Jenny & Federico

This week on the horse racing. Happy hour presented by Single

Barrel, cigars table wins. The Santa Anita Derby.

Is he, the new Derby favorite or a Wiseguy horse?

Sandin racked up, more frequent, flyer miles and more Derby

points. With the wind, in the Bluegrass.

Can this be Chad Browns year in the derby?

And the derby field will be set after the Lexington will rounds

of Tawny Port come with dessert on the dirt, or will the check

come in due time? The happy hour starts right now?

What is up? Welcome to the horse racing.

Happy hour. Presented by Single Barrel Cigar

Company. We are having a little different

show today which is exciting myself - Ein.

I'm taking over for the host seat for the Big Mike and all

faux also known as Big Fudge lower, your bow constant on the

show and of course you could to actually see our producer,

extraordinaire KD, Fox and TV. We call it voice of God.

You know? And you just have fun and come

in but this here he is, he's right.

You're right now face, that's hair.

That's hair of God right there. Look at that guy.

And and I and because I love you guys.

I got like half of my video setup out for you guys.

I love it. I love the Devotion to the show.

Also going to say that the puns into this week's open.

So I need pipe by far my neighbor one, top-class top

shelf for the horse racing, happy hour.

So she obviously the ones this week but you playing CeCe

peniston. The background was Till I do

your Alzheimer. So yeah, there we go.

Hashtag Megan's too young. Megan is too young.

That is the first hashtag of the show.

We have enjoyed the happy hour before, where have you been?

But this is where we talk about horses and have a bit of fun in

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Do that every show. And this is the original by the

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I am super excited about this. This is a great.

It's gonna be great. All right, so we had some big.

We are winding down in the derby prep season and it seems like we

just started. So not sure where February and

March 1 but they gone. So we had the Santa Anita Derby

out there on the west coast where we had Vivid upset.

We got three replay to show here. 98 has taken the lead at

the quarter pole and quickly pulls away from Forbidden

Kingdom. Tabor running a giant race on

the outside 3/16 of a mile to run and it's Messier and table.

12 Forbidden Kingdom five behind inside the 8bo Messier.

Tabor running lights out on the outside.

And here's tayba o. Getting the upper hand in the

final stages, the run-happy Santa Anita Derby, goes to table

under Mike Smith. So my favorite result than what

we thought was going to happen. Yeah.

My favorite conspiracy theory about this is that they let

table win because they knew both would get in the derby field.

That's my favorite one. That's been my favorite so far.

It's a good one to love. No, I know I got like probe each

throw from a local journalist here which was one of my

favorites. But I think that an expert we

literally talked about the two horses that were at the lead at

the turn and then I said the Wild Card, of course is table

but I did really put much Credence to it.

I'll be very careful. It's a.

But do we? You know, once in a while that

it's an angle that doesn't work. Very often.

But horses coming out of their Maiden win, sometimes just show

up the next race. Isn't that true Megan.

No, and this again. I will I work for that to be a

hard and fast. Well, it's just, that is

ignoring like everything about condition book, placing horses,

like they're so much anyways. JD would you think?

Well, I think there was a lot of talk early that.

Okay, well, tabe is here to fill the slot to make sure the race

goes. But, you know, I have a, I have

interesting take on this because tabas debut, i watch from the

Winner's Circle. Yeah, that race.

I watch. Brag.

That is the humble brag. Okay, go on, boy, it was like,

71 that it was going to be. It was going to be jaded with

the first one is gonna be the first five minutes.

We are at five minutes and 30 seconds.

So, I guess if you think I'm the countdown and the open, I'm

still, right? And then, I watched the Santa

Anita Derby on my phone, in SD from a hotel room in Germany,

so, both tanks on the horse. But look at the horse and

person, you would think. Okay, this is a, a sprinter,

this is a sprinter type body, but you look at the pedigree and

you go, okay. This horse is bred to go all

day. So sometimes you factor the

pedigree and sometimes you factor in the horseflesh.

I'm not as strong of a expert in horse flesh.

As you are Megan, but I definitely thought the distance

was going to be a challenge for table, just physically, and

obviously proved wrong. I mean, You could say, OK, the

figure might've, you know, depending on what figure you

believe, or if you make your own figure slightly less than the

debut Sprint, which was as impressive, a debuts, you can

have but still this horses at the derby field and has the

horse racing world, at least the horse racing Twitter world of

Buzz. So very interested to see the

gambling side of this. When when we get the advanced

wagering going on Derby week, if this horse is going to be, I

think there's a good chance this horses 922 in the dirt.

Baby. I really yeah, I was gonna say

I've seen him in a lot of people's early top, five top

three. I mean, he definitely he made a

splash for sure. It's funny when you were talking

about the, like, the pedigree versus the physical one of those

horses that really stumped me when it came to, the physical

was gun Runner because he, and even his offsprings a little bit

like that, which was hard for his first crop at the sale when

I was looking for horses because he's such a kind of petite, you

know? Packed very well-balanced horse,

but like, he's not physically imposing.

He just kind of like a little thing, you know, and so not

little by any means. But when you're, when you're

thinking about some of these big like classic distance horses, he

wasn't really what came to mind, but obviously on the track that

that didn't come to play at all. So we're completely proven

wrong. But sometimes I feel like that's

almost where you have too much information need to just forget

all the other angles there. It's a Gunrunner by a flatter

mayor. I mean, like, you know, it's

sometimes, it's It is out of a flight immerse, you just it is

what it is, right? So I mean it's up.

Yeah, sometimes it just works out.

Yeah, it's really interesting to with that, the way that table

attire but how is saying this was able to win that race

because I thought, okay, yeah, he went up against Messier.

You know, Kay made a big move on the turn and then in the stretch

of the 16-fold, I don't know that if just Messier was like,

tiring and slowing down, or they weren't pushing him because

they're saving. What's left for the Derby?

Was like, at the 16th hole, he just hit a whole nother stride,

which I was super impressive. So I thought it was the way he

finished that race which I think was really, you know, probably

more of an educational thing than anything else because you

want a horse like that that is coming out of maybe some earlier

races that weren't as tough as some were all these other horses

came from, you want them to learn.

It's an education. Thanks, I think you got a really

good education and that's and Anita Derby so he's definitely a

horse to watch for me, for sure. I don't think Johnny V really

hit the bottom of Messier. Anyway, I think basically, you

know, he knew the job there. He was going to already, go

ahead and be in the derby field, so no sense.

Winning this sin and he had Derby.

Why push? Because obviously bigger, things

ahead, because that horse is still eligible for the Canadian.

Triple Crown. We get it.

We got. Yeah.

There we go, 100%. All right, then we had good old

zenden. One of the Bluegrass.

Let's take a look. Bullying by the quarter pole.

A manual, the leader smile, happy now takes aim from the

outside. Here's smile.

Happy to take the lead from a manual into the final Furlong

hands. And on is running late Zan.

Dawn has moved through all kinds of traffic from the back of the

pack and is now taking command in deep stretch.

It's over Zen Dawn wins. The Toyota Bluegrass with a

traumatic stretch, run for flavian Pratt.

Yeah, I mean that was a very interesting race from Zen not I

know. I he was my pick for the

Bluegrass. I thought he was looked really

good coming into form here but the way he won, the fact that he

was able to take a little bit of bumping.

I think is important when you're talking about that 20 horse

chaotic field that we get in the Kentucky Derby.

Louis, would you think I think it's a style that can't win the

Derby and so, they're going to need to be nearer to the front

if they're going to try to do that.

I do like that. Both he and table.

Finishers and would it seem to be okay with the longer

stretches are going to get it? Churchill and so that's a

positive. We also know that if a horse

gets disqualified flavians, going to be right there to pick

up the pieces and be in second place and get put into first

place. So that's a thing that we can be

really happy about. And so, you know, it's, there's

lots of ways for this horse to win the race because flavians

aboard still funny. Not, by the way, Pratt put on

just an absolute Clinic. Oh yeah, Keeneland since go,

Going there. I mean just right.

It's not even funny. It's ridiculous.

He's doing so well, they're so good for him JD where you think.

Yeah. I think obviously Louis hit on a

bunch of the big notes there. I mean lots of traffic trouble

kind of winding through the field that trips not going to

win you the Derby but I think this horse has enough tactical

speed to be closer. I think that I agree with that's

right play for the day so I'm not I'm not throwing this out

and obviously waiting for flavian to cross the wire first

in the derby and waiting for Chad Brown.

First derby win. So, yeah, those could happen

with this horse. I don't think this horse is out

of it. I think this furnace is

probably, you know, 12 to 1 or so, when the Derby comes, and I

think a lot of, a lot of people will be betting late.

This could be a wise guy horse. Yeah, for sure.

I definitely think he's a, he's a top Contender for sure.

All right, that brings us to the Wood Memorial.

Where provider, you can't spell Danza without Zan Dona.

Keep going. Right.

So anyways the wood JD hit record is 11 11 and 2.

It is early voting trying to take them wire.

Do I hear early voting in front mode on ago comes on throw

doubt. On the inside to grab s, it is

early voting in front. A challenge here from modown

ago. Early voting trying to hold on

with a sixteenth of the Finish MoDOT ago bearing down on the

outside its modown ago and early voting and it is mode on ago,

modown ago, one the Remsen. Here is a 20 Are all any comes

back to win. Today's 97th running of the Wood

Memorial. No, Donna.

Go gets the victory there. Let's go to JD JD initial

thoughts on the race. John embryo with a long long

call, but made the right guy mean mode on illegal.

This is Alyssa loves Aqueduct. Yeah, I think this is a horse

that will have a fine career on the naira circuit.

I do not think this horse is a contender come Kentucky Derby

time. Nor have we seen really abadie

recently come out of this race. Obviously, I sold a lot of my

oats on horse racing Twitter. Canberra banach in last year's

Wood Memorial. And I think this horse has a

very similar shot. Probably 35 to 1 and yeah will

be a deep closer and I don't think has a has a chance to snap

the board personally. Oh my I am so attracted to

stretch runs where the whip just doesn't come out and the jockey

just drives the horse and the horse just goes and that's so

that was so I love that stretch ride by Mo Donegal but I'm kind

of with JD here. I'm not at all.

Sure again that this is the style that's going to win the

Derby. It Does win at Aqueduct for some

reason that deeper track sort of thing, it doesn't win the

Belmont which is interesting. So hopefully you know he'll be

able to be closer to the front when they run them in June.

But I I really thought Marella was the most talented so to get

gets essentially I think was my second pick on the board there

to his horse and do anything wrong?

It's again, it's just stylistically.

It's very hard to win the Derby. Doing what he did?

Yeah, well I'd even, you know, early voting, who I also Marilla

had Not a great breaks but I don't think you can completely

blame it on that. And then early voting obviously

put in a fine race, he was right there, but just expected a

little bit more finish from him. So overall I thought kind of

disappointing for quite a few horses.

And they're so be interesting to see what What mo donegal's going

to be able to do. I think the fact you that you

know, we have this really interesting field for the

Kentucky Derby just in general. Obviously some news out of

California, which you should have touched on but the Santa

Anita Derby is that Forbidden Kingdom.

Is off the Derby Trail there thinking he may have an ulcer

under his epiglottis which unfortunately an epiglottis

issue is also what kept Omaha Beach.

Yeah. What's going about with the help

of the opposite refrigerator and Della Della you know that's the

worst good Horseman but he is not.

I don't think you. I don't he's at of all the great

races that he is one like he's almost too.

With the sources, he's too reserved.

I don't know that we're ever going to see a Derby winner come

out of there because of the way that it's you have to run such a

tough campaign. And, you know, and I love it

honestly from like a horse's respective because if even .001

something is wrong dad, worse isn't going sir, be or to any

big race. I mean, we even saw that with

the holder. She had a favor fever and she

shipped over to Keeneland for the Breeders Cup that year.

So he's so reserved and that makes them Such a good Horseman.

But at the same time it's just so hard to get that three year,

old classic, you know, Victory when it comes to the Spring May

time. And then other I actually I

wanted to mention too, I think this is actually a pretty

accomplished durbeyfield, if you think about the top, I want

seven or eight horses here. Epicenter finished in to finish

first in the Louisiana Derby, the rid of the Risen star and in

in the Gunrunner second, and on the cobs and on wins, the

Bluegrass comes second out of that remson which was won by

modal. Who won the, would you got way

to borrow who won the holy bolt, and the Florida Derby.

You've got right tis, the bomb winning, both the Battaglia and

the Jeff Ruby's takes. I understand those are both on

synthetic, but ran, well, in the Is cup as well.

I mean, then you got CyberKnife. You got I mean honestly I think

I think Jade he's not just playing the I like International

racing card when he talks about Crown Pride.

I think you think he's got some kind of shots.

At least get a check in this thing, right?

It just seems really. Yeah, it seems we haven't

mentioned simplification here which you know, he won the found

a you s in the whole Ebola. Third in the Florida Derby

smile. Happy wins a jockey club comes

back. Runs a couple of good seconds

and then this past weekend as well.

So I mean even slow down and he's coming out of the

fraternity and coming out. Of the Sunland Derby.

So drink just to drink folks, porch, a deal.

Yeah. Whatever you say is pride,

obviously I think has the running style to do on the

Derby, but right, A lot of people like this.

Miss the UAE Derby from a win, wager perspective in the

Kentucky Derby. But if you go back and do some

research, you ain't Derby. Winners have been hitting the

board and Derby in the super sure.

And, and have been closing. Well, That's kind of been the

style. That's been winning the, the

yeah, the one, the one run, being a little off.

The just, you know, slightly off the lead.

Making one run down the stretch. Obviously, that's a style that

fits Churchill very well with the long stretch.

So, I do think this horse has a serious chance.

One of the things I'll also say, Louis is it's going to be a very

top-heavy feel, I'm getting the sense.

I think we're going to see a lot of defections in the, in the

teens, in the standings and you're going to have a lot of

horses that you haven't necessarily.

A herd of or heard of recently that are going to make their way

to the derby field. So it's going to be a very

interesting, couple weeks here. Yeah, one, I really just want to

hear who that bird like, oh, we have a very nice colony of

robins back here. And so had, I had, I been in

charge of naming, the baseball team here.

They would have been a Roberts for sure they're robbing.

Okay, I love it. It's great.

All right, so let's talk a little bit about the Phillies

The Oaks. Huh.

I mean, I don't know about you guys, but I was like, Blown Away

by Nest. Hmm.

So I mean, the way that that horse won and how easily and how

wrapped up she was like, they've got something special right

there. Well, we saw this last year with

Mallet that one in the same way. Right?

So right, yeah, we kind of, we're able to look at her in in

the prep at Keeneland and then look ahead and see her like

liking the longer stretch at Churchill.

I think we have exactly the same thing with Nest here.

Impossible, not to love Kathleen.

Oh, she might have been the best horse on Florida, Derby day.

I mean, maybe not close for whatever.

Oh, and then it goes to lose going to be running for the

second time this year. We love that angle on this show,

for sure. Do we dislike you giri who seems

to be doing things? The right way desert Dawn is

coming in off of good. Runs of any Valentine didn't win

last time out, but is Leah. Very good horse.

What is secret? Oaths stamina going to look like

when she gets to the island in the top conversation for sure.

When you just just those horses alone, I think secret oath Nest,

Echo, Zulu and Kathleen. Oh those poor horses it's going

to be you talk about like a two-horse Showdown or something.

Like we were talking about Forbidden Kingdom and Messier

and standing the Derby for for Phillies at least.

And you could probably throw a couple others in there too that

it's going to be. Really exciting to see that has

to that has the it has the potential to be as good as the

September Oaks when we had Swiss guy diver we had she'd are

available. We had who was the Sprinter,

help me out baffert horse, Oka mean Janine, thank you.

And then there was a fourth horse in that group.

All four of them were absolute monsters and they finished one,

two, three, four. And it was awesome.

And so, I think there's absolutely a chance that we get

that quality of Phillies coming out of this race as well.

Yeah. Agree.

Going to be excited and I'll just remind everybody that

desert Dawn is an Arizona bread so has absolutely no chance in

the. Anyways, it's fine.

But no and and I can't, but we have so many, it's looking good.

Look at the durbeyfield. I feel like we've got all the

time. Overrun.

Yeah, they're from everywhere. I feel like you've got, maybe a

4 in front of their. I feel like there's a

Pennsylvania bread, there's Ontario bread, obviously,

Kentucky Fred's, whatever. But like, it's all over the

place right now. It's Fun and I I kind of don't

look at where horses are bred anymore?

That's kind of a weird thing to say, but I are at least very

little unless it's a state bread race or whatever.

But, I mean, certainly in factors in a lot less.

I mean, especially like, we're going to Laurel for Preakness

preview for at SEO day and I was not afraid to pick Maryland,

breads. For example in those races

against New York Supreme Court has and eventually yeah I think

they like that. You're going to see a lot of

State versus you know, jump from local circuit.

But even I mean taking the past couple years you've got a horse

like unique Bella. She was a Pennsylvania.

Yeah, you know, we had more Spirit maybe or another horse

who was a Pennsylvania bread. And so we've seen horses pop up

from just about everywhere here recently.

So I agree. I agree.

All right, let's get you a little handicapped in here.

We will do Keeneland handicapping first.

It is, of course, Jenny Wiley day, the forecast is dry 64, and

body. However, there's actually

supposed to be a heavy amount of rain in the wheat early hours of

the morning. So, I do, You think and we've

had a lot of rain, including a tornado last night.

So I think that the course is going to have quite a bit of

moisture in it, personally think it's gonna be a little heavier.

You know, I'd probably be good as Keeneland usually is but like

on the maybe even less than that.

I don't know. It's been pretty pretty damp out

here. So do you want to do?

Want to say that but we have a few races on talk about,

obviously a grade 1. We also have the grade 3, the

Lexington which is the final contemporary preparation, pick

word. This With race number 8 which is

the Giant's Causeway five and a half earlier.

So matter for Phillies and there's three years old and up

and two hundred thousand dollars.

I did not look up the history or past winners of this race

because I am not Big, Mike, big fun and also knowledge help for

that next week, when he's back on the show, all right?

Louis will go to you first. So I think this is an

interesting race in that LZ, who's going to be the three?

Two, one favorite here is the 12 horse.

Has never won without Lasix and we're racing without Lasix in

this one. And so it's a it's an

interesting juxtaposition of her against the five change of

control who only wins without Lasix.

And so I think if you wanted to play the Lasix angle, you could

look at change of control with Michelle level and Colby

Hernandez as your horse to put on top.

Here, didn't run great at the fairgrounds last time out, but I

think has absolutely all the ability to come back and run.

Well here, essentially, I don't want to say third up.

But, you know, third time this year, late January, then early

in March, and then here at April, has won twice at

Keeneland before. So seems to like the course

including that horse has won on soft go at Keeneland.

So if Megan's right and we do have to deal with softer

conditions at Keeneland, that might be a horse that you look

at that stuff. I've changed control.

I also wrote down notes about the 11 going good.

It's mostly based on the connections that horse is 821

that's Cox and Gaston Leone 8 to 10.

The line there's no way that horse is going off in 821.

S, I'm running this year was off since August, when she was

running in. Saratoga, put up a 94 speed

figure in second in that race last time out in the Mardi.

Gras, which was won by LZ. Everyone.

Ran replaced. It circled back to not ending

Lasix here, horses one without Lasix and with Lasik.

So I'm not worried about that. And then the last words, I wrote

down, was the 14, a gnd. And this horse is 10 to 1 on the

morning line, pleasure, and saez, not a great run, last time

out of seven furlongs in Gulfstream Park, The inside

information in a grade 2 that was against horses.

Like just one time Jakarta and for Grace's were on the dirt.

We're not dealing with that. This time we're getting back to

the turf. Here, the horse is considerably

better on the turf for for 12 lifetime. 343 at the distance

with a 90 speed figure. So I actually really think a GED

even on the outside. I know that stuffing 25 and half

for a long race, but with the good break that horse can get to

the front and stay there and do the work that horse actually is

a, is really capable of being in the second.

Third spot being in a three or four.

Oh, path, and coming around and winning the race.

So I landed on those four horses for this race.

The 4:48, the 11 in the 14. So I guess I'm really leaning on

the outside horses there Katie. What's interesting is, I

campanelle who's the morning line?

Favorite 522 coming off the long layoff last ran at Keeneland in

October, I mean, that's kind of interesting angle here.

Wesley, word with a rat up. This horse hasn't won in the

States since the debut main win at Gulfstream and they thought

of This horse to go to Ascot and go to develop in France, where

this she won both of those races, both of those races than

was that the Phillies Turf and finished fourth with Frankie to

Tori doing most of the writing for the career but has irad

here, I really think it's a case where you have to be strong and

say, okay, campanelle wins this race or you have to go deep.

So I'm going to give a couple options here, you know jouster.

The six really disappointed in the honey.

Fox, they're trying to bring for the first time with this.

A horse. That's ran a couple ridiculous

first quarter's going longer in the career and is drawn inside

some of the other main speed like LZ that you mentioned

Louis. So I want to give jouster a

chance, just trying something different.

The first the the very first race of the career is the only

time really that this horse is yes, it was six furlongs over to

slopping going at Saratoga in one of those two year old main

specials and August in Saratoga that are super tough lost the

spunda taught I mean by by 4, but good speed figure, Are and

obviously he's done well on Turf routing, so go and spread and

then I'm going to go crazy with the cheese with your.

I like the nine headline Hunter a little bit - yeah, coming off

of a Stakes victory that why do to actually Turf.

Yep, at Gulfstream Park and part of the reason is a jockey pick

up here with Berto rispoli, picking up the mount here.

This horse says ran well on Turf into efforts a second and a

third. Obviously he's done most of the

damage on the depite at Turfway and then Gulfstream Park.

But should be close to the PACE here.

And if I've got a horse going five-and-a-half furlongs with a

good writer, that will be Coastal close to the PACE.

I feel like you have to include so really for me if you're going

past campanelle, I'm very similar to Louie.

Here I'm, I'm 6 9 11 12 in that order.

Yeah, I'm right there with you JD.

I truly believe that it's campanelle single for you spread

for your pick for and maybe you Figure out a way to play both

angles where it benefits you, but I think it's interesting

with the blinkers off for this horse.

Actually, she did win Slingers off there when she was running a

do field and she really hasn't done much wrong since I mean, I

guess you throw out the most recent recent Deauville, where,

I don't know what happened, it was uncharacteristically bad for

her, she's obviously a great Sprinter.

She can kind of save some ground a little bit.

Wesley board has been on fire as he usually is a Keeneland.

So it seems like this is a absolutely the horse to beat in

here and I'm really not worried about her racing fresh because

it seems like that's an angle that's worked for her before and

what they were opening up 30% when bringing horses back off an

extended lay off. So I am right there with you,

but if you're not going to do that, I think it is absolutely

anybody's race. I've got everything from the

five change of control who I really tried to you know think

about this horse and and say well is she as good as

Campanella? I think she's she's That's right

there with the numbers that she's run.

She hasn't had much luck here in 2022 but this is a horse that's

taken a racing to a ton of different tracks here in the

u.s. seems to run very well without Lasix.

And I think there's a really legitimate excuse for last time.

Was kind of just a terrible start.

Absolutely terrible. So I think that she is

definitely much better than what we saw there.

LZ ended up winning that race and I think she's a talented

horse to, so that's an include for me.

It was the 12 horse. You go and good who Louis

mentioned. I wouldn't be surprised if that

horse go off adding to want to think that's fair with how

competitive this field is. So the six horse jouster is kind

of one of those JD mentioned. I don't I don't know if he's

going to be as fast as he was a De Mi you know so I don't really

know what to do with them but I certainly think that they are

doing the right thing by putting him in this spot.

I think it's manageable he's they tried some grade to eighth

grade, threes of them at a longer distance.

It obviously hasn't worked so, I guess they're hoping he's going

to be just a little bit quicker here at this distance and then

the nine horse you mentioned that makes some sense for a long

shot. Another long shot for you.

Not just because the name is the to start a Vine felt like my

name, and I certainly think that this delay has had some good

races before had a really good run there at Belmont, one the

debut at Aqueduct to, unless I'm not a Stakes race at Saratoga

sprinting. And is another one one of those

late closings, printers. And Abreu wins it well right

now, seven percent, but usually does a little bit better at a

like the fact that Johnny one last Simon the Sorcerer, he

picks up the milk. Yeah, I um, the only think about

Jaster. Did I didn't like is the only

thing Todd Pletcher doesn't do well as go out to spread for

some reason, it's the only thing he doesn't do well.

Yeah I hate I actually think it's a good tactic with the

horse. Just give the horse something

different to do and I like picking up flavian here.

So like, get something different for the whores, just change it

all up. Try something different.

I actually don't hate any of it. I just that.

That's why I did include that horse in case anyone's there's

just a lot. I think a lot of question marks

which I'll stir. So it's one of those that if it

comes through like yeah, I totally see that.

You know, try something new excetra should have put it on

there but that, if it doesn't, you're like, well, yeah, this

is, this is a tough recent right?

Basically thrown pasta against the wall to see what sticks,

right. So yeah, 100%, I think this is

the one of the more competitive race the day.

And I love this starting off the pick for, because I think you

could Really get pretty creative and try to give yourself an

opportunity to start up with a price.

So if you are playing that pig for sequence, definitely invest

in this one because I am pretty excited about it.

That brings us to reason for nine which is the Lexington to

stonetree Lexington, in fact, create three event.

A mile under 16th are on that main track at Keeneland and news

for four hundred thousand dollars we have.

I think a very interesting field this year, certainly going to

matter for somebody to try to get into the Kentucky Derby du

last Kentucky Derby Rep, who'd you go with j.d.

Well, I think this is a very interesting field in that we've

got Tawny Port is the 522 favorite that's done all the

damage on the to Peta so you know, very disappointing effort

on the dirt. So I'm going to look in a

different direction and I'm going to give major major

general another chance here at 12:56.

Yeah, I don't know. Really I've fallen in love with

that trip. In the Iroquois and how much

trouble that horse had and still battled back to win by a neck.

And I'm willing to forgive the Tampa Bay Derby first off the

layoffs. Just Yeah.

Terrible start want to run had a bad start and Castellano just

basically said. Okay we're going to live to see

another day gets irad here. This horse you know should fit

the profile for this race. Come right off the Speed.

So I'm going to go if I'm playing the pick four on

Saturday. What I'm likely doing is I'm

going deep and race eight and I am going to single Major General

because I think Major General either wins this race or you

know, we're never Going to talk about Major General again, I

think those those yeah, two ways this race goes as those two

options. There is no in between, I'm kind

of on the same train of thought there.

I've got him on top and then I had to really reach to find

another. I thought in due time make some

sense with the second-place finish that he ran in the

fountain of youth. So fine.

And then if you're looking for a price we all see it possibly for

any connealy who's stepping up and Strava.

Who gets the blinkers on here and is only one Maiden special

weight though at Last time, broke through the gate, had some

trouble, they are putting the blinkers on this horse, Dallas,

you're a trainee. Gets Tyler gasps Leo in a board

has only run, you know, in the top three, in the career,

including the worst race. So when you're, when you're

looking at a this just it reads to me like a Dallas Stewart, top

three finish or 20 21, you know, get your money in the shop and

show back kind of thing. So I think I will definitely be

playing that worse in that spot. - I have exactly the same top

three. 3, yeah. 7 2 & 3. I'm surprised Megan landed on.

We all see it, that's not use. I mean, it's mostly the name.

I love the progressive commercials, like, I'm not gonna

lie. Yeah, we're like we all see it

as the blue hair. Okay, I like it for a different

reason and so the numbers to but like most no, I get it.

I just Hit the board for sure. Ran huge.

Last time was on that closing kick.

Let's never were stood forth in that, race in a field of eight.

So we're getting into a field of essentially, 10 here, is an 11,

I care. I'm sorry. 11.

So obvious like that. The horses had fifth or fourth,

if it's too fast out front. I mean, you got a horse look,

you know, you got other horses that are going to try to get out

front and be there. And so I think that's the kind

of horse that can pick up the pieces.

I agree with you on, in due time.

That's a horse that if it runs a little bit better in the

fountain of youth, it's right there was implicated Nation but

it felt like a day where simplification was winning and

no one else was going to be able to do much about it.

And I totally agree my major general I learned on this show

early from hanging out with Megan that once in a while last

place is better than say fifth place because you just saved the

horse or the next one we watched Megan I forget like a hard

trying fish. Yeah.

Right. Exactly.

Like a driving fifth. You know, something like that.

And so no. I think they absolutely saved

this sort of constitution for this one out of out of nowhere.

Lemons which I like is a mayor name so they and so, so yes, I

went 723 in that. I put Tawny port in the fourth

spot because I would be surprised if that horse with

that driving Lake style, ends up, picking up a piece.

I don't know what to do with Tawny Port, because I agree.

I mean, the only two great races were Turfway.

And so, he won there, and then, well, first two races, then they

try them in the Risen star. He was up against epicenter

shuffled back. Fine.

But like really didn't seem to enjoy the experience and then he

runs second on the synthetic again.

Now, there was an article I think in the Daily Racing Form

here this week where, Brad, Cox basically said, listen, we're

not necessarily trying to win the Derby for just try and see

if he likes the dirt. Like if we get in great, but

like, this is essentially, well, this could break, this could

break the bars, they've got a points tie at the bottom there,

right? Right.

And he's if he wins, obviously, he's going to get it.

But if he gets any points at all, it actually bumps him up

and he's losing the tie breaker of purse money right now.

So this gives them a chance to get even and he like literally

four points or something and get into the Derby.

So yeah, it's like that and I think just the fact that like, I

mean, I think his workouts are fine.

I think it seems to me to read and it granted.

I didn't watch all these. It seems like where they kind of

you know, pushed him. He had a pretty good time in the

dirt but other than that he seems like a pretty casual type

of dirt worker. And so I'm just really Really

curious to see how he performs in this but I don't know.

I from how it read. Maybe I just kind of wish that

Brad Cox. I'm like I'm confidence in the

worst on the surface. That's right.

So I think a little bit more realistic than like any McPeak,

which is the bomb on the dirt but our I would love if Tawny

Port makes the makes the field for the Derby because Tawny Port

is going to be basically my only chance to cash my Pioneer of the

Nile gigantic. Sighs.

I'll wager that are we? Yeah, this was the last time I

could bet us our wager on perinatal Nile, the last class.

So I did that to honor a horse that I loved watching and

obviously love the progeny of but boy, what a terrible,

terrible crop. Of course, as we write like

American pharoah and then, all right?

So that is the Lexington, the last Kentucky Derby prep, that

is that brings us to our feature race of the day, which is the

Jenny Wiley. The grade one for half a million

dollars for horses. There you go.

Phillies embarrassed for her something up a mountain 16th,

are on the beautiful, Keeneland, grass course.

I don't know about you guys, I went with the 3 and the 4 and

here. So chalk, eating weasel between

Shawn tesara and Regal Quarry. It really doesn't seem like

there's a lot between them. I think Shawn tesar will like a

little bit more given the ground based off of her previous races.

And I think it's going to You know, a little forgiving that

being said, Regal Glory has also run.

Well, on a little bit of a softer.

Turf course, though is over 30 Keeneland but is 2 for 2 at the

distance where shot the Tsar as 141 at Keeneland and Oprah one

of the distance. So I mean I don't know the

six-year-old versus the four-year-old.

I think I'm going with like the younger, you know, new and

improved bottle, but they really seem like a very similar horse

to me. Yeah, I think You have to choose

here. If you're going to, I wouldn't

play both. I think you need to choose one.

If you're playing a longer ticket here, I think it's kind

of a situation where if you spend on a six horse race right,

then you either grab them all or grab others and then you move on

every single, Major General, that's fair to very fair about

who else can win because I think it's probably ladies fight

sphere if it's anyone else. The six just based on probably

going to be right near the front.

So if those other two don't fire coming off the layoff, you might

have that horse in at the end because I think the lead is

going to follow fall to scare be, excuse me, the one and that

horse is probably very unlikely to win this race in my opinion.

And so, if the one is out front, that is absolutely a closer to

me besides the last race. I should say, what I'm Saying is

I think because everyone in this race tends to want to be a

closer, it is going to fall to. Someone Navratilova is capable

of it, but most of her front-running has been a long,

long time ago, she did win last year in the Valley View in

October over a yielding go front front running but I do think

it's gonna be the one that's going to enter inherited here

because I do think Colby Hernandez goes out front with

the rats. I don't.

Yeah I do. I do.

Oh, you do okay. I think we've got speed from

ladies. Worry though.

She'll probably just take a little bit of a breath.

I think her and Shawn to saracen right behind the leader, which

probably comes from the outside. I think, scarpia, the only

option that she has truly because she is actually the

deepest closer in the field if you look back at her past forms.

And so, I think she has an option to win if she can be

quick enough to do so that if those horses kind of give

themselves a run for their money that she's like, okay, and she

just kind of picked up the pieces.

Okay, I don't know her, but the last to be fair that Last race

does kind of throw off that theory only because she did run

into front steps running style ish kind of for most of the race

at least but the fact that it was at a mile and a half, I

think a lot of times you see horses kind of take that angle

because you know that if you said a decent of fraction up

front there, while everybody else is saving ground because

it's such a long race that sometimes you just stay out in

front. So I think you see that tactic

tried a lot in those kind of like marathon races got more so

than others. So ladies, B, beer has ran seven

times latest, by spear has been my top selection all seven

times, at least B, with obviously Roger, Outfield giving

this one more chance Woodbine has opened.

So, Imaging Wilson will be back, there's opening this weekend.

So Imaging will be back Luis, saez aboard.

Obviously, when I see, you know, at field has to choose a jockey,

he doesn't have a lot of relationships with with jockeys.

That are at Keeneland. Choosing saez means I think

Spike Spears. To go out in front.

And also if you look at the 23 + 2 + S last time out in what was

a weird Hillsboro where it was a Breakneck Pace.

But both Gladys and Lady Speights Brewery will were still

around at the end. It was very interesting to see.

I'm off Speights beer here. I really think it's chance of

sorrow, but I think it's really going to be a jockeys race.

I mean, this is a six-horse field and with this whole idea

of all of these horses, And of have, you know, they have one or

two ones and they're in their past performance line and you

see a lot of like eights and nines and sixes and fives, like,

you don't really know on paper how this is gonna play out.

It's really going to be a jockeys race.

So if I'm going to choose anybody even though he's not

done great on the turf at Keeneland so far this meet, I'm

going with flavian. Yeah, for sure.

Well in the fact that he's been, he's won every time on this

Philly, the past three time. So so by the way, just to

clarify my position on this race.

I'm singling shots of sorrow or to be really clear.

That's that's who I'm playing is between those two brown horses.

I agree. I'd play in the three here.

All right. So we did.

We have the last race on the shirt?

Yeah, we did. So we end the day here at

Keeneland race number 11 which is an optional claimer for 62

thousand dollars and it is seven furlongs over the main track and

is a nice little purse. So hundred and twenty thousand

dollars for horses for years old and up.

And I'm gonna go with highly motivated because Because why

not? I think we're getting back to

what he prefers to do. I think we had our fun trying

out the Derby Trail didn't work, to be fair.

He did do well in the Bluegrass. He finished a really close.

I can do essential quality who I think is a super talented horse,

but what was interesting is that highly motivated.

You know, after that race, I was really high on and watching him

train at him or at Churchill, rather last year.

And I think I even said this on the show, he was one of those

horses that I was completely. Off of because of the way that

he was training over the Churchill Downs surface.

I really didn't like the way he was traveling, he didn't seem

like a horse. That was going to win in the

first Saturday in May. So if you throw that race out,

he gets Lasix here. I think that's going to be a big

relief. There was obviously something

wrong because they gave him so much time off.

And now, the bring them back here almost a year later.

I just think it's the perfect distance for him at the seven

furlongs, he loves six-and-a-half.

It seems like this is absolutely the worst to beat.

So I think you keep that ticket nice and small and you possibly

even single there in the last leg with him.

The only other horse I thought about was the eighth or saying

do calling you can delay. Yeah, high five sure.

Okay, great. I tried Brad Cox and Jed not for

lingerie 120. Cumin 1/4 of the distance.

It seems like he's also going to like this, he's done.

Well it's seven furlongs before and it's six and a half ended a

mile so this kind of hits them right.

They're coming off a layoff. He seems like he's got some

speed. It seems like the workouts are

really fast from here recently. So, 12:55, I think that's an

absolute steal. I'll probably play that Exacta

all day long, to be honest with you, and those are the only two

horses, I would use on my ticket, that I grabbed, for this

race, the two, four, eight and 11.

So, the two that you didn't talk about 10 times the to Escape

Route here, I read in, Mark, glad horse has been running.

Well West and so not exactly sure how that will translate to

Keeneland, but we are going to find out and then chocolate

bars, the 1161 Tyler and Mike maker horse has been running a

Gulfstream. Arc.

We've seen some reasonable results coming from her

Gulfstream Park courses at this btran second last time.

Adam, I'll doesn't have to go quite that far.

This time horse hasn't won in a while.

I'll be very, very honest. So we might be getting a bit of

a price here, but since I'm, I'm not playing the late pick for

because I cannot figure out the Giant's Causeway.

I'm just playing a pick three. It's actually pretty cheap for

me. So I can play for horses here.

Play a two dollar pick three, and it's still only 16 hours for

me. All right, I think really, you

guys have the right horse is Did here but I'm going to throw one

in. We're going to start talking

about Maryland breads a little early because once God I like

the tent a little bit, our nation on Parade.

Whoo, way back in the and the two-year-old year won the

Maryland million Nursery way. Back in the day of 2019, this

horse throws some really good efforts in around.

Some really bad efforts in and Santos.

I injure had a nice run at Fairgrounds, I mean, yes, it was

a 30,000 dollar claiming race and we're going up to an

allowance optional claimer for twice that price tag.

But the the starter allowance at Fairgrounds last time that was

not bad, either third, beaten five and a quarter but had the

head in front turning for home. So I think our nation on parade

is going to sit right behind the speed and could have a chance

here and definitely is a horse. You need to use underneath.

All right, I like it. So that'll do it for us for

Keeneland, should be a big day out there so be sure to tune in.

Also, we've got the we didn't talk about it and I should have

put it on the show sheet but the grade one Makers Mark mile which

is one of my favorite races is Tomorrow at Keeneland so be sure

to tune into their racing there on Friday.

I really like the Great Wall on a Friday.

Right? I agree next.

We've got a producer pick from JD, gonna go to throw in some

more racing and their Duty. Its opening weekend at Woodbine

Racetrack in Toronto. Ontario Canada.

And we had to Saturday's card race for which is the kickoff

leg of a 100,000 dollar. Guaranteed pick four starter

allowance, optional claiming condition, sixty thousand, three

hundred dollars. The first four Billy's, a

three-and-a-half non-winners of to Lifetime claiming tag is

forty thousand dollars. We're good, looking at the two

Horse full Blondie with David Miranda board and we're going to

head to the main and breaking score.

This is back on September 5th at Woodbine going five-and-a-half

furlongs over the Tepee de surface.

And on this day, oh Blondie, drew the one hole and took the

field wire-to-wire and is going to be able to hold on,

obviously, going to increase the league here, but it will be

diminishing lengths by the time the Fire comes.

And I will say that the one hole was big here.

The two times that oh, Blondie has ran into one whole.

This horse is gone. Are attempted to take the field

wire to wire. I don't think that's this horses

best running style and drawn from the to path here.

I want to see more of an effort, like August 7th horses.

The six saddlecloth second-to-last right now is

going to be moving up in the outside with purple silks.

Has gonna go all the way around. And this field, this was a five

Furlong Maiden on the turf course.

And this horse is going to eat up ground light and really make

a strong effort for ra Casa. Who's the winner?

This day? The 522 favorite in this spot

but look at the ground. The old Blondie is covering

here. So this is a very versatile

horse. You look at the main win, it was

wire to wire. I don't think this horse has to

go wire-to-wire to win and an 8 to 1.

I think this horse is a must include on your pick for ticket

and I might single this horse. To start the sequence.

Good luck. In all of your wagering

endeavors. By payroll single my favorite

thing about that is I JD's like hey if you need help tonight let

me know. I don't like talking to be

there. I was like you know hey

woodbine's opening. We need a producer for candies

like and his response even in a text message read like yeah of

course jackass. Like of course I'm doing

everybody. Take like what are we doing?

Absolutely by the way little yeah Paul Budaj is Pete's wife.

I think people didn't know that. No yeah.

But or he's a French man in his 60s either or could go either

way. Yeah, absolutely. 20 22 year

old. He's 60s.

But okay. Go on Megan.

I forgot to look when you came up, is that on the ring on the

brain on the turf? Or on the, it is on the Tepee

de. They haven't opened this room.

Yes. Okay, right.

I got, this is everything this weekend is like Or five and a

half for a Long's, every single router.

Sorry there's some for and a half's for, for babies.

So it's also got past weekend that would buy your, your pick.

Their, with old Blondie, is one of those that I love to see it

on the, on the turf, you can kind of come back to me from it.

Okay. Good.

Okay. When they're, you know in the

stride you kind of see them like like out their ankle a little

bit. Like a good Turf course that

really gets a hold of the ground.

I found that That's kind of something I love to see and in

that second Replay that you showed that was a little bit of

what the movement was from your pick and and so I like that.

So I'm if not this race. If they ever his words back on

the turf that's absolutely something that that you want to

look for at least a tie. I personally do.

I think he find really good first.

Have that movement. Yeah.

Next start will be on the trip. The trip courses will be open

and and they basically have always tried to enter this horse

on Turf and just got lucky a little bit but Yeah, still has a

lot of form synthetic wise. It has a good shot and and it's

an interesting race because swirling dancer will likely be

the favorite cow bread that has broke the maintenance at Laurel

and then came back to Woodbine and just likes to finish second.

So I'm trying to read that favorite.

Yeah, love it. All right, we will head to good

old Maryland. Where we've got Fred Federico

tessio day and the forecast is dry. 72 partly.

Honey, I have a career in that of course are handicapping

presented by our friends, there at Single Barrel cigars.

Louis cigar check-in. How's it going still going?

We are now 51 minutes of the show.

I started this week on the show we burn.

And I have. Oh, yeah.

And I have a solid at least 10 minutes left on this thing for

sure. There you go.

It's great. Okay, so we will start off with

race or six, which is the Weber City.

Miss Mallon 16th on the dirt for the three-year-old Phillies

125,000 dollars. It, is it a win and you're in

for the black-eyed, Susan. Essentially, The Oaks race but

before the Preakness, so Jake will go to you first.

Well I think really obviously you know, Luna Bell is a tough

tough tough horse in the spot but given that this is not

Maryland. Bread Company, I will say

Chardonnay might have a shot and chardonnays a better horse to

talk about from the show perspective here.

Trying to embrace the happy hour thing.

But yeah but yeah for puns for like show puns cannot be a thing

from now on. Oh we love slowly.

All right, God. I'm trying to quiet my back.

There we go. All right, there you got your

back, welcome back. So I think he has a chance to

wire this field. Agree.

To go against Luna Bell. I know Luna Bell is absolute

beast but going to my on his 16th.

This is something Luna, bill has not done yet, we've seen kind of

the creep. We've seen six furlongs we've

seen seven furlongs. We've seen a 1, turn Mile and

we're going to If learn about can get the distance but I

really think Chardonnay can can speed burn them out front and

look past this field for Michael Stidham.

Yeah I am in total agreement there I wrote that on my my

handicapping was you can see that it says distance question

mark against it with the glare but I think that's the main

question. Therefore Luna Bell, I'm going

to use Chardonnay for both the name, hunch play angle, and also

get a little bit of a price and then The to for Chad Brown from

it in stepping out of Maiden company, which I know Louis

loves I think is worthy of throwing in there.

If you're looking for, you know, a wise guy horse.

I think she's where you find it. Yeah, I think that's the classic

second level Chad Brown Philly, right?

Ready to run aware of a black-eyed?

Susan, kind of environment. Luke for me would be the other

horse. I think both of you are

completely wrong. I think lubell absolutely wins

this race and has no trouble going Sprint around.

And so, Yeah. No.

That's okay. I'm not going anywhere near

this. Pick 5 sequence because I do not

trust myself with a race like this, but if you want to give

value the pick five, I agree with the two of you.

You have to leave Little Bell on your sequence.

All right. That brings us to the Frank, why

white lie, which is seven furlongs there at Laurel and it

is for 100,000 dollars versus three years old.

And up Louis Louis Fendi first. Sure.

And so, in the white lie, I am very tempted to hit all because

I really can't figure this filled out.

I don't, I do not know how good sorrow for James's, for example,

as a horse, I think he's good. The speed figures are off the

charts compared to many of the horses in this field but you

know, over one at Laurel and that was in the General, George

lost a cord maker or toxin. He lost to is in this race, a

horse on the outside, who's who 621 for some reason.

And so I don't know if that's a leaning on the horse from out of

town. On for your, for your morning

line, I'm not sure about that. Are we sure that just that

disco, Pharaoh doesn't come out of Aqueduct and run, really,

really well for Ray handle, and for Javy haveon Toledo.

I think that's a horse that can absolutely win.

I even think, like, youngest of five who's been running in a lot

of these. Laurel races 722.

Obviously, they take a lot of the horse, on the morning line

Ranch, second to back Fran for the not in the now, from love

for against a bunch of good horses including Josh and

traveler and are token last time.

Does that horse. Get up this time wins a third of

his races at law. Oral borracho is the 3243

lifetime at Laurel a second place as run at 97 speed figure

at Laurel. So, I just, this is another race

where I you either punch him or you don't.

And I'm sure JD's got a nice single here for you, but I

don't, this is a wide open race to me.

Okay, good. Yes, my top selection in this

race is the I've American Patrol at 1:15 a.m. wait meeting.

Oh, I love it. So obviously coming off of a,

you know, it'll be a 301 day layoff and has done most of the

damage of Delaware, but the maiden victory at Pimlico was as

good as anything. You'll see in this field, the

race last time. Which obviously, okay was June

19th of last year at Delaware, the allowance event going a mile

and 70 yards that race probably. Beats this field as well.

So coming off the layoffs, I think you're going to get value

at American Patrol, a classy son of American pharoah, who is

obviously just making the fifth start of the career.

I think a lot of upside there for American Patrol, obviously

something went wrong for the long, layoff a couple good works

for TI-83 Beth earlier this week, right?

I'm going I'm going American, patrols Direction.

I don't know how good sir Alfred James has, I mean, you get a

very inconsistent Of performance, you know, third in

a Grade 3 but you know, up the track in stakes and allowance

company. You never know, get and those

type of horses in these sort of spots.

I just can't trust them and generally will take them off if

they beat me. They beat me.

But American, patrols somebody. And then the other horse I

really like, is 3 over, Deuces. Obviously last to General George

and the other stake at Laurel the fireplug, Fire.

But, you know, going back to the form from last fall.

I think that's even with this field as well.

And I think that's an overlay 821 as well.

Yeah so that's where I'm at. I agree there and especially I

mean Capital Lynch is a traitor whose wedding at 23 percent by

the year off to a slow start with just a couple of Runners

here Laurel. But I mean bringing horses back,

I'll be extended layoff winds at 15 percent route to Sprint was a

24%, beautiful bullet workout from I'll Training Center there

on over the dirt as well on April 11th to come into this

spot and it seems like a pretty good work pattern in general.

Plus you've got the speed plus. I think this verse is best

running has been, you know, at the six furlongs at Pimlico and

Delaware, only bad race. You can really say for this

horse was one of those launcher. So, okay, senator for so I think

you have maybe even more consistency for Morris like

American Patrol than you do from a horse like sir, Alfred James.

So I would be honestly shocked if that horse goes off at 12:45.

I think a lot of people are probably going to jump on that

train, but that being said, I don't think it's single worthy

for sure. I also threw in sir, Alfred

James was kind of a, you know, this is the most recently

successful worse in this field. The three horses you mentioned

also comes off to win. So that one goes in there for me

for Michael Quorum and I use the other pharaoh as well.

The seven disco Farrell, who Luis mentioned coming off at 19

length store. Could act last time, just ran

off the charts. So really interesting play over

there for Ray handle who wins at 22% and you're getting the nice

922 price on that horse to. So I agree with you, I would

5137. It seems to me if we're playing

the said, pick for this seems like where you just pick.

Whatever horse seems to appeal to you because it could go out

any which way. So that brings us to re server H

which is the heavily cause hundred thousand dollar event

one-mile course. We talk about it all the time.

It is the one turn dial here at Laurel.

I feel like you should write that in the graphics, like one

mile. One turn Mi.

I really like, sorry about that for the Phillies and there's

three years old, and up, Louis, could we go to so I in the,

where the Heavenly cause? Yes, actually what I would

pretty short here. So I went to and 10 Miss Leslie

is the to here for 21, Claudia Gonzalez, and on Hill.

Crews coming out. Of a couple of races where the

horse has not been winning, but right there in second place,

gets gets back to the Lasix thing here, ran third last time

out on the Nellie Morse, not a great race.

Their article splatter is in this race as well, so maybe look

over there. I do think Feed Us free is

probably the best horse here. The 10 coming in off a bunch of

wins 143. This year, does have that 93

speed figure in a loss. In that grade 3 Barbara fritchie

keeps the connections here. So my, you know, I'm hoping we

get a Little bit of the repeat of that, that 74.

A long-form last time. Won by seven lengths.

Shouldn't be an issue. Adding a furlong here, and so

I'm going to shorten up. I'm going to go to and 10 here.

The only other horse I would think about is the sixth Primacy

for Chad Brown and her lunch coming off of two wins at

Aqueduct. Although both of them are over a

wet track service Wilma, sloppy one with Muddy at 7:00.

For a long standing mile that being said, this horse has one

of her fast rocket bomb on. It was just a little while ago.

Seems like this one, this mirror always Just leaves a little bit

to be desired. She's like right there.

Runs a lot of thirds couple of like well beaten s.

So this this new found waiting form is exciting.

Hopefully we see it especially in H1 price but I don't know.

But she's one that I think is worth considering if you're, if

you're hiking there, JD what do you think?

Well, there's a great three winner in this field that we

haven't talked about, that's the 9:00 sharp star.

And the big angle for me here is getting back on Lasix.

So the big difference between When this horse was doing well

in the naira circuit and when this horse was not doing well in

the naira circuit was they changed the rules on Lasix and

being able to have Lasix 48 hours before the race or not.

So has been running without Lasix and gets Lasix in this

spot. Obviously, one like that in

October in the Empire distaff, but hasn't ran well since and I

think we'll get a big shot with Lasix on, you know.

This is a horse that in the past has been very Classy and ran

really well. Like I said a great three winner

you know and almost odds on fashion.

I think this horse has a good look, 10:00 to 1:00 in the

morning line. Some of the, you should

definitely look at including your multi-race Exotics if you

want a little more value. So we're all super gracio to

pause. Underrated sneaky trainer to not

a ton of miles, but nice, they strainer to for sure we get to

race number 9 which is the headlining race.

Of course, the Federico tessio 125,000 dollars a mile.

Add an a, this is the prick prep.

Wow, I can talk Pratt for the Preakness Stakes and over to

Louise and so you can speak more good than me.

All right, Federico tessio just so everyone knows one of the

great predictors of who will not win the Preakness and so we are

here absolutely talking about this race.

I think you go really short again here with the 2 and the 4,

the horses that met up in the private terms, last time out,

shake them loose and Joe we had dad Woman on last time, he said

shake the block, shake the block Shake him loose and I was like,

okay, final include shake it loose and then he looked

awesome. And so I'm glad that I did and I

don't expect much of a change here for that horse.

I wish it was in the form of. I don't know which of these

horses is Triple Crown nominated because it's not on the Forum

today but they have to be Triple Crown nominated to run in the

Preakness and so if they win here, they get the spot

Baltimore. I think it's either going to be

Joe or shake them loose to do a bit of a repeat of.

Last time, there was a shipper here and I don't know how well,

L South Street is going to run coming out of Aqueduct one over

a mile and an eighth, it wasn't made in special with Jose Luis

Cano. We get her off, she'll come on,

I was here with Bill mod, they don't usually team up, but I

understand having to use a jockey a local guy car models

hits really. Well, at Laurel is a 13% type,

and so the horse is going again. Well, this year.

Yes, right. Yeah, this meat.

Yeah, that's right. But generally speaking is in the

13 to 15%. So he's a nice.

Giacchino's, the course while knows the layout here.

So if there's going to be an upset sort of horse for me, It's

going to be a horse like the Belmont trainee in South Street,

25, but not if I'm watching because they'll not doesn't win.

When I watch there, it is in your face till Monday.

I like the, I like the perks Invader a little bit here.

The seven got smart enough, barred up and shit.

And I think really, this is a case where Alfredo Velasquez is

a trainer I had to dig this out. So obviously, you see no starts

at Laurel has never sit a horse to Maryland, despite training

mostly in Pennsylvania. And that's why So this is

definitely like nothing at Pimlico.

Nothing really, that's wild, but I'm going, sorry.

Keep going until it's well. So funny.

Look at this. Horse is ran it at parks and

Aqueduct ran in the withers didn't run.

Well, really the main scores, the only thing that has you

thinking, but you know, set the board six is seven and I think

that it's really is similar company that these these men

these horses have been running in the Maryland circuit have

been facing versus what he's seen in some of the bigger way.

Is a parks and Aqueduct. So I really think smart enough

fits with the rest of this field and 92.

I actually think might float up because I do think shake them

loose and Joe probably will be right you know, 6257 25-pair,

probably somewhere around there so I think I'll get some extra

value was smart enough but I wouldn't go past to force and

seven for me. Yeah.

All right. And then final race of the day,

might as well write just throw it in 60,000 dollar Claybourne

on winners of two lifetimes seven furlongs there for the

Phillies and mayor's. Three years old and up, Up.

I went with the fork, start with a bang for the most part, I just

think that this is, you know, she's well-placed.

I feel like you have a lot of horses in here who, you know,

have been in spots that are too tough.

Like take the one horse right Monarch Beach 1416 at Laurel by

10, so they bumped up to a 40 claimer and then a 32, claimer,

rule of thumb is you You go for half of what you broke your

maiden for if you can't whatever that is.

It's not exact all the time. But start with a bang, you know,

when's Maiden special weight before that was in a maiden 40

and comes in here at the 16 down to a totally appropriate level.

It just seems like this is a correct path for a horse and I

think that that's that's certainly the kind of going to

come through here where you have some others that are trending as

well. I mean, I could see possibly the

three Three who did run very well at the 12:5 level last time

against the, the open claimer. So is eligible or is for sale

here eligible to be claimed, has some speed seems have done

really well since moving to the cured McGee Barn here recently,

I tried it once at 19 percent here, same percentage for that

jockey. And then the nine you could

think about possibly with the blinkers on for my trombetta who

is has run at this level. Before to be fair, was claimed

that of this level by might run better was previously trained by

Damone delivery Chico Trainer winds at 14 percent still good.

But I always like when you see a horse that's able to, you know,

go to a trainer that maybe a little bit more successful

higher percentage, whatever they tried the worse in, whatever

spot it didn't work out. I think they're coming back to a

spot, that's much more manageable.

So I think this is kind of one of those races where you get an

understanding of the condition book and moving horses up and

down that kind of lower level class ladder and figuring that

out. So I think it's probably the for

But consider the 3 and the 9 only horse you did mention that

I have in mind is the seven kinky Frolic and not just

because I wanted to say kinky Frolic but okay, that's probably

why I did. But um, I think it's fine.

I think there's a little bit of this is the kind of class that

these horses come in and out of Charlestown and win.

And so, I do love the for though.

I think, arnab logic Boca Chica is one of the underrated Riders

and right? North America, just wins all the

time. He and trainer Anthony farrier

wind together at 37% not too shabby and together at Laurel

around 20 percent nineteen percent right now and not a ton

of return on the dollar. So this is the kind of race that

they win with the for start with a bang.

So I agree with Megan. The for on top, I agree about

the three as well, jockey trainer numbers, all makes sense

there as well. And so I went 347, but I

honestly, I think you could play the 3, the 4 in Peru.

Feel pretty good about the race, JD all.

I can add here is I'm 479 and an honor.

A big fudge. I think there is not a more Big,

Fudge worthy. Exactly than start with a bang

and kinky Frolic forceps. I love it.

I love it. I hopefully Big Buddy, play that

their Saturday when he's doing into the 40 races especially the

last sixteen thousand dollar claimer, all right, like stream

by crash. Thank goodness.

We had you here JD because these shows what it's just Louis and I

know, Whoa. There, I'm not saying they're

not, that's bleep ever. What are we doing?

But I'm just saying that they don't quite look or sound as

good as this needless besmirch, my agree that.

Right? First one I got was even I just

finish your drink people and it with the hashtag not while

you're driving, right? All right.

Did want to say just for anyone who's doing it?

It's only Thursday, Happy Easter to everybody this weekend.

Who's who does the Easter thing. And so Oh I'm missing the first

hour of the radio show tomorrow to go to Catholic stuff and so

hopefully everyone has a nice weekend.

We're doing egg hunt here on Saturday Megan if you were

interested in a club, okay, Meg, it's not coming, I mean like

zero less than zero percent grade.

One at Keeneland, my kids are gonna be running around looking

for a David Lee. I'm gonna be like, I'm gonna be

the dad that's like looking over his phone while watching races.

Yeah, from with your Single Barrel.

Yeah, huh. Oh, I can already picture it

down. 100%. That's great.

It's gonna go. All right.

That's our cue to leave time to pay the tab.

This is been the horse-racing. Happy are represented by

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Think that'll be back. I have used her.