Friend-of-the-show J.D. Fox stops by to preview Turfway's late sequence on Saturday, which includes four stakes.
Turfway Saturday Synthetic Championships | JD Fox
Full Transcript
Friday 10/20 segment, which means we're going to talk
horses. We're going to do that with JD
Fox today. Course synthetic championships
up there at Turfway Park tomorrow and what I think
synthetic racing and usually Woodbine, but hey, we'll lean
into it for Turfway today, I think.
JD Fox at horse tickets on the socials.
JD Good morning, my friend. How are you?
Good morning Louis. This is a rare time when you are
someplace warmer than I am, so I am a little bit jealous.
Very, very unusual indeed. Hopefully Arizona treating you
just fine though, my friend. Look, man, this is, this is
becoming an event where look, we're we're seeing the full
fields. I think the smallest one for any
of these four races is going to be 11.
I made the case that people can hear tonight on the Kentucky
Racing Spotlight that JDI think with, you know, with the
installation of of a synthetic track at Belmont.
Obviously they've already got one in the training area at
Santa Anita. Obviously Turfway Park rise to
prominence. Not a single a single purse
under $100,000 coming up on Saturday.
I think in about a decade we're going to talk about synthetic
racing, maybe not alongside dirt and turf racing, but it's going
to be in the range of 10 to 15% of our races here in North
America. What do you think about the
future synthetic racing? Well, I think we were there 15
years ago and we're rolling our way back there again.
I think really it's the ability to run on less ideal weather
conditions, the lack of wear and tear on the horses that we've
seen over the years. I mean, there was obviously the
big push in the early 2000s. We saw a lot of the California
tracks move over to it. And then, you know, anything for
a while. You know, we even, you know, we
had a, we had a Breeders' Cup at Woodbine over synthetic.
I mean, these are things that happened in the past and they
could be happening again. I think it's excited for people
who like year round racing because the synthetic surface as
we've proven, you know, even with how cold it's been so far,
let's meet at Turfway, the surface is fair and the surface
is good for the horses even with the cold conditions.
So I do think we're going to see more and more synthetic racing
becoming a a bigger deal here in the US going forward in the next
5 years like you said. JD Fox with us at horse tickets
on the socials. Let's get into some of this
handicapping essentially on the card.
If you are unfamiliar with synthetic racing, one mile races
are a big deal in the United States.
They've been happening at all, all times.
And then 6 furlong races as well.
So they're a pair for three and up on the Philly and mare side
and a pair for Colts and horses on the three and upside as well.
The My Charmer starts the Philly and mare runs.
It's a mile on the synthetic there and we get a Woodbine
chipper that I know you know well.
And Caitlin, her greatness, a daughter of Omaha Beach, she's a
past winner just this year of the Ontario Matron under Flavi
and Pratt, who gets the mount here.
How has that Woodbine form been translating to Turfway so far
this year? I think what we're going to see
here is kind of the the the real horses, Not to say that, you
know, horses that have run so far haven't been, you know,
solid horses, but we've got solid stakes horses coming down
from Woodbine. And I think really these are the
cream of the crop of some of the best out up in Toronto.
So while the Woodbine horses have not been fairing great so
far, this is just a different level of competition.
So Caitlin are great with the 2024 Kings Plate winner.
She beat the boys. That's the equivalent of the
Kentucky Derby essentially for Canadian horses.
You know, she's she's been right there this year and I think
she's primed to be in a good spot here.
The one question will be if she inherits the lead.
I don't like her in the spot if she inherits the lead, if the
five horse Nana Bush or the six horse landed doesn't get out and
get the lead and Caitlin, her greatness inherits it.
I don't like Caitlin, her greatness up front, but if she
sits A stocking trip, she'll be really tough to beat in the
spot. Louis.
What do you make of literate in this spot?
4 for eight lifetime on the synthetic.
Much of that is woodbine as well.
Well, Literate beats Kaylin or Davis back in the Trillium in a
big upset in July and unfortunately really hasn't run
since. 6 feet and 14 1/2. Eight feet and eight and a
quarter. 6 feet and 10 gets Irad back for the second straight
time as Irad just rode her in at Churchill with the barn switch
to Brad Cox. I think it's been a lot this
year for Literate. I don't necessarily like
Literate in the spot, but I do like another Woodbine horse if
Caitlin or Greatness gets the lead to pick up the pieces and
that seems command for Marty Drexler.
The four horse 12 to one morning line high Synthetic.
Tomlinson finally saw the debut on synthetic as a six year old
last time out in the Grade 3 Maple Leaf.
Just got beaten by a head. Was very impressed with that
performance and as Queen's Command can come back to that
performance, it's going to be competitive in this spot.
My long shot in here is Next up, the other Machado for Matthew
Sims, a daughter of Accelerated here.
Coming out of the Valley View. I thought she was really good
under Mario Gutierrez there. Hasn't run on synthetic since
her maiden breaker or her initial run in March this past
year. Going to be running for the
eighth time this year. Has hit the board six of seven
runs this year. I'm going to try her in all of
my exact trifecta kind of plays in Race 6.
Race 7 is the holiday inaugural. We're talking with JD Fox at
Horse Tickets. If you'd like to go follow him
on the social. Quarter million bucks on the
line and this one as well. Six furlongs on the synthetic on
the Philly and Mayor side. We get Ellen J in here out of
the Cox barn. She has run before at Presque
Isle and one in the Presque Isle Downs Masters, and we've seen
that Presque Isle form translate really well, JD, to a turfway so
far this meet at least. But as you point out, those are
not necessarily racist at this level.
Where'd you land in this one? Well, I think Ellen J is
obviously a must use, but you have to think that Ellen J has
been a little bit disappointing for the owner breeders Ellen J
Foxwoods, they have a lot of horses.
They actually named a horse Ellen Ji think they thought this
daughter constitution was going to be the real deal coming out
of Covfefe. I mean, if this horse would have
sold on the open market, this would have been a A7 figure
horse and has been a little disappointed so far in the
career. So while I think you have to use
L&J just to the outside pondering, he was the morning
line favorite at 5:00 to 2:00 when when she gets out of the
gate, she's very good. Declan Tanning has been dumped
by this horse twice already this year but came back last time.
The best Arabian at Woodbine I don't know how we got back on
that horse and let alone won a grade three race on her beat
Caitlin her greatness, who we just talked about here.
I think pondering is is going to be tough to beat, but I I would
include the two and and one of the horse that I've loved that
I'm just going to throw in on the on multi race exotics and on
the back end of your trifectas and supers is the five.
She's a funky drummer for Russ Arnold was previously trained by
Larry Rubelli. This is a horse I loved as a 2
year old. Was actually entered at Woodbine
in to Catch a Glimpse, which is one of the main 2 year old
features on the Kings Click card last year and I was going to bet
the house on her. Ended up scratching her from
that spot, sent her to Kentucky down.
She ran in the untappable and finished second which was you
know, $1,000,000 race. It was a strong performance
there. Hasn't been the same this year
so far, but she's a funky drummer, 21 in the morning line.
A long shot I like to throw in there.
Long shot for me and here's Nikki 9 doors for Chris Davis
will break from the 11 vessel and Shamino gets the ride there.
He's 4 for 13 already this meet at Turfway.
This is a daughter of Cairo Prince, the four year old and
man, she is really, really good on the turf.
Sprinting is always at in the you know, in the final equation.
As I say, JD there as far as hitting the board over and over
and over hasn't won yet this year.
So 3 seconds and 2/3 and seven runs this year.
Just Pepper and the board. But boy, would love to see her
get over the top here. But I think for sure it include
in exactas and try as we're talking with JD Fox at horse
tickets on the socials. If you'd like to go find him
there ahead of the synthetic Championships tomorrow at
Turfway Park, The Prairie Bayou will be a $250,000 list of 6A
mile on the synthetic up there and three and up in this one.
Open company, interesting field here.
We see Encino in here that people will remember as a
Lexington winner who decided not to run in the Kentucky Derby,
but we have seen him back winning in different places,
including a Presque Isle in the mile.
I love him in this spot. I saw him up on Indiana Derby
day run really well on the turf as well.
Where'd you land on this one? I, I just look at that
performance in the River City last time out for Encino at
Churchill on the turf. Obviously a different act than
what they're asking today, but that was just not a not a strong
performance. So hopefully Encino can bounce
back here. But there's a horse I really
like at a decent line on the decent price on the morning
line, it should say. And that's the 2 horsepower for
Joe Orsino, 8 to 1 on the morning line.
Look, you're you're getting Samuel Moran, who's the leading
jockey at Tampa Bay Downs coming up for this one to finish beaten
third in Artie Schiller. Good resolved individual beat no
balls earlier this year which is a good running line to have and
the call boys up at Presque Isle and we talked about you know
Presque Isle shippers are are doing well here.
Obviously you know finish strong individual with grade three
event at Woodbine. I I think this horse gets the
right trip. I think they can the horse can
stalk right behind whoever ends up getting the lead here,
whether it's the fourth Eisman or the one Wagstaff.
The you know, we there's a couple speed signed on
horsepower just needs a citizenship behind whoever that
speed horse is and I think can be a good shot to be there at
the end along with Encino and make another interesting horse
is the 11 Surly Furious 126. The Turfway in 2024 hasn't
necessarily been the same running in lower company, but
sometimes you've got a horse for course and I think surely
Furious is a horse for course at Turfway Park.
Dresden Rowe ran second in this race last year, is back in here,
was under Martin Garcia Munger gets a ride here for Lauren
Richards coming out of a bunch of stakes up there at Woodbine.
Dresden Rowe must include or no. I think you include them on a,
on a, on a pick 5 ticket, which the big 5 starts in the first
race we talked about, you know, this is your sovereign winner,
this is your champion 3 year old in Canada last year.
But obviously, you know, struggled to start and it's hard
to say struggled. I mean, it's hit the board every
time this year, but finally one in the autumn and through a
through a 97 buyer speed figure. So must include I, I think needs
the right trip to finish, but you know, certainly somebody
that's going to hit the board and somebody you need to
include. The holiday cheer will be Race
9. We're talking with JD Fox at
horse tickets on the socials. If you want to go, follow him
there. The holiday cheer is a six
furlong Sprint on the synthetic. Quarter million bucks on the
line here, 3 and up in this one. And this to me is either I think
a a single or a spread kind of race here.
Where did you end up landing in this one?
I'm fascinated, I got to say, because roll on Big Joe was in
here and he hasn't been on the synthetic in a really long time.
But man, we see occasionally those shippers from Churchill
Downs. If they're just fast, it doesn't
matter. They like Turfway.
It is what it is. No balls is in here.
As you mentioned, lucky score. Howard Wolowitz, of course, out
of the the barn of Jose D'Angelo, back-to-back winner in
the Breeders Cup this year. Where'd you land in this one,
bro? It's a fun one.
Yeah, I I ended up taking the chalk with Howard Walwick, who
is defending champion in this race, been facing much tougher.
You look at the field in the turf Sprint at Kentucky down
only beating 1/2 length there. Obviously Turf Mile, that's a
big African team and 1st sprinter didn't like that.
Gets back to the synthetic. Obviously won this race last
year and won second career start at Gulfstream on the synthetic,
you know, 2 best speed figures we've seen there.
Yeah, I, I really like Howard Wallowitz here.
You know, there's some interesting horses underneath
you can talk about. Well, I'm Big Joe no balls.
Obviously a Breeders' Cup champion on the latter stages of
of his career at this point is interesting.
And also want to shout out out on bail here, you know, get
proud aboard for Mike Maker trying synthetic for the first
time. But the pedigree says I should
enjoy it and it's, you know, all all out on bail done is hit the
board in nine to 10 races. So obviously a competitive horse
and suddenly you want to take a a stab underneath that 12:50 in
the morning line. Yeah, I think Arrest Me Red is
that horse for me. Two for Three with a second
lifetime at Turfway Park did win the Big Daddy Stakes, which is
the March version of this race this year in fact.
And so he's a horse that seems to like it at Turfway Park, won
the four go or ran second, excuse me, in the four go last
year as well. So I think he's won.
That makes a lot of sense here. I'm totally putting you on the
spot because we did not talk about it.
Do you do you have a play of the last leg by chance in the end,
the maiden? If you don't, it's totally fine.
Yeah, we can. We can talk about it.
So maybe special way it's an interesting.
Assortment, yeah. 2 year old race here, Yeah.
Yeah, 2 year old race. I I was looking at the five
Empire W obviously Brad Cox finished second like debut at
Churchill. I think another must include is
Mcgeen's on tap. I hope I'm saying that
correctly. The 7th horse, 4 to one on the
morning line for Brendan Walsh. You know, been second beaten
quite a bit, but those were the tough fields at Kentucky Downs
in Keeneland I think finds an easier spot here and I think one
other must include is going to be the 10 War Gamer, another
Brendan Walsh entry with Morales aboard.
Didn't show much on debut at Keeneland but has a good
pedigree out of a very expensive British sire.
Blinkers are going on things to look at and and think so for
made and second start, Brendan Walsh sitting at 18%.
Yeah, No, it's awesome stuff. Is Omaha Beach potentially the
first Great American synthetic sire?
Is that what we're looking at here?
Is that, is that the next, the next, or at least the next one
at least? Is there a chance?
Yeah, I, I, I think so we're Yeah, this was actually a
conversation. I had it at dinner with some
much smarter people than me earlier this week at the
composing here in Arizona. And that was that was a topic
that was brought up is interesting.
I think we're going to start seeing synthetic specific sires
that are going to stand out on the page.
And I, I think he hit the nail on the head with, with who I
would vote for right now as, as being a standout in North
America for it. So, you know, Omaha Beach, you
know, obviously has done just an exceptional job and it's been at
pretty much every synthetic track.
It's not been a specific blend of the surface or something
crazy. It's, it's just been all
synthetic surfaces. So something to keep an eye on
for sure. Well, there you go.
He's he's JD Fox. You got to pick in the free
charity. I'm just kidding.
All right, you have a you have a good weekend, my buddy.
I'm sure we'll talk to you soon. We've got we got plenty of turf
way to talk this this winter. So we'll, we'll get you back on
all right. I, I would see, I, I was
thinking you're going to have me make an FCS pick or something
that was ready for anything today, Louis.
OK. Do you have an FCS pick?
These are always, by the way, JD Fox, FCS expert.
Do you do you have an FCS pick? So we're in the quarterfinals
tomorrow. 5:25 UC Davis is going to win at home against Illinois
State. Book it.
Boom, book it Football Friday. Play the Sounders act Football
Friday with our guy JD Fox here on the Friday.
You're damn right, all right. They appreciate you joining us
on the program. Have a good weekend, buddy.
You too. There you go, all right, there
you go at horse tickets on the socials, of course, for JD Fox,
head of the big day there at Turfway Park.
Bundle up if you're headed up there, but it is a very, very
fun day of racing full fields. I mean, it is a spectacular
betting card. So make sure you get in at
Turfway Park tomorrow. Really fun racing as well.
The state bread program down at Fairgrounds.
And like I said, that fraternity out at LaSalle.
We'll have SoCal Saturdays this afternoon.
Barry Spears is at a wedding. And so my friend Josh Rodriguez
from on the lead on the wrong Lead, excuse me podcast will
join me for that one. I'll look for that to release
this after nude 437-9680. Our UPS jobs text line.
A couple of interviews I did yesterday.
Going to play those next. Mike Pollock and Sean flew Hardy
from down here at Nickel. Geez.
A couple of the members of the board here as part of the
conference. You hear from them next.