Breeder’s Cup Win & In – Kentucky Downs

Louie & Zach take a look at the races from the last week. Louie gives his picks for the Breeder's Cup Win & In at Kentucky Downs.

Full Transcript

All right kids, gather around. It's time for another edition of

the Horse Racing Happy Hour. My name is Louis Ribeau, hanging

out with producer Zach Mike. Very close to Zach, but not on

the show. That's.

Listen, I'm gonna, I'm gonna first.

First of all, I want to give Mike a shout out for being

horrible because he's in my side, my side of town, and we

were supposed to get together and he texted me.

He's on your side of town. Yes, and he texted me yesterday

to say he was too tired at 2:00 PM to meet up.

That sounds about Mike. He was too tired of 2:00 PM.

There you go. I'll hang it out with you.

Producer Zach Louie, Robo Horse Racing Happy hour.

Got some stuff to get into here. Of course.

We come off the Jockey Gold Club.

We come off the Pacific. What a cup.

And and we've answered. We've answered some questions as

far as our four year olds and five year olds are concerned in

that older dirt male class. We have not answered any

questions As far as I'm concerned in that three-year old

class. We got a ways to go figuring all

of that up. But of course, I think we'll

answer those questions sooner rather than later once we get to

that breeders, Cup, classic, draw field, etcetera.

Thanks for joining us. If you are hanging out with us

live on an otherwise football night, I think people are going

to be getting into that obviously.

But you can watch my lions lose later.

Just hang out with me now. It's cool.

Hang out with Louie now. It's all good.

So there you go. Big day in our state, Zach.

I was there for the first. Ever legitimate sports bet?

Let's call it what it is. Plenty of sports bets have been

wagered in this state. Not on the up and up, if you

will. And so good to get a little bit

of the governor in there. I thought he did Zach the It's

as good a bet as you could place being the Kentucky governor and

that was Kentucky football over the season win total.

Louisville over the season win total and Duke under.

Because in very few places to the two state schools.

Just like a common opponent. We have that here at the

Commonwealth with Duke. And so there you go, Smart.

Whoever's giving advice to the governor's office about

gambling, doing a good job, Kentucky, the fastest to market

from vote in the legislature to actually implementing it here.

So that was a real positive. And so real fun to watch those

things happen. It's interesting, Zach, when

bipartisan things happen, they actually move along with some

kind of ease. It's very strange.

So good to see that here in the Commonwealth was good to be down

at Churchill Town. It's good to see people too, you

know, at, you know, at at Churchill, at the track itself,

the people that work there that that helped us out and

everything else ran into Andrew. And I mean, gosh, Darren and

Kevin and Greg and all kinds of folks down there today was good

to see. Everybody did not run into the

governor. Be real, real clear about this.

So I've heard if you run into him, someone else runs into you,

but usually the force. And so, yeah, I tried to try to

avoid doing that, any of that today.

So I did not run into the governor.

But there you go, horse racing happy hour.

You can find us on Twitter, by the way, at Horse Happy Hour.

Find us anywhere. And if you're not watching the

show, believe it or not, I have a face.

You can check us out on Spotify, on the video feed there, on the

YouTube as well, and then of course on our Twitch stream.

If you are a Twitcher and so will find us there as well.

Get into it here Zach. I know you're sort of getting

these things together, but had a couple of upsets as far as I'm

concerned, as far as horses that I think have a legit shot to win

the classic. Here's the here's the hang up

though, is when we talk Pacific Classic, for example, we get

Arabian Night running, a style that Authentic ran at Keeneland

in 2020. And if that's a style that can

win, especially with the same trainer, then why couldn't we

see that again this year, especially with a horse of

grand? Well, at Delmar, could he turn

around, train at Santa Anita up to the Breeders Cup Classic and

then run really Well, I think he can.

I think that's the answer. I really was high undefunded

going into that race obviously didn't run the kind of race

that's going to qualify you automatically for the Breeders

Cup Classic. So we didn't get that from him

this past weekend and so a little disappointing on that

end. But I do think we got some

clarity as to who the top top horses are and the answer is the

three-year olds in our in our you know our two turn, you know

our two turn you know world that is the Breeders Cup Classic and

try to figure out who that is on the older dirt male side.

We talk about it a lot on the show.

Fall in love with the Phillies because they race as mayors,

fall in love with the cult. If he's good at three, he's

gone, and sometimes he's good at 2 he's gone, right?

He's off to the breeding set. So you know, fall over those

Phillies and mayors. For this reason, we're seeing it

in the classic this year. The rationale for us talking

about that over and over and over again on the show, watch

Latruska race three or four solid years of just terrific

races over and over, taking on the very best in North America

in her races. Those are the kinds of horses

you don't find on the men's side of things.

I do think, look, on this show we have forces with whom we

have. We have jokes.

We have, you know, drinking games and those sorts of things.

And why the barrio was hurt? Me, one of those drinking food.

However, you've gotta actually think of him as maybe the over

2/3, right? Now it just is what it is very

strange here, and so I'll be interested to see who ends up.

Shipping the pen and needle pull the classic.

I do think this is the answer we end up with, and I joked about

this on our ESPN show, that which would be in this role,

that here's my positive spin on the breeder.

It's going to be a good. Petit And so it doesn't always

have to be high quality for it to be great.

Petit great to have a hard time figuring out who can win.

It falls in the middle of the late season on bridges of the

Saturday. The greater stuff that we can

play in college football. By the way, I want to talk

there's a lot of conservation about.

Blue, you're breaking up People, people.

Okay. Is that better?

A lot of consternation about that not being like the

highlight of NBC's evening on a on a football Saturday.

I have news for everyone. It is considerably better for

horse racing to be part of the normal programming of sports

networks, Period. Conversation over it doesn't

need to be highlighted as its own thing.

Not everything is the Kentucky Derby out of first Saturday in

May when the only competition is the Final Four or you know, I

mean, you know, excuse me, Final Four is over by then.

Is is baseball. Stop this.

We got to stop this kind of madness about about the Breeders

Cup Classic needing to stand on its own.

It doesn't, frankly, that it leads into football beats.

More people are going to watch that race.

They just will, because they're tuning in for another game that

comes up after it, and they'll just TuneIn, more likely than

not, for that Breeders' Cup Classic.

I understand the whaling and gnashing of teeth over it.

I get it. You want it to be the stage.

I think. Normal for the purposes of lots

of things. More eyeballs normalizing the

sport as part of the larger landscape of American sport.

It's better off before a football game than it is by

itself on a network that's not involved with college football.

All right, enough of my. Enough of my.

I will say that you know the hardest part about entertainment

in general and especially American entertainment is.

You don't get visibility until you generate money, which is the

opposite of the way you feel like it should be, right?

Like, so to say like, oh, horse racing should be a featured

sport on ESPN that's out front in front of football or on NBC

in front of football. Football generates billions of

dollars per month, right? Like per month, right?

Yes, that's right. Yep, Dan was lamenting this

morning on our show that only 9 million people watched the

Florida State game. Exactly.

Exactly what? How to lament is that.

Stop it. That ain't it, man.

That's not what we're doing here.

No, this is a good thing overall.

So let's get to two of the horses that did qualify for that

race. We want to talk about Bright

Future. He wins the Jockey Gold Cup at

Saratoga first. This was a horse we talked

about. This is when I said, look, I

don't think Pletcher is placing this one in this in this group

by accident. So here he is.

Bright Future is the 8th horse in this race.

Proxy, of course. The one, the former Grade 1

winner, excuse me, a Grade 1 winner trying to qualify here

for a win and you're in for the Breeders Cup.

He is just behind. Horses need some racing room.

Rattle and roll needs to do better.

In the meantime, Clapton launches a very wide bid as the

field turns for home Bright Future.

Is up to take the lead Tyson There's a beautiful spot for

proxy in between if he's good enough and bright Future Has a

length and a half lead with a furlong left to go running

strongly. Proxy center of the track.

Clapton and Tyson bright future digging in.

Proxy's trying to get him bright Future or proxy.

Bright future proxy. Here's the line photo finish

bright future and proxy in Wow 203 flat is is is not a not a

make you notice kind of of time when we're talking about a

classic race it it temporarily now if it's like 204 and change

we're talking about not good and very slow and all these kinds of

proxy there really does interest me because he may look that

horse runs really well fresh and they're going to give him a

couple of months leading up to the Breeders Cup here.

I think there's a chance of Proxy's very live on Breeders'

Cup day and you're going to get a solid 6 to 701 on that horse.

And so that's just a neighbor name to remember.

I don't know if, excuse me, a bright future is going to be

part of that Breeders' Cup situation.

Now if I'm the ownership and I got a free ride, I'm shipping,

let's go get platter out there. Let him run the horse.

He's going to have other horses in the Breeders Cup in general.

So just get the horse out there, take the free spot in the gate.

Heck, if he hits the board, the check on a $6 million race alone

is worth the ship for sure. And so also you're talking about

breeding. He's already a Grade 1 winner.

Now we're talking about the ability to put that on your

resume as well. He was Breeders' Cup class

placed or whatever you want to call it.

And so just a a big opportunity for him.

Cool race at the end there. Your your reaction was totally,

totally apt, Zach, as far as how close that got at the end.

But yeah no kudos. I mean we talked about I said I,

you know you couldn't leave that horse off your tickets cuz that

is it's not a pletcher accident. That horse wasn't there as a

rabbit or anything like that. That's something they that's a

horse they thought had, you know a serious shot and and obviously

he did And so want to thank NYRA, by the way, other YouTube

channel and Frank Miramati on the call there up at Saratoga

for that replay as well. Out West, of course, it was

Arabian Night, the Baffer trainee.

If you followed us at the Gold book, Gold Book, bets.com.

By the way, if you'd play the first, second, second, first,

fourth and first horses, it might pick six for 10 bucks.

You would have had the pick six for $355.00.

So very cool. We had it very skinny, ready to

go 2 singles in that sequence for us at the beginning and at

the end of the horse that I really liked at the end of the

sequence came through flying under Juan Hernandez in the

finale there at Delmar, which is really great.

What we need to do though is look at the Arabian Night

performance again. Classic Baffert stuff man.

Where we get we, we get this, this front running and then he

seems to rally on the rail. So here's that call down the

stretch in for the lead. Arabian Night tries to save him

off. Go rocket ride chasing from 3rd.

Skinner is running on late and senor Booscador down the center.

Now go rocket ride in the blue. Cap on the outside coming

gamely. Arabian nights.

All heart battling on Slow down Andy.

Any one of these three. It's Arabian night hanging on Go

rocket ride. Arabian night has won the

Pacific classic go rocket ride finish.

Slow down Andy getting some of the money there Senor Booz good

or charging late interesting because I think going in people

really like to go rocket ride ahead of an Arabian night there

in that three-year old class no questions asked and so to get

him frankly go rock and ride very strong at the end show the

10 for lungs we're not the the issue you know wit nine in the

Haskell last out turns around runs a good Pacific classic

definitely expect to see him in the Breeders Cup classic.

They'll let him train up until then and so you know I I excited

to see that group it it's so hard to know Zach with these

with these baffer trainees that are so good in that last stretch

that have that extra kick they're ready to go with with a

horse like Arabian Night. Is he going to show up on

Breeders classic day Greeters Cup classic day.

That's a leave out at your own peril kind of horse and I

actually feel that way about go rocket ride as well.

I think that horse has a serious shot at the Breeders Cup Classic

this year and we'll we'll just have to see in a couple months.

We will be out there. We did get our credential

approvals from British Cup this week, which is awesome.

Thanks to Jim and the team out there, we'll be bringing this,

so don't worry. We promised you a chemical and

we'll still be bringing this with us out West to Arcadia.

Thanks for hanging out. If you are a part of our live

crowd here, I'm Louie Ribeau, hanging out producer Zach here

on the horse racing happy hour. Let's go ahead Zach.

You know what? I didn't so Air Camelback is

going to join our our radio show in the morning.

Just a I I have to tell people with the advent of sports

wagering in this state everybody was caught up in it today.

I can't even express that if you work at all in horses or

wagering or media or anything your day went down as as being

involved at one of these sports books.

So my guess is Eric because if people don't know the tracks are

really they're in charge of the of the management of the sports

books all the regulatory aspects of it run through the the tracks

and and so anyone that's involved in horse racing at all

had to be, you know very keenly aware of what was going on

around the state and the Governor made a bed in

Louisville and Lexington and those things and and so I'm sure

Eric just got caught up with those.

He'll join us and we will release that as part of the

podcast tomorrow. He's president of the national

HBPA and make sure that so that we can, You know, we'll ask him

about some of those issues, the takeout issues, those other

things that that horse players are concerned about.

But I just wanted to mention because of that horse racing

101, our friends at the Maryland Thoroughbred Breeders

Association, marylandmillion.com, make sure

that you get out there for Maryland Million Day this year.

Of course, the Maryland million is the Million Million Day,

excuse me, is a showcase of all of the very best about

thoroughbred racing. They're in the state of

Maryland, great partners of ours and so make sure that you are

checking them out. They have an update every

weekend on the on the the runners in that race and I want

to make sure that you are checking them out.

marylandmillion.com Stay updated all those contenders weekly

Maryland million Watch Learn about the sponsorship

opportunities by those club tables.

Heck we'll see you at the 38th annual on October 14th.

The Maryland million. Make sure that you get your

seats for that one as well. We haven't had the full

discussion, Zach. Should the horse racing happy

hour be part of the sponsorship team for the Maryland Million?

You know my take on this 100% think we should.

So I think we'll end up doing that.

So John, if you're listening, if any of the good, the good people

in the office over there at the Maryland Thirdbred Beard

Association hanging out, we will be getting in.

So I will send you all that paperwork tomorrow.

So look for us, our stuff out there at the Maryland Million,

October 14th there at Laurel, of course, down near halfway

between at Baltimore and DC We'll get with Eric tomorrow.

So let's just get straight into it, Zach, we can do an

abbreviated version of the show tonight.

Yeah. And talk about the handicapping

here. Well, before we we move on for

Horse Horse Racing 101, that's the National Horseman's

Benevolent and Protective Association.

For someone who might not know what an HHBPA is, You know what,

this is a good point by you. And so Zach, do they, do they

sort of talk about what it is that their purpose is?

Who do they represent at least? So, you know, in in horse

racing, almost more than any other sport, there are so many

layers and and groups involved. And you know, who's speaking for

a group? Who's speaking for a trainer or

an owner or a jockey or you know, the person that you know

taking the bet, you know this kind of thing set in the morning

lines, whatever that might be, lots of different people

involved in the sport. What would the HBPA be

advocating for? So their take on their own site

about them says that. Horsemen have always taken care

of their own. Anyone who is sick or down, down

on their luck, they passed the hat to take up collections and

that the HBPA is there to provide a voice for thoroughbred

horsemen. Yeah, So, So I wanted to get

that side of things because so often on shows like this, it's

very easy for us to concentrate on jockeys, trainers, things

that we see on the track, our our betting side of things from

from the horse player perspective, try to talk from

the track perspective. But what about those horsemen,

the people that are in that training behind the scenes that

are in the ownership groups, that kind of stuff.

Who are those people? What do they want?

And that's what we'll talk to Eric about tomorrow.

Especially with the advent of Hysa and the rules from the

federal government, we'll be able to talk to him about that.

And now the people are starting to understand what the costs are

to the tracks to have this oversight.

I think people are starting to wonder if it's worth the juice

is worth the squeeze there 100%. All right.

So. So we want to thank them.

marylandmillion.com. Go ahead and check them out.

Make sure that you get down to Laurel Park if you're on the

East Coast. Man, that is a just an

absolutely great day of racing. So just a real fun one, one that

we always cover on this show and I'm sure we'll do a significant

amount of handicapping and that kind of stuff on that on that

card as well. So all right, let's get into the

the handicapping section of the show though.

The big race is this weekend. Zach are down about two hours

South of me and Franklin in a place called Kentucky Downs.

And your boy, today in the gold book, I gave out three Louise

Longshots. Two of those hit today, which is

great. In the first five races, How

about that? I had three Louis Longshots,

which in Kentucky Downs is called chalk because there's no

favorites in Kentucky Downs. So we got into that today.

So that was awesome. I have an actual paper ticket, I

bet today, and I did that on purpose so that I would have

money for next Friday when we're back at Churchill.

And I can go after the show and head out, use that money for the

early pick three and do the damn thing.

So excited to get racing back here.

But before we do that, let's spend a bunch of money on purses

at Kentucky Downs. They've got five races to end

the card that are all great at stakes.

In fact, you you haven't been doing the show long enough to

know the trends at Kentucky Downs, but these were not graded

races, even even last year or the year before.

And so for them, because they're offering these persons and who's

showing up for them, they have moved from, you know, listed

stakes, black types, whatever, up into grade twos.

And I mean, to get up into a Grade 2 status is not an easy

thing. And they have 5 races of grade

two or better status on the card this weekend.

There's two of them. Oh, man, two of them might be

grade threes. Two of them are grade threes.

Excuse me. So two grade threes and then

four races that are grade twos or better.

The first one of those is the exact systems.

Franklin Simpson, it's a great twos, Race 8 on Saturday going 6

1/2 furlong. So we're going to start a little

bit to the right and curve around to the left.

Grade 2,000,000 bucks in this one.

It's a 3 year old race, so a lot of names in here that people

will recognize either from the Derby trail or from those those

earlier turf races that we covered on this show.

Frosted Departure, Private Creed, Luke and Knights in this

race, most stash. What other names have we seen in

here? Mischievous Angel is actually

and also eligible in this race. So horses that we've talked

about pretty significantly. On this show, I landed on the

6th on top here. Speaking of Louie longshots,

Playlist is here Wesley Ward, John Velasquez.

Wesley Ward had a couple of longshots for me today that were

really great. Johnny Velasquez picks up the

mountain here. Hasn't gotten a win coming in

today there, but playlist coming off of three straight wins,

we're talking about a Sprint here.

So this is a little bit less of having to figure out, you know

figure out the course and those kinds of things.

More just about the speed. This horse has decent early kick

is going to have good staying power late as well coming out of

a win at Saratoga before that at Ellis Park and before that at

Turfway Park. I love a horse Zach, you know

this that could travels track to track and I think we'll be able

to take to Kentucky that was just fine.

So that's six playlist at 12:50 landing on top here for me and

race eight. I also looked at the number 10.

It's two of a kind Speaking of long shots for Brian Lynch and

Declan Cannon. Declan was aboard the five horse

in race 5 for me today. Hey, Zach, do me a favor, lean

back from your mic just a little bit and in two of a kind here

Declan picks up the mount here. He's having a very fine meet.

I think he's up to four or five wins already at Kentucky Downs.

This is a horse who hasn't won yet this year.

But when we're talking about turf sprinters, it's a bit of a

different, a different animal. This is a horse that hasn't

finished further than two legs. Back in two runs in April and

May came back in July, but they ran the race on the slot.

So we're going to, we're going to draw a line through that,

through that race, the quick call a listed stakes up at

Saratoga because I just don't think the horse wanted to be on

the slop at all. Easily the worst speed figure

for that horse in the last three races, but still picked up a

check for 3rd place. So it's not like the horse

didn't try, it just it just wasn't their day.

Brian Lynch, I really trust in turf sprints.

He goes at 15% and those wins at 14% on turf in general and at

14% in graded stakes. And so I do think the two of

them, Decky Cannon and Brian Licht can be here.

So I went 10 to 112 to one in the first two.

The seven horse here is Sweet Cherry Pie.

I read Ortiz gets them out here. He was in town today, so he

actually got to see the course and get kind of the layout of it

again. I do think it's different enough

that for some of these guys they need to, you know, they need to

be there a couple of days or they need, you know, some time

around the track. But I think I read got that

today he's riding for Rusty Arnold.

In this case, two of them don't get together very often, but

this horse came off the slop winning at Monmouth before they

ran a couple of good races at Ellis Park in the Churchill

Downs. I'm really leaning more on I

read here than anything else. And then I did land on the 12 in

the last spot here behind Enemy Lines is the horse that started

its its career in Ireland, has moved over stateside, has been

running really well, one immediately in the Cutler Bay at

Gulfstream Park going 7 1/2 Furlongs.

So we're actually going a little bit shorter with this horse, but

I actually like the one mile experience because I do feel

like when you're starting going up that hill and then down to

hill and then up a hill, it's a little bit more than 6 1/2

furlongs on the horses. Then you know, say out of flat

track, almost won the Pen Mile back in June and then came back

in August really recently. Ran pretty well behind Carl

Spackler, who's turning into one of these really, really great

turf milers that we have stateside.

Tyler Gaffe, Leon picks up the mound here, won a couple of

times today, had three run wins coming into the day, really is

starting to feel Kentucky down. So I do trust him as well.

So they're in race 8676107 and 12 for me Race 9 is the ladies

turf. It's a it's a mile race.

It's a great 3. It's a 1,000,000 bucks for

Phillies and Mayors 3 and up. Some names in here that people

might know. I landed on the Seven Horse here

New Year's Eve. It is the favorite for Brendan

Walsh and Tyler Gaffaglione. I do think this horse is going

to have a serious shot in this one.

Brian Brendan Walsh already having a terrific meet at

Kentucky Downs as one does when you're Brendan Walsh.

This horse coming out of a win in the preview day at Ellis Park

going a mile comes back for Tyler should have a really good

chance here. I don't mind breaking from the

seven in this in this spot because we do get that full mile

run up. So full, I think 2 furlongs

before you even get to the part to that right turn on the turn.

And so I think the horse I will do just fine with Tyler aboard

here. So I did land on 7, the favorite

here. Then I went to the four.

It was a 15 to one horse. Cuero Bin Durada is the name of

this horse for Paolo Lobo and Joe Talamo.

And these are this is a pair that I really like.

They team up at 17% all over the country.

Turfway Keenland Ellis Park or live in the region at least this

is a horse in that same preview race as New Year's Eve only lost

by a length at a quarter but did win the time previous to that at

a mile and a 16th again And and this is a horse by the way, that

last year won an allowance race over 7 for along to Kentucky

Downs. So it's a horse that's won over

the track. We get 15 to one.

It was Joe Talamo that was aboard the horse last year in

those races at Kentucky Downs and so excited to see this one.

I love that 15 to one number with Paolo Lobo who's 2 for five

at the meet so far. I don't think we're going to get

that steep of a number but if that number stays in the double

digits with Cuero Ben Dorada that's a horse I would actually

really lean into for say maybe it across the board bed or

something along those lines. That's the four horse tomorrow

or excuse me Saturday in race nine in the three here White

Frost is the favorite nine to five.

I would have a hard time making any horse at Kentucky Downs 9:00

to 5:00 but they did that here So Joe Rosario Belmont

interested to see if they can connect.

They have been miserable at Kentucky Downs over 12 together.

So I do wonder though this horse. 2 seconds and three

thirds at the distance in five total runs.

So never missed the board. Never been worse than second

frankly running at the distance on turf.

This is a gainsway bread. Home bread.

They still own it. A candy.

Excuse me, a daughter of Candy Rat.

She's 5 now. Can get the distance we've seen

it before. Has finished second or last

three races at Churchill Ellis and Saratoga.

So we'll look for her to possibly breakthrough tomorrow.

And then I went to the one horse and I have immediately after

this all question mark because I do think a lot of horses can win

here. I'll regal realm finish behind

white frost last time out by a length in that de la rose at

Saratoga. Going a mile with Laura Giroux

keeps them out here for Jonathan Thomas.

Do like them here for Rodger Ruthman sneaky go to Kentucky

Downs too and so interesting to watch him excel there and so a

real chance I do think you got to use as many as possible here

because I'm just not sure who's going to win 743 and one there

in race nine. Race 10 is the turf Sprint.

It's grade two. We're going six for a long.

So they move the the gate up just a little bit to try to make

this a little bit shorter And for that reason I'm going to try

to buy. I'm going to try to grab horses

that are on the rail because essentially you're turning

immediately One timer is the one horse coming in for Larry

Ravelli ET Baird is driving down the two of them by the way win

it 40%. Now I get it.

A lot of that is up in Hawthorne and and that's where Larry just

dominates. He wins at 32% overall.

However, this horse 3 for three on the synthetic.

We've seen horses move from synthetic to that track at

Kentucky Downs really, really well.

So I expect this horse is 4 for seven lifetime on turf and three

for three on synthetic. You put those together, that's a

horse that's seven for 10 with a second and a third.

So missing the board exactly once in its life on turf or on

synthetic, that's a horse I think you absolutely have to

include and I think is the most likely winner.

Nine to two would be an absolute gift on that horse front row.

the Fed is in here, the two horse for Ray Lou Gutierrez and

for Chao Karamori. And I am I'm interested here

mostly because the horse did win last out of colonial showed some

speed, some really fast speed. 2143 and 55 for the splits

really, really fast. Came from off the pace a little

bit and so I'm interested could we get a horse that gets to

settle in let's say right behind one timer who is going to try to

go for the leader at least in a stocking position in the one

hole Good frontrun the Fed be that horse that's right behind

it does you know does its work later in the race.

I'm not sure I that's not how Ray Lou Gutierrez usually wins

races but I do think there's a chance that he does it on

Saturday. The third of the three horse

here is Olympic runner 15 to 1. Javier Castellano, winner of two

of the, excuse me two of the classic races this year on the

Triple Crown trail gets. Olympic runner who did win last

time out also ran second three back in at Gulfstream Park but

is essentially second off the layoff here for Mark Cassie.

Mark Cassie already has a win, a second and a third and six runs

at Kentucky Downs this year. This horse has won this year.

Like I said last time out in an optional claimer at Colonial in

a in a Sprint really fast 15 to one just seems like a super long

number and like front run, the Fed is going to try to do its

best running late in the race. And then I went to another horse

here the the 8 horse after that no balls and we've watched no

balls a couple of times ET bear jumping off of this horse to

ride the one I think that's worth noting for Larry Ravelli

who picks up Herondo Corrales here.

The two of them hit together at 40%.

I do think the horse has a serious shot here ran in that

that Troy the grade three over soft go at Saratoga before that

ran in the Garrett and won it at Indiana over firm go going 5 for

longs and so more interested to see if that horse no balls can

run back to his best form there. All right and then let me see if

I've got other. I think I got one more horse I

wanted to talk about in that race.

He had the seven let's talk about the seven.

Zach. Why not Cogburn's in this race

that's a horse. Ricardo Santana Junior who's

actually having a really good summer and has been on this

horse a bunch has won its last three races so it's just a

winner once in a while. Kentucky knows you just want a

horse that that just wins 4 for six this year.

Three in a row as we mentioned ran behind Tejano Twist, but

both of those were on the dirt. They move this horse 2 turf 3

for three lifetime. Stevie Asmussen, friend of the

show has moved this horse over. A rare combination with Ricardo

over and over and over again with a horse.

This is one of them seems to have found his footing here.

And now that I'm saying all these things out loud, Cogburn

might be better than fifth option in this race.

But I'm including the 1238 and seven in my tickets as we go

forward. The next race is the the Lady

Turf Sprint. It's great, 2,000,000 bucks, 6

1/2 for longs back in that gate. Up a little bit for Phillies and

Mayors 3 and up. This is a this is a Breeders'

Cup. But the turf Sprint last race

was the Breeders Cup. Winning in this is a grade 2

like I mentioned 1,000,000 bucks here.

Look the two horse here. I like Quarry a Comet for Palo

Lobo and Joe Talamo. Boy if the two of them have a

nice day boy we're going to make some money.

It's a 5 to 1 horse one last year back Kentucky Downs in a

maiden special weight left one at Turfway twice then one at

Churchill this past year in $100,000.

Optional claimer not made available in that one.

Then ran second to base storm in the Kentucky down preview day

and that Lady Sprint at Ellis Park and so interested to see if

she gets back to that form. She seems to be in every other

type. This is the every other one five

back three back two or excuse me 6 back four back two back.

We're running again here see if quarry a comment.

Can't pick this one off. At very worst I think she hits

the board 8 for 10 lifetime hitting the board for this

daughter of Shackleford after her landed on the 6th horse

which is based on it is the favorite here.

Beat quarry a comet last time out gets Flora Giroux here for

Jonathan Thomas. You know in a grade 3.

Recently finished back by one leg behind Poppy Flower Bubble

Rock ABCA. Very good field up there in the

Intercontinental at Belmont Park back in June.

Ran here at Churchill Downs in the unbridled.

In the unbridled Sydney, $300,000 listed stakes with

Johnny Velasquez in second right behind Caravelle.

No shame in losing to Caravelle. We've talked about that on the

show and so good to see her back in this kind of company.

I do think she's got a serious shot.

I wouldn't play her on top at 9:00 to 5:00.

I don't think that's a good price of Kentucky Downs, but I

do think she's the second best horse in this run.

Trained. Our team misses in here as well.

Nine runs already this year, Zach, how about that?

All right. And if four wins, 2 seconds and

2/3, that is a eight out of nine kind of horse, which I love as

1/2 of her starts on turf. We get another one here.

Ran third last year, excuse me, two years ago, I guess now at

Kentucky Downs in a three-year old race.

Didn't like it back then. Hoping she's changed a little

bit since then. Lots of opportunity.

She ran at Aquaduck, Gulfstream, Tampa, Keeneland, Pimlico,

Monmouth, Colonial, Saratoga. Simple math there.

They've run this course everywhere, and so I'm hoping

that experience of moving around has really benefited her.

That's out of the Breen barn with Kelly.

Breen Rodda Carlos gets them out again in that one, so we'll see

if she can't get it. Loop is, is, Yeah.

That means she's run one race every three weeks this whole

year. Yeah.

I mean, she's crushing. That's great.

Yeah. Old Trend, our team is.

And you can kind of see it too. It's not.

There aren't a lot of of workout times because they're using the

races as workouts. It's old school, man.

It's fun when you can get, when you can get Phillies and mayors

like that. And then the three horse here is

Waka Naka. It's a horse that if you

followed turf racing in this country at longer distances,

you'll know her name. They tried her in a Sprint last

time for the first time in the caress over a good go at

Saratoga, integrate 3 finish behind roses for Deborah by a

couple of lengths. I'm just wondering if she didn't

learn something last time going the shorter distance if she

won't figure it out here at Kentucky Downs.

And so in that one in the race 11 I landed 264 and 3:00 and

then in the nightcap which is race 12 another breed of cup

winning in mile and 1/2. So you actually do start before

the finish line to go all the way around there at Kentucky

Downs $1.7 million here for the grade 2 FanDuel Kentucky turf

cup 3 year olds and up open company here including one of my

favorite turf horses going in the US his name is red night

he's the two horse here. I have him second Zach under

Tyler and and for Mike Maker who usually has a great beat at

Kentucky downs a bunch of second places this year Red Knight beat

Goofo here. If people remember a couple of

was that last year was last year in September gave that horse out

that was a 12 to one shot. Loved him in that spot he's come

back since and won twice. One in the the McKnight at

Gulfstream going a mile and a half.

And then he came back and won the man of war.

The man of war. Excuse me at at Belmont Park on

a mile and three. Ace gets.

Tyler here ran well in the United Nations at mom that

didn't have that late kick that we're used to and he's one of

those horses he's got to make his trip right.

Well, the good thing about Kentucky down for a horse like

Red Knight is that you got tons of space and he's going to have

space to make his trip. So I do like him in the spot but

I landed on the 11 horse here on top.

His name is therapist and he is running as well as any grass

horse in the United States currently.

Mike Maker again trains this one.

Javier Castellano in the Irons flying in, won the United

Nations won that race that we were talking about ahead of

Catnip and Red Knight. If he runs this race, I think he

wins. I do think he's the best horse

here. So the 11 horse I do have on

top, so we're 11/2 so far. Then I landed on the three

horse, which is very stopping and this is a horse that I hate

and so I'm definitely putting him on my tickets because I

can't stand them. But it is Decky Cannon, it is

Brendan Walshell. I think those two could

absolutely be a problem and break up these tickets.

So if you leave the three out in the last race at Kentucky Downs

on Saturday, God bless you. But that's a terrible decision.

Can I ask you a question? So sure.

In the so a lot of people might not know this the current three

time. It looks like next week champion

in F1, his last name is for stopping, yes?

Correct. Yes.

And so you think that's where this comes from any any history

there you know that's a great question.

I don't know the answer that he's the son of war front.

Yeah. Pat so celeb is his dad is a

French bread I there is a his mom's dad.

I just, I don't know, I I don't think so, but it's a it's a fair

question. That's an interesting yeah it's

it's it's a coincidence for sure if it's a coincidence and the

other mic maker in here man is with her out of Corrales.

I love the two of them. Together they hit 30% at

Kentucky downs this horses won three straight a black type

state bread race in in Florida then moved up to Indiana won the

Schuster mile. Comes back wins at Ellis Park in

the preview day going a mile and a quarter.

Going to have to go a little bit further here but I'm not worried

about it given that this is a distorted humor.

Cozon Sire Dinoformer on the damn side this is a horse that's

going to be able to get the distance 6 year old son of of

Cozon by the way which is interesting and and really

starting to find his stride this year it's it's a mic maker

special for sure with this one so interested to see if the six

miss me and Mr. C be part of the equation in the last of Kentucky

Downs on Saturday. All right, man.

Well, I think. I think that's all I got for

today. We'll have Eric Camelback, as I

mentioned on the show tomorrow with Dan at 10:40.

If you're listening anywhere near the Louisville area, we're

on 680 and on 1057 FM, you can stream us anywhere in the world.

ESPN louisville.com. If you have a smart speaker,

just have it play ESPN Louisville, especially on

Fridays between 10 and noon. We talk a lot of horses.

And so if you're listening to this, you probably enjoy the

shows on Friday as well. Kevin Kilroy will join us in his

normal spot at 11:00 tomorrow. We'll talk Kentucky Downs with

him as well. Well, good luck this weekend to

everybody. Zach, you got anything going on?

I I do want to say if if you live in Kentucky and you're not

Louie, who I know probably has already placed a sports bet,

place one for me. Texas.

Texas is never going to legalize it.

Never so stupid, man. I love the freedom states that

don't have freedom. It's really.

Exactly. So there you go.

I do remember. I mean, I'll see her like one

last story. Here.

I win. It was the last day of the

legislative session. I gave out phone number and so

if a legislator was dumb enough to put a phone number on a

website, I gave it out on the show.

And I think we just flooded them to the point that they were

like, I don't want to deal with us anymore.

It's just great. So good job by everybody calling

and and pestering and doing the thing.

So good job out of everybody as well.

So I'm also hoping in the next couple weeks we'll be able to

make some announcements about Breeders' Cup and what we're

doing. Hoping to, you know, maybe meet

some fans while we're out there. If that's something you want to

do in the LA area, please let us know.

We're even tossing around the idea of hanging out with Los

Ponies the Saturday night After Breeders' Cup just to do the

double. Yeah, dude, I'm serious about it

too. I really want to do that.

And so if you want to go hang out in that quarter horses, we

could do that as well. I'm Lou Irbo.

He's producer. Zach, we're going to get out of

here on another edition of the Horse Racing Happy hour.

Good luck in Kentucky Downs this week.

It only takes one. I have good news, only takes one

to make your weekend at Kentucky Downs.

But if you can't hit a sequence man, even the, I mean, even the

pick three Zach are are consistently well over 200 to 1.

So if you can get one of those, you'll be good to go.

I want to thank producer Zach for hanging out.

I really want to thank Mike Andolfo for not being here.

All right, Zach, play some music.

Let's get out of here. Look for the other episode this

weekend.

Horse Racing Happy Hour