Fairgrounds Saturday | Kevin Kilroy

Derby Trail continues tomorrow and it will head a two

fairgrounds where we will find our friend Kevin Kilroy at Trust

Your Luck on the socials. Of course, love bringing him in

this time of year and we will very, very certainly be talking

to him the next three or four months or so.

Kevin, good morning, man. How are you?

Louis, I'm fantastic. Are you the sun is out.

I'm, you know, I, I take the things in life that are given to

me, Kevin, and that is one of them.

I'm getting sun this morning. Our studio has a very nice big

window here on Cardinal Blvd. and, and I, I'm feeling the sun

today, so I'm good. How about you?

Is it sunny down there? How you guys do weather wise?

What are we? What are we looking at this

weekend? Yeah, the temperature dropped

just a touch, but yeah, but not, not nothing bad.

I mean, like the sun is up and we're going to be, I think, 60°

today. Tomorrow it's going to be sunny

and 70s. I'm with you, man.

When the sun is shining on my face, I'm smiling.

And when I'm the sun is shining on my face and I'm walking

around the backside, I'm smiling huge.

And that's what I've been doing this morning.

So life is good. Kevin Kilroy with us, he's down

there at the fairgrounds. They'll have a nice card for you

tomorrow. Late pick 5 starts with rate is

8 and the tenacious we'll get to that in just the second.

But for Someone Like You, Kevin, you know, you're going to be

working at Churchill over Derby week and all of those things.

And obviously a race like the gun runner on that path.

I find the fairgrounds round, especially the early races to be

very indicative of who's at least going to be in the

starting gate for the Kentucky Derby.

Do you find yourself and go ahead and include your personal

biases here? You know, after the Breeders

Cup, do you find yourself looking to to New Orleans more

than other places or are you still looking around Oakland,

Gulfstream, etcetera? In terms of gambling, basically

no, but in. Terms of, you know, where you're

trying to find those, those major contenders for the Derby?

Because I'll be honest, this time of year I'm looking at the

fairgrounds, yeah. Yeah, yeah.

So last year was a little bit of a let down year and where the

the good horses turned out to be great magnitude, you know,

looked fantastic. But he had that set back and

chunk of gold has has done good stuff, you know, in front of

second in the Clark or put the third in the end.

He got nailed per second did he? But but last year was a little

bit of a disappointment. I mean, I think looking at of

course, I'm looking here. I'm looking everywhere.

All all you know, if you tell me there's a Durban contender

running in New Mexico, I'll go. I'll go check that out.

You know what I mean? I mean, wherever is good.

But it does seem the more and more the jocks coming here, Oak

Lawn Fairgrounds, those are the two spots you really want to pay

close attention to. Were you the surprised pleased

at how salty this this this tenacious came up?

Oh. God, the tenacious man, this is

a. Race.

It is a race. It's a serious race.

I don't know what to do with it. I mean, it's just like you can

get excited about every course in here except for except for

one, right? Like that?

Yeah, maybe #1 dude on the outside just over 7 this year.

I mean, maybe. Yeah, right.

That's the one that's like, I don't think that course is going

to win, but the rest of them are big time contenders and you

know, you look at the field and you're like, Oh yeah, not this

boy, Sir Grayland. You know, like these are serious

horses, but they really haven't proven themselves against steaks

company in a serious way. So they're going to have to

class up, but they really feel like they already have in terms

of the fields they space and and etcetera, etcetera.

So yeah, it's what do you are we going to trust just a touch?

I mean, how much money is he? It's a great question, right.

No, I think what is he was he 2 to 5 right by by post time?

And look, there are other horses in here that if something goes

right for them or the local connection on the ground there,

like a Ben Curtis can ride San Ciro, whose last win, by the

way, was a mile to 16th on the dirt at Fairgrounds.

He's going to be 25 to one or something because he's won for

seven this year. But that win was in fact at at

Fairgrounds. But that's why this race is

interesting because if you either have to go with just just

a touch and be done with it or I mean, because The thing is, he's

going to be two to five. What is not this boy going to go

off at? Because I don't think that 2 to

one number. Is it based just on on buyer

figures there or like what's that Bill based on you think?

I think it's based off of Jose Ortiz.

I mean, I think, you know, very Bagley, sorry, not been Tagley

Diliberto, our morning line odds maker.

It'd be a little bit savvy there because where Jose Ortiz goes,

the money goes for sure. I mean that's one of the biggest

sort of things that the market looks at, you know is where,

where is Jose, where is Paco? You know, for this meet, I mean,

he doesn't have a stakes when he's got 2 very close seconds.

Not this boy I love. I don't like him 2 to 1.

And I think he's he's a part of the pace.

And I think if you're going to get away from a forward horse,

like just a touch, you kind of got to to look for somebody

coming from off of it. And there's we'll take it.

He went out of form after looking fantastic in the Hanson

for Dallas ran in the you know, the the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile

didn't didn't do all that much blinkers on late 6 back on

Dallas, you know, in New Orleans.

I mean he's worth a look stowaway.

He's he's another one just doesn't have the class lines and

the stakes win. So the three 4-5 and six.

I think I think it's who I'm going to cover in the in my

multi race wagers. Comoro Vito Amoyde just.

A warrior man, I know. He's Godzilla, right?

Japanese bread for Diadoro. He can Sprint, he can go long,

he's on the rail, Paco's on him. I think he makes it a very

interesting race in terms of just a touch and not this boy

are going to be working out there and Paco's going to going

to, you know, going to do something that's going to cost

it to be a little bit of a crazy race in terms of either going

fast or pushing the pace, prompting it faster.

I think we got to take a little bit of an off the pace approach

to this one. But but I wouldn't be surprised

if anybody won this race except for.

Paco Lopez has hit the board in 39 of his 78 races, exactly 50%

since he's moved to fairgrounds, has won fifteen of those races

at 19%. Coming into this, when we're

talking with Kevin Kilroy, he's down there at fairgrounds in New

Orleans. A texture says sunny and 70 that

doesn't just hang up the phone. The Diliberto Memorial will be

race 900K on the line here. We're going a mile on the 16th

on the turf. Male side of things, the three

and up, Kevin. Always an interesting race,

frankly, every year on this card.

And another nice field here of nine.

Higante in here. We see Emmanuel in here.

Talk about salty races. We've got another one here.

Yeah, You know, I think, I think that.

Yeah, Aspen says. Are we saying Higante?

I like that. Higante sounds more right than

Higante. Let's say Higante.

Sorry, I don't know if I mean you're not.

He got back in the form, you know, at Remington Park just

didn't translate away from here last year.

So it might be a situation where you just kind of got to be in

the right field, got to be in the right jurisdiction, outside

posts holding. A piece.

Lasix, all that sort of stuff. I think we can beat him in here.

Louis, I think we can beat him. I mean, the horse I love the

most in the Dil Alberto is Kapuna.

I'm sure you watched that. 15 to one, longest price of the board,

winning November 7th at Churchill.

Down just a second start on the turf, claimed by Flying P and

Norm Cassie for $100,000. The first thing they do is move

him to the turf and he responded in a big way.

I mean, he settled, he relaxed. That wasn't his style on the

dirt and he just put in a huge stretcher on Gallup, that huge.

He draws perfectly. It seems like Ben Curtis has

jockey had some options and here he is on kapuna.

I think he's the one to get a little bit skinny with it here.

That being said, how good the legalized look on the turf for

his first time for three to go, So it'd be a second time on the

turf. Second time rowing?

Yep. Yeah, second time rowing too.

They went fast. They went super fast.

There's no way that they should have should held on, they should

have came back and and he didn't.

So he's interesting. Theisman has been fantastic.

I'd rather be blessed. We've seen what he can do.

He won them you knees. He needs Lasix like he bled and

in the Louisville and he's just trying to go too far.

So if you wanted to get a little crazy, I think I'd rather be

blessed or legalized could have a a nice little look to him.

But Kippuna for me. Yeah, I love Theismann in this

spot. I think Peter is tipping his

hand a little bit because that horse could run for 1/4 million

bucks on Sunday and only have to ship from the Thurber Training

Center over to Turfway and is instead going down to

Fairgrounds. I think he's tipping his hand

that he thinks he's got a horse here.

Three straight wins for that one.

Ellis Park, Churchill and Keeneland.

The The Forum has traveled all those races are over two turns.

I, I like it very much. I get Luis Saez.

I don't know that I'll get 6 to 1, but I think that horse is

going to try to be on the lead alongside legalized and I think

we'll simply be better late in that one.

We go to the late pick 3. The Untappable is the Oaks Prep

on the card tomorrow at Fairgrounds?

We're talking with Kevin Corey from down there at Trust Your

Luck on the socials. The Untappable, a $100,000 purse

for two year old Phillies going a mile, 70 yards down there on

the dirt. And this is one of those races

where everybody's 5 to 2 up to about 6:00 to 1:00 and there's

eight horses and all of them have a shot.

That's essentially where we're at.

Yeah, it's, it's not the strongest field in terms of

thinking like, is this a Kentucky Oaks winner in here?

I don't necessarily think so. Possibly pashmina.

I mean, pashmina seems to me to be the standout.

And here Rob addresses Constitution, Philly red, white

and blue racing. She she she ran so well in her

first trial, you know, going two turns may track her second race.

Curtis up on her just handled her like she was a serious,

serious horse. And she she raced like that.

I mean, she was she was under wraps to the wire.

She ran a big figure. I think she'll I think she'll

improve off that race. It's a tougher field.

But Hashmina, maybe she could be the Kentucky Oaks runner here,

you know, funny Bunny, she's also entered and I think it's

race 3 on the same card and I'm just by the barn and it wasn't

there yet. But talking to the assistant,

they're not. They're not sure where she's

going to go yet. So hopefully, hopefully,

hopefully I'll have a little scoop later on.

But she's doing well enough. I thought it was a foregone

conclusion she'd be in the Maiden, but she's doing well

enough that that they're seriously considering her well.

Who did he have? Who did he have?

Last year he debuted in a stakes going 6 furlongs and she ended

up being an Oaks horse. Oh, well, that was Is that

simply joking? The one who actually ran in the

Oaks, who wasn't. Simply joking or I, I can't

remember now. Joking.

Yeah, yeah, yeah. So I mean, it would not be, it

would not surprise me if, if when ran that horse in this spot

tomorrow, it would not surprise. Me.

No, not at all. And he won this race with her

lap, you know. So that was, yeah, he, he's got

some serious 2 year olds. There's no, no, no doubt about

it. They're going to see three of

them, I think. I believe that they all have a

good shot on the card tomorrow. Your sense miss call is running

at fairgrounds, yes. Yes, she, she's, she's running

here. She's looked good.

She had a big excuse. I mean, she had a hip check at

Churchill. Last time in.

The next, you don't often see that, you know, that's tough,

that's tough, that's going to, you know, cost some stress and

make it hard to run. So she she ran better than it

looks there on the 23rd and. You said she was running in this

one. I went back and watched that

race last night and she was flying at the end of that thing.

If she gets a better start at all, she's a serious contender

here. I asked Kenny.

I was like, Kenny, when did Brian just think that she didn't

have a shot after that beginning?

He's like, well, if he didn't ride her like he was, he was

trying to get her to win the race, you know, until the

stretch, he said Brian said that he thought that maybe she was

hurt, you know, with such a big blow out of the gates.

And then he realized that no, she was not at all.

And and he got her rolling. So I think she's a little bit

sneaky in there. But three to 1 morning line

tells me that maybe not. So I don't know who will get a

price on pashmina. Is is my definitely my play in

here. But miss call, funny Bunny, have

a look. We're going to beat Hit Parade,

aren't we? I think this is the one where

Jose Ortiz just wins it. We all go, all right, Jose

Ortiz. All right, all right.

Yeah. Tom Davis.

All right. Yeah.

Yeah, I know those guys. I've heard of that before, but

yeah, that one coming out of Delta Downs, of course I got it.

By the way, that is such a classic Mcpeak horse.

Missed call, $23,000 purchase, Daughter of Silver State.

If he gets that horse of the Oaks, I mean, it's just another

job by Kenny Mcpeek. The gun rider will be the Derby

prep tomorrow at Fairgrounds. Talking with Kevin Kilray at

Trust Your Luck on the socials. He's down there.

He'll be on the track feed tomorrow.

So are you doing you doing paddock stuff down there too?

They got you doing that stuff Still putting microphone in

front of people's faces. No.

Good, I'm just kidding. All right, so it's a mile and a

16th of the dirt. Yeah, it's way too much going

on. 2 year olds, of course, 10 points on the Derby trail,

$100,000 on the line. And this is the true wide open

race. If the lines maker is correct

here, 7 to 2 is the favorite. Lots of horses essentially up to

the six to one. Kevin informed me yesterday that

Arabia Wild will not run tomorrow.

A the son of Gun Runner that's at the field in the Gun Runner.

So who'd you land on instead? Yeah, we're hearing that one of

the three is going to scratch Arabia wild.

Maybe Barry connected won't run at the beginning of the week.

Kenny was thinking maybe not as the week goes on, the father

said, well, you know what, he definitely fits.

I think it's the opposite equation in terms of the

untappable. I'm not sure if we've got an

Oaks horse in that race. I think we've got a couple Derby

horses in this race. The heat fishery, a big, big

colt who I think has a lot of development still left.

Liberty National, another monster for Kenny Mcpeak.

He has been, he has been quite the looker in the morning.

Mr. Punch, I think he impressed me a ton for Brad breaking that

maiden because he got headed at the top of the stretch, came

back, surged and galloped out in a way that would give any owner

Derby greens. Chip Honcho, I think maybe it's

the play. I think maybe it is the now

horse. Steve's won this race a couple

times. Epicenter comes to mind right

off right at the bat and Paco up here, blinkers on who's going to

go with them. You know who's going to go with

Chip Honcho? I think he's going to have a

very nice commanding lead in here.

But Liberty National maybe is the best horse in this field.

It could be 2-3 in here for me. I think Mesquite is one that we

got to try to beat on terms of the win end of things, but

definitely a major player to to get a piece.

What's your read on Crown the Buckeye?

That Ohio Bren? We got to ask about Crown the

Buckeye. I've got a an Ohio based

trainer. He's from Columbus, loves his

Buckeyes. What do we make of Crown the

Buckeye? This is a legitimate question

here. Last seen in Mahoning Valley in

Youngstown. It's a football Friday.

We're talking Youngstown. I, I, I really don't know what

to make of him. He can wait here, though.

Like Baker, it's Jared Blumberry at Fairgrounds.

Of course he can win here. We saw, you know, what was

Jonathan's, Jonathan's way, right?

It was absolutely daytime on the scene for Bauer.

So, you know, we can't can't look past these non Kentucky

breds at all. I'm gonna I don't know.

I don't, I don't trust him. I don't trust him, but that

could be that could be stupid. You know the numbers say you

play them and you could see that with Derosa, like Ed Derosa is

very high this horse and that gave me the hint that on on rags

he looks fantastic. And then on Thursday he looks

fantastic too. So, but he he doesn't seem like

like he can hang with the likes of of these horses on the

inside. Well, there you go.

He's Kevin Kilroy. He's at Trust your Luck on the

socials. He'll be down there tomorrow.

Is there anyone else on the card that you think is kind of a long

shot play somebody might want to look at?

I think a. Lot of baby races tomorrow.

I'll tell you what, there's a it's not a question of who likes

their horses tomorrow, It's a question of who doesn't like

their horses, because everybody is pretty steamy.

Ocelli, the Beckman horse in the last, I think is a big time

player, but then also is Liberty Bayless.

So that's a very, very interesting race.

Bombs, looking at bombs, looking at prices, what's going to lean

on, man? I don't know.

I've got the I think Lindsay Schultz has got a couple that

will offer good prices tomorrow. I think you got to look at

Schultz's two that are entered and maybe take a swing with

them. Funny Bunny, if she does show up

in Race 4, she's going to be quite dangerous in that one.

Scrolling through Lady IVA should run fantastic for Calhoun

in Race 5I mean, you know what we might see, which is very

exciting is Randy is al stall junior Philly.

She's I mean, she's she's on the turf here going 5 1/2.

She's she's bred to go longer. I mean, she's got a sibling who

what maybe I'm thinking about somebody else, but but she's

been out working Solem Val who's a based on Philly for stall.

She's been out working everybody.

She had some trouble out of the gates.

I think they've gotten that straightened out.

You can see from that recent. Work she might.

Be one of the more exciting debuters tomorrow, Maha Beach

Philly. So 6 horse and race one.

There you go. That's a good one.

Nine to two you get you get Paco, who's riding really well.

Yeah, yeah, he is. He's he's here to play.

It's great having Paco here. I.

Absolutely got to take him in in Monmouth last year.

It was very fun so. Free, Paco.

I'll say it free. Paco, there you go, a little

free Paco talk on Reboco. It's 8105 seven.

Well, Kevin, thank you very much.

I have to hang up with you now because the texture told me too.

Because you're going to have nice weather and that's just how

it. Goes Louie.

Thanks for calling man. Good luck as we did.

Thank you, Sir. There's Kevin, trust your luck

on the socials. Kevin Kilroy down there at

Fairgrounds. Really appreciate him jumping on

the show. I'm sure we'll hear from him a

couple more times ahead of the Kentucky Derby.

Reminder programming around here.

We'll have the CFP for you tonight, 7:30 on all stations,

Oklahoma and Alabama. And that one, of course, play by

play for the Louisville Cardinals continues tomorrow.

Noon game means 1035 pregame on 93.9 the Ville.

Taylor Lynch on the post game around 2:30.

All of that, you're home for the Cards, 93.9, the Ville, and of

course on the ESPN Louisville app on the other end.

Why I'm playing here. Ah, some of those college

basketball games that we are looking forward to this weekend.

Busy day around the hardcore. We'll talk about it next.