Louie & Barry are back with another walk through the card at Del Mar.
The G2 Yellow Ribbon Handicap is the feature.
We're presented by AMWAGER! Check out www.amwager.com for a 100% deposit match for new customers!
Louie & Barry are back with another walk through the card at Del Mar.
The G2 Yellow Ribbon Handicap is the feature.
We're presented by AMWAGER! Check out www.amwager.com for a 100% deposit match for new customers!
Rock band or roll? We can do both.
The real question is, how well did I prep for this?
Did I actually make sure that we've got Barry's boring play of
the day? Right.
If we do, I'll make sure that mine say Minosphere is ready to
go. OK.
No, we're good. How about that?
All right. Welcome in, kids.
Another edition of SoCal Saturdays on the Horse Racing
Happy Hour presented by Amwager. His name is Barry.
My name is Louis. Thanks for joining us.
You're decided to do this every week with us every Friday.
We go through the card on Saturday in Southern California
right now, of course at Del Mar Racetrack, Yellow Ribbon
Handicap and of course that best pal see Bob African getting it
done again in that race. 3O deals and two bad Fords.
Barry, you are rocking and rolling.
How are you? Oh, man, a lovely Friday, of
course. And, you know, I'm, I'm really
excited for this, this weekend, especially at Del Mar, because
of the fact that I think there's some opportunities to beat Mr.
Baffert. OK, All right.
I like that very, very much. You can find Barry Spears, of
course, at Urban Handicapper on the Twitter machine.
You can find me at Radio Louie if you are so inclined, just
interviewed Brad Cox. If you want to hear that
interview, it'll be part of a show called the Kentucky Racing
Spotlight that'll be on at 6:00 on ESPN Louisville here locally
in the market. You can catch it all of our
shows at the Horse Racing Happy Hour podcast feed as well,
wherever you get your podcast. Barry.
We did the Ellis Park thing last night.
We're doing the Del Mar thing today.
Last week at Del Mar we had the Hirsch and that is a winning in
for the Distaff. And and because the Distaff is
at Del Mar this year, it was one of those races that I was
watching with a lot of interest to see if there might be a West
Coast shooter that jumps up. Obviously Seismic Beauty gets
the win, but it a lot of the talk, Barry, that I heard,
including from you, was about what was going on with Ritchie
and with other horses in that race, wondering what the tactics
were and that kind of stuff. If Seismic Beauty didn't get
some kind of advantage from how others were running, what what?
What did you make of the hearse last year?
I, I, I think Seismic Beauty is a really good horse.
She got an exceptionally soft trip in the hearse, so it's,
it's hard to evaluate what she's going to do going forward.
She's obviously talented horse like Rishi is, is definitely as
equally as talented, but they were kind of ridden differently
and it it made a a big difference.
But we'll you tend to see that with some Baffert runners
occasionally when he has a few in a race.
Yeah, different tactics for different horses for sure, but
she comes out of it. I'll go ahead and play devil's
advocate. Why?
Why can't we not give? No, I'm serious.
Why can't we give her credit for making her own trip there?
She broke from the rail, did get out quickly.
And she does that in every race, by the way.
That's a style that one the Distaff last year, frankly, for
Torpedo Anna. And we saw Citizen Mole win the
juvenile that way for Bob Baffert last year.
Why couldn't that happen, Barry? Oh, it's, it's definitely
possible. I, I, I think when it comes to
that day, that's where the gamble is, is is she able to
make that kind of race with those kind of horses?
She obviously could do it against a few.
Is she going to do it against 11 or 12 or you know what I mean?
So it it, it's definitely a good gauge to see how talented she
is, but things are going to get tougher and she's going to have
to do it again. It'll be a different feel for
sure. We're talking about the card
tomorrow at Del Mar 10 races on it, including the Grade 2 Yellow
Ribbon Handicap Turf race. That'll be toward the back of
the card and the best pal, which is part of the early pick 5.
It's a grade 3 for three-year olds or excuse me, for 2 year
olds on this card as well. We're as always presented by our
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Get our friends at AMA Wager race one.
We'll kick off the card on Saturday.
Barry, I've heard that that's how many tracks start their
cards is with race one. No way.
I thought it was -1 it's usually me because I lose the first race
often. So yeah, I.
Every time I hang out with you, you hit the first race, so I
know you just need to hang out with me.
That's how that goes. Yeah.
Get Louis to the track more often.
It's an optional claimer I hear on the turf.
An interesting one here because Mackenzie St.
Barry ran second to a horse named Big Boat, who we're gonna
see in the Ellis Park Derby on Sunday.
How about that? Yeah, it's very interesting.
I, you know, we, we obviously showed our love for for big
boat. But Big Boat Talk.
That's right. Yeah.
I Are you going to give McKenzie St. the kind of love you gave
Big Boat last night? Because shame on you if you
don't. Shame then, because I'm
definitely not. Definitely not only because I I
love betting against favorites on the rail and then even in
this spot, the second choice, it's a cinch.
The three it has similar running style and that that could spell
curtains for both of them. And that's what I'm hoping you
want to throw the two listen up Shants in there and we got a
party and I and it, you know, basically lands me on the six
triple diamonds who I think has the best running style, best leg
kick of anybody in this field and should get the job done at,
you know, I would say probably about 3 or 4 to 1.
And about 9 weeks off, This is Mark Glatt territory.
It really is. You and I have the same horse on
top. This is what he does is when a
horse needs a break, he's as good as bringing them back in
spots where they have a chance to win as anyone on the West
Coast. And so Mark Glatt here, plus we
get Umberto Rispoli horses in for the tag.
And once in a while, Barry, I do watch for that because it means
that they qualify for the tag and they can't wave it, right.
And so that's usually, frankly, a positive.
A lot of these handicapped races, I'll look with the for
the horse carrying the most weight because that usually
means you won a bunch, right? So in this case, that does stand
out for triple diamonds that horses in for the tag.
Not to be fair, they paid 35 grand for this horse.
He's a three-year old gelding. So if they got the money, they'd
be fine for it as well. It qualifies him, I guess.
If there is, are there $80,000 starter allowances in
California? Probably not.
They are here and so maybe they'll be able to qualify that
way. But yeah, the son of a certain
prance light you and I have on top, we both have the one in our
handicapping from the rail. You and I aren't denying the
quality of McKenzie St., simply the draw, yes.
Yeah, that that's really the the kicker for me.
Not only that, you know, it's just kind of curious that this
horse is starting in this spot here rather than on a dirt
there. There's some dirt races for
three-year olds that I think this horse could probably get in
without risking for A tag, so maybe they just think this horse
is a turf horse. I'm not really sure, but we'll
see. I wonder once in a while with a
horse that comes from Kentucky, like this lands in California,
are they trying the turf because of the condition book period or
could we see this one back in Kentucky now?
I don't know I mean but. This seems a little.
Bit don't even know what what kind of turf horse this is yet.
So we'll we'll see. I mean, I guess they're
suspecting that this horse in the class will translate over to
the turf, which makes a lot of sense, especially in this field.
But going forward, it's like where are they going to go with
this? But you might be right.
May may end up going for the big purses over at Kentucky Downs.
You never know it's a cinch. Is third in my handicapping.
Did win 2 back at Santa Anita at the distance, Excuse me for a
long longer, but on the turf they're at Santa Anita did
finish triple diamonds, who you and I both like in that one as
well. Race 2 starts the early pick 4
maiden special. 2 year olds here.
This one's 100 K 6 1/2 furlongs here too.
Barry, get a couple of second time starters in here, a bunch
of firsters. I'll go first in this one.
I know you like a longer shot than I do because I like the
favorite second diver for Bob Baffert.
This one, I think she got discouraged.
She was mid pack the whole way, just kind of never found her
footing. I'm hoping the workouts most
recently that have been very good have shaken some of that
rust off of her. Barry, We've seen many, many
times horses seem like they're going nowhere in their first
races, put it together in their second.
I'm hoping she'll do that here. As far as my picks go, I went
3-5 and seven, I think. Pencil Bay, first timer for
Simon Callahan, who's coming on as a first time starter trainer.
Two for his last nine, but man, he's four for his last time with
two year olds, Barry. So this all seemed to be
something that he's getting considerably better at as the
daughter of Uncle MO, all the things I think she sets up real
here. So I went 357 in this spot here.
Barry, you're going to take a shot though, on the rail.
Yeah, absolutely. You know it.
It's almost like the reverse last race where the favorite was
on the rail and I do not like long shot on the rail.
I do like because I'm going to get a price bank shot.
Is is interesting to say the least, because the damn one at
first asking on the dirt pusquita.
This horse is also a half to a horse named Never say try who
also won first time out. So the precociousness is there
in the pedigree you get Ryan Hansen who does really well with
first time starters. You got to work out in July
11th, 5 furlongs minute from the gate in hand, 8 out of 57 on the
day at Santa Anita ships down to Delmar has 35 furlong works.
To me, this spells a fit horse running in a 6 1/2 furlong race
and just got to beat a Baffert. That's all.
I, I, I think Bank Shot has a good shot and we're going to go
with it. Ryan Hansen for 2nd place
finishes. No wins yet at Del Mar Does have
13 on the year with 113 star or 112 starters.
Excuse me, but he and Escobedo do hit together solid 21% in 19
runs. So just at right at five wins in
19 goes, I think the seven bad manners on the inside is 1 to
watch as well for Richard Mandela.
This is another daughter of into mischief here.
And we're seeing Demuro start to win races here, right?
So Mirko comes over from Japan, wants to get him out for the
Breeders Cup. And you totally understand why
he would be at Del Mar for this meeting.
Slow start. I think he started something
like one for 20. Has won two of his last 10 down
there as well. Richard Mandela trains bad
manners in that one race 3 again presented by AM Wager.
This is the horse racing happy hour and so Cal Saturdays.
Thanks for hanging out with us here on the program.
Barry Spears, Louie robot with you.
A steak bread maiden special here. 5 furlongs on the turf
Berry 80,000 on the line. This is for three and up.
Some interesting shorter prices in here.
I landed on a shorter price. No one is surprised to hear you
landed on the 9. A first timer in this group.
Not too many first timers. Yeah, I I think this is a good
spot for a first timer to win. The horses that have run have
been OK, probably need a little bit more improvement but zip me
up. The 9 is a full brother, the Zip
Ohm who won at first asking there.
You go. Is 1/2 to a horse named Zip now
who won at first asking and is also a half to unzip me.
Lord, who also won at first asking.
So the Lord is the name of a horse.
Yeah, I know. It made me laugh.
All of them made me chuckle. You know the full brother.
You leave the Lord out of that, OK, You can do whatever you
want, but you leave the Lord out of that.
OK, let's. I I got to appreciate the this
the the naming, you know, they they're doing it OK with the
damn being unzip me. They got some pretty good names
in there. That's no, it's not a bad job.
I'm not I'm not hating on the names.
It's just leave the Lord out of this.
You know the. I'm with you.
Thank you. All right, I have the nine in
the third spot. We agree.
You went 91, I went 189. Godavri on the inside.
Another sprinter's gonna have to break from the rail here that
we're talking about. Barry Antonio Freis, who keeps
them out here. This is one for Dan Blacker
that's been in the equation every single race.
Never been more than a length and three quarters off in a
loss. Started his career at her
career, excuse me, at Los Al on the dirt.
We got to the turf once the horse moved to Santa Anita.
Has been right there. Frankly, has been running
really, really well in those races.
You know, in the second spot here.
I wanted to try fancy facts. The second timer here, Kazushi
Kimura, keeps them out. He's having a really nice meet
at Del Mar. It's been nice to see him bounce
back that way. My pipe trains in this spot
first Turfers for him are a really, really good angle.
We're going dirt to turf in this spot, the conversion rate about
2122% for these kinds of horses. So I think this is a, this is a
targeted move to the turf for this one.
And so I went 189 in this one. You went 9-1 and four.
What is it that you like about Pavel's A 12?
Just kind of the best of the rest.
Probably needed a little break was was kind of spinning his
wheels or her wheels, so to speak in these kind of races,
you know, not really making any headway.
Getting Lasix after this break might make a little bit of a
difference and kind of clunk up and finish third.
Moving on to Race 4. This is by the way, the Horse
Racing Happy Hour, So Cal Saturday's Hanging Out with you
and am Wager am wager.com. Go check them out for their 100%
deposit match of 250 bucks. If you want to bet the races
this weekend, go check them out right now am wager.com The grade
3 best pal is race 46 furlongs on the dirt.
Here it is 4/2 year olds $150,000 on the line.
Big favorite in Desert Gate who was a monster first time out at
Santa Anita last time has been working at Del Mar most recently
and bury. What stands out when I when I
watched the the past performances with Batford
trainees, especially ones who I know he's thinking of as his
highest level trainees, You see the work pattern that you
associate with Desert Gate, which is you see a four for a
longer than A5 and then usually back to a four and then a jump
to a six for a long timed workout.
And the six furlong giveaway for me is obvious here.
And that wasn't one where they were pushing this horse
especially hard because 1-12 and whatever probably isn't winning
this race. Be really clear.
I think you're gonna have to 1110 and change to win the best
pal this year, something like that.
But this horse sets up I think to be in a perfect spot.
I think he's going to stalk because he's going to have speed
to run at in this one, but I also wonder if he isn't just so
fast that he's just going to inherit the lead because of his
speed. And so I'm sitting on the five.
I know you're going to try to beat the five here, but to me
this reeks of a Bob Baffert special.
And I think that, boy, I forget how many in a row this will be
for him and how many overall, but it, it's it, the list is
long and I think he adds to it here.
Barry, you landed on the 1 though, in Brigante.
Tell people about Brigante. Well, I think you're right as
far as the race shape goes and and especially with Desert Gate
I, I think that horse is pretty quick.
However, I think there's a a horse in Punto 40, the two that
can hang. I know the buyer last time at
LaSalle wasn't that great, but I think that was just a function
of actually the track more than it was the horse.
And if anybody can get in Desert Gate's way and and like you
said, that horse is showing all the signs of being live.
I mean, really the to me, the telltale sign is Juan Hernandez.
I I don't think Bob Baffert really wastes his time, you
know, so he puts them on the live ones.
But going to Brigante, this horse is exiting a live race.
There's three next out winners in that race, including Hey Nae
Nae. The winner came out of that race
to win the Tyro in Monmouth, you know, which is on the turf as
well. But I think, you know, Doug
O'Neill's holding a good horse and getting Punto 40 to push
Desert Gate might put that one in the winner's circle at a
decent price. And we'll beat 2 Bafferts, so
we'll beat 3 through 4 races here.
Saint Petersburg is in this race.
You have that horse listed second in your handicapping.
That's still a maiden for Baffert.
Are you going on that most recent work from the gate?
No, I think this horse has the same running style as Brigante
and and they're they're going to probably come running late.
I I really believe that Punto 40 and Desert Gate might duel each
other in submission. And if that happens, those are
the two likeliest forces to pick them up.
Pavlovian, Is there anything in your life that makes you act
like Pavlov's dog? That's a good question because I
do enjoy a an Italian ice. So whenever I think about cherry
and coconut Italian ice, yeah, I get that Interesting.
I am from Florida. Alongside of salivating Barry
Spears, I'm Louie Robot this. Is the ghost racing happy on?
So Cal Saturdays dragging out with us closing the early pick
five will be race 5. You can check this out as well
to start the pick 6, the $1.00 traditional pick 6.
And you can bet it at amwagerandamwager.com.
An optional claimer for Phillies and mayors which have never won
more than $21,000 other than their maiden or another race
like that. 81,000 on the table here, Barry.
We've got a couple of favorites here.
Eiffel comes in at 5:00 to 2:00, Antonio Frisi for Mike Pipi.
That one's got to stretch out in this spot, which we see a lot in
Southern California. I landed on that three and
Eiffel. I like the time off here for
Mike Pipi. I love a horse coming out of a
maiden win. His horses win at 21%
back-to-back, and so I like that angle as well.
This one just seems to fit with what is going to win this kind
of race. So I landed on the three on top,
and I know you have the three and you're handicapping.
I think Magali and the two here is really interesting of Bacoma
has been running down the hill the last two times.
But if we get back to this horse breaking its bait and it was at
Del Mar, the only time this horse has been at Del Mar.
And then after that they tried the turf at Santa Anita going a
mile. Horse simply wasn't ready.
And so Juan Hernandez gets booked here for Richard Baltis.
They're taking the blinkers off. And I just think that this horse
getting back from Sprint to a route in the Bacomas, frankly,
Barry, the more we do this show and the more that I watch these
mile turf races in in Southern California, frankly, so often
it's much, much more about can a sprinter go a little bit longer
than it is? Can someone close into a
sprinter? And so with a Magali, I'm trying
to get someone that I think can turn into a Miller.
And that's where I'm going on that angle.
C runner comes in 3rd for me. And this is largely off of the
fact that this horse ran in the Summer Oaks and then they tried
turf again and it had been the first time in a while and the
horse almost won, won the damn race under Kazushi Kimura keeps
keeps Lasix here. I like the angle here of going
two turns on the turf. This is one that ran in the blue
Northern last year, that ran in Jimmy Durani last year, frankly
was near the lead in the Jimmy Durani.
And like I said, Kazushi Kimura having a fine meeting there at
Del Mar right now. So I'll go 3, two and six in
this one. You are very different.
You landed on the inside horse and hey Jesse on top.
Absolutely the only stakes winner in the field won the
Soviet problem in December and I think the source is battle
tested. I I know she's been on a layoff
since January 18th. That's a little bit of a
concern, but I think getting the Lasix and looking at the work
tab, this horse should be fit and ready.
It's it's kind of strange. I I I was really taken aback
that this horse is 12 to one morning.
I don't think any way. We'll get that.
I, I, I think this horse will probably be about 5 or 6 to 1,
but that's good enough in this field because the 2 outside
horses are probably not going to take too much money and it
should lower the price on hey Jesse.
But either way, we're getting away from the favorite.
But I think the running style fits.
They just need to get a good trip here and the the freight
train usually can get the job done.
Demuro rides for Leonard Powell, who has inherited ribbons, used
to be in the Brad Cox barn, started his career.
She did, I should say, excuse me.
And in the maiden, 75 ranks in Gulfstream Park, broke her
maiden just the other day in the middle of frankly, the opening
weekend at Del Mar. You have ribbons stirring your
handicapping. Now the longer I look, she looks
pretty good here. Yeah, I, I think she, you know,
made a huge step up in that first race in California, and
that's something to build upon. I I, I don't, you know,
necessarily think that this horse needs the lead.
I think if it's there, the horse will take it.
But I think this horse has a little bit of talent.
You know, Liam's map horses are usually pretty quick in general,
and this race isn't a bunch of world beaters in here.
So I, I, I would definitely give that one a shot.
I mean, there's, there's versions of this race where this
horse gets loose on the lead and wins easily.
Yeah, Race 6, we will start the late pick five in this spot a
mile on the dirt. It's an optional claimer 50
grand if you want to enter your horse for the claim $81,000
purse here. This is for three-year olds.
And up in this spot, we got Lyle Song on the inside at 3:00 to
1:00 for Antonio Fresu and Mark Glatt.
Feel the magic at 7:00 to 2:00 in the two spot.
Barry, you're going to go first here in Race 6 and the
aforementioned Lyle song on the inside.
You you. You claim not to like the rail,
my friend, but you keep picking the rail.
What's going on? Yeah, this one it was.
It was kind of hard not to because Lyle's song just stands
out. Speed figure wise is just faster
than all these horses. I don't even think the trip will
matter whether this horse is on the lead are coming off the
pace. It's just better than these
horses. This was almost the boring play
of the day, but didn't didn't quite make it.
But I I think Lyle Song is the goods.
Lyle Song ran second by a neck, last out behind indispensable
brazenly. 3 1/2 back will be in this field as well.
We'll break from the seven hole for the race here.
Look, you, you, you go 1-2 and four in this spot and there's an
interesting, you know, Feel the Magic runs that one mile dirt
thing at at Los Allen because of the configuration there.
It feels a little bit longer than a mile just because you do
take that slight right turn. By the time you get to the top
of the stretch. It sort of reminds me of the 6
1/2 furlong Sprint at Kentucky Downs that really plays a little
more like a mile, that kind of thing.
Does that set up well, you think, for Feel the Magic in
this kind of spot? Frankly, the horses already
wanted a mile at at Santa Anita. Yeah, I, I think this horse is
it, it's really strange because I, I would have thought they
would have came back with a turf race since then or tried to get
this horse back on the turf. And maybe that that might be the
the case down the road. But flamed up some money at at
Los Al last time. Probably would get a similar
trip and should be right around it when it's all said and done
there. There's, you know, class wise
that horse probably a lot better than these.
Most of these horses, including Privman, who I do like, I just
don't like in this spot. What do you not like about
Privman here? I just wanted to ask.
You I just think there's too many horses with the same
running style. It's going to be kind of a log
jam, especially with Field of Magic, who I think is is just as
good as Privman, even though the the morning line suggests a
little different, but we'll see. We got that July 13th work
before the win on July 20th, and now we've got this August 2nd
work the other day. I'm hoping it's exactly the
same. I've got Primen on top here.
I went 612, you went 124. So obviously we agree on the
inside horses. Tell people about Tesudo.
I don't think they need to hear about Primen and a horse by the
Baffert that's good on. He turns on the dirt.
We get it. Yeah, they all do that.
What do you like about Tesudo? Tesudo is a horse that that
I've, I've lost some money on. I I can definitely say that I
thought this horse was really going to run well getting to the
turf and didn't. They go back to the to the dirt
and the horse kind of perks up a little bit in a spot where there
seems to be a a quite a bit of pace.
I think this horse can clunk up and get in the picture
somewhere. OK, All right.
Well, race 7 will be the race after race 6.
Believe it or not, that's how that works.
So. What?
Here we're having a counting lesson today.
I feel like the. I feel like I'm the count on.
That's how numbers work. Did.
Not know what works? That's exactly right.
Not one. Not 2, not 3, not 4.
That's right. LeBron Race 7 is an optional
claimer. 100,000 mile $100,000. Excuse me, we're going a mile on
the turf. 100,000 mile race would take a while.
We're running for $84,000 here in this spot.
Astronomer is in here. No, not the company, but rather
the horse. Gold Phoenix in here as well.
Six to five on Gold Phoenix. Barry, I have a graphic ready
for you. Go ahead.
Man, I it it hurts, it hurts my feelings, but yeah, Gold Phoenix
is a standout. This horse loves Delmar in
general. I would only bet this horse at
Delmar. To be honest with you, there's
not much in here and this horse will probably be a lot closer up
than normal and still finish this off.
So Gold Phoenix looks like a complete slam dunk since you
want to throw out Lebron's name A.
Lot to I just have to all right, so I'll be the old Phoenix
thing. I Barry.
I spent 5 solid minutes trying to beat this horse, 5 solid
minutes reading the past performances just trying to come
up with any reason that this horse won't win this race.
And the thing I couldn't get over was how good the horse is
at Del Mar. Now the only thing that could be
a question is this horse hasn't done the mile in a long time.
It's been much more distance than that in recent races, been
running a lot more at a mile and an eighth, a mile and a quarter,
etcetera. If you wanted to make the case
that the horse just isn't going to get up for that, then maybe.
I think Final Boss is an interesting one here.
Who had the lead in the Wicker and then just lost it at the
end. If the horse is a little more
put together than that day, I think the horse can get the
lead, keep the lead and win. So if I were trying to upset the
two here, I would look at the three.
I know you don't have that horse if you're handicapping, but you
do have the Five in Astronomer and astronomers.
Interesting because I do think there's a world in which this
horse sits right on the hip, a final boss and and tries to make
a run at the very end. Hold off Gold Phoenix at the end
of this race. But I just Gold Phoenix just
looks so, so tough on paper. Your second horse in your
handicapping was the five horse in Astronomer.
What do you like about it? I I think honestly, he's going
to get the same trip gold Phoenix is going to get and gold
Phoenix is just faster and better, better finisher the
whole 9. So they'll probably be running
together at the end. I would think, you know, in my
head past final boss, who was kind of softened up from Air
Force red and the outside horse beyond brilliant, who who
probably will be fresh off of the, you know, second off a
three-year layoff. So I'm going to I'm going to
count on that horse trying to really go for the lead and and
really set things up for Gold Phoenix.
Beyond brilliant breaking from the outside Giant sheriff's
trains, I thought looked fine in the Wicker last out right?
I mean, I thought that was a nice soft spot landing.
Obviously shooting for this spot as well.
But here we go Late pick three at Del Mar.
We're presented by AM Wager here on the horse racing happy hour.
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now. A $10,000 claimer.
Thank God for these races. Fill in the starting gates in
Southern California. 5 1/2 on the dirt here again, 10,000 on 2
lifers and we are running for $26,000.
Barry, this is where you shine my friend.
You love these kinds of races. Also starts a late $3 pick
three. One of our favorite bets in
California. Where did you land in this one?
You and I similar in our handicapping up top.
Yeah, this race I didn't get too creative with either.
I ended up on the seven Majestic Palisades.
There's not really all that much speed in here and I think being
forwardly places is going to be where it's at.
Although I haven't seen a whole ton of wire to wire winners at
at Delmar on the dirt, which is a little unusual.
But this this race might be a little bit of an exception.
There's really one horse that that really wants to get out
there and I think what's the buzz?
The 6th will try to do that and being parked right next to a
majestic Palisades is going to get a hell of a trip and and
should win this. Yeah, you're on the 7-Eleven and
4:00 here. I went 6-7 and I'm going to try
what's the buzz for the reason that you just mentioned.
I think Schwartz is going to inherit the leads and and
frankly Barry at some point in a 10K claimer you might just get a
horse that gets league keeps league right.
And so in my mind, 5 to 1, totally fair.
I think with the connections you might get better than 5 to 1.
I think we might be looking at 8-9 to 1 by the time we get to
the gate, just because it is Jose Valdez, who has 13 starts
this year, and Daniel Herrera, who has five wins and 36 starts
at Del Mar. Now, he's had a fine start to
the Del Mar beating. I'm not picking on that at all.
But those are not the kinds of connections that we think about
because they've never teamed up on a horse before.
And so that's the kind of horse where I think you can get a lot
of value. But we're talking about a 10K
claimer and I think he's perfect for this one.
Like I said, I agree with you on Majestic Palisades.
I know we're also on in on Broadway Unions, who at this
level seems to be very good. Juan Hernandez deciding to ride
in this one, that's a big change.
Comes over to Deshaun Williams Barn.
He's only one for his last 15, but horses coming off of this
kind of layoff. Second off he has hit with three
of his last 11, so should be good to go there as well.
Race 9 is the Yellow Ribbon Handicap.
It is the Grade 2. It is the feature of the card on
Saturday at Del Mar Barry and I could not be more different in
this one, but it is a mile and a 16th going through the turf
chute and onto the main track There, onto the main turf track,
at least at Del Mar Barry. I will let you go first in the
yellow ribbon. Tell us about the four horse in
public assembly. I at least like the connections
here. Yeah, the connections are
definitely part of this pic, but I think this horse is just
really improving. You can see after this horse or
basically the races this year, March 30th, April 26th, May
26th. This horse is running really
good and in the game league just was a bit overmatched and didn't
get a good run of it because be your best dominated that race
start to finish. Nobody even came close to her.
So I can put a line through that and and when you do that,
getting this horse into grade 2 instead of the Grade 1, it's
going to make all the difference I think.
And with the post position, everything, this horse is going
to get a really good crack at it and I think the price will be
right as well. I think we should get every bit
of that 5 to 1, and I like it a lot.
So which one is the other d'amato?
Is it public assembly or is it mission of joy?
Which one is the other D'amato in this?
Got to be mission of Joy. That horse has back class.
That's the other other or just the other just.
The other, the other other I don't know which what.
I is Phil D'amato Bob Baffert of Turf Racing in Southern
California, Texas. He sure is, you know.
But then, you know, this horse could be the surprise.
I just didn't think Musical Rhapsody, you know, has run fast
enough to win a race like this. OK, fair enough.
I got to hang the moon on the inside on my top spot here.
Look at me grabbing the rail here Barry.
I think the ones are just going to win the whole day at Del Mar
now that. Hey, that's happened at Aqueduct
before. Shut up, had a day with just
one. All ones pick 6 was all ones.
Everything was all ones not that long ago either.
I say that now. I'll look it up, but yeah.
You'll say 1993 or something. Bill Clinton was president.
Not that long. That old am I, I am.
I am. Come on, Bill.
Well, I'm going to. I'm going to hang with Hang the
Moon here, a son of Uncle or daughter of Uncle MO, what am I
saying? The Phil D'amato and Kazushi
Kimura combination here going to be coming from off the pace.
Plenty of front runners or stalkers in this one.
I love the move in the Frankel last out to change tactics and
be a little bit closer. We've seen this from this horse
at Del Mar before in the Ocinitas.
It's a list of stakes, but it was the, you know, that was in
July of last year at this time of year and so more interested.
She's won at Del Mar before. This was the horse that he took
to the Breeders Cup as well, and that's part of the reason I'm
using this one here. Now if you wanted to go the
other way, he may be using this to set this horse up for the
rest of the year if he thinks this could be a mare that makes
it to the Breeders Cup. I don't think that's what this
is. I think he knows that she's not
a Breeders' Cup horse and I know that trying to pick off grade
twos is a big deal. And so I think they're going to
try to pick off a grade 2 here again.
She won the the JC maybe before at Del Mar over a mile and an
eighth. We're only going a little bit
further here. That was under Camara.
That was his first ride with her.
So I'm going to ride with him again in this spot.
I'm going to the five in the second spot in Watchtower.
I know you're going to love this. 112 to one has been off
for a while for Richard Baltus. That is his best angle, 23%
these kinds of these kinds of layoffs.
And look at the works, Barry. This horse is ready to go and
they've had this one running on the turf course.
They're outside the dummies at Del Mar.
I'm interested to see how this one pops back.
This is a horse that won the autumn miss over a mile last
year at Santa Anita. Another deep, deep closer.
So this is where I'm going to need tomorrow to be his good
best turf self in these spots. And I had to get this one home.
But the I think the 12 to one on this one is way too way, way,
way too long to pass up. And so I'll be looking for the
five horse there as well. And then I went to Heredia in
the second spot. Juan Hernandez gets them out for
Graham motion who ran this horse horse in the Della Rose last out
a list of stakes at Saratoga and there were so many horses in
that field that they had to split the race into divisions.
But before that ran it Aqueduct in the bow game almost picked
the thing off under Manny Franco.
And so I'm hopeful that Juan Hernandez, you know in the
course there will give this horse a little bit better of a
chance. 1/5 and two there you went, 4, three, public assembly
and Liguria. I'll talk about Oberry Ruspley's
amount here. Yeah, this source is is classy.
And it's tough though, because of the fact that this you know,
if you want to get into the mind of of Spears, it's hard to tell
where the pace is going to come from in this race.
And, and my, my idea is that public assembly might be the one
doing it and that might put this horse in a great position either
way because the versatility, let's just say, you know, Phil
d'amato wants hang the moon to get to the lead.
This horse could be right there close.
You know, I don't think this pace is going to be super fast.
That's why I was a little cold on a horse like Watchtower and
and Musical Rhapsody, But it it's this really going to be
interesting. And even Lagoria has a chance to
to kind of get in the race a lot earlier and I think that
benefits her and her class. So I think she's going to finish
strong. One that you and I do not have
in our handicapping, but I want to ask you about just to, to
follow up on what you just said about the pace of this race.
If you think there isn't going to be some kind of breakneck
speed at the front of this thing, does Mahina on the
outside have a chance to be either right at the front or in
the front for Hector Barrios and pick this thing off?
Yeah, if he gets aggressive, I mean, I think you know, whoever.
You see the ride we saw say in the Frankel or something like
that or you know, the possibly perfect last out where that
horse is very much part of that early part of the pace.
Is that a spot we could see this in?
Because frankly, like you said, not a ton of early pace in this
thing. Yeah, it's, it's, it's going to
be tough. I mean, Hector Barrett's going
to have some decisions to make early whether he's going to
really go for the front or is he going to try to stalk.
Either way might work out because of the fact he's going
to be clear of of some other horses.
So the post position might not affect this horse too, too
badly. But again, you know, it's about
who gets aggressive and who doesn't.
The only thing I don't want to see is Hang the Moon, Public
Assembly and Mahina just going at it early because that'll just
ruin everything for me. It would ruin everything for you
and for you, I mean Barry Spears, his name is Barry
Spears. He hangs out with me every
Friday. Louis Rabo on the horse racing
happy hour. This is So Cal Saturday's out of
the final race already. Can't believe it.
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The closer is a maiden special state Bread Heart $1000 race
here. 6 furlongs on the dirt. This for three Phillies and
Mares 3 and up. Just a difference in what weight
they're carrying based on their age Here, Barry and I'll go
first here. I landed 7, three and two.
Here you are. And I are very similar on the
seven and the three in this spot.
Crystal Clean comes in as the seven Hector Barriers gets the
ride for John Sadler who wins first time out at an insane rate
of a 20%. Lately over his last 41 first
time starters this horse has been working at Delmar.
Not super fast, but should be ready to go by the time we get
there. This Daughter of Violence I I
think sets up really, really well in this company.
That went to the three next in Ride Gold for Craig Lewis and
Juan Hernandez. Interesting one here, getting
off of the turf and getting back to dirt.
We saw this one do that last year.
Almost broke her maiden first asking at Santa Anita.
Threw this one on the turf. I'm not exactly sure why.
Almost did it anyway a couple of times and then before the in the
last two races, just not been there.
I'd like to move back to the Sprint here for this horse.
A nice little freshening out of the gate the other day as well,
Barry. So I went ahead.
I landed 7, three and two here. You've got the five on top,
though, for Tiger Fire the guy, Armando Aluso.
Yeah, I like that first race. They had a main 10th.
The horse ran really good behind Hurricane Lyle and beat Joyful
Mischief, who's in this race, the 10.
But they felt the need to to put this horse on the turf to see
what what she could do it being out of Smiling Tiger and she
didn't get a great trip. She was, you know, in a even
worse post position and never really got a chance to run.
I think that experience between the first one and the second one
will do this horse a lot of good in this race.
I I don't think we'll get a first time starter who's a
winner here. And this horse seems to be, you
know, good enough and, you know, not a run off to where the horse
will be on the lead just kind of winging it.
I think this horse has has learned to run a little bit
after those two first two experiences.
You landed on the seven and the three after that.
Do you agree largely with what I said about the seven and the
three in this case? Yes, absolutely.
I mean, Rye gold is is one that I'm I'm a little bit cold on.
Yeah, I think she's just better than most of these horses.
But I think just the way that she ran and and almost won and
then kind of tailed off, it kind of signals to me that she needs
a slight drop in class. I've got the two time keepers
charm, third in my handicapping and I'm just hoping that June
race at Santa Anita is the one that we get this weekend
essentially with her is that, you know, getting back to that
kind of form. Not what we saw there at
LaSalle, but she's been competitive early in her last
two races. So it's not like she isn't
breaking well and trying. It just hasn't turned out for
her yet. So hopefully favorites are are
always always good to to watch because they've never bet the
same the next time out and usually get a price.
Yeah, she was the favorite last out at LaSalle in a lower level
maiden special. She ran for 45 at LaSalle.
She'll run for 100 at Del Mar. Well, he's Barry Spears.
I'm Louis Rebeau. This has been another rendition
of Socal Saturdays. I now ask you about Virginia
Berry. We got, and they're only two
million. Not integration.
So you're against integration? Very much so at colonial downs.
Only at Colonial Downs, not in general, but honestly, we don't
Honestly, I think Cairo's going to be tough to beat, but I may
throw a few bucks on runaway storm, the four at a big price
going lone speed wire to wire, but.
I like grand. Interesting race.
I like Grand Sonata in that spot.
I think Tyler will give that one a really good chance to catch up
there. If you want to see or hear, I
should say my interview with Jason Beam from early in the
year. Of course, wherever you got this
podcast, go check it out as well on the Horse Racing Happy hour
for Barry Spears. I'm lure about another edition
of Socal Saturdays in the books. Thank you to our friends at
amwageramwager.com for hanging out with us in 100% deposit.
Match up to $150.00 going on right now.
Good luck with all those bets. We'll see you next week on Socal
Saturday.
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