SoCal Saturday 3/8/25 | Beholder Mile Day

All right, it is Friday at 10:00 AM on the West Coast, which

means you know what time it is. It's time for Still Cal

Saturday. All right, yeah, I know it's

Friday. We're getting a little preview

in ahead of the great Blood Beholder Mile there at Santa

Anita Park this weekend. Thanks for starting weekend with

us here on the Horse Racing Happy hour.

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Happy Friday. Nice hat.

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here. Of course, we're heading out to

Santa Anita. It is.

It is a beholder mile day out there.

We'll start with Race 1, Barry, as we do every single week.

It is a $25,000 claimer for Florida.

We're going to mile in an eighth.

I love it. Oh my God, just give me these,

give me these longer turf races on any card at all.

I thought one and looking at our handicapping, you and I landed

on the same top 2. So potentially a place to go a

little bit Skinner here. Where'd you land in the opener?

The lid lifter, if you will. Santa meet on Saturday.

Yeah, no surprises here. You know, as, as I like to say,

they had to put some race first, right?

So this was the one and and it's pretty straightforward.

I, I landed on #7 on top Dealer Special, his last race fits very

well with these horses. There's really no surprises.

I, I, I think this race is going to be fairly run straight up.

There's enough speed for that horse to, to get a good even

trip. And and I think dealer Special

is the goods in this spot. Yeah, I, you and I landed on the

five and the seven essentially I, I landed in the opposite

order. I'm taking the 1 landing in the

Mathis barn here. First off, the claim here.

And this is what Andy Mathis does really well at 32% in

claimers recently at San Anita. And so for me, this is a, I'm

playing the odds here. If I can get slightly longer

than a six to five, you know, with the preps at Tampa, we're

not going to have a Flavian Pratt out West, right?

So this is an opportunity, frankly to get some value on

some other guys that are good riders of Hector Berrios when

you get 18% this meet since December 26th at Santa Anita

stands out to be he and Andy Mathis combining on Andrea and

and ready to rumble. Excuse me, easy for me to say

how to start SoCal Friday here. I landed on the eighth in the

third spot here. Barry, if we wanted to try to

fill out say an exacta or a trifecta in this spot.

This is a horse that's trying turf for the first time.

But I like in here that this is a Catalina cruiser, a Giant's

Causeway. We've seen some of those giant

causeways especially be great on the turf before and this is one

that ran well at Los Alamitos. We see so often, Barry, in the

Southern California thing that horses move from the turf to Los

Al and vice versa. Very, very well.

First, turfers for John Sadler win at 17% and that dirt to turf

percentage is 12%. So this just feels like a spot.

It makes a bit of sense. Second off, the layoff etcetera

for Battle Cruiser. If you were trying to fill out a

try, who'd you land on? Yeah, I went with number 46

Magpies I I think that the drop in class will make all the

difference to have this horse in the picture. 8 to one seems

logical in here, so we go with the 754 straight up.

There you go, 6 Magpies are ridden by Thiago Pereira.

Solid 15% to start this meet as well.

Race 2 at Santa Anita on the dirt this time. 6 1/2 furlong

Sprint here. A a starter optional claimer,

38,000 in the Kitty, $50,000 claiming price for those who

have never started for a claiming price of $50,000 or

less. I don't think anyone's actually

in for the tag here. Barry, where did you land?

Oh yeah, excuse me, the the four horse here at six to one Armando

I used. So we're seeing that day more

and more as we do our handicapping.

Where did you land in Race 2? Unmute yourself, brother.

There we go. Come on, come on.

People want to hear you. Unmute yourself.

I'm trying to do like 5 things and I can't even get you to

unmute your mom. I'm the.

Worst I I I admittedly the worst at that, but I I did go with the

horse that is in for the tag. The four Someone Like You.

I think this horse merits another shot on the dirt.

I thought that run was pretty good for first time on the dirt

and should improve off of that. That being said, there's not any

world beaters in this race. I know the six Mayakama will

will get a lot of attention, but honestly they kind of fit in the

same category and one's going to be a longer price and and I'll

take the four. Yeah, Armando Ayusto now hitting

at 10%. He's gone over the double digits

number. He was in the 8-9 kind of range

before. I think we lose track here,

Barry, once in a while of oh, the horse is in for the tag.

They're trying to whatever. No, it's not that right.

It's it's just that they hit the condition in a very specific

way. And I I wouldn't, I wouldn't be

surprised if the four does jump up and win here.

I was trying to find value as well.

I think the one in running superhero Edwin Maldonado off of

for Vladimir Serin, one last stop, finally breaking that

maiden at the maiden 45 level. And so this was a horse that

that bounced around in the maiden claiming rankings for a

long time, but was has been really good on the last two out.

Both of those going six 6 1/2 furlongs, last one on the dirt.

So getting back to the dirt for this one and staying there.

I just think for the price, I'll go ahead and take that horse who

ran a 117 and 1 / 6 1/2 last time.

I mean, the favorite in here is coming out of a maiden 20 win by

a billion lengths. That's Coastal Cowgirl, the two

under Antonio Fresu. That horse ran the same, almost

identical time as Running Super, and I'm gonna get one for 4 1/2

to one and one for less than two to one.

No, no, hard pass there. I'll run on.

I'll I'll give Running Super a try here.

Yeah, I I gave that horse a try in for 3rd.

I actually threw out the favorite just for the reasons

you you exclaimed. I mean that was a $20,000 maiden

race running super was in a 45,000 maiden race and and doing

well in those kind of races. Finally broke through last time.

I think the improvement is there more so than a horse like

Coastal Cowgirl who is OK, had one really good race and that's

it. So I, I, I would say as a, from

a consistency standpoint, you know what you're gonna get from

running super rather than the favorite coastal cowgirl.

Yeah, we'll move. On to Race 3.

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A $30,000 claimer here at 6 1/2 furlongs in the Turf shoot for

$36,000 in the purse. Phillies and Mares 4 and up in

this one, Barry. And look, I got really boring in

here. I landed on gem mine for Thiago

Pereira, the five to two favorite here in for the tag, of

course, ran I thought well enough last out in a starter

allowance to drop into this kind of level where she's won before.

And so this is a six year old mayor 1-2 back on the turf going

downhill, but ran well enough last time out, Barry, that I

feel pretty confident in her sliding back into this kind of

company. I'll take Jem mine on top here

for Taco Pereira. Yeah, I, I'm throwing one

downfield here. I went with #4 strange addiction

and I think this horse will will get a way better trip than than

she's basically been getting. I I think the reversion back to

the turf makes all the difference.

This horse's 5 furlong races on the Flat, 5 furlong at Delmar.

That was a pretty good race back in September and getting another

crack at it seems to make a lot of sense.

The cutback, you know, 6 furlongs last time, 6 1/2 on the

dirt, then going back to the turf makes all the sense in the

world and kind of ran better on the turf.

I think was a little overmatched in those starter allowance races

gets back with his friends or her friends and I think that

will be kind of the effective move and you're getting a price.

I I I expect to get all of that 15 to one, if not more than

that. There's a quite a bit of speed

signed on. So I think this just really sets

up pretty good for a horse like that.

Yeah, I'm I'm my other longer shot would be the seven here.

You get Juan Hernandez on a six to one shot here in for the

price trying the turf for the first time.

And and to me this is interesting because it's it this

is a horse entering Jeff Mullins barn for the first time.

And he immediately takes this horse, which has 10 lifetime,

starts all of them on the dirt and places her straight on the

in a spreading situation out of that turf chute there at Santa

Anita. He has now four for his last

seven. First off the claim, his first

turfers have won three of their last 12 and 2nd off the layoff,

he hits at a solid 20%. So I just I think all the

numbers match up there. Obviously you get a Juan

Hernandez. The two of them are hitting at

38% together. I think the six to one price

here Barry feels like a gift. Yeah, I, I include this source

for 3rd as well, just for the same reasons that Mullins claims

this horse and immediately puts his horse on the turf, which

exudes a little bit of confidence as as to what they

really want this horse to do. And again, these horses are are

win challenged most of them. I know Special Flower doesn't

really have the born loser kind of moniker yet, but isn't

towering over this field either. So there's a lot of opportunity.

Yeah, special flower, the six in here, the obvious and probably

worthy morning line favorite as well at 9:00 to 5:00 one at the

maiden 25 level last time. We'll try the maiden 30 level, I

think for trainer Doug O'Neill. That's a good move by the way, I

do think that she fits this level better than she did the

maiden special and and open company kind of levels that he

had or had before as well. So moving on to race for a

maiden optional 62 five. How about that?

Love seeing these kinds of races in here.

This reminds me Barry of the I think Oaklawn ran a $200,000

optional claim. Yes, they do a lot actually.

Funny enough there's non 1 is a two $200,000.

Yeah, I'd love to see if anybody gets claimed out of those.

I remember being at Churchill one day and a group was was

claiming $100,000 maidens and a guy grabbed like four of them.

I I don't know the outcome of that, but my guess is since I

don't I don't remember the outcome.

It wasn't great. So there you go.

I like these races just as an option for, you know, protecting

horses, protecting owners, that kind of thing where you probably

have a pretty good horse, but not a maiden special kind of

horse. I like these kinds of

conditions. We're going 6 furlongs on the

turf here. This is for a Phillies that are

three years old that have started for a claiming price or

were sold at auction for less than $150,000.

So essentially lots and lots of different horses.

The person here is $40,000. I'll let you go first here.

Barry, you and I landed again in the on the same top two horses.

Yeah, my top pick would be maximum gold with. 5 to one is I

mean on this horse in this field is a terrific price.

Yes. And then that, that's really the

attractor here. I like to bet horses that have

run at a higher level drop down off the layoff, run good And

then second time is when they really, really get a grip on

everything and and and typically run lights out.

Maximum gold fits that description to AT especially

coming out of a race where a lot of these horses were running in

anyway. The only other horse that I'd

say might stand a chance given that scenario would be the five

sexy. Just a new shooter in a race

where you know these horses kind of beaten up on each other one

time already. The new face kind of stands out.

And then we'll go to the four who should be closing late at a

big price, kind of the round out the top three.

Yeah, in the Doug O'Neill barn in California now after starting

her career at Turfway Park in the O'Neill Barn up here at My

Way where it is in the 40s. Barry, I, I, man, I wanted to do

this show outside so badly today.

And, and I just, I, I've never gotten pooped on by weather as

bad as this year. It's just unbelievable.

I mean, it's just, it's just a remarkable thing to put up with

this weather over and over and over again.

And then I look up and I see a headline and they're like, guess

what? Arctic storm coming again.

You, you jerk. And it's like, come on, just

give me anything but this. I'd be OK.

Like anything other than that would be fine.

Happy Sue, of course, did finish right behind maximum gold in

their last race. Totally agree about sexy.

I think that's a horse named after us.

But also, you know, Mark Blatt, of course, waiting at 14%, those

first time starters, he and Edwin Maldonado hitting at a

stupid 30% right now as well. So I think the one in five stand

out to me. If Happy Sue won this race, the

three, I wouldn't be stunned by it either.

Closing out the early pick five and starting the all turf pick

three, which of course you can bet at Amwager right now.

It's a three dollar base and 15% take out.

Totally totally playable and one of the very best ROI type of

bets on the West Coast. Starts in this race and is a

$25,000 claimer with a $30,000 purse for non 2 lifers going a

mile on the turf course there. Phillies and mares for and up.

I'll start here. Barry, you and I laid similar

horses again. I do think the favorite in here,

the nine step it out because of her running style because she is

an early runner will be able to overcome the outside post in

this race and be just fine under, under.

And Barry Rizpoli who really is going to benefit especially in

the grass races that Pratt and Tori are both in Tampa this

weekend. And so for me, I'm looking at

Saturday's card as an opportunity for Roberto Rispoli

to pick off a bunch of turf races, especially at this kind

of level, Barry, where you know, as long as you ride the horse

and give it a great chance to win, if you have the best horse,

you're going to win the race, right?

It's not like a stakes race where there's that kind of

right. You got at least you're giving

your horse a 5050, whatever it might be.

I feel that way about stepping out.

If you went single in the first part of the sequence, this would

probably be my single. Yeah, see, I I don't have much

confidence in the source as you do.

Just the fact that this horse is dropping all the way down to

25,000 in for the tag gives me calls for pause, especially

since there's some speed in here as well.

Corporal Violet, Nadia or Nada has a lot of speed.

Probably the seven sparkles sweetly sweetly should probably

go for the lead as well. So there there's a little bit

signed on here and I don't think the nine really wants to rate at

all. And that leaves me to my pick

the four auditory. I think this horse merits to sit

a great trip. Seems to be a a slightly better

horse on the turf, which is good and and should get the run of

the race. Whether you know she's good

enough to win or not is another story, but I have a lot of

confidence in Miyati making this move.

There you go, Steve and the audio, of course, picking this

one up 15% on horses coming off of just over a month long

layoff. This horse will be off about 6-7

weeks coming in to this one. Again, we're presented by

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We move on to race 6 out there at Santa Anita Park.

It is an optional claimer, 6 furlongs on the dirt there.

This is 19 five in the purse. This is one of those races

they've set up at Berry. We've had really good success in

these races since we started this show for the Northern

California shippers. You'll see a lot of Pleasanton

in Sacramento and those kinds of things in the past performances.

We're starting to see more and more at the top of these past

performances. Barry SA as these horses make

their career move to Southern California.

I like a couple of longer shots in here.

I think this is kind of a fun race where if you wanted to take

a swing, you really could. I landed on Seize the Image, the

seven horse here, 12 to one for the Rondan Bautista combination.

This one last out finished about four and a half out, excuse me,

2 1/2 out in fourth position behind a bunch of other runners

in this race. And while I would like to think

that everyone just runs back to their normal form and does all

those very normal things in horse racing at this level, it

very rarely happens. And so this is one that is one

at the $8000 claiming level, that kind of thing as son,

excuse me, a daughter in this case of Southern Image.

I think at 12 to one, it's worth it to take a swing in this race.

Where did you land in our Norcal Socal race?

Unfortunately I am not going to be as creative as you are.

I thought the top two horses were were standouts here,

especially the 8 coming off that last win and it wasn't even that

good. And it just sets up this horse

to run better this time. The same scenario they got last

time and I think this horse blows the doors off him.

Honestly I think this is the most likeliest winner on the

card. Is Twilight Empire the 8th?

So in a in a pick whatever situation, that's my single.

There you go, his single is the 8.

I do see the five on your handicapping as well.

Billy Anti Georgie gets the amount here.

Finished third last out in a claimer at Fresno.

Comes in fresh on this one. I'm interested to see if Tessa

can get back to some of that good form.

The O for five on dirt, but three second place finishes.

Maybe this is the kind of company that horse could

breakthrough on. But Barry single for the day.

There you go, Twilight Empire Race 6 at Santa Anita as we move

on to the late pick 5 already. My goodness, we'll be Race 7

here on the card at Santa Anita Park.

Maiden 32, five and a half furlongs on the dirt.

This for three-year old maidens and so early in their three-year

old career here in for the tag. Barry.

Did you like a logger shot in this one by chance?

Absolutely, we're throwing one downfield.

We're going to go with #8 breaking desire.

There's a lot of things to like, you know, a this horse is in the

George Parabon barn. As you know, I love betting his

first time starters, as does a lot of people.

Yeah. But not enough because this is

ROI is kind of high in this area.

So I'll take that. I like that last workout on

March 1st at Santa Anita 48 and one Handley out of gate.

It's not the longest, fastest gate work, but it's definitely

one of the better ones closer to the race.

Not the absolute best, but this horse has some pedigree.

There's a lot of precociousness. There's some siblings that have

won either first or second time out and I think this one fits

the bill. It it looks like this horse is

pretty quick. We'll have to see.

I'll put it to the test at 15 to one for sure.

You and I landed on the same horse here, which is very

interesting in this spot and a lot of it is the Jorge Parabon

angle for me, and I'm with you. He's so bear.

I love this that he's four for his last 14 with first time

starters. All of those were in maiden

claimers. So cut the number of races in

half, but keep the total number of wins.

So four wins, 7 starts at the maiden claiming level at the

first time starter, 27% overall in those maiden claimers.

And so this to me just screams the kind of race that he picks

off. And so I I'm with you man.

There are some other ones in here that make a ton of sense,

but the 8 landed on top for me. I went 8910 here.

I do think code breaker. I love a second time starter

Barry because if you watch a horse, either jog through the

exercise or figure it out late in their first run.

I think there's always a chance that they're better the next

time that they come out. Maiden special or excuse me,

Maidens for Dean Peterson, the trainer here do win and mean

claimers 1/4 of the time, which is a good enough number for me.

He wins at 30% on the dirt as well.

Obviously trying to kid his footing underneath him more at

the San Anita kind of level. But man, give me give me that

horse as well. And then General Jackson on the

outside. I'm more hoping that the cutback

in distance is the thing here for this horse, Son of Maximus

Mischief and into Mischief son. Of course, I'm hoping for Doug

O'Neill. This is a move from route to

Sprint, which he does at 14%. That makes sense.

So I went 8910. Here, Yeah.

I mean, you got to have to hope that the 10 does wake up a bit

because those two races since getting off the turf weren't as

good. But this source can turn it

around at any point. You know, Doug O'Neill likes to

put horses in kind of spots like this, and this horse could be

still learning. So I I wouldn't discount that

one at all. But I thought the two favorites,

the four and the nine, were real logical in this spot, especially

the four. You know, getting that class

relief might be all the difference.

There you go. We move on to race eight.

Start of the late Pick 4 here at Santa Anita Park.

It's the Beholder mile, the grade one on the card today.

Obviously, we're going a mile. This is for Phillies and Maris,

4 and up. Man, oh, man, a $300,000 race

here in Southern California. We see the return of Ricci

Cavalieri and two year old champ Hoosier Philly in here as well.

Barry, I'm not going to make the case for Hoosier Philly like I

did when she was a 2 year old Philly, but it's nice to see her

still racing. You know, I was talking on my

radio show this morning with Ren Carruthers and we were talking

about Skippy Long Stocking and he's 9 for 29 lifetime.

He's going for a three peat in his race this weekend.

I think it's the chat. That's not the challenger, it's

the. Yes.

It's a challenger. OK, good.

And so just how how how much we take for granted these like if

he's 10 for 30 after this weekend with a bunch of grated

stakes and 3rd the Pegasus and like, like, don't we love those

horses? Aren't those our favorites?

I mean, like our what else should we want from somebody?

You know, so it's nice. Yeah, I love betting against

them. That's that's really where I go

with it. I love betting against them,

sure, but. It's nice to have those horses

around. It's nice to see a horse race 30

times this kind of stuff, right? It's it's fun to get to, you

know, watch them grow up this way.

The, you know, reaching 13th lifetime race, 18th lifetime

race for the daughter of Intermischief Hoosier.

Philly in this one. Where'd you land by?

This this race really kind of it.

It seems straightforward. Obviously Bob Baffert has, has

all the cards here, but I think Cavallari is just the good I, I

think we're going to get a replay of the La Canada and I

think it's, it's just Cavallari and Alpha Bella all the way

around again with a little Tarifa for 3rd.

And then there it is. I I mean it seems as

straightforward as it looks on paper.

Cavallari is going to dominate upfront and Alpha Bella is just

going to come up behind second. It's interesting, neither of us

landed on Tarifa and we've I've watched at least a couple of

times Godolphin take swings of grade ones with Brad Cox

trainees and they it just doesn't seem to travel well.

It doesn't seem to work out that way.

Would I be stunned if Tarifa wins this race, Barry?

The answer's no. I wouldn't be.

She's very classy, she's very good.

But I'm with you. I think this is the I think this

is the Bob Baffert Invitational with Cavalieri.

I think that Juan Hernandez is going to set her up either in

first or second. I as far as the pace itself,

it's going to be her and Ricci up front, right?

But really Ricci spends a lot of her races in second or third

position. It might be Alpha Bella that's

that's closer to the front and this one I'm not sure, but

Tarifa at least has a chance to walk the field if Mike Smith can

get the lead and keep the lead. So that's an interesting angle

here. But I'm with you.

I think in the Grade 1 beholder mile here I do think it's called

Balieri that is the one to beat. Yeah, yeah.

It's, it seems too obvious here. And you know, everybody knows

that Bob Everett has all the good horses out there.

I mean, if Ricci won, it wouldn't surprise anybody, but

it it just seems like Cavallari's the goods and and

the one that they want to win. Yeah, who's your Philly?

Of course, coming in out of the Houston Ladies Classic of Grade

3 where she finished second to recharge.

Unfortunately for her, many horses better than that in this

race. On Saturday, we move on to Race

9. It will start the late pick

three. Another great at stakes here is

the San Simeon. Barry and I have expressed our

affection for the downhill turf course and they will run on that

in the San Simeon. It's a great $300,000 here. 4

year olds enough I thought. An interesting one.

Very frankly more interesting than that beholder mile I landed

on the 8:00 here in the San Simeon Mucho Del Oro.

Yes, this is the favorite, but this is also a horse has 1/2 of

his lifetime race as a 7 year old gelding here on the turf. 9

for 18 lifetime, 5 for 8. Going down the hill as well, to

me just makes too much sense in the spot.

I will say this, this is a horse that tried the Gulfstream Park

Turf Sprint last time. They're shipping back with this

horse. We just watched me, Armando

Ramon, do the same thing for the Pegasus and it did not go well

for him. So if you wanted to try to beat

Mucho Del Oro in this spot, it wouldn't be based on past

runnings or performances or anything at Santa Anita Park.

It would be on that for me, Barry.

And so if people wanted to make the case against, I would listen

to it all day. But for me, just too good at

Santa Anita. Yeah, I mean, that's definitely

a thought. However, you know what happened

the last race, He didn't, he didn't get out well, there was a

lot going on. And then draws outside here.

I don't, I don't even know if that's the best place to be.

There's there's some other speed in here, namely the one charged

for gold, Sorrento Sky, who's a formidable foe that will be kind

of vying for the lead. I think this trip falls into or

this race falls into the hands of Air Force Red, especially

coming on the quick turn around from last week running in the

Kilro Mile. Didn't run a step, really sort

of stalked and and just got beat by a bunch of better horses.

And this race kind of fits a lot better for Air Force Red than

that one down the hill. Seems to be a better trip for

this horse all the way around and doesn't need the lead.

So this horse would probably stalk a really fast pace and get

first run. I think that that will do it.

And Air Force Red. If we get 8 to one I'll be

extremely happy. Seven day turn around.

Leonard Powell did win his last attempt doing that.

We see that in some of these races, Barry, where there is,

you know, a triple digit kind of or a six digit, I should say,

excuse me, kind of purse and these kinds of things.

You know, I always think of Kentucky Downs as one of those

places where someone tries to start a horse on the first day

and on the last day, something like that.

And guess what? Horses win a lot.

It's OK to start your horse a couple times if they're in good

form. And I'm with you once in a

while, Barry. You know, I think we overthink

what the trainers are trying to accomplish.

And in this case, it's very clear.

Leonard Paul just thinks he has a very informed horse who's

ready to go, right. And, and and so I'm with you.

I don't hate that pick at all, frankly.

I did land on the 8. Like I said.

Serrano Skye, I totally agree with you, is going to be part of

it as well. Is anarchist as interesting and

inclusion in this as I think he is?

Because Rand in the Saint Simeon Second, by the way, two years

ago, has not been back on the downhill turf since.

Boy, oh boy, I think that was the last time running a bunch on

the dirt. Of course, the only time trying

the turf was in this race. Ramon Vasquez gets the mount

here. He's back in Southern California

for the day. Interesting one there because I

think you're going to get every single bit of six to one on

anarchist. I'll just be interested to see

where he ends up. Yeah, I I hope so, actually.

I mean, this horse loves to finish second and I don't see

why this horse wouldn't finish second on Saturday.

Kept good company but just doesn't win.

And, and I think that it's it's a habit at this point and

putting this horse behind the four seems to make all the sense

in the world. Race 9 starts the late double

there at Santa Anita Park. Of course, the late double is a

$5 minimum. They took that from the golden

hour wagers that they used to offer out in California and now

applied it simply to the late double at Santa Anita Park.

Barry and I big fans of that wager for sure going a mile on

the dirt course there. It's an optional claimer,

$50,000 price for non twos. 67,000 in the purse here, Barry.

We're seeing more and more of this, by the way, where Santa

Anita stacking the late part of the cards with these higher

level allowance races and these kinds of things will close with

an optional claimer as well. Where did you land in this one?

This is an interesting field because I, I, I think that

while, you know, I landed on the five at 9:00 to 2:00 and it's

Juan Hernandez and whatever and we're getting off the turf and

trying the other thing, what we're getting off the turf and

trying something different. And that's that's nine to two.

I mean, it's an interesting race, right?

Yeah, absolutely. There's a lot of horses doing a

lot of different things. You got a horse like None Above

the Law, just running in pretty good stakes company for a long

time drops into this spot and you have a horse like Eagles

Flight who's basically just started his career and looks

like the best horse in this race.

I, I, I really aren't, you know, I'm not trying to get too

creative. I, I like both of those runs,

especially the one against winners going a mile.

This horse has already proven to me to be better than a lot of

these horses. So there's only really like a

couple to beat the five and the six, namely.

And if that horse can beat those two horses, it's a wrap there.

You go. I think the eight on the outside

is interesting too. Did take 10 attempts to break

his maiden, the son of Omaha Beach in Santa Reyna.

I was interested because Barry watching this horse try the turf

didn't work. Try the dirt for 2nd place

finishes before finally breaking through.

I'm only interested because I I think going sprints around is

something that Mark Glad does incredibly well. 27% but just

all of the numbers sort of seem to match up for this one.

And I think because of what you just said and what you just

described, I think the price could be a lot more than three

to one on this horse. I think at least nine to two,

maybe a 5 to one kind of number on the 8 on the outside.

So if you're looking for a longer shot to hit that double,

maybe that is where you would look.

The double, of course, leads into the finale, which is race

11, a six furlong Sprint there on the flat ground in the turf.

Shoot Optional claimer for non 2, $20,000 claiming price

$67,000 on this. It is a Cal bred race.

Cal sired or Cal bred in this case.

We got lonesome Stew in here at 3:00 to 2:00.

I agree that that's a worthy favorite word.

You land, buddy. I landed on the two.

We're throwing one downfield. Chrome Flash at 12 to one has

some races on the flat course that will win this race a little

bit shorter or, you know, at 5 furlong race.

But I I think the races on the Flat are just better.

And that goes a long way at Santa Anita because there,

again, like I said last week, two different races, the six

furlongs versus 6 1/2 and you'll get these horses that kind of

crossover and do that sort of thing.

But it seems like Chrome Flash likes the Flat better.

She would get a great trip. There's there's a certainly

enough speed in here for this to sit behind, including the one

lonesome Stew. This horse could really just

kind of trail that one around and take over and and and win

this thing. I don't think lonesome Stew is

going to get the same kind of easy trip you got last time.

So that's that's kind of the notion of betting against that

one plus the rail, which whenever there's favorites on

the rail, I like betting against them anyway.

I landed on a long shot right next to your long shot in second

spot in Piper's Causeway. Hear me out on this one.

It's going to take a minute, but this is a horse that runs really

well in those sprints at Los Alamitos.

And I've I've talked a lot on the show about the, the, the,

the surface at Los Ale working well with the turf surface,

especially at Santa Anita. This horse, though, has one

sprinting both on synthetic and on dirt 2 seconds in four turf

sprints lifetime, including one at Santa Anita down the hill

before that ran fifth by two lengths under Roberto Rispoli in

a six for long Sprint at this level before.

So while I don't think this horse is necessarily your

winner, Barry, I would not be stunned at all to see this horse

in second or third spot. Yeah, not bad.

I, you know, I'll mention another long shot who I I think

might stand a chance just because this horse is versatile.

Yeah, the four getting on the turf for the first time has the

running style to be kind of wherever this horse wants to be.

It's just a matter of of betting on whether you think this horse

will like the turf or not. I'd be willing to give this

horse a shot at 12:50 and probably you should get a lot of

that 12:50. Mike Pipey does very well

putting horses on the grass first time.

I wouldn't count this one out. Yeah, as you mentioned, 1st turf

23% in his most recent runners. I think the 10's interesting in

here as well. Shorter price on this one at 7

two in double jab with Armada, Yusuf, Randy Mathis.

The speed figures all make sense.

The horse was right there. The last two out one before

going down the hill before a disqualification move this horse

away from frankly from this would not have been able to run

in this condition, Barry. So that you know, this is a

horse that's right there as far as the the very top of this,

whatever this level is as far as the optional claimers.

And so this daughter of Ronsky or son of Ronsky, excuse me, I I

think has a real shot as well, man, Tampa Derby tomorrow as

well. I think we should probably just,

you know, for this crowd at least you may, you don't

necessarily have to give a pick here, Barry, but do you have a

horse you're watching tomorrow? I think Hill Rd's a really

interesting 1, you know, comes over from Europe, runs really

well in the Breeders Cup, Juvenile, moves to the Chad

Brown barn. We saw him and Tyler, who are on

this horse connect with domestic product last year.

I think that's the horse I'm watching tomorrow.

Obviously with Patch Adams, Chancellor Mcpatrick, with Owen

Almighty. It's a loaded race.

Yeah, it's a very good race, better than in recent years.

Although the field's smaller, the quality is up.

I'd say I like Patch Adams quite a bit.

Ran a winning race in the Southwest, was just a little bit

short. He's ready.

There you go. Of course.

Tampa, close to Ybor City. Shout out cigar.

There you go. We'll do that if you are so

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So go see our friends beautiful platform that is am Wager and am

wager.com. Barry, I appreciate you very

much my friend. This has turned into one of my

favorite shows every week. Good luck tomorrow my friend,

and safe trips for everybody. You're supposed to say something

to me. What's going on?

You're not going. To say anything to me.

Oh good luck. Get some sun, drink, drink

water, stay hydrated. Drinking water.

Yeah. This show used to be cool.

Take the Cup.