Alright, welcome to another edition of the horse-racing.
Happy hour. We are in the weird week between
the previous recap and we can't quite yet.
Do it Belmont preview, although we're getting pretty close for
getting, you know, some news there back and forth about who's
gonna be in the Belmont, who's not, I'm sure Louis is
devastated that to Phil's, not running the Belmont.
I'm okay. He'll be here for, for preview
day, he'll be here for ya. He'll be here for some stuff.
I'll get Watch him in person which is okay.
So you're better. You're better that you get to
watch them in person. I look, selfishly, I'm good.
Yeah, I did. Look at that.
The Met Mile Line up. It is looking pretty solid.
It's always that card. Mike, you and me top 500 across
all year. We love it.
So yeah. No looking forward to that a
couple weeks but we'll do a lot of that talk next week today.
We've got a very special guest so we go and bring Pat on pack
Cummings. Who is with the Thoroughbred
idea Foundation, which I just like love the concept of the
throw but idea Foundation, they and their yeah.
Huge impact on racing. So this is this group Pat, make
sure I don't misspeak. But like the whole idea behind
the Thoroughbred idea Foundation is to come up with great ideas
to make horse racing sustainable and you know your look at it
from all perspectives from the owner to The Horseman to the to
the the athletes themselves to the better.
And then you guys just do. Awesome work.
Thanks, I appreciate it. Like a lily look, it's been a
five-year Hall. All to get us to kind of where
we are and now I actually think there's a little bit of momentum
but you're right I mean the whole origin wise can we improve
the sport for the to voluntary Financial participants the
people who choose to put up their money and from that
investment trickles down to everyone else across the sport,
the owners and the horse players and if you don't make it better
for them, they're not going to stay right.
They need to see a reason to keep Participating in light of
all, of the other possible choices, they have to spend
their discretionary income. Why do it in racing and why
continue to do it? And I know there's always
challenges that all horse players.
Probably all horse owners to face at some point in time.
Do I continue on? Do I keep doing this?
Because we all kind of faced setbacks along the way and I
think we all feel that from time to time and many of us Pick up
and keep going and some of us say you know what, I want to do
something else, we want to limit the times that that happens.
And unfortunately the sport hasn't done a great job of
instilling that in horseplayers and finding reasons to keep us
particularly in light of the most competitive environment for
gambling ever and only getting more.
So for those of us that live in the, the great Commonwealth of
Kentucky, so you know, there's a lot more things that we can do
these days and horse. Racing has to get out there and
compete and do it relentlessly and not apologize for it.
I know you got questions so much.
What do I do for sure? We put it on Twitter.
I got a bunch of messages from people that wanted to ask a
bunch of questions. If you've read any of the
stories recently about, for example, the Quinella bet any
irregularities at Gulfstream Park that was largely, the
investigative work of the Thoroughbred idea foundation and
you can find them, by the way, tracing think-tank.com Pat's on
Twitter at pad Cummings tifu want to go find him there as
well. You know, we have lots of
questions pad, you mentioned the better.
Obviously, that's Usually who's watching the show but then of
course we show up at racks and I mean a trainer they've been
listening as well that kind of stuff but how much of a chance,
you know, you talked about this competitive gambling
environment, how much are we hurting?
The competitive gambling environment of horse racing with
what I'll call batch betters how much how much does the two
dollar five dollar kind of better?
Does he have a chance against those guys?
Well, you know, it's kind of one of those Beauties in the eye of
the beholder. I think kind of, you know,
success is in the individual consideration of every horse
player. So it gets tough to put
everybody into an individual segments and and necessarily I'd
say you have paint a broad brush stroke, but I will say this
overall look, this is I think this is the year of talking
about this. This is the the really super hot
topic. I know there's going to be a lot
of Just coming up for the industry throughout the rest of
the year. Where I know this is a major
topic of discussion. It is undeniable that the big
computer-assisted, wagering teams players, groups, whatever
you want to call them. They're getting bigger.
And I don't think it's just a function of their participation,
increasing by their own choosing, but it's a combination
that they are maybe playing a little bit more.
But ordinary horseplayers mainstream players aren't
playing as much or have stopped altogether, right?
So if you incentivize those bigger players to play a little
more with an even bigger rebate, right?
We're talking say go from 13 percent average rebate to 14
percent that can increase their play substantially, and the
mainstream customers aren't seeing as much reason, right?
That there's Belay Dodge drops, they're seeing the mass of
crushes in exactas and double payouts, not to mention them.
The other multi-race bets. Sure.
I where we see from time to time.
So I think what the reality is, we can't be anti-progress and
being against CAW bedding in all forms, I think is anti-progress,
we need to be for modernity for technology for trying to attract
more players are trying to attract young engineers.
He's right. Young programmers.
Who want to model the heck out our data, right?
We want that. That's like they have in
baseball or basketball or football anything like that.
Absolutely. That we want that, right?
We want more of that. But we need to do it with some
guardrails and there's very few of them out there right now.
I'd say, you know, examples there of would be like Oaklawn
Parks show. Adding rebate for on track show
up on track. Yeah right.
Yep. New York has it right?
Naira has probably been the leader in kind of going from
having a lot of crw played a limiting that crw player CAW
play over time and so they cut them out of the wind pool inside
of two minutes to post greatly limiting, the late odds changes,
right? The dropping when they break are
right, those sorts of things, more track should be adopting
that it least. Until we get a better handle on
how the market has evolved and changed over time, we need all
of our customers to want this, to be a competitive Marketplace,
and not really experienced a lot of dominance.
They already have technological dominance, right?
They should be the best player in the room, right?
If you're spending Millions a year, on your racing algorithm,
you're racing betting algorithm in an analytical tool.
You should be pretty good, right?
You should be quote, unquote, better than the guy, who shows
up at Churchill on Saturday will hundred bucks in his pocket,
right? But we want that person who has
the hundred dollars in their pocket to have a chance to not
experience these crushing late movements to get a little bit
bigger. Bang for their Buck Right?
Get a little bit more back, increase that players churn we
want to see that player directed to bedding.
Maybe place and show bit The abandoned years ago, right?
As opposed to betting half of that bankroll on the Pick 6, but
they're very unlikely to win anyway.
And I think that's the dialogue that really needs to kind of
happen from here. How do we Inspire mainstream
play and protect mainstream play and increase churn while
controlling the evolution of the caw play bit better and we can
do better job on this show honestly.
I mean, I mean, We give out sequences all the time but we
could be talking more about how, you know, this is a good bet in
this race to do a place and we do it from time to time Louise I
think say hey for this long shot this would be a great place show
better or whatever else we talked about how much I love the
win place and show because I'm not a serious.
I'm not a serious gambler. I'm self-admitted that I'll go
and play. I just I love the sport and I
love the competition aspect of it but it's rare for me to go
out and bet 50 to $75 to $100 on a race day.
So perfect. You guys just the product of the
most successful marketing that horse racing is done over the
last 20 years which is better little when Allah.
Yeah. And try and focus players into
those pools and the reality is based on the research that we've
done that the algorithms do really, really well right, the
tougher, the better it is, the more power, they're processing
abilities. Have in cover In combinations,
efficiently. Whereas the ordinary kind of
hundred dollar weakened player is very inefficient
traditionally in the way they play those beds but you see it
in all the TV broadcast or what's your pick for?
What your pick, five ticket, you're attracted by 15% low,
take out, pick fives, those sorts of things, you know, your
takeout rate is, if you don't hit 5 of 5, 100%, right?
You lose it all, take out only matters if you win and we need
to be Pushing our players is an industry into bets that kind of
meat where they are in the sport that will keep them
participating in the sport. It's good for Horseman, it's
good for racetracks and its really good for the player
long-term, and you have to put it in in light of where Sports
beddings. Evolution has gone, right?
So put the concept of the parley aside.
I think there's a reason why sports betting parlor ladies
have grown in popularity. Clarity.
They've been pushing them and they're one of the few areas
that I think that are really profitable for the the sports
books but the vast majority of sports bets that you see are low
odds. Propositions meaning meaning
High chances of winning relative to what you see in horse racing
that very rarely. Do you get a five or six or
seven, one prop, or a two-way ring the three-way bet in sports
betting. These are typically you know
there's a lot of 32 There's a lot of 625 and when players are
playing that in sports betting they're winning more, right?
And they're churning more and it's not to say that Sports
bets, you know, that that straight up kind of yes, no
over-under. With the spread as opposed to
saying, moneyline bits are incredibly profitable for the
sports books right now we know that isn't the case because of
kind of the ridiculous consumer acquisition pushed, it's been
on, but But racing needs to find a way to compete and pushing a
lot of our customers into the next big all Stakes.
Pick 5 sequence might not be the most holistic way, most
sustainable way to build our business.
Well, don't worry the maiden special weight anchors, the end
of the pick, five at all this weekend, so I won't be giving
out an all Stakes, pick five hours.
So Pat, you know, good news, bad news for Derby record handle at
the Derby for Churchill Downs. Bad news, of course the track
conditions, maybe not the track conditions, just the breakdowns
of the horses there. Let's start with the good.
Let's start with Penny breakage, frankly that brought a million
bucks back in the pockets of the better is.
I remember Josh Mike, what we had the hppa president Yeah
Thursday that sound right? No Wednesday.
It was yeah, it was Wednesday. That's because we're back side,
right? And it was like oh you know,
break it and I'd rather that you know whatever and then and then
the weekend happened and I was like oh that's a million
dollars, bro. Like that's that's a legitimate,
all my money. And that is something that Pat
was very much behind. What what have you heard from
people, too? And I'm also interested in hey,
real quickly, explain explain for our normal.
Patty breakage, by the way, he talked about that and is there
Is there anything good about horse racing becoming a big day?
A big event sport. I'll just deal with that part
first. I think in today's world, it is
so much easier to draw attention eyeballs the wallet when you're
getting a little bit more than just a run-of-the-mill
experience, right? So a day at the races, at
Churchill, this Saturday is different than a day on on Derby
Day or on Breeders Cup Saturday or on Stephen Foster.
Right to the Stephen Foster preview day coming up, it.
I think it's just in our nature, right?
To be bombarded by that, which is a little bit bigger, more
lights, more attention than Nice.
Great three steak and you know nice day out of the races and I
think that's just that's just kind of a Natural Evolution.
So I'm really looking forward to the Belmont Day card.
I think it's probably the two greatest days of racing outside
of the Breeders Cup and triple crown that we get all year.
It's just a such a tremendous thing and it has been at the
expense of some of the normal, the normal racing.
I've seasoned and kind of schedule and things but you
know, it's just I think that's just my living in the times that
we're in right now that we have to deal.
I think the generation slightly younger than Mike and me, you
know let's say late. 20s to late 30s loves events, right?
I think they're I think they are.
They're not, it's a generation that isn't built on things.
That's a generation built on experiences and those horse
races are those days are definitely experience and you
need to lean into that. Like you need to meet people
where they are. And I just the way that life is,
I don't know how you can attract someone to come to racing forget
daily but just Weekly, right? That if you can, can anchor the
sport around one big day, a month and if that's where you
can meet someone to 12 times a year, you've got something
there, right? Heck, if you can get them, six
times a year. You're doing really well.
Kentucky does it better than most right?
Kentucky. Has that.
Advantage has a lot of natural tendency to attract people to
raise it on the penny breakage side.
This was a huge win for horseplayers.
I think for racing overall, no one is ever going to be able to
trace the exact lineage of where every penny paid back to
horseplayers ends up going. But I know this put more money
in an active horseplayers wallet.
And chances are There will be more active horse, playing as a
result. Penny breakage is really just
talking about getting the rounding of dividends from a
pair of mutual payout to the nearest Penny.
As opposed to the dime, which has been the case for almost all
of American Racing for the entirety of paramutual, wagering
to round, winning dividends to the lowest dimes.
So if the raw pay out on a two dollar, let's just say a $1 bit.
Came out to be five point one eight cents.
Let's say, let's say it's a two dollar bid.
Five point one, eight five dollars, 18 cents you got $5.
Hmm, having a dime Well on $2, it's really 5.0 9.
Let's say so exactly know. 9 times 2, right?
Got you. Okay, I'm coming in from a
couple different ways because as you're doing so on every dime.
So, for every amount above an even dollar amount or an even
Ten Cent increment, That amount got rounded down and retained.
And where it went essentially went to the BET taker.
So let's say you show up and you're betting and you've got a
two dollar bit and you get seven dollars back.
You may have gotten 718 or seven 16 or 14 years.
Whatever it was, but you only saw seven dollars.
He's an okay guy. Got my $7 the leftover, let's
call it. 18 cents is kept by the bed taker so if you're betting
on track at, Churchill Downs, Churchill Downs.
Got your 18 cents and Churchill would have an agreement with the
Horsemen's Association to split that. 18 sets, some of it going
to The Horseman for variety of reasons, some of the purses Etc
and then some to the racetrack keeping it themselves well as
everyone that is involved in racing, pretty much knows.
Most of the money is not better the racetrack anymore.
So if 90-plus percent of the handle is coming from an
off-site location, it is those bet takers who Tang breakage to.
So if you on your ADW, I mean bet you make an ADW that has
breakage, the atw is keeping that money.
Look, maybe some of it trickles back to you in some form.
Some little rebates of incentive program, some cash back award
that sort of thing, some points program but maybe it doesn't.
Hmm, our belief is that, this is just like a tax break.
That, that money is better in the hands of the taxpayer, give
it back to them and It to them directly and Kentucky's
legislature. Agreed Governor beshear agreed.
It was part of sweeping a paramutual, taxation reform,
kind of been born out of the legalization of historical horse
racing and the lead legislators no longer in the legislature.
Adam Cain egg from Northern Kentucky, who was just
phenomenal for all of. This basically said in the
hearings, I want us to give something back to the horse
player. H.h., He's given to the
community, right? Give another tracks.
It's given to the horse, we've given to the universities that
are tied to the equine industry. Let's give something back to the
whole to the horse players themselves.
And what that has meant is since July of 2022.
When this went into effect, we're approaching the one-year
anniversary more than five point.
Two million dollars has come back to horseplayers directly in
only the win place and show pools.
Wow, it affects every pool, we're not tracking every pool.
We are just tracking pure win place and show because that is
really where you see it and feel it, the most the lower the
payout, the greater the percentage of breakage.
And instead of getting your you know two dollars and twenty
cents on a show, bet you know where 20 cents is your profit
off of a two-dollar bit. Now, maybe you're getting 28
cents. And that's what percent.
That's a lot of money. That's a lot of money.
Exactly. Right.
So as a percentage of profit it matters a lot in those in those
pools were the payouts maybe a little bit smaller and it is
made those competitive in the derby alone.
Let's see. It was three hundred eighteen
thousand dollars. The Derby race itself in the
wind plays and show pulls that was given back as a result. 1.1
million dollars on Oaks and Derby Day.
And like I said, 5.2 million so far and it's just continuing,
right? It's it's a train.
We just keep rolling the head and give it more money back.
And I think it's great, and I know that a good chunk of that
money is coming back into the pool and it is, I think helping
everyone in the downstream of where that handle goes.
Right, let's go into the bad stuff which We unfortunately saw
an unusual, I don't ever remember anything like it in all
the years that I've been around Churchill Downs which I'm
assuming is longer than both of you, maybe even combined not
that I'm, you know, I don't know.
I don't know how would your path, but I've Been Around
Church on for a long time. Well, you've been hanging out
there longer than I've been alive.
So that's a true judgment thing. Yeah, so and by the way, I
completely inside joke here, but I completely Kirsten jinx.
This Derby for this. Even so but at the end of the
day, Churchill Downs, had a special announcement today.
They talked about what they're going to do in order to kind of
you know I firmly believe that the church will be on surface is
the greatest surface in the world on the dirt.
Especially I know we've had some problems on the turf course, but
a lot of the what's happened at Churchill with the horses
breaking Downs happened on the dirt.
You know, this is not the Santa Anita thing, a couple of years
ago, where there may have been some weird weather sir.
Um, stances that led to soft spots in the track and all that
kind of stuff. So, they took three really
interesting actions today and I'd like to get your opinion on
them. Let's start with kind of
pausing. The track base incentives for
start bonuses and paying out past all.
You know, paying every starter bonus.
Every horse in the race. Now they're only paying out
three first through fifth place. What are your thoughts on this?
It's a direct hit to incentives, right?
If you're kind of meeting an actual problem or a perceived
problem with an adjustment to the economic incentives.
So you can't just run go around there finish last and collect
the check. I think it makes sense.
It makes people think twice before entering a horse.
It is it is a step. Up, as you said, there were a
couple others but is that in itself enough?
I don't think so are any of these on their own enough?
No. But all of these things that are
being done and more to come, I think are a hope are all going
to make sense. But look, this is just a very
direct economic incentive argument, and it could have some
effect. I do think though, from my
perspective, If that this is the most significant one of the
three and I don't know how you feel about it.
Louis the other two, by the way, just real quick so we can just
put them out there. Restricting, the number of
starts per horse, 24 starts during a rolling eight week
period which you know makes a whole lot of sense in my
estimation. I don't I haven't tracked it
enough to know that there's horses that are running on
mostly from horses that running and you know not lower level
claimers necessarily but usually in lower level claimers and
where they're in the old school model where it's at, Snot
workouts in between races, it's just races in between races,
right? And then the in an eligibility
of poor performance over horses, beaten by more than 12 lengths
and five consecutive starts. That's that's a lot of races,
you know? Then the basically they have to
be approved by the medical director to return to racing to
me though, like the incentive for a local trainer to put a
horse on the track, just to go get that paycheck.
Now, they've got to really kind of be more selective than
picking. These are spots because you want
to get that top five finish to get a paycheck.
You know, and double-edged sword though because you do want the
bigger field, it's going to reduce field size, it is, but
we're not going to come seen any touring like that.
I hope not. I mean you haven't looked at the
Saturday card obviously, but I do think.
I think they've attacked at the right spot here Pat and if you
disagree, I'd love to hear it that by and large.
I think 91% of these are 92% of these breakdowns have been
racing. One has been training.
So horses, you know, trainers aren't sending out their horses
to train when they're not ready but they may be doing that for
the racing and I think by putting in this kind of
restriction on a just start where do you know whichever
horse you want because you're going to get as long as they
passed the finish line or they get out of the gate, or
whatever. They're going to get a check for
it, I get it. I understand the other side
where the field size thing, does matter, I understand that for
the better. But at some point you have to
try to understand why it is that you have a Ash like this
especially when you're going to race for another month and so
that where do you fall on that? Every horse injury is an upset
bit for owner and all the people that care for the horse and it's
a lot of people, there's been a lot of investment in these
horses. There's a tremendous amount of
daily care more than almost any, what?
I'll call Mass owned animal, you know.
It's just an overwhelming amount of care that goes in to looking
after an in training thoroughbred.
The they're fragile. They always have been fragile.
It is the nature of their physiology.
And and so, anytime there is an injury and that Humane
euthanization is chosen as the best path, the most Humane path
for those horses. It's a serious thing and you
should study and investigate every reason and Every step and
every possible precaution to ensure that that doesn't happen.
Because there are so many people affected along the way because
that horse is no longer active, right?
It affects a lot of people and the greater business is a whole.
So for anyone to suggest at a you guys aren't but for anyone
to suggest that the industry either doesn't care about this
or hasn't been doing enough. These things sometimes can just
happen and in the state of where Churchill Downs is right now of
The Twelve deaths. You had two of them were
injuries sustained on the turf course, two of them were the
suspicious deaths of the Safi Joseph horses.
One of them was a horse in The Paddock and I believe one or two
of them. Horses did not suffer any
skeletal issue. So, we're talking about maybe
five incidents on the dirt track five or six incidents, On the
dirt track overall and again there that's problematic but it
is unfortunately a part of a performance animals Sport and it
does happen. And these horses are really
incredibly well looked after. And you combine that with the
fact that Veterinary scrutiny has never been higher uniform
rules are in place and spreading essentially Across America and
that from a Met an observation point of medication.
We have never had more specific thresholds for testing
medication, to understand if someone is trying to take an
inch. And if that is potentially
dulling pain, and a horse, or affecting their performance, in
some way, shape, or form. So, these sorts of steps that
Churchill has made, I think there could be more, I think, if
you see a horse, get loose and run off, if you see a horse rear
up. If you see a horse break through
the Starting Gate, I think we need to realize our whole.
Our sport does not happen in isolation just because you're
not betting or watching for the love of.
It doesn't mean that the racing and these incidents happened
with with no one else paying attention to the right.
If anything, these incidents are proving that point and you have
to take steps to communicate better to the public.
And and to be proactive better than reactive.
And unfortunately, a lot of this has been reactive.
These are things that have not been put in place.
That probably should have been in place for a long time.
And I'll go so far as to say that on Derby week itself, there
were really some missed opportunities.
You had to verifying get loose the day or two before the Derby
and was running like a madman around the track for probably
582, a mile or six for a long before he got caught.
He may have brushed them. Real, you know what?
He backed up really badly in the derby, you know, after a really
fast pace and his Antics were captured in various social
videos and shared and then the day before the Oaks and tell me,
no lies gets loose and goes on a joy ride on the, the asphalt, on
the back stretch. and, That was caught on video.
And it's like hmm. The presence of those horses in
the races that they were in themselves, should not alone.
Be the the green checkmark that they've been passed fit to race.
You need to go a couple steps further, because if something
happened to verifying and something happened to and tell
me, no lies in the Oaks or the Derby, those videos would have
been front and center saying, Look what happened yesterday.
And we just need to recognize that you can't possibly be too
transparent to open to communicative, or really too
cautious. And, and Horsemen have to
understand that, and the racetracks have to be willing
to, to get a little more communicative The Authority.
The federal Authority haisa has to do with the commission's have
to do it. Everyone needs to be more open
and forthright. We use a sport, should have
nothing to hide, we care for these animals so incredibly,
well, there is so much time effort and money spent on the
life and care of these animals. We need to be as open as
possible, not just to our own stakeholders in our own
participants, but to the greater world.
And that's where I think we failed as a sport that we have
just been Very insular. We've turned inside.
We share only with our own. We talk about it amongst
ourselves and we need to be talking out as opposed to
everyone who visits the backside on Derby week falls in love
again, right? And the thing that always
strikes me when I'm back there, it's the Monday Derby week and
I'm just lug equipment and whatever else, you forget?
How many freakin people work back there.
Just how many bleep and jobs are on the backside?
It's remarkable. And how all of them.
It is incredible to the person. Is doing something very similar
where it is just completely in the care of the horse.
And it's a and it's something we just don't share.
We, we just don't share those things.
The other thing I always like to bring to close these kinds of
conversations and I'll let you go go after that bad.
But in the same election in Florida, people voted for Ron
DeSantis and to end dog racing. I mean like this is this is a
different era. We have to be realistic, too
about how people feel about animal racing in general and
people love horses even though they're not around them as much.
Dogs, they love horses, they really do and they find them to
be really beautiful. And interesting animals.
We have to be way more transparent and Raymore, just up
front about how we run our sport.
I agree with you. The best defense is a good
offense and you need to be on the offensive and it's not by
pointing at people and you know, telling them they don't know
what they're talking about. It is in doing things.
You know, the number of people that touch a horse on the back
Stretch at tracks Across America.
The number of Specialists that we have, right?
You have the equine chiropractor.
You have the farrier. You have the dentist, you have
the groomer, you have the Vets, their assistance, the trainer's,
the assistance, the groom's themselves, the hot Walkers.
The exercise Riders, there is so much that we can be telling the
world about this Sport and sharing it with them.
We have not done that. I think The opportunity is great
to the point about Florida, you bring up a really good one, the
amendment the Constitutional Amendment that helped eliminate
dog racing that process. There were I want to say nine or
ten other amendments on the ballot that you none of them.
God has many votes in favor of one side or the other than the
eliminate greyhound racing. And the I'll tell you this the
first First line, I've memorized it.
The first line in that amendment that was on the ballot.
It said the Humane treatment of animals is a fundamental right
to the people of the State of Florida.
It was not dogs, it was not racing greyhounds, it was
animals. And that process in Florida goes
every 20 years. It's called the Constitution
revision committee and it is a bipartisan group floor.
Even so we're chosen to pick topics to listen to Floridians
and they're going to listen again in about 15 years from
now, and they're going to do this all over again and they
could take the exact same first line and put it on amendment to
ban horse racing. You have a limited amount of
time and energy and attention. You have to be communicative to
the world and and share the story that there Are very few
other endeavors of humans and animals coming together where
there is more Humane treatment than the horses that reside on
our back stretches. And in our Farms across this
great country and we just have to be out there telling that
story showing it proving it, defending our, social license,
with a really strong offense of improving every outcome that
that exists on the track and inside the rails and up outside
the race. Are you can follow pat pat.
Thank you very much for joining us.
We taking up way too much of your time.
You follow Pat on Twitter at Pat Cummings GIF or go racing
linkedin.com. You got another question, just
one more. It's we are of the opinion that
the best food near Keeneland is in Versailles and it's the hole
in the wall. Mexican joints.
Are you of the same opinion? I live the exact opposite side
but of course you do. So then I'm getting out of
keenly. I go that way.
Other way. So, there you go.
And don't forget, he's in between them to write a guy-guy,
North limes. Excellent on the Spalding's,
man, myself. Okay, I'm gonna sit somebody.
Yeah, well, the three of us look like we know how to do that.
Cummings. We appreciate the time.
We'll, we'll catch up with you. Hopefully, a couple times a year
just to catch up on what you guys are working on.
But congrats frankly on the penny breakage and the public
nature of that, I thought that was a really great story for you
guys and appreciate your candor about the issues that Churchill
reason. I appreciate it, guys.
Thanks a lot. All the best and continued
success. Thanks Batman.
All right, there it is. Pat Cummings, with the
Thoroughbred idea foundation. So there is so, all right, Pat
Louis. I love that stuff.
You know. I love that kind of stuff to
talk about and how we've been our listeners.
Do love those. I mean, we get a ton of messages
when we do those episodes. So for sure.
Now, and the last one, that that I did, you were out of town and
I think in the Carolinas or something, I had Peter Galiano
Saint to talk about the timing issues at different tracks and
how they're set up and those guys are, the people freaking
love these episodes. So no Pat's a people don't know,
Pat's but many years in Hong Kong as shots in it with the
Hong Kong Jockey Club and that group.
And so he's been everywhere. He's seen a little bit of
everything and sort of have a resource like that in the state
of Kentucky is really valuable for us.
I just love a lot of the stuff he was saying about just
transparency and, you know, I'm always talking about the just
about the Integrity of the BET and all that kind of stuff.
And, you know, being the person who lost money, when Medina
Spirit was cancelled out and then, you know, midi are not
meeting in spirit but man delune.
Well, mainly one, I would have wanted me to learn.
Would have been declared the winner, right out the bat and of
course I don't see that bed again.
But you know what? Brad Cox hadn't seen a trophy or
that. Money either so you know it's
transparency. Transparency transparency when
you got bets going on that transparency is super super
important and I'm you know I've also talked about to I'm tired
of it. When we have these horse
incidents we had one of Belmont. Say we saw a horrific one at
Preakness weekend in Pimlico, you know, horse Racing's got to
stop being like there's nothing to see here, you know it's just
not it doesn't serve the sport well to act like the We stopped
doesn't occur, you know what, I'm not saying, embrace it, I
don't say celebrate it, but I also don't think we hide from
it. And so big fan of Pat and all
the work that they do very much. So so we've only got one race.
If people are listening. Yeah, you can always find us on
Spotify, on the video feed to go back to Twitter.
Find us at horse happy hour if you're not following us there
and then of course you can find us on Twitter as well.
Horse racing happy hour on Twitch, go find the video.
There you can watch us every single week throws up on your
smart screen or on your A phone, whatever you want to do, let's
get real quick to just look at the the grade one, Shoemaker
mild seen Anita, which is a qualifier for the Breeders Cup
Mile. And we're going to see exalt its
performance here on the turf and Iredale coming through inside of
that pair, and then it's bound the cob there at the top of the
stretch. And here comes exalted.
After flavia's exalted, the new leader Cabo Spirit.
Does your in the center of the court hearing, they are running
a giant race and he has to get to exalted late.
Exalted to My Glade Iredale Hong Kong Harry on the far outside.
It's exalted holding on. Exalted is a great one winner.
As he takes their, it is Louis. What was your take of exalted
twin? They're just the reason,
obviously, we threw that is because it is a winning in, for
Breeders Cup. I think that this year, we're
going to try to really focus on making sure.
We follow that. Those races, even more closely.
We've already confirmed, the Dan Issel will be at Santa Anita for
Breeders Cup. So we got to be up.
Let's be clear about that. We were told we were not getting
credentialed by Jim Glock. And unless I was like, that's
pretty much what he said. So the by the way, that little
that little pause at the top of Pimlico, that's kind of, Who's
Who of row of horse racing like media Geeks.
Is it not? Oh yeah, that's why I fit in
really well. So is great.
It's so it's a just that race is, is interesting because it's,
it's a winning in and I assume none of those horses will finish
in the top five in that race. Because when you look at
exalted, for example, I mean this is a six year old horse who
they just recently put on the turf and it's since going on
turkey's 444 I mean he's been fantastic but that's his first
server grade one well you're gonna hear it when your body's
voice there he was like he's a great one winner like because
these not supposed to be doing the center, right?
Well then he wanted the great great three race.
The last time before that maybe maybe finding his his Turf is
giving him a his his career. A little bit of a second life.
But I would agree. I mean it's is that a serious
Breeders Cup mile Contender? Probably not.
You know, he got back about this number and make a liar out of
me. That's fine.
But at this point, I'm with, you know, welcome to see two horses
this weekend Mike that are getting back to things.
One of them is getting back to something they tried and was
successful at last year than one is going to try something for
the first time classic. Causeways going back on the
turf. And then they're moving Santan
to the dirt, fascinating will get into, we talked to Churchill
card which were only giving out win bets on and someplace show
bets because Pat was on the show and okay, but will talk about
the will talk about the, the stakes races here.
You know? And I was being kind of serious
on that. I do think that by that
solution, right? We can be part of the solution,
we have a voice, we have a microphone, we people.
And I think because of the diversity of our From from
series horseplayers to Casual fans.
I want to take that pretty seriously, you know, so I want
to make sure that we're part of that going forward.
So even Zach, I mean, because yeah, we love Zach.
It's actually is not and he's got his green, he's got his
previous hat on, he loves anything.
Yeah, he's loving it. All right, so let's go ahead and
let's start with that. With that card, we're going to
start with their Zach. How you doing Zach show,
nerd-off shown. Now you have To go to Spotify to
see it to see the steaks at the Preakness hats are this?
The Preakness gear is the best gear.
It just is they do. Okay, it's okay, it's okay.
All right, then we'll get started.
Now, you I did look at, you know, that we do have,
especially the the stakes races have a full heart, far less
entries in them than we've normally seen.
But Lily, maybe we were seeing stakes in trees with a lot of
horses that shouldn't have been stakes races, possibly.
I think that's absolutely possible.
And so I don't hate this smaller like the I don't let does love
the 5 horse field that we're going to get in one of the
stakes races, the seven, eight horse Field Station races.
I'm not against oh, okay. Okay.
What do you think eight is kind of where I wanted to be at
minimum just yeah that purpose but I understand where you're
coming from. Five gets like okay we're
playing Five arms race but I do think 78 is is better for sure.
All right, so we're going to see a lot of horses that we saw run
on Oaks and D-Day. And this today we're going to
start with talking with race 5 which is which is the regrets
takes. It is a grade 3 and this is a
225 thousand dollar race for Phillies that are three years
old and it's one and a my one and an eighth on the turf.
For example, we sold girl named Charlie losing this race on
Derby Day. Remember that?
Because I have a little cousin whose daughter is named Charlie.
What did you think of this race Ali?
This is a race where most of these Phillies have not.
On the mile and an eighth, right?
There's only one in the race that's done that.
And so we're watching these Phillies grow up in front of us.
It's something we talked about on the Triple Crown trailed like
that. This is the time of year to be
watching especially three-year-olds big.
Now we're going to start seeing more and more two-year-olds, you
can watch the progress and it's kind of fun to watch these
horses. Grow up in one that has run up,
the distance is mrs. Astor the for I have her on top
four to one John Velazquez back in the irons.
Last time he was on this horse, was at Keeneland at the distance
laws by a half-length and so I think she's absolutely got a
very very Very serious shot here.
We're talking with place bets man.
The one miss Riddler is 242 lifetime.
Broker made way. Back in July, at Ellis Park
going a mile they were washed off the the turf.
They basically ran on the dirt, she comes and tries the turf at
Keeneland for the first time goes a mile and wins.
Interesting thing about that running style, she got out
front. She stayed out front Luis saez,
the board on this one. That's a guy that I really trust
a rate on a horse and so if you're looking for a win place,
kind of bet here, I would look for the For or the one here kind
of choose what angle, you like, better for that one.
All right, we're going to move on to the next race, which is
the sixth race of the day. This is the airside stakes and
this is the five force field, right?
Five good horses. And it's, you know, it is a list
of steaks, it's not a graded, Stakes 225,000, a four year,
olds and up, six. Furlongs here.
Who did you like years? It all gunite.
Know, for me, it's mango. Who is an absolute horse for
course 10 for 17 lifetime at Churchill Downs including the
st. Matthews by 5.
Five open links on May, 4th, that's my horse here.
If I were playing like, you know, a daily double or a longer
part, maybe you pick three, something like that.
This is the horse that I would use by himself in a race because
I think I might is going to get a lot of money.
That's a combination between Steve asmussen and Tyler has
Muzzin at should get a lot of that should get a lot of
attention. They absolutely should.
But that's an easy for me. A good chance to play against.
And so I'll try to use the for here.
You want another longer shot here.
Tejano, twist is in this race, only 148 at church.
But it's for 49 at the distance. And so if you were looking for a
horse to kind of give you maybe some more value, maybe come in
second and more of like an Exacta play, I would look at the
2. So 4 and 2 on top for me.
Here, orange is a pig for Louis. We're going to move on to the
seventh race. I'm sorry neighborhood know my
old neighborhood, you're good. Yeah.
Being the ottoman Stakes here is another listen Stakes, another
hunt 225,000 a three year olds and up Mile and an eighth on the
turf. Seven Horse field here Lewis,
who was your pick in this one? All right, outside and work your
way and start with the seven webslinger who's done a lot of
really good things. One last time at Churchill Downs
over the mile and a sixteenth course is going to get an extra
six teeth of a mile and I think he's going to absolutely eat it
up and run away from this field love.
That they kept heavily Javier Castellano in the irons here.
Sure, ours coming from overseas first time in North America, not
a great angle for Todd Pletcher but this is a horse that is won
back-to-back. Major races at the
three-year-old level one at a mile and an eighth of wanted a
mile and a quarter horse can go forever in the Jumeirah Derby.
Most recently in made on for sure are Louisa is a board.
We all know how I feel about him.
Desert Duke is an interesting horse here for me was in that
race against Excuse me, behind behind webslinger didn't finish
very well. But before that was running
really, really well and the last time out at a mile and an eighth
won a race in an allowance company at keeneland's, I'm just
wondering if maybe it was a one-off last time at Churchill
horse, gets to train back up to this one and runs back better 5
to 1 therefore Mitchell, moral who starting at 12 percent at
Churchill, not the best, but he does hit the board quite a bit.
He said the board already 11 times in 24 runs.
So if you're looking for a horse, Maybe, Like we talked
about with that place show, kind of bet the five desert do my
query, where you go. All right, we're going to move
now to race eight, which is the Shawnee Stakes, were back to a
great three. 225 thousand dollar purse, Phillies and mayor's four
year, olds and up again, amount of 16th year and really give me
a chance to see what we can get up.
Hollings Pearl here Louie I'm to not great races.
Yep, can pauling's Pearl get back in the Winner's Circle is
going to be a big thing at mean. This is this is Deadhorse field
here. Really good quality field.
Who do you like anytime? You got travel.
Calm again. 12:45. Really interesting field.
Here, it is. So full disclosure, I'm not
betting this race. Okay, I cannot figure it out.
I have polished Pearl on top and I hate it because I just, it's,
I think I'm going on. Just drop in class and I don't
think that's a good enough reason to like a horse, but I'm
gonna drop in class and picking up, Tyler, I do that.
Actually think picking up, Tyler is good for this horse, so maybe
those two things together, we'll get her.
Her past the Finish Line first. I'm just not sure hidden
connections and interesting horse at a price.
Lost the double dog dare to frost point Who's in this race,
who Frostbite the six is? The favorite has won three
straight races and is a deserving favorite here for
sure. But loses Fabien Pratt in favor
of Junior Alvarado, who is a fine writer.
Everyone knows how I feel about him and Bill mod together with
art collector. And with, oh man, with rocket,
can this year down at Gulfstream, windows, we
back-to-back weekends, the combination.
They're hitting connection was right there.
In the double dog, dare ran in the Azzurri before that.
Before that was in Houston lady classic lost of Pauline's Pro by
less than two lengths. Can we get a front running style
race from hidden connection and get a value at 922?
Because I think you're going to get every bit of 922 on her
because I think people are going to see Frost point with three
straight wins. They're going to know the name
Pauline's Pearl. I think that it's hidden
connection. If you were looking for Value
that might be the value of this race.
Race 9 is the Arlington Stakes, another grade 3, another two
hundred twenty-five thousand dollar purse, my land of 16th
for four year olds and up, Louie set pieces in this race.
Another horse is taking a little bit of a drop in class. 7 year,
old gelding fall in love with the geldings, fall in love with
the Phillies. This is the classic Causeway
race that you were talking about here.
Cos a COS wake going to that Turf.
We, he's seen tons of success there.
What is your take on this race? A classic Causeway a Raid One
winner and in restricted, three year old company last year in
the Belmont Derby. So set-piece, Brad Cox training.
Off the layoffs here is at 27 percent but there's a horse.
The number six year old patronage so French bread for G
motion. He's thirty percent off of
layoffs and so I'm actually interested second off the
layoffs. I'm actually interested here to
see if that horse can go back to back.
That is not something that his horses usually do.
He does get Johnny V here. I'd like that Edition but that's
kind of a big ask. I think, I do think set-pieces
the class of the race. If you wanted to look somewhere
else, try to find a price here to various mercurius is Before,
this could be lose Longshot, 12:50 ran one, atom Island and
eight exactly. Over this course, right at 90
For Speed figure under Louis sighs, last time keeps Luis saez
in the irons here from like Maker Mike makers horses.
Go back to back at 21 percent so it's Louise long shot of the
name is right here to various maximum.
You need a shot. Well done tiberias, Max
mercurius, excuse me, the four horse here in the Arlington Lily
we talked about how much we love that Pimlico special at the
Preakness and we get to see Rattle and Roll back here in the
great three. Blame steaks, two hundred
twenty-five thousand dollar race for four year olds and up a mile
and an eighth coming off. I guess, kind of a short lay off
to come back and see if he can win the blame, but he was
awesome in the Pimlico special. Do you think he's vulnerable
here? I do think the two weeks is very
much. A question, of course is simply,
don't do that anymore. I'm going to try to get a pet
price here. Back-to-back races, happy
American is the six year 8 to 14 James Graham.
Real person, two of them have been running him together, if
you remember him earlier in the year and at the end of last
year, he won back-to-back, the tenacious listed Stakes at
Fairgrounds that comes back wins.
Louisiana, great three against mr.
Wireless force, it deorro comes back, you know, against those
horses again, back to back wins this game runs into Pioneer of
Medina who only win was then comes back in the Ben Ali at at
Keeneland losses by 4 and 3/4. 3/4 length.
I just I wonder if this horse can Recapture some of that, some
of that, I don't know that form from earlier on does stay at 120
pounds, but doesn't get Lasix. I really do.
Wonder if this isn't a Lasix horse, but if you're looking for
Value here, I think the six is the plate to the outside of him.
Is that pioneered Medina that? I that I offered he's never won
without Lasix so that might be a problem as well.
I think the last time you won with that Lasix was in Tampa in
his Maiden in 2021 in December. So that would be a bit of a
stretch but if you're looking to be the favorite here, obviously
I do think Rattle and Roll. It is a possible winner here and
then Barbara roads in this race. Running at the allowance level.
People don't remember, actually ran a really good Kentucky Derby
last year in 2020, to finish sixth by less than five lengths
behind Rich strike was in that port.
A part of that group were Rich strike had to make the move.
He was in that group there and so anytime a horse, Mike can
finish in that top third of the Kentucky Derby to me.
They are able to run a really, really big race, so he's 1 for 3
lifetime at Churchill and the only time he missed the board
was in the derby. I don't hold that against him in
a 20 horse field. Yeah, so at all, you've been
running in and allow its company both at Oaklawn and then it
Keeneland wins aquiline. Last time in a rallying fashion,
really had to duel down the stretch with Principe de Oro.
And so, if he can keep some of that for, maybe it's Barbara
Road, three, two, one with Rayleigh Gutierrez, who's
hitting it, 17 percent right now.
Well, John Ortiz, the two of them together on 18% their last
164 rides together with a almost positive Roi.
He might be the horse watching. All right, so that's that's all
good stuff right there. Are you going to be out of
Churchill dance? I am not.
I went oh gosh, I think I went on I went on Monday with the
boys and we had a positive day, so I'm going to watch these
ones. I'm watching on TV, I usually go
to this day when I'm watching on TV.
I think. Okay.
Yeah. No, shame there.
I do, you know, we talked about it, I still wish they would go
back to having Stephen Foster, day on Father's Day weekend, but
hey, you know, since since I have to do Zacks job, sometimes,
I just want to let you know that I just officially uploaded this
sound to the to the show as my Simpson.
There it is. So now we have it as the drop
right there in the background music so you can find a real
easily. So there you go.
I mean, you know, there it is. Alright, really enjoyed having
Patrick on today, Pat breakage coming.
Sir, it is any breakage who you taking in the, in the NBA Finals
nuggets and five the artist that it'll talk about it.
Was he going to be out there? Okay, this'll is Courtside.
Tolling all bujji. Ha ha ha humble brag.
He's Courtside, and he's got four tickets, three rows behind
the bench. So he's taking all five of his
grandkids and they're rotating throughout the game to come.
Sit with him. All right, well, I mean also the
Nuggets sent a car for him. Ha ha ha.
Who's got a better, the dead as well?
Let's go. Oh my gosh.
I mean, I'll go on that flight. You know, let's go, Dan.
Let's go for the weekend. I'm like, yeah, we can be there.
I've driven to Denver before from Kentucky.
I'd even do that. Yeah, I love it.
So are you taking your taking the Nuggets?
I am. I think eventually a story like
Miami once you run into a team with considerably better talent,
that also puts up the effort that you do is a problem.
And that's what they're going to run into here.
Yeah, totally agree. So also catches out of his bleep
in mind right now. So, it's man, you know,
sometimes you wonder if them having that much of a layoff
would bother them but you've got some of these these veterans,
like, Jamal Murray and yoga should just probably Then you
had a stay ready. I'm not worried.
Just Raptors legs and ice for a week.
I think he'll be fine. Yeah, it's probably action might
have done him some good. So Zach.
Do you have a take on the NBA finals?
Baltimore closet. And if you can beat the guy who
when asked, are you the best player on the Denver Nuggets?
And he says, you know, some days I am some days.
I have not. Meanwhile he's a two-time.
NBA MVP. Yeah, good luck.
He's crafty, man. You look at them and you
wouldn't like, pick them first. If you just go off looks and
whatever else. When he doesn't look like, he'd
be the guy that would go out there and get it done and can't
stop him. You know, he's he's the lure of
both speaking of That's right. All right.
Well we're going to call it quits today.
We will see you next week. We're going to talk about that
amazing card out at Belmont. And you know, I don't know how
much Belmont I'm going to get to watch them.
Be honestly, its my anniversary, I know I might be doing a
Spanish episode ahead of Belmont next week.
Okay, you know I gotta get, I gotta get I gotta get the guts
up, I need to just do it at some point.
You can do it. I know just make an ass of
myself, just do it. Yeah.
All right. We'll see you next time on the
horse racing. Happy hour.
Closing time. Open all the doors.