Louie & Barry are back with another SoCal Saturday.
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Louie & Barry are back with another SoCal Saturday.
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You need an edge! You need AmWager!
You see a bright wall behind me. That's because the sun is out
here in Louisville, KY, hanging out with Barry Spears.
My name is Louis Ramos. This is another edition of
Soulcal Saturday's hanging out with our friends, of course at
amwageredamwager.com and of course the good folks at the
Sporting Tribune in the Sporting tribune.com.
Berry, welcome in with post Preakness edition.
We had a good week last week on this show as far as
handicapping, giving out on top winners and that one.
In fact, little cold pick three from your boy here, Racist 5-6
and seven last week. Always love when that sort of
thing happens. Barry, it's your week this week,
my friend. No pressure.
No, none, none at all. I wish I played that pick three
because it played okay. Yeah, I might have paid 201 on
$0.50. Yeah, that would have been all
right. In that case, Barry hanging out
with us as he does every week here on Socal Saturdays.
Like I said, you can catch us at the Sporting Tribune.
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And this is the kind of day, Barry, that I'm so glad we've
been doing this show for months now because we've gotten to know
these horses a little bit right. Once we get into these state
bred kinds of races, it's a big part of what they do at Santa
Anita, at Del Mar, etcetera, Lo Sal.
Of course these Cal bred races, we're going to get a full card
of them on Saturday ahead of that massive card on Monday as
well for Memorial Day in Southern California.
But a lot of value in this card too, Barry.
Absolutely. This day notoriously usually
yields some big prices. And you know, the multis are
usually nice and healthy and you get some horses that are kind of
flying below the radar in other places that show up in these
spots and end up running well. So, you know, it's always a fun
day. We'll see a lot of horses that
have been running exclusively in Cal Company, some that are
coming back out of open company because of the conditions or
because of the purses. And so we'll be looking for all
of those things today. But we do start with race one.
It's a maiden special weight, so we will see something like 5 or
6 stakes on this card, Berry. But of course, mixed in are the
maidens, the claimers and the optional claimers.
We'll start with a maiden special going a mile on the turf
there, $60,000. And this is for Cal Bretz, 3-4
and five years old hold. It would be very easy to go
chalky here, Barry. So I imagine you're not going to
go very chalky. Definitely not, although I think
the horse that I picked will probably be close to second
choice. I went with #513 on top.
Now this horse didn't really get a good run at it the last time
on April 5th. Just didn't get out of the gate
well. Was 34 to one that day off
slowly, but this is a much easier spot.
And with that race under this horse's belt, I think there's
there's imminent improvement. You know, despite the bad start
and everything, the horse really didn't run all that badly,
almost split the field. And since that start, the
workouts have been much, much better.
And that indicates that this horse is going to step up and do
something better this time. Mark Glatt is really good second
time out, and that's where we're going.
Yeah, 20% second out for Mark. Glad I've got this horse.
Third of my handicapping. I would like to see Barry 'cause
what I worry about here is what we've seen from Kazushi Kamura.
This, this is 17 times hitting the board that Art wins, but
only five wins to start his his campaign here with.
You know, it doesn't mean he can't get over the hump there
for sure. But I have a third of my
handicapping. I did go to the 8 9:00 to 2:00
on the Hector Barrios ridden Winter Snow.
Hector Barrios sneaky good 23% at the start of this meet.
Horse finished third by 1/2 length last out.
We're second in the form cycle here.
That's a great angle for trainer Jeff Mullins, who hits at 18%
doing that 28%. These two working together at
Santa Anita most recently. I know you have that horse in
your second spot. We both have 5-8 and one in some
kind of combination here. So the one horse on the inside
is going to probably be the favorite just by the connections
between Craig Lewis and Juan Hernandez here in Ryde Gold.
What do you like about Ryde Gold?
I I like the market improvement once this horse got to the grass
and then stretching out seems to be very logical.
The only reason I didn't put this horse on top is because I
think this horse might get some pressure early from we the
hobby, the two horse and maybe another one that that might show
speed. Somebody like California rocks
or or French moonlight. I I don't expect this pace to be
just, you know, a, a slow dawling up front where a horse
like ride gold could win just going easy.
We'll have his hands full early. Or hers.
I'm I'm interested too the two we didn't mention we are the
hobby or we the hobby. Excuse me, is the second
favorite on the morning line here.
Barry is 1 though that has tried seven times in this exact
company to break her maiden and it just hasn't happened to this
point. Are you seeing the same thing I
am there? Absolutely, 7 cuts against this
group is might be a little bit too much and and calls for a
little bit of class relief. Yeah, it might be time for a
claimer with the two there. This is Socal Saturday.
Barry Spears, Lou Rebeau hanging out with you.
Thanks for making us part of your horse racing weekend, your
Memorial Day weekend, hopefully getting to hang out, watch some
ponies, good weather, wherever it is that you live.
Race 2 is a maiden special. We see the 2 year olds, I hear.
Barry, how about that bunch of first timers going 4 1/2 for
$60,000 here and so make sure to check this one out.
A couple of second timers in here, Barry, but where did you
end up landing in Race 2? I ended up on the Two Smiling
Carmen, George Parabon. This is kind of what he does,
you know, he gets horses prepared first time out that go
really, really fast. He has two in this race and I
suspect one of the two, if not both, will be really quick out
of the gate. I'm going to go with the longest
of the two Smiling Carmen, but this horse's body of work is at
least, you know, workout wise seems just a a tad or slightly
bit better. Got it.
Yeah, I went with the three here in final table lady, the other
Jorge, if you will, in this spot out of the Parabon barn.
Something that I've learned from Barry hanging out is to watch
those gate works and this one was a little bit faster out of
the gate on May 16th than his partner or her partner.
Excuse me in smiling Carmen. So I'm going on that.
Another daughter of Stay Thirsty.
Very similar sort of breeding here as well.
Different ownership, which means we don't have to couple this
entry, which is nice. Barry, if this were New York,
they'd probably try to make them couple.
It's just how New York works. But going out there, I do think
I've had the three and the two on top here.
You went 2-3. I landed on the 6th and the
third spot in Liberation. This is a 5 to 2 starter for
John Sadler, another guy who's good with first timers for sure.
This one's been working very steadily in that 48 range over 4
furlongs at Santa Anita. They tried this horse earlier if
you look Barry, on the synthetic for the workouts there.
And I wonder if that was potentially related to weather
and they just that was where you could work out that day or if
they were going to see if this horse was, you know, maybe set
up for a turf Sprint, something like that, you know, a son of
Omaha, a daughter of Omaha Beach.
In this case, it looks like they were like, you know what, never
mind. It looks exactly the same about
the two services. So we'll just go with whatever's
available in the condition book. So I ended up 3, two and six.
I know you have the one in the third spot here.
Yeah, I thought Liberation is probably be a a nice horse down
the road. It it I'm, I'm actually kind of
surprised of running a a horse like that in a race like this
because it it kind of screams like this horse wants to get on
the turf. But I'm I'm guessing a turf
sprinter. So this wouldn't be too bad of a
spot. But you know, there there might
not be any anything that fits the bill until later on in the
summer. But I thought that ain't right.
Might be able to run a little bit.
This horse is coming in from Emerald has one workout at Santa
Anita. That was pretty good comparison
to, you know, everybody else. And Steve Sherman isn't, you
know, isn't new to the circuit. He understands and knows where
his horses can fit. This is a decent spot.
Drawing the rail isn't the best place, but if this horse can get
out of the gate might be in trouble.
Yeah, dead, moved down from Emerald Downs, as you mentioned,
for her last work at Santa Anita.
Looked totally great doing it as well.
Race 3, they're at Santa Anita on Saturday is another maiden
special way going a mile. This one is for Phillies and
mares 3-4 and five again. So we're trying to fill out
these cards. We'll get 8 in here.
Barry. I'll go first in this one.
In race three, I did land on the 5 S trying to beat the favorite
with an 8 to 1. Wildcat Danzig here, son of
Danzig Candy. Of course, our daughter Kit
Danzig Candy keep doing that, but it's going to try routing
for the second time here. And I thought showed a lot.
Barry, if you go back and watch this race, tons of traffic for
this one. But also just once in a while we
we see horses just second time ever on the track, that kind of
thing and they're kind of looking around and kind of
figuring it out. I think this one under Drayton
Van Dyke, who gets them out again here figured it out about
halfway through the race got real close.
OK Rose is also in this race, this horse finishing just behind
him or her. Excuse me and winter snowing.
So interested to see if this second time routing can't get us
there. And I think we're probably going
to get every bit of eight to one on the five here in race three.
I know you love the three in this spot.
Absolutely. At at 15 to 1, I, I really
couldn't resist. I thought this horse just didn't
get a good run with it. Just like I I spoke about before
where the horse just kind of got out and and just ran around
there didn't really do much. Didn't look like there was any
intent other than to get a race into this horse.
This is more logical spot, especially kind of on the
stretch out. Mike Pipe does pretty good on
the stretch out. You know, limited starters, but
somewhere around 2728% and does well with second time starters.
Gets apprentice, aren'tes in the saddle getting a weight break.
All those things seem to help. At 15 to one, an English Channel
horse out of a Spikestown mayor. I got to give a shot of the
mile. Yeah, 15 to 1's, not the end of
the world for sure. On the certainly on the value, I
like the horse right next to it. And OK, Rose that I mentioned
finished right ahead of the horse that I'm going with on top
in Wildcat Danzig. But this one, unfortunately,
those eight starts but does have 6 times hitting the board here.
I love the move to Armando IU. So this is second in the form
cycle here and I thought Armando moved this horse forward last
time. Barry probably just needed the
time to ride just a little bit better and I think it's very,
very capable of doing it in this spot.
I know you have that horse in your third position.
What about Odie's memory lane? The four horse here?
Yeah, that horse has a potential to be lone speed here and and
could shake loose and they might not be able to catch.
This good point. If that that's very, very
possible. The only thing is the price.
I I I'm not really sure I can trust this horse going a mile at
at a short price, but definitely has the ability.
It's interesting too, because the connections on the morning
line favorite and hello Kid O Kid O, which is not a good way
to name a horse. Don't ever do that again.
The is this one did try the turf route a couple of times and has
been right there under Giovanni Franco.
Kent Desormo's going to get the ride here.
The mount for Labrado Borosio. That one just it's it.
I know I'm being hypocritical here, but at that kind of price
with Ken Desormo, I I would rather have Armando Ayuso on OK
Rose even at 7:00 to 2:00, you know, then a two to one on hello
kiddo, kiddo. And so I just I'm, I'm leaving
the six out of my handicapping here, Barry in this spot, but
it's not because I think the horse is totally incapable.
But we'll move on to race 4. Again, we're presented by
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Live in California as well. Race 4 that comes up next for us
and it is the first of the stakes races on this card.
It's called the Thor's Echo Barry.
But is there a moment when you think great California sprinter,
there's one who just retired a spectacular one in the chosen
from? At what point do we rename this
race after the chosen from since he only won it 308 years in a
row? I just, it's a question, I mean
it's at some point we got to ask the question, when do we name
this race after the chosen bra? Except that the Thor's Echo was
quite a great horse in his in his own rights. 6 furlongs on
the dirt. They're 100,000 in the pool here
for three and up in this spot. Barry, I'll let you go first
with our first stakes race to the day.
You landed on the five in Geezer.
Is that a? Is that a like a name?
Play about yourself? Yes, very old, but.
Yes. You know, I, I thought this race
was interesting because Booksmart, you know, even on
paper, Booksmart kind of stands out, but I don't think
Booksmart's going to get the kind of trip that Booksmart
needs to win this race. I think there's some people
like, or some horses like Tapatio Leo and even inside
Private Gem that'll give this horse some some problems early
and I think that might weaken him enough for a horse like
Geezer to come through. This horse has a few races to go
back to on the surface that would definitely win this race
if the setup is right, and I think it is.
I've got Private Gem on top for the reason that you just said.
I think he's a little bit faster from the gate than is Book
Smart. Book Smart tends to break well,
but I do think you'll get a nice break from Private Gem, who will
be able to sit just next to him. This son of Looking at Lucky,
all he does is win. And I know he's switching back
to the dirt here, but that's something Mark Glatt does just
fine. And frankly, we see so often out
in California, Barry is is horses switching between the
turf and dirt horses especially they're at Santa Anita.
It's no knock at all against Booksmart who's been running an
open company. And I think neither of us would
be terribly surprised if he won this race.
In fact, I'm 223 on top in this spot.
It's just I think Private Gem is just a gamer.
Only four runs in his life, has won three of them.
One second place finish and that was in stakes company over 7
furlongs last year at Santa Anita in the Golden State
Juvenile. And frankly, that horse had no
business not winning that race. It just never quite got up to
pass Magic Spoon in the stretch should have been right there.
And so I think that's the kind of company we're looking at here
and I think Private Gem could be the best of that group.
After that I went outside to Final Storm, the seven horse who
I know is second and your handicapping.
So I'll let you go ahead and describe Final Storm here.
Yeah, I I think getting back to the dirt is, is what the doctor
ordered and to this level that last time, he's just way
overmatched. Yaakovlev really ran a great
race that day in our Bucky Charm.
Those are those are really nice horses that were in that event
probably better than what's in this one, even though it was on
the turf. But I think this this horse is a
better horse on the dirt, should get a decent trip here.
It's just a matter of how far he's going to be back.
And then that's why I put him second.
I'm not really too sure how far back this horse is going to be.
And I kind of took two closers to to round out my picks here
with the six as well. I like to move to Antonio Freisu
here too for Final Storm. I think that his his riding
style won't allow this won't allow this horse to just sit off
of it as far back as he has been in some races.
Like you said, if you go back to that race on April 20th when he
was facing optional claiming California Bread Company in that
one, not only was he back 5 1/2 legs, which he cannot do, I
don't think in this company if he does that, we're talking
about the two or the three running away with this thing in
my opinion, Barry. But if he's closer than that, if
Antonio Fraser can keep him, let's say 3 to 4 lengths off, I
think he's got a legitimate shot certainly to hit the board.
That son of blame Race 5 will round out of course, the early
pick five. It's maiden 12/5 and Barry, like
we had last week. There was an $8000 claim on the
card last week. I aye, aye, and I did that and
then I was totally right about the winner.
So it started that that that it started that cold pick three
that I hit in the middle of the card.
And so we're going to try to not throw our hands up at these
races too much, except I'm going to do it because it worked last
week. This is a mile on the dirt
course there. It's for Cal breads 15,000 in
the pool here. And I want to be clear, I I know
we joke. Barry and I are so glad that
these races are on the card because they do spice these
things up like crazy. It's OK if it's a tough puzzle
to figure out, right? It's OK if it's a tough nut to
crack. And that's what these races are.
Barry. Race 5 Where'd you land I?
Landed on the kind of a long shot here with the four naval
Harbor. I.
I think the source basically ran better positionally, not so much
speed figure wise, but positionally ran a much better
race. And it seems like the source is
putting it together 12 to one in a race like this that looks
completely wide open. Anybody could do anything.
I'm I'm willing to take a shot here on that horse.
You and I have the same 12 to one shot on top.
This one, when it dropped into company last time did start
well, it faded a little bit toward the end of the race over
the six furlongs there. They're not going to force this
one out to try to be the fastest in this group this time, Barry.
And we saw, I think this horse, a son of Gig Harbor in this
case, can get the kind of trip where he's sitting a little bit
closer to the front rather than trying to be on the front.
And instead of breaking like a bat out of hell, if you get this
thing to slow down just even a little bit, he drops 4 lbs.
She. Yeah, he drops 4 lbs Here.
Excuse me. I this is 1, I agree with you, I
think has a real shot to get a lot better here.
The five next to him toppers wager is 8 to 1.
Kazushi Kaburra gets them out again for this one.
I thought showed some progress moving forward last time out.
Did get 3rd through DQ from fourth position.
Obviously a problem there before that had been running up the
track doing nothing. I wonder if the light bulb
didn't go on a little bit. 4 toppers wager last time out, and
so I'm going to use that horse in the second position here and
then Mary, I know you just one spot out of there.
Jenny's tis you're going to take a shot within your second spot.
Yeah, I mean, it seems like a logical drop down.
I I know this source is coming out of $50,000 maiden claimer
the one on April 6th. This source was behind just a
runaway winner and this horse ran pretty good behind that one.
I think the drop makes a lot of sense.
I wouldn't go crazy on this horse, especially at a shorter
price because this this seems like a really wide open affair.
Tim McKenna does hit at 19% in maiden claimers.
The favorite silver and black is trained by.
It comes out of Hespern, I should say, and he's only hit
one of his last 60 and maiden claimers and so this might be a
spot where you try to beat the favorite despite all the
experience for silver and black, the seven here under Kent de
Zormo in this spot. But that will round out the
early pick five there at San Anita tomorrow.
We'll get into more stakes races as we move along.
The Franz Valentine starts the all turf pick three race 6.
We love that bet $3 minimum and only a 15% take out mile on the
turf here. This is for Phillies and Mares 3
and up in this spot here, Barry. I'll go first in Race 6.
I landed on the three. This is the favorite here.
Prancing through Paris, a daughter of Sir Prancelot was
really good in the Irish O'Brien coming down the hill, but before
that did win going over the mile.
This is just a winner, Barry. She's won five of her 13
lifetime starts, has started all over Southern California,
whether it be on dirt or on turf.
The good news is this is on turf.
The good news is I get Armando Ayuso.
The good news is I get Peter Urton.
The two of them have won four. Four of their last nine races
together. This horse 4 for seven lifetime
on the turf. Not saying single here, Barry,
but boy, this one feels like a big favorite in this spot to me,
not to you. You landed on the five.
Yeah, I mean, we definitely have opposing views on the three
prancing through Paris. I I thought that win on February
22nd was a bit soft. They went 2348 and you know, a
horse like sneaker was doing, you know, 2246 and holding on on
the lead. You know, that's quite a big
difference in in my estimation and I would give the nod to a
horse like Sneaker before prancing through Paris.
But the horse I used on top is the five Blevis Tiger.
I think this horse is actually a little bit better than than what
the past performances might suggest, especially going a
mile. I can forgive that race on
September 2nd, Horse really didn't get into it and just kind
of ran around there, then got laid off for a long time.
Comes back April 4th. Runs a runs a bang up race down
the hill, backs it up with a nice one on the flat. 6 furlongs
and I think stretching out seems the most logical, expected thing
and I think this horse will thrive doing it in a race that's
kind of up for grabs. I, I, I don't know where this
horse would really want to sit. Hopefully about second, you
know, kind of stalking outside of the two speeds would be
perfect. Even if this horse gets shuffled
inside, that might not be the the worst thing in the world,
But I, I still think this horse has a lot of potential.
Has ran 2 improved races off the bench since last year and I
think that improvement continues.
Yeah, but Levy's Tiger will break from the five you
mentioned. Sneaker, you and I both have
this horse second in our handicapping, and it's probably
for the reason that you mentioned was in the Irish
O'Brien and did a bunch of the work there down the hill, but
came back in that royal heroine that I am praising other horses
for it. So if Sneaker could hold her own
in that 1 / a mile, certainly she could drop into Calibran
ranks and do the same. For the purposes of the pick 3
here, Barry, I would use the 1 and I would use the three and I
would move on from this leg. I know you would definitely use
the five in this spot, but you also have the six in your
handicapping here. Not a huge number, but nine to
two in A7 Horse Field. Not the end of the world either.
In Shocking Gray, we do get Juan Hernandez in the spot here.
Yeah, I mean this horse is a mile race, is involved in an
open company getting the state res where this horse fits a lot
better might make all the difference in in this
performance and find a little bit under the radar.
And I think that might make all the difference.
We get 6-7 to 1 on this horse. You might want to take a second
look at her. There you go.
That will be the first of the late of the, excuse me, of the
of the late stakes on the race. Again, that was the Franz
Valentine in a race 8IN race 7 we move back to the dirt and
this is essentially the Oaks race for California on the dirt.
This is the Muller. It is for Golden State eligible
3 year old Phillies and we see some names in here that we get
kind of used to. It's $125,000 by the way.
We're going a mile and a 16th, so same distance as the Santa
Anita Oaks itself. It's an interesting one because
we we know the, you know, once we get to these dirt races
especially, I feel like I know the the sires a lot better.
The Mendelson's of the world and the Stay Thirsty's and the Ohms
and the Bodhi expresses what have you.
Interesting field Barry, because I in this one stood out to me as
I have two in here that are super interesting to me.
You're going to try a long shot that you're going to have to
try. Talk me into in the air tonight
is the 2 horse here I mentioned. Stay thirsty.
This is Tiago Prayer. This is Steve Knapp.
What do you like about the two in this spot?
Well, this horse is kind of state bred, state tested.
I think that race on December 8th, the Soviet problem at at
Los Al. It was a really good race, at
least for, you know, in comparison to everybody else's.
A, it was A, it was a state bread steak that this is and B,
it was at a mile where a lot of these horses haven't really gone
a mile. And I think this this pace might
heat up. This horse proved that you could
pass some horses or she could pass some horses.
I think getting back to this mile trip makes all the
difference. You can put a line through that
turf race and then the six 6 1/2 races is really not this horse's
bag. I think this mile on the 16th
trip is, is just what the doctor ordered.
A little bit of improvement. Good trip.
We're in the winner's circle. She does have a win at Santa
Anita, breaking her maiden back in May of 2024.
I landed on top. I'm going to be super boring in
this race. Almond Joy, which I like is a
name, comes out of a 6 1/2 furlong Sprint win in the
evening. Jewel under Kent de Zorma, who
keeps them out here for Aggie Ordonez and before that broke
her maiden. I love this Barry because I I
love the angle of betting a horse coming out of a maiden
win, especially if you get to watch that the light go on for
that. You know that runner at that
point. This is a three-year old Philly
who took a full 8 attempts to break her maiden, but that was
essentially because they got her off the turf and now she's back
to the dirt. She goes 6 1/2 last time we're
going to stretch from there. I I think this one makes sense.
This is the munnings line. This is the hard spun line on
the damn side. I think this is a horse in the
case of Almond Joy that can make can get the two turns and I
think she can be a real problem in this one as well.
And then I went outside a Mizo fancy and this is one that tried
a mile in an eighth on the turf last night has never been on the
dirt, but this is a daughter of Karakanti.
We get souvenir copy on the damn side, which is really
interesting to me. Actually better wrist believe is
on unbelievable fire out there. This horse has never been worse
than second in six lifetime starts to win for for second
places. Tried that honeymoon last night,
last time at a mile and an eighth, and yes, I know it's on
the turf. But if you look at her three
races going two turns, mile, mile, mile and an eighth, she
finished second by less than a length and by less than 1/2 a
length. Neck, neck and nose in those
races. I'm going to trust that the dirt
to turf, turf to dirt. Excuse me for Leiter Powell, who
wins 1/5 of his race is doing that is the right spot for her
here. So I'll use meso fancy as well
in my handicapping. I know you like meso fancy as
well. Yeah, yeah, definitely same
reasons. I'm I'm not so enthusiastic
about the mile and 8th to a mile cutback, but I think the the.
Yeah, those Karakatis don't hate that sense, do they?
Yeah, right. They they like to go long, but I
I think the dirt is the equalizer here and just the fact
that this horse has been really running longer and has a little
bit more bottom goes a long way. Yeah, I agree with you.
I think that she's got a really, really serious spot here.
We both left out Sunset Grayson, who will break from the five, my
guy. Armando, IU.
So I don't want to necessarily lump you in with that, but
Blaine Wright trains here. Is there something that we
should be seeing about this horse or we all seen the over
three or the over 4 this year? I think the over 4 and the fact
that this horse probably isn't going to get the greatest of
trips because everybody's going to be trying to do what this
horse wants to do it. It's going to be tough sledding,
especially at a, at a short price.
I I couldn't do it here. I'm rooting for Cesar De Alba in
this spot by the way. Only 14 starters the entire year
to this point with one winner. This is a horse in Fibonacci's
ride. The six who has who has won on
debut at Los Allen September last year came back in May at
the beginning of the year was almost almost there against
winners for the first time comes back is going to try two turns.
But this is a daughter of clubhouse ride.
I I wonder with Fibonacci's ride if we can't get something there.
And this is the kind of day Barry where a guy no, but
seriously, this is the kind of day where a guy likes to say
sorry, de Alba. This is where he gets to win a
stakes race, right is where he's you know, he's got the kind of
you know, he's based in Socal. This is what he does.
So that's the one I'm rooting for at least in this spot, even
though I left it out of my handicapping Race 8.
We get back to the grass here, the Crystal Water $100,000 race
here a mile on the turf and this is for three and up.
Open company in this one as long as you are a cow bred.
We see Coalinga Rd. in here night, Kings River night as
well. Clouseau's in here and one of my
favorites from up there at Golden Gate Fields.
Freeport Show will round out the field on the outside.
God bless him. Still running these days doing
the damn thing. You and I both landed on the
four in here. Barry.
Sometimes classical in class. Yeah, I I think that's what we
have here. Not to mention this horse did
the same pattern two years ago, coming into this race with a
nice 6 furlong on the turf, then into the crystal waters and bang
wins by two into the winner's circle.
Cash it. I don't see too many horses that
can hang with this one in this race.
Might lay over this field, but the four might definitely be the
goods. Yeah, I think the fours, the
goods here and and frankly, you know, I, I mentioned that this
is the second leg of that turf pick three that I mentioned it
is the start of the late pick three, that $3 late pick three
at Santa Anita every day. And I with this one, Barry,
because I, I think this is a single in the middle of that
sequence for me, I'm probably going to move my $3 minimum up
to more like a $5 kind of pick 5 or pick three in this place.
Because if I'm going to get value out of a horse like that,
that's probably what I'm going to have to do.
And so I'm with you, Kings River Knight comes in out of that, the
sensational. And I just, I think, you know,
she showed she was ready. It was or he was ready.
Oh my gosh, I'm mixing up my food.
Colt races all over the place, but he was ready downhill, just
didn't have it at the end of the race.
Second off the layoff here, go and Sprint around, which John
Sadler does really, really well. This is a horse that's had large
layoffs between and he's waited for to be ready to go.
Reminds me a lot, frankly. You know Sadler, of course, the
trainer of Flight Line, just waiting for the horse to be
ready in those spots. I think he knows what to do with
Kings River Knight in this spot. But you have the three in the
second spot, as do I in takes three.
What do we like about Takes 3? Runs really well at a mile at
this class level or at least in state bred company and that last
race on April 5th was a lot better than it looks on paper.
You know was behind beef Winslow packs a wallop and Jules Leili
and actually packs a wallop is running on Monday in a steak in
one of those graded steaks they have on Monday.
But this horse has been holding his own and I think, you know,
this is a field that this horse can really.
Yeah, I'm with you. I have Clouseau in the third
spot here. The sixth horse, one last out at
the distance in an optional claimer against Cal Breds as
well. Before that was in the Hiragi
barn, has moved into the Papa Prodromo barn.
I hate that because his stakes record isn't very good, but I'm
trying to look at this race as more of a high level allowance
or something like that because it is restricted to Cal Breds
Berry. And so maybe Clouseau can get
there, you know, a son of Distorted and Humor get there
for a piece at least. But man, he's he's just so often
very, very comfortable not winning races.
But frankly, before this at Pleasanton was winning races.
Wanted Santa Anita over the dirt.
Interesting trying the turf here, but frankly was good
enough last out that it makes sense to give this kind of
company in this kind of purse a run as well.
What do we say about my boy Freeport Joe, though?
8 years old, still running. He's still out there.
You see the training numbers, He's still doing the darn thing.
Say to something nice about free porn, Joe.
Yeah, if he's still healthy and happy and and wants to run, it
looks like he's out there. He's still cashing checks.
Yes, for sure, that's exactly right.
So hopefully Freeport Joe gets a piece of that.
Asayel Espinosa wrote him at Golden Gate Fields in an
allowance in January of 2024, so God bless him.
Still making all those connections.
Late double will start in race 9.
If you are new to the program, it is a $5 minimum on the late
double, only a 15% take out. We love those higher minimum and
lower take out bets for sure. It is race 9.
This is an optional claimer, a little break from the stakes
company, but we do get a nice field of nine in this this one,
it's a six furlong Sprint on the dirt here for Phillies and mares
3 and 3 and up, blah, blah, blah, blah.
As far as the condition book here, Barry, you and I both have
the seven in our top two. You have that 7 on top in Lady
Gregory. What do we like about the seven
to five Haggerty? Just just a stand out I, I, I
don't think this horse can be faded in this spot.
There's really not much in here to compete with this source
really has to to stub his toe or her toe in in order to to not
win this one. She doesn't have the the
greatest of finishes, but she's right around it every time.
You know she's second by I know it was third by 1/4 a length and
a quarter, but I I I think she's just head and shoulders are
better than these horses. Unfortunately it comes in this
race rather than one earlier, but we'll take it.
Yeah, no, Lady Gregory 2 for five this year with two seconds.
On top of that, the only time finishing fourth was on the turf
spreading. We get back to the dirt here
where she is 4 for 10 lifetime, 8 times hitting the board in 10
runs, three for 12 at the distance lifetime as well.
I'm going to be a little creative here and try to use the
three to one on the morning line.
Sharp ride, the one breaking for team Dean Peterson on the
inside. Tiago Pereira gets them out
here. This is one that we saw two back
on the dirt win at 6 1/2 furlongs by a billion lengths
and before that at six furlongs at the claiming level.
So this horse is sort of slowly moving up.
It's almost, almost ready for the claiming crown later in the
year. Barry, if you will, is sharp
ride. But yeah, if we draw a line
through that, that Turf Run, this horse won its last two at
this kind of level. And so I'll be looking for Sharp
Ride. Who's in for the tag.
By the way, this daughter of Clubhouse Ride, in Sharp Ride,
you landed on the 6th in the second spot, one that I don't
have in my handicapping. Billy Anti Georgie will be
riding Thirsty Trickster. What do we know?
What do we need to know about this Thirsty Trickster?
You know, I, I kind of had the notion that this horse might
shake loose and, and carry him a long way.
I know there's other speed in here, but I don't really know if
anyone wants to really go to lead other than this horse.
And if this horse kind of shakes loose, it could be dangerous.
I I mean, these aren't the greatest of horses that we've
seen on this card. And, you know, loose leaders
tend to to win races a lot more than they should.
But I I think that one might stick around a long time.
Yeah, I'm going to go 1 and A7 in this spot.
I do think the three is interesting for a piece here in
No Cap, as the kids would say, Brian Korner, Kazushi Kimura
here, the two of them, not a great record together, but
frankly a very small sample size.
This is one that most recently ran up the track in 5th place,
but before that, back-to-back second place finishes at the
distance of 6 furlongs. Interested to see this one.
Try to get back into it, Barry. Maybe Kazushi can get this one
through the line moving forward, but boy, she is just totally,
totally comfortable running in the second spot here.
As far as picking up a piece of this, you like the eight.
There's a silver lining as well, OOP.
Unmute yourself there bud. Steve Knapp does really good
work off the claim and I think being for the place is probably
where the place to be is. The source was running in good
races back east, namely at Oaklawn, Churchill, Saratoga,
etcetera and even at Aqueduct. But something obviously went
amiss because the horse shows up in a $16,000 claimer at
Keeneland, gets claimed, and then ends up out West in a cow
bred stake. Or you know, a cow bred race.
I just have the notion that this horse might be just better than
most of these horses but won't win on Saturday.
Got it. Yeah.
OK, that makes sense. Clubhouse Bride on the outside.
Another interesting one. Drain Van Dyke keeps the mount
there. Was recently riding for Eric
Crew Yak. His son Ian will get this mount
and that one. The Snow chief will close out
the card. It will be race 10 on the card
there at Santa Anita. It is a mile and an eighth.
This is the Derby on the turf for Calbreds 3 year olds, in
this case, $125,000 on the line and bury this one.
You were on with me on Rebo and Co here at ESPN Louisville this
morning. And this was one where I
couldn't quite figure out the morning line be.
But to be fair to the morning line maker, so many of the
horses trying them, Alan and 8th here have been sprinters to this
point. So it's not as though you know
you got you got to make them line for whatever horses get
carted in front of you would be my way to put that to its side.
But boy, there's some in the spot period that I just I simply
don't understand how like like style cat, for example, who
we've seen go two turns once on the dirt.
I I guess we're going with the Cal Cup Derby there as as our
our point of of of emphasis, whatever it might be.
But it it's interesting to me that that horse is the favorite.
I landed in a different spot. Where did you land in the closer
in the snow chief, by the way, leg 3 of that that that altar
pick 3. Yeah, I landed on the seven.
Got soul. I think this horse has some
versatility to to them and at least on paper, it seems like
this pace might heat up with all these sprinters going longer.
Not not wildly fast, but I think a lot of these horses are going
to be quitting late and God's soul seems to be able to, you
know, have the ability to pick up the pieces and pass horses 8
to 1 seems really good price on a horse that's won two in a row
coming into this race and seems like he's ready.
He's ready to to make that step up and that's what I want to
see. He's training well coming into
this and I'm all for it. I I like this horse quite a bit.
Armando Aiuso was aboard the one Western Freedom last out, won
the race, was aboard Santa Barbarian, who won his race last
out. He chose to ride God's Soul in
this spot. So literally of the eight horses
in this field, Barry, three of them were ridden to victory by
Armando Ayuso last out and he chose God soul in this spot.
You and I landed on the same horse.
We watched him now twice in a row go the two turns on the
turf. And by the way, you mentioned
the versatility, it cannot be overstated.
Breaks his maiden getting to the front, staying in front last
out, sits just off the pace and blows by horses in the stretch.
I think that's what we're going to see on Saturday.
I think this horse is going to be sitting third fourth behind
all the sprinters that you mentioned that I mentioned open
this this race and get that best best turn of foot very late in
the race. I look for him to not just win
this race. I look for him to be very much
the best in this one, but there are other ones in here that are
interesting. I'll go next with bro bro the
five who better wristably gets them out here and this one comes
out of an optional claiming win. They tried the echo Eddie didn't
work out sprinting frankly nowhere to be found that day,
but before that did win a maiden over the Sprint.
I think that the keeping Alberto here going two turns again, this
horse has a serious, serious shot for Doug O'Neill to get the
job done as well. I know you have that horse third
in your handicapping. In between them you've got Cali
Cat. Yeah, Cali Cat's another one
that has a little bit of versatility to her, you know,
came off the pace and one on the lead.
But it's it's hard to tell when these horses stretch out.
She does have a win in a mile, which is encouraging.
The last workout is pretty decent and the stretch out
numbers for Sadler are very, very good.
So I expect this horse to to give his best give her best
shot. You know, American Pharaoh out
of a more than ready Damn. Seems like this horse should be
able to run all day on the turf. What do you How many would you
use in this race? In your turf?
Pick 3. I would single the seven to be
honest with you. OK, you play the Seven by
itself. I'm interested because I think
that five's got a really, really serious shot here.
And I wonder with Style Cat if I'm missing something, because
the horse did perform well in that Cal Cup Derby.
It was on dirt. But if I'm going to give other
horses a shot in other races going turf to dirt, then why
would I not give a horse a shot here going dirt to turf?
I'm with you. I think the seven is the
absolute class for Andy Mathis, for Amano Ayuso here.
But since I'm going to be singling in the second leg,
maybe I'll have to play one where I have the four single,
the seven single. But the end kind of go real
tight on it. Maybe play that for 10 bucks,
$20 total ticket, something like that.
But that would be my turf pick 3 for the weekend as well.
Hey, is there anybody, is there another race around the country
that you're looking forward to this weekend?
Stakes at Monmouth, obviously I'm going to be doing a preview.
I don't know what you're doing, but I'm going to be doing a
preview for Monday at Santa Anita for Memorial Day for their
big card. You're welcome to join me for
sure, Barry, but actually you already did one around the
country, DRF. That's even better.
There you go. Where?
Can people find that? It's, it's actually on X and on
their YouTube page, but not really I I think actually
California's might be the focus of, of a lot of my action this
weekend. I.
I, I like Saturday's card, I like Monday's card.
So yeah, that, you know, there's a lot of good, good races around
the country, so definitely keep your eyes open for those prices.
I talked with Matt Dennerman on the Horse Racing Happy Hour
yesterday. We talked Preakness Oaklawn got
into a little bit of Monmouth with him as well.
So if you want to hear what's going on with Matt Dennerman,
you're certainly welcome to check out that episode.
You can always find my segments 10/20 on Friday here at ESPN
Louisville. Stream that anywhere in the
world. It's always horse racing.
I even hear from guys like Barry Spears.
How about that incompetent people like like Brian Nadeau,
who really knows the stuff? Don't just he's got such a nice
vape, but it really bothers me. Barry Soul Patch and fade.
He's not. You know, he's very confident
about showing that off, too. So he's, he's Tyler likes to rub
it in everybody's face. He got Saffy with the chest hair
and the man bun and like it just, I don't know what's going
on at Gulfstream, but it's Rod Nicoletti's got great hair.
It bothers me, Barry. It bothers me.
I mean, it's in the water, you know, we got it like that down
here. Man, it must be.
Well, he's Barry Spears. I'm Louie Rambo.
This has been another edition of Socal Saturdays.
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today for Barry Spears. My name is Louie Rebeau.
We will catch you next week on Socal Saturdays.
Good luck this weekend. Hopefully you got some time off.
You're going to be able to enjoy the weather or wherever it is
that you're hanging out again for Barry.
I'm Louie. See you next week.
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