We continue our Road to Preakness 151 Series – and are joined once again by Mackenzie Pfeiffer & Frank Vepse.
12% on the pick 5 – get capping!
We continue our Road to Preakness 151 Series – and are joined once again by Mackenzie Pfeiffer & Frank Vepse.
12% on the pick 5 – get capping!
Terrible music, fantastic podcast.
It's the horse racing happy hour.
Thanks for hanging out with us today on our Road to Preakness
151 series. I'm Lou Urbo.
You get used to her on this show.
For whatever reason, she keeps coming back.
Her name's McKenzie Pfeiffer. Find her at Mac under score PF
on the socials. And of course, new friend of the
show from the racing biz. Frank Best be a guy that I run
into exactly once a year. At the.
WBAL set there in Baltimore, but we've decided to make it a
little bit more than that. We want to get into a little bit
of what you're working on, the racing biz.
But if people have followed this show and enjoy Maryland racing
and have discovered Marilyn Mayerson perhaps through this
show, I'm very happy that that's happened #1 but #2 if you're not
going to theracingbiz.com, you're missing out.
Frank, how are you? I'm great, Louis.
It's good to see. I think that well, as you
mentioned, the last time we saw each other would have been
Preakness last year. We're kind of sharing war
stories, so. That's exactly.
Nice to see and a different environment.
It is good to be here for sure. Uh, thanks for hanging out with
us on yet another edition of the horse racing happy hours.
We had tour Preakness 151. Frank, do you like that?
I call these Preakness and, uh, Black Eyed Susan preps.
Of course I do. Yes.
Love it. In fact, you know, we, we have a
radio show in Virginia and the host is, is Nick Khan and he's
getting handicappers to do all the like the Derby prep races.
And he's like, should we call him, you know, Preakness preps,
what should we call it? And and so, so yeah, we're,
we're all in with you. Good.
Steal it. Please.
Use it. Yes.
Everybody go. I love it.
You should make T-shirts. You should have hats.
Mackenzie, get it together down there at Laurel Park in any way
that you possibly can. Frank Vespie and Mackenzie
Pfeiffer with me. Louie Orbeau on the horse racing
Happy. I appreciate them hanging out
with me. I'll be at Laurel Park for the
Preakness this year. That is where we will find the
races this weekend as well. And frankly, it's got Wyckoff on
last month and we talked about Laurel as the new, you know, the
stadium authority takes over. They decide they're going to buy
down in Laurel to build out the training facility there.
Makes sense for you? Oh yeah, absolutely.
This is what this is what the horsemen in general have wanted.
A lot of them live around Laurel.
The other thing that Laurel gives you, that was not going to
be the case at Shamrock, is it gives you the possibility of
running some races there, which frankly, I'm going to say this
and I'm going to say it this way, it would be malpractice if
the Maryland Jockey Club does not run some race.
It actually gets Laurel and does not run some races there because
you've got 145 foot wide turf course where you can run on two
different lanes each day. Pimlico's got a 90 foot wide
turf course. You're stuck on one lane each
day. You can run about 3-2 to three
turf races a day. Laurel, you can run 6, do a turf
festival, do something like that, you know, do something to
spice up the meats and something to attract the DC crowd.
Because Pimlico, much as a lot of people love Pimlico, if you
live South of the Baltimore Beltway, you're probably not
going to Pimlico because getting to Pimlico is hard.
And so Laurel's a lot closer to DCA lot closer to a much larger
and wealthier population. You got to run some races there.
So it gives you, it gives you a lot of good options.
I, I, I think it's a, a huge positive.
Mackenzie, did you know the exact width of the turf courses
respectively at Laurel Park and Pimlico?
That's why we have Fred Vespian. Approximate I won't claim.
I would never let you quote me on my guessing the numbers.
But here's how you here's how you know I'm in a basketball
market. By the way, he said that the
distance of the Pimlico width and I thought, oh, basketball
court's 94 feet wide. That's that's that's where my
brain went immediately was, oh, people comes like a basketball
court. So there you go hanging out with
Frank and with McKenzie there in Maryland.
We're getting into the sort of the the meteor part of this
schedule here. McKenzie, you know, getting to 7
furlongs, stretching out to the full mile on the boys side of
things in the Miracle Wood. Who has stood out to you at this
point? We're always trying to figure
out who that starter might be on the Philly side, on the cold
side. As someone stood out that, you
know, is shooting for this route, what do you think?
Will definitely be there on that.
I guess third Saturday then. Well, it's funny with the boys,
you can't necessarily say a single horse.
You have to just throw a blanket over the Gary Cavallano barn
because it's just going to be a matter of, you know, who, who is
going where and how. He kind of campaigns those, but
he has several very, very good ones.
Odds are he'll probably have two in there in April, But you know,
for the time being, if there were a futures bet on who's
going to have a horse going, I think you could hedge your bets
on a Capuano DO. You agree with that Gary or
Frank excuse? Me look, Gary Capuano is the
hottest trainer on the grounds. He's he's just a really good
trainer. He's a guy, he's a guy that you
know, a lot of trainers maybe could say this, but if you could
give him a half a length to use any way he wanted in his career,
he would have won the Derby and the Preakness with Captain
Bodget and probably wouldn't be training in Maryland anywhere
anymore. But so he's a terrific trainer.
I, I can't disagree with what McKenzie said.
The one thing I would say, the one horse who's not here, who
ran in the spectacular bid, who's now pointing for the
private terms that I think is a little interesting, is the Tim
Keefe horse of Silence. That horse, all kinds of bad
stuff happened to him last time out, running at the end.
He wants two turns. He runs like a horse that wants
two turns and he runs like a horse that's going to be a lot
more mature in a few months than he is right now.
Interesting. Yeah, no, I love watching this,
this winding path from the fall all the way through from
Maryland Million Day. It's going to be a little bit
later this year, which is awesome.
I think sets up really well for what they're trying to do,
especially with this trail to the Preakness.
Frank Vespi from the racing biz and of course, you know,
Mackenzie Pfeiffer from the Maryland Jockey Club on the
simulcast there at Laurel Park. Let's get into those races.
Pick 5 starts there in Race 5 on Saturday.
By the way, high level conditions for all of the races
this weekend at Laurel Park. So you're going to get some
really, really good racing in here.
I texted Mackenzie in within 10 seconds.
The morning lines dropped on Equibase, so that is obviously
me doing that for everyone. You're very welcome, but Race 5
isn't optional flavor. We're on the dirt for all of the
races in Maryland right now, $55,000 claim price. 56K in the
Kitty for this. 1/5 and 1/2 on the dirt for four and up.
McKenzie, we go to you first, should you like in this one.
Look, Prince of Jericho, I'm not sure I'm going to single, but he
ran such a great race in both of these two starts coming back for
the fall winter campaign. You know, First off the bench
running second to Petingis twin, who you know, huge on that day
and then Chipotle last time out. I could watch that replay 10
times and still not be bored because it was like those two
horses were just fighting tooth and nail who was going to have
their nose in front. It was one of the best horse
races and you know, it was a fun allowance race.
So that's what you get in this set up here today.
I think he's one who just having a little bit of a return to form
or sort of return to the races you know how to break.
We've seen him entered and just with race cancellations, things
like that should all be a go here for Saturday.
It's hammer time is obviously going to be tough if he runs
back, but he's not going to be a huge price.
He's coming in first time against older company.
We haven't seen him in a while. I think there's reason to
believe that recency could get the job done.
Frank, if we're looking outside of that inside duo of horses
there, where would you look, do you think?
Dean delivers the five horse on the outside.
He's the one horse in this group that has consistently run at
that level. You know, he won the De Francis,
he won the Rumson. He had this really nice streak.
He won the Alipocas run. He was really in good form.
This is going back to the summer of 24.
Hasn't really been able people run at that level in the last
year or so. But and and it may just be he's
past that, but he's the one horse that like, if he could
find that again, he's good enough to beat either of those.
Moving on to Race 6, this is the horse racing happy hour.
We're doing our Road to Preakness, 151 Series, Miracle
Wood and Wide Country this weekend.
We'll get into those races in just a moment.
Late pick four starts here. By the way, I didn't even
mention pick five take out of Maryland is 12%.
So if you're, if you're a pick five player, you're not going to
do any better than the Maryland. So make sure you get in there
even with shorter fields. Just play for a buck.
Do what you got to do. A 12% take out definitely makes
it worth checking out this weekend.
Race 6 late before starts here, $40,000 claimer with a $40,000
purse as well. This is for non 3 lifers,
Phillies and mares 4 and up. And Frank, we go to you.
Is this the most wide open race in the sequence?
It's pretty wide open. You got a bunch of speed horses
you got you got a New York shipper that I'm going to take a
stand against. I think Mack likes a little bit.
Sorry, Mick. I think it's an interesting
race. So the the two horses I sort of
land on one of them is and yeah, you guys are going to laugh at
me and and you're right to laugh at me.
You should laugh at me. But is SRO the two horse for
Kenny Cox? This horse I.
Knew that was coming, sorry. Fine, be like that.
No, if you if you go back, you'll kind of look at his form
go or her form rather going up. You go back about 5 starts.
She wins the 2 life for fun. They put her in the Maryland
million no good. Those horses are too good for
her. They put her in the allowance.
So so they put her in the in the in this race with a which has a
hybrid condition that that one was a four and up three life or
three-year old that race. She runs very well.
Safe trust, who's A5 time winner wins that race.
Shakara fire on 2nd. She's multiple stakes plays.
So and and maybe even stakes winner.
So she runs very well. Last time out, take your pen,
draw a line through it complete disaster area.
She was acting up before the race.
She reared, she rushed up outside, got all the way in the
second, you know, kind of hitting the head of the lane and
then was done. I think you just draw a line
through that. I think her best race is good
enough for these. My one question is, she's a
speed horse. She's going.
A bunch of others are going. Who's not going?
Who's going to be running at the end?
Like, don't fool with me a little bit with Mark Schumann
yet, said Hazelwood. Hazelwood just wins and wins and
wins everything. He rides, runs well.
I think this is a horse that's going to get a better trip.
Is she good enough? I don't know.
But the trip is going to work to her advantage.
Ought to be able to just tuck in, let about four other horses
go, come running at the end. So that's that's where I land.
20 to one there on the inside horse.
Don't with me. Real, real value there
potentially, if, if Frank is right, Mackenzie isn't right.
I I actually put a little asterisk next to that one.
And before you. Mentioned it.
I was just trying to refresh my memory on what it was that I
really thought and it is just kind of those last two, maybe a
just forgive and draw a line through.
But that is a horse who's run some very good races I think can
handle the trip from the inside. You have Hazelwood on, so that's
always a little bit of a tell for us here, especially in
recent weeks. But it is kind of a spread race
for me. And so that's why I was saying,
you know, it would be great if I can kind of single in that first
leg and then see if I need to attack the pick four or go
ahead. Now the New York shipper I do
think has an opportunity. But I hate to trust those horses
and I hate to single them. So, you know, take with that
what you will. There's going to be fair value
on the others. And Chrissy Ann is one who I
think has been steadily improving.
I didn't necessarily use her last time out, but I thought she
ran a sneaky good race, a kind of messy trip overall, but just
kept churning along. She's not going to be part of
that early pace duo and you also get a jockey change on her.
Michael Sanchez picks up them out for Chrissy and who has five
appearances in the trifecta and eight runs at the distance.
Deuce have two wins, 3 seconds and 2/3 seven times in the money
at 10 runs at Laurel Park as well.
A bit of a specialist there. A daughter of Instagram, which I
still think is the worst horse name of all time.
It's not good. Hey, I didn't want to jump in on
in awe. The the New York shipper is in
awe of Juju, the six horse for Jamie Ness and and Schwann is up
and and and sort of building on what Max said.
A lot of times, this is my own personal handicapping bias, but
when horses ship in from New York, they generally, if they're
competitive at all, they're bet like a good thing.
And a lot of times if they don't have an edge in the in the buyer
fix, they don't have an edge. And and so in my view, they
become good horses to toss because they're they're going to
bat be bat like they're better and they're not better.
And and so that's kind of where I land on in awe of Juju, who's
fine and could win is going to be part of the pace speed fix.
Give her no advantage. Toss.
All right, there you go. We'll move on to the two stakes
on the card. The Black Eyed Susan Prep is the
wide country race 7 here, running for $100,000 / 7
furlongs on the dirt. 3 year old Phillies.
Of course, in this one. Mac, we go to you first here and
I try to come up with these games that are kind of like yay
or nay based on the names of the different stakes races.
And luckily in Maryland we have fantastic stakes names.
I mean, just unbelievable. The dinner party and you know, I
mean just the Gallaurette. I mean just spectacular.
Chick Lang even has an awesome name.
So like there's just great names in Maryland as well.
I mean people named cricket and you know, it's just awesome.
It's great stuff. And so I I couldn't come up with
one here though, and that's not a good job.
I mean, how about that bad job? We're.
Just going to play by yourself today.
We're going to go through the field one at a time here in the
wide country. Moxie will break from the
inside. Jose Corrales trains.
Chavez gets them out here. 2 for two.
It went in the slop last time. Get back to 7 furlongs here,
Mac. I think 1 longer price.
This is 1 to look at. Yeah.
I agree. This is one who I don't
necessarily think we've seen her best.
I liked that she's had two sort of different trips.
And I didn't completely write her off last time out because
she was that impressive when she won.
She looks like she was just out training.
And you know, the 47 buyer is a little bit modest, I think from
the debut. How?
About for you Frank I I think she's one to definitely give a
look at you know, Corrales is a guy he's crafty.
His horses jump up at prices surprisingly often.
A horse 2 for two and and be the next out winner last time out I
mean and and Matt pointed this out and I think she's right went
right to the front first time second time ran into the pace.
Love to see that sort of versatility.
I I think there's a lot she needs to step forward here, but
there's no she's only started twice.
No reason she can't. What is the weather forecast as
far as moisture in the track this Saturday?
She's had good success back over, you know, good go and then
sloppy go last time. I truly can't tell how much
rain, if we're going to get rain.
It's been Gray for three days, so humidity is high.
You know, today's probably the good day.
Do you want me to give you an update?
Live here. No, I'm doing it right now.
It looks like you guys are just going to be partly cloudy, maybe
some rain tomorrow morning, something like that there in
Maryland. So I'm just saying because it's
been cloudy, I always try to, you know, look at the Kentucky
weather and then assume it's going to happen the next day in
Maryland kind of thing. And so the I, I did wonder if
you had the same kind of cloud cover we have.
Obviously we're running a turfway right now, so it doesn't
matter. But I did wonder if you had that
because if there's a little bit of moisture in this track, I
think at 5-6 to 1, whatever Memoxie's going to be in this
race, I, I think that's some decent value actually.
So yeah, breaking from the 2 will be.
And by the way, that's a Maximus Mischief baby.
We're here in that name a lot amongst 3 year olds this year
too. So that's kind of an interesting
one there. Another name that we heard a lot
last year, $5000 stud fee moved up to 7500 in Rock Your World.
Grade 1 winner in the San Anita Handicap or Sanity.
Jeremy, Excuse me, Velocity Girl will break from the 2 here.
You know, Madison Meyers and Ortiz combination here that
they've hooked up three exact times at Laurel Park Break.
What do you make of this one, Sacha?
I'm not loving Velocity Girl in this spot.
I mean, I, I, you know, took her five tries to break the maiden.
Did it nicely last time out, first time with Lasix.
Now the Lasix comes back off. I selling on this one.
If we're doing buy, sell, I'm selling.
I'm not. Buying You are the scientist on
the panel, young McKenzie. What makes you of losing the
LASIK here? Is it a big deal?
Look, I think with the step up income, she ran so well last
time out and I will say we've had one horse come back to win
for the maiden 20. So taking some class relief,
that was the last place finisher.
But this is a time of year where you can see those changes,
especially with Lasik's going on, this is a big step up for
me, and so I don't necessarily know if I would be spreading
wide enough to include her myself.
Warfront on the damn side as well didn't need to stretch out
to a vial to break her maiden most recently.
But as Frank pointed out, first time trying Lasix does not get
it in this spot. Of course in the listed sticks.
We're talking about the wide country.
I'm talking with Mackenzie Pfeiffer and Frank best meeting
find Frank at the at the racing Biz and of course Mackenzie on
the simulcast there at the Maryland Jockey Club.
Breaking from the three, the likely favorite in law school,
this is the nest and Hazelwood combination here.
Frank, I'll come to you in a second.
I'll go to Mackenzie first. What do we?
What do? We make her.
Favorites The The favorites chances here because.
Look, I think she's pretty likely.
I, I kind of need to see, I just don't trust the 80 buyer.
I was talking with John Piasic about this.
He really buys in because she's had two strong races.
I agree. She's had two strong races and
she's going to be in there, but I don't know if I'm singular.
And so that's where short price a user.
But I try to demand just a little bit more because, you
know, I, I think she's going to have to really be held honest
every step of the way. Very, very good.
Last two races, Frank. What do you make of her chances
here? I, I, she's got a big chance,
obviously. And, and, you know, after Mac
and John were, were talking about, you know, whether you,
whether you buy the buyer or not on the 80, I went back and
looked. This is a thing I like to do
when I'm unsure about how the horses buyer figure to look at
what the other horses had done and what they did in that race.
And it looks like that figure should be about right like the
other horses. A second third place horse, one
of them I think was slightly slower than her best prior and
the other one was slightly better.
So the horses were all sort of OK, you know, buyer wise and I
this horse, you know, this is another one she won on the front
end. She wants stalking the pace.
Kind of had a tear away leader to run out last time, but she's
got a big shot. You certainly can't leave her
off the tech. Tough to look past the even
money morning line. Favorite law school again.
Hazelwood up there. Peach tie will break from the
floor. Frank, I will not head fake you
here. If someone said to you, hey,
it's Brittany Russell. So people by muscle memory right
now are going to bet her her number is going to be low.
I'm going to avoid her in this spot.
After all, she's 2 for 25. Would you fight against them?
I wouldn't you know, the last couple years she's Brittany's
barn has been fantastic. They win at a high percentage
and not only they win when they don't win, the horses run well.
And so far this year they haven't been winning and a lot
of their horses haven't been running that well.
Now, Brittany told me that, you know, they haven't had the
horses out yet, that in general they want, we'll talk about one
that they did want to get out in the next race, but.
So that may be part of the issue, but you know, this horse
will get bad and and the value proposition may be a little bit
dicey. I also, you know, I'm not 100%
sold on that last race for this one, the gin talking was a field
of three and they basically cooked in the early part of that
race and went very fast. And then they were really
sucking wind in the last three furlongs of that race.
It was very slow coming home. I'm not.
She won by 8 lengths and I'm not sure whether that was, you know,
that I think the charts that she eagerly drew away, I'm not sure
she was so eagerly drewing away as the horses behind her were
kind of going backwards. A daughter of Preservationist
Orb on the damn side. If you wanted to feel old, that
was the first Kentucky Derby I went to.
All right, last one on the outside.
McKenzie is striker row. Second time starter Raylo
Gutierrez on the ride for the Engelhart barn here.
Broke her maiden up there in a maiden optional at Aqueduct.
I went back, watched this race. I think she's every bit the.
I think she fits very well here. McKenzie.
She does. She certainly does fit very well
here. I, I'm pretty excited to see
what we get from her next time out.
She was super professional in that debut, had a little bit to
do there, but, you know, overcame it pretty well.
And so I think that was really promising and, you know, reason
to believe that she's well placed today.
Daughter of known agenda here, Frank.
Why not? What do you make of her a second
time? Well, one, one thing I make of
her is I believe she is expected to scratch.
So I don't believe we're going to see her on Saturday.
I agree with you. She fits with these.
If if she posts I I think she fits.
And if you get the right the right number, I mean, you need a
little bit of a number because she will have to step forward.
First time gets winners but good looking at her first time.
Yeah, I think she was going to be about 5:00 to 1:00.
That's too bad because I I definitely would have try the
five to one talk about Frank Vespi from the racing business
and of course Mackenzie Pfeiffer, friend of the show
from the Maryland Jockey Club there simulcast down there at
Laurel Park. I'm Louis Riveau.
This is the horse racing happy hour.
We're doing our Preakness 151 series here.
We move on to the start of Saturday.
It is the miracle wood. We are finally all right, This
is let's let's have the debate. I feel like Frank Vespi is one
of these nerds. I could have this debate.
I am a nerd. Exact width of the two turf
courses in Maryland. So yes, I think I can do this
with you. I do not think of a one mile
race over one turn as a route. Do you think of it as a route
purely being based on 8 furlongs?
That's a good question. I, you know, here's what I, I, I
don't, I don't have a strong feeling route or not route.
I do have a strong feeling though.
And, and we're seeing this actually with a couple horses
out of the spectacular bed that are bypassing this race because
they feel like we want to start getting serious about, you know,
classic distance type. The way to get serious about
them is to go 2 terms so that I do I feel like.
I'll also say when I look at the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile and I
look at Santa Anita Del Mar, I look at it differently than I do
at Belmont or at Churchill, where I know there's one chart
for sure, for sure. I know I'm handicapping
differently. So that's the only reason I
bring it up. The Miraclewood will be the
start of the late double $100,000 on the line.
As I mentioned, a mile on the track.
There is one turn at Laurel Park as well over the one turn mile.
Frankly, Frank, they should probably keep Laurel available
for some racing just for the one turn mile, like a one turn mile
I. Just thought.
Of that, I like it. Just have that.
We'll go through the field here. We'll go to you first here.
No more calls will break from the inside.
Let me get my numbers in front of me.
A 30 to one shot. Almost certainly the least
likely winner here, Frank. Yo absolutely snake frock Jean
Brusino up. You know good for them.
They won the maiden. Broke the maiden with this
horse. Wouldn't bet them with your
money. There you go, Mackenzie.
Do you largely agree that we shouldn't use your money to bet
on this horse? I do agree.
I mean, this is a horse who I like and I think it's an
interesting claim in this race. I wouldn't necessarily be
throwing him in though. Higher sense will break from the
2 here 6 to 1 Pedalosa and Lopez combining on this one.
A son of higher power, a New Jersey bred in here.
Frank. Why not?
What play six last time you looking at him sort of
similarly. By the way, I'm a Jersey bred
myself, so I I. Don't need to know that about
your parents, Frank. That's what I don't need to.
Know I always support the Jay breds, but I I'm not using this
horse. I I the lasix wasn't the thing
so much for me and and you know, in that last race, by the way,
this horse had seen me a lot a couple times.
Me a lot is pretty nice horse based at parks.
So you know, certainly was benefiting from getting out of
that one shadow. But they go 25 for the opening
quarter. They're not going 20.
If he's if he manages to go 25 and is clear, then okay, he
probably wins. He's not going 25 and getting
clear in this spot. So I it's not going to be a use
for me. I'm obviously not asking Frank
first about the next horse GQ worthy of Virginia bread here.
Rob Barnes, Xavier Perez rides. That's a good joke.
I stand by it. This one will break from the
three Mackenzie slightly higher odds at 8:00 to 1:00 here.
One that we saw Maryland millionaire at the seven
furlongs. I I don't think he's without a
shot here. I'd agree, I thought this horse
has run well throughout the later part of the year and I
think is just kind of knocking on the door last time out.
Maybe just a little bit too much to do out wide there.
He also found a sloppy track. He's won over a sloppy track
before. So you know he's one who I might
make a note and just watch the weather if for some chance we do
end up with a ton of rain. He comes into a little bit of
stronger contention for me, but it looks like Carlos opts off of
him to ride the two higher sensor.
GQ Worthy. What do you make of him, Frank?
My old buddy Gary Quill is happy that there's a horse named GQ
Worthy. I I'm not, you know, I will say
one thing. That last race his horse ran on
January 10th on that sloppy track.
That track was really weird that day.
It was very sticky and some horses just hated it.
And they were like, there were a couple favorites that they never
picked up their feet the entire race.
I'm not going to get too overly either engaged or critical of a
horse that ran well or poorly that day.
This horse is OK. I think that my question with
this horse is what is the pace scenario going to be?
Because I think if he gets what he wants, he's going to be
running at the end and he might be hard to hold off going a
mile. He almost got there in the
Maryland juvenile going 7/8 code of silence.
Both those horses came from the back of the field.
There's no code of silence here. Question is, is he going to get
that kind of pace and that that's the part I'm not sure
about. I'll be curious to hear what you
guys think pace wise here. No, I think there are several
horses that could inherit it. Frankly, I wonder if the horse
just to his outside close the gate actually doesn't get the
lead in this race. I think that's one that could,
absolutely. Do it, Yeah.
All right, Frank best me the racing biz Mackenzie Pfeiffer
from the Maryland Jockey Club. We are going through the field
for the miracle would the Preakness prep this weekend
close The gate is going to break from the four here 6 to one out
of the Salzman barn, the Pennsylvania bread here.
So so far we've had a Maryland and Jersey of Virginia of
Pennsylvania. We will get to the Florida and
Kentucky breads the old United Nations of of stakes races here.
Mackenzie, what do you make of his chances?
I I might have closed the gate on top here.
I can't believe I'm saying. That I, I wouldn't really be
worried about saying that I thought this huge races, every
single one of them really. And he's kind of underrated the
72 buyer in that 2 back. It was pretty good group.
And you know, for me this race is a little bit of a spread race
because there is that question of the pace scenario.
I don't know if they necessarily want the lead, but they're not,
you know, probably not going to complain if they get it.
I'm kind of expecting the two to be out there in front and this
one maybe to make that first move going into the turn and
sort of round things out. I don't think he's going to go
away very easily either, though. He's been pretty game in all
these efforts. I'd love him to be able to just
sit in the pocket here. Frank, if I'm going to be
betting close the gate. What do you make his chances
here? I, I think he's very
interesting. As Mackenzie said, you know,
John Salzman junior, the trainer made a move And I, I've said
this repeatedly, I hate this move.
He had the horse come run a good race at maiden 30s.
He moved them up a level. I hate when trainers do that
with maidens that didn't win because most of the time you do
it, they run another good race, they get beat again and then all
of a sudden you have a horse that doesn't want to win races.
Instead, this horse gallops so they go all the way up into a
stake with them and man, he ran his eyeballs out that last race.
He gave Hollywood import everything he wanted.
Hollywood Import is another of those Gary Capuano horses and
those Gary Cap horses. One thing about all of them,
they are dead fit. And so I think this horse
probably an inch not as fit as Hollywood import and that was
the difference in that race because he put his head in front
and then just couldn't quite seal the deal.
I think he's got a huge chance in this spot.
This is this group is just OK and I, I think he's got a huge
shot here. A pair of Brittany Russell
runners to the outside here. Taj Mahal is listed at 5 to 1.
Balbo is listed as even money. Frank, go ahead and tell us
which of these two are either or.
Neither is going to run on Saturday.
Balbo, it's going to scratch. All right, so let's talk through
this. I'm actually fascinated by this.
So you mentioned earlier in this this show that Brittany
essentially said, look, my best runners aren't out of the barn
yet. I assume Taj Mahal is going to
be part of that conversation. Let's talk about Balboa though.
First is, is do you, do you know the next stop for Balboa?
Are they going to try the Derby trail?
That one? I I don't know the next stop,
but I you'd have to imagine they sent them up to New York to run
in the ramps and go in nine furlongs.
They they ran them in the Jerome going a mile.
I I'd assume that they he. Showed well in both of those
races by. The way, yeah, ran great.
And both of them, I'd assume that that that would be where
you'd be looking. You know, maybe you go back up
for what are we looking at? What's next is the others next?
Maybe you do, maybe you do that or maybe you look for A2 turn
race somewhere and then try the try the wood memorial.
But I I would assume that's where they're looking.
Yeah, I yeah, I, I thought maybe we'd see him in the Tampa Bay
Derby or something beginning of March, something like that.
But, yeah, whether it's the same day up in New York, if he's run
well at Aqueduct, why not go back to a spot where, you know,
you can hit the board, get Derby points to all the things.
And if it doesn't work, you run to Lexington, you end up in
Baltimore and the world's just fine.
But Frank, let's go ahead and talk about the the one that's
going to run, Son of Nyquist here in Taj Mahal.
The debut was the favorite at, you know, essentially 3 to 2
here. Frank, what did you make of that
first thing? And if we had a knock on
Britney, I guess it would be Sprint to route, right?
But I don't again think of this as a route race.
I think of this as a once or a mile.
What do you make of Taj Mahal? I thought I was very impressed
with this horse first time out. He did some stuff wrong.
He's a young horse, he's learning, did some stuff wrong,
had some issues getting out of the gate.
A bunch of the horses in the paddock before that race, we're
kind of acting up and you know, just a bunch of young horses
being young horses doing stupid stuff.
And he was fairly calm, but then he had some gait issues.
And early in the race you kind of watch it go like he might not
run, you know, he he might just kind of slog around the track.
But once he kicked it in gear, he was tons the best here.
He he kind of put on a show. It was an impressive effort.
He's got questions. Can you stretch out?
We don't know yet because he hasn't done it first time
against winners. That's always a challenge.
But a lot of talent. This horse has a lot of talent.
And if if he's the kind of horse, you know, Brittany said.
Like, this is one of the horses we've been waiting to get out
onto the track. If he's the kind of talent that
they maybe think he is. And, you know, this is a horse
that, you know, kind of had a lengthy work tab out West and it
wasn't coming together. Then they sent him E to Brittany
and now it's seen this may be a circuit where he fits a little
better than Southern Cal. This was a good effort.
If he's got the kind of talent that they think he does, this
would be a good spot for him to show that.
When I interview coaches on my radio show here, I ask them
always what's more important, your methodology, your ex's and
O's or the jimmies and Joe's. And they laugh at me and they
always say jimmies and Joe's. And I've transferred that
question, Mackenzie, to trainers and I've asked them what's more
important your training methods are having good horses in your
barn. And they all laugh at me.
It's always about the horses. And as we see more of these
Starlight SF racing kind of horses head her way, I think of
Brittany Russell as being capable of turning a son of
freaking Nyquist with a quality Rd. dam into A2 turn horse for
sure. What's the ceiling for a horse
like Taj Mahal? Do you?
Think so. I have to mention on the trip,
as Frank was hinting at, I don't think we've found the ceiling.
And that's why I want to go back to it because watching that
trip, I agree where you said, oh gosh, is this horse going to
run? And then you kind of see, I
wonder if Sheldon is putting in the four race education all in
one here today was kind of the approach that I had to it.
You know, he taught the horse to rate.
He didn't necessarily there was pace in there.
He wanted to actually get the horse into the race and
understand the whole process start to finish.
He made a nice sweeping move, looked really good doing it, but
then it wasn't a total wrap up job.
Like they actually used the race for some fitness.
He rode the horse out. I thought it was a pretty
telling tale in that, you know, this was a few races piled into
one. They're being strategic with
this and you know, obviously maybe had this weekend in mind.
So they know what they're doing when it comes to getting horses
out to this one turn mile. And that's where I I think
they're excited about the horse. They target him here.
It's a logical next step forward.
Yeah, no, I totally agree. And Frank, I mean, look, we we
joke on this show a lot about the deputed testimony of the of
the Preakness is that, I mean is, is this if we were looking
forward from this race especially is, is Taj Mahal the
most likely of the Tessio winners from this group?
Is it a close the gate? Is it a, I don't know, is it any
of these horses that have actually tried two turns Where,
where would you land in that, in that kind of?
Question. Wow, that's a good question.
Who is the likely Tessia winner out of this group?
'Cause I, I honestly after looking at everything re
watching that race, I I agree with and I had not thought about
it in the way that Mackenzie had just described with Taj Mahal,
with all of the 'cause you described even frankly like, oh,
we got to run now. Oh, we, you know, in like how
many lessons a horse can learn in a single race and actually
apply them moving forward. I'm just not doubting the
breeding here and I'm not doubting the methodology of
reversing Russell. And so I just, I think that
there's something here where if we're picking out of this race,
that's what I would go to is most likely Tessio.
Winner yeah, and, and I think that's probably right.
I I think this is the horse with the highest upside of this
group. Whether, you know, whether he's
going to want the two turns, whether whether he develops
because not all horses do, but he's got the highest upside of
this group. And so that probably points you
to most likely Tessio, winner of this group.
And of course on the outside Mac, we haven't even mentioned
the Capuano and Hazelwood combination here.
Let's go. Lando winner over this exact
course last time out five times in the money in five runs at
Laurel Park, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera.
Did I did, I just did. I breeze over this one way too
early. No, look, we were going in
order. So I have to be honest, I like
this horse quite a bit. He's another one who he could
end up being forward in here. He of the Capuano horses, I
wouldn't say he's the one I'm most excited about.
I think there are some other ones who I'm kind of excited to
see get some more experience going the two turns.
But this is a horse who has won both going a mile and going the
two turns. So you certainly have to take
that into consideration. He's been very, very consistent
for me. I I use him in those exact as
and tries. He's in the pick 5 for me.
Would it be a surprise if he won here?
No, he has tons of routing experience.
But you know, what kind of trip does he need?
I think he has to improve a little bit here today.
If we were at Del Bar, this horse would be called Let's Go
Lindo. So shout out to my friend John
Lindo on Thoroughbred LA Frank Vespy, who does radio in
Virginia. What do you think of his chances
on the outside here? I don't love this horse.
I John Piazza, who Mac was on with on On the Radar podcast,
but he'll be on. He'll be on with me on tomorrow
ESPN Louisville Tomorrow 1020 preview with Johnny P How about?
That. Yeah.
All right, so John, who handicaps Marilyn for the
racingthis.com, loves this horse, right?
I think he's singling. I don't know.
I'm not sure what to do with that last race.
He was very, very good that race.
Was it the track? Did the track move him up?
Because it was that same day of the very sticky track.
Maybe. Maybe it was just his day.
I mean, certainly flattered. Code of Silence comes back and
runs third in the spectacular bit of, I thought, a very good
third. So certainly flattered by that.
But I guess I want to see this horse do it more than once.
I want to see like kind of another good effort before I'm
going to take that that 79 is a legitimate fig for him all.
Right, let's go ahead and do it. Mackenzie, who do you have on
top? I go with the Taj Mahal horse on
top here and you know, I'm with Frank overall, you have to use
let's go Lando. But as we mentioned, the four
and the two I think are, you know, kind of interesting for
the value in here. You got on top.
Frank I may land on close the gate with a little more
experience and just a really outstanding effort last time out
in the spectacular bid behind a a pretty seasoned horse and
already a stakes winner in Hollywood import.
Weird that Frank wouldn't go with GQ.
Very weird. All right, move on to the
closer. In race.
Race 9 at Laurel Park on Saturday.
Hanging out with Mackenzie Pfeiffer, Maryland Jockey Club
and of course Frank Vespi from the racing biz.
I'm Lou Rebeau, This is the horse racing happy hour.
We are running a maiden 40 to close 41,000 in the first mile
on the dirt there. 3 year old fillies and this one Mackenzie.
Do you take Yedzi and Trombetta and run?
That's in. My notes that's a great
question. Look, I actually don't
necessarily I really like the one and the five here.
Those are the now I I say that nothing less will do.
I thought ran a very good race velocity girl who we're
obviously going to see in stakes company earlier on in this card.
I think she's going to end up, you know, she's 5:00 to 2:00
morning line. I was hoping she'd maybe be
ignored in this group, but apparently people have gotten a
little bit clever, you know, second time off the bench.
She can go ahead and improve from there.
What? Do you think Frank?
You know who I I keep looking at a little bit is Aqua Blaze for
Trombetta and Sanchez. I think this horse, the speed
figures are, are even for this group, atrocious.
But I think that first race was pretty good.
You know, did some stuff wrong, but actually finished third in a
race where the top pair were ran 1-2 all the way around the
racetrack last time out. No good.
I think she's got a little bit of talent.
I think she can step forward here and and run a better race
and I'm I haven't seen the odds. I'm hoping for a price.
I have a thought on this one and this is a personal opinion.
I have a hard time betting these types of horses.
She's a little sharp and I say that in like, you know, you see
the comment line on the first race where.
She what is that? Hey Mackenzie, we have a lot of
people hanging out with this show that are are real amateur
kind of horse racing folks. What is a horse that looks
really sharp? What does that mean?
She's on her toes, she's a bit keen on debut.
Like over exuberant almost like anxiety ridden almost kind of
thing. Yeah, just a little silly in the
paddock on debut. And then the second start they
came back, they saddled her with the pony.
She was excused from the post parade.
So those are things you do for a horse who is on their toes.
You want to keep the marbles in order.
If you're getting a price on them, sure, go ahead because I
think I agree with you. There is some ability there.
But she's one who I'm not going to single her in any way.
Aqua Blaze. AI was not encouraging.
I'm a blaze certainly that Sanchez and traumatic
accommodation. Big sample size, 17% winners
there at Laurel Park, 5 to 1 on the morning line, 2 to one on
Honor thy cookie, 5 to 2 on nothing less will do the
Maryland bread in that one there as well.
Well, Frank, part of the reason I wanted to have you on was
because we live in a weird industry in horse racing where
everyone's very parochial and I am not good at being parochial.
And I heard that there was going to be a podcast that wasn't this
one that was going to be talking Maryland racing.
And I got excited because it always involves people that I
like because I like the people in Maryland.
I don't know how they got the weird assemblage of people that
they do there, but God bless you.
It's great. And So what did you guys get
going over at the racing Biz and why did you make Mackenzie do
it, besides the fact that she's really good at this?
Well, she's really good and you know, she I caught her at a weak
moment and she said yes. So no, it's it's it's called
Maryland racing today. And we're actually, it's going
to be part of a little family called Mid-Atlantic racing
today. We're debuting Charlestown races
today in April, but Maryland racing today kicked off we're we
dropped our second episode today, in fact.
And Mackenzie was on it. John Piazza was on it.
And we also had Vinny Peron, who used to be the Washington Post
Racing Report. He's an Eclipse Award winner.
He wrote a story for me called the Remembering both King,
Leatherberries, Remembering King and just it's the I've read like
all the obits. I wrote one of the obits.
If you got to read one piece about King, read Vinny's.
It's just funny and touching and really really good.
And Vinny knew King. Vinny started working with the
post in 79 so he knew King for like 40 plus years.
And he do his glory time in the 80s.
Yes, like when he was the king and and so just really fun to to
sit with Vinny and and talk about what racing was like back
then and what it what the king was like.
And so really fun conversation. So you can track down
Mid-Atlantic racing today anywhere you get your podcast,
pretty much. The racing bizbiz.com go check
about easy website picks every weekend.
Really good stuff. laurelpark.com/picks tons of
info every day. 12% take out on the pick fives fun headlines.
I don't know why I'm so glad people have found what Maryland
racing, including friend of the show Steve Kornacki, who came on
and I wouldn't shut up about Maryland racing on my radio
show. So there you go Good pub all
over the place. We'll enjoy the weekend.
Mackenzie, have you? I I we're not at that time of
year yet. So something you and I always
have to think about is what what's going to happen to our
hair when we're on set? It's always a big concern of
mine what's going to happen with.
I'm just going to play the. Music.
I feel you, Louis. I feel.
You. It's not good, Frank.
It's not good. Always have the worst names for
the weekend. What is what is Saturday called?
What's the theme? Do you know Mackenzie?
Is there a name? Oh, there's.
Gotta be this Saturday. Yes, Mardi.
Gras pest. Or.
Something like that somebody thing, yeah. 80 percent, 80% of
the people in Maryland gave up something for Lent and they're
going to go to Laurel Park and have it like put right in front
of. That's fantastic.
Oh, it's a good job, all right. Have a great time at Laurel
Park. This has been always crazy
happy.
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