.
So the So I so here's do you know the story of the clink?
Actually, I don't think you do know.
Okay, so first, first episode ever, September, 2019, Mike and
I are sitting in his office on the ground in front of the
laptop. We don't even have Mike you
don't have anything, right? We're sitting in front of a
laptop. We're trying to figure this out
and it goes, welcome to horse racing happier and I decide on a
very spur-of-the-moment I'm just gonna I'm just gonna I'm just
gonna do it and you go slow. Whoa.
I was like yeah it 11 people. Listen to that episode.
And I never quit doing it. It was one of those
spur-of-the-moment things that I'll never quit doing on this
show tonight. By the way, I using a Kentucky
Derby 148 from last year and a cigar cutter.
Yes. My favorite Kentucky Derby
class. Oh, I've for those, my cabinets
are made, is The Unofficial Derby cup, which is all the last
place winners of the Derby. But let's get out of here.
Zach play the actual music teacher, trying to have a
civilization. This has been Arthur's again.
Closing time.