J.D. is back, this time to chat Woodbine and the annual King's Plate, Canada's KY Derby.
He joined Louie on Rabaut & Co. on ESPN Louisville. You can tune in at 10:20 every Friday morning for Louie's horse racing guest and segment.
J.D. is back, this time to chat Woodbine and the annual King's Plate, Canada's KY Derby.
He joined Louie on Rabaut & Co. on ESPN Louisville. You can tune in at 10:20 every Friday morning for Louie's horse racing guest and segment.
From Miami to Toronto, his name is JD Fox.
He's going to talk to us about the King's plate.
It'll always be the Queen's plate to me.
JD, how are you? I'm doing well and I'm glad I
had a little buffer there so I didn't have to think Brandy and
be like Louis. You're a fine girl.
That would have been very, very annoying.
But also accurate. So it is what it is.
JD Fox with us at Horse tickets on the Twitter.
If you want to go find him there.
JD Which is the best FCS team in Kentucky going into the season?
I'm going to take a hard pass on that at the moment.
I, I don't, I don't, I don't have a good, I don't have a good
answer. I don't want to dissuade the
public as of yet, but I'll have a good answer for you in in a
couple weeks. How well will Drake affair in
the Pioneer League this year? Drake will probably win the
Pioneer league even though they lost their their head coach.
He took the job at you and I so should be interesting.
Awesome. There you go.
All right, Dave Fox with us. Hey, we're talking Woodbine with
you and it's a spot that, look, we got a lot of horse players in
this area of course, but may not be a spot that they are
regularly looking. Lots of sort of smaller
differences, 20 cent trifecta and point pick four and kind of
plays that sort of stuff. So if you want to dabble, you
can certainly do that. But as we talk about the layout
of Woodbine, certainly the surface is a little different,
the layout of the turf course, etcetera.
What should people be watching for this weekend?
Well, yes, so 3-3 courses that would bind the the signature
course is the EP Taylor turf course, the outer turf 1.5 mile
turf course. So it's it's Woodbine in
Belmont. Those are your only 1.5 mile
turf courses in the United States and North America.
So it's the outer turf. So you've got an outer turf
course. Then the Tapita course where the
King's Plate will be run is a mile, is a mile course inside of
that. And then inside of that there's
the inner turf course that's 7/8 of a mile.
Kind of a interesting shape. You actually they used to run
harness races at Woodbine. So when we're talking about the
the the Tailor Stakes, the big turf race on Saturday, you can't
really actually see the start of it because it kind of starts
midway on the turn. And there's a giant outbuilding
for where they used to saddle up the harness horses.
And that's actually kind of in your way.
And now that's actually a party area and it's actually pretty
cool area to go out and watch a race at, but it is a little bit
distracting on Saturday when we start a great card and great set
of stakes races, including the kickoff leg to the Canadian
Triple Crown. Yeah, there you go.
That will be the King's Plate. That will be in Race 9 on the
card. We're going to start with Race 7
here, JD, and this was something you suggested.
There's a special wager in here. Can you describe that?
Yes, so special pick 3 wagers are all the rage now in horse
racing. We're never moving past that.
We've got a Kings and Queens pick 3 to $5 minimum bet, 15%
take out on Saturday. And it will consist of kind of
you skip the bold Venture, which is a grade three race.
So yes, this is a, this is a sequence where they're throwing
out of grade 3. So you've got the Grade 1 EP
Taylor, which is race 7. You've got the King's Plate,
which is race 9 and you've got the grade 2 King Edward, which
is race 10. So race is 79 and 10 for this
wager. Awesome.
Yeah, I'm really can't wait to play this one tomorrow.
It's going to be a lot of fun. But the EP Taylor, as JD
mentioned, is race 7A mile and a quarter on that outer turf
course. It will start pretty much to the
far right of the screen there and they'll work their way
around the two turns after that. 3/4 of $1,000,000 on the line
here for Phillies and Mares 3 and up.
We see in this race she feels pretty.
Who does have a win in the Natalma in 2023 in September
over the Woodbine course? Is she a worthy three to five
favorite here? I think she is in this spot and
obviously I think the big key for her is that she's going to
get firm turf. We've got good weather
conditions that would bind going to be mid 80s on Saturday.
No rain in the forecast until Sunday.
Hopefully that holds off. But been you know yielding and
and very soft turf course the last two out for she feels
pretty at Saratoga when in the New York and a tough second in
the Diana. I mean she feels pretty done
nothing wrong. It's at the Borden all eleven
starts and has been putting up good figures, but my concern and
and one other thing we should mention with this is this race
is a win and you're in for the Breeders Cup to Leimerture
point. Yep, I worry about what she
feels pretty has been beating and you know, even you know
excellent truth, the horse she just lost to in the Diana.
So I am going with an invader here, Louis.
Nice. OK, who are we going to try
instead? We're going to try the three
Diamond Rain 6:00 to 1:00 in the morning line.
All Charlie Appleby has done since 2021 is GO-7 for 12 at
Woodbine. And depending on the racing form
you're looking at it, it may not show it, but it was a great it
was a Group 3 when last time for Diamond Rain it it's got just
got such a long name. The Jennings bed and Delves
hoppings, Phillies steaks and then it would say Group 3, but
it it's cut off there. So that was a Group 3
performance where that horse was odds on and Charlie Appleby did
the media rounds basically saying this horse is a shoe in
and was a shoe in for William Buick.
And the other key thing that always happens with Charlie
Appleby runners in Woodbine. William Buick, one of the best
riders in all of the UK is going to take the flight over and ride
one horse and that's Diamond rain here.
So I'm taking a chance over the three to five morning line over
with diamond rain. This will be a very interesting
betting board and the one thing I'll say is the 7:00 to 2:00
morning line, third choice ready for Cheryl just ran an 88 buyer
in the Canadian, which won a grade 2.
She feels pretty hasn't run an 88 buyer since she was 2.
So you know, everything's been higher.
It's just going to be a weird betting board.
I think it's a 2 horse race and I'm going to take the longer
price, the three diamond rain. In your your $5 pick three.
Which horses will you include from this race?
Just including diamond rain. OK, going single on the 3IN
race, 7:00 tomorrow at Woodbine. It is King's Plate Day and in
fact that is race 9. The next race we're talking
about $1,000,000 on the line going a mile and a quarter on
the synthetic course there at Woodbine.
We get a Philly in the race, not uncommon, frankly, much more
common I should say, in the Canadian version of their top
Derby there. Can you also, before we really
get into this, describe the Canadian Triple Crown itself?
Yep. So basically you've got three
races on three surfaces. So we've got the Kings played on
Saturday, which is a mile and a quarter on the synthetic.
They'll come back in the Prince of Wales State, which is going
to be Tuesday, September 9th. That's at Fort Erie and that's a
mile and three sixteenths on the dirt.
And then the final leg is the is on the turf at Woodbine Mile and
1/2 in the Breeder Stakes and that is taking place this year
on Sunday, September 28th. So again, it's a it's a three
surface and very demanding Canadian Triple Crown.
It is pretty incredible. How many Canadian Triple Crown
winners have there been? There have been quite a few, but
not in a while. So I believe overall we're
looking at 9 or 10, but it's been a it's been a little bit
since we've had one. And the big thing, as you
mentioned it is, you know, Phillies have been winning this
race. Moira, who won the Breeders Cup,
Philly Ameriturf last year won the race.
Caitlin of Greatness, who we did not mention is in that EP Taylor
Stakes field, the first race we went over.
She won this race last year. And No Time is not only the only
Philly in the line, but also the morning line favorite at 7:00 to
2:00 following a victory in the Woodbine Oaks.
The two big lead up races recently, obviously they've
they've shifted kind of winning the year.
The Canadian Triple Crown is. So the Oaks really became a prep
race a few years ago. So they run the Oaks in the
plate trial on the same day. The Oaks obviously just for the
Phillies and the plate trial open to everybody and the Oaks
what's faster than the play trial?
So no time for owner Gary Barber, Mark Cassie, John
Velasquez aboard is the seven to two morning line favorite and
and a much deserving one at that.
Coming off of the would buy no score.
For the last 8 winners of what is now the Kings Plate have been
Phillies. In fact, you have her on top of
your handicap. I do not, but I I think she's a
likely contender. I've been infatuated with the 13
Ashley Archer, another Gary Barber and Mark Cassie horse
since last year. It's horse crossed the wire
first but was disqualified in the cup and saucer, which is the
big two year old turf race at Woodbine and then kind of took a
world tour a little bit went to went to Tampa Bay Downs, went to
Keeneland, ran OK on the dirt, came back in July in against
allowance company and ran pretty well finishing second.
I think this horse has a lot of talent.
I think this this horse is a going to get the the set up
because I think the set the the job for Sahim Savachi here is
going to be descend 12 to one in the morning line draws the
outside 13 hole. I think Ashley Archer is going
to take the lead and try to go as far as he can.
So that's on top of my handicapping.
And then, you know, if we're looking at the construction of
that pick three that we talked about, I think the 10 and the 13
no time in Ashley's Archer too. And then I want to throw in one
long shot and that's the two. William T 21 on the morning
limelight early race just broke the maiden last out but ran a
buyer speed figure that was equal to the Grade 3 Marine
Stakes winner drawn to the inside Mancetti.
One of the lead up races. Yeah, you know, one easily by 6.
I think it's finally figuring it out for trainer Donald McRae.
David Moran will pick up the mount.
I think a live long shot to close into the field as well.
So in that pick three sequence I am 2 and 210 and 13.
Am I seeing this correctly? Does Patrick Husbands not have a
mount in this year's Kings Plate?
So it's he does not, but one thing that will change is Pietro
Morin is listed on two horses. So I'm my understanding is if
both the one and the 6th are in, he'd likely be riding the 6th
paper at 30 to 1. OK, got it.
OK. It's interesting to see Flavia
Pratt on a 30 to 1 as Dewolf potentially just it's weird to
say, is there value with the Flavia Pratt ridden Dewolf here
in the King's Plate? I'd like to say so, but the play
trial was a stinker. Finished sixth, was the favorite
in the Queenston, which is another lead up race and was
third beaten 7 and a quarter. I just, I haven't seen it so far
this year from the wolf. The wolf, you know want to
overnight steak last year ended up getting put up the second in
the cup and saucer finished second in the grade 3 Gray, but
has not been the same cult so far this year.
Race 10, we'll close this pick three sequence.
The King Edward is a Grade 2. It's a mile on the turf course.
A1 turn mile there at on the EP Taylor turf course as JD
described earlier. Excuse me, $200,000 on the line
here. This is for three and up.
In this case, we've got a five to two favorite in Cruden Bay,
breaking from the three, a winner last out in a Grade 2,
going 7 furlongs on that turf course at Woodbine.
Is war strategy on the outside a good play here?
Where are we looking? I'm looking all the way on the
inside with 1 Piper's Factor. Piper's Factor finished third
behind Cruden Bay. He mentioned it's the favorite
in the Connaught Cup last time out going 7 furlongs.
One thing we talked about course configuration.
This is a turf race that is A1 turn mile, so you're going to
see a lot of sprinty types in this field and I think Piper's
Factor is best when when sent and I think Patrick Husbands is
going to get that call. Draw on the inside for trainer
Katarina Vasilieva. I I really like pipers factor at
8:00 to 1:00. Korean Bay is an interesting
favorite because you've got a horse that had never really ran
against steaks company started that in the the conic Cup last
year, one against stakes companies, two or three against
stakes company 6 only the since it's only the second time this
horses ran this year. Very interesting, but I think it
must include the one long shot I like is is another horse coming
out of the Connor Cup, which is lucky score.
I'm going to sound like a broken record here, Louis, but it's
like Gary Barber owned Mark Cassie trained horse closing
sprinter. This this one turn mile is
probably the the the most amount of distance this horses wants to
run. But you look at you know, going
back to 2023 finished third in the woodbine mile finished third
in the King Edward back in 2023 as well.
I think this horse is going to be much longer than 12 to 1 and
I think it's going to give you good value underneath.
So I think is a must include as well.
So for that multi race pick 3 136 for me.
Six. OK.
What's your total cost on that ticket?
What are you looking at? About 60 bucks.
So I'm not a math major, but it's it's one by three by three.
So that'd be $45. If anybody wants to correct me
on the text line that's that's fine.
That's what the text line is for.
Corrections. That's exactly right.
Well, there you go. Little, little Woodbine talk.
JD, How about that man? And we'll have to get you back
on. We'll maybe have your like
monthly FCS play or something. We'll get 3 or 4 from you this
season. Something like that.
Yep. Woodbine.com/USA Free Past
performances from DRF for Saturday's card America's Best
Racing covering the races for those in the States.
Look them up 4:00 PM Eastern Time.
Alexa Zepp, Dan Torchman, whole host of guests live from
Woodbine. Going to be a great weekend out
in Toronto. Well.
There you go, JD. Have a great weekend, buddy.
We'll talk to you soon. Sounds good.
Take care. Thanks.
Man, there you go. Well, JD Fox, why not
woodbine.com/USA? Why not?
Smart move. There's a lot of us down here.
What did you what did you type to our guy about the Canadian
Triple Crown? What'd you?
What'd? You do there?
Oh, no. So he, he's asked me and my
Trump voice to comment on the Canadian Triple Crown.
Go ahead, Zach. The 51st state running horses.
Wow. I didn't know they had horses up
there. I heard they run on Maple syrup
and Tim horton's. Big beautiful horses.
Come down to Kentucky, run against our horses.
They'll look like cackling Kamala, and they'll lose again.
It's actually true. That part.
I know it's true. The last part's true.
Get out here. So let's see what happens.
Bring them down here, we'll show them.
Show Canada who the real horse is.
It is. It is incredible, Zach, that for
the last 8 winners of this race are Phillies.
Yeah. It's just very unusual in the
sport to have that level of sustained.
What are they giving the Canadian Phillies?
Go to break.
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