The Happy Hour Crew recaps the Pegasus World Cup weekend (including impressive results by Colonel Liam & Life is Good) then handicaps the upcoming big races at Gulfstream & Aqueduct. Video replays & race calls are courtesy of the Gulfstream Park YouTube channel.
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Full Transcript
Alright, welcome to the horse racing.
Happy hour. Everyone's neither normal
location. Except for maybe no one's where
they should be. Millions must be on a plane to
Florida in Trinidad, this point. Yeah.
Louise in his basement, keeping his hostages company.
And I am in my closet, basically, for lack of a better
term, not really closet Mike's coming out of the closet after
the show there you guys are fourth.
Bedroom is where I am because of the massive ice storm that we
were supposed to have that. I guess it's getting bad now.
Here's some I think it's enough to not be pleasant for sure.
Yeah I mean it was definitely not worth us risking the
opportunity I guess to just all come for Louis not basically to
meet at the office for the two of you to be together.
Let's BE Whirl. Yeah.
All right well that's fair we are the horse racing happy are
you can follow us at horse happy hour and I am Mike Adolfo.
Big Mike and off on my is my Twitter handle.
Those are our Twitter handles of You're watching the stream.
And by the way, If you're listening to us on a podcast
platform, we highly suggest that.
Now you go to Spotify because you can listen to the show or
watch the show versus on Spotify.
It's a little clunky that Louis isn't house a clunky.
What part? Walk me.
I hit play and I can hear the show, but then I like, I have
to, like, almost like scroll it up to see the video.
Like, it doesn't, like, just pop the video up.
So, it's always in the little Banner at the bottom.
You just have to click the banner on the bottom, right?
That's for every single video. I have on every video podcast on
Spotify for sure. Yep.
Right, super good at technology. Yeah, we are longing just to
having this. We have our producer JD.
So, yeah, that's that's and that's exactly what JD's here to
make the show look better. And look, get the video for the
dad sexiness that we bring to the table.
Essentially, I would say, 40% of our listeners are in it for the
dead, sexiness 60% for the drinking and I 0.0% for the
handicapping. So that's weird.
Okay. All right.
Basically, you have to have a baby.
Do like a new one? I have a new cat.
Is that the new cat? This is a cat.
Why do you need to see the video?
Old. So I adopted him from the
outside world. Go, grab downtown Louisville
from home with good. Yeah, I know seriously.
Yeah, or my house to become a barn cat but but he can't until
he gets his balls cut off. So he's living my life inside
cat balls. Alright, got balls.
We are already a cat balls. We haven't talked in Italy
against cats also, I just want to say death You got them like
them. I was a strictly a dog person
and I'll say I was wrong but I will.
But like a strake my cats with the exception of this one.
He's actually really not that cool.
Nothing like tries to bite me but it doesn't.
It's like yeah no kidding. I'm slightly allergic to cats
like I'm not gonna break out in hives or anything like that, but
I'll get sniff. You know, I'll get stuffy now,
you never come to our party. No.
Louise. This is like very allergic to
cats and she still comes. Yeah, I come to your parties.
I hear your wedding. Doesn't count.
Okay. So I'm going by little bow for a
while now. You should probably know.
Yeah. It's very on-brand for the show
though, and I wish I think we need to give JD a big name.
Like, you know, no one just calls her producer by their
actual name. I think JD actually has to have
a nickname. So, you know, let's listen, if
you we can get chat stuff, so You have a idea for JB's
nickname as a producer on the show.
You know, drop it in there. You know, the easy won't be the
Junkyard Dog because it's JD technically a nickname.
It is technically a nickname. Yes, we need a new one because
he is a lawyer Juris doctor and he is But now it is it.
Yes, JD put it there. You're the only other one that
has a nickname like because you are Big Fudge, okay?
And so who are we, who are Louis?
And I can you can stop it. God damn it.
You remember what it was like? Look like 1:00 in the afternoon,
drink a bunch of wine and then like go to the beach.
That was that was her Thursday like that's.
I mean that was it. That was it that was it two
years ago? That was also the day that I
started talking to my now husband to.
So that was like a big day. It was good days.
Horse racing happy our first, you've done a lot for you.
I agree. Yeah, yeah, yeah, okay, yeah, I
mean we we create a safe space for you to move the Lord.
Let's talk a little bit about Pegasus day real fast, you know,
we have a saying here, classical and class.
And I think we saw that for the races there, on the biggest a
class did class. You know, I think Louis, I know
you're working on some sponsorships, I think part of
the sponsorship package needs to be a t-shirt.
Run a classic own class t-shirt run because I think our
listeners would want class going class teachers for sure.
We got to get those out. So Let's start with Regal
glorious performance. Megan.
What were your thoughts? Your the your the your are Troy
Aikman are Tony Romo. The person the toaster.
Yeah, do not call me Tony Romo because the time is getting.
That's your new nickname. I quit the show.
I'm done. I don't know what he is whatever
but I don't even know anything about football and even I was
like that's wrong. I don't know.
No. But I disagree how much money by
the way? Those guys gonna throw a Tom
Brady to try to get him in the booth, 40 tons.
But I who knows I mean I thought the same thing when Peyton
Manning retired to and that you know he's like no I got most way
more for sure. Is there any lien commercials
that I'm going to do in the other shows by the way,
hysterical a bit over the weekend was awesome.
I don't know if you all saw it or not is Tom Brady the most
obviously attractive 45 year old male ever.
Excuse me, he's just, he's just a great looking dude, I hate
that guy, jeez. I mean, he's like the David
Cohen of the NFL, I just hate it.
And to be fair to paint on the Peyton Manning common, he has
his own, like, they gave him his own Monday Night Football, show
her him and he lied to sit there and talk.
Yeah, you making way more money doing all the things that I mean
I don't know what they were offering him for a salary but I
would assume with his many appearances that he has on TV is
great on Saturday log by the way, like he is outstanding.
On Saturday left in the think he did about that.
The thing he did this weekend with the Emily.
A on Weekend Update, was just Are you watching that show Megan
Saturday night like Emily in Paris?
No, no, my wife's a big fan, so I just didn't know.
I really had no idea what my wife and my sister are watching
that together. Yeah, we just watched the, I
still don't even know the name. It's a running joke that we got
it wrong every time, but the woman in the house across the
street from. Oh yeah, right.
Okay. Like every time we say it we get
it wrong sir, the girl in the house with the Problem, and the
cast actually know what the title is.
But, but yeah, it was okay, the ending was really stupid, so it
was, it was okay until the end and then we were both like, you
know, we tried we try to watching only murders in the
building. Is that the Selena Gomez, Steve?
Martin Martin, I watched the first episode and I'm like okay
you want to be Wes Anderson but this is a shitty version of Wes
Anderson. And so now the she already GD,
doesn't Explicitness earlier and so I I couldn't do it.
Like, I got one episode. I'm sure my wife has watched all
of them. I couldn't do it but I had haha.
Okay. I like all the people in it.
Much cat. Oh man, I need to know this.
So before we get off the street brawls and I don't know how
we're on that jet. He's like ready to go onto the
horse racing. This is not what we do here.
JD we're sitting around the bar, we're talking.
This is it all right. Megan.
Because you are not of my generation.
She's not my god. Do you enjoy the corny Nostalgia
- of Cobra Kai as much as If you haven't watched Cobra Kai?
Well that answers that. It's a Netflix show.
Yeah, I don't watch it either. Is it good?
Oh, it's really the like the it's it's a it's so bad and so
hot it. Okey.
Yeah. Up watching and they do such a
good job of making these references back to the Karate
Kid and of course, if you're in my generation, you grew up with
the karate kid. That's your big deal.
Yeah, right. Yeah.
And so like, you, it's can't stop watching it.
So But it is pretty hokey. I think Peyton Manning was on
the Rob Lowe roast. And if you're a fan of the Rose
going back to Peyton, Manning he was very good on that.
So we're going up on YouTube. All right, all right, Megan.
What did you think about at this point?
I remember. What is that, by the way, to
this card will, let's just let's play the The replay.
We go ahead. JD.
Put it on there. And gobbling up the ground.
Regal glory is rising to the occasion and she's gonna win
going away. Rico, glory in the Pegasus World
Cup, Filly and mare Turf by 3 in the end.
All right there. Yes.
Do you want to report that I've gotten rid of two of the cats
while we do that? I mean, that was one of those
races I think Lou. And I talked about it, where it
was. You either had a very strong
opinion or and single horse or you were going to try to build
some value for yourself. I had the 4 on top Regal Glory,
but I did try in my tickets that we used to get some additional
value with sweet melodia. I think I had the five horse,
like we talked about the night in the eighth in that race too.
Who was out Shifty she and I thought maybe summer in,
Saratoga would pop up for a big price.
I was just being home is really to try to create some value, but
yeah, the spa. But I mean, like I said, my
classmates. I forget it unfolded the way
that we thought it would, and it looks like a pretty easy
performance for her, too. She was my single for the
weekend. So it felt good when I saw her
in the five path. I was like, okay we're good.
There we go. Moving on next.
All right, so you got your single, that's all good.
Good ride, we're all good. Jose had a nice day for sure.
He made a lot of good news in that was one of them, for sure.
Yeah, let's move on to the Hooper, which was won by
Speakers Corner to the top three, are the factoring three
and two of them are the two heavyweights. 3/4 nine and two
Speakers Corner gets to head. Start on Fearless but he's gone
fast. Anything of a mile from Home
Speakers Corner trying to hold Fearless off.
Fearless, trying to get to him. He's been hard at work
throughout but he's surging up on the outside.
Here comes Fearless to try to make.
It's close. Its close to home at Speakers
Corner. Still there Speakers Corner,
turn Fearless away and one the Fred Hooper by a length.
Alright again the two heavy favorites, they're broke away
from the pack never admit, they challenged each other.
But I mean it was and that's what we talked about too is that
those two work? It was pretty much those two
horses and everybody else. But the one horse that I was
disappointed by a beast, was the six horse and Liam for Todd
Frazier, and I rather to use because that was one that we
thought might actually pop up. And have a little bit of a
better showing second time off the bench but that work was,
like, nowhere to be found at the stretch and they pretty much
just wrapped up on them knowing that they were going to get
there. So I mean I don't think I'm very
surprised anybody but I was pretty disappointed by that
effort. At least if you were playing
like a try or something, that would have been the horse that I
had in that third slot. So Pete ILO and Travis don't
have one thing in common all of their race calls are the same
like, you know, it's them and they all and they do they have a
formula and it's Very good and they do the same thing with
Travis, you know, exactly what's going on in the race.
You know, when they're, you know, they're on the final turn,
you all those things with Pete. The Finish is always, it could
be ten thousand dollar claimers and he would have that kind of
enthusiasm, which I appreciate. Because that is nothing.
Appreciate yes, that's right. And, and so he said about
Michael rona's, he put as much research and effort and
enthusiasm and 110 yard that horse race, 100, he does.
So it's great to have. I mean Pete's calls on these as
it's just fun to hear these so oh no JD wants to put some music
behind. Pete's.
Not going to happen but it's a know it's refreshing at, you
know, watch these races around the country and have different
announcers that I really enjoy. And he's one of those guys
reading. Yeah.
All right, let's move on to Colonel Ian's performance in the
turf. Again, all these video replays
are courtesy of Gulfstream Parks YouTube channel.
So just want to make sure we give credit where credit's due.
So yeah, always. Get these race, replace.
I'm Jade Jade. It's nice that they're out
there. People can just go get them,
right? If you wanted to look at them
horses running this weekend, for example, on Holy Bull day and
just go back. Watch our YouTube page to do a
great job of that. And I was actually, you know,
before we go onto the video, JD I was actually thinking about
this earlier today because, you know, we knew that the class
going class aspect of this and just we've got all we got all
kinds of listeners. You know.
We try to be very approachable as far as a horse racing show.
We want to give good quality information to the Serious Force
player, but we also want to be able to bring the average.
Fan into horse racing and I was kind of just thinking about
those fundamentals of how you prepare for handicapping day and
Megan your big again on Class Clown class, you know, look at
look at the clasp on as far as look at the race car and we can
talk about that later about how you evaluate that.
But you also love going back and looking at race to replace
because you know, the past performance is only tell you so
much. No totally.
I mean, I I do a lot of Replay watching especially on Days to
because you know, you have a lot of horses that are so closely
matched and obviously like in the past few races that we watch
the heavy favorites one but a lot of times you just got a lot
of very good horses that show up for the big day is because
that's where the money is. And so, oftentimes just to find
some sort of margin of separation between them.
It comes down to watching those replays and looking at, you
know, was there trouble in the race that wasn't reported or was
there reported trouble that wasn't as bad as they said it
was. And also just the way that the
Jockeys ride, you know, is there anything that anybody did?
That was good? Bad indifferent.
And then how the words is it, it too.
So that's a, that's a huge thing for me.
And, and something else that I I pay attention to and sometimes
it matters a lot. What a matters, it matters a
lot. I feel like I'm one, it doesn't
it? Most time it just doesn't make a
difference but I really watch equipment and I try to make note
of equipment in my form, and that's more.
So it's more than just the, you know, blinkers on blinkers off
or whatever. I don't really care about from
bandages, but more. So like what kind of bit do they
use to? They use a different type of you
know, blinker whatever. Did they have a bubble on or an
extension blank or whatever a gag bit compared to a d-ring?
And so I think a lot of that stuff matters to you.
So you get that from one watching the replays but also if
you can follow along on Twitter, like plenty of the photographers
that are out there have really great pictures and you can kind
of make note of that if you're not actually at the track
itself. Alright then, let's move on.
It's a great stuff right there and let's look at Colonel
Williams Performance real quick in the turf.
Seven lights from first to last as Kurt Um, makes a bit for the
we'd never surprised his barn but he has inside position in
the still right there. These two off the corner.
Well, clear of the others down the center channel cat.
With a tone. There's an eighth of a mile to
go. Colonel Liam sit down, driving
with an eighth of a mile more to get never surprised this
fighting back, but he's second best, it's to Pegasus turfs
back-to-back. First Turtle Liam, he wins by
lakes and a half his stack. All right, so there's the blue
shaking his head. What would you think?
Luke stole. Oh it's so impressive to come
off. That kind of layoffs and win a
race against that kind of field. I mean that was a that was a
true grade one turf field and he made it look like allowance
company. It's remarkable once in a while
would horses just do that? And you know, look great trip.
But you can get great trips when you have great horses, right?
And so, you know, that great example of that, I'm shaking my
head because I've watched that race.
I was probably the sixth time. I've seen the fish and it just
Mike knows this cuz he's hung out with me like bricks and
mortar was one of those horses. I just loved fell all over.
Yeah, I just can't get enough. I love Tommy family and love
those kind of a, totally, then breaks.
A murder Gunrunner is in there somewhere where?
Yeah, right, we'll talk about his kids on this show, which is
fun, but just horses like that, that just want to be out front,
can you don't want to be in the pack?
You'll pass feel past can Guillermo all the field passes
in that race had no. Chance with kid with Colonel me.
I'm running like that for anybody that's playing along
with the drinking rules. You were going to be just had to
finish your drink. That's a really, really good tag
drink. Will you drink it?
Louis. Oh well turkey, let's go.
Oh yeah, tell you what. Huh?
What a Wily be highly underrated, I love that.
Oh, it's delicious. It's great.
Really Russell's Reserve 10-year.
Love it. It's a novel bleep and they're
not even there. You know, all right.
No, but you're right. I mean he's coming into form.
I'm just dominant her Force right there.
So it'll be interesting to see if they run him the whole year
or the spots that they pick. And if he can have a I can't
believe I'll say it if he can have a bricks and mortar type a
year and actually make a case for horse of the year.
He's that good is that good? Is that talented?
And and I don't know an American Turf racing if there's a horse
anywhere near him. Well, I mean He's going to could
come down between him and life is good right now.
I mean, I think life is good. Is your horse the year for 2022.
I think you just give it to him, but speaking of life is good.
Yeah, speaking. Well there's Mega.
How do you say about Colonel William?
I agree with all the points that have been made that I think I
said the, the my Liam story on the show last year.
But I always felt bad because I transferred to a different
school. When I was in the fourth grade
different Catholic school and there was a Liam in my class And
the kids all made fun of him and just call them lame.
And I never heard of it. They named Liam before.
So, I just thought it was like, me.
I was lame. So, oh, boy.
Always, I want to apologize right now to lame or Liam her
every single time, but I participate in that unknowingly
so Colonel. Um, is anything but like the
lame? Absolutely, that's a great.
All right, let's let's move on. Then, let's look at life is good
domination in the Pegasus World Cup as they straighten for the
Drive 3/16 to go. Life is good, is still well
clear. S is Nick's goat or the in
That's the little boy back to Fourth and endorse less than an
eighth of a mile from home. Life is good as looking good.
Life is good. And I read Ortiz, Junior, they
ran them off their feet. In the Pegasus life is good.
On cloud nine, he won by three over next, man.
We were freaking robbed of a Triple Crown winner last year.
Huh, I don't feel that way at all.
Okay, I think that I think that horse is a freaking just Beast.
So, I think he's a beast to I, you know, he was, he was the one
that was running up against Maddie that spirit and his
Kentucky Derby prep races, right?
I mean, he kept going just beating him by open like the
last time, but it seems like it was a two of them for a while
who was going to be the better of the two.
I don't think anybody really expected Medina Spirit to come
out. And do what he did.
But the fact that life is good as been able to show how
impressive he is in his debut, want, he wanted six and a half
or a long. Send the one, the mile at Santa
Anita, then he stretches out again.
He comes back on the way up and Alan Jerkins, which is a grade
1. He finishes such a close second
to Jackies Warrior who at the time was a very, very impressive
horse screwed. Everybody on Breeders Cup but
that's fine. And then, you know, comes back
and is able to win a race like this at the his first time
going, the mile and an eighth. Since it was just, which was so
impressive. So, and the way he did it to, I
mean he did direct out towards the middle of the racetrack but
I don't know. He was kind of already, you
know, off the rail a little bit but I did think he ended up a
little bit further out which sometimes is a sign of fatigue.
I rather to use those just showing the whip at the end to
on the right side to keep the horse from going too far out.
But yep, you know, I'm interested to know kind of, if
that was just a matter of Fitness because this is, again
another words that's coming off, a layoff, you had been very
since November of Last year and had never gone that distance,
right? Right.
And I never got it. This is so one would think that
he would be tired, but he still seemed to do it.
Like it's not like he was, you know, really encouraging him
down the stretch or whatever that horse that everybody needs.
I would love to see his stride side by side with Maxfield.
He reminds me of Max feel that way where there's kind of this
wide second turn sort of run with him, doesn't seem to
matter. He still has his footing.
It isn't about what I want to say here.
It's, it isn't that he's tired. It doesn't have his footing.
Or isn't technically there, it's just coming off that lead.
He's a little bit wide on the turn.
He looked like Maxfield to me where Maxfield almost looked
like he was hopping when he ran and life is good.
Kind of looks like he's hopping to me.
JD is awfully slow because you just said, not slow, I'm sorry
because he doesn't even trying, you know what I mean?
It's like what your kind of like jogging.
I agree. They're not your thing, you're
really not putting much into it and then when you really get
going you screwed, then you get a, put your head down and go
forward but that's a A side of a horse Museum.
Horse or not and replay. Oftentimes like they're just not
trying anymore, they don't eat right?
So JD is offered to show the start and I want to do this
before you go there j.d. This was one of the Twitter
things that the Ortiz Brothers, colluded to give life as good
the lead. So that next year, they're gonna
they're gonna slammed and I will point this out because I want to
give credit to JD. Who says, two little boys going
to run a huge race and he did okay.
If you train stiletto boy, if you ride slow boy.
This is the path you want to take.
Get out front and try to win it, right?
They just it is what it is. That's Alexander.
Horse. That doesn't bus riding on the
front end. That's exactly right.
He needs to be out front. So JD go ahead and show the
video here. And so, you watch here to let
our boys, the three, like, there's the three.
It is the For Worse, right? Which I don't understand,
because the other thing about Gold Stream, Park my videos.
I don't know if it's going to continue a little bit, but you
don't have that long of a run into the hips to the turn.
It is boom. That's right that you have to
have enough speed to get your competitive positioning and
that's exactly what he did. So the whole thing that he shuts
off another horses, absolutely ridiculous.
He's putting his horse in the best possible scenario because
What happens if he doesn't do that?
Is that he what happened? The next go is that then all of
a sudden, you're shuffled, no, right.
Your shuffled know what happened in Mexico, you know what
happened to Nicole. He's not as fast as life is
good. That's what happened.
I've learned is because like it, can I rather do some life is
good. I mean, this source is taking
off like yeah, this song so fast.
He wants to go. I read his feet like totally.
Oh, look how wide he is there, right?
Exactly, he's key. That's the real very far off.
Off the rail, for part of that reason to try to slow this horse
down a little bit. So it doesn't you do too much
running because the second you put a horse on the rail, a lot
of times, they don't know, certainly for a lot of the
horses that I galloped in the mornings, you put them on the
rail and they're like, do you go?
That's exactly how you do it. Obviously, you want to, when you
get to the end, you might, excuse me, kind of come in a
little bit just because that's it's a better run like you would
do in track and field to you would want the inside.
This is listening so that you don't lose ground, but Yeah,
just look at him. I mean, he's just, this is the
rare combination of a horse, putting in an unbelievable run
in, life is good and a jockey understanding what he has to do.
To get the best out of the horse.
You don't see this all the time. You don't see a horse in the for
path on the on the back. So you know, on the backstretch
he. Yeah, where he comes to the
finish here. I mean he just showing the whip
is so smart here. I mean, hey we got to keep
running because he knows the horses is Definitely is a little
bit tired, too. I mean, you could tell us he was
starting for home. He gave the horse kind of one
reminder tap as they came into the stretch because it did look
like he kind of sucked back a little bit and that could be
tired or it could be. We talked about that a lot with
modern white girl. She would pull herself up
because she got to the front too early.
And then she was like, oh I beat everybody, I'm done.
And she would just kind of stopped running.
And so, for Haru had to be very careful with how we rode because
he had to keep her covered up at least a little bit or you know
how Be close enough to another or swear they were kind of right
on your tail. That she still had that
competitive drive because she was so smart, she took care of
herself and she was like, oh I don't have to do any more
running than I look like. She was like, work smarter not
harder. So yeah.
So that could be the case 244 horse like that.
There you go. Yeah, I mean I think you're
right Lou. I mean I think most people would
look at that ride and think that there wasn't much to it.
Horse broke out straight ahead, you know.
And we know, you know that horses are pack animals and A
horse to break away from the pack like that and go against
what it's never actually born and he's cut different men
special. And then again, the ride was
very tactical, even though he was never challenged.
So great stuff right there, we're going to get on this some
handicapping. We're going to stay at
Gulfstream Park because they've got a another really big day,
and we're going to start with the great three.
This is a day by the way that it always lined up with whatever my
fall break was. So, I have very fond memories,
you know, I would go to Florida, Derby Day a lot Gulfstream,
Wednesday in the 90s, but I was also at this day a lot because,
you know, you can jot down there for the weekend or what - what
were you doing in the 90s being born?
Yeah, yeah. Okay.
Just so I can keep going shit or was?
Yeah, so let's go on to the 74 long Sprint.
On the dirt, grade 3, Swale 100,000 are raised for
three-year-olds. Who do we like in this one?
Whoa, by the way, how much ESPN 680, love?
Did you get on the swing on Andy Sweeney show this year this
week? I mean, it was kind of
disgusting. I feel like I heard your name
every single time. I turn it on a freaking ESPN,
World War. I feel like they were talking
about you, so that's all right. I picked the 49ers and the
Chiefs on Friday on Bobby V show and that was obviously 0 for 2,
Heavy terrible, football handicapping.
So stick to the show. Not when I do there, do there
are, but So, to me, this is an interesting race because I out
of the six horses, I think for have a great shot at winning.
So, in terms of betting to me, I think you actually have to take
a stand here and pick one of them.
My sense is, it's going to be really difficult for the six mr.
Boma, in the to graphic detail to win this race.
So I think you should look at the other four.
The other four horses have, previously, run, six, furlongs
in a minute 9 all of them. Wow, so if you listen to this
show, I really value that. And for that reason, I'm going
to stay, I'm going to take a stand.
I'm going to use the for Dean delivers who ran into the gate
last time out and then was bumped at the start and lost by
a neck at 109 at six. Furlongs, I'm looking for
another solid performance here. S off the layoffs.
I understand the case for the other three major players.
In this race. But I'm going to stick my neck
out, I'm going to single the for in my pick for here and try to
get a price on him. I think he's the fourth favorite
May B to the third but I'm going to run with Dean delivers and
just assume he's not going to run into the gate this time.
All right now Megan you know we talked about a little bit
earlier about class going to class and be real easy to just
kind of look at this and be like oh the one raced in a grade one
but that doesn't necessarily mean that you know, you would
say the class is going to class. On the one horse, right?
I mean just because if they would have placed it had been
in, you know, different story. So I mean, the fact, the fact
that he was he was like second or third choice in that race and
in that I do something. But you also had Jack
Christopher in there who I believe was the heavy favorite
and he is coming back very very slow.
And then Command Performance ended up finishing second and I
don't know, I don't think the he ended up being what they Thought
he was going to be either. So Applejack Christopher, he's
injured to be great so they're shooting.
He's coming back. What I said that he's really
slow. Yes yeah it's all ready for a
breeze. I think he's I think he's
training at the moment like he's on the track so I don't think
he's technically injured anymore.
He's still coming back from that, from that injury, pretty
slowly. So they're just, they're not the
point that they thought they would be when we're talking
about the Kentucky Derby prep races, so, no, but you're right.
Mike, excuse me, I think in in a race like this, I look more
towards some of those allowance victories that were impressive
for the by VIN dreams who finished in that eighty thousand
dollar. Allowance rates by six lengths
and be chasing time. Who would go on to win his next
race? Against a?
I thought the kind of a subpar field but still, it was an
impressive performance and I know that they're thinking for
the rebel for that horse. For my race horse, so they
definitely think the Chase and time is the potential Derby
Contender. But yeah, I mean I think you
also have to consider a horse like the three of a revolution
for sappy Joseph who comes out of a Stakes race with a really
really good second place. I've heard as the favorite the
only lost by about half the length there and he's pretty
much he hasn't done anything wrong either.
So he comes out of immediately made in such a way to Victory
then they gave a little bit of time off and six months to be
exact. He comes back with the Victory
and then they're like, okay, let's do the next logical thing
and go to a Stakes race. As you know, you can make the
case for a horse. Like the five in dreams that he
started off Maiden special weight and obviously those are
very tough and Kentucky especially at a hundred and
twenty one thousand dollars for that.
Made me special wait. And then you get to the 150,000
Maiden claimer at Keeneland and also a Churchill.
Then they've dumped him up to the allowance levels.
But technically, you know, the progression of a horse like of a
revolution, seems to have a little bit more forward momentum
and he's had all of those races all of those real.
A good performance as without Lasix and you're talking about a
race where this horse is, none of those are going to receive
Lasix. So in dreams having that six
like score with latex added on race day, is another
consideration. So, I really think that every
revolution of quarter. One has a solid chance on here.
Well, obviously the, the winner of the Kentucky Derby, wouldn't
19 was 84 think it was, so this this is not necessarily usually
a derby prep race. There's no points here, every
once in a while, we see, Horse who kind of hops up and they
stretch out, and they make the field.
But a lot of these horses we will see run on Derby day.
I mean, it's not unusual for them to go progress to that.
So I think it's like this race and the San Vicente but are not
Derby, prep races, but sometimes feel like Derby prep races.
Yeah, I would do that. I mean, I don't know about this
awesome interns print, but yeah, but sometimes you see horses
with this, on their own, they're running lines.
Before they started out a little bit more.
Are you going to be okay? Me.
Yeah, that's all going to be just wanna make sure I know.
You're still sick. You're still sick little bit
right? I mean I'm doing I'm I just have
this annoying lingering cough but I'm 25.
Welcome to Long covid. I5 long.
All right let's move on to so just so we're clear.
Louis is on the for Megan likes the three on top when you know
with the as well as the for and also use of the three.
It's not the things you don't like There we go.
Quick picked in on Race Six, which is an amazing special.
Wait, it's on this weird. Synthetic course I didn't watch
that race by the way, I so I don't even know how to synthetic
ran. Would you all think of the other
racing on the synthetic Gulfstream?
Still, I mean we talked about it being not inform yet and all
that kind of stuff. That's exactly, right.
So by the way, last year Turfway was impossible.
This year Turf, we much all for make them all.
Yeah, no, no no. Yeah, you're right.
The same surface and it's much more predictable this year.
If way it's going to happen at Gulfstream as well everyone
settle down. I think why are people thinking
that that's the case. So like what is actual
scientific reasoning behind that?
Or is it just that it's harder? It's hard at the beginning.
So no it's the surface is less mixed up when you start and as
you work it in it becomes more like it essentially, like a good
Turf course and it becomes more predictable.
That way we have like track super superintendents saying
that no, we have are not just Twitter.
So we got an unpredictable course, your is exactly zero
percent chance that - check that.
But anyway, so don't attract people and the guy on Twitter,
I'll just I'll just ask Tyler great.
Essentially, what's happening is people are coming from the
synthetic horse, at Woodbine, and not winning a Gulfstream
because they're not acting the same, and I'm not making that
up, that's just true. And so, I've got ten 1429 in the
maiden special weight, you have to spread, right?
I mean this is an unpredictable course with lightly race Maiden
special weight. So I mean, it's Emma like it's
more that what you just said, Mike?
Then the course itself. It's just that you've got a lot
of first-time starters in here that we don't know what we're
going to get from them. So right I think it's more a
matter of temperatures. Got a first-time starter
patrick-man codes got first entire Crystal come on, that's
the first time starter, you know, temples our heads, another
one. So it's just that I think Is is
the big question mark. So, let me go back to what you
were talking about. If you see a horse who's coming
into this race, he's raced at Woodbine, are you, is it affect
what you think about them and them and, yeah, it's Cassie.
I tousle. All right, toss and Cassie.
All right, normally I'm Mark but you said you're using the to
Could you pick you? I got the to end the night.
Actually other both would buy shippers.
Okay? As my fourth, it as my fourth
and fit pics. Thank you, everyone for
following along. Good job on your homework,
especially JD being the Canadian like bracing Guru.
So he's on top of it too. All right, let's move on.
Did you bring a pig bacon or do you have nothing to add to
Louise? I mean, this is one of those
races that I would, definitely, I would recommend watching The
Paddock and seeing what the horses look like with so many
first. Starters, I definitely think
that Microsoft come on horses. One to take a look at in here,
remote, with Tyler. Gaffney on a board Christoph.
Putting it 17% of this first time starters and more.
So just the fact that you've got a horse debuting at a mile and
70 yards and he went bit like 18% with debuting over a mile so
it seems like the the type that probably has shown he's got you
know an affinity for more distance and what I learned is
we lost Loot and Tyler, Tyler and Chris and reassuring.
Are you aware that I've been doing really well?
But I like 25% together. So if I had to pick one quick
pick, that would probably be it but tap the gavels will be an
interesting potential form trap play for some people to for
Belmont. He really disappointed last time
but we'll see as he steps onto the synthetic for the first
time. All right, let's move on to the
kittens. Joy, it is a great 300,000.
I reach for three-year-olds some mile and a sixteenth.
The turf course Louis, who do you?
Like actually I have a feeling you're going to like them all in
this one. Maybe like here.
Louis Mike knows me very well by the way, Bill marketing at 7% on
the synthetic. So go ahead and listen to Megan.
The race seven Kings, Joy, doesn't race anywhere else on
synthetic which means he sucks in Miami.
All right. So kids Joy is going to be
expensive because I'm punching all and Mike.
Yes, I'm talking about all the horses.
But I promise you, I will keep it quick, the one Grant Sonata,
the, a tried danger, both coming out of steaks, wins at
Gulfstream Park. They are includes the for
speaking. Scout loss to read danger by a
head last time out. That's an include the seven
father. Glad oh no, that's not a
Catholic thing. Who's 821 finished?
Third by a length behind grandson out of the ones.
That's an include the six Royal Spirit broke his Maiden last
time out. And I love the maiden in open
company for the first time angle.
So, we're going to include the five.
Sheldon's Prince probably doesn't win but picks up.
I read. So that's an include the to
coinage ran in the BC the Breeders Cup juvenile Turf.
They think a lot of this horse was more Cassie and Luis saez.
So we're going to include there and then the three red knobs
probably has the worst chance to win here but if I don't punch
that horse it's gonna win after fall over.
That's exactly right. And so I'll include.
So I'm going all in this leg of the middle pick for Okay, I like
Grandpa. Not I agree with you.
There might give coinage a little bit of a look.
I mean, I don't love that some of the sources best races seem
to have been those New York bread, restricted races at
Belmont and Saratoga. So I don't know, but I do like
the the knights password coming in here especially off of the
layoffs from November. And did you mention the force
gold obviously? Right.
Because you picked all. I am war in the third slot for
me. Yes.
Okay. I do.
Like speaking Scout quite a bit for ground motion.
Putting the blankets on possibly, going to show a little
bit more speed. This is or two, you know, hasn't
really shown what we saw from in at the racetrack like Delaware
and even Saratoga to we showed a little bit more early go.
And and I think he probably just needs to get into a little, the
race a little bit more. So I wouldn't be surprised if
that's the tactic taken by Junior albarado and especially
with those shades on and if you like that horse, then you kind
of have to like run danger. Who exactly is right there.
They are Finish 1272 to but I actually feel like that's a
little bit low of a price for this horse.
I think he's going to take a lot of action and I don't know that.
I like them that much, obviously, give him that, right?
I mean seven, she's not a heavy heavy favorite, but I don't know
if I if it got much lower than that.
I would be less inclined to want to use him.
Everywhere. All right, Louis, I already
said, I took it all. What do we got?
We got one more. We got one more race in your
middle pick for here. That's the for gal, and we're
going to move on to the for gouge.
It's just, you know, basically the female version of the of the
soil, right? So, all right.
Yeah, it's time for a long here. Great 300,000.
Erase for gal, was a the champion two-year-old, Philly of
1970. So there you go for that. 112
out of 26 starts. I always loved the history.
Blessings that you give us big puzzle.
It's important, right? Like you know there's a reason
why these horses are named with their named and argue very
strongly with her name to him. We got him.
Uh-huh. So is this carrying Oaks point.
So unlike the Swale swelled is not carried every points.
This does karaoke points is not the Ford.
Gal is better acquainted to the holy ball.
That's right. Yep.
Okay to the holy book as far as far as points for four points,
right? But for perspective, race on the
First Friday in May. Yeah.
So we have Ten Oaks points on the line here in this race.
And Louis of courses are Philly whisper when it comes to picking
Oaks horses. So, hey ladies.
All right, so Louis who do you like in this race?
All right, so I have 26 girl, with a Dream On Top, Brad Cox
Luis saez, the Cox numbers, make all the sense in the world.
So 28% of a short layoffs, 30% back-to-back winners, 28% with
saez recent, you just say, girl with Dream Cox.
And on top in the same sentence that was intentional.
Thank you for noticing, she seems to be on the improve it,
if she gets better. I actually think there's a
chance she cake walks this one. Now, the the five Radio Days is
the 825 favorite and that's based on two terrific
performances. One at that, excuse me at
Belmont wanted Aqueduct. They're flying.
Dylan Davison for this man is a person who watches jockey Choice
really closely. I appreciate that.
I think he's really nice jockey and last year's winner.
There's AA, she'll actually was a New York strip or herself, so
that's a pretty obvious included me.
I don't love the layoffs but the seven Diamond Wow.
Broke her maintenance at Gulfstream that turn around and
want to seven Furlong listed Stakes.
The next month, also, a Gulfstream.
We talk about what season it is that you win at Gulfstream.
So I understand that those two races were not during the
championship mean. It's not her fault that she was
a two-year-old. At that time, they did right by
this Philly, they gave her a few months off.
They're bringing her back in the spot to see if she's got the
stuff to run on the Oaks. Include her II think that, you
know, they think that there might be something here.
So I'm 657 in the forward Galley.
All right, Megan. All right, I think that you're
definitely right about radio days and then bringing in Dillon
Davis, the fact that he's already gotten along with this
horse twice, you've been bored two times, he's got two wins
with the last separate at seven, furlongs on the fast, track at
Aqueduct, being a win, my eight lengths.
So I mean, he certainly are she rather sorry?
Now, she's great honor of thought or a Gunrunner it showed
her stuff. That's a, I like girl with a
dream as well. So I'll probably include that.
Although I really like the performances by radio days and
then interesting, the diamond. Wow, you know, I almost like
that listed Stakes, recycle Stream Park, not just because
it's seven for a long time, obviously at this track, but I
that win means more to me than the second place by ahead in the
grade to adjustment. Because that was the race that
California, Angel, one, and you know, this diamond wild I think
is a little bit more of a speed or said, no speed that day.
I don't know if it was just a matter of didn't break very
well. I'd have to go go back and
really try to identify it but, you know, I don't know.
I I just felt like that was such a weird race for, and set up
really well for the closer's that I don't know that I buy it
in her form as much. So I like her local experience
and I'll probably use her for that and Patrick Banquo, and
obviously, when I 18%, right now for the meat, so you gotta like
that and the fact that you get Rajiv Mirage, like number two.
Yeah, he does it. He's done really well with her
already. Every I think that those are the
horses. That you probably have to watch
a year and gratitude is interesting.
You know, with the local experience, the winner of the
seven furlongs here at Gulfstream Park last time.
And I just realized I forgot to cancel my rental car for my
trip. That I'm not important right
now. I don't know why that came in my
brain, but but the fact that the source comes in with a nice
quick worker, long workout at the models.
But basically a private training, sir.
But, but, yeah, that that effort, I think.
Yes, it is. That is a good one for her to
come into this, to this race too.
So, I think it's all about those sources for me.
If you didn't get a long shot, I mean, Carlos, David is an
excellent trainer, so maybe you just place you so beautiful for
funsies, by the way, behind the scenes.
People don't know, the longest phone conversation I've ever had
with Megan was when she was in a rental car in Florida, they go.
I am not a good texture at all like not not good.
Doesn't even do it justice. It's great.
Heard of an Irish you have wi me and I turned around and it was
Jimmy Graham be there across from floor rajguru radar
fluorides agent and yeah JD was like yep that was the time but I
know that voice and turned around but I was coming back
from Hot Springs and they were going there or so she had to go
South Dakota. We all.we Everybody just
whatever. We're all waiting for our
flights and yeah. So by the way, my pic for is on
the screen, this is by the way, predicated on a very bold,
single in the first leg with the for.
So yeah. So good luck with everything but
it does cover you in the synthetic race.
Gives you all that Turf race and then I think almost certainly
the favorites in the last. So for in race 5 and then 1 2 4
9, 10 in Race, Six, all in race seven and then five.
In seven, erase eight, sixty bucks dollars to play the big
four if that if that hits but that's a thousand dollar type
pick for for sure. Okay.
So that race eight, though is also the start of the late Pick
5 and the second leg of a pig 5 is going to be one of our Quick
Fix because it is just say optional claimer, but it's got
some familiar names in there that we're going to.
We're going to see this. By the way, would be like Mike's
Mike's picking a name horse. There's lots of choices in here.
Joe DiMaggio would be a you know.
Yes. Okay, boy would Be picking a
name thing. You know, I gotta love the, He
Hate Me reference, I love that touch.
So I'm just in here and Iraq and some other things that people
vote. I'm hopefully, you all can hear
me. My audio kiddo?
Yeah, we can hear. Okay, just my headphones just
unplugged so give me a second but yeah, that's That's what we
got to be a good race. Do you like as a quick pic?
Here, you hate me. All right, I don't have a quick
pic, I'm gonna apologize. I would usually not spend a lot
of time on an optional climber, but here are the horses in this
one. Candy Man rocket, who was a win
in the wood away from the Derby last year and won the same?
F Davis. Ball and raised on who lost a
Whitmore in the Breeders Cup Sprint at Keeneland prevalence
who ran in the wood of the Pate my last year, soup and sandwich
who ran in the derby, it will be making his inaugural appearance.
Congratulations on the unofficial Derby Cup this year
as the last place finisher that's a great pickup by the
way. If you want to go to is it our
place Lakers on our place on top level at Poplar and then they
have them actually never great if you want them.
Okay. I had never Seen those before
you gave me that be fantastic. They're terrific areas.
By the way, if you ever order something from the horse-racing
happy hour get a hat. Whatever I always send a couple
of those cups out. People know that anything you
have nothing order right now but you know, if that ever happens,
yes, we need to restock our saddle.
All right. So and then coastal defense ran
into Clark, the Pegasus World Cup and the Santa Anita handicap
in 2821. This is a wild field.
So I'll take coastal defense. The five, the last time you ran
in something, not graded. He won.
So I'll just put them on top top.
Pleasure has the seven War stopped or dropping out of state
company. All glued him with irad.
Build Mott is good of long layoff.
So include the 12K demon rocket in the nine.
Prevalence is just he's talented.
He gets Tyler. So I'm 5 7 12 and 9 in this
random awesome grade. Three optional cleaner coastal
defense Jose Ramon last race going up against you know horses
like Maxfield Races to go went up in Lost to Mexico and now
he's in this optional thing right there it is up there you
go. Meghan this that's the
definition I guess of class go clasp I don't know but go ahead
class might have class. Yeah.
Question mark I'd like that. We lost those like plastic so I
might lose. Yeah, a little kid.
Yeah, that's one of those hostages.
We still care. We stock I like Artemis City
Limits a bit for maker with Javier casts a lot o aboard.
So I think. Yeah.
All right, so there's a quick pic on that one.
So we're gonna move on to the Swedish chant steaks, which is
race tended as a great three. Of the awesome prevalence,
wanted to mention that one too. Okay.
Sorry. One of five grade three Stakes
of this day and this is amount of 16th on the chart for three
old Phillies hundred, a hundred thousand dollar race.
And Louis, who do you like here? Including two local say from
well recently. So the six ocean Safari, the 20
Polina oceans for I just finished second by a half-length
and in front of a Polina, think of repeat that for him.
They'll be part of the equation here Trader.
Tim has done a really Nice job with the eight Bell charge who's
five to one on the Morning Line, Dirt than synthetic, then Turf.
Really had to figure out what this horse is going to do.
Includes a lost by ahead in the Presque Isle debutante.
Megan once took a private jet to Presque Isle.
I don't want anyone to forget this, this horse, there it is
Bank battle charge. I don't even have that in my
notes, it's just in my head forever.
Battle charge is always right there at the end.
And I don't see any reason in this company that you shouldn't
be there with the addition, especially if Jackie, Tyler
definitely own. So I think she's an absolute
include. So I'll take the two locals in
battle charge six to an eight in my my ticket are private jet.
The got the weirdest humblebrag ever she played.
So what are we doing? Mike is not interested in
Bitcoin prices. No, I don't do.
But I'm the only one on here. Yeah, I got it.
JD JD says, can we take a private jet to a cinema down all
my weight on top Lily would be? Yeah.
For it. Oh my God, my heart.
Just stopped for at least four seconds.
Oh my God. Love those people.
I had a bit. I had a Manitoba Derby party at
my house. Let's go.
Manitoba Derby party. Might have been invited to that.
The next race is a form, edit /, Saskatchewan, North Dakota,
South Dakota brats. All right, Megan, who do you
like in this race? I love it.
Nostalgic for sure, for Belmont and Junior Alvarado who picks
up. I'm out for the first time.
So I think I think this one could see a little bit of a of
an improved here, you know, when the myelin date last time in the
grade to demoiselle and and I don't know, I'm willing to kind
of give her another shot. She's only had two races on the
first song was that seven like score in a maiden special weight
race? But but I think that she's
pretty talented and and she could be there those.
I should say we're both dirt races but I think that bill Mott
No, it's good with any type of a horse and I think he's certainly
has the ability to spot a horse that might do a bit better on
the grass and so I wouldn't be surprised if she is one of those
maybe she kind of just, you know, grew up a little bit as
well, enter three-year-old year and they're like, I think the
sources we should try the green with her.
So willing, to give her a shot at 9220 Polina, obviously has
the grass experience. He's had those five races so far
and she really hasn't done much wrong for Worse effort was You
know, result rather was at Fifth Place, finish for was a blanket
finish. And we lost by a little bit over
length, so I definitely think that one is right there as well.
A grand motion. Could have a big day, the wind
for the for Philly. How do we say that ambient to
you these two years? Okay yep.
That one exactly how the race card is going to call it too.
Yeah, you know, she she had the first race on grass and it was
an okay performance and then was on the synthetic hair, go
through Park, and now they're moving her back over the grass.
But she's coming in looking pretty fit with the numbers that
that she's run in the morning. And who is the other one I
wanted to mention here, there was.
So it was the the seven miss you.
Ella 10 to 14, Chad Brown. My router teeth.
When do we ever get 10 to 12 of them on a turd with China?
Adam. Yeah.
There's been a ton of one. That's right.
Yeah, granted. Granted, you know, her win again
came over the synthetic similar to the ground motion, which is
the same way cameras synthetic she did race with place except
day, she was a heavy favorite. So I don't know that that brings
kind of the conversation of the who did she beat, right?
But but yeah, I mean it's Chad Brown my route on the turf.
So mad cat horse. Like I I've seen this before so
I'll include her because I'm afraid of Bring her out and
every success. So you only the only thing I'll
say here, Megan talked about nostalgic.
First time Turf and turf to dirt for Belmont.
Excuse me. Dirty shirt from Belmont.
Is 8%? Yeah that is one of the she's
she is. So I'm against that horse for
that reason. By the way, that's I agree.
I looked at the horse, I was like, oh wow, there's something
here with the buyer numbers, all those other things, but his
personal numbers that way, excluded, that horse for me from
the ticket. Yeah, Bill.
Martin jr. Alvarado.
Won this race. Last Here I loved you.
Dear Alvarado ought to be able to record with that, but
ironically this there's only been one trainer to win this
race in back-to-back years and it was not them it, but it was
Chad Brown. Who own this race won?
Six straight. So he's won this race.
He won the traits. No one else has ever won
back-to-back. I disagree.
Chad Brown knows nothing about Turf racing.
I will take my chances on that server.
I like it a lot that is that is the, that is the classic Mike
and also across the board pick right there.
So I'll do that. Are you lonely bet to win or
what? Except for?
I don't know. I'm gonna go across the board
Charlie honey. Listen.
All right, so let's move on to the the main event.
The Chad ground PA bread. Interesting.
Chad Brown could train it Alaska bread.
But still, but the North Dakota South Dakota Alberta
Saskatchewan bread. It's got 100%.
Yes. So I mean you need a fellow as a
Pennsylvania Brad, you know, idea the the font the, the main
event is the great theater Three, Holy Bull.
And these do have some Derby points.
And again, named after the great horse, holy rule bull, who won
the Florida Derby? I believe, yeah, he definitely
won the Florida, believe in 94. Maybe this used to be called the
preview steaks. Yeah it was found in 1990, he
actually did not win the Derby night for go for Jin did but he
Holy Bull. Did when the Florida Derby.
So yep. This has been a great race for
many years. Louis who do you like in this
one? It's just a great horse neighing
to, by the way. I I'm going off the board here a
little bit. I think the eight white of
Barrio saffy Joseph Tyler. Ran the disappointing third in
the Kentucky, Jockey Club. But he has that routing
experience now has been training, Eagle Street Park, he
seems to love the surface 242 lifetime.
There should be a part of the equation.
I love that 821 number. I'm not sure we'll get it but I
can only go on morning lines. At this point if the to mow
Donegal brings his Remsen form South he can and should win.
I think we learned that last year with a horse like mellow
that who train to New York and they got that not as deep sort
of track that they have in New York and other places.
Wait, what? What track is not be open here,
all of them are deep is what I'm saying?
Oh okay, especially in Queens. I just have hard doubts about
horses who show their best form in the fall of their
two-year-old campaigns. That's not his fault though.
Pressure Pletcher. I read hitting at 26% in a
substantial sample, size a Gulfstream Park, that's an
included. Me simplification, the for ran a
massive race in the mucho Macho, Man on New Year's Day at
Gulfstream Park, he'll have to show that he can go to turns.
It is a hashtag stretch out, Susan, so we'll find out if he's
a router or not. At least we know a mile isn't
too much for him in the nine Giant game.
Great game. Third and the British cup
juvenile. Yeah anybody yeah.
There's no reason to think there's no reason we can't be
better here. I'm not a dill Romans fan.
I think that's pretty established on this show
recently at least not not passed and not for his personality but
ever else. This is a talented son of giants
Causeway. So I'm going to include I'm
eight-to-four. 9 inches. Okay, Meghan.
I Really think I like the ninth in here Giant game.
If he shows any kind of performance like what he showed
in the Breeders Cup juvenile. I mean I know he lost by three
lengths, a date. I don't think anybody was going
to be coordination and I was very adamant about that before
the race, but the comment line says hung her him.
But that means he's well-endowed From into the Breeders Cup
Juvenile and obviously they give them some time to grow up there
as I give them a layoff from November but I thought like
looking, you know, at the pictures and video and
everything. Leading up to the Breeders Cup.
He was one of the horses that really caught my eye.
I thought you was physically very impressive.
And so, I'm kind of curious to see what he's going to bring to
to this race. And, you know, Dale looks like a
dad, right? Just cause way.
He's an impressive looking. He's an impressive looking cold.
I agree. Yeah, I just remember him
physically, but I remember coloring but but, but yeah, I
just thought he was a pretty impressive when you know he
certainly is a is a must include mode.
Honorable, I agree with you there, if you brings us a of the
game that we saw at Aqueduct and and then simplification as well
is the local horse, you know, do you do use this one?
I don't know. I think he's I prefer some of
the others in here, especially since he's got just that one
route race and granted, he did win it by four lengths, but the
rest of his efforts were at a sprinting distance and then
you've got that Sprint on the synthetic to.
So I just don't really know what to make of them.
But I'm very interested to see what we get from Tis.
The bomb in here who is nice that kind of an unofficial
official Breeders Cup winner live right here.
Ooh, because modern games was disqualified.
So to the bottom one, it but didn't win it.
But I just remember this horses performance in the bourbon
actually came and he, you know, we talked about some of those
forces that just they finish, he kind of runs that way.
Anyways, he's a bit of a high-headed horse, but he
finished like that and he finished like, he had so much
left, but those were on the grass.
And, you know, we did start his career at Ellis Park, he won by
14 lengths. In his Maiden special weight
score. But since every, he hasn't been
back on the dirt and that that Mi ree said Ellis is kind of
that one tarnish race, right? They kind of like, slant into
the turn and then they make a turn, and they've got one, so, I
don't know. It seems like his dirt races
have kind of been more sprinty. And we're talking about a mile
to 16th Grace, all the dirt. So I don't know, especially for
a horse to who it is, made in such a way score here.
He had the lead, he said, the fractions from beginning, but
now he's going to get some Kickback potentially especially
in the six hole. If he's not able to get to the
front, how's it going to deal with that on the dirt as
compared to the grass? So I have, I have some concerns
but I am very interested because get even because is not a dumb
guy. So the fact that this or what
three-year-olds yeah, yeah, exactly.
The fact that his worshippers of here definitely made me take
notice and to be something to watch in the form.
I think everyone. Looks at buyers and you know,
whatever else, the weight that horses have to carry in these
kinds of races is really interesting.
So Tis, the bomb because of his results has to carry the same
amount of weight as a mode article, for example, right?
So if you have to carry 124 pounds in this kind of race, it
means that you've done something in your career, you've been in
the front, You've Won and so I love that you're talking about.
This horse is not one that I brought up, but it means that
he's a freaking winner, right? Tractor 124 pounds.
Would your 3? That's that's a statement
because by the way Giant game that we both like 118 pounds.
Yes, 6-pound Advantage. This is essentially a handicap,
right? And so it's very cool that they
also are flying in Bryant Hernandez for this race.
I appreciate that. Another, this is a Dylan Davis.
Bryant Hernandez similar kind of guys so it's cool to Kenny's
flying him in for this but Like its kind of talk to me.
I think, I mean, this, this is, I don't know what to do.
I mean, I don't know what to do. That's fair that Kentucky, I
will say this, the Kentucky Downs, Turf course, was very
hard this year and the Del Mar Turf course is a California Turf
track, right? For you, at least.
At least you've got, you know, to it's not like, all his races
were like Keeneland and kind of those deeper softer.
There's and, you know, Saratoga or whatever.
I mean, this potentially they were a little bit rockier.
So I like that, when we're talking about the switch to the
dirt surface because all we have to go off of, is those two early
releases on the dirt, but I think he's a talented or
overall. I just, I just don't know what
to do with them here, but I think he's worth a look.
Well, I guess I think this is a race to that is, you know, even
though it's a just a 10-point race, it's kind of like this
pedigree. So it is a great being rich, but
historically, this is you and really start learning about
these three year olds and what their three-year-old forms going
to be to serve. This was Barbaro.
You know, he not his coming out. Party was a second greatest
Stakes win but it was his first great shakes.
When was that a lesser known track?
And this is like his first step. If anything big league, we saw
Shanghai Bobby come into the race and, you know, was
unbeaten. And then he got beat here in the
Never Was the Same afterwards. You had audible announcing his
presence and getting his first. Steaks win in this race tizzle.
All we mentioned just because the bomb Tis the law.
First three-year-old win was in this race and, and, you know,
looked amazing here. And so, they're going to Vera
who ended up winning for Gary came in, second in this race and
kind of announced his presence as a contender.
So you as a frosty came in second to bit Kimberly but
that's alright. So, and made seven million
dollars or something? I love to own guns.
Gonna barely won at. No, I I don't think you should
read too much into this race, but I definitely think that
there's there will be things here that we look back on that
happen in this race that you wanted to pay attention to, you
know. So sure important important race
to watch. Okay.
So let's finish up real quick with another quick pic so that
Louis can have his late, Pick 5 all set and this is great twelve
sixteen thousand dollars. Meaning price and starts a
thirty. One thousand dollar race in my
own the turf. Who do we like your Louis?
This is me. Kevin kirstine curse race.
He'd never want these to be commissioned.
A picture card. Megan's giggling because I'm
right. All right, so include the you.
All right. Yeah, the Tory, Kim first off
the claim for for trainer, Martin Drexler who hits at 21%
with firsters. He wanted a sneaky 21 percent
last year. He and Louis, jocular sizes are
24. Two together.
Pletcher has the 12 Mo ready in for his lowest tag ever while he
didn't win last year. He ran a 94 speed figure over to
turns on the turf. At Saratoga I read in the mount
could we get a repeat of that form?
I'm interested in that. So I'm going to go weirdly I'm
going to go thin in the last leg 10 and 12 in this race Megan.
Well I'm also making a question real quick before we go in
because on the dirt racing Gulf Stream.
Were the starting line is being to turns.
If you run that outside post positions, it's like the kiss of
death. Is it talk to people?
Why? It's not that way on the turf
course. Or is it, though?
You're basically starting and going right into the turn and
I'm ready. 10 to 12, which is well taken.
Yeah, for sure. I mean, I really just think it
depends on what yours is running style.
Is I mean it matters but the speed or is for sure because if
you can't you know if you're hung out wide already and you
can't get that competitive position that you want.
Then you have a lot less options but if you're a horse that comes
from off the pace or needs the cover, then it kind of is Is,
you know, you could break from the gate, talk in a little bit
and then work your way up and you've got the backstretch to do
most of that. But but I really think it
matters, dirt orator if it matters more so on the horses
running style. So you know excuse me a horse
like the the 12 Mo ready. I don't necessarily think this
is a need the lead type of horse but he has done a lot of his
best running when he has been on the front end or very close to
it. So it definitely matters for
words like that who you know is is Coming out of here and needs
to get that positioning, especially about the way up to
you. Got to hope that he's like sharp
from the gate and he's ready to go.
I also like the 10 there, who Louis mentioned, with pachauri
kid, who was previously treated by Rob atris.
He does a really, really good job of hitting his wife.
Brittany, I like those two horses, but I think you, I don't
know if this is a race where I would get skinny on.
I think those are probably the We winners but it, I don't know.
This feels like one of those races that just blows up your
tickets, you know, especially with the ratings agree,
especially with the race before talking about the, the Holy Bull
and we just mentioned a lot of horses at some pretty decent
prices that, you know, could could we stop it?
Put the lotion in the basket. I like the double angle by the
way. That's really rich.
I like that a lot. Like someone off the board and
in the Holy Bull especially yes. I agree with you.
Yeah. But I bet even like the three
horse Peru for Peter Walter that one could be right there as well
stretching back, of course. Yeah.
So I think there's a number of horses.
You could go for it here in the 52 is take a little bit of a
cough drop as well, so All right, Louis let's push up.
Look at your pick five ticket here, have you folks?
I mean heavy, it's all three horses.
Four horses, two three, four, three two two.
Seventy two bucks. Yeah it's not that bad 5 6 7
then 5 7 9 12 to 6 8 2 4 and 10 12. $72, if you have that kind
of money, good for you. I am much more likely to play
the pick three were going to talk about Ed naira.
Hmm I also like that middle pick for a lot.
I really feel strongly about that single and to pick for a
Gulfstream. So this is your least likely of
your Exotics that we multi-race sequences that you're putting
out there. I'm trying to be a ticket
douchebag on Twitter and so that's what I'm doing.
But I held much hoping the Yeah, so the yeah, right the nairo.
Number one. The Earth, the middle.
Pick for it, at a Gulfstream over 2 and then that one number
three. Yeah, there you go.
Okay, so we're going to move on to Aqueduct in and we're going
to talk first about the grade 3 toboggan which is seven furlongs
on the dirt for four year olds and up hundred fifty thousand
our race. First off Megan what is a
toboggan? Didn't we have this discussion?
Yeah it's just an annual thing. Yes we're going to rebuild it
and wearing this for a reason - for a reason you do.
Yeah, here. So I could remember we talked
about on the show or if I talked about that here at the house,
but it is a hat were a sled, but my husband calls the hat that
you're wearing a toque because that's what Canadians call it
and add your husband's right by the way, was born in Canada and
I never heard that before. So what you're wearing has many
names beanie toboggan to I don't even Know if you've got another
name for it to happen. Yeah yeah so obviously that's
it's a southern thing to call the wool the knit hat a toboggan
but I guess it is technically a sled whatever.
So yeah so Louis this is the 123rd running know that was in
2016. I'm sorry.
This is 128 when I think of the toboggan good night.
Yeah. So hit.
There you go. Awesome.
Yeah a lot of History in this race.
Who do we like here to me? This looks like a match race
between the five. Happy medium before hopeful
treasure with a pretty obvious decided Advantage.
For happy. Medium 25.
He's one of my morning line. It's too bad frankly because you
would hope that that hard thousand dollar races, we would
attract more horses. But if you're playing the early
sequences, then I would single the five and it's boring.
But it is what it is. Yeah, I agree.
I mean, I think the three has a little bit more.
Back class. I'm hesitant to say I mean he's
placed in some graded stakes races and some stakes races, but
I think his best, obviously his best performances in that
allowance re so I think he's right on par with the five happy
medium, but if you wanted to add another one, then that's that's
a possibility. You've also got the, for hopeful
treasure, who actually is a great three winner coming out of
that last race. And that was with that Lasix.
On race day, and one by ahead at a pretty big price.
But can you repeat that performance?
I'm not really sure. This is one of these favorite
races, I think because they've got all the stud fees.
And here, you've got a twenty five hundred dollars per drafted
100%. Well, 12, 54, the five happy
medium 7500 for the, for 10,000, for the to and the most
expensive 25,000 for the 32 one shot.
More civilized time. Let's go.
Yeah. This race.
Drafted one happy medium came in.
Second hopeful treasure came in third.
So draft. It would try to become the first
horse to repeat in the toboggan since 11:00 and 12:00 when
calibrachoa it wasn't last year. No, it's about two years ago,
right? So worth mentioning Jose Ortiz,
state in New York for this weekend.
When there's all that money, you know what?
Holy crap, what's wrong? I'm looking at.
I'm looking at horse racing Nation, right?
Shout out to I guess the horse racing Nation.
Well, I'm flattered. They literally have the, you
know, the past performances and race results of you can go and
see. They've got it down that for the
for this race for already. That's why I said trapped a
happy median. Hopeful treasure in this race
because they've got a already down there.
Like that's going to be. So, listen, if that is, he does
being If that it ends up being resolved and we need to start
looking into like, you know, let's fix time travel stuff.
Yeah, right. Yeah.
They got the day 2526. A has a time-travel machine.
Yeah. Which by the way would be the
American power won this last year by the weakest waste of a
time travel machine ever. That's funny.
I'm very sorry about that. I should have paid more
attention to the date. All right.
Can we move on everything out that that drafted not going to
have Dylan? Davis aboard by Jose Ortiz is
like a pretty. Okay, you're fooling.
Yeah, go to our backup, Jose Ortiz, call in the reliever.
All right. So let's move on to the withers.
Again, this is another horse race that has been around for a
very long time. The inaugural run of the withers
States occurred in 1874. Why an edge Rome racetrack?
This is why history again in the in the withers, the withers is a
mile and eighth on the dirt. Three-year-olds there's some
dirty points here as well. 250,000 dollar purse Louis, who
you like in this race, everyone is going to Focus on the nine
early voting. It's good.
Reason, Brown Jose 30% at Aqueduct, son of gun Runner The
figure just come through the last couple of years in this
one, too. So with risk-taking max player.
I expect this trend to continue if you wanted off the board type
who has run really well. Recently, look at the 11 could
Creek ran second in the grade 3 Nashua and throwing the in the
Jerome over the slop son of vocal Mo has already made a
hundred thousand dollars that's in the 11 horse here.
By the way, I think he at least hits the board even further off
the board. We're going deep.
Is it to is the to Grantham we're in second on debut in a
one hundred and sixteen thousand dollar Maiden special weight in
November at Churchill Downs, broke his main that Turf way.
Which has increased its by the way as persons in the six
thousand dollar rate at me especially with a 280 thousand
dollar purchase has War front and Arch as granddad's if you
want to 6 9 and 10 in the last. I really early voting though, I
think is a favor for good reason Megan.
Yeah, I agree there on early. Voting.
I mean the fact that cook Creek is finished some really good.
Third and second place efforts recently, against some good
company is is notable and he's got those two wins obviously.
But it early voting doesn't really have to do too much here.
Just has two shows that he can go a little bit longer.
He's had that one in a mile but that's all he's done so far.
But the only other horse that I thought about including for like
half a second. But I talk to myself off of his
the for that's my off-the-wall pick.
If we was going to have one I'd say probably the four.
Beige, for Bill. Martin Kendra Carmouche who is
writing in 20% right now, but doesn't often team up with
Elmont but this is sort of comes off.
A layoff here, he's got the distance experience thus far as
the my land of 16th and he's done that three times.
I'll be at not here at the at the New York tracks that was at
humid and and Churchill Downs. You did every race at Saratoga
but it was a Sprint race and he finished except day so I don't
know. I'm going to comes off the
layoff, he's had some kind of slower looks like endured
stamina building. My workouts.
But other than that, I don't know.
He's my Longshots picking here. All right, so Louis this is the
middle leg of your prestigious. Late Pick 3 Sequence at
Aqueduct. You want to give the rest of the
bed here since you're so excited about this.
Oh Louie, we lost your sound. Oh your.
There's no pardon. Much coughing.
So I You okay. There I am.
Let me double-check these things.
Um, You're singling the three? No, I'm not.
You're not, I'm not, I sent JD the wrong stuff.
Oh, that's okay. All right.
Okay, well look hashtag, let's go ahead and drink it.
You know what everybody messes up.
Sometimes there's so much to do. I also was a an elementary
school teacher for three children today.
Oh yeah. It's a monster.
All the burden of the world. So, so so do we have?
So I do actually so in can we he's like, yo, making the Louise
looking for it and he can kind of give me a little signal when
he's ready to go or something like that.
But as you know, it's kind of interesting because we were just
he's mentioning about the Holy Bull and how we can learn a lot
about horses. And it the withers is the exact
opposite. I mean, they're this race is not
really factored in to the derby picture for many years.
Friendly Fire did run second in this race at one time.
It kind of goes to show. Just how the for to track the
Florida. Like tract to the Kentucky Derby
is just way more. I don't want to see important
prestigious maybe then the new or track the the New York
trainers go to Florida, send their best strings down to
Florida. Yeah.
Plus I don't really keep their horses in in New York if that's
going to be there, Derby horse there a string, right?
I mean, so I think it's just a matter of the inventory that you
have to work with. You know, I think the I don't
know. It's it's not unlike like the
Lexington. Like it's you if you have a
worth ready and Kentucky, it came under going to send it in
the Bluegrass if you can write, probably not Alexei.
Well, I'm just glad the overall New York, the New York path.
To the Kentucky Derby has been in struggled.
It has struggled for sure. Yeah I just because I just don't
think you have the best horses. So why would there be a is Vita?
What is universal? New York finisher, the last
couple of years. probably try not to go back and look and see
across the board or just coming out of the wood in general.
It's been a while. I mean honestly because even so
think of zaj are thinking of mouth on, excuse me, they
shipped her out of New York. Bubonic is virtually all cities
and Vermont which was last year. Yeah.
And so I did some I'll a pic32 JD hopefully that little pop up
soon but I agree. There it is 45.
Then the nine singled in the blank, with the 13th Place,
finish the Derby, go ahead, the nine single weathers, and then
6:9-10, I played, I'm going to play for three bucks of the
pick. Three eighteen dollars to make
the BET cool. Yeah.
But your passion like this is this is your this is my best bet
of this show. Show with these legitimate,
apologies for whatever came up on screen earlier.
Yeah, all right. There you go.
All right. Well, you know, we've gone,
almost an hour and a half. So I think this is probably time
for us to clean clean and tables around this.
All the lights are so yeah. Good show today.
You know, it's fun to get back out and do this.
And, you know, will He survives by storm, that's how I survived
the answer. I will not be here next week,
but the show Will Go On Without Me.
We will see you as Taniya. Thank you.
We will see you. I love her next time on the
horse racing. Happy hour.