Louie & Sean are joined by BloodHorse's Bob Ehalt, Byron King, and Frank Angst ahead of Saturday's BC action.
BloodHorse at the Breeders’ Cup: Saturday
Full Transcript
All right, welcome back into our continuing series, Blood Horse
at the Breeders Cup. His name's Shawn.
I'm Louis. We're the duo you see every
Monday on Blood Horse Monday. Hopefully you're following along
there on YouTube or Spotify, wherever you're watching, find
that show as well. Give us a like or follow there
an exciting day here. As you can see behind us, we are
past the racing time here at Dalbar, but certainly a day that
we really enjoyed here. We get a couple of superstar
performances to close the card, but frankly, even in an upset
victory from Valentina at 20 to one in that juvenile Phillies
turf, frankly, potentially a launching pad for her after the
scratch of precise, we didn't quite know where that one was
going to go. And we all should have probably
known it was going to go that kind of way, yes.
Exactly. I mean, the scratch of precise
that came out this morning, I've caught us all by surprise and I
felt like it left the race completely wide open and we
could saw that result. She paid over $40 to win that
race. Valentina did.
And you know, she kind of, I feel like she came into the race
being one of those second tier European Phillies that we had
over here. She had run, she'd hit the board
in a couple of group races over the summer.
But then in her last race at the Currog, she just didn't, she
just didn't fire. It rained right before the race
that she didn't get the ground that she wanted in that race.
And then they just sat back and they waited with her for this
race. She has some American based
owners, Parkland Thoroughbreds. I was in the press conference
for that race afterwards. They were talking about how this
has always been the goal with her, how this has always in the
plan. They like buying horses, even
though they're American based, they like buying horses over
there in Europe and leaving them here or leaving them in Europe
to just kind of develop a little bit more.
Don't move that turf program. Yeah.
Yeah, get some experience against those top turf forces
over there and if they're not good enough to compete over
there, eventually bring them here once they've already
developed. You didn't move them around too
much when they were younger and so it worked to perfection here
and they were able to pull it out, pull out the the upset
victory of the day today in juvenile Phillies turf and a
Philly that's in an exciting future.
The way, I mean, the way they talked about that of bringing
her to the USI don't know if that means she's going to stay
here. She's going to be with an
American trainer now. I don't know if she's going to
go back to Donaco O'Brien overseas, but I mean, this has
to be, this was definitely the ground that she preferred today,
a core step she preferred today and she looked really good.
Winning check north of a half, $1,000,000 for the connections.
They're essentially able to do a lot of things with that kind of
cash, make decisions on moves and different things as well.
You know, we talk about turf racing in the Breeders Cup and
we always default to the EUR and the routes, but we give the
Americans a chance and it went exactly to plan like that today.
We get Cyfare in the opener in Race 6 today, goes ahead and
wins the Juvenile. Sprint by the turf By the way,
Medallion racing owns Cyfare. They also Co own Valentina.
So great day from Medallion. Incredible back-to-back for them
in the turf races here. Cyfare was the buzz horse this
week and the buzz horse came through.
Yes, the buzz horse did come through and she looked really
good doing it. You know, some of the races that
we had seen earlier in the day, some of the races we've seen
yesterday and then her race made me think, all right, maybe we're
going to have a little bit of a speed favoring track, right.
I ended up not being the case of what we saw later on in the two
in the turf races, but Cy fare, she set that perfect trip.
Schwarzenegger got the lead that we I feel like we were expecting
to. I thought he would, you know,
when they turned for home, I thought he was going to go on
with it. She just ran him down.
You know, what a what a nice Philly to be running against the
boys here in this spot and to be able to, you know, have that
that strong of a kick entering the stretch, being able to hold
off some of those late horses as well.
She looked really good out there.
I was pretty impressed with Aidan.
O'Brien came into the Breeders Cup tied with Dewayne Lucas and
Brussels almost got there, frankly, under under Sumion, who
came over. We had some questions.
He got left out of the gate too, didn't he?
Yes, he did. And so it's a really interesting
sort of ride there. But Sumion did a great job
making up ground in that race. Should be a harbinger for
tomorrow where they they're going to be super ready in that
one, but 10-1 in that one. Cypher, of course.
A a daughter. Excuse me of not this time.
Geez. I mean where we heard that name.
I know, talk about how big this is.
Believe it or not, I think that's his first Breeders' Cup
winner. That is, or not.
And so with all the success that he's had recently, to now throw
a Breeders' Cup winner in on top of that is, I mean, Sky's the
limit for him. If you tuned in to Blood Horse
Monday over the last few weeks, I mean, we've been singing his
praises nonstop with all the success that he's had.
Every Consignor has mentioned him.
Every single one. Every single yeah.
We've had all those consignors on for ahead of the Keeneland's
sale and they're all mentioning him.
So just, you know, all the milestones that he is hitting to
now have that Breeders' Cup under his belt, just such a big,
such a big. Deal for him spectacular super
super corridora comes through in the juvenile Phillies and this
is what daughter of gun runner and I think it's the it's the
John Sadler. Do we?
We forget about John Sadler, but when he gets great horses,
they're great. They just are.
And it's a real compliment to him as a trainer that he
maximizes high level talent. That doesn't always happen.
We see high level horses move barn to barn all the time.
Not in this case. This daughter of gone runner, of
course, bred by Woodford Thoroughbreds.
How about that? A spectacular job for them.
Cheers. To all the Breeders, no.
Doubt about it, of course. Absolutely.
But the West Point thoroughbred folks come through again with
another one here coming out of a maiden win.
And I mean, I wrote in a in another piece, man, maybe
they'll just get out front and say come get us.
Yeah, exactly. That's exactly what they did and
we talked about it on the show. If any, if any of you all
watched Friday morning, you would have kind of gotten tipped
off a little bit to this Philly here at those eight to one odds.
Yeah, we, I mentioned how Terry Finley walked past this
yesterday while we were recording that episode and was
singing her praises, Terry Finley of West Point.
And so they were really high on her.
And I had said, you know, when we were talking about the
juvenile Phillies, we were kind of lacking that star horse or
those couple of star horses in this field.
So why not go with the Philly who had just broken her maiden,
who looked like she was improving, who was taking those
steps forward? That's exactly what happened
here. Explorer gave her a good run
down the stretch. I thought she was getting at the
end, but I mean, super Corridor, even though she was up front on
her own, they went at a decent pace there.
She didn't just walk the dog up there on the lead.
So really impressive performance from her.
I would like to see what Explorer can also do building
off of this race going forward. And so I think both of these
Phillies have a lot of upside as we're looking to the future.
Maybe that's an indication as we look toward the Kentucky Oaks
next year that the West Coast is going to be pretty strong.
Because now I will say Percy's bar at one point, I remember on
the far turn I was watching her. It looked like she was
struggling and I thought she had no shot.
And then when I looked at the I stopped paying attention to
where she was. And then when I looked at the
toe board, I saw she finished third.
Yep. So, you know, she, she obviously
was able to then come, come with another run.
She was not in the same position.
She was in the Alcibiades up on the lead.
She was back taking dirt and she so I still have some hope for
her in the future. I was fairly disappointed with
Tommy Joe in this race. Personally I thought she was
making a good run around the far turn, just flattened out down
the lane. I'm wondering maybe the distance
is getting a little too much? She might be a 6-7 kind of kind
of horse, right? And and for sure the starlet
stands out. Now all of a sudden end of the
year here in Southern California, might we see a match
up of many of these horses? About half the field was from
Southern California, right? And so I do wonder if we won't
see some of them, as you mentioned the the Oaks trail, as
we get to those those later races in this trail, maybe some
of these horses need time off after this, I don't know.
But boy, a lot of excitement here in Southern California
around those Phillies. Definitely.
And my question for you now as we look toward the Eclipse
awards, is it a done deal, Super Corridor just winning the
Juvenile Phillies turf off her maiden or Juvenile Phillies off
of her maiden win? Is that a done deal that she's
the Eclipse champion? Or do you think Explorer already
having the graded win, running a strong second getting to her at
the end? Do you think she could maybe
take this award? Why can't Syfair win this?
Do we just hate sprinters that much?
Yeah. OK, just checking.
We don't, but a lot of voters do, yeah.
I don't, I don't know what I'm doing here, but that was that
horse came in that yes, Buzz. But I mean I don't think, I
don't think that horse was heralded enough.
I'm not sure, but explore as far as 2 year old boy, I had not
given thought to that. And that's a really interesting
question at this point. Probably, Yeah, what a what a
what a world we live in, folks. But yeah, they start running in
the fall. That's that's essentially where
we end up. But on the next race, of course,
the scratch of precise, as you mentioned, or as I mentioned,
excuse me, really blew up this race with Valentino waiting at
20 to 1 here. Ocean Murphy gets the the just
the absolute ride of the day, almost certainly getting back up
the rail, getting his horse to rally there.
And then we get to the late double and we see it chalk out,
but we see two really impressive performances.
We see Ted and Offi do what he has done over and over, get in
that perfect stalking position, totally comfortable with Johnny
B. And then when it's time to go,
he goes. And and I was watching the
replay back in the press box with a couple of people and I
said I think he re rallied at the end because there was some,
you know, a little bit of concern.
Maybe that's as far as he wants to go right now.
He only wants to go the mile on a 16th.
Then we watched it and he did re rally at the very end.
It was only for the last four or five strides, but you saw him
pull, pull away again from that field.
Obviously a massive effort for Mr. AP in this spot, 30 to 1:00
in the morning line. But Ted Noffe did nothing to
cool our expectations for him going to this round.
Yeah. Well, and we, when we spoke with
Carlos Morales on the Friday episode here, he was mentioning
the mindset of Ted Noffe. And I've ended up hearing that a
lot today, actually, a lot of people talking about that as
well. And so I'm wondering maybe he's
at the point he's just figured it out.
He knows what he needs to do to win.
And that's what we saw out there today.
He took the lead, just waited for the competition to come to
him and they didn't get close enough to really threaten him at
that point. And you?
Hear stories from jockeys, too. Oh, he heard them coming, Yeah.
And then he started going again. It felt like that with Gaddafi
today. Yeah, and like, you know, they
turned for home and at one point it looked like Brant was going
to give him a challenge at the top of the stretch.
But as I was watching it live, I just, I never felt like he was
really in danger. Yep.
Now at the end, I will say the end did kind of concern me was
interesting. Mr. AP coming back at him.
I think, I think he had handled Brant at that point.
But Mr. AP coming back at him on the outside.
I, I was, I don't want to say I wasn't impressed with his win
because he did exactly what he needed to do.
He was shipping all the way across the country to run in
this race. He checked so many boxes for a
young horse in this race. However, if I have a nice 2 year
old right now, I'm not that scared as we move toward into
the spring at this point. We'll see what happens as he
keeps developing. But what I would have seen
today, I still think I got AI got a pretty good shot at these
spring races for sure. Yeah, it's interesting in that
spot, but yeah, I just an absolute another masterpiece for
Johnny V, frankly, in that race as well.
I don't want to. I also don't want to take
anything away from Ted Nafi's win today.
I do want to say what a miraculous year he has put
together. Oh, absolutely his.
Sometimes a 2 year old vote is very easy.
He's made it destroyed. This is.
Going to be unanimous I would say.
I would hope so. Yeah, three grade ones.
I would hope so. Winning the Hopeful, Winning the
Hopeful, Winning the Breeders Futurity, Winning the at 3:00.
Different tracks 3 different. Tracks three different areas of
the country. He's gone everywhere.
He's danced every dance you can as a 2 year old.
He has hit what I would consider.
I mean, you could swap out the champagne for the Breeders
Futurity, but I would say I would consider maybe the three
biggest 2 year old races, right, the hopeful.
And then you know, if you're not, if you're looking at the
two turn option, you'd go to the Breeders futurity.
If not, I would throw the champagne in there.
But I mean, he won everything they asked him to do.
He looked good doing it. And so Ted Nafi, he definitely
should be the Derby favorite at this point.
Not possible to run the breed history charity and the
champagne the same day. So that's a really tough, I
mean. To pick off.
He would have really been a great horse if he could have
done that. I mean, fly him up there.
Yeah, if you're gonna hop. On this.
I'm sure they could have gotten a private jet for him, but they
should have put the champagne as race one at 10 in the morning,
thrown him on the plane, get him out there to Keeneland.
Why not? He would have won both.
I don't have any doubt in that. And then all of us got to see
history today. Yes, we did.
It's a personal history for us as we got to sit down with Wayne
Lucas in the spring right before the Preakness.
We had a great time with him and frankly, we didn't know, but it
was the last time we were going to get to sit down with him.
When we came into the weekend, one of the storylines was that
Aiden O'Brien and him were tied for most Breeders' Cup wins of
all time. And Aiden got really close with
Brussels. And the Sprint for sure was
almost right there scratched. And we're starting to wonder,
Boy, oh boy, it might not be his day.
And the gestat made sure it was his day.
It was easily the best horse in that field coming out of those 3
second place finishes in a row. And guess who was aboard?
Sumi Y'all going into tomorrow. Should be an interesting day on
Saturday, but let's talk about Gestat and where he fits with
this group. Well, I just want to mention
what one of the things we talked about yesterday on the show was
we were concerned about that 14. Potential issue we.
Were potentially concerned about that.
We were not as concerned about precise at the time being in the
13. I know you had a strong opinion
on that. What did you see from his race
out there coming out of the 14? I think that's a really what was
interesting is he didn't break what's horses on the outside.
Sometimes they break more to the outside and that's precisely
what he did today. But he only did it for two
steps, caught himself recalibrated and moved in.
He started to move in with the group, got pulled back out by
Simeon, and then when they decided they were going to go
into the three path, he pulled right back in, no problem.
And what he did reminded me actually of sovereignty in the
Belmont. He was further back.
He was probably 9th or 10th, moved himself into third or
fourth position, had the three path the whole way.
And then when they got to the top of the stretch, it was time
to go. And that's exactly what he did.
He was a freight train at that point, A terrific ride, but
frankly a horse that I think I think they're going to try more
left-handed races with him because I think he liked that
second turn and he launched out of it, frankly.
And if you notice he bumped a little bit.
He moved in a path in the in the stretch, but I think that was
because he had slung shot. It was a slingshot effect
essentially off of that turn. I wonder if he's not a a Baby
Rebels romance, essentially where they figure out he wants
the flat turns. Yeah, and that's what he wants
to do. I think there's a chance that we
see that from him in the future. Yeah, we definitely could.
And he might, he might be one of those candidates.
I mean, I'm sure they got they're gonna have to think
about the Guineas and they have some.
No doubt about it. I'm.
Sure, they're gonna have to think about that with him, but
you know, say, say, maybe they decide not to go that path with
him. Obviously this was just a mile,
but if he can stretch out, if he can go more distance, maybe we
see him back here in the States for the Belmont Derby, the
Saratoga Derby. Those races are not prone or
not. It's not a strange to see
European horses come over for those races.
And with the way that he performed on these turns here
today, I mean, it was so impressive.
I also want to give a big shout out to stark contrast because I
don't think he, I don't think he got enough credit from at least
what I could hear in the race call as far as you know him,
like how how much of a fight he was putting toward that.
It sounded like it was a done deal when you were kind of
listening to it. I mean, he, he raced him all the
way to the wire. I know you, you were on board
with him very much. I know I had gotten, I'd talked
to Mark Witkowski, the exercise rider who also writes
journalism. Michael McCarthy Barn.
Yep, Yep. At the Michael McCarthy Barn.
I was talking with him yesterday morning and he was so confident
in this horse coming into the race today and he proved it.
He got beat by a phenomenal horse, but I think he really
separated himself from the rest. Not not just the American
horses, the rest of the European horses that were in this race.
There were an Eclipse Award for Southern California horses.
He would win it for turf, yes. Like that's what for two year
old turf he would be it for sure.
He ran a phenomenal race. He really is, you know, his
last, his two races around 22 turns have been really good
going into this, right? And so I think a.
Very tactical horse, he can develop into something really
special, this stateside especially.
He he could and especially you look at McCarthy, he's got a
barn in Kentucky, a Churchill Downs when you're looking at.
That's an American turf, yeah. When you're looking at the
American turf, when you're looking at the Transylvania
Keeneland, before that, when you're looking at those races, I
think this could be a horse that he's gonna, he's gonna shift
east and he's going to potentially run the table some.
Bread for the Aimermans reminder a couple years ago we saw
endlessly with the Jeff and. That was a horse that Mark
compared him to. Mark wrote him as well, and so
he compared him to endlessly at this point.
So the Carbaggio, by the way, and so that's a.
That is not a that is Caravaggio is not a sire that we've heard a
ton around the Breeders Cup, but a great, great spot for the for
the Ambermans Hero landing. It's the second spot behind
Geshdad for sure. Yeah, you can't be, you can't be
ashamed of that performance at all.
I think this source has a really bright future.
All right, well, let's get into our previews for Saturday.
Yes. Who's kicking us off, Sean?
We are going to start off with Byron King.
Our our news editor here at Blood Horse.
He runs the Derby dozen. He had sovereignty on top the
entire year from the very first one he did in January all the
way through the Derby. So we're going to hear his
opinion to kick off the Philly and Mare Sprint and then we're
going to run just like we did yesterday.
We're going to run through each of these races on Breeders' Cup
Saturday. Great news.
You'll hear from Byron, you'll hear from our guy Frank Gangs,
and we imported him from New York.
His name is Bobby Hill. You'll hear from him as well.
Little insight, frankly, from him on the New York shippers for
the Classic. But of course, we'll talk turf
with him as well. So here are our previews of
every race on the Breeders Cup card for Saturday here at Del
Mar, right? The first race on the Breeders
Cup card on Saturday will be the Breeders Cup Philly and Mayor
Sprint going 7 furlongs on the dirt course here at Delmar.
Byron King for Blood Horse and bloodhorse.com of course with us
here to preview this one. Interesting field.
Lots of accomplished runners in this.
It feels like this race every year brings that kind of field.
It does. I mean, it draws horses from all
over, usually have the ballerina winner from Saratoga, usually
have the Princess Rooney winner and we have that again this year
plus a ton of California horses and Sweet Azteca is the
favorite, a california-based horse.
So it's a, it's a competitive field, I think.
Sweet Azteca, of course, beating Copian this year and she'll be
running against the boys later on in the car, which is always
an interesting decision here. I don't want to lead you
anywhere too too, you know, too fervent, but Hope Road you
mentioned comes in a year 4 to 1's a nice price on her and I
think she's got a real shot here as well.
Yeah, she ran second in the big Churchill Downs race the on the
Derby day and then went on later in the year to win the
Ballerina. She's a very fast horse.
She kind of had one little disappointing race at Churchill
later in the meet, but they were kind of returning her on shorter
rest. And I think she does better with
more rest between races. And she has that after the
ballerina. Bob Baffert trains Hope Road and
she's very fast. And but I think this is a highly
competitive race. I, I think this is a race that
people, if you're doing, you know, pick threes, pick fours,
etcetera, I think you want to go several horses deep.
Hope Road, second in that Derby City just after the that's.
The name of the race. No problem at all.
Always forget the. Sponsor names through the years
it always has changed so. You're correct and my chance in
that one. Who will try her best against
the boys you mentioned. Sweet Azteca is a local horse
here, ran a couple of really nice races in the fall.
What do you make of her? Should she be the favorite here?
I. Don't really think she should
be, but I mean she's certainly got solid form.
I'm a little bit questionable about her.
I just don't know. I mean, you mentioned some of
her wins and whatnot, but I just like others.
I'll just mention more who. Else do you like in this film?
I mean, Tamara is a really exciting horse.
She's a horse that Spencer Farm has and she was the hot stuff as
a juvenile and she had some health issues and didn't really
kind of put it together. Took some time off, has come
back looking sharp. Spencer Farm, you mentioned
Copian earlier. They originally had two pointed
for here and they decided to run Copian in the Sprint against the
boys. So you would only do that if you
really felt good about your prospects with the one you're
going to leave in, right? So I think that speaks to her
potential in here. She walked right by here at the
paddock in Del Mar. Of course, she walked right past
here and I went good as gracious.
Yeah, she's got the look of it for sure.
Yeah, and she's named after B Wayne Hughes's daughter, Tamara.
So a major person there. It's been through a farm.
And when they name a horse after one of their people, like Ted
and Offy or Ned Toffy or, you know, and all that.
So they tend to be quite good. Yeah, there you go.
Are you responsible for Ned Toffy's name?
I am not. OK, All right, I'm not.
We're going to find the person. Blood Horse.
We're going to do a little investigative journalism.
All right, well, we're going to throw Next up to race 5, the
Breeders Cup Turf Sprint with our guy Sean Collins, of course,
my Co host on Blood Horse Monday.
We'll do that next. All right, Blood Horse at the
Breeders Cup continue. Sean Collins, Lugerbo hanging
out with you, your usual crew for Blood Horse Monday.
Make sure you check us out on that program as well.
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint will be race 5 on Saturday, of
course. 5 furlongs, a quick, quick run on the turf here at
Delmar. An interesting field in here we
see the old 7 year old knocker and Notorious on the inside, for
instance. I love these turf races because
we do get to see those older horses.
Yeah, we do get to see. Them we have quite a few older
geldings in here. You think about Kadem, the 9
year old, I'm coming, coming in from Europe, but he's been
racing here in the US. It's just two starts to go at
Kentucky Downs and then also the Wayne and the Woodford sticks at
Keeneland last time out. So we know that he's used to
racing over here. But this is a race that I
mentioned on our show on Thursday that we did.
This is actually one of the races I'm most looking forward
to this weekend, which is weird for me.
I'm not usually a, you know, a route guy.
Yeah, I'm a route guy. I'm also a dirt route guy.
I love dirt racing. Obviously if anybody watches
Blood Horse Monday knows how much I love the Kentucky.
Thank you for mentioning the Kentucky Derby during the I
have. To work it inside.
My gosh, that's amazing. But but you know, it's a rarity
for me to be this excited about the turf Sprint.
But I think that's just as good a field that we have this year.
There's a lot of interesting storylines in here.
I think it really sets up to be can the pace hold on or will the
closers take over? Because we have several really
fast turf sprinters that even if other horses are going with
them, as long as they can maintain that speed, the whole 5
furlongs closers aren't going to have a shot.
But if they do all go at each other in this spot and they
they're going to knock each other out, we're going to see
the closers. We saw something weird happened
last year of Cogburn, the way he started and then he had to rush
up and he just completely burned out and closers came in, almost
like he stopped running. Yeah, now the difference I.
Think this year is there's multiple of those Cogburn, not
necessarily of his speed, but they're going to be up there on
the pace. So I think that really sets up
for an interesting. Yeah, it should be.
Really, Really. Fascinating.
Who do you like in here? You know, looking.
At this field, one of the pacesetters that I actually
really like is she's so spicy. I know she's a three-year old
Philly taking on older horses, but I got to spend some time
with her around the barns in the last couple weeks out in
Kentucky here at Del Mar. I know I rat Ortiz, her junior,
her rider, he's he really thinks that she is just going to be
fast enough to where the age, the the the you know, the the
sex difference, all that. It's not going to matter for
her. She they think that going 5
furlong she's going to be quick enough to be established.
And I think if she's in the lead leading position, they're not
going to be able to get to her now.
I don't know if she will be in that leading position.
We're going to obviously see some speed from AG bullet, Bear
River, Kentucky Downs team. We saw all pretty much all the
Sprint basically running Ellis. As well.
So he's not a flat as well. Yeah, and I know, I know.
Keith Desormo, when I talked to him a couple days ago on Bear
River, they they felt confident that he could sit off the pace.
So I think he might be one that when all these horses go, he
might be the one that maybe backs off and tries to come off
the pace. But you also look at a horse
like Bring the Band Home, who, you know, back in, back in the
early summer at Saratoga, he ran 5 1/2 furlongs in under a
minute. And so he's got speed.
He got had an issue at the start last time that I don't think
gave him his best opportunity to run his best race, but he has
the speed to be up there and part of it.
Maybe he could take him the whole way.
I mean, we've only seen, we all know Cogburn set the world
record last year when he ran the five and a half under a minute.
Now that's been broken by Doncho.
And then Bring the Band Home was right behind that with a close
time as well. So we've only seen it three
times where a horse has done that in under a minute.
So you know that that horse has speed as well.
And so I from the front runners perspective, I know they're
really high on. She's so spicy.
Obviously there's a lot of questions, but I'm kind of
leaning towards her. I'm going to shoot.
Down the field with Reef Runner in this one, the disqualified
winner of the Green Flash Handicap.
Yes, right here at Del Mar at the same distance.
All of the things gets to break from the two.
I like that a lot. Frankly.
Tyler picks up them out here. Gaffalion should be an
interesting one. Did wind down the hill at the
Ned as well. I'd say they need a last out.
So this is just a winner in my mind.
Yeah, interesting course. I think you'll get 6-8 to 1,
something like that. Nice price in this kind of and
he seems to be 1 of. Those horses that's he's kind of
on the up and up right now. I totally.
Agree in good form, right? Now, yeah, he's in good form
right now. This is a course that we know he
can run well over, and so you can definitely have some
confidence in him. Motorius also, you know, he's
the one that won via disqualification, right?
That disqualification came from, you know, the start of the race
where Motorius got knocked even further back than he should have
been probably. And then he almost caught him on
the wire. So you know that he was still on
top of his game in that race. But Motorius has had so much
success here at Delmar. This is his third run in the
Turf Sprint. I think it would just be a feel
good story to see the seven-year old gelding, his third try in
the Turf Sprint, end up getting the win.
Especially because, I mean, just looking at his age, even if he
races for another year or two, this is his last opportunity to
win here at home and I know he likes running here.
And so I reminiscent, frankly, of Whitmore in 2020.
When the Sprint is an older horse as well.
Yeah, at his home in Keeneland. Out there in Kentucky.
So it would be, I think it would be a feel good story.
He drew the rail again. We saw last year that wasn't a
problem. He was still able to almost win
the race when he just got buried early beat by a neck by star
lust last year. And I also mentioned the other
old one earlier Kadem who, by the way, that's probably the
best blanket on the backstretch. Go look at my Twitter page BH
under score S Collins to see how they incorporated the British
flag in his blanket. I thought that was so cool.
But anyway, back to the racing. It's not the blanket racing.
It's horse racing. So but he.
He has such a good. Turn of foot of the Europeans.
I know the Europeans don't have a whole lot of success
historically in this race, especially if I for a long only
won twice and that'll be fair that those two wins have been
over the last couple years. But he we know that he's used to
American racing correct. So you could feel confident
about that had he only he's run twice at Kentucky downs.
Had those only been his two races, I don't know how good I
would feel. But seeing him win in this kind
of setup at Keeneland and the Woodford Stakes, I feel
confident that he's he's not going to follow the same trend
as these Europeans have over the years.
Well, let's keep. Sprinting.
Let's go to race. Race 6.
Excuse me, It is the Breeders Cup Sprint on the dirt here, of
course, going 6 furlongs for this one.
And we get Copian running in here.
We get the Philly on this side, the four year old, of course, an
interesting move by Richard Mandela.
It could be several things here, you know, same ownership as we,
you know, as as another runner in the Breeders Cup, you know,
the the Philly Mare Sprint side. But an interesting inclusion in
here when you see those kinds of moves.
Sean Collins, do you think, OK, what does Richard Mandela know
that I don't because I do. That's absolutely something that
happens for me. Yeah, it definitely does.
Obviously Richard Mandela is a top notch trainer, so if he's
confident enough to make this move, you got to pay attention
to that. Now my concern when it comes to
Copian is she's never run 6 furlongs, right?
Her shortest races have been 6 1/2 furlongs.
And so I don't know what to expect from her in this spot.
And I I look at this as more as we feel extra confident that
Tamara is going to run so well in the Breeders Cup filling Mare
Sprint. I don't know if they're as
confident is Copian in here just because they needed to put her
somewhere else and try to win 2 or are they that confident that
she's going to be able to handle it?
I'm a little concerned about the distance.
I'm a little concerned about the fact that she's on the inside
rail. And but if she wins, that would
be one of the best stories of the weekend.
Her coming into this race and beating the boys.
We, I feel like we always try to track which Phillies or Mares
might end up running against the boys at some point.
I think any of us had Topian running against the boys in a
Sprint race on our on our on our cars the start of the year.
So that would be a great story if she were to end up winning
this. But I think I'm going to have to
stick with the boys in this race, personally, yeah.
In Ben Tornado probable favorite here, I read Ortiz rides for
Jose D'Angelo comes out of the Louisville Thoroughbred Society
first race frankly, in almost a year.
Was off after the Breeders Cup Sprint here.
Barely missed under Louis size behind straight, no chaser last
year. Straight No Chaser, frankly, a
little bit of a surprise winner last year, but comes back here,
frankly, second off the bench here should be a real contender.
Yeah, he should, I feel like. Nobody's talking about Straight
No Chaser in in this race. Well, that part too.
But talk about Ben Tornado first.
You're not not wrong though. Yes.
Well, Ben, Ben. Tornado he so he I mean, you saw
his race at Churchill Downs. I know I was there for that.
He he looked so good winning that race and I know the horses
that he beat in that race are not the top notch sprinters in
the country. Kelly's not making a.
Brewers Cup, right? Yeah, they're not the top.
Top notch sprinters in the country, but what we have in
Kentucky we've we've seen that Group A lot and those are some
hard trying horses, some consistent horses that always
give their best runs. He handled them very easy.
That was not a fast. Track day either and he finished
in one O 8 and 2 yeah that was a fast fast spread out of that job
off the. Bench too, yeah.
Deangelo's been having them ready off the bench.
We shot saw it with She's So Spicy, winning the Music City
Stakes coming out of Royal Ascot.
We saw Howard Wolowitz in the in the race at Kentucky down as the
turf Sprint where he was second in that race after getting into
some traffic on the rail. He was coming in off a long
layoff and from the Saudi Cup races.
And so we know that he has them ready to fire off the bench.
And so you think now second time out, Ben Tornado would be even
further ahead and his progress ready for this race?
It's funny to see how much a year changes things.
He was 28 to one in this race last year.
Runs a strong second, comes back, one more race since then,
comes back. He's the morning line favorite
in this race. Great point.
And so, but he's been such a consistent horse.
I felt like he was underrated last year.
He was one of my picks in this race last year.
I think he's only gotten stronger this year.
Who would you rather have been? Tornado with three to one or
Straight No Chaser at 7:00 to 1:00 will make up fake outs.
Yeah, well, you know, it's. Interesting, because why are we
not talking about it? What's?
Going on, well, I think it's just, you know.
Because he came back and he lost off the bench, which, you know,
he, it's funny because you think back to February and he was like
the best horse that we had in the country when we went over to
Saudi, to Saudi Arabia and well, the Riyadh dirt spread.
Over there, the grade too, and his race in.
Dubai, he did not get the trip that he wants.
You know, he didn't like the kickback, so you kind of tossed
that one out. Now me personally, I was
expecting a little more from that return race.
We've seen him come back, especially that race at Santa
Anita. I think it was the exact same
race last year that he came back off of the long layoff, yes, and
he won that race. So you were kind of expecting
the same thing. I think the fact that he did not
win is why we're not talking about him, but we got the
defending champion in this race and it seems like he's flying
under the radar. I wouldn't count him out.
I know he's stuck wide here, but I wouldn't count him out.
Let me make this about. The Kentucky Derby.
Are you ready? Yes.
OK. In the same way that if.
A horse finishes up the track in the Kentucky Derby.
I don't write off the rest of their career right.
It's a very. Difficult.
Thing when horses come back from races either in UAE or Saudi, I
I don't expect them to win first back.
It's a difficult trip. Not all of them could do it.
And that's why a horse like Forever Young or Rebels Romance
is so different because they do globetrot.
They show up everywhere, you know, weighing off the plane
leaves to say this is what we're talking about with those horses.
I don't hold that against Straight No Chaser.
He's been home for a little bit longer now.
He's had his feet underneath him here in Southern California.
I think he'll run just fine. But we've also seen.
The flip side of that, we've also seen some of these horses
come back from over there. Never got the same.
You're right. So which one is it?
Is it just he needed the race or is it he's just not the same
horse that he was? We'll find out this weekend, but
I think that he is AI. You definitely can't toss him
out in this spot as well. Obviously, imagination, that's
one that I think because of him beating Straight No Chaser in
the last race is interesting. He was coming in off a long
layoff. He was successful.
Obviously they pointed him toward the Triple Crown races
last year, so we didn't really get to see him much at the
Sprint distance. But his last couple race, the
races that he's run at the Sprint distance have been pretty
good. And, you know, Baffert's always
good on this racetrack, so if he runs well, would not be shocked.
We'll. Talk to Frank Angst next about
the Distaff and get his thoughts on that.
This is Blood Horse at the Breeders Cup.
Thanks, Sean. All right, welcome in Paddock.
'S eye here at Del Mar. Blood horse at the Breeders Cup
with our editor here Frank Angst.
My name's Louie Robot. We're going to talk distaff here
Saturday. Card, of course.
Unfortunately, we're not going to get Thorpedo and she's on to
her next career. Follows what we had last the
year before of course with idiomatic in that, but boy,
still a lot of star power here. Frank.
Yeah. I mean, you really?
Unfortunately, you start with Torpedo Anna.
She just won this race last year, helped her to Horse of the
Year's achievement, but she is not back.
But plenty of talented Phillies and mayors are.
I really think you have to start with the local horse Seismic
Beauty, who has the speed to go to the lead.
There's probably no secret there.
That's what she's going to try to do and I think she'll
accomplish that early. I mean, she's put together 3
really nice races here and just really it's the horse you have
to start with. She's going to go to the lead
and everyone else is going to have to chase her.
Grade 1. Clement Hirsch.
Winner last out right here at Del Margo and a mile and a 16th
does have a win in the grade 2 Santa Margarita at the distance
as well at Santa Anita. Behind her will be a set of
three-year olds that are very interesting as well, including
nitrogen who will break from the pole or from the one hole here
in this race. Made the switch from turf to
dirt broker maiden and steaks company in January has only been
running in steaks company. You know, I've heard from people
maybe this is the end of a long campaign, that kind of thing.
But boy, she showed a lot of acumen on both surfaces.
I mean, I think. She's a really interesting horse
to watch early, withdrawing the rail like that.
She's she's very versatile, there's no doubt about that.
Has speed if she wants it, or could rate a little bit.
I'm guessing they'll read a little bit off the rail, but
they also could send it. It'll be really interesting to
see how they handle that. That post with a versatile filly
for sure. Yeah, she's been a really.
Really interesting one. Of course couldn't get by Jin
Jin last out of Keeneland. Does that concern you at all?
Second, itis a little bit. But, you know, there was some
things that didn't go her way in that race and maybe they just
kind of misjudged some racing strategy.
She certainly was competitive in a stretch.
So it's that's the main thing I look for.
I I think I don't think she it's the case of second itis we, we.
Look a lot at these kinds of fields and we see horses like
Cilla at longer odds prices. Certainly in a Breeders' Cup
setting. We get used to horses like this
of very, very good quality. Having these longer odds.
She feels like one that I think will almost automatically hit
the board wherever she shows up. You think she's got a shot to do
that here. Hitting the board is.
A good description. Cilla Cilla is a funny horse in
that she's the horse that we dream of She but she runs the
same race every time. I feel like it's going to take a
little bit better to win this one, and since I haven't seen a
little bit better from her and I'm not knocking her, she's
almost like a machine. She just comes out and runs a
race every time, wins plenty and places plenty, but I I have a
hard time seeing her getting over the top for the win.
It it, if I was to, you know, seismic Beauty, I think is to
pick the win here. If I was to try to beat her.
I think Clico is a really interesting 3 year old.
She's won four in a races in a row, just one, that Grade 1
cotillion, which was a nice launching pad last year for
Torpedo Anna, although Torpedo Anna had already accomplished
more than Clico had. But she's an improving horse.
She's going to run her bet. You know, barring some hard
bumping incident or something, if she gets racing luck
tomorrow, she will run her best race.
I don't know if it's good enough to beat Seismic Beauty, but
anytime a horse is about to run their best race, I think it's a
good pick. And then if you want a really
long shot, Dry Powder was right there with Cleco.
I mean that we're talking about horses probably going to be over
20 to 1 and she was right there and I and she's improving too.
Now what makes it challenging for her is she's a speed horse.
So I don't know if you want to take on Seismic Beauty early.
So that's up to those connections.
But she is an improving 3 year old.
So I, I always like improving 3 year olds this time of year.
They're they're good play in terms of handicapping because
people like once the improving 3 year old gets the big win, then
I'll bet them. But if you want to bet them
before they get the big one, that's when they're a bit of a
price. But like I said, I think seismic
beauty is the best, probably the most likely winner.
That said, Bob Bafford's never won this race, one of the few he
hasn't. So maybe, maybe, maybe you can
put that in your pocket and maybe that means something, but
I don't necessarily think it does.
I'm with you. It would be a big accomplishment
for Bob. I'm sure you want.
It's a race he wants to get. Oh, no doubt about it.
Yeah, I just remember Abel Tasman being right in the mix in
that Breeders' Cup at Churchill Downs and just deciding she was
done racing and she just decided at that moment and that's been
Baffert's luck in this race that.
All right, so that's our discussion of the Distaff.
Up next is Bob E Hold. He's in from New York.
We'll get his thoughts on some of those runners in the Classic,
but certainly get his thoughts deeper on the turf.
All right, back in paddock side, blood horse at the Breeders Cup,
Lou Rebeau hanging out with Bob E halts, our New York guy on the
circuit here made the trip to Del Mar.
You told me we got to share this so people understand the behind
the scenes part of this job. 9:00 AM flight.
Oh, nice and easy at Louisville. You know what?
I would get out of bed 63645, take a shower, maybe make a cup
of Joe, you know, roll on with my day.
Roll through security. No problem.
Not so much in New York City. No, No.
I. Had to leave my house in
Connecticut 4:00 AM and I got there as they were boarding for
the 9:30 flight. I mean, and you know, I wasn't,
I mean, it's amazing traffic. You're sitting on the Van Wyck
Expressway in traffic at like 6:00 in the morning and it's
just unbelievable. And it didn't help that that
night you got the Dodgers and Blue Jays don't want to win a
baseball game. So I really didn't have much
sleep getting on that flight. So I'm kind of a little, I'm
finally kind of caught up now I'm ready to go.
They, you know, I jogged around the track and I'm I'm all set
now. Any.
Any. Any thought there that if the
Blue Jays win the World Series that the Yankees would have won
anyway? Just no This.
Wasn't, this wasn't my Yankees year.
I I never thought they'd go that far.
They had a lot of problems. You know, it's, it's, I don't
know, we, we, I think we might need a new manager.
I mean, you know, I don't know. I don't why you're letting Volpe
and Wells bat in the late in that 5th game that that or
fourth game. That was enough for me.
Bob will be. Doing blood horses in depth
coverage of the turf on Saturday.
Of course, we'll get the match up between Rebels Romance, the
two time defending champ coming back for a third attempt at this
thing. He's really developed into a
terrific flat 3 turn type of horse.
But man, we get Minnie Hawk, that three-year old coming in
out of her terrific performance in the Ark for about 50 yards
there. We all thought she was going to
win and then she didn't. I think there's some other
interesting runners in there as well.
But that match up between those two plants, why we come to the
Breeders Cup? No, it is.
I mean it's. A very exciting match up and I
throw Goliath in there too. I mean he's kind of a speedster
who could, you know, who could have a big impact on this type
of track. We'll see.
You know, I think it's a great match up.
I mean the American horses aren't really up to par this
year with them, so it's really those 3 Europeans I think that
are the ones that you look at. I do like rebels romance.
I mean, he's proven over the race track, which I think is a
big thing for a European, you know, those three turns, not
sure if everybody could handle it.
Mini Hawk, great, great race in the in the arc, but you kind of
wonder she's a three-year old Philly.
How much did it take out of her arc?
Arc horses generally don't do as well as you expect to do here.
So I've got to wonder how much that might have taken out of
her. The differences in the turns.
That's why rebels romance looks very appealing to me.
And you know, Goliath, I think is a horse you don't want to
sleep on. He beat the Rebels Romance last
year in a big race overseas, and one thing to keep in mind about
Minnie Hawk and the Ark, among the regulations in the Ark, you
can't have geldings, so horses like Rebels Romance and Goliath
could not run. There's a lot of good older
geldings there in Europe, and we'll see.
But as I say, I'm really I would go with Rebels Romance.
He looked. He looked very dominant.
When I saw him at Aqueduct, I was gonna say just.
Earlier he. Really just toyed with that.
Field it. Did have his.
Stablemate El Cordobes and the other some of the other American
horses who just were no competition for him.
So we know he's sharp, he's in good hands.
He's won here in America, he's won over this track.
I I think everything kind of points to him.
He he also. Beat another horse that won the
United Nations this year pretty easily, frankly, in that race as
well. So it's not as though he was
running against poor company and Aqueduct wins by three lengths
plus. No, he did.
And you know. As I say, I think Far Bridge was
in that race. There was others.
It wasn't a big field, but it was, you know, about the best
they could have busted at that time on that part of the
country. And, and I think he just toyed
with them. I, I didn't really, I think it
was a very, very easy win. I, I think, I don't think he
really had to be used that hard to win the race.
I think he still got a lot of his tank.
I, you got to give credit to Charlie Appleby.
This horse just keeps responding and winning going.
He travels all over the world. He's earned $14 million.
He's a rightful favorite and as I say, 3 year old Philly, very
talented. But like I say, I've seen enough
of these horses come from New York who for one reason or
another don't really have that same kick.
And so that's why I would kind of lean toward Rebels romance in
this ethical. Diamonds going to break from the
14 in that race. It's a hurdle horse that has
made his way to flat ground. This is such a Breeders' Cup
story, I can't even stand it, Bob.
But do you give that horse a chance at least get a good check
here? I don't know.
I. Mean that's a big that's a big
that's a big that's a big ass from that post against this
field. That's a really big ask.
I you know, as a better, I think you use him if you hit the all
button, But you know, I really think it's hard to get past
those those top three horses because, you know, you could
have different styles in the race.
I through the race that I don't think rebels romance will
probably go to the lead in this race.
I think he'll try to babysit off a bit with Goliath and then
we'll see. So in this race.
Then if you were putting your top three together, you'd have
Rebels romance on top. Would you have Goliath ahead of
Mini Hawk just because she's coming out of that?
Yeah, I think because of the. Speed here at Goliath at Delmar
I might put Goliath second and then mini Hawk third.
OK, I wanted to ask. You as well many of the best
shippers for the classic or coming from New York as well.
You are very tapped in to those connections there in New York.
I want to ask about fierceness a second.
We saw him in the Pacific class. I think we know more about him
than maybe we do about mine frame who frankly, if he puts it
together here would have a really great resume for horse of
the year between that Churchill Downs some runs otherwise at
Churchill as well in the their summer classic is he heads in
here the Jockey Club Gold Cup. We've all seen the photo 1000
times. If I ran on the wrong horse and
all those other things, he didn't keep up with the field
that day, sort of wandered around the track.
Any concern about him coming into this one out of that
performance, the time off, etcetera?
No, I'm not. Not.
In my mind, because if it was some other trainer, I might, you
have some serious concerns. Todd Pletcher is a master
getting horses ready off a layoff a lot.
You know, you'll see these these horses that haven't run in 10 or
11 months in Todd's barn, and they come back with huge
efforts. He's working out everyday
against some really good horses. I mean, you look at his bar and
he's got locked. He's got fierceness, he's got
antiquary. And I mean, these are good
horses that are training with each other.
I have no doubt that Todd will have him fit.
And as I say, I really kind of see the race as a coin flip
between the four older horses. And, you know, I think my frame,
if you're a better, my frame is going to be the probably the
biggest price of them. So he's attractive that way.
But I also think, you know, you look at the Stephen Foster, he
beat Sierra Leone. I think it could be a repeat of
that fierceness. You know, I think fierceness is
the question mark. I was talking with Johnny
Velazquez about him and he said he's a difficult horse to ride
because you can't you can't put him into the race before he
wants to. That's when he's had trouble
with the horse. It when he's, when he said he
was running smooth and comfortably, you know, in the
Pacific Classic, he did it on his own.
So that that's why he ran powerfully.
That that's the question. Will he will he run on his own?
Johnny said if I had, if I, as he put it, if I could stay out
of his mouth, he's OK. So there are some questions as
to whether you don't know what the pace exactly is going to be.
I'm not I'm not buying into the rabbit.
Everybody knows he's not going to be around.
And these these are top quality riders.
They're not going to be fooled by anything.
But you know, with fierceness, you always do have that question
is, is it going to be the really, really good fierceness?
And like I say, forever young, really good horse too.
But I do think, I think mine frame is going to put in a big
effort. Antiquarian from New York.
I mean, that was that was a good effort in the Whitney, but I
mean in the Jockey Club. But you know, he's been a
trifecta all year. I mean, he doesn't miss.
He, he has he's. Consistent.
But I think the question mark is we know there was a lot of
question, but there was a lot of asterisk to come out of the
Jockey Club Gold Cup. I certainly think Sierra Leone
lost basically all chance in that race.
So I, I might put him ahead of that horse because of that.
And I'll tell you what, you could run a hell of a bang up
race in the classic and still finish 7th.
I mean, that's how good this field is.
I mean, you know, if you're picking like your top 3 or 4,
you know who who are you leaving out?
You're leaving out by ASA, maybe journalism, antiquarian, maybe
forever young, maybe my frame. You know, I, I think there's,
there's going to be some good horses that don't hit the board
and that that's what really makes it, I think, a really
great race even without sovereignty four ways A.
Top for you in that one coin flip, as you called it.
Does that mean, hey, we're waiting for the longest odds and
that's who we're betting on? Well, I'm pretty sure mine
frame. Will be the longest of those
prices I don't anticipate him going down with them.
I kind of put it as mine frame Sierra Leone fierceness and then
forever young. There you go.
I, I mean, I use as I'm old enough, willing enough to admit
it, that I was around in the 70s and the late 70s where when you
had very good older horses and very good 3 year olds running
the three-year old Affirm could not beat Seattle's older Seattle
Slew, 3 year old spectacular bid could not beat older Affirmed.
I think these are not these are not about those Hall of Fame
levels just yet. They are pretty good 3 year olds
and pretty good older horses. I think the same adage holes.
I get the edge to the older horses.
There you go. Is Bobby.
Halt look for his holiday album that'll drop soon ahead of
Christmas and Hanukkah, maybe even Kwanzaa.
You doing is it is it mostly Christmas ballots or what are we
doing this year? You know I'm trying I'm.
Trying to extend, I'm trying to get the.
I'm trying to be very inclusive with everybody.
I, I, I take requests, things like that.
But I do have the standard, you know, the, the standard holiday
tunes, you know, a kind of a kind of big like, you know, I, I
saw one of my big ones. I, I saw mommy kissing Santa
Claus, you know, and I've also done some of the chipmunk
covers. Well, Elvin Simon.
And of course, Bobby Hall. There you are.
We'll get back with. Up next.
We'll talk. We'll talk with Byron King.
About something that's next. I'm back with Byron King,
talking classic with him here on Saturday.
This is a race A9 on the card. We were waiting for this match
up. Of all of these horses, 10
entered nine grade one winners. And unfortunately, with a little
illness this week, it looks like he'll be just fine.
Of course. But sovereignty out of this one.
Does this dampen the race for you at all or are you looking?
Hey, we still got any grade one winners here?
Well, it does. Dampen it.
I mean, let's face it, he was the presumptive 3 year old
champion, likely horse of the year if he were to win or even
if he ran second or something, you know.
So I mean he's a great horse. We wanted to see how he would
run against 4 year olds and other older horses.
And so we deprived of that opportunity.
It always makes it tough. You know, you're so excited to
see how the the Derby winner is going to run against older
horses. So it definitely loses some
luster, but you know, still a loaded field except for contrary
thinking as you mentioned, everybody else in here is a
Grade 1 winner. You know, he's an allowance
winner. He's the pacesetter in here.
But I mean, you could go a number of different ways in the
classic now with. Sovereignties defection here.
We still have a solid set of three-year olds that are going
to run between journalism. Of course.
Nevada Beach by Aza finally gets that grade one win last out of
the Pennsylvania Derby. Of those three, who do you get
the best shot here? Well, I guess.
I would lean toward by Aza of those.
I think he's might be a little more progressive than
journalism. I think journalism has kind of
been steady as the year's gone on, but he hasn't necessarily
like upped his game. Now obviously a key jockey
change, Jose Ortiz taking the mount in this race.
We'll see if that can result in any improvement for him.
Do you have a strong opinion on that?
I like the idea of at least trying something different
after. This is the classic.
Honestly. I don't.
Think some of the rides on him were very good earlier in the
year, even when he won under Raspoli, so I don't fault them
for making that choice. You, you have to give yourself
what you think is the best chance to win.
So I think I don't fault their decision at all.
Sierra Leone is back. He won this race last year.
Contrary thinking's in here to set a pace.
Frankly, he's already got fierceness to run at right and
fierceness is going to do a lot of work near the front end or on
the front end. Frankly.
Sierra Leone, his chances on Saturday, very good.
Yeah, I mean. He's a horse that has run in
greatest stakes races ever since his maiden win and he's never
been worse than third. Amazing.
You know he fires all the time. He won over this track last
year. He had an extremely hot pace.
The half mile split last year was lower than 45 seconds.
It was like 44 and change. Yep, just furious fractions.
I don't think you'll get that in this particular race, but I
think contrary thinking will probably, you know, push them
along to 46 and change maybe something like that, you know,
but I think that gives Sierra Leone a fighting chance in here,
a strong chance. He's a very good horse.
You know, I think I would pick him second here behind Forever
Young, who I think is an exceptional horse and and is my
selection. Speaking of landing in the.
Trifecta, of course, in the trifecta last year of both the
Breeders Cup Classic and the Kentucky Derby was forever
young. Why do you have him on top?
Well, he's the top. Rated dirt horse in the world
based off his Saudi Cup from earlier in the year.
He ran lights out in there and then they kind of pushed on with
him in the Dubai World Cup. He was a little over the top,
didn't really fire. They freshened him up.
They gave him an easy prep in Japan.
He's coming into this race looking good.
He's looked great out here. And when he fires his best shot,
he's pretty darn good. And now, granted, he was third,
as you mentioned, in this race last year, third in the Kentucky
Derby, got beat 2 noses. You could argue he might have
been best in the Kentucky Derby because Sierra Leone bumped him
repeatedly and he got beat 2 noses.
So, you know, he's a very, very good horse and his trainer has
already won a couple Breeders' Cup races at Delmore, you know,
all right. So I think clearly this horse
has got a lot of things going for him.
I think a point you made. Earlier too, where he tried to
run those two Arabian Peninsula races back-to-back.
He likes to be a little fresher. He's got a little bit of that.
He's not on the same level for sure, but that flight line where
if he's fresh, he's going to run better than if he's trying to,
you know, push those races together.
And I mean he's. Made $15 million.
A good part of that is from the Saudi Cup, which is are $20
million, But this is a very, very good horse.
And last year in the British Cup Classic, he had the rail and
they kind of sent him away from there and I just don't think
everything flowed that way. He also had a longer year
between the Derby and stuff, so I think he's just a little bit
more on tilt this year. There you go, blood horse dot.
Com for all of Byron's thoughts ahead of the classic, make sure
you check that out. Up next, we'll talk Turf Mile
with Sean Collins up next right here on blood horse at the
Breeders Cup. Right back with Sean Collins
here, Blood horse at the Breeders Cup talking mile races
now I'll go to the Turf Mile first here.
Of course, that is race 10 on the card.
And boy, a fun field here really wide open field here.
I haven't gotten to ask you yet. We did talk about the the Turf
Sprint and the Sprint on the dirt earlier in the card in a
previous segment here, Sean. But when you look at turf races
like this, especially when we get to routing, do you tend to
lean toward the EUR here? Yeah, I mean you.
Have to. That's just especially
historically. Yeah, you look at the
historical. Record of them coming over here
into some of these turf routes. I know the Turf Sprint, we
mentioned they don't have the best success, but all these turf
routes they always seem to come with with some really top notch
horses here. Now we saw last year in the
mile, if we have some good American runners, we can hold
our own in this race. You think more than looks and
Johannes who is second right behind no doubt.
And so we did pretty well in this race last year.
Johannes is back. I think he's one of the top
milers in in in the country for sure.
I was great to see him in his last race, bounce back second
start off the layoff. He's going to be tough in here
from the American runners. But yes, it is hard to look past
the Europeans notable speeches. Here, When's the Woodbine Mile,
Historically A terrific predictor of success at the
Breeders Cup. A little different this year at
a race, different this year on the Inner turf rather than on
that wide, sweeping turn. But frankly, we're on a tight
turf course. It might actually work out.
Better do you think it will? I think so, I think.
So too, anytime you get a chance for a horse from Europe to see
replicate those replicate the conditions that we'd have here.
And he was in the mile last year, he was third and in the
mile last year. So he as experience I just the
the move was. Just a little too late.
That's it. Otherwise the horse wins.
I agree exactly. So we know that he.
Can hold his own here at Del Mar.
We know that he likes the track. He can run well here, so we can
expect a good performance from him as well.
I just, I, I'm not for whatever reason, I'm just not super
confident in him. I feel like there could be some
other options, other interesting.
Runners in here as well, coming from overseas.
Any of them caught your eye? Well, the lion in.
Winter, I thought, has looked pretty good.
A couple of mornings I've seen him out here on the track.
He's he's been in the front of Aidan's army, so maybe it's just
because he's the one that I see first.
Sure. And I get to see it for the most
amount of time before the other ones jog by.
That's not a 0, right? Being in the front of that
matter, they usually, yeah, you usually.
See, they're not going to put some slouch up there and so, but
he's he's it's good form out there in Europe.
He's second last time out in the Queen Elizabeth, the second
stakes, third in the pre. I should let you pronounce that
one. There we go.
I'm gonna, I'm like, I'm gonna let you.
No, OK. It's a windmill.
Oh, OK. So he was running in windmills
apparently out there in France, but a grade one at Long.
Shot. That's the only lost by a neck.
And so we've seen before now we've seen before were horses
that, you know, maybe our that second, third and Group One
company over there when they come over here to the US, Yep,
they they can, they can run a lot better over here against our
horses. Now, to be fair, Salon was the
winner of that race. He's in this field as well.
So you need to give him a look as well.
He's looked, he's looked pretty good out there on the race.
Same morning line by the way. Same.
Morning Line, obviously they thought that race similar to how
you think about it is hey, three horses together, that's who
finished and and the thing. That I like maybe more about him
than the Lion in winter is the fact they brought the Lion in
Winter back for another race versus salons been off since
that victory. So he may be coming into this
race a little bit fresher with the Lion in winter, the October
18th date coming in this close. I know horses have done it
before in the Breeders Cup running, running that weekend
and then coming over and being successful here.
But the timing to me when you have to ship all the way over is
is slightly concerning I would say.
But both of them have looked good out here on the racetrack.
I do like a couple of these American runners.
We mentioned Johannes earlier. I think he is a top notch turf
force. I think he can hold his own
against these European horses. But I also am a big fan of
rhetorical as well. I loved his win at Keeneland
last time out. I think this is a horse that has
been so well handled by Will Walden.
We had him on the Blood Horse Monday podcast a few weeks ago,
which means he'll win here. Yeah, but.
But but, but, but he's just, he's handled this horse so well
where he they knew that they had a good one early, but they let
him gradually progress through the ranks.
They kept him in against New York breds, got him, got him the
experience, let him figure out what racing is, Then took the
shot against the grade one horses and it was successful and
he ended up winning pretty impressively there.
I like him. His chances coming back.
I actually just saw Will Walden this morning.
He's feeling really good going into this.
All fantastic. Johannes would be my play of the
Americans in here personally comes out, of course, out of the
City of Hope Mile at Santa Anita where he is undefeated and is
spectacular over that Santa Anita turf course.
Does have two runs here, has never been worse than second.
I find him to be the most interesting of the American
runners. Just a little bit of a home
track advantage. He's already been here before
handled the turns before and man the confidence to start this
horse's campaign this year and the four-star Dave tells me like
trainer Tim Yak team really does think he's got a world class
horse and by the way, I agree with him.
You and I both agree with him. We voted him on top in the
eclipse awards last year. Would not be a starter to see
him win here. It would not be and.
That just, you know, even though I know he didn't run well in the
four-star Dave, but to think about shipping across the
country, they know that they have one of the top tour forces
in the country because we're not going to start him in an
allowance company, you know, grade 3.
We're going for the Grade 1 and yeah, he wasn't ready that day,
but we saw in the City of Hope Mile he was ready when he was
back. Second off the layoff, third off
the layoff. You would expect he's only going
to be better here. Son of.
Nyquist, very few of those Nyquist in here, but hey, real
shots all of the Nyquist babies that will be in here as well.
Let's go to the dirt side of things, the Dirt mile.
What a race this turned. Out we've got a big.
Favorite in Nisos, which is a little surprising where his
morning line landed. Would you have him there a
little bit higher than that? I would have him a.
Little bit higher just because of how good this field is,
because I'm actually talking with Michael McCarthy, who has
touch a destiny in here yesterday and he he himself said
this is probably one of the most talented dirt mile fields that
we've had in a long time. We've had years before where
we've had a superstar in this race.
You think Knicks go, you think life is good.
You think back to golden sense winning two of these things,
like we've had years where we've had the stand out, but it's I
don't think we've had years where we've had this complete
talent in the race. Like, you know, that stand out
was there and against a bunch of horses who maybe were not up to
that level. Niceos could be that stand out
in here, but everybody else in the field has credentials.
Everybody else in the fields are top notch horse.
And so I think top to bottom, this is a pretty, pretty strong
group. Niceos.
I think maybe the 8:00 to 5:00 is a little bit low just for
that reason because of how many good horses are in this field.
But he definitely, I mean, he's been impressive.
This is a horse that's had nothing but hype around him
since he began his career. Unfortunately, we've seen health
issues kind of derail him from really ever getting to see his
best at the top level. Maybe this is the weekend we
finally see Mystic Dan Derby. Winner in here do you like him
here better than in the classic? I absolutely like him here.
Yes. Yeah, I.
You know, it's interesting if it was just if we were looking
purely at the distance, I think I might, I might lean towards
seeing him at the mile and a quarter instead.
However, when you look at the fields, he definitely fits in
this field a lot better. So I'd like to ask you a
question. About him, because many of his
grand achievements have come when he makes his move at the
very top of the stretches, usually at Churchill Downs.
OK. But last time out in the Lucas
Classic, he didn't have the lead until the last 16th, and he had
to move between horses to do it. Showed a new element in his
running style. I was impressed by that.
Ron Francisco Arrieta was aboard then.
He keeps them out here, by the way, Kudos to Kenny.
Yeah, for doing exactly that, because the two of them worked
great together. Last out hate Nazi and Brian
Hernandez. Yes, junior here for sure.
But boy, do you give do you give the Derby winner a chance here?
Because I do, of course, yeah. You know the mile, The mile's a
question. We haven't seen him do it in a
long time, since very early the two turns makes up.
Some of that, I think, yeah. And that's exactly.
The the thing there, I think the two turns really helps him out
here. The fact that this is not a one
turn mile. We know that he, you know, likes
getting kind of that inside trip, being able to save some
ground. I think he's going to be able to
do that here. He's breaking out of the floor.
I think he'll be able, Francisco will be able to work out a trip.
But as you said, we saw a new demand mentioned last time.
We saw him actually be able to put forward a stretch run where
he had to run somebody down, which we hadn't seen before.
We'd always seen him up on the lead in a race like the
Southwest Stakes where he just kind of aired it and went for
it, or a race like the Derby where he where he just held on,
he held on, hold on. And he did.
And so I do like seeing that new dimension going into this race.
Distance concerns me a little bit.
But he has looked as somebody who has watched him a lot over
the last two years at Churchill, at Saratoga.
I think he looks like he's in possibly the best form of his
career right now. To see him in the mornings.
He looks phenomenal. Rona's Racing will send.
Full Serrano, last year's winner out here try the Grade 1
Goodwood probably just a little bit too long last time I loved
his effort in that race so I'm absolutely throwing him in my
tickets here yeah and we. Talked about Straight No Chaser
earlier in the spring. Kind of flying under their game
off again here. Nobody's talking about.
Full Serrano. He's the defending winner of
this race, so you know he's going to be tough.
He's a little bit more respected than Straight No Chaser when it
comes to the morning line. He's 7:00 to 2:00 here in this
spot. Why not do it again?
Same track. He was so impressive here last
year doing that and I agree with you.
I think the good one was just maybe a little bit too long for
him. Nevada Beach is a pretty good
horse. It was still a respectable
effort. I would expect him to run pretty
well here in this spot as well. I also want to give a shout out.
I don't know how he's 20 to one on the morning line, but Tumba
Rumba, I mean, this horse, every single time he goes out there
onto the racetrack, he shows up, he fights, he's got that
fighting spirit inside of him. It looked like he maybe went off
form a little bit toward the end of that 10 race losing streak
that he had. But a lot of those races, he was
second or third beating a small margin.
But then he had a couple of, you know, maybe some races that left
you some concern. His last two races, he's back.
And Brian Lynch, when I talked to him last week, he said
they've seen the fire come back in his eye.
They've seen that he is he's ready to go.
I think he's finally stringing wins together.
I think he could maybe do that again here.
And I like the odds. That's the difference there is.
That the ACAC, not usually a great predictor for A2 turn
mile, Yeah. But frankly, the fact that he's
stringing these together is different than his previous
form. And so I'm with you on that.
And he's been. He's done well.
He was fourth in this race last year.
He's done OK at the two turns before.
I don't think that's going to be a big problem.
Chancellor Mcpatrick's. Off to the breeding shed after
this. Many times, frankly, we see
retirements before a possible exposure.
I think it's really interesting that Chad Brown's going to run
him here. I love the move to Jose Ortiz as
well. Yes, I'm kind of.
For the price, he ended up in this spot instead of the Sprint
because it seemed like they were really pointing for the Sprint.
His race is around 2 turns so far.
I mean, we all remember back Derby, Derby time, we were
concerned about what he was around two turns.
He ended up winning the Kerwin Stakes out out at Saratoga
around two turns. So that makes me feel a little
bit better. But I still don't think I
haven't seen from him as a three-year old, that same kind
of devastating kick that he showed last year as a 2 year
old. I think maybe the champagne, by
the way. Adam Mile, you're right, yes.
And the Hopeful Stakes at 7:00. Prolongs but you know, I just he
hasn't been as electric as I thought he was going to be when
the year started. So I'm hesitant to go with him
here in this spot, but it is nice to see him here and
obviously the fact that they did enter him that shows you some
confidence that they still have in him.
We'll close our race. Previews up next with Frank
Inks, we'll talk Breeders' Cup, Philly and Meriturf, and then
you'll see Sean one more time as we'll wrap up our series of
Blood Horse at the Breeders Cup. Here's Frank to talk Breeders'
Cup, Philly and Meriturf. All right, fight.
The last race on the card on Saturday will be the Breeders
Cup Billy and Mayor Turf running a mile and 3/8 going the three
turns here at Del Mar Frank Angst back with us here from
bloodhorse.com. You'll see his preview up there.
This is, I think probably hearing different opinions.
What are those races people think is the most wide open on
Saturday? I think that's a fair.
Description You have a lot of the, I mean, you have to start
with the European base horses just on their success in this
race. And a lot of those horses look
fairly even, you know, on paper. And then she feels pretty as the
US horse that most assuredly fits in with that bunch.
And then the EP Taylor is the race.
I keep coming back to the she feels pretty wanted edge diamond
rain by head, but they've drawn where she feels pretty is
outside tomorrow. I think she and the the
configuration here, it's going to be a three turn race.
Really not much time for her to get over or they might have to
use her their speed some. I I think this sets up for
Diamond rain who who was right there a good dolphin horse that
that his again, I've said it earlier when we're talking about
the distaff, these these horses that are improving this time of
year always catch my eye and Diamond rain in my opinion is is
moving right on up Diamond reign one of those.
Horses too has experience going left-handed, doing the turns
right and so that's a thing. These three turn races doesn't
always work for a horse coming say out of a straight line race.
Some of those things that we see in England, for example, I think
that kind of experience for her as well.
What do you make of see the fire?
Tough post on the outside. It does have a lot of trees.
Go left-handed. See the fire?
Definitely. Fits and I, you know, when I,
when I'm trying to make a make, make the cut on horses that are
seemingly evenly matched that the post is a big thing for me.
So I, I, I kind of thought Gazora is probably a really good
fit kind of right in the middle of the field.
She's a French classic winner races for Peter Brand, who of
course we're all familiar with over here.
Peter does keep a string of horses in Europe.
He's won the arc over there. So he's had really successful
horses in Europe and and she fits the bill there.
So I can't see her not hitting the board, I'll say that much.
Diamond Rain, I think it's my top pick, but Gazora looks like
she's right there and if she were to win it, I wouldn't be
surprised at all. How about Cinderella?
'S dream in here finished second last year best running over firm
go as well seems to be a good fit for this field yeah I think
this is the. Good Dolphin, Philly and Mayor.
That will probably be bet more than diamond rain and I get it.
She won the Falmouth Stakes Group One over in Europe.
So again, she she fits right there.
And it it really gets to what I was saying is these European
Phillies and mayors in this race really appear to be evenly
matched. Someone's filling out their.
Pick five to close the card. How many are would you including
a ticket? Oh gosh.
Five probably. OK, all right.
A. Bit of a spread race here to
close the card on Breeders' Cup Saturday.
We'll bring Shawn Collins back in and we'll wrap the show next.
All right, thanks to all of the Blood Horse staff for hanging
out with us on this edition. A blood horse at the Breeders
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Sean, final thoughts after Friday leading into Saturday.
Which race are you most looking forward to tomorrow?
I'll be very honest, I want to see that turf match up.
I'm so excited to see Minnie Hawk here.
And boy, the old the old globe traveling Rebels romance.
And I'm seriously, seriously fascinated by Ethical Diamond.
So I my weird long shot is in a race where I don't expect him to
necessarily do anything. But goodness, it's the Breeders.
Cup And frankly, if the Philly, you know, the Juvenile Philly
turf was any kind of indication, you never know what could
happen. Yeah, you never know what could
happen. This is what happens when you
bring the best horses from around the world in the one
spot. The horse that's 30 to 1?
Still one of the top horses in the world.
So you never know what you're going to get here.
Obviously, even without sovereignty, looking forward to
the Classic, this is going to be a legendary race even without
him. But on top of that, really
looking forward to that turf Sprint.
I'm really excited to see and especially we saw I mentioned
when we were doing our segment on that, how it seems like it's
going to be a race where it is. Will the speed hold or will the
closers end up coming in? When we saw the juvenile turf
Sprint today, the horse that set second one and the horse that
got left at the gate came flying in for a second.
So it looks like it's going to be wide open as far as how the
turf's playing for whichever of those it's opportunities to
happen. So I'm really looking forward to
it. Was interesting watching.
Today, just in the final thought here, turf seems very fair.
You can come from off, you can be upfront, you can figure it
out. The dirt, you got to be near the
front it feels like. Yeah, it didn't really look.
Like anybody was coming from behind and in either the
juvenile Phillies or the juvenile, it looked like, you
know, Mr. AP was kind of getting there a little bit at the end,
but he wasn't, he wasn't coming from way back.
He was right behind. That's exactly right.
So he's been back. For sure, yeah.
And then obviously the the Philly went wire to wire Super
Careidora. Super Careidora went wire to
wire as well so. The front is interesting if
that's true. It favors A fierceness, a mind
frame. It does horses like that.
Maybe a journalism, if he's able to stay closer even on the
three-year old side of things and a horse like Sierra Leone
might have to get going a little bit quicker this year than he
did last year, but frankly, was able to do that at Del Mar last
year. Yeah, maybe you can repeat that.
And I feel like last year. We were saying the same thing
about how it seemed like it seemed like.
Speed was going. And boom, he was right there as
they came off the turn. It's like, OK, Yep, he he's just
good. So was like, it's a pizza.
Yeah, we're gonna. Go get pizza.
Happy Breeders' Cup, everybody. Happy Breeders' Cup Saturday.
We'll be back on Monday with another rendition of Blood Horse
Monday. We'll hope you'll join us for
that as well. He's Sean.
I'm Louis. Happy Breeders' Cup, The Blood
Horse is dedicated to the improvement of Thoroughbred
breeding and racing for over 100 years.
Don't forget to like, subscribe and save Blood Horse Monday on
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and insights, visit us at bloodhorse.com.
Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.