Louie & Barry cap the card at Santa Anita, including the Grade 3 Royal Heroine.
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Louie & Barry cap the card at Santa Anita, including the Grade 3 Royal Heroine.
Check out our partners at AmWager! A $50 deposit match awaits new bettors.
I'm looking for I'm. Trying to get him on all the
smoke. I don't know why they wouldn't
put him on he. He would be amazing on that
show. Oh man.
He's crazy. Oh, The thing is, I started this
campaign on my radio show today. They they have gotten older
guys. Doctor J was just on in February
when they did the ABA movie that came out, Soul Power.
And all I could think was is not only has stories about all those
guys from the ABA, he's got like, new stories.
Yeah. But just just about, I mean,
just about Kareem. Like he could go for an hour and
a half on Kareem, like that kind of stuff.
Anyway, So Cal Saturday, hanging up horse racing happy hour.
By the way, our Derby draft will be this Sunday.
So get in with us this Sunday. Just saw the retweet from Steve
Kornack. He doesn't get much better than
that. He'll be alongside Mackenzie
Pfeiffer from the Maryland Jockey Club.
We'd love to get one of our Maryland folks in.
We'll go visit with her in a couple of weeks there at Laurel
Park as part of their festivities.
Barry Spears, your bomb. How are you?
I am doing good. It's Friday.
It's Friday before the Oaks. Yeah, that's right.
And I'm just ready. I'm I'm excited.
A reminder that Barry and I will be live Kentucky Derby week from
the backside Monday through Wednesday and then on the front
side Thursday through Saturday. I mean, Barry thought he was
going to come up here and have a nice time, but instead we're
going to make them work 8 hours of radio between Monday and
Thursday. We'll do 4 on Friday, 3 on
Saturday on Derby day. We would love to have, you can
stream it anywhere in the world, ESPN, louisville.com.
Easiest way to do it though. I will tell you we have a free
app in the Apple Store or in the Google Play Store.
Just go get the app, man. You have a smart speaker in your
house, Just throw us on. I'm telling you, coverage starts
at 7:00 Eastern Time every weekday, Monday through
Thursday. Tons of coverage from there on
the backside of Churchill Downs. I really don't.
And if you're looking for bloodhorse.com, we've got the
full press release there. I Barry, I don't think anyone in
the country spends as much time on radio covering horse racing
in a singular event like ESPN Global does.
And so it is, it's awesome. You'll hear from every trainer
in the race. You'll hear from every ownership
group in the race. We will take care of you those
five hours from 7:00 to noon Monday through Thursday there at
espnlouisville.com. Barry, get you up here for your
first Derby. But first we're going to talk
California, man. And this is, I thought this was
a fun card because those turf races that you and I love to cap
are all in this card. And then there's this eighth
race thing right in the middle of the late sequence.
Little lower level claimer it just it just it spices it up in
just the best way. Good Friday to you, Fred, How
are you? Great, man.
I'm just, I'm just, I'm just waiting for that eighth race.
That's that's the one getting on the most.
OK, All right. I like that a lot.
I had a ton of trouble working on the eighth race.
If you're new to the program, this is called Socal Saturdays.
We hang out every Friday at this time, 11:00 AM Pacific and 2:00
Eastern Time right here. Bury and me every single week.
Presented by Amwager, a $50.00 deposit match right now.
If you're betting to California or betting on the racing in
California especially, go ahead and check them out at
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Don't need a promo code, any of that kind of stuff.
They're just running that right now.
We go through the entire card, give our top three.
By the way, we also put up all of our picks after the show is
over and ahead of the Saturday card at our website,
horseracinghappyhour.com. You're welcome to go join us
over there. Barry and I will be doing picks
for every race day of Derby Week starting on Tuesday, so you can
go up there and find those for free as well.
We do not want to charge you for anything that we do.
That's the sponsor's job. We get paid by them and you get
to hang out and join us for the ride.
Please join us this week for Derby Week and certainly find us
every Friday doing this program as well.
Barry, I'm not sure you and I will have time to do this show
next week. I didn't think so.
So enjoy this one. We'll see you in two weeks on
the California side of things. But do hey appreciate our
friends at Amwager for hanging out with us on the program.
Race 1 Barry, as God intended it a mile on the turf there at
Santa Anita Park on Saturday, an optional claimer here, $50,000
level. They're running for 35 in this
one. This is on for three-year olds
and up in this spot. And Barry, I've noticed this
trend and this is something because we do the this show and
you know, I'm always watching the card in Kentucky, whatever
that might be, you know, watching that New York card, the
Florida cards, whatever it might be.
These 3 and up races are starting earlier and earlier on
the are they not? Yes, yes, absolutely.
And they're, they're usually competitive events, you know,
you got a lot of horses that are very lightly raised doing their
thing and maybe trying it for the first time and stuff like
that. So it makes for wide open events
Quite. A bit.
We saw this a lot on the Derby trail, frankly, Barry, where,
you know, horses are like an emerging market, for example, go
straight in to, you know, straight into the Louisiana
Derby and in in you know, or a patente in the San Felipe,
something like that. You know, to use the California
example, these horses used to run at allowances.
And by used to I mean justify like.
That recently. Right.
I mean like like justify. So it's interesting to see this.
This is just another one of those races where we're seeing
that 3 and up sort of condition on the card.
Where'd you land in Race 1? So in race one, I I thought this
race was pretty interesting, but there seem to be a lack of
speed. And I know Coco San, the
favorite number 5 showed some speed, but it seems like that
horse doesn't like to be on the lead by themselves.
The times that they've done it, the horse just quit late and it
seems to be sort of a trend. So I would gather that group
would want to come off the pace slightly and that might open it
up for a lone speed horse. So I took the two sneaking
candy. I can't tell you how many times
I've seen horses go long or longer than the distance that
they're running on a particular day.
Get to the lead, fade late, come back, get a perfect trip.
The next time, almost the same exact thing but able to finish
it off. They cut back in distance.
I think Sneaking Candy fits that bill to a tee.
You and I have the same top 2 here.
We'll go to five with the favorite in the second spot.
I agree with you on sneaking candy.
I think the other part of this, Barry, is if you go back to that
race at Santa Anita at this level over the mile, horse runs
out of gas at the end of that race.
That was First off the layoff, right?
So we're talking about a couple of months off and away from the
track. I think that this being the
third in the form cycle here and frankly, even less than a month
since the last race tells me that Mike Pipey thinks this
horse is in very, very good form.
Armando keeps the amount does Armando IU so and like you said,
ate a bunch of speed in here. So this one's probably going to
get a lead and probably be able to get similar fractions to what
it's had the last couple of races, 23 and change 47 and
change maybe even 48 flat. That kind of things will be
watching for sneaking candy to try to get up on front a
daughter of into mischief. I agree with you on Cocosan in
the second spot. You went to a different spot
here though, in the third. In the third spot with
Rostovsky. A little chalky for you to start
the card here. Yeah, Rostovsky kind of hanging
out with with Coco San a couple of times before they both broke
their maid. In fact, Coco San beat Rostovsky
the the the time before Rostovsky broke their maiden.
So that that kind of speaks to the level and and how they kind
of fit all together here. If if this pace happens to heat
up I I think Rostovsky might have a shot.
Prostofsky will come in out of a a second place finish by ahead
at a mile and an eighth did break its main going a mile and
an eighth by four and a quarter lengths with Ricardo Gonzales,
who keeps them out here in race one.
I went to the seven on the outside.
Barry, that is a moon lit Sonata 3 to 1.
Kazushi Kamura gets them out once again.
This was one that finished a little bit up the track last
time. Essentially just hoping that Tim
Yak teens got this one ready to go.
I'm not going to lie, but this is one that we've seen have
success before, but she has not won in a long time or excuse me,
he has not won in a long time. So interested to see if he's
able to get back on the winning side of things.
But boy, I think you could probably lean on those top two
in my mind. Bury the two and the five in the
race 1. Yeah, they look pretty tough in
that event. Race 2 starts the early pick
four. If you're betting the pick four,
of course, check out our friends at am Wager am wager.com
claiming event here $32,000 is the claim price, $37,000 in the
purse. 3 year olds in this one we're sprinting 6 furlongs on
the dirt. Even numbered races I usually go
first. No difference here.
Barry and I landed on the same horse in Send It MO.
This is Barry's boring play of the day as well.
Comes out of a 25 claimer and was a winner there. 3 back was a
second place finisher at the $50,000 level.
So I think this 32 kind of level won't be a problem.
George, Papa, Patrolma, listen to these numbers.
First claim 36%, second off this kind of layoff, 22% and in
claiming races in general when it's a 22%.
Those all sound very good to me. Barry, you also landed on the
one, I imagine for many of the reasons that I did.
Absolutely. You know, it's clear that the
trainer definitely knows what he's looking for when he takes
claims because he doesn't do it a whole hell of a lot either.
But when he does and he turns him back around, they're usually
pretty live. He found a great spot here for
Send it MO I I really don't think anybody in this race can
hang with him. We got the four in the second
spot here, 5 horse field straight, a buzzing, a little
bit of a layoff here. Ran in February.
I thought a disappointing effort there, but boy, if that horse
can get back to the effort we saw in January, could be right
there. Yeah, that's what I was
thinking. I think the last time back in
February, they caught a wide trip, didn't didn't really do
very much running and you see the layoff.
That makes a lot of sense. Maybe something went amiss.
Horses started picking up training again, and this horse
has been training pretty well. They attract Juan Hernandez,
which has to count for something in a race like this.
SO14 and five for Barry. I just went 123 here.
I'll put the two in the second spot.
Rolling with Poland in for the tag here for Doug O'Neill.
They tried the turf last time. Barry just didn't work.
One first asking in a maiden 50, which is the highest level of
claimer in California. That was at Santa Anita going 5
1/2 in March of this year. That horse has already seen the
track and what I like about this man when he turns a horse around
like this, Barry, he thinks it's in form and just didn't do
anything last time. Essentially, the race didn't
mean anything. It was essentially a crappy
workout or something like that. Turns the horse right back
around. The last 12 times he's done
that, he is one with three of those horses.
So I'm fascinated to see the quick turn around on the 2 here
as well. Would you single the one if you
were playing the early sequence? Yeah, absolutely.
I think I would as well. All right, Race 3, not too much
more to talk about there in Race 2.
Race 3 is still on the dirt. 6 furlongs here.
Maiden optional claimer in this one, 36,000 is the purse. 62
five or 50,000 are the optional prices in here.
What's in the favorite at 2:00 to 1?
Barry in here. Excuse me, the second favorite
for 62 five. We've got two big time favorites
in here. Did you lay it on those?
No, I actually went another direction.
This is usually my my calling card here, but I thought this
race was a little bit more wide open than just the four and the
three. So I went with the six.
Pacer, not the Indiana Pacers or Jeff Teague, but Pacer John
Sadler. You know, he does pretty well
with first time starters in general.
And this is a This is a kind of peculiar spot, but.
Not by the way, By the way, not pretty well.
He just does. Well, what's first?
#20% is the same. Number.
That's great. Yeah, that's a pretty good
number, but this horse out of all the horses in this race has
been working steadily. Not many gaps in the workouts,
which means the source is fit and healthy ready to go.
The only other one that has that kind of work pattern is the 2
rags over Riches, but obviously with Sadler stats with first
time starters plus this one drawing on the outside really
adds to the intrigue. 9 to 2 is a great price.
Why not? If someone looked at that horse,
Barry, the 6th horse here in Pacer, son of Nyquist, $300,000
purchase, he's in initially his first race for the tag AT625 and
someone was concerned about that, what would you say to
them? I would say poo poo with all
that noise because there's not really many spots for horses
like this and it seems like this horse must have had a set back
for them to be starting this horse, you know, April of their
three-year old season. So it's not necessarily a
detriment that the horses in this race.
I think it just came up this way and 62 five kind of makes sense.
Yeah. You're unlikely to get a buyer
at that number frankly as well. I mean, it's just.
The reality? Of it in this case I landed on
the four on top here Barry you had him second here I but this
is me loving second time starters and Tim Yak team with a
second time starter which he wins at 24% cuz there's
converter rides here. Two of them are off to a
spectacular start in this meeting.
They've hit at 21% with their last 34 combined starters.
Liam's map on the sire side here was at this level last time.
I think it makes a lot of sense to try this field again.
Again, I went 4-1 and six went to the inside core Kinetic.
And here Barry, another second timer.
We last saw this horse in 2023 in a baby race in April at
Keeneland. So here's what I'm going to do
instead. Barry, this is a 5 year old
gelded son of Nyquist. Now I'm just going to treat this
like a first start. I'm going to treat this like
he's a first timer because we are now a literal 3 years past
his first start as a baby, as a 2 year old.
Best works from the gate. Are this horse a bullet 3 back
as well? I think there's a chance that
the one is just the fastest horse in here.
Do you like what you see from Core Kinetic, or is that time
off just way too much of A flag for you?
It's, it's a question mark for sure.
Not to mention it was a 4 1/2 furlong race.
So I, you know, my thought pattern tends to think that that
horse might need a race, especially being stuck on the
rail and such. But you might not be wrong.
I mean, this race could go a lot of different ways and I
wouldn't, you know, there's not, I don't think there's a horse in
this race that I think couldn't win.
I agree with that. App so you know I wouldn't, I
would never talk to you off a horse like core Kinetic just not
for me. Single in the last race.
Would you look at as many horses as you could in a sequence here?
Yeah, this is this is a spread race or what I would do
personally is just Chuck the two favorites and and and go with
that. Yeah, I think that's reasonable.
2 favorites, of course, in race 3 will be the three and the
four. Woodson and Dreaming on the
other horses in this race, including Pacer and Core Kinetic
on the outsides of the field. Barry Spears, Lurbo hanging out
with you. So Cal Saturdays, thanks for
hanging out with us. And am wager am wager.com for
that $50.00 deposit match right now for new customers available
for you. You can bet all the tracks in
California an optional 50 awaits us in race for a mile on the
turf there at Santa Anita Park running for $35,000.
And this is for three-year olds. Non to lifers essentially bury
even non bird race means I go first and you and I finally
landed on very different horses. We I went 4-8 and five in here
lean on prime artist. I'm hoping Armando I used so is
going to have a big day. Apparently Blaine Wright trains
this one comes out of a maiden 50 win.
Put it all together last time has been good for the last
couple of races, but this is the First off.
The claim for Blaine Wright was in the Leonard Powell barn
before. Excuse me, but I think really
did put it together. I think the speed figures make
sense in this kind of field. And the boy, the brooding is all
grass and all grass and all grass.
Churchill. You see the name Galileo, of
course you see the names exceed and excel, that kind of thing.
This is as turfy as a horse is going to get started its life
there in Ireland. Comes over here.
Took a little bit to get her feet underneath him, get his
feet underneath him, but man has been really good the last couple
of times out, so I'll lean on him here.
Went to the 8 second Berry on the outside.
Matt, be sexy. Not just because it's about me,
but also because this horse is a Doug O'Neill.
Who told you that? OK, so no one so the I need
everyone to kind of hear me out on this.
What stinks about how they, you know, the, the Sprint to route
thing is so often with Doug O'Neill, you have to kind of
just throw the surface out, right?
Because this guy goes dirt to turf at 17%, right?
One out of six times. He's just picking these races
off and two sprints to a route, 14% sprints around in general,
15%, that's kind of layoff, 15%. It's all just Doug O'Neill.
But I get MSIL Haramiyo, excuse me.
And to me, Barry, that pushes all of those percentages up 3 or
4%. And so I'm this is a jockey
trainer combination thing. Both of them looking at titles.
A blast out by the way. Harmio just showing up and
winning the title at Santa Anita Park.
Is that like the most underrated story of this year?
Yeah, nobody's talking about it. I mean, he, I always thought he
was a good rider because I saw a lot of him down here in Florida.
He's good at getting horses in position and in fact, his style
actually works better at Santa Anita than it does at
Gulfstream, even though they are slightly speed favoring courses.
But the way he rides really is conducive to quote UN quote
California speed. And, and, and obviously he's
excelling with it on turf and dirt.
I I mean, he wasn't winning a whole lot of turf races down
here, but he sure knows pace and sure knows how to get horses in
position. And I think that goes a long way
out there in California. I went to the five next and I
think this is as much me just not liking the turf horses in
this race as anything else. This is another dirt horse
flipping over a three-year old son of Grazin.
But we've seen these Grazins just stay and they're totally
fine on the grass, especially the Cal breads.
This happens to be a Kentucky bread here, but this is one we
last saw at Del Mar. This is back in July of last
year. Peter Miller, though, off the
layoff like this huge #23%. I'm fascinated by this one.
I love the 15 to 1 number on this and it's Ricky Gonzales.
So what's he going to do? He's going to go to the front
and say come get me right? And I sometimes I just works in
the mile races at at Santa Anita.
I'll go 48 and 5 here, Barry. Yeah, why not?
Again, this is another one that that's a fairly wide open race
with horses doing a lot of things.
I mean, there's, I don't think there's a horse in here that I
think couldn't win. Who you got?
Who I got, I got the three. I went to the three.
Gallatin with the idea that this race has no speed in it, no
speed in it. Well, not no speed.
But I think the two horses I have second and third are speed
in this race and I think they will go.
But I think a horse like Gallatin, if you wanted to make
the the case for Gallatin, you would just say this horse is
going to be faster on the front. I think that is that exactly
what I'm gonna say is I think Gallatin gets faster than the
seven and the 8 and the six. So I, I think they're going
right to the front cuz Suzi Kumor is very aggressive in that
way. Really got nailed late last
time, so it was a really close call between the three and the
four here, but I ultimately went to the three because I think
they're going to have a pace advantage and take advantage of
it with Kimura and Peter Miller does really good First off, the
claim as well. 3-7 and eight for you, Gallatin, their savage
warden, which is a spectacular. You know what?
I had forgotten about this that you were awarded at one point.
Technically, yes, a screw or correctional officer CEO, yeah,
I was for a short period of time, but.
Build a auto train Savage Warden Antonio Fraser.
Who gets them out here? Explain this one to the folks.
Well, the ship from Gulfstream in a race like this may mean a
lot. I I think this horse might have
a class edge on these horses just because of that.
You see the races that this horse ran on the synthetic.
There's an obstacle claimer 75,000 and then the start of
lounge 35,000 which none of these horses have been in open
company. So that might make a lot of
difference. The layoff makes a little sense
coming out here being in the D'amato barn, but he does well
with good with first time acquisitions gets Fraisu who
rides well for this barn is and four to one seems to make a lot
of sense. It's just the the fact they have
to get in the race earlier than they have been, which I think
they could just based off class alone, but I I still think they
might be second best to Gallatin. 3-7 and eight for
Barry here in race 4. I went a very different
direction. 48 and five. We both have the eight there in
our handicapping, but otherwise a bit of a mismatch.
They're moving on to race 5 here on the card Saturday at San
Diego Park here on Socal Saturdays.
This is the horse racing happy hour.
The late pick 5 does start here. 6 1/2 on the dirt, $32,000
optional claimer here. They're running for $37,000 in
of the purse. Berry odd number race means you
go first here. Red flag eight to five.
I know you don't like. Yeah, red flag is a red flag in
this race, but I do like this horse.
I do like this horse, but favorites can't win all day or
we don't want them to win all day.
They can, but we just don't want.
They can I say that? But this source is a closer.
I I I I'm really not fond of closers at Santa Anita in
general, especially in shorter races.
And this is what we have. We're going to have a 8 to 5 or
less favorite in a race where they're going to have to come
from off the pace. And I think a horse like the
four Mega moon could get the jump on them and get to the wire
first. This horse has some back class
some races after the claim. This horse has really turned
into a a different sort of horse that they've improved and hooks
a field. It's not that tough.
So I'm going to go with the four at 5 to 1 Mega moon on top.
It's really interesting, Barry, because one of the things you
and I have really praised while doing this series of shows, the
last gosh, we've been doing these fourteen months.
Whatever is these these claimers that we see Ron Ellis horses in
for example, tend to be those mile races that they used to run
in Northern California, right? Whether it be on the synthetic
at Golden Gate or at any of the at a pleasant 10A Fresno,
something like that. I wonder though, if you look at
this horse's form, right? So he's been on the dirt 4
times. He's never won.
He's won one time on the dirt when it was a little bit of an
off track. That was at this distance, man,
he's only been under a mile once on the dirt.
And I, I just, I think sometimes the condition book for horses
that are at this level forces them to go the two turns, forces
them to run a mile. I'm with you on the four here.
I think getting back to this distance makes much more sense
for him only having to make one run, really only having to have
one, maybe 2 speeds, but not having that, the gate speed than
the cruising speed, than the closing speed and having to do
those things you have to do over two turns.
I think a horse like Mega Moon can really benefit even in a
step up in class potentially from a race like this.
Yeah, yeah, I'm with you. The cutback makes a lot of
sense. They so they fit in this group.
You know, their races in that start allowance 25 were pretty
good. Just got beat.
You know, Navajo warrior beat this horse twice, once on the
square. Trusty Rusty I think came back
east and won at Keeneland. So those weren't the worst start
allowance conditions you've ever seen.
You've got the 8 in your third spot, Shady Tiger.
We've never called you that before.
Crappy outing last time, but that was down the hill on the
turf. We get back to the dirt here
with this horse is 2 for four in the kind of conditions we're
going to have on Saturday. Yeah, because I don't take pills
and then drive, so there's that. But I I thought this race, this
horse has some races to go back to, you know, back in 2024, back
in 2024, this horse went on a four race win streak, including
two wins in state bred steak company.
I think Jod Lindo watches this show.
How dare you say that? I like Tiger.
That's my guy, man. He's he's Florida.
You know Jupiter is not that far from.
Trippin watches this show. How dare.
You but hey, shout out to I'm so sorry.
I'm going to. I'm going to let Tiger use my
Uber account. Somebody needs to man when he
gets. Back from Europe.
Two and eight for Barry. I went 6-4 and two in this spot.
I just wanted to talk about hey, brother.
And this is another one of those Barry that I think I don't care
about the step up in class here. The Brano Borosio trains this
horse comes back. He is 25% off of this kind of
layoff horse gets to San Anita after spending the last couple
of months on a bunch of 2025 on the East Coast in the David
Jacobson barn and then in the Catalano barn gets back to the
West Coast. Liberato Barosio goes ahead and
claims this one for 10 last time goes ahead, moves him into this
race at this level. Doesn't have to be in for the
tag because of the conditions. One O 3 and 3 / 5 1/2 Barry wins
this race. It just does.
So this horse shows up like that again.
I'll take it again. I I did not think of that buyer
or that race as being out of line with what this horse has
done before. He's 2 for five at this place.
He's been in the trifecta seven of his ten runs on dirt in these
conditions. If you add wet dirt, frankly,
he's in the trifecta 8 of 11 times.
And so the numbers only get better.
I know he's been at a lower level, but at Delaware he wanted
the $39,000 allowance level. So I don't know.
I think hey brother absolutely has a shot in here.
So 64 and two for me to start the pick five, their late pick
five at City View Park on Saturday.
SoCal Saturday's on the horse racing happy hour.
Appreciate all of you hanging out.
Barry and I again out there for Derby week next week.
We'll put the schedule up on the screen before the show is over.
But horse racing happyhour.com for all of our picks, all of
next week and certainly for today as well.
Race 6 on the card at Santa Anita Park tomorrow.
Going down the hill, allegedly. Barry, allegedly.
I know they don't do that. That's a myth to me.
I I've never seen it. 6 1/2 down the hill it's an allowance here
3 years old and up never won 21,000 blah blah blah.
So non 2 lifers essentially Barry even number race means
Louis goes first. I landed.
I'm not horse though in the five in bro bro.
Wait a minute. I just caught on to that.
I went brother brother to bro bro.
That's very, that's the hell of a double.
That's almost like the potente El potente double we went with
when we were out there. I think we almost got that by
the way. I think I have to play this now.
I think that just happened bro bro.
Cuz if you don't. Yeah, that's going to hit.
Yeah, for sure. He'll break next to Lonesome
Stew, who'll be the eight to five favorite in here who hasn't
raced in over a year. I get a horse that won last out
in state bred company but put up a 20.
Excuse me, an 82 buyer, 108 and two on the turf for this one
last time is going to go down the hill.
Now, Barry, this is one that was very close to back going down
the hill at exactly this company.
I'm sure you remember that race. It was on Valentine's Day of all
things, five horses right at the finish line together.
Was actually a very cool race. I think he'd get back to that
kind of form. This horse has wanted a mile
before as well, son of Nyquist. I think the distance, all the
things going down the hill, not an issue at all.
Then I went to loan some Stew. Yes, a lot of time off, but this
is a horse that last time we saw it in state bred steaks company
down the hill won that race as well.
Love a horse that's been able to get it done down the hill
before. Then I went to the three horse
and of course that is on the whim.
Dean Peterson trains, I think just the fastest horse in this
field, Barry. And so once in a while the
fastest horse just gets there. Was in that race with Lonesome
Stew, part of the blanket finish at the end there as well.
Tried the Sensational last time as well, just missed in second
place. This is a major step down from
that kind of company as well. So I'll go with those three in
this one, Barry. 5-6 and three. Where'd you land going down the
hill? Well, I hope your horse is the
fastest horse in the race because my horse, the horse I
picked on top, is going to clock that one to a tee.
I went with the seven. September 64.
Now hear me out. This horse was.
Born in September of 64. Yeah, right.
It was September of 1934. This big difference, how dare
you. But this horse has been running
in really, really good races and, and caught a wide trip in
the $100,000 non winners of 1 back in October of last year.
And it was weird because they were favored in that race.
How I don't understand. But they went straight to the
lead and put 7 lengths on the field and didn't last.
I, I think they, they probably did that just to kind of clear
the field and, and I think that plan went crazy on them and the
horse kind of ran off. Then they went in a mile and an
eighth, slowed the horse down slightly and still got beat by
a, by a stakes winner in test score, a Grade 1 winner in, in
test score. So those two efforts in my mind,
tower over anybody else in this field.
The cutback makes a lot of sense.
You know, he broke his maiden at Delmar going 5 on the flat.
But the cutback is really the key here.
This horse has a ton of speed. We'll be right there start to
finish. I I think this horse is really,
really live. 6:00 to 1:00. We'll probably get a lot of that
6:00 to 1:00 because of lonesome Stew.
So yeah, this, this is a horse I might concentrate my day on.
Mike Pipey, O for 22, his last 22 trips route to Sprint.
We'll see how that. You know what cures that talent?
One for one for 23. There you go.
But yes, I totally agree. No, I don't think that horse is
that horse obviously has a chance here.
I'm not putting it down at all. 76 and two for you, many of the
same horses I talked about, but the two horse in here Barry, I
do not have in my handicap. And what do you like about the
Neil Drysdale trained Sir Rocket?
Why? Not well there.
There's versions of this race where the pace gets ridiculous
up front and Sir Rocket could come flying late.
This The Source has some good races down the hill.
Seems to be improving every time they step on the the downhill
turf course, culminating in a almost win back in June of last
year and then kind of ran better.
But it gets better. Horses, you know, got beat by
Manor Rose, Lovesick Blues who was in the the British Cup and
so on. So that effort back in October
wasn't embarrassing either. I just think that if the pace so
happens to get hot, this horse will come running.
They'll be coming running anyway, but even more so if if
this pace is hot up front. By the way, Mana Rose is on the
work tab, which I was very happy to see.
While watching. That horse run.
Yeah, yeah, no doubt. I mean, I had to look that up
once you mentioned him during the segment.
They're like, it's a good horse. I like him.
He's he makes these California races a lot better.
So, yeah. So Rocket in the third spot
there for Barry in the in Race 6.
They're Santa Anita on Saturday, Race 7 up next, of course, a
mile on the dirt, $10,000 claimer for non twos, $18,000 on
the line. Phillies 3 and up or Phillies
and mares 4 and up, which I've never won two erases.
Barry I This is an interesting one.
And as we get into the late pick three, I wanted to ask you a $3
late pick three with the minimums 15% take out, very,
very good bet at Sanity Park. They've had, by the way, since
our visit a couple of records on that pool, not saying it's
directly related, but I'm saying it's absolutely directly
related. And so the would you play the
late pick 3 this week or would you play the turf pick 3 this
week? I would concentrate on the turf
pick three because I think you could actually play it for more
than $3 and still bang that out with a with a pretty skinny
ticket and the upside on that is a lot better.
It tends to be yeah, yeah, especially field sizes this
weekend. But in race 7 mile on the dirt,
we just talked about these $10,000 kind of claimers.
Who'd you land on I. Landed on the 1A fleet ride.
Now you'll see that this horse went to the lead last time.
First time at this level 91 is A2 going a mile.
But I don't think they're going to employ those kind of tactics.
I think they just thought they were better than those horses
and just got beat late. You can tell sort of by the
switching jockeys here. You went from Edwin Maldonado,
who technically is a speed rider in my mind, to Armando Yuso,
who's a lot more patient and and willing to sit a little bit to
get his horse the best trip. And I think that's what's needed
here. There's a lot of speed,
especially from the outside. This horse is we're probably
going to get shuffled back anyway, so it makes a lot of
sense to have a patient rider who could find a spot, settle
and then swing this horse out to to run them down.
And I think this horse can do it Second time at the level is
really key here for that. You can see the improvement once
they they basically plummeted to this level and I think that will
continue. Get this horse in the winner's
circle. 6 to 1 seems like a fair price. 134 for Barry, I went 437
so similar handicapping, at least in the middle.
McKenna Rita is my my top horse here.
The four horse Barry, just one of the 20 level on the maiden
side of things will step into open, you know, against winners,
at least in this case. Kazushi Kamara keeps the mount.
I thought the last race, you know, just finally broke
through. I'm not sure that this horse
will win again. Took thirteen tries to break the
maiden, many of them at the distance as well.
Maybe she put it all together last time in that stat for
George. Papa Pedromo 19% going
back-to-back with winners I think makes a lot of sense in
here again, his claiming number at 22% as well.
Spots as horses as well as anyone out West in claiming
spots. Craig the lost trains Union
heiress here. Victor Espinosa gets them out on
this one. That was that was one that was,
excuse me, 4th place last time, but almost got there under
Victor 2 back at a very, very similar level.
And so I think getting to the Craig into Craig's barn gets
Victor back, throwing the blinkers on.
Try to keep her closer like she was in February.
I think if they get that trip again, she can absolutely be
part of the scenario here. So 4, three and seven for me.
Anything to add on the three horse Iron Union Eris?
Yeah, I think, you know, the blinkers on makes a lot of sense
here and getting Victor back because he's going to be a much
more patient and get that similar ride that they got
February 13th. Again, 1/3 and four for Barry in
race 7. Starting the late pick 343 and
seven for me in a race 7. Race 8 is the start of the late
AA $5 minimum on that race. 15% take out as well.
Another mile race, another claimer on the dirt.
Optional claimer. In this case, $20,000 is the
claim price if you're in and $67,000 is the purse.
That's for non to lifers Barry. Race 8 means I go 1st and so I
went outside it's. Your favorite race?
Until about 3 minutes before this show, folks, this was a
question mark, question mark, question mark race for me.
I'm sure you're like me, Barry, where once in a while you look
at a race and you're like, I can't do this right now.
You just have to set it down and you just look at the next race
and you kind of move on. This was that race for me on
this cart. I'll go to the 9 horse here,
Majestic Palisades, because why not?
This horse, at least in my defense, has been running in
this kind of race, this kind of company.
And here are the results. First, first, second, second,
third by three and three quarters lengths.
I get Juan Hernandez in this spot.
I get Lobrato Borosio who goes back-to-back in in huge numbers.
He wins 29% of his dirt races, Does LeBron Oberosio a 25% of
his races off this kind of layoff, plus I get Juan
Hernandez feels like a steal of a deal.
I'll go to Cowboy Mike next. Your old Omni fig thing I think
applies to him on the outside here, 85 and 86.
His last two at the 50 optional level is in for the tag here.
Barry which I'm sure you looked at and thought I don't want any
piece of that horse. It's a Flora Giroux gets them
out once again here. Look for them to try to be a
little softer with the pace up front.
They're taking the blinkers off to try to slow him down in the
early part of the race. Barry and I think they will be
effective in doing just that. 9:10 and 3:00 for me means Uncle
Chili comes in 3rd. Barry, has anyone ever called
you Uncle Chili? No, because my jumper is fire,
Sir. It's a basketball reference
Sprint to route 23% for Jeff Mullins, who's had this one
sprinting the last two times, both wins at the optional 50
level. By the way, Mike Pipe, he had
this one running at the optional 50 level, lost by half a length
3 back. So this horse is in fantastic
form since Malibu Day in December.
So give me Uncle Chilly 30, son of Uncle Tiger.
Where'd you go in this one? Yeah, I, I you were spot on with
your analysis of what I thought of Cowboy Mike.
I you're right about the Omni fig thing, but it's tough when
you lose to Ghazali, a horse who's just not consistent at
all. I I know this was at a higher
level, but man, this is suspicious for this horse to be
in this race because they probably could have waited for a
state bred optional 50. And if the horse is as sharp as
what they look like on paper, I would think that they would fit
there. Plus they're tinkering with the
horse, taking the blinkers off. A lot of that doesn't make sense
to me. So I'm I'm totally if we were on
Shark Tank, I'm out. But I did land on a horse that I
do like quite a bit in Here is the five Mickey's or Meses
Express. That last?
Race was pretty good against Coach Cronin who really had his
own way with that race. So it was it was really a merry
go round race where Coach Cronin broke on top.
Meses Express was not as fast and they ran 1-2 around the
whole track. Meses Express was 5 and 1/4
lengths in front of the third place finisher who's actually in
this race. So that tells me that this horse
probably might be in a spot to be a little bit superior.
They have some races to go to. I like the last workout, April
22nd, 36 and one handily Harmio gets on again for barn that they
do well with. All the signs point for this
horse just to get better and win this race and I'm on board.
At that price of 6 to 1, I think that's the sweet spot. 5-3 and
two for you. Go ahead and talk about the two
horse in here, at least Royal and Rando.
Another one that that. And I like how I said that.
Let me do that again. That was awesome.
Hang on, royal and rando. That's that's my radio voice.
By the way, don't ever listen to my radio show.
Go ahead. Sounds like a backyard wrestling
theme, right? Rando royal wrestling.
Yes, right, The royal rando. You know, I don't know.
Anything about wrestling. I'm the only white guy who's 45
years old that knows nothing about wrestling.
I'm it. I'm the one.
It's me and no one. Else that's OK I'm almost right
behind you cuz I didn't I stopped watching wrestling when
I was like 12 so. I feel like I grew up though in
one of the great eras and I just didn't.
Get it? I watched.
I was a Hulk of maniac. I did right?
Sure, but. I wasn't and I don't know.
I don't know why. I don't know, I don't know Bear.
I got nothing for you. The 2 horse here though, Royal
and rando. Yeah, it's another one of those
cases where I think this horse could just pick up pieces and
and get in the picture they they really haven't run too poorly,
just their running style doesn't right really isn't really
conducive to winning a lot of races unless they get a setup.
Really good in the bertrando at LaSalle, I thought.
Like it? Really.
Good. It just did.
I mean considering they were up against it, I I mean.
Who's in that race? You're not.
Winning that race, like, no way, no.
I thought that horse ran really well actually.
Yeah, and they were wide and and didn't get a great trip and they
still ran on pretty good. They fit in this company a lot
better. They just need a setup and I
think they might get somewhat a little bit of a setup here for
them to get in the picture at at a big price.
We don't usually have to wait until the closer on the card.
And this is So Cal Saturday's on the horse racing happy hour.
I'm Lou Rebeau. He's Barry Spears.
Appreciate all of you hanging out with us.
We're here every week at this time, 2:00 Eastern, 11:00
Pacific. Looking at the entire card in
Southern California this time of year, of course, at Santa Anita
Park, the closer is the grade 3 royal heroine, Barry.
And it's a mile on the turf here.
And this is a fascinating 1 to me.
Barry a four and up on the Philly and mayor side because I
think you have a couple of decisions to make in here.
Grand Slam smile comes in. This is the caliber that's been
picking off the Irish O'Brien and picking off, you know
sprints on the turf and and picking off you know the Solana
Beach and that kind of stuff. And then you've got a horse
coming off a big layoff like mayday ready who's been running
against much better horses does have a grade to win.
But boy we haven't seen that one since Keeneland in October
switches Barnes here to Richard Mandela.
That's never been something that he's especially adept at.
He seems to just he gets horses and he keeps them right.
That's what Richard Mandela does.
And then there are others in here like a Tirapati who, you
know, we saw in the wheelchair. She's she's done it at this
place. Go in the mile.
I mean, take a breath is in here. 1 the Santa Ana, but at a
mile and a quarter last time and boy, really charged really late
to do that. This is as interesting a mile
turf race as I can remember. I I love this field.
Yeah, this is this was real tough event until I I kind of
dug into everything and I thought mayday ready I.
Landed in the same spot here. I'm surprised but not surprised.
Go. Ahead.
Yeah. I thought Mayday Ready is kind
of a stand out here. You know, back in 2024, this
horse beat Destino de Oro Totally Justified at Keeneland,
then came out of that race into the juvenile Phillies turf, ran
second to Lake Victoria and beat Nitrogen that day.
Then they went over to Japan. You know, that didn't work out
so hot and then came back and, and the horse was in pretty
decent form. So in comparison to everyone
else, I, I think this horse kind of stands out a bit a bit.
And I think you picking this horse too might indicate that
they're, they're going to bet this horse quite a bit.
I, I, I could see this horse going down to being second
choice, maybe 2 1/2 to one or something like that has a good
shot. I would, I would prefer the 9:00
to 2:00, but I don't think we're going to get that.
No, I think you're right about that especially.
I mean, the Mandela horses are going to get, they're going to.
Get attention anyway, just off. Right number, yeah, they're
going to get respect is the word we're looking for here.
They're going to get respect no matter what.
They're going to not care about the first time in the bar and
they're not going to care about that stuff at the windows at
least. And frankly, I agree with them.
They shouldn't care about that. So I'll go I'll agree with you.
I've got 5 on top here. I went 8:00 and 9:00 next so I
went outside. I think take a breath is a real
interesting horse in here. MSR Romeo gets them out.
This is one that one in a mile and 1/4 in that Santa Ana last
out Barry. This horse is going to have to
do something it really hasn't done before and that is is
really be up and near it at this distance.
I wanted to give an example. So this this horse ran in a in
handicapped stakes at Sandown, OK, and that was a good to firm.
OK, Markwan got the the mount. Like these are all names we
know. OK, That race was run in a
minute 42 and three. OK, Now, if you're if you're a
10 for a long horse, you can win an 8 for a long race if it's
that slow, right? Because then you can just close
into it, pull away no problem. Horse carried 135 lbs a day, by
the way. But when you get to California,
you got this race, Barry. I mean, over under is 134,
right? I mean, that's what we're
talking about. We're talking about 8 seconds
faster than what happened in Europe.
And so horse like take a breath is just going to have to be
different than she's been before and be much closer to the pace.
Ha Romeo's going to have to have her ready for that stretch
because she's just not going to get the time to Rev her engine
like she has in the Santa Ana or in a mile and an eighth race
before that or in the American Oaks at Del Mar, which was also
a 10 furlongs. She's going to have to get
going. She didn't do it in the autumn,
miss last year in October. She didn't do it in an optional
claimer. She was in the Del Mar Oaks at 9
furlongs and she almost got there right.
Barry, had that race been a 10 furlongs, she probably wins at
Del Mar Oaks. She just seems to be a 10
furlong horse. But man, I'm not gonna lie, this
is, this is a hara meal play. It's just a hara meal play for
me. So I went 589 in this spot.
You went 5-3 and two or excuse me, 5, two and four.
Excuse me. Wrong right there.
What do you like about the two horse in here in Tirapati?
Yeah. This source has a lot of
versatility, can win on the league, can win coming slightly
off of it, and I think that versatility will go a long way.
Jonathan Thomas you can see had that run for this horse on April
4th, which is clearly the prep for this race in the Monrovia I
I don't think they had any intention of of winning that
race that day. I think it was just to basically
get a run in before this race. This horse is much better at a
mile. You can see those two races back
in March of last year where the source ran really, really razor
sharp against two pretty good fields and beat Alpha Bella in
the Wilshire, which is a pretty nice horse.
I think they're they're set up to win this.
The the the workout pattern makes a lot of sense.
That last workout was pretty good on April 18th.
All signs point to this horse being really, really sharp on
Saturday and I I really honestly couldn't split hairs between
Turpati and Mayday Ready. But I think when it's all said
and done, third party's obviously gonna be the bigger of
the two prices. So that one might be more of a
concentrate than made a ready who I do like quite a bit as
well. Phil d'amato's got Ripasare I
guess would be her name Vino Rosso.
I'm assuming it's in Italian, where that I don't know, which
is actually a little. Wow, I know.
Yeah, 11, going a mile under Flavian Pratt at Churchill
Downs, breaking her maiden. That was back in November of
2024. Since then, largely running on
the synthetic leaves, the Brendan Walsh barn comes over to
fill the Motto's barn. What do you like about her in
this spot? I think the idea that this horse
improved since their last run on the turf so you see the start
the career. This horse ran 2 pretty good
races on the turf, one at 6 1/2 at at Kentucky Downs, then a
little over a couple months later won a race with Flavin
Pratt at Churchill at 2:00 to 1:00.
Then they got onto the synthetic train for the winter this
winter, namely because they almost had a year layoff from
December 26th, 2024 to December 4th.
Came back running, which is encouraging at six, 6 1/2.
Then they go the mile, didn't get a great trip, got kind of
wiped out early in that one and then bounced back.
So I think this horse has improved and and getting back to
the turf makes a lot of sense. The distance makes a lot of
sense as well. This horse is going to be flying
under the radar, but I think they have a better than average
chance to make some noise in this race.
I don't think Phil, the model's just throwing her in there to
throw her in there either. I.
Agree with that. Correct.
That is not a let's try it out kind of move from Phil the model
so. Usually not a thing he does.
Usually not, he does. That's exactly right.
Once again, if you haven't checked the South Horse Racing
happyhour.com, you'll see all of our picks up there, our top
three plays throughout the card. We'll also have our plays for
the turf pick three up at the website
horseracinghappyhour.com. We'll also have all of the cards
starting Tuesday at Churchill Downs all the way through the
rest of the week, so make sure you check those out as well.
Completely free to you. Do not, do not, do not spend
money on tip sheets next week. Just come hang out with us.
Yeah, we've got all the wedding. Just, well, just save your money
for betting. I mean really just do that.
And if you are looking for a place to follow the Derby next
week, I would encourage you to go on over to ESPN
louisville.com. Let me get all the crap off the
screen here so that everybody can see us.
Hey. Barry's making the trip up here
this year and I am as excited to cover the Kentucky Derby as I
can remember because Barry is coming and he's going to have to
work quite a bit. That's how this works.
He is not going to be here for Monday's show.
I apologize. A guy named Mike Gandolfo who
started the horse racing. House, Mike.
Is going to be Barry Spears for the morning.
He'll be on from 11:50. Barry will be on with me for
everything starting Tuesday, so 11:50 Tuesday, Wednesday,
Thursday, you'll hear me and Barry interviewing whoever is
willing to stop by our ridiculous tent.
They're on the backside of Churchill Downs Oaks Day on
Friday. 4 freaking hours of this thing.
And by the way, we have a text line that I can read while we're
live on air. If you can't have fun with us
during Derby week, I cannot help you and I'm not exaggerating and
I'm not trying to be a Jackass. If you can't have fun with us
during Derby week, you need to quit looking at horse racing and
quit. Just just quit.
I mean, it's just not a thing. Three hours on Derby day, 11 to
2. We're going to be on during some
of the races, Barry, which is some of the most fun stuff.
Oaks and Derby. You and I are going to get to
like spar back and forth verbally on who we're betting.
Again, ESPN louisville.com, if you have an I Heart app that all
works. Again, the ESPN Louisville app
cost you nothing. Put it on your phone and forget
about it. It's absolutely spectacular this
time of year. And then at Breeders' Cup,
you'll hear us over and over again.
I mean, cripes, we're going to we're going to Laurel, we're
going to Saratoga. Get connected with us for the
triple Con. We'd love to have you as a
listener on those programs. And again, if you are able to
join us on Tuesday here in town, we will be a blind school
restaurant here a couple miles from my house.
How about that? Dinner's free, the drinks are
free. If you can't have fun with us
during Derby week, I cannot help you.
It also. Broadcasts.
Seriously, I'm not like I try not to yell directly into the
mic. All the blood horses socials.
If you don't live in the area, check them out.
Facebook, Twitter, their YouTube page.
You'll be able to hear Barry and me give our thoughts on the
major, you know, most of the stakes races, frankly, over
Friday and Saturday at Churchill Downs this coming week.
We'll go horse by horse in go horse by horse in the field
there for the Kentucky Derby as well.
So Barry, safe travels on Monday.
Yes, Sir. I'm going to need you to tell me
what your luggage situation is on Monday because I have to
decide if you're Ubering to the track or if I'm coming to pick
you up. All right, sounds like a plan.
I got a skateboard. I, you know, I could do that.
I'm pretty good at that sometimes.
Meet Barry Spears Tuesday, Blind squirrel.
I got my my caballero board Christian soy.
Listen to Barry on the radio. I'm Louie Ramo.
This has been So Cal Saturdays. We'll see you on this program in
two weeks. We'll see you on Monday for
Kentucky Derby week. Please join us.
Let's have a blast next week. He's Barry.
I'm Louie. This is the Horse Racing Happy
Hour.
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