NYRA's Matthew DeSantis stops by to preview State-bred Saturday at AQU.
TRYSPRINKLE.COM. Promo code HAPPYHOUR
NYRA's Matthew DeSantis stops by to preview State-bred Saturday at AQU.
TRYSPRINKLE.COM. Promo code HAPPYHOUR
Another edition of the horse racing happy hour Louie robot
with you this week we look it up at Long Island part of Long
Island western part at least for the races at aqueduct as far as
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We welcome in Matthew DeSantis looking down at his lap.
How dare you, how dare you during my commercial reads not
pay attention to this show. I joke.
Matthew Hari. But I'm doing.
Great. How's Rockaway?
You're all right. You're doing OK.
What's going? On I'm doing fantastic, man.
I'm getting ready to head out to Del Mar for the Breeders Cup.
But we got a great Saturday showcase up here at Aqueduct
featuring some wonderful New York breads, including some that
have really made waves against open company.
And yeah, it should be. It's a really solid, you know,
backstretch of the card with a ton of stakes races.
And plenty of money up for grabs for the jocks that do stay in
New York. Are you surprised there aren't
more guys that are that are Hey, yeah, like Louis Saez type or
something that, you know, a lot of time in in Kentucky, but a
lot of time in New York, too. All these races are, you know,
200,000 and up, You know, I mean, there's, there's a lot of
money, you know, Ricardo Santano junior could have a day, for
example. Yeah, exactly.
And I think, you know, I think that's why it was such big news.
Obviously when I Rad moves his tack to Kentucky and Jose did
obviously the year before, there's a real opportunity for
jockeys to come up here and make a little bit of bank.
And you see guys like Manny, Franco, Kendrick, Carmouche and
now Ricardo. And you know, obviously then the
big news is Flavian's keeping his tack up here over the
winter. And again, you talk about money
to be made. There's a lot of, you know,
$300,000 stakes races over the summer, over the winter, I
should say, up here. Then Flavian Pratt's going to be
on the favorite. Just about every single one of
them, so. It's plenty of.
Not a bad way to live. Yeah, plenty of $80,000 type of
maidens as well, and, you know, those sorts of things.
And so if you don't want to deal with the Gulf Stream traffic or,
you know, live near Cincinnati and run a tough way, certainly
Long Island offers that opportunity.
What else is going on up there? How's Belmont coming along?
Pictures look pretty great man. Belmont looks beautiful.
It is coming along and brace yourselves everyone.
New York construction is running on time and so it is.
I don't know if the unions are just if they selection year and
they know they up here they got to get going.
But yeah, it is. God bless them.
They are working and they are on time with everything.
So we are slated to kick off the new Belmont Park in fall 2026.
So it's going to be great. And Breeders' Cup, of course,
the year after that. I am beyond excited for the
Breeders Cup to be back in New York City.
I can't wait. I, I just, I think, you know, I
was looking at the Breeders Cup pre entries the other day and
the, the total number is about 35 or 40 less than when the
races are in Kentucky, for example.
And a lot of that is just, you know, turf racing in Europe that
ship all the way to California just a little bit more than what
they're used to going to the Midwest or even to the East
Coast. I think, I think Belmont sets up
to be a massive Breeders' Cup. I think being in New York City,
I think the proximity to Europe, the ease of which to get to that
airport, those airports, I just, I think that there's so many
opportunities that that Breeders' Cup sets up to be
pretty special. Well, I mean, all you have to do
is go back and watch the 2001 Breeders' Cup where tis now wins
it for America who D he beat, he beat Sake, the arc winner and
Galileo was in that race. I mean that was an incredible
field and it was again goes to that proximity.
I think whatever we might lose coming back from Japan because
that's going to be a real long haul for them coming over from
Asia, we pick up probably 2-3 fold in terms of who we pick up
coming over from Europe because it is, as you said, such commute
and you see it all the time over the summer at Saratoga and even
here, yes, you know, we saw Rebels Romance come here to
Aqueduct. You know, it's an easy trip to
make from Europe. So yeah, I'm so excited for that
and so excited for horse racing to be center stage and the Big
Apple. Yeah, no, it should be a lot of
fun. Really looking forward to that.
I the, the, the photos and every, every person I've talked
to from New York who's involved in the project, Matthew, the
first thing they say is fan experience, these angles, these
views, this kind of stuff. And it gets me excited that, you
know, in New York, in Baltimore, where we're getting not
renovations. These are not renovations.
These are starting over. Frankly, other than the tracks
themselves, the, the actual dirt course, what have you.
This is starting over. And I'm excited to see both of
those for sure. The second and third jewels of
our Triple Crown in our sport as well.
His name's Matthew DeSantis at field of Menace, of course, on
the socials. You can find him there.
He's up at naira bets. What's the promo du jour, my
friend? Promo du jour is Cup 25, so if
you use the promo code Cup 25 if you're not yet playing with
naira bets, you get a free $25 bet and up to a $200 deposit
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promos leading up to and obviously on the 2 days of the
Breeders Cup as well if you're already a member on Naira bets.
At naira bets on the socials you can follow him and Kaylee who
will be making the trip to Del Mar as I will next week.
You can find me Thursday, Friday and Saturday we will be
streaming blood horse at the Breeders Cup.
Sean Collins and I out there with a set of guests, different
folks hanging out with us. Looking forward to those as
well. Kornacki, if you're watching,
we're expecting you next Friday. All right, so the the Empire
Showcase Day, you and I are going to go through the pick 6.
Is there a horse in the early part of the car that you noticed
and you thought, wow, how are they 8 to 1, something like that
that stands out in an earlier race?
I not necessarily, I mean, I the odds kind of just came out, so
it's a little bit more of a struggle.
I do think the number 5V haul in race #4 which is the made of the
mistake on a mile on the dirt. Paul's an interesting horse.
I'm a big fan of trainer Johnny Ortiz and that's a horse's 8:00
to 1:00 in the morning line. And Johnny just I think does a
phenomenal job getting horses ready, putting them in the right
spots. And I I just think that one
could move forward coming out of Carlos David's barn and going
into John's now for the first time.
And you know, ran and won against open company last time
out at Delaware Park. But I just think this one makes
a lot of sense stretching out and is a nice price early in the
card. Starts that mandatory pay middle
pick five in the middle of an IRA cards there so if you want
to get aggressive there you go there's an 8 to one shot to get
you going that way. We're going to start with race 6
though at Aqueduct on Saturday. This is the Belmont at Aqueduct
meet and it is Empire Showcase Saturday.
So all of those things out of the way, I'm never going to say
them again. The Mohawk, it's Race 6.
This is for three and up on the turf we are going a mile and a
16th, and it's the Inner turf course for this one, $200,000 on
the line here. And can you explain to people
how horses qualify for the conditions of these races?
Do they have to be born in New York?
Do they have to be sired by a New York horse?
How does this work? Yeah, so it has to be sired by a
New York horse. So it they don't necessarily
have to be born in New York, though most of them are
overwhelmingly it is New York breds, but it is technically
just New York sired horses. And so, yeah, some different
conditions there. That is something to pay
attention to because there are specifically New York bred
horses and New York bred races. Like I said, the Venn diagram of
the two has a pretty strong amount of overlap, but there are
a couple distinctions you'll find from now and again.
The Mohawk, the first of Is it two or three named after tribes
that almost certainly do not get to have land there anymore,
alongside the Iroquois? Where'd you land in the Mohawk?
At least two, but I know the my well.
Speaking of two, I haven't landed on the number 2 for
trainer trainer Chad Brown and that is George Briggs.
This is a horse that is, if I'm not mistaken, 3 to one on the
morning line. Second choice behind.
Sounds like a plan for Horatio to pause and part of this is a
little bit of just projection honestly with this horse because
if you just look on the numbers sounds like a plan has run
faster figures but that far outside post concerns me a
little bit. I think George Briggs is going
to sit that ideal trip. Dylan Davis up on the mount for
trainer Chad Brown. This is a horse that you know
won in debut against State Bred Company back in November of last
year. Took some time off and Chad
thought it well enough for this horse to spot this one in the
Colonel. Liam ran 3rd that day against
Meat Boggo and Enter the Dragon and actually went off at like a
four to one price and so the fact this one has success
running against open company I think just really elevates this
horse. Then came back and won a New
York Stallion Series race and an off turf race in the slop going
a mile. I think this one just makes a
lot of sense. Now, the one thing you could say
is the horse has a lot of lines in terms of there's a lot of
time in between these starts. Only three career starts,
usually 4-5 months in between each one of them.
The good news is he seems to fire every single time they come
off of those. So I'm not too concerned about
that. If he can get 3 to 1 and the
fact that Dylan's riding, you might actually get 3 to 1.
If it was like a Flavian and Chad situation, you won't.
But I, I think you might get an honest price on this horse.
And again, if you just look at the numbers, maybe a little
light, but I think you're gonna see a big perk up in projection
now that this one gets back on the turf.
Sounds like a plan is the favorite here.
Has one back-to-back races, both of those with Lasix running
without Lasix in the Empire Showcase races here.
Hasn't won off Lasix since the maiden win.
Has been very close at other stakes for company though as
well. Sounds like a plan.
You almost certainly give him a chance as well, yes.
Oh, absolutely. I mean, especially the way
Ricardo Santana Junior has been riding up here.
I mean, winning 17% of those races.
And you also put Ricardo on a horse like this in terms of the
horse that likes to be out on the front end.
Ricardo's so good at that. And I think honestly, he's
taking advantage of some of the tendencies of New York turf
riders where they try to kind of really squeeze out these
incredibly slow fractions. And Ricardo's not afraid to put
a horse up front and say, all right, let's go.
And breaking from the far outside, he's going to have to
use some of that early speed to cross and clear a lot of of the
field. But I could see Ricardo setting
some pretty nice fractions here and just letting this horse get
nice, easy comfortable up front. So absolutely part of my pick 6
ticket for sure not. Not a not a horse.
You know, This is not a race where I would leverage too hard
on a single. We're going to see rhetorical in
the Breeders Cup and two races back in the West Point.
Con Man ran third in that race after running first in an
allowance at Saratoga over a mile and an eighth on the turf
there. 12 to one here. Is there any chance we get a
better performance from this horse than this?
But maybe that double digit number's worth it?
Yeah, I think it's certainly worth it.
And you know, the Cantor Mossy barn can kind of go hot and cold
sometimes, and so it's a little bit of reading the tea leaves.
But yeah, I mean, rhetorical looked phenomenal, winning a
great role. You know it just.
Absolutely obliterated that field with relative ease for
Will Walden down at Keeneland a couple weeks ago and so this one
listen last time out you can make a few excuses was wide
going into the first turn. You know just he was breaking
from that far outside 11 post position that day had a little
bit of a different rider. Maybe things just didn't work
out. You look to bounce back now
you're going back against state bread company.
The horse has figures good enough to certainly compete in
this race. Certainly that you know, 87
buyer 3 back would put this horse well in contention.
And if you're able to get that morning line price, I think a
horse absolutely worthy of thinking about.
You know, depending on how you want to structure your ticket,
maybe throw this horse in. If not, at the very least a
horse to use underneath, at the very least to enrich your exact
as trifectas. Not massive fields in the pick
5, but big enough to make it interesting. 8997 and 10 as we
go through the the last part of the card here.
Race 7 is back on the dirt here where this is the Empire
Distaff. This is a quarter $1,000,000 on
the line. Phillies and Mares 3 and up.
Of course. The track at Aqueduct is a mile
and an eighth and we are going a mile and an eighth in here.
This has a couple of horses that if people, you know, are
watching up at Saratoga, the summer might, might know.
Viamente, of course, is in here for Joe Sharp and Kendrick
Carmouche. One the Fleet Indian up there at
Saratoga. Where'd you land in this one?
Yeah, listen, you have a favorite like Bernie Takes
Charge, but I just that one ran so poorly in the personal lens
and I just, I'm always afraid of what that does to a horse after
the fact. And so I landed on AK Cup, the
number 4. That's a horse I really like.
So again, kind of a second choice horse.
One of the things I like about some of these races and, and
you'll see this honestly throughout the the sequence is I
like some of the new faces that are emerging on the scene, some
of these horses that are a little bit more lightly raced.
You kind of know what you get with a lot of these New York
breds that you've seen run in some cases 2-3 years now.
And so when you see a horse like K-Cup kind of pop up and run
some big spots, you go, OK, this might be a horse that you can,
you know, move forward now. And I think Jorge Abreu has done
a great job with this daughter of Instagram and, you know, was
able to win a stakes race 2 back in the up at Saratoga, Faded a
little bit, got beat by Villamente last time out.
But I think this one's able to bounce back and it is been
working nicely for Abreu. And again, you're getting a
little bit of a price and a horse that I think can continue
on an upward trajectory and has proven to win against Steaks
Company. And I think the stretch out,
listen, that last time out was the first time going a mile in
an 8 and didn't run poorly. But I think you're going to get
better conditioning this time around doing that trip a second
time. Who would you lean on here if if
the prices stay where the morning line is, would you
rather have cake up at 3:00 to 1:00 or Valente at 4:00 to 1:00?
The prices stay where they are. I think Viamente at 4:00 to 1's
a good one. I just think that horse is going
to take some money, but that's just but yeah, at their morning
line prices, I think both are are good plays and and yeah,
Viamente probably a slightly better value at 4:00 to 1:00.
On the inside is a Sweet Princess, a winner for Linda
Rice in a $40,000 claimer. This just feels like a a Linda
Rice kind of special. She got a shot at it.
She knows Aqueduct well, at least.
She does and she's got Jose Lozano back aboard and Jose's
healthy again and and that's usually her number one guy this
time of year. And so certainly you won't, you
never can take those Linda horses.
I mean, that is one thing if you play the late pick five at
Aqueduct I there are times where I will look at a horse and go, I
don't know if I like this horse, but I'm not getting boomed out
of the sequence by Linda and I will just throw a Linda horse in
and the next thing you know, hey, $27.00 winner and.
You're like, all right. I look like a genius, I guess,
you know, So, you know, listen, she this is what she can do,
though. She's always good at moving
horses off the claim. And she's what makes Linda so
effective is she knows where to spot her horses very well.
She understands what she has with them and she's able to put
them in the spots where they're going to be able to succeed.
And honestly, this idea of like stretching a horse out a lot of
times is something she does and does very, very well.
I think there's going to be a bit of a pace battle up front in
this one with K-Cup Fan Mente. We mentioned I think Swedish
Princess is going to try to go as well, so it'll be interesting
to see how the distep plays out there on Saturday.
He's Matthew DeSantis. I'm Luribo.
This is the horse racing happy hour.
The Iroquois is up next. It is for Phillies and mares 3
and up. It is Race 8.
It is $200,000 and they're going 6 1/2 on the dirt course there.
Who'd you land on in the Iroquois?
So this is the first of two singles for me in this sequence.
And so I really like obviously the favorite in this spot, the
number three, my main squeeze. This is just a horse that's
really hard to get around when you're running against New York
competition. And if you look at what she's
done against New York breds throughout her career, it's been
phenomenal. And and I think she's only lost
once in debut and then won her first time in against stakes
company. Otherwise, she's just kind of
had her way against New York breads and obviously has gotten
graded stakes victories in the process as well against open
company. You know, obviously last time
out, not great, you know, was pulled up and was eased and was
walked off. And the Grade 1 ballerina hasn't
been seen since, But if you look, she can bounce back from
poor efforts. You know, she didn't run
particularly well in the Grade 2 Chicago back at Churchill Downs.
And what did she do? She backed it up with running a
100 by her speed. Figure in that Johnstone next
time out. So I think Mike Baker knows what
he has with her. She's a reliable horse, always
has been. And I think she just stands over
this field in terms of class. And again, when you're putting
together pick six, you're going to have to go skinny in some
places. And I think she's one of the
more reliable favorites in this entire sequence.
Do you think in in the late sequence is a question I try to
ask every guest that comes on for handicapping purposes at
least is is this the horse to beat if we're going to get a big
payout in the late pick 5? Will this be the most singled
horse in the sequence? I guess essentially is what I'm
asking. I get yeah, yeah, yeah, No, I, I
think, I think this or the Iron Dome race, which is the other
race where I think you could potentially single.
I think, you know, obviously if you're going to zig, this is
kind of one of the races to do it.
And, and, and listen, it makes sense because you have a
favorite who literally got walked off last time out.
So, you know, from a standpoint of what's the form looking like?
And hey, maybe we need to be a little bit worried about this
certainly understandable choice. You have some nice horses in
this race as well. So yeah.
But for me, I just man, she's just been so reliable and just
so dominant against this type. And I've seen her bounce back
before and I I think she can do it again.
Stonewall Star's coming off an unbelievable layoff, frankly,
since December of last year. I think if this horse were in
more normal form and, and kind of training and doing everything
else it she would be really interesting. 5 for 9 at at
Aqueduct flatter on the sire side.
I know she's 5 and you shouldn't talk, you know, breeding lines
when when the horses are that old.
But frankly, we know the distance isn't an issue.
What do you make of her off the layoff here?
Is she maybe not a winner, but can she get a piece here?
Absolutely. I love Stonewall Star.
I huge fan of this horse. And so and just as I was talking
about earlier, a big fan of Johnny Ortiz.
I'm a big fan of Horatio Depos, how he runs his barn, how he
spots his runners, the whole 9 yards.
You know, this is a horse that has numbers good enough to
absolutely pick up a piece in this and it's just a matter of
conditioning and how much this horse is ready to go off the
bench. But you know, you, you see
Horatio doesn't really work as horses fast and you see this
one's been kind of easing back into things.
I like the pair of five furlong works two of the last three
times out and Dylan Davis again when Dylan's aggressive and can
get this one in a good spot early on in the race draws a
little further outside. I I think there's a lot to like
there Was Stonewall Star a bit of a price?
I think she just makes sense in, especially in state company, I
think she just does and she's made, she made a lot of, hey,
made a lot of money frankly in these kinds of races going over
$170,000 in earnings just last year.
Race 9, of course, we'll start. Where are we?
We are at late. Pick three.
All righty. Goodness gracious.
I should probably mention that you're Matthew to say this, and
I'm Lou Rabbo. How about that?
Race 9, the Ticonderoga is back on the turf.
We're going to the outer turf course for this one mile on the
16th. Here again, Phillies and Mares 3
and up to $100,000 on the line here.
What do we, you know, we should do, Matthew?
You you should start a campaign to tearing down Aqueduct in a
couple of months to name the turf courses after not great
people and then just RIP them down in a couple of months.
But like make yeah, make Chris have to say and they're going
out onto the, I don't know, insert person who's an Eric
Adams turf course. Yes.
No, yeah, no. Fantastic.
Yeah, I and I used to teach political science, so we'll just
go right there. We're headed out to the Eric
Adams Turf course for racing. Like Chris is always so
positive. You have to like, be positive
about Eric Adams. Oh, yeah, I don't know, a little
race here. Yeah.
Sorry, Chris. Sorry.
Mr. Griffin are. You you do bring up a good point
though. Will the turf courses?
I don't know, maybe I, I sound ignorant saying this.
I don't know if the turf courses do Belmont will be named and if
So what they will be named after?
And then what's the Tepeena course going to be named?
Thank you. We we've had much fun with the
with the bougie turf course, the melon turf course at Saratoga.
It's one of my favorite jokes on this show.
It's not even close. The bougie turf, when they go to
the other turf course, I'm like, what do we do?
Why are we at Saratoga? What are we doing?
We're here. Why are we slumming?
It, what are we doing? The Melon Turf course is right
there. Be better.
Race 8 is Race 9 is the Ticonderoga.
We're going back to the turf. Is this your spread Racing
secrets? It is, it absolutely is.
And I really like the number 5 moonage Daydream.
This is a horse I've always been a big fan of, but you know, this
is one who got it was on such a roll there for a while back last
year. Now it's finally third back in
the form cycle from a pretty significant layoff and you know,
obviously didn't run well last time out, but that was against
open company and the Athenia, you know, finished second just
by a little bit to awesome check 2 back and that was off that
long layoff. I think he put Manny up on this
one. If I can get seven to two, I'll
be thrilled with this horse. I just have a huge I really,
really like this horse and while this is a very spready race, I
definitely like this horse. Maybe my strong one of my
stronger opinions in terms of who I think is going to win this
race. Five year old daughter and candy
ride a four year old daughter. Medelson will break next to her.
Awesome check. I assume she'll get most of the
money out. Yeah, an awesome check.
Listen. Nice horse, she.
May or may not owe me money, but the bottom line is this horse.
I've lost some check out of this.
You understand me? You know what?
It's the awesome Check Turf course.
Get it done. Chris Griffin, You talk to
people. Where's El Bodwy?
Where is she? Get it done.
Listen, I love awesome check. I swear the one time I got off
of this horse she won and I'm like.
Typical. And so.
But here's the thing about awesome check runs.
Honest every single time. And so it's a frustrating horse
because she doesn't win a ton these days, but man, she's
always in the exact and trifecta and she scares you if you're
going to leave her off your ticket.
And so it's like this kind of conundrum of, well, what do you
do for a horse that doesn't win as much as you would like?
Do you include this one on a sequence or do you try to get
around this one? I mean it.
And and maybe you try to go for a bigger price.
And, and I know a lot of people are going to go to the outside
horse like Brock Gardini, 6 to one on the morning line.
This is a horse who has never really fulfilled that initial
potential we saw because I was at Saratoga when she broke her
maiden and debut debut. That was one of the more
dazzling turns of foot that I've seen from just any horse in
debut. Doesn't matter if they're New
York breds or not. And she's never quite gotten
back to that in terms of just like, but she takes money
because people remember those types of performances and it's 6
to 1. I don't know, maybe a little bit
of an interesting price to consider.
Maybe she can put it all together.
Not a horse that he's on very often, but spinning colors will
break from the rail. She's been in the try 4 out of
six runs this year. Has never won on the turf course
at Aqueduct. But do you think this daughter's
hard spun? Do you think she got shot here?
Absolutely would not leave this horse off any ticket at all.
And again. Is she the most likely to get
the lead as well? Just, you know, break from the
rail, just go for it kind of thing.
I think so. I mean, that's where Dylan needs
to be aggressive and just go. I mean, this is what the horse
wants to do. That's what the horse does best.
And you know, now you're going a mile and a 16th.
Made it a little bit more going a mile and an eighth.
But I think he cut back that half for a long.
Makes all the difference against this type of company and would
not shock me at all to see Dylan wire this field because you can
gate to wire up here, especially with the way they run these turf
routes. A lot of times with the way
they, as I mentioned earlier, the way they divvy out
fractions, horses can get real comfortable up front and then
suddenly they got plenty in the tank coming from home.
Yeah, I think she'll be OK on that awesome check turf course
there. So I think she'll be I.
Love. It race 10 is the Empire
classic. This is essentially there be
Breeders' Cup Classic for New York breads there at Aqueduct,
quarter million bucks on the line, just like the Remsen
starts at the same line where it will finish one mile and an
eighth on the dirt. 3 year olds and up.
Of course the New York sired horses in here and you mentioned
that this might be the other spot where you get pretty
skating. Yeah, I really like Iron Dome
and I think it's hard not to Afterwards you saw Bracket
Buster do the next time out where Bracket Buster really
flattered that form from the Oklahoma Derby by coming back
and just absolutely demolishing as as he should have the, oh,
I'm sorry, I'm talking to Mr. Omaha, I should say.
Came back and absolutely demolished that Oklahoma Classic
Cup field and more importantly, backed up the buyer speed
figure. Ran a 95, the same number as
Iron Dome in that Oklahoma Derby.
Came back and ran a 94 that Oklahoma Classic Cup.
So good to see that number was validated by another runner in
the race. And then, as I mentioned, kind
of the class of bracket Buster being in this field, you know,
listen, Ricardo Santana junior does take over for Jose Ortiz,
but Ricardo's been riding so well lately.
This horse likes to kind of sit the perfect sort of a trip just
tracking the pace 3 for five, winning at this distance and a
man. This horse took a little while
to figure it out, but once this one stepped in against open
company or against state company on a fast track, it just has not
looked back. And I think that second place is
last time out. It really flatters the form.
So I'm a big fan of this horse. Hard to get around this one.
And like I said, you got to go sing Skinny somewhere, and this
seems like a really logical place to do it.
Iron Dome over three in Oaklawn, moved to Saratoga, broke his
maiden amongst state bread company there, and since then
has won two of his races, including the Albany and Black
type at Saratoga at the distance before running in that
aforementioned Oklahoma Derby and running a second in that one
behind Cracker Buster. No shame in any of that stuff.
Is there another horse in here that makes, you know, just a
bunch of sense? Is it a, is it a bank frenzy?
A horse like that that does have 9 finishes in the top two of ten
runs at Aqueduct. Could it be a bank frenzy?
Yeah, I think, listen, Bank frenzy makes a ton of sense
there as a horse that is always honest.
And, and Bank Frenzy, here's the thing about that horse is you
don't have to worry if it's rain or shine.
That horse can get the job done. Sloppy track, fast track can do
it on both. I I will say I think a horse
like Doctor Kraft, we talked about the canter Mossy's a
little bit earlier. Doctor Kraft's a horse at 8:00,
the one on the morning line, a little bit interesting.
That's horse I'd probably just use underneath.
You know, if I'm going to go with a short price up top, just
try to pair it in an exacta or something like that.
But that's one who again, the last couple of times out does
have to switch off Lasix. No two ways about that.
That has to that. That's a step that this horse
needs to take. But those last few races have
been pretty solid numbers and certainly enough to throw this
horse into contention at an 8 to 1 price.
Doc Sullivan will break it from the inside 3 to one in David
Aragona's morning line there at Naira.
Last saw him in the Four Go and the Bosberg before that though
did win the Morrissey. It's 7 furlongs at Saratoga.
Is this distance good for this horse?
Is this a little bit too much of an ask?
Here we see Curlin, you know, it's a, it's a Solemnani, it's a
Giant's Causeway in the damn side.
I know it's a four year old, so we kind of know what this horse
is. I'd be a lot more comfortable, I
think, at A1 turn mile. But did this horse get a piece?
I absolutely can get a piece just on class potentially you
mentioned just has been facing significantly tougher company
the last few times out and. How dare you lose the Book of
Dano. I mean, how, how dare you, Doc
Sullivan, use the Book of Dano at Saratoga.
That's all ridiculous. Hey, what a terrible.
Yeah, yeah, and in the Vosper, I mean, Patriot Spirit's a nice
horse and and Scotland and yeah, I mean, those are nice horses.
So listen, it absolutely makes sense in this spot.
The distance is the biggest question mark though, and and it
just I wonder if at this distance, this horse is just a
bit of a stayer and just does it.
They're they're maybe so worried about stretching this horse out
that it just kind of doesn't pass anybody.
And so I'm I'm a little bit worried about that We'll see.
I mean the inside rail is going to be able to save all the
ground. No two ways about it should sit
more of a pocket trip in all likelihood mid pack.
But you know, I I, like I said the mile and an eighth is what
scares me a little bit in this particular spot and the fact
it's been a minute since this horse was in the winner's
circle. So you have to go back a little
ways. You obviously won that
Morrissey, but outside of that, you really have to go back to
what, June 2024 to find the last win.
So the winds don't come in bunches a lot of times.
Iron Dome ends the Grand Slam wager.
Would you single Iron Dome in the Grand Slam wager?
Yeah, I would. Okay, all right, well you have
two singles in your pick six that will be posted in naira
bets this weekend. I certainly will, yes.
Okay, okay, All right, yeah, which I gotta spread these other
ones, Louis, I gotta spread. If we're all the green stuff we
gotta spread, Louis, Yeah, I get it.
And the closer here is a maiden on the turf.
Can you kind of run back before just so we have we have these
sort of on record for whatever that means on this ridiculous
show. But as far as your, your more
spread races here in the later part of the sequence in the
Distaff, obviously you're going to go very, very short there.
I imagine just a couple there. Yeah, in the distaff.
I'll probably just go cake cake up and Bernie takes charge.
I might and viamente I think those are the three that I'm
going to include in the ticket in the Iroquois, I'll single my
main squeeze in the Ticonderoga. That's where spinning colors
awesome. Check moonage Daydream, even
Brock Nardini. You know, I have to see if you
know if there's any scratches that maybe change the.
Complexity. Race.
You know what? You know what?
I figured it out. Whoever wins in Ticonderoga,
name the turf course after them. Done.
Let's go. Done.
Done. I love it, I love it.
Five months, anyway. Brock Nardini Yeah, Yeah, that's
great. Oh, man.
All right, let's go to the closer.
We're going to talk Maidens. These are the fun ones.
I love, I love, love, love when when Ira throws us a close out
like this, a mile on the turf course there for maidens 3 and
up that were full of course in New York State, as I mentioned,
a mile on the turf course. Here is the turf course.
I got to remember this now the is that turf course?
Is it a mile turf course? Is it a start safe spot in the
same spot kind of thing? Yes, Mile turf course, Yeah.
There we go. All right, who do you have in
the the maiden to close car? I'm going to go with the horse
coming off the layoff. I'm going to go to the outside.
And I really like the number 9 New York Scrappy.
I think an appropriate name to close out a car, car Empire Day.
So this is 1 from Mark Cassie that, you know, has been
knocking on the door before 3 finishes in the top three and
six career starts. But you can cross the line
through two of those because they were on the dirt.
And so this one is, you know, like I said, acquitted itself
well, is coming back from a long layoff, has not run since
October 2024, but love to see the works that this one's been
turning and getting ready. A couple of bullet drills coming
into this one. I think he's got the screws
tightened and Dylan Davis aboard.
So I like this one quite a bit. In this spot.
You're getting a little bit of a price of seven to two because of
the layoff. Asking for a friend makes sense
here tomorrow. Oh, I, I, I absolutely, I think
so. I think, you know, this is
again, because you have the two singles, I think you can go
spreddy here. But listen, if Mike Maker's
going long on the turf, yeah, you're going to I'm not going to
get boomed by Mike Maker in this sort of a spot, especially with
Ricardo up in same sort of thing as awesome or couple of other
hosts that we talked about with Ricardo, you get Ricardo up on
the front end, man, he's a tough jockey to track down.
So I that's a, that's a tough horse and I'd imagine I'm going
to be going 3-4 deep in this last leg of the sequence.
All right, we'll tell people again about the the sign up, the
sign up incentives, especially as we get closer to Breeders'
Cup. Absolutely.
Well, if you're not yet a player on Naira Bets, use the code Cup
25. You get a $25 free bet and you
get up to a $200 deposit match bonus.
If you're already a member on Naira Bets, we got a ton of
great hit and split options, win bonuses, exact bonuses lined up
for you for the Breeders Cup, so definitely want to make sure to
check it all out and opt in. I've never asked you this
before, but I'm going to assume something about Matthew
DeSantis, which is that if I bring up Simpsons jokes, you
will get them correct. Yeah.
Absolutely. Yeah.
When you say Cup 25, all I think of is is Marge shopping for
protective equipment for a football team for for Bart and
the guy at the sporting goods store trying to get her to say
the word cup because she didn't want to.
So anyway, Cup 25 with our friends at Naira Bets.
And then they stayed around practice and they test out the
equipment, something we all did as young men.
It is what it is. Oh, man.
All right. Well, you're out there Wednesday
or you going to our, like, Turf Writers Award dinner or
anything? You going to watch Steve
Anderson get an award or anything?
Like that I am. I'm not a Speaking of the
bougie, Speaking of the bougie turf course, I'm not a bougie
writer. I'm just slumming it with the
other people. And no, I will actually be out.
I'll probably treat you trying to like tag along with Kaylee
and Acacia to the Hoity Twitty sales event, Good night place at
Del Mar on Wednesday. They have the connections.
I'm just some, you know, big nosed goomba who shows up and
you know, I agree. I agree these things, but no,
Wednesday. I you know what I like to do
Wednesday, Louis on All honesty, I like to get out to the track
and I like to just get my sight lines.
When nobody's there, I'm with you.
And, and I just like to get my bearings and go, OK, this is
where I want to be for this. This is where I want to be for
that. So I'm not showing up when
people are there and freaking out about like, oh, where should
I get? Where's the best place to
record? Where's, where's the best place
to do this? I like to get all that stuff
figured out. So I'll do that on Wednesday and
then Thursday, be out there early in the morning for the
workouts like you will be, I'm sure.
And then Friday, Saturday. Traveling W for workouts is the
goat because it's like oh I got to get up at 4:00.
No, I don't. It's called 7:00 Eastern Time.
Happy to go to 4:30. Not a big deal.
And then just keep that clock. I'm sure you're like me, right?
Your your alarm just goes off at 4:00 on the left oak.
Right, we just no, it's no problem at all.
Last year the the best moment last year was I get the media
shuttle over at like 445 or something like that and it's me
and 27 Japanese all covering forever young.
And I'm like, this is my people. Like, let's go.
It was it was fun because our you, you saw where we were on
the paddock last year. We're gonna be in the same spot
this year. And next to us was Claudia and
Ramon doing E Pico and next to them was Nippon TV.
And so so it was like whenever they were on air, which was
never when I was there. And then they're only during the
races next to us. So I'm doing a radio show next
to the the paddock at at Del Mar at 7:00 AM because it's 10:00 AM
Eastern, right? So I'm going to come out there.
It's me and like like 10 people walk by the show, something like
that. Spectacular.
So yes, now you're right, not early.
It's worth it for sure. All right, Matthew, well, I will
see you next week at the bougie sale or not.
If you could get a Acacia for our shows I would appreciate
that because I don't need to talk to you anymore.
I'll, yeah, I'll see what I can do.
I'll pull. I'll call it a few favors.
I have Kaylee's number. We can do that.
But yeah, all right, All right, we'll see you next week.
All right. Thanks so much, Lee.
Take care. No problem there you go.
Well he is Matthew DeSantis and joined us up from up there at
Anaira Bets. Really appreciate him jumping
on. He's been a great friend of the
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happy hour. We'll be back at it next week.
Look for a ton of stuff on our socials as part of the Breeders
Cup and Tuesday night on all of Blood Horses social media.
You can catch me and Barry Spears, our annual Breeders' Cup
seminar live here at Martini Italian Bistro in Louisville.
Next time you see me, we'll be in a seminar about the Breeders
Cup and then we'll be at the Breeders Cup.
Have a great weekend everybody.
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