All right, who needs music? Not these folks.
Horse racing. Happy hour from my back porch in
Louisville, KY. My name is Louis Revo.
Thanks for hanging out with us tonight.
Another show about Maryland. I get it, people.
You don't like these, you like illman.
I don't understand that part. But illman's back.
How about that? That's a good part of these
things. But we welcome in friend of the
show Kelly Francois as well. They'll be desk mates this
weekend. And I, I racked my brain on
this. I really don't know who that's
better for. I I don't think it's good for
either of you, to be fair. What do you mean by that?
Certainly. You know exactly what I mean.
Yeah. No, that's all right.
No. No, no, let's talk this out
buddy. Let's no, no.
Don't you be coming for Dan. Whoa, I don't think I was coming
for Dan at all there. How about?
That, yeah, I think it's, I think it's a great team, to be
perfectly honest with you. And I think we're gonna have a
fantastic time for Maryland. Millions celebrating the
horsemen in Maryland, celebrating the breeding
industry in Maryland and it's nice to have a great day with
stakes racing and you don't have to have a Todd Pletcher or a
Chad Brown win everything. We're going to have some of the
local guys and gals on display and that's what I'm looking
forward to, as well as big fields and good betting races.
Louie's Louis is just jealous because his wife.
Won't let him out of the house. His wife won't let him out of
the house. They they draw like a batting
circle for you out there. I'm out of the house.
I'm on the back porch hiding from my family.
Thank you very much. That's right.
How about that? Yeah, that's very different.
So what you're saying is the late pick five will pay more
than the 200 bucks to pay to Keeneland today.
Is that what I'm hearing, Dan? I think there's a very good
chance of it. I, I would hope so with this,
with these fields and these handicappers.
Well, maybe not because people are going to actually be playing
what we're saying. Oh, that is a problem.
I agree with that. Yeah.
There you go, Kelly Francoise on.
We last saw one another, Dan, in the state of Kentucky.
Kelly had a nice time here. I don't know if she was ready
for that. I, I did, you know, I was really
surprised with the how much of A blast I had, especially, you
know, the kicking it off on your show really just like set the
scene and it was, it was a good scene to set.
So well done. Well done to you for that.
Yeah, I Kelly, I thought was gonna big time me Dan.
It was hilarious. We get to she's like, I'll jump
on. We have a production meeting at
11. I know your show ends at 11, so
I'll jump on right before that. We get to like 1054.
Our heart out is 1057. I got nothing.
That very nice woman that I met, you know, via very digital
things isn't there. And then boom, Kelly Francois
shows up. We go a minute over the heart
out and boom, here we are. I'll tell you what, that's
awesome. Her word is her bond, Louis, and
I have to admit, I honestly think she had such a great time
in Kentucky because after going on your show, the expectations
had to be so low that everything was so wonderful after that that
it just made Kentucky seem so great.
So everyone that goes to Kentucky, go on this show first,
be disappointed, and then experience the joy.
The killer part is she hung out with me and then she was like,
oh, Kate and Bradar's over there.
I'm going to go over there. And that's always the thing to
do. Yeah, that's exactly how it
works. No brainer.
It is a no brainer I. Agree, I hadn't met her yet, I
had to go over and say hi. Oh, no, literally, there's no
sarcasm in that last comment. All the rest of it was sarcasm.
That part was not, well, not from Dan, that's not.
Dan's not capable of sarcasm. He's just mean.
But no, you know Katyn. No.
All of us run to Kaden. Don't worry about that.
She's probably man, she's up there.
Dan's very good on Radio. Kaden's exceptional on radio.
She's very, she's very pleasant on radio.
So it works out. She's.
Exceptional in a couple of different ways.
Oh yeah, she also knows her. She knows her bleep as well.
That's right. So it is Maryland million
Saturday, the Jim McKay Maryland million of course, out there in
Maryland. I wanted to get into some
replays first though, because I love to get on these kind of
topics especially, but Dan wanted to get Callie's thoughts
as well. But I was at Keeneland on
Saturday, probably their best day of racing outside of any
Breeders' Cup that they ever have there between the Futurity
and then the, of course, the mile races that they run as
well. Zach, if you could pull up Carl
Spackler winning the mile there in the richest race ever run
there that wasn't a Breeders' Cup race.
I want to ask them if we've got a potential Breeders' Cup winner
of an American turf horse going two turrets against older
horses, Not a common, not a commonality in the Breeders Cup.
But Zach, if you could go ahead and pull up Carl Spackler
getting the lead and keeping the lead there in the mile at
Keeneland to close the stakes card there.
I'll also explain why Dan is totally right about the the
field size is mattering a lot this weekend in Maryland because
something happened be to be betting that should not have
happened based on the the short amount of money that I bet this
weekend. Zach, you got it ready.
I say as I go to a drink and I shouldn't have done that.
All right, So we'll get to that in a second, but I wanted to
essentially ask two questions of the of the two of you.
Which of the American surf horses is most likely to win
their respective race in the Breeders Cup?
Is it Cogburn? Is it Carl Spackler, one that I
know Dan has seen multiple times in person.
And here is Carl Spackler, the stretch of that race, Spirit of
Saint Louis the 3rd. Carl Spackler has the lead.
Carl Spackler in front. And here comes Spirit of Saint
Louis on the outside, running B toward the inside.
The Talk of the Nation Mountain Bears a wide 5th.
And Carl Spackler, it looked for just a moment that they were
bearing down on him. Now he hits another gear.
He's got the lead back out to 3 1/2.
More than Lux is coming stoutly late, but here's The Wire.
Carl. Spackler wins the Cool More Turf
Mile. And thank you very much to Kurt
Becker and the team at Keeneland for that call of the race at the
Augusta National of Horse Racing, which is Keeneland
Racecourse in Lexington, KY. I think Kurt Becker for all of
that, he did a great job. He had the horse right.
That's all the counts of horse racing calling races at least.
Dan, what would you say? What says you?
Do you think it's a Carlos Backler type that can get out
front, stay out front when we're used to Euros trying to close at
the end? Or is it a Cogburn simply
because of the speed? Either Cogburn, simply because
of the speed and the competition.
He's already shown he's dominated this division all year
long. I think if Cogburn just shows up
with his A minus race, he's supposed to win the Breeders Cup
Turf Sprint because we know all of the protagonists.
No one from Europe, I think is really going to come over and
contend their turf sprinters aren't as good as their turf
routers. So bring them over.
I think Cogburn's going to handle them.
I think Carl Spackler is a very good horse.
I'm not sure he's capable of beating the EUR.
If you're supposed to take a horse out of that race, you're
supposed to take the runner up more than looks.
I think now he's the horse. Twice in a row he's been beaten
by Carl Spackler and I think twice in a row he was
compromised by trip and circumstance.
Cherie Devoe has managed him very well.
He's going to be coming into the Breeders Cup, a relatively fresh
horse. Agreed with everything that
Dan's got on top of the fact that, you know, with the way the
race set up for Cogburn at Kentucky Downs, that was that
was truly something. I'm not, I'm not a speed horse
girl. I'm not I'm usually not
impressed by them, but I was greatly impressed by Cogburn and
what he kind of doled out there. You know, the first week of
Kentucky, the speed was holding and that's you know, it's it's
it was due to the track and it was due to the way of the track
configure race of where they had the rail and that was a weekend
where they set the rail back. I do believe.
And I just think Cogburn all the way.
I think with just what we saw with Carl Spackler, they were
coming on close. I think you know, yes, the
European sprinters aren't as strong as the routers, but I
would still be I would still be looking, you know, keeping both
eyes open behind me with them coming down.
I don't count them out as a you know, they're not going to be
able. They're not really going to hold
a candle. But I do think if Cogburn gets
away with it, I mean, gosh, it, it really depends.
Anyway, you're going to know by the time they hit just after
that half mile pole on coming on to the three ace if Cogburn
still anywhere close in front if he's got a hold of the track
like he's a he's a goner from there, I I think.
Karl Spackler will take a three race winning streak into the
Breeders Cup, the Kelso, the four-star Dave and of course the
Coolmore Turf mile there at Keeneland.
Cogburn's taking a 78 race win streak into the Breeders Cup as
well. So that's a an advantage for for
Cogburn. It's just a lot faster and a lot
more races. Kelly, did you did you feel the
math there? 78 races?
No, nothing. OK, that's the race.
See, I don't need to be in my house to get that look for
women. See, that's how it goes the all
right, let's move on to the two year old.
So we had three two year old races to qualify for that
juvenile last weekend. Zach, if we could go to
Keeneland first, we'll watch East Avenue here win the
Clayborne Breeders Futurity 1/4 mile ago.
They're coming to the top of the short stretch and East Avenue
leads it by 5 lengths as they turn for home.
Ferocious second a length and Dapper Moon is third off the
final turn. It is East Avenue working into
the final furlong of the Claiborne Breeders Futurity
maintains A5 length lead back to Ferocious in second.
Dapper Moon is 3rd East Ave. will prove much the best in the
Claiborne Breeders Futurity. Tyler Gaffilio checks over.
We had, we had Brad Cox on my my morning show here at 11:50 in
Louisville last Friday. I asked him about that short
stretch of Keeneland and if he thought it would translate to
the shorter layout stretch at at Del Mar and he said yes.
It is something that he thinks you can kind of correlate
between the shorter stretch of Keeneland and then going to Del
Mar. Callie, when you look at these
two year old races, do you take that kind of stuff into
consideration or do you just look at East Avenue and say wow,
that horse had a lot? Nope, absolutely.
You have to look at what you with, especially with the has
little exposure with these two year olds get they're just at
this point, they're babies that are just trying to repeat.
You're just trying to repeat patterns with them, right?
So track, setup, track dynamic track structure.
That's something that's really, I think going to correlate.
So Brad's obviously he's going to be more spot on than me, but
that's, that's a very nice assessment, I would say.
And I also think running style has something to do with it.
That's one of the reasons I think Chad Brown decided to run
Chancellor Mcpatrick in New York with his one run style going
into a late stretch and chasing some quality speed or a short
stretch and chasing some quality speed horses.
He might have been up against it in the Breeders Futurity and he
might have been up against it anyway because I think this is
an exceptional 2 year old that we saw in the Breeders Futurity.
He's obviously well connected. He's got the pedigree as DAMS
1/2 sister to Cody's Wish. He's got early speed.
He's very professional and handy.
This is a main contender, if not the top contender for the
Breeders Cup Juvenile right now. No disrespect, Chancellor
Mcpatrick. Let's watch Chancellor Mcpatrick
if you do have it, Zach, He wins the champagne in a style that's
going to be difficult as Dan mentioned, out of Del Mar, but
here he is winning at Aqueduct. They're approaching 1/4 mile
left to go. The posted half mile time,
45.593 quarters in one minute, 11 and one.
And the leader is tip top Thomas, but has to deal with
Chancellor Mcpatrick who's rolling down the center of the
racetrack. Tip top Thomas to the inside.
Chancellor Mcpatrick with every shot to run this rival down.
And now Chancellor Mcpatrick is in front.
A 16th left to go was last. Now First and Chancellor
Mcpatrick wins the champagne impressively and punches his
ticket to the what? Go ahead.
Yeah. The first thing that I noticed
about that horse and especially that especially with, you know,
these younger horses, there wasn't when chance when he went
to go pass, he maybe looked at the horse for half a second
before going on and doing his job.
There was absolutely no lollygagging around.
When it comes in these younger horses, it's easy for them to
kind of get lost in the pack. This guy, I love how workmen
like that was in that effort. So there's going to be and you
know, coming from off of the pace, who knows what kind of
potential trouble he's he or you know, traffic he's going to have
to finagle through. That's a horse that you that's a
come from behind horse that you can trust to go through traffic
without being fazed by it. Juvenile winner in last year's
race, came out of the champagne. His name was Fierceness, of
course. Did win this race or didn't win
this race, I should say. Dan, excuse me, but different
conditions last year as well. Very wet track last year at
Aqueduct. Chancellor Mcpatrick, Is this a
horse that can go two turns? Is this one that could pick off
a hot pace in front of him? I think he certainly can.
I think that's what they're hoping for.
You never really know until they try.
But he's bred to get a mile and a 16th.
What I'm concerned about is what Callie said, his running style.
He's going to be going to Southern California with the
tracks are notoriously harder and faster and more conducive to
speed, and he's going to have to pass some very, very talented
runners. Is he a good horse?
Yeah. He's sort of a unique one.
At 100 horse. You rarely see 2 year olds win
race after race after race like this from way out of it.
They're usually very speed, crazy and precocious.
I think Chancellor Mcpatrick obviously has talent.
I think he's going to be over bet because his running style is
so exciting and people like to see the horse that comes from
the clouds. He still has a lot to prove to
me going two turns against a quality horse.
But I do think the horse you ran down Tip Top Thomas is a good
one and that shows chance for Mcpatrick's quality.
Yeah, I agree. I think that was a a very good
field, frankly, in New York for that one.
We head out West for the last of those three races.
It was Citizen Bowl who got it done in the grade one American
Pharaoh for trainer Bob Baffert leads the way by a length over
Getaway Car who's trying his best to close the gap.
Four more Emerald Bay and Mackenzie St. top of the
stretch. Martin Garcia still handwriting
Citizen Bull. They've spurted 3 clear of
Getaway Car followed by Mackenzie St. who picks it up a
bit late coming to the 16th pole and it's Citizen Bull with A3
length lead. Getaway Car did his best but was
second best. Citizen Bull punches his ticket.
It I thought another very impressive run, frankly.
And that's that running style, Dan that we talked about more
the out front stay out front style.
We see this a lot of Baffert 2 turners for sure seem to really
like the extra distance here. Dan is I, I got to assume just,
I don't want to say home field advantage here, but he's going
to have a real shot on that first, I guess the yeah, the
first Friday in November. Certainly does, and he's might
be the third choice as well because I think a lot of money's
coming in on the horses. We saw at Keeneland and at
Aqueduct. That was sort of an oddly run
race. He would have thought Getaway
Car, the speed would have shown the speed in that race.
They didn't. They let this horse get to the
front and the source was able to take them every step of the way.
I'm not sure if the quality of competition that he beat is as
good as the horses that Chancellor Mcpatrick or East
Avenue beat. He's got a lot of things to
prove to me. I think he's coming into his own
at the right time, but I think he has to improve a couple of
lengths to Faith to beat both of those.
We need to see some grit out of this one.
Too easy? He's been having it a bit too
easy. A little too easy, All right.
From Kelly Francois, Johnny P Johnny Piasek Atheroff on
Twitter has joined the show. John, did you?
Did you make much of A citizen bowl dominating the old grade
one American pharaoh? Long long run, a grade one
American pharaoh? Just a long history of winners
there. Yes, definitely.
I would say because pretty much every other good force in the
field was his tailor made. I'm taking that race with with a
little bit of a grain of salt. Don't think he prove too much of
all the voices or at least for all the two year olds.
Race this past weekend. Tip Top Thomas made the best
impression on me. Thought he had a big race on a
pretty hot pace in the champagne.
Thought Chancellor Mcpatrick kind of did what he was supposed
to do given that pace and obviously a very nice horse.
But as Dan said, he'll be over bat in the Breeders Cup Juvenile
and I had to make a juvenile pick Right now it would probably
be Tip Top Thomas. I like that.
There you go. Let's make everyone take a horse
here. I'll just go ahead and be Chalky
and take East Avenue because I saw him in person.
Callie, who do you think you'd lean on here?
You know, I do like that horse and I think the way I think the
transfer that we talked about that.
So yeah, I'm gonna jump on that bandwagon as well.
How? About your day.
I think of those three, I would take East Avenue, but I'm not
willing to give up on Ferocious just yet if he runs back.
I know he was no match for East Avenue at Keeneland, but I just
think this horse is still learning.
He seems to run spots in his races.
He doesn't run on the turns, but he does seem to pick it up a
little bit in the stretch. The light bulbs got to go on,
but the talent is there. He cost a lot of money earlier
this year. His debut was very, very good at
Saratoga. Dan, we lean on you for two year
old races and for maiden races between those preps and the
Breeders Cup. Are you looking for anything in
particular? Shipping patterns, workouts,
anything like that? I think you have to see how
these horses handle the track and it's great that we should
have access to all of these workouts, whether it be on XPTV
or wherever on Twitter. I think you want to see how
these horses handle the track. To me, it's not how fast they
work, but but how they do it. Are they changing leads on cue?
Who they're working with? Are they keeping up?
That? That to me is is the key.
But other than that, I just simply trust the horsemen in
these situations. They know what they're doing,
that they have their routines. They're going to ship out and
get these horses as ready as possible.
We know what we got on the cold dope with these horses right
now. All right.
Well, we will get into the handicapping in just a second.
We'll take you through the last seven races there at Maryland
Million Day at Laurel Park this Saturday.
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We head out to the Laurel Park. We'll start with a 6 furlong
Sprint on the dirt there in the Maryland Million.
Lassie, this is a 2 year old race for Phillies, $100,000 in
the Kitty here. This one, according to the
morning line maker should be pretty wide open.
The also eligible 13 great Andre is actually the the favorite in
here. And John, before we go any
further, could you explain how horses qualify for the Maryland
Million? So a Maryland million is not an
event a Maryland breds, it's Maryland sired horses, That is,
horses who are by Stalin who is standing in Maryland in the year
that they were conceived. A horse who's Maryland bred but
not Maryland sired can only draw in if the field drops below 8
Maryland sired entries. It's not very likely here since
we have 12 horses in the main body and Great Andre would need
4 scratches to draw in. You see it sometime early on the
card. In fact, last year we had
Intrepid Daydream, it was Maryland Brett, but not
Maryland. So draw it in the distaff and
she won. So in this kind of race I
wouldn't look too closely at the also eligible.
However, in a race like say the nursery or on the OR in the
ladies earlier on the card, they're worth a closer look.
There you go Dan, with the 13 not getting into the field, who
do you expect to be the post time favorite in this one?
That is a very tough call because there is no stand out in
this race. Callie, who do you think?
That's so you're asking for a morning line.
Who's going to be the morning line?
Well, you guys. You guys can hear because so I'm
going off of my notes on my phone, you guys when I go in and
off, you guys can still hear me, right?
Yeah, of course. You sound great.
Yeah. Great.
So you're, you're asking me who the odds on favorite is going to
be or you're asking my top selection because those are two
different answers. But I will say that, OK.
I wouldn't be surprised if I wouldn't be surprised if Malibu
hooch ends up getting a lot of money down.
My personal top selection is going to be Divine Works for
Trombetta. Let me know if you want me to go
into details about that. But I will say, yeah, I think
Shakara Fire also it's there's a it depends.
It's either going to be the one or the 10 bringing in plenty of
money, I think, in this race. OK, the 10 is Malibu hooch
daughter of a bourbon Courage. And by the way, this is a
handicapping show, so you can go to as much detail as you want.
Kelly, whatever you think is pertinent here for sure.
Tell us why you think Malibu Hooch is Is Malibu Hooch your
top player and why? No, so Malibu hooch is my second
in command, but this one is 1/2 to Malibu moonshine, who of
course won the Maryland juvenile Philly and other stakes going a
bit longer. She got a lot out of her last
race and plus near didn't so she didn't near bullet work just
five days ahead before that previous run.
So she was running to keep up from the gate onwards.
I to me asked just a tick early. This Philly only has so much
turn of foot, but she was resistant to anybody to let
anybody pass her. So that's I think the a lot of
money is going to go that direction just based off of
Malden Moonshine. But I do end up going with the
12 in Divine Works for Mike Trombetta, who just won three
races today on the turf, two of them being with Michael Sanchez,
who rides this one, the dam one second time outgoing to the
lead, not looking back into the dam of the horse is 1/2 to
Catherine Sophia. This one just got so close and
gets the outside post. I think it's going to be a big
help. And in that Saratoga effort lost
out to another Cliche who was tried in the frizzette next out
and just didn't get the trip. So I feel like this one might be
coming in a little bit hot. 2nd starters for Michael Trombetta,
of course, hit at a solid 10% Dan outside post.
Is that prohibitive in six furlongs, Laurel.
Shouldn't be with this horse because I think he's going to
show speed as he did in his debut.
He didn't get off to a good start, but he recovered very
quickly and got close to the pace.
Now there's pace in this race. This guy with the Boss is a
very, very fast horse and he's likely to show a little.
She's likely to show a little speed for Brittany Russell, I
think Malibu, who she's a very dangerous contender.
She showed speed to win her debut with Timonium.
I liked her last race, her first race against winners.
She broke from a very tough outside post position.
She was placed on a hard chase in between horses on the turn
and she stayed on every game lead to finish third.
I think was a good learning experience to show that she does
not need the lead to win. I'm expecting a good performance
out of her. She'll be my top pick. 9:00 to
2:00 with the inclusion of the Also eligible John is Onyx 10,
the four horse here for trader Gary Capuano, who hits at 39%
recently with two year olds. Do you expect that horse to be
part of the equation? I picked her second.
I think she has a big shot. We had some big races at
Capuano's Delaware Pro base over the summer.
Pro combining by 12 lengths in very sharp fashion.
Them in a second to Caprice, who came back to win the Small
wonder Stakes in her Nesto and was second in in in or third
round in the white. Clay Creek the other day at
Delaware, Honest 10 was also in the Small wonder came in fourth.
Kind of kind of progressed that day behind among others.
Beautiful Blown who won the white Clay Creek.
Think she's prime for a bounce back effort here.
Had a good solid workout at at Delaware last Saturday.
That being said, Divine Works is my top pick.
He's a great sign that Trump better brought her to Saratoga
in the 1st place. Because you haven't worked in at
law for a long time. Could easily put her in a
manning race at law or at Colonel Down.
Instead center up there went off as a favorite actually at 2 to
one got hung wide the whole way while another cliche who asked
Kelly noted came back and finished fourth in the because
that saved all the ground and one going away.
I think divine works is very dangerous A long shot.
I kind of like in here is number 3 high in love Milan Milo Sevic
and Forest Boyce. We had a nice race on debut,
showed speed, held second behind Days who came back to win a
boost level allowance off proclaiming race very
impressively last Saturday. Looks like a very promising 2
year old Philly for Brittany Russell versus that scale high
in love. Ran a 69 that day.
Not quite in the range that needs to be to win this one,
however. Second time stars often improved
quite a bit. Had a solid workout since then.
Went 4 furlongs and 50 and 1/5 this this past Friday.
Should be up on the pace and looks like the best value in
this field. Several picks of maidens in this
race, of which there are five out of the 12 entrance.
They're in the Lassie. We move on to race 7.
Cali immediately regretted agreeing to be on this show when
I texted her to say, hey, is there a mandatory payout in the
Pick 6? And that's the kind of stuff
that you get from me who's not willing to look those things up,
but rather just text someone like Kelly Francois she.
Immediately I because I emailed somebody else about it to double
check. So it's fine.
It's totally fine. I take full responsibility for
someone else's responsibility. That's exactly right.
Exactly. I'm I'm fine with that.
I got my answer in 10 minutes. That's are we, let's not worry
about details like that. We got the answer, Louis.
The pick 6 does start race 7. It is the Maryland Million Turf
Milan and 8th on the turf course there.
That's grass for people in Louisville.
If you don't know what that is, a horses run on it sometimes.
It's usually on the interior of the course.
And so that's something you may or may not remember around here.
We haven't had it for a while. And so it's a green thing.
It sits in the anyways, it's a, it's a, it's a like a what,
$125,000 in this one. How about that?
It does start the pick six. I'll go to Dan first here.
This is always a fun race. I love this one.
It always sets up really, really well.
We're getting a nice field of eight in here as well.
Sports editor on the outside, Sky's not falling in the six.
And of course, the, the, the show's favorite horse ever crabs
a beer. How about that?
The three horses in this race have really done well recently
against open stakes competition. One of them is Crabs and Beer,
who ran so big in the dinner party on Preakness weekend.
Of course, that race was run over an extremely boggy turf
course, and he's yet to replicate that form, so I'm kind
of thinking that maybe I'd fade him.
Of the three horses that have been running against stakes
competition, Open Ones, A Sports Senator and Starstruck Notion
are the ones I'll be focusing in on in my multiple race wagers.
I want to start with Starstruck Notion.
I don't think that was an easy trip this horse had last time
out. He didn't break very well.
He was forced 4 wide through the turn and into the stretch and he
tried hard all the way and he just missed third.
I think there's a chance he could get a fair setup in here
and Sports Editor, they really tested him last time out.
They stretched him all the way out to a mile and a half and he
took him down to inside the 8th pole before just giving way.
I think a mile and an eighth is going to hit him right between
the eyes. He has won over the scores going
a mile and an eighth in the past and he doesn't need the lead to
win. Ned Allard's been doing very,
very well recently. Those are the two I'm
concentrating on a sports editor starstruck notion coming in from
Monmouth. Sports editor coming out of
Monmouth as is starstruck notion.
The three here, highest speed figure ever in a mile and a 16th
gets a little bit of added distance on top of that.
Kelly, do you think that's a positive for a starstruck
notion? Yeah, I think it is a positive
for starstruck notion and I think he's going to, you know,
with the way this race kind of sets up, he's he's I think the
he set up, he set himself up in the best way possible to come
out guns blazing, which is what he's going to be needing here.
But he got, as you mentioned, got squeezed out of the break a
little bit last time out. So I think that says a lot about
that. But the win 4 back, that's the
kind of perfect trip he got and he potentially gets that today
with, you know, with the clear speed that's in mind.
So I love how this we've got options with this guy and I feel
like with what he doled out, that's he's got to be respected
in here. That being said, I do go a
different direction. I do end up going with skies not
falling. I'm not gonna lie.
It's more I've been chasing after this horse all year long.
So I'm just I'm hanging. I'm just jumping on my bandwagon
win and I think he's a bit he's potentially a bit zippier than
the inside speed. He did inherit the lead in the
bird Allen and kind of just went with it.
So he liked it. He stayed on that left lead for
a while. I think that was exact.
I it was the confidence that this guy needed.
So depending, you know, it depends what kind of value you
get on him when the when you get, you know, those 90 seconds
before the gate. But as far as sports editor,
it's concerned as well, you know, they actually considered
they considered him for the Colonial Cup and they considered
him for the same distance over at Monmouth or he did.
Sorry, he did. Of course he ran in there.
Silly me. But you know, he's got some
tools in the shed. In the back shed though, you
know, you go back to last year of June.
I just want to discuss this year's June race, though.
He was against tough horses, consistent horses like the
Addison porn, hard spun reason. He just had a bit of a tick of
an early ask in that race. He was tough, he was game.
And you know, before he kind of just left ran out of gas on the
whole timing of the turn of foot.
So definitely crabs and beer. I think he ran better than
what's in the black and white in that effort.
Last time out he came running at the end.
The field was a little bit spread out.
I just think he needs to be placed a little bit more
forwardly. Now having Sheldon Russell on
that. It depends what kind of Sheldon
Russell ride we get, because sometimes Sheldon loves to just
take him back and that's not what this guy needs.
So really it's it really depends what you know, if Carrie kind of
lays down the law in in the paddock there with Sheldon.
But yeah, super interesting race.
You you have to have respect for a lot of them.
It's still may those at least those chapters were in that.
Field Antonio Gallardo's only scheduled mount is Sky's Not
Falling the five on Maryland Million Day.
He'll be in for Presque Isle to ride on that.
Johnny P Go ahead. I think this guy's not falling
on top. He would be the I believe the
first was to win both a Maryland million turf Sprint and a
Maryland million turf if he wins on Saturday.
And he won the turf Sprint back in 2022.
And and that double is something not even even a great Ben's cat
could accomplish. So it wouldn't be neat if this
guy's not falling could pull that off.
And it's certainly in career best form.
As Kelly noted, that was a very sharp win in the boot our last
time out. One point I like who we haven't
talked about is a force who is well known to listeners of the
show because I have have given him out twice on the air.
Both times he could not get settled down.
Both times he did not win. He is on the also available list
however, because he only needs 2 scratches to get in and he's
worth talking about. And that's number 10 Mission
North for Jack Fisher and for sports.
He broke his made in two stars back on this track on June 2nd.
He finally got settled down early and he really showed his
best sell. He won by 5 1/2 lengths.
Ran a career best prisoner figure of 88 that day.
Wish to give You an idea is better than anything Starstruck
Notion has run this year. He's been no better than 86 this
season. Try first level pose and
Aqueduct. That's the time out.
Had a bit of a wide trip, lost by his only one and a quarter
lengths. Since then he's been washed off
the grass twice. He was entered in two grass
races, both of them taken off the grass and he couldn't go.
He's he's on the AE list here. Should get a nice trip just off
the pace on the outside and as long as he's calm off the back
stretch, he should have plenty of punch late and it would be
curious to see if both story struck Notion and Mission North
in this race. Who for his boys picks?
Because she has a lot for Jack Fisher.
There you go, the next race is the Maryland Million Sprint.
It starts the late pick 5. If you are new to bet in
Maryland, we always remind you that 12% take out on those pick
fives. Most playable bet on the East
Coast, frankly, as far as I'm concerned, is the Pick 5 on the
Maryland circuit. This is 6 furlongs for three and
up on the dirt there. 100K in the Kitty here.
Always in a hurry. Sevens 11A Celtic contender.
Lots of names that we get used to.
By the way, I'm very glad that we did not set up a Maryland
drinking game for this show because I think people would
already be passed out. There's just so many.
Names that we. Mentioned so often on this show
that I'm very glad that we didn't set that up yeah OK Kelly
gets it I don't and so on the. Show if that was the case
because I got I home girl, home girl's got to be on the show
tomorrow so. Yes, yes you do Circle P on the
also eligible list. That's what I think.
You have to finish your drink if you hear Circle P Dan Illman,
Where did you land in the million spread?
I didn't land with the horse, so I think it's going to be the
favorite and that's 7's 11. You could argue he's certainly
the horse to beat. There's just a too many moving
parts for 711 for me. This is a horse that's changed
barns a few times and ran in the Vosburgh where he was
overmatched last time out. And sure, he has ability.
I mean he ran second to post time earlier this year here in
the 98 fire speed, figure 2 starts back and if he runs that
race, he's likely going to win. I just wonder what we're going
to get from 7:00 to 11:00. Again, there's just been a lot
going on, layoffs, trainer changes, etcetera.
I'm going to focus on an up and coming 3 year old and Celtic
contender who I think is just very tactical and consistent and
coming off a good prep win last time out.
I think he's going to get a good trip for Hammy Smith and I'm not
sure we've seen his best just yet.
But I do want to focus on always in a Hurry, who I think will
drift a little bit off that 4:00 to 1:00 morning line.
I realized his last race doesn't look very good, but it wasn't a
truly run race. It's a four horse field.
He's a late runner that needs some pace.
He's tracking last in a compact field in a race one and eight to
wire fashion by. If this was a drinking game, get
ready because it's Prince of Jericho always, you know, turned
on. It was his First off a layoff.
This is a race with pace. It'll be a truly run race and
he's going to be running at the end.
So I'll try to fade sevens 11 and make some money in this
pick. He could obviously win if he
does so he'll do it without me and I'll lean on Celtic
contender and always in a hurry. Well, there you go, John.
Who'd you land on? Celtic Canada, also my top pick
as Dan said, he's been in fantastic for him all year.
I really liked his last race, very short 3 length victory.
He actually crossed the wire first four times out of eight
starts on his track. He was taken down in the start
and ask her back in late June. Even though he crossed the wire
first, overplayed harder around a career best 97 that day and in
fact really his his only bad races have come around two turns
and on grass. Take out those stars and and he
he really hasn't set a foot long in his career.
If he runs his race, and there's no reason to believe he won't,
he's very alive. Do you want to know something
about sevens 11? Who I who I'll pick second.
His only bad races this year have come with blinkers.
He had them on 1st off a long line in the defence's dash.
Didn't do much with them there. Had a matrimonium into didn't do
much of that race. Took them off and ran a very
nice race to win over States Place.
Hurricane Jay and feeling boozy who might end up going favor in
the classic. So it was a nice feel and he
beat them easy. Bosberg might have been in over
his head of that spot on a wet track.
All tossed that race out. One voice want to give a shout
out to is #7 Band Camp read by Annette and Daniel Hubeax and
that's been training in Maryland for a million years.
Still looking for her first Maryland Million win.
This guy's won seven times and 10 starts this year, including a
six for 12 lifetime market role. We're in a game race in an off
the grass event going a mile last time out, just lost by a
neck to search engine, lost 16 lengths clear of third place.
His 2 tone efforts have been very good.
He's getting a class test too, though he has been facing
starters optional claiming foes most of the year.
This is a very nice super runners, better than anything
he's faced. If if he wins his race he has a
shot and I'll be cheering for him.
But it's a bit different going against started optional
claiming types versus these boys.
Yeah, plus that three turn 6 1/2 furlong race at Timonium.
Very different than the Sprint at Laurel.
So there you go, Cali. Who'd you lay it on in the
Sprint? So for Celtic Contender, the
only note that I have written down for this horse is I think
that this can do this one can do whatever it wants in this field.
So that's where I sit with Celtic Contender.
I do agree that band camp is right underneath there for
Annette Eubanks. I won't say the horse's name,
but he did beat out a horse who will be running and is a really
nice contender in the classic later.
But this is and I agree, he's taking a step up, but at the
same time, has anybody checked to see how Ann Eubanks is doing
in this meet thus far? She's 100% in the money.
So it's the next lot for this horse and the way the barn is
going to me, why not just throw a little?
This is a little faith money and this is a a logical step up
where he goes in stakes company. He's skipping, you know, Sure
he's skipping some stuff, but why not?
So that's it's kind of a, you know, a buzz horse that I go
about. I also just wanted to give a
little credit to Johnny Z from Albany from that 6 1/2 effort
tells me everything I need to know how about how this horse is
doing because I had him totally labeled as just a strict 5
furlong horse. And that's yes, I don't I'm not
have I'm not suggesting Johnny Z from Albany is going to win this
race right, but I do suggest him to have him underneath in your
plays. I do think he he's going to try
that 6 1/2 really did him good. And I agree with you, Dan,
always in a hurry. You have to respect I I actually
leave sevens 11 completely out of this today.
Oh. It's a smile from Dan.
Evan, how about that? Oh.
Man, I like that. If I can get that done, that
accomplished, we're set here. Well, and after sevens eleven
wins the first leg of the pick 5, you could play the pick four
in the next race. That is the Maryland William
Turf Sprint 5 1/2 on the turf course there.
Again, that's the green part in the middle for those of you here
in Louisville, 100K in the Kitty here, 3 and up.
Kelly, we'll go to you here first.
This is another one of those Sprint races that I think is a
lot of fun here When I get to heaven, I think is going to get
a bunch of money in this spot. I don't know if you landed
there. Witty, obviously in here.
Another horse I bet you don't just have to follow down in
Maryland to have seen run in many, many different spots.
Where did you lay it in this one?
I did go with when I get to Heaven just because everything
that I've seen Nolan Ramsey dole out, not only just from a
running standpoint, but in the paddock as well, I just I loved,
I'm very impressed with what Nolan's doing, with what he's
turning out. I was just also visually just
loving what I saw last here at Laurel.
And that colonial determined Kingdom has really kind of been
a little bit of a buzz horse of the summer just ran a good, you
know, tough fifth in the Belmont Turf Sprint.
But he's geared. He's been geared for this race.
I do you know, my heart isn't with witty, but my head is with
when I get to heaven, which understandably money's going to
go on witty. I he was considered for the
Troy. He went to Kentucky Downs.
He talking to the connections afterward.
He did not like that track one bit.
The track can be a bit polarizing there, as you know,
Lou, as you guys all know, but he had good reports training on
it. He was the paddock pick for both
Katyn and myself. He just loves Laurel and he
loves the second wire finish. That's what he's made to do.
So I wouldn't be I may do a last minute change up and then just
for honorable mentions. I put in great idea and zarate.
There you go. Wow.
A lot. A lot.
Yes. Not, by the way, not his fault
that he doesn't love Kentucky Downs.
It's not you. Like you said, polarizing's a
very polite term. I appreciate that.
From 1. Kelly Francois, who I hope to
run into in Kentucky Downs next year.
John Piasi, Great. You laying on here?
So I think he's playing a late pick 5.
There's three ways to go. Because single Witty, you could
single when I get to heaven and not use Witty or toss both of
them out, try to spread and try to beat them.
I think Witty is beatable. Then again, I said this last
year and he beat me. So you know when we want to
shame on you. But you know, I know he didn't
like the track at like a downs. The last race still kind of
leaves me cold. He really hasn't had hey, hey,
hey, good enough late punch needed to win so far this year
and and we saw that last year going into tough Sprint as well
outside a company like this. He has a bit of a hard time
getting there and because he is a closer and a grass friend, he
is a bit at the mercy of traffic.
He could have a tough trip. He could beat me.
I did pick when I get to heaven on top who has been in improving
form all year long. We had a big race on this track
in the Benz cat two stars back fart hurting it's tidewater very
nice local grass sprinter. Then we're in a a career top
figure at colonial downs went just missing behind determined
Kingdom, who, as Kelly noted, we had a big with aqueduct last
Saturday. Do you want to go up a little
bit more in depth about Bosserati, who actually picked
second in my analysis? There's a full sister to biscuit
with the boss who will see early on the code in the Lassie and
she's also the reigning champion Maryland red 3 year old Philly
made her first start of a 10 month layoff on fitness day in
the very one into too much. They're it's a very tough field
and included future is now who's going to run a Keeneland on
Sunday and and in fact is probably the best Maryland side
of boys running this weekend. It's not even at the Maryland
million anyway, while Zarate has run well in her last four stars,
pretty pretty much the exact same race every time, showing
speed and it's barely hanging in there forward slice.
So I know she'll be be on the front end early.
I don't know if she'll be able to hold on this time, especially
against the likes of Witty or When I Get to Heaven, but she'll
be a pretty good price. I think you're playing an exact
or trifecta. She's a good voice to key
underneath. I love Bosserati here, Dan.
I do just the number if I get if I get Russell, Russell double
digits in Maryland, which I doubt very much by post time.
But if that's happening and this is a horse that hits the board
constantly, I mean, frankly, that's that's a win place kind
of bad for me, Dan. We have to respect early speed.
I mean she is simply the speed of this race and breaking from
the outside. She's going to take this field
as fast as she can for as long as she can and she might be able
to take them all the way. Personally, I think we've
mentioned the two main names and they're the two favorites on the
morning line. Witty and when I get to heaven
and probably I'll just single Witty.
I just trust him. I think he's a faster horse than
when I get to heaven. I'm not interested in that
Kentucky Downs race whatsoever. I thought he was fine at
Colonial. He probably had to split horses
6 wide turning for home and came with his run.
If there's some pace from the run at there's a long stretch at
Laurel. I think that Toledo will get
over the outside and I think if the real Witty shows up, he's
supposed to beat this field. Same connections won this race
last year and so with this horse, frankly, and so look for
Witty to try to go back-to-back in this one as well Late pick
three in case your first two legs don't work out here.
So start at race 10. And by the way, resetting for
those of you who have joined us on the stream, that is Dan
Illman on the bottom. I guess if you're watching, this
will be on the bottom right, Kelly Francois above him on the
top right and our guy, Johnny P, John Piasek on the bottom left.
My name is Louie Robot. This is the horse racing happy
hour. Thanks for hanging out with us.
We're here every Thursday. You can be part of the show as
well. You can comment on the side.
We will get you in on the show as well.
All right, so 7 furlongs here for the Distaff, 100,000 in the
Kitty here. Phillies and Bears 3 and up.
And you know, I love this race. This might be my favorite on the
card, Dan, because I've I I'm having an incredibly difficult
time coming up with a with a top selection here.
Took the words right out of my mouth.
I think this is the best betting race on the card, with the
Classic potentially a close second.
But in this race you can make a case for six or seven horses.
You've got Miss Harriet and Sheila's War Cloud, who ran 1-2
last year in the other Maryland Million Lassie.
You've got the Stranger Bourbon Bond Bay.
What an interesting story here, 5 or 6 lifetime.
We haven't seen her in 400 days. I talked to her owner and
breeder earlier today said she said the latest mishap for this
one was a fractured jaw that she's coming back from.
But she loves racing. She's seven years old.
She's still here and supposedly she's doing well for Ned Allard
Spencerian has just come back a completely new horse this year.
Three wins by blowout margins. And I'm going to take none of
those horses. I'm going to take the horse
parks. I'm going to take Fox Junior.
I, I love turn backs at this distance.
Louise, you know, and Foxy Junior's won what her last four
starts on dirt. I think she's going to get pace
going 7/8 now. She got a very good trip and
ride from Joe Martorez last time out at parks where she was able
to save ground. She was able to find every hole.
She got to the two paths on the far turn, the rail opened up
again. She altered course back to the
inside. She's got a lot of agility.
I think she's a little bit underrated however, and I'm
looking for a hot pace that she could benefit from.
So I'm hoping one more time for Foxy Junior.
She is coming back a little bit quick for Mike.
Kelly, do you like that pic? I have faith in dance.
I also agree and I just don't go with I I don't go with that just
due to the fact I'm a big, big girl who doesn't like who has
big, big opinions about doing quick turn backs unless they're
specifically bred for it, which listen, Bree Houghton told Like
I I'm I get it, I'm all about it.
I'm just not about it for the day on Saturday.
So it's for me. It's a here's the thing,
visually, as Dan noted, extremely professional and and
just impressive. Just a quick turn around for me.
I go with the number 14 on the outside and Benny for Brittany
and Sheldon Russell, their half to Crab cakes, two time winner
of the Maryland Million Distaff. There you go Benny on the
outside, the 14 horse, 8:00 to 1:00.
Any guess, John, what the post time odds will be on Benny?
I'll go 9:00 to 2:00. I'll say somewhere, what's the
difference about 5-6 to one. I think the post 14 factor and
the lightly race factor are going to cancel out the Brittany
factor. I do wonder, by the way, Cindy,
do look a bit out there. Let us know how many half
siblings have won the half or four siblings have won the same
Maryland, Maryland race because as you said her older sister on
this razor and was quite a good horse on local circuit.
Send an e-mail, Callie, Send an e-mail right now.
We'll have it before the end of the show, OK?
So as everyone has said, there's a lot of ways to go.
Baby Bombay is fascinated to me because she has been around the
block for a long time. She was in very good form at at
around Maryland a million times, especially in 2022 and 2023.
And yet Eric didn't send her to Maryland, Maryland either One of
those years she thought about it, didn't send her and now
she's confident enough to send her here.
First off, AU plus layoff. To me, that's a pretty good
sign. I think she'll be over bet
because she has those very nice lines.
And as Dan said, Ned Aller has been doing good work in the
Mid-Atlantic all year long. But if you gave me like 1011 to
one on her, I got to think about it.
So I think she has to be respected and you know, got you
for Erin. I mean, it's a build down home
owner building operation. I kind of put the Maryland mail
in. It's kind of all about my top
choice is number 8. Miss Harriet.
I am sure that in the late winter, early spring, David
Baxter and Brennan McFarlane circle this date on their
calendar because after the wide country which she wants very
easily. I said to myself, this Philly is
going to be in a lot of spots, which is going to be in in over
her head over the spring and and over the summer.
As long as she she performed by the time fall rolls around,
she'll be very live in the Maryland.
Maryland is that's exactly how it played out.
You know, didn't do much in the picada didn't do much in the
Miss Preakness or what we said he missed.
However, in her last two tries around one turn on this track,
she's been very impressive both times.
Set the pace in the missed disco worn by two and three quarter
lengths. Got a stiff class test last time
out in a tough third level allow soft proclaiming group shook him
off. Won by almost 4 lengths on a wet
track. First off a 2 month who has
spent a little bit of a longer life than she used to running
off of, but still ran very well. There is a lot of speeding here,
but I think if anybody is going to run them off their feet, it's
going to be her actually like she was work like quite a bit.
Third off a long while. She was second last year to Miss
Harriet in the Maryland and ran a big race second off the bench
and we're going to Malibu. Moonshine is also kind of
interesting to me. Home bread for Doctor Parker,
Todd beauty trains. She has very in and out form but
did win a stakes on this track in the case back in January.
Of course the three times stakes went on this track and fast on
this track. Then won an open claiming race
at Saratoga last time out from well off the pace when it going
away. Think if she gets a trip she
could mow these down. A reminder Bourbon Bombay.
The Five is not to be confused with Gordon Bombay.
He was the coach in the Mighty Ducks movies.
That's very. Different.
So people were confused by that. Don't be confused by that.
Oh good, I got the look from Dan.
I always want to get that once a show.
It's fantastic. That is a dad joke.
Oh, that wasn't even the finger I expected to see from Dan after
that joke. How about?
That all right? You got that.
You got that after the show, but no one's around.
We'll move on to the billion. It is Race 11 here.
The late double starts here. We'll start at the start line
and we will finish at the same one mile and Nate there on the
dirt course at at Laurel. They are running for $150,000 in
this one. Callie will go to you first.
Look like the distaff. We got another wide open field
here. Yeah, I alluded to a horse
earlier. I believe it wasn't the Sprint
that, you know, at Eubanks band camp.
He ended up beating out my top selection earlier this summer in
Mosler time for Cal Lynch, Jamie Rodriguez.
I just think, you know, two and three back were kind of
experiments. I think he's just set up.
He's set up well to run really nicely here today.
I really, this isn't his test going this distance at 9
furlongs I think was what I've seen in the gallop out, what
I've seen within here. I just don't think it's going to
be a problem. We saw just a little bit of a
not necessarily a new leaf, but this was this was aggressive.
This was aggressive of what we saw the ride from Jamie
Rodriguez in that effort last time out, but that's kind of
what he needs. I I just think the horse is in
such good form. So I go with Mosler time and
then I back it up with Annette Eubanks here in Brilliant Ice
with Jay Ron Barbosa on the outside.
He'll obviously be tested. I picked two horses that are
going to be tested at this distance, but what's this one is
breaking the mold? I couldn't find anything on the
bottom side for brilliant ice on, you know, as far as distance
breeding, But I I like the fact that, you know, last time out he
lost out to Irish exit who had a rough trip next time out up in
New York, but he beat out, you know, he beat out horses like
Armando R accelerator. Those are horses I highly I
highly respect at especially that nine for a long distance.
So I think that that's the direction I go in.
Who else do I have? I go with Vance scholars
underneath old reliable. I'm in between.
I'm still undecided between Market Maven and feeling who's
the underneath for Hammy Smith. All right, well, go ahead.
Whatever is next. I guess that would be Johnny P
Go buddy. So I think most of the time on
top is son, of course, mostly the standard country like farm,
Kyle Lynch and Jamie Rodriguez. He's had a bit of strange
circumstances over the course of his career.
He had one start where he stumbled at the start and lost
his jockey. He's tried grass.
He had a bad break one day on a wet track, didn't do much there
but but it got to pick through his lines in in which is
actually allowed to run his best race.
Really any of his races win this, especially his last start
against first low allowance company back in the seventh came
from off the pace and won by almost 7 for the huge figure.
In fact some huge figures in each of his 2 stones two turn
starts, one of which came at Pimlico and one of which came
Hugh. I think Market Maven is also
pretty live. He actually crossed the wire
first in this race last year and was disqualified into beer.
Cole who was also in this race was put as the winner.
This one has has run some nice races at parks for new trainer
Jacinto so at least got a pair of third place finishes putting
a nice boat in the Storm Cat where he closed pretty well up
the inside. There's a decent amount of speed
in here thing as long as he he he doesn't get buried in traffic
he can make some light noise. I picked Man Scholars in his
race 2 two years ago. He owes me a lot of money from
that day because he didn't win, he came in second.
He I think is a good underneath horse.
I don't think he is quite the late punch needed to win, but if
I was playing a trifecta or a a super factor I might keep him
underneath. Dan, do you like Steve's joke
about Bewitched better than The Mighty Ducks?
Oh, boy. I have to say, probably
Bewitched is a little bit better than the Mighty Ducks.
Come on. The Mighty Ducks.
So what? What?
What's the matter with you? What are you?
Doing I grew up in Michigan and hockey, it was like
Christianity, then hockey. I can't.
I can't help it. Yeah, yeah.
All right, anyway, get it? Getting back to.
Kelly Franzle horse racing things, yes.
Right, getting back to getting back to business here, since I'm
probably going to single witty in the pick five.
I could spread in races like the Distaff and the Classic and I
have to because it's this competitive a race and Callie
and John mentioned three of the logical contenders that I will
use Mosler time I think is just really blossomed since being
allowed to stretch out around a router ground.
I think a mile and an eighth will be perfectly fine for him.
Really a nice. I do have the same concerns
Kelly has about the extra distance, but the source is very
sharp, is very competitive on the speed figure scale, and is
fast enough to find good position going into the first
term market. Mavin is repeating the same sort
of pattern they used last year when he finished first in this
race and was disqualified for second.
I think it was the storm cat at parks, the Alphabet Super Parks
and then of the Maryland Million Classic.
So if it ain't broke, don't fix it.
And then if you believe there's a lot of speed in this race like
I do, what about Mugatu, who's a little bit, you know, but a lot
of folks have been laughing and who got to it because he's been
thrown in over his head and he's won for 17 lifetime.
But when you're facing horses like, oh, I don't know, when the
Preakness or Batten Down last time out at Churchill Downs and
all of a sudden you're showing up on Maryland Million Day, I
think you have a chance or at least a puncher's chance at a
price if the pace is high. Is there any chance either of
these also eligibles could draw into this field based on the
conditions? I'm going to say no, John.
I'm curious as his opinion. I mean, they'll need.
A lot. Of scratch scratches.
OK, so it's possible, it's possible, but it's not what we
thinking about. I think for more than about 5
seconds. Got it.
All right. Well, there you go.
We won't think about it for five seconds.
And let's go ahead and we'll do our annual private conversation
with the Maryland Jockey Club. The final race of this Pick 5 is
a really good one and I appreciate you folks listening
to this show when we used to refuse the nickel claimers that
ended up at the end of these things.
You don't have to do that on Maryland Million Day.
You get a handicap instead, folks, and that's what we'll
talk about for the last race here It is the 12th race.
It's a $40,000 purse for a starter handicap going 7
furlongs on the dirt there. I think frankly, a spectacular
finish to this big 5, Dan, because it is just no.
He's shaking his head. OK all.
Right, I agree with you. I agree with you.
I'm. Hold.
Over by this race, I think it's a fantastic betting race and
shame on anyone that leaves or doesn't pay attention after the
Maryland Million Classic because this is what's known as a get
out race and you can get out and make money if you're down.
Going into this starter handicap, I'm going to be
focusing on two horses. 1 is a veteran that everyone in
Maryland is a big fan of and his name is Club Man.
I know a lot of folks think he might be a little bit long in
the tooth, but you know something?
I don't think so. I think his form is completely
dirtied up. They ran him at Delaware, I
believe three starts back off the layoff.
He caught a wet track, a speed favoring track, a race that
produced 3 Next Out winners, and he was far from embarrassed.
And in his last two starts he ran at Timonium.
And while he's done well at Timonium in the past, I'm just
not sure as he's gotten older that that tight Bullring is
really good for him. Anything but perhaps building a
bit of fitness. I like him turning back to seven
and a race with speed. Maybe it's a little bit sharp
from this distance but at a price.
I think he'll be running late and I also want to use the
number 2 Divine Child. I know he's eligible for a non
winners of two life race but look at the horses he was in
against last time out, one of them being Celtic contender.
And Celtic contender is my pick in the Maryland millions Sprint
and would be barred from the wagering in this race.
And Divine Child was not embarrassed rallying into a
moderate pace. So I would use Divine Child, I
would use Club Man, Even Rad Paisley.
I think off the claim is going to show some speed, but it's a
really good race. Look for some value.
John, where'd you land here? I will say that if Clubman wins
and gives his sire Not For Love yet yet another Merlin Million
win, Great Notion is going to fuel a disturbance wherever he
is because he knows that it that a win by Clement is going to
make it even tougher. A Great notion to eventually
passing off the love one day at the all time leading Marilyn
Millian stallion. As Dan said, it is a very tough
race. I think he just kind of throw
dogs and hope for the best. In a race like this, though, it
is good if you find boat shoes in a long shot to pick them, and
that's what I did with #11 Big Daddy's Boy and I believe 12:50
on the morning line. I black out all the morning
lines on a handicap, so I can't quite read it on my paper, but I
know he's double digits on the morning line. 15 to one.
Yeah, 15. And I do feel bad for Gina Rod
because I know she loves his horse a lot and he was playing
away from her last time out. 12, five by Gina Curry.
So I'm not sure how she'll feel if he if he wins this race, but
he is in improving form. He ran back-to-back, very nice
figures. Well, well, well off the pace to
win at 5 1/2 furlongs last time out.
Just gobbled up ground in the last eighth and one by a neck.
Just missed his career. Top figure on business scale
that day with an 82. He should like a distance going
from 7 to 5 1/2, from 5 and a half to seven.
Rally and should be a very good price.
There you go, and Cali, we'll finish up with you.
Last race year, Race 12, the starter handicapped to close out
the Pick 5. Troy saying with Irish warlock
there in with the number 3 coming off of that punchy effort
over at colonial. So I love the fact that Troy,
you know, Troy's getting the hang of things as far as you
know, where to place these horses and you know whether to
give them some time. So he's he's starting to get the
idea and I think this one is just coming in with a nice
little pop at the right time. So I think you know you go go
from the seven furlongs, you stay at this distance.
I always this 7 furlong distance can be at very particular for
me. So This is why I kind of go with
the horses that are proven at this distance And you go back to
that allowance, state bread allowance effort, salty season
of the summer for the state breads here in Maryland.
But that was a nice effort in June.
And then underneath I go with the number 8IN must be love
because Jamie Ness is 14 for 31 specifically in second for this
meet thus far and this horse. God asked just a touch early
last time outgoing A2 turn mile over at Delaware is going to
appreciate getting back here. Was entered for a state bread
allowance on the 21st of September and was a scratch.
There you go. Well, that is our synopsis of
the late pick five and pick 6 and pick 7 sequence there at
Maryland. Don't bet on the pick seven.
It doesn't exist. Dan, what do you think is the
normal? What are what are you expecting
like how much you're going to have to spend on the pick 5 to
have decent coverage? I know you're talking about a
single with witty that that obviously reduces things, but
are we in like the 14150 kind of range?
Let me try to do the quick math. Right now there's four and 12/3,
3:00. There's. 3/6 between 75 and 150
OK. All right, that's playable.
Yeah, because I think there's a chance there's a serious pay
here. Cali, your your favorite
Maryland million. How many, how many of these
Maryland millions have you been to now?
Is this your third? This is this.
Will be my third, yeah. Yeah, OK.
All right, OK, Look at me doing math.
Dan and John, random Maryland fact, please.
I I love how much like a sire factor, a broodmare fact or
something like that just just hit us with something really
random about Maryland millionaire.
Well, I will say that is the irony in the best Maryland solid
force of the weekend not running in the Maryland Maryland that
being future is now who is by great notion if she goes to the
Breeders Cup and wins should be the first Maryland solid Force
20 Breeders' Cup race since Countess Diana back in 1997,
which won Juvenile Phillies. And a further fun fact, the only
force pull off a Maryland million Breeders' Cup double in
the same year was safely capped. In 1990 she won the Maryland
Million Sprint. A few weeks later became the
first Maryland ever to win the Breeders Cup race when she won
the Sprint over Deja. Oh, she didn't win the Sprint.
Dejour lost the Sprint. Still still counts.
Still counts. Mike, John, have this moment.
Come on. This is the horse racing happy
hour. What are we doing?
The daily fee? Oh.
Man, all right, Well, he is John.
What's the next time you're on the mic there at Yonkers, buddy?
Sometime I, I think in about two weeks time, I'll have to look at
the schedule that our intrepid leader Edison Hatter made.
But it'll be sometime in next week or two.
So if you're looking some way to fill the long fall nights if the
if, God forbid, for the Yankees and the Mets get knocked out and
there's no baseball to watch in New York in October, flip over
the Yonkers and you might hear me on the mic.
John, what did you say your style is more like Jackie Lear,
the bullet, Bob Meyer? I would say Jack Lee.
I loved his announcing nicknames that he used to do.
And one day, because Jack Lee, who was the announcer at
Roosevelt and threw old for a while, he had a line every time
a horse was like hopelessly beaten, he would always say, and
at the end, it's so and so. But not today.
And I hope one day I will have to courage bring up that line
because I know if I ever do say it, that horse will come back
and win and bite me in the butt. So we'll see what happens.
So I might use it one day, but I do it.
But Jack Lee definitely had a lot of character in his call.
So he's definitely somebody on the final side who I look up to
go and answer. Where do people find your
handicapping for Saturday? Find me on theracingbiz.com I've
done 2 videos with Frank Bestie who wants to say one of which is
live as of now in which we dive into the classic and me and
Kenzie Pfeiffer and Frank give our opinions.
Frank and I also broke down a pick five there where we talked
about my ticket spoiler I'm leaning on when I get to heaven,
and most of the time pretty strongly in that sequence.
For more info, check out that video and my written analysis is
going to be up on theracingbiz.com, the morning of
which you can find out my opinion on all 12 races.
Hopefully they're good ones, but no matter what, it's going to be
a great day of racing and a great spotlight of Maryland.
And we went to 1990 for that. I love you, John.
All right, Callie, you are at Miss Francois to you to you on
all of the socials. She is a she's a make you
jealous type on IG. Just a warning, but are you be
honest, Which one is more fun? Is Preakness day or is Maryland
million day just because it's it's it's the state folks.
It's it's more of a you know, it's the Laurel thing.
It's a little less of you know, your bosses aren't in from
stronach for this one. You know what I mean?
OK, so this is a bad year to ask me that question I had, I kid
you not. So when I first of all, when it
comes to our first bosses, Dave Joseph just really lets me kind
of do whatever. He stays well out of it, which
is fantastic. I probably had the worst
Preakness that I've ever had ever this year.
So you know what? Just by default.
Marilyn Million this year, baby. Let's go.
Let's go. All right.
What a great default answer that is.
Dan Illman will be on the desk at Laurel on Saturday.
I I can't make fun of that because I'm just jealous.
I want to be hanging out on Jim McKay.
Million Mary on a million day. Do you have a preference to you?
I know you love this day. I mean, to be fair, I know you
love this day, Dan. You know, you really can't ask
me what day is better because to me, a, a a random Friday at
Laurel Park or at Aqueduct or at any race track in the country is
good enough to me. I just, yeah, I just can't get
it. There's no such thing for me as
a bad day at the race track. The correct answer is Marilyn
Million Day, because I'm not there.
How about that? She's Cali Francois, He's John
Piosic. And of course, there it is.
Yeah, that's. See.
You get it? Yeah, that's how that works.
He's Dan Elman. Dan, tell people where to find
you. Your stuff is considerably
better edited than this. A daily racing forum YouTube
channel. 10% off DRF past performances.
Use the QR code in the open of the video.
My analysis of course in the Daily Racing Form print and
online with your formulator past performances.
Lots of bad dad jokes tonight, but I think people can tell from
listening to this show. I love the Maryland circuit and
I love getting to cover it and I love the people that are
involved with it, including John, Dan and Callie.
Thank you 3 for so much for joining us tonight.
Thank you for supporting Maryland racing and it's.
Been hey, we love it. Bye.
Awesome. All right, well, get them, get
them out of here. We'll just start getting them
out. Oh, nice and quick looking Zach.
And then I'm going to add Zach to the stage.
Oh, no, man. Oh God, you imagine, you imagine
you're some person and you tune in for the first time and you're
like, oh, I know, I know. Callie Francois, she's good.
She was at Kentucky Downs. She's dominating on the Maryland
jockey scene. She's doing the whole thing and
then your face pops up. Can you imagine just the
disappointment that would happen with those things?
Did Callie back on the show for? No, she's just shaking her head
now. That's not, hey, Kelly's got
Kelly's got one of the top five moments in the history of this
ridiculous show, talking about the raccoons in her office.
It's not even close. Oh my gosh, yes.
That's. Also, to be continued, the story
is not done there, so that's. Oh no.
We need a Part 2. We need a Part 2.
We need a, We need a. What are the results of what you
guys offered? And you can and we can't do.
We can't. We have one year to do it.
We have one shot to do it. I know you're right.
Yeah. So it's going to take the best
effort out of all this is for me to make the effort to let go
before I actually need to get there.
So best of luck to everybody for that.
But like I said, we'll find out. Awesome.
Thanks again. Kelly.
Yeah, she's Kelly Grass. While There you go.
I have no idea why she talks to me.
I I don't get it. It's all right.
All right. So the.
So there you go. I OK, so here's the deal.
You you have made the trips with us for Preakness and and you
lived in Baltimore for a while again, 15 years.
Yeah. Yeah.
I think people don't know that we actually enjoy doing these
shows. We really like the Maryland
circuit. I love the road.
Oh my gosh, yes. Yep.
So freaking logical and and well put together.
So it's it's one of those. But yeah, it it also I'm glad
they're not on here anymore and there's no chance they're gonna
go back and listen. I really like all the people in
Maryland, too. It's the whole thing.
We didn't have my call. If you happen to still be
listening, Dave Rodman, who's gonna call all the races, will
join me on Rabonco at 10:20 AM tomorrow, Eastern Time on ESPN
Louisville. If you are around the country,
anywhere and you wanna listen to that, ESPN louisville.com.
Easy to stream us, frankly, just ask your smart speaker.
We're on iHeartRadio. We can find you can find us that
way as well. I wanted to to pull this up just
before we leave Zach to do to do I think that it no the 12th is
Saturday. I just clicked on Sunday at
Laurel Park. That will not help me to do to
do as my old computer struggles to find Internet connection and
run a video at the same time. But here are the field sizes for
the late the late runs at Laurel Park in the late pick 511,
thirteen, 1613 and 15. You're going to get value folks.
This is at a 12% take out. Frankly, if you're going to hit
a pick 5 and make some money this year, this actually is an
opportunity outside of big days like Derby and Preakness, Derby
and Belmont or Preakness or you know, Breeders' Cup, there's
going to be some opportunities in here.
And frankly, you know, people were talking about horses to key
in on man in that in the in the Sprint man trying to beat witty
man. If you can do that with a horse
like Bazarotti the 11 and get really aggressive, I think
there's an incredible chance, frankly, to get some massive
value. But Zach, go ahead, hour 10.
Our poor guy, John, by the way, John Sherva dealing with the
hurricane down there in Florida. Shout out to everyone who
listens to this show in the state of Florida and and in
North Carolina, wherever you might be.
If you've been affected the last month, we are really thinking
about you. Hopefully if you are listening
to this, a nice little break from what it is that you're
having to deal with on the ground there.
But we will catch up with you sometime in the future when we
make a trip either the Tampa Bay Downs or down to Gulfstream Will
will hang out then. But for I know you're you're a
big donor of blood. That is one of the best things
you can do during these these disasters.
You know, you can get out there, find a Red Cross, donate blood.
It's they're they're always needed, whether there's a
hurricane or not. There you go.
All right. Producer Zach, my name's Louie
Erbel at radio Louie on Twitter. You can find the show at Horse
Happy Hour October 29th. If you're in Louisville, we'll
have our Breeders' Cup seminar at BA Colonial across from
Iroquois Park. Free to get in 6:00.
Come say hi, we'll have tons of giveaways and Amwager will be
hanging out to help you get your bankroll together.
And don't forget to look for us in San Diego.
We'll be doing a show in San Diego as well, shoring up all of
the details on that. And please ping us if you're
going to be at the Breeders Cup. We'd love to say hi again.
Producer Zach, he's right there. I'm Louis Rubbo.
We'll talk to you next week on the Horse Racing Happy Hour.