Louie & Barry are back w/ another rendition of SoCal Saturdays. The Grade 1 Hirsch is the feature.
All of these episodes are presented by AMWAGER. Check out www.amwager.com for a 100% deposit match up to $150!
Louie & Barry are back w/ another rendition of SoCal Saturdays. The Grade 1 Hirsch is the feature.
All of these episodes are presented by AMWAGER. Check out www.amwager.com for a 100% deposit match up to $150!
All. Right.
Tell your mom. Tell your dad it's time for
SoCal Saturdays. Lou your bow.
Barry Spears hanging out with you for the next however long it
takes us to get through 11 races here.
We go through the card every single week right here in this
spot. We'd love to have you as a
regular on this program. We're always presented by AM
Wager, AM wager.com, AM wager.com A 100% deposit match
awaits you up to $150.00 man. They deliver that speed, power,
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Barry, good, good afternoon to you.
You and I already talked Saratoga this morning on the
radio. So it is time to turn to the
other spot this week that has a Grade 1 and that is Del Mar.
The hearse will be an interesting one.
We'll talk about that in a race 10.
But this card overall, Barry, I thought there were some chances
to take some shots. Unmute yourself.
There we go. Absolutely, absolutely.
There's there's certainly a a ton of opportunities to take
shots. It's just a matter of where you
take them and if you're right or wrong.
Yeah, no, that's exactly right. We will have Barry's boring play
of the day later on in the card, but we will start with race one.
I'm doubting there's a boring play in here made special
weight. We have two year old Philly
sprinting on the grass here. We're going 5 furloughs for
$80,000. They're at Del Mar.
Barry, my sense. No boring pick from you in this
one. No, no, definitely not.
We're going. We're going deep here.
We're throwing one downfield. I picked the number 8 Salty Sis
on top for Jeff Mullins who does good work first time with first
time starters. This horse I don't think is any
exception. I like the five furlong works
that this horse has. Back in June they were pretty
good in comparison to the rest. There's some precociousness in
the pedigree, so I'll take that at 12 to one I I really couldn't
resist. I have to take a shot first out
the box. This is an interesting field
just because you know, 2 year olds, you know, like at Saratoga
Ellis Park right now in the New York and and Kentucky circuits,
Del Mar, you know, early 2 year old races.
This isn't, you know, Keeneland in the spring for sure, but it
is early, early on with this. So if you wanted to take shots,
these are the exact kinds of races.
I mean, if you look at the 9 Copper Luna on the outside, you
don't have to love this horse or the pedigree or whatever, but
this is $100,000, you know, daughter, practical joke bullet
out of the gate the other day. Serafine Corbona already has a
couple of wins at Del Mar this spring and all he's got to do is
get this one out of the gate and run.
And if that horse wins here, Barry, I'm not surprised, right?
And I think it's that kind of field for sure.
I did land on the three in this one in South Bay.
A first timer for Tim Yaktine, Ricardo Gonzalez going to get
them out here. This one's been working and
expressly from the gate. The last couple of works very,
very well from the gate as well in the ahead of this one.
Excuse me, I mean that is four straight gate works by this one,
including a 34 and three out of the gate.
First time working in that kind of conditions.
I get Hector Berrios here too, who I love in a Sprint and so
I'll take the three on top here that 4 to 1 price good enough
for me at least in this field as well.
You laid out of the sixth in the second spot leading rider.
He's actually one behind now, but Antonio Phrase who gets them
out here with radium view. Yeah, Radium View is one of the
few in here that kind of has a a pedigree that should be able to
take to the dirt a little bit. I I found there was, there was a
quite a bit of turf horses or what appeared to be turf forces
in here, but we'll see. I I thought this horse,
Meredith, you know, kind of rated a a better chance than
most because of the fact that this horse has a few workouts on
the synthetic at Santa Anita. That'll help on the turf, I
think. But you know, like I said, this
is a really tough race to start out the whole card because it's
it's really a crapshoot. I mean if you see something you
like I would suggest you play it no matter what the price is.
I'm going to try a different 1 and that's the one jewels here
and I've got 2 reasons second time start, but this is one that
just ran the other day. Ran forth up the track a little
bit in A5 furlonger there at Del Mar, but it was on the dirt.
We're switching surfaces here with Peter Miller.
I never think of it as an accident when when trainers run
their horses back on this short of Raspberry, I to me, it means
they're ready. They're ready for this
condition, whatever it is. And so Jules at 8 to 1 is
really, really interesting to me on the inside there.
A couple of really nice works from the gate at San Luis Ray
before last time, I don't think did a single thing in that
maiden 150 to discourage me from betting on that horse in this
kind of company. So I man, I landed a three one
in this one. I've also got the seven in my
handicapping. Here you are.
You and I are very different on this race, but Hypergamy is the
seven here. Juan Hernandez picks up the
mount for Doug O'Neill. This is essentially just based
on O'Neill's 19% with two year old, 17% with first timers.
That's essentially what this is. And of course, nothing wrong
with getting Juan Hernandez on the mount in Southern
California. You also have the four in your
handicapping here. First timer in Miss Donna.
Yeah, nothing really special about Miss Donna other than the
fact that I like the sire Rushy, who was a nice one turn animal,
did a lot of running at Churchill on the dirt.
Why not? I mean Michael McCarthy is OK.
I mean he can get a horse to win first out.
He doesn't really try to I, I don't think, but you know, you
know, you don't know what you're getting here by anybody.
So it wouldn't surprise me if Miss Donna runs well or doesn't.
So this is going to be a really interesting race to start the
card. No doubt about it.
I went 317, Barry went 864. To give you an idea of how wide
open this one feels to open the card that's did start the early
pick 5. Early pick four starts here and
the place pick all for the day starts here as well.
If you've not tried that bet before, it is the last 10 races
on this card for a dollar. All you got to do is pick the
horses that finish in the top 2. Good luck with that.
Second race is a six for a long Sprint on the dirt there.
It's a maiden 4434 thousand dollar purse here with three and
up on the dirt track here Bear. I'll go first in this one.
I've only got two horses in my handicapping for this one.
One is the number 5CF in the spot in the spot.
Excuse me, Abu Loscano for Mark Glad.
This is what trying to get back on the dirt here has been off
since May. I like the little bit of time
off here. That's a 24% angle for trader
Mark Glad And look, maiden claimers, he lives in this
territory. This is what he does 90% winners
his last 62 out and he wins at 21% in Sprint.
So I just I think this is 1 where and I haven't mentioned
his 24% on dirt. So I mean, this is just a spot I
think makes a lot of sense. They've given this horse a
little bit of time off since he got gelded right after that last
race in March. So I think this is a spot where
he'll be working or excuse me, running really, really well.
And then Veracruz on the inside. Second time starter was on the
turf before for John Sadler, but he's totally fine making that
switch at 17% hits and maiden claimers at 20% as well.
And Hector Barry is like I said, I'll take him and sprints all
day long. And so give me 5 one in the spot
here. Barry, I know you, you laid out
some different horses again here.
You and I are either going to be real good or real bad.
Had this early double. Yeah, I ended up on #3
beneficial. This horse hadn't been out or
hasn't been out since December 16th, 2023.
It's a long time, but when last seen, was running with good
company in the maiden special weight ranks.
Lost to Scatify on December 16th and lost to Wind Me Up.
Was a decent horse on September 2nd, 2023.
Been off for a couple years. This field isn't the greatest
I've ever seen at 40,000. The slight drop makes a lot of
sense to get in a spot here as a four year old.
I think beneficial has some speed that doesn't look to be a
whole ton of speed on paper. I think Mike Dillon might try to
get out there and maybe even the outside horse kid dynasty.
But other than that I I think beneficial might be the speed of
the speed and take this field wire to wire.
It's an interesting one. And he's in for 40.
He's in for the tag here, Barry. But my sense is they're assuming
no one's going to take a shot at this horse, right?
So he's essentially protected here.
He could still start from 40 if he wins.
He said all of a sudden, you know, he's he's eligible for all
the allowances at this level as well, right?
So I mean, this is this is a spot that makes a lot of sense
for the three horse and beneficial here.
You OK? This is where this is where I
hope I hope people appreciate this show and the fact that we
showcase Barry Spears the way that we do on this show.
Barry has smiling tizzy second in his handicapping here and I'm
we're all going to sit back and listen to the mind of Spears.
You know what I need? I need mind of Spears.
I need to make that banner as well.
Mind of Spears is something everyone needs to try to
understand because there is no understanding this think us
inside the mind of spirits here in race 2.
I I think the the slight makeover package might do this
horse a little bit of good I. He really?
Wasn't he wasn't really showing all that he he was running OK at
a higher level, you know, even when he dropped into maiden
claiming. I mean, 80,000 really isn't a
maiden claiming ran good going a mile twice even on the drop,
which is a little concerning, but it seems like this might be
the best level and then getting to the dirt might be another
angle to wake up. Again, not much in this race.
I'm not too enthusiastic about a horse like Veracruz at all.
And then everybody else is kind of mediocre.
So this two horse smiling tizzy could wake up and kind of make
an appearance and I think it's very, very likely in a spot like
this. That was our weekly dive inside
the mind of Spears getting. Dark in there sometimes.
I believe you. I believe it gets very dark in
there, in fact. So thank you for taking us
inside of Mind of Spears. We move on to race 3 on the card
here, an optional claimer. Go to mile at 3/8.
What is this, the United Nations?
Is Matt Dinnerman flying in to call this thing?
You know, actually he should, he's from San Diego.
They should make that happen. This is an allowance optional
claimer. 100K is the claim price and $82,000 is the purse here.
I will let you take a shot at this one.
But a couple horses in here, Barry, I'm sure people will know
if they follow West Coast, especially turf racing.
Dicey Mochara and in the seven packs of Wallop, both coming out
of major stakes company to run in this one.
I thought kind of a cool field for this race.
Bear. OH.
Yeah, this is a, this is a nice field of good runners going a
distance that you know, is it's kind of up for grabs.
We don't see a lot of these races, but we see enough of them
where we can get a good gauge at who wants to go this distance,
who doesn't. This race in particular, that
doesn't seem to be a lot of speed.
So I kind of gravitated to the three horses that I thought
would kind of be forwardly placed on top.
I used the five Mondego, who I think is the speed of the speed
should get the run of the race, getting to the lead, control the
pace and win. This one I I really don't see
how Paxil Wallop, who is probably going to be close,
doesn't really want the lead and that might hurt this horse
rather than help, especially if they go slow enough where
Mondigo can kind of keep skipping along.
And and it's very possible this horse was running good races in
2023, namely the Belmont Derby, a grade one race.
Finished third in that one behind Farbridge, who's would be
1 to whatever in this spot. So came back off the bench from
a a layoff since October 19th, 2024.
Didn't run all that poorly, was kind of caught wide, gets better
post relief, the whole 9. I like Mondego in this spot.
Obviously all. Right, the five horse Mondego in
here. Big play for Barry.
That was another episode of Mind of Spears.
Appreciate that as well. A little bonus you.
Know bonus Mind of Spears DVD extra.
Agree with you. I'm about a longer shot here
too. I think British Isles is really
interesting in the spot. One in a mile and 1/2 at
Keeneland, 2 back before that tried the mile and this isn't
every other type. Mile and an eighth at Santa
Anita 4 back on the 1st of March.
Ran a really good 2nd 2 back. Ran a mile and 1/2 at Keeneland
and ended up winning that one. Hoping Jayden Van Dyke's got his
timing ready for this one because this is going to be a
tough race because of what you talked about.
But this is a horse that in all of his races wants to be just
off the pace. So frankly, for a, you know, for
a field and for a group like this in a mile and 3/8, I think
he's set up really, really well to perform well in this spot as
well. I really do wonder in this case
if the three in here in phosphorescence has a shot here,
Barry. And this is going to be the
longest this horse has ever run. He's 4 for 15 lifetime on the
turf Last time tried the American at a mile.
And I just think for this horse, there's no chance that a mile is
long enough. Last two wins have been at a
mile and an eighth and a mile and a 16th.
We're adding another bit of distance to that.
But if you go through this horse's background, it it just
wants to plot a log as far as you'll let it.
And so I do think this son, this Gelden son, 5 year old of City
of Light, serious, serious shots.
So look, Barry, if I'm right here, it comes in, you know, 6-3
that exact is going to pay something pretty, pretty
significant. But I I'm with you that, you
know, I included the seven in my handicapping here and and Paxil
Wallop. I know you have that horse
second in yours. I think of the two major
contenders here dropping out of stakes company that that's the
one that I would lean on more. I see MO Char.
I'm just not sure that horse wants to win anymore.
And and I I hate to say that because he's a good runner and
he's been doing it for years and seven years old and 32 races,
but only four wins in those doesn't have a win the last
couple of years. I wonder if the time isn't up on
him. Yeah.
I I I've seen enough of Dicey Mochar unfortunately, and I'm
almost getting there with Pax and Wallop The the horse just
doesn't want to win all the time.
I'm. With him.
I I think they're real vulnerable in this spot, both of
them. So I, I can understand what
you're doing here and into the mind of Louis getting in those
long shots. But I thought Lamas had a good
shot too. The OK.
On the outside? Yep.
Yeah, ran some good races last year and, and especially that
one race, the Delmar Mile was pretty good.
Probably won't get the credit that horse actually deserves for
that effort, right? Finally gets back to the turf
and running well. I think this is a good spot for
this horse, especially off the claim.
Yeah. It's a horse that won the
Bulldog at Fresno too. That's a mile and an eighth race
going three turns. So hey, you never know, you
know, if you maybe get back to going the three turns here and
get an extra distance will be good for lamas on the outside
there as well. Again, we're presented by
Amwager, Barry Spears, Lou Rebeau hanging out with you.
Another Socal Saturday, we're at Del Mar for this one.
The Grade 1 Clement Hirsch is our feature. amwager.com.
Go check them out, especially for new customers. 100% deposit
match right now up to $150.00. Let us help you get your
bankroll rolling ahead of Saturday at Del Mar Bet all
those tracks in Southern California with our friends at
Amwager live in California. Maiden 20 welcomes us in.
In Race 4, we're back to the dirt 5 and the furlongs here.
This is for Phillies and mares that are three and up, $30,000
on the line in this one. Barry, I'll go first in Race 4I
landed on what I think could be the single of the early part of
the sequence, and that is the Kazushi Kamura piloted perfect
smile comes in off of a very good finish in in maiden 20 at
Santa Anita. Third time in the in in in the
starting game for this daughter of Mottoli.
I have high, high hopes. You talked about oh gosh, who
did you talk about the first race that you liked as a Rushi
as a one turn specialist? That's really how I feel about
about Mottoli in in in general, but certainly in this case as
well. So I'm gonna lean on the three.
And I think Barry, if I had to give out a single to the early
pick 5, it might be her. Oh, really?
Yeah, who'd you land on here? Well, you know, I I actually
went the opposite way. I I used the six on top pocket
Venus, but I thought this this actually was a contender for
boring race of the day, but didn't get it.
But I thought the six pocket Venus might have some run here.
A lot of these horses have turf pedigrees running on dirt and I
think a lot of it has to do with the fact that they don't run
really turf races at this level at Delmar.
At Delmar, that's right. So you'll get these kind of
races, and honestly, the only ones with sort of dirt pedigrees
are the two that we landed on, Pocket Venus and Perfect Smile.
I think they're gonna run one too, maybe in opposite order
like you haven't, but they seem to stand out quite a bit here
and and I like that work out for Pocket Venus on July 19th, 59
handling from the gate. Longest, fastest gate work
closest to the race. You know how I love that angle
and Pocket Venus is it. Lucky Mia on the outside I think
has the fastest overall work coming into this race. 4
furlongs at 46 and change there on that track in Delmar worth
mentioning, but has been running in much lower competition than
that. You had a third horse in here.
Excuse me, In the four horse in Kiss Me Kato, I, I get it.
Or were you just trying to find a third horse in this case?
Or do you think Kiss Me Kato's got a serious route here?
Just trying to find a third horse, but you you see how that
horse is the third choice. So it it should have been the
boring race of the day, but it wasn't.
All right, OK, there you go. I love it.
All right, so Race 5 will close out those early sequences and it
will start a little pick three in the middle of the card here,
$25,000 claimer on the turf. We're going a mile, $31,000 up
for grabs. And this is for three-year olds
and up, not 2 lifers truly. In this case, Mighty Kai on the
inside is 7 to two guy named Joe in the six hole coming off of a
layoff. This is his second run in the
current form. Cycle will be 5 to 2.
Barry Ridgeland and Race 5. Yeah, this is a this was a tough
race for me because everybody kind of looks the same.
They're not all in great form. The ones that sort of are are
huge, long shots and the speed looks a little vulnerable here.
So with that being said, I landed on #9 ongoing Altai.
I think this horse has some races to go to on the dirt that
would actually fit here and then the turf races.
There's much to be desired, but still running at a higher level.
This level kind of fits. I I mean you can see this horse
ran at this level on the dirt back March and ran pretty good
32,000 non Warner's A2, then stepped up to 50,000 starter
allowance 50 and didn't do anything.
Drops back in and runs competitively at this non
Warner's A2 spot. I think this is where the horse
belongs. All right, you are going
Mongolian on the outside. I will go.
I think I have this one. Yeah, I'm going with one that
was claimed out of the Mongolian stables there from Edevesh
Gambat by George Papa Projomu. Easy for me to say, Hawker.
I'm going to take Hawker here. Getting back 2 the mile distance
here stays on the yeah, stays on the turf here.
Ran really well at six last out. I think just a little bit more
rating with this one and this one will be just fine going the
mile has won it a mile and been in the money on the dirt, but
not going that distance on the turf yet.
And so this is what I'm watching for.
I think Hawker offers just a little bit too much value for me
to pass up at 5:00 to 1:00. A son of Justify.
Hopefully he'll start to put it together a little bit better
than he has. As there in the past.
But then I went to the one on the inside and Mighty Kai might
be partly because there's a little kid in my neighborhood
that I think is really freaking funny and his name is Kai and I
call him King Kai. But that's a different
conversation or a different day. Another one that's trying the
turf here, but this is this is an angle for Víctor García.
That's not great. But I'm just looking for someone
who's going to be near the front of the pace.
And I think we're going to get that with Mighty Kai.
We've seen this horse before, for example, in a 32 claimer at
Santa Anita at the distance finish a good second by only a
length and 3/4. Just not a great field, Barry.
So I'm kind of I'm kind of fishing here 3-1 and six for me
on top. I know you went 93, so we agree
on that one at least. But you've also got bid on the
prize on your on your sheet here.
Yeah, I, I tried that horse, you know, at least the finished
third been running at better levels, you know, on and off.
And the last race wasn't that bad.
I, I mean, it's, it's hard to gauge because the horse goes
turf to dirt to synthetic at, at one point a couple years ago.
So the races that this horse has run haven't been bad.
They're actually very consistent.
I don't really believe this horse can win because I I think
dead closers have no shot in this race, but I don't really
think the the speed is going to do too well either.
That's pretty much why I didn't put Hawker on top.
I I thought they might. There's a potential there for a
little bit of a speed duel and the nine really kind of fits the
description as far as what kind of the best trip of any of these
horses are going to get. I put a guy named Joe in the
third spot, and it's largely just because he's run second and
three times at Del Mar. Otherwise, I it's just not this
one. This one might be the thing that
helps blow up the early pick five.
I mean, this might be the race race in this race, right?
I mean, they really do stand out as as go ahead and throw a dart.
Yeah. Oh yeah, we, we need, we need
some of those prices because I, I still like to believe that I,
I am the no chalk zone, but there.
You go. He lies to himself.
His name is Barry Spears. I'm Lou Rebeau.
This is So Cal Saturdays. We're here every Friday.
Preview of the card on Saturday, wherever it is in Southern
California. Of course, right now we are at
Del Mar. The $1.00 pick six starts here
in Race 6. This is a maiden special for two
year old Philly's going 5 1/2 on the dirt, $100,000 on the line
here and Bury the old. No one's ever had a start kind
of race here in Race 6. So you and I, let's see if we
all, we got two of the same 3 in the top three, which is great.
I'll go first. I do have the Bob Baffert on top
here. I've got Mistrial on top.
She's looked good. Breaking freaking news.
If he can win with $3,000,000 horses, I trust that he can win
$300,000 horses. But this is a daughter, excuse
me, of Constitution fed biz. How about that?
On the damn side, This one's going to get bet to 1 to 50
because this isn't my racehorse. So just a heads up, I do think
the horse wins here, but I'm not going to be betting it to win,
Barry. So there you go.
I'll have mistrial on top here. You landed on the 2 horse.
You're going to take a little bit of a shot with Grandma and
Mary. Yeah, a lot of these horses seem
to look like they want to go longer, like Mistrial out of
Constitution probably we want to go longer than 5 1/2.
So I was kind of gearing my pick towards somebody I think might
be a little bit precocious and might be able to slip one in
before Mistrial or Bourbon and Ginger get good.
So I landed on Grandma Mary. Those two last two works at Del
Mar were really, really good from the gate, especially the
last 159 and three handily from the gate 9 out of 74 on July
26th that that's that's really good in this spot and why not
make a Reese, you know, bred this horse and kept this horse
and didn't sell it, which is kind of says a little bit.
He he's a pretty decent horseman.
He's kind of in and out of the game, but he he had a horse like
Bolt the Oro, so he kind of knows what he's looking at.
I'll give that one a shot at 8:00 to 1:00.
I've got that horse third Miami camping.
I totally agree with you and and the Mickery's angle is really an
interesting one for this. I know people are going to look
at the form and see zeros everywhere, but I'm with you.
This is not an accident that this horse is hung around in his
barn and her works. I mean, they look great.
And if Ricardo Gonzalez can get this one going and look, he's
what, 25% of his races? He's 3 for 12 early on at Del
Mar. You give that guy a good horse,
man, he's gonna win a race for you.
I went 632 here. Umbral is the other one that I'm
using a daughter of Into Mischief here.
This is the Don Alberto folks, home bred for them.
I just like the Sadler Freizu thing here.
I think that I think that Sadler with first timers is really,
really good. And I think Antonio Freizu's,
he's, he's not there yet, but he's at whatever level Umberto
was at last year and we're seeing Umberto up at Saratoga
this year. I think whatever that level is,
Antonio's right there. He's on the precipice.
And so I'm going to be using him in a lot of picks the rest of
the year in Southern California because I just think riding
title at Santa Anita, he's willing to do, you know, The
Dirty work of being in lower level claimers and that kind of
stuff so that he can get on the mounts like this and maiden
specials, etcetera. So I, I really like him in here.
So I went 632. You laid it 2-4 and six.
What do you like about bourbon and ginger?
Another one with some good works.
The two gate works that this horse had in June on June 26th
and then July 6th were really, really good in comparison to the
rest of these. Mandela's kind of sneaky yes,
with these sort of horses because he he might have
something or he might give them a raise.
It's really hard to tell because they they have similar work
patterns, but I like the way that that he's kind of back and
forth with this horse. He got him up to a A5 furlong
work and then worked him two furlongs on the 31st.
So that that's really interesting and it seems like
he's trying to trick the horse into running well and he just
might do it. I I don't see why this horse
wouldn't run well. Another one out of Bolt Dioro,
which you know, the 2 is as well.
Why not? You know, there there's so many
good trainers in this race that do well with horses early.
This is really going to be interesting and I'm I'm really
interested to see what happens after this race with a lot of
these horses. Yeah, right, yeah.
What's the next step for so many of them?
And frankly, if you're out of the West Coast and you're
Terrell's debut at Del Mar, you're thinking British Cup,
right? I mean, you really are.
So it's a a time of year that all of those folks start to
think about those things. Barry Spears, Luther Beau
hanging out with you. So Cal Saturdays presented by
our friends at am Wager am wager.com.
Go check them out right now for a 100% deposit batch for new
customers up to 100 and $50 on the state brand side of things
to start the late pick five out there as well bit some nice
pools. One guy, Barry, swept the pool
in the pick 5 yesterday. Was it you?
No, I wish it was. If it was me, you, I, I I'd
probably be somewhere in France right now, just kind of hanging
out. Well, 4. 150 GS just hanging out
doing the that's right. But the late pick five does
start here. It's a 5 1/2 furlong or five
furlong. Excuse me, Turf Sprint here for
Cal bred maidens. A three and up $80,000 on the
line in this one, Barry and I'll go first here.
You're I, I, you know what? I think we both have the same
very, very boring play of the day.
You know what? It's a bad job by me.
It's time for the Barry Spears boring play of the day.
It is it is this is this is terribly boring.
You know, I only saw two horses in this race, honestly, the four
Jack fish and the three tigers smiling.
And then I threw in the one as as a horse that probably could
improve with a little makeover package blinkers off gelded.
But honestly Jack Fish looks to be the fastest horse and
probably is and will go wire to wire.
Son of Bodie Express, how about that three-year old gelded son
of Bodie Express? That is Barry's boring play of
the day here on on Socal Saturdays.
We are at race 7 at Del Mar right now.
The late pick 5 here Tiger smiling.
That's AI got to say this. I I saw that name and I thought
what an arrogant name that is because every horse in
California right now is by smiling Tiger.
So to call your horse Tiger smiling, that is some ballsy
stuff. And Speaking of ballsy's gelded.
So OK, look what we're doing. It's done forever.
I'm just taking it away. Oh, man.
All right. But I do have jackfish on top
here. I went to little Raymond.
Second that that Frazu guy again with Richard Baltus.
Richard Baltus. Not great first timers, but look
at all of those. Look at all those dots, Barry.
Look at all those bullets down there at San Luis Rey.
So it is largely that. I also don't hate the works from
the gate. Horse seems ready to break and
ready to go. So I will land and go with your
boring pick as well. 47 for me to hear.
You are four and three in race 7 to start the late pick five
there at Del Mar. Go ahead.
I can't believe somebody didn't name their horse Tiger smiling
before this. I'm.
Messing with you now. I like it.
You can't believe someone didn't do that.
Welcome back into the mind of Spears.
All right, so we go ark in there.
It's so, so dark. All right, race 8.
Let's keep it rolling late. Pick four does start here.
We're talking about a, excuse me, a dirt Sprint here, $40,000
optional claimer with an $81,000 purse.
We're going 6 furlongs on the dirt there for three and up.
Essentially a starter allowance for those who have never won
above the 25,000 dollar level. Lots of options in here.
Barry, I'll let you go first here.
We have two very similar horses. You have awesome rhythm on top
here. I'd love to get that 6 to 1
price. Yeah, this horse is running OK
on the dirt. I I really don't know why they
they didn't try this move earlier, but here we are.
Ran excellent dropping in for 40 and I don't see why this horse
can't pair up those numbers and when this again when a similar
race, I mean, good with people is OK.
First time off the claim for Glatt is going to take a lot of
attention, but I think the post position kind of hurts this
horse to be on the outside trying to get to the lead.
There's a lot of speed in here and I think awesome rhythm can
kind of sit right off. It doesn't need to be on the
lead. You can see that in his race on
March 14th at Santa Anita kind of had that kind of trip.
Even the last race at Los Al was similar to the trip that is
probably needed to win this kind of race.
Interested they didn't throw him in for the tag.
I, I, I think I kind of might have 'cause I doubt he's, he's
likely to get drag. You know, he's likely to get
claim for 40 and then you can restart that cycle.
But maybe, you know, maybe in, in Southern California a
slightly different rules. But I agree.
I've got awesome rhythm. Second in my handicapping.
I did land on southern gentleman on the inside.
Why are you passing on Southern gentleman?
Let's go there first. Most, mostly because of the post
position it it's I, I, I tend to think that it's, it's a bad
business to draw the rail in a Sprint no matter where you're
at, because you only have one way to go.
And if you're not pedaled to the metal, you're going to get
shuffled back and have a hard time kind of circling horses.
Depending on how much or how many horses are in the field.
Combine that with the outside horse being super fast and, and
we got a party going on. Tapatio Leo might get involved.
Grubauer should also get involved and I think it just
sets it up for a horse to come slightly off the pace.
I went 1-5 and four agree with you on Awesome rhythm.
The other Baffert infirmis. I think that would be the real
answer here, Barry, is if you wanted to get, if you wanted to
try to get inside the mind of Baffert here, he put firmus
underneath Juan Hernandez and he put in the one hole Southern
gentleman under Drayton Van Dyke.
Now, to be fair, Drayton rode him to his initial win, right?
So maybe maybe it's that. Maybe he's just staying with the
jock who got him there. And frankly, we've watched him
right, Drayton in the low cell futurity, that kind of stuff,
right. So it's not as though we haven't
seen those two combined before. It's only 16 times, but they do
run together. I just think that horse, if he
runs his race, the son of Mottoli is simply too good in
this spot. But Firmus is an interesting one
too. And what I love about this is
this is a horse that they tried, I mean, frankly, early on on the
Derby trail, the Iroquois last year when he was in the way in
Catalano Bond shout out to to the cat man.
But try to bet Churchill over and over in in, you know,
optional claimer 100,000 kind of level.
I think getting down into this level makes a lot of sense.
And frankly, you can see it in these work patterns with Baffert
trainees, which ones he thinks are going to get this distance.
These are all 5 furlong workouts and just sort of incrementally
moving the horse along. Hasn't run since November 24th.
But I do think off the off the clay or not off the clay, but
off the move of Barnes here and off this kind of time off
really, really good with Bafford in in this spot.
You've got the 6th horse in your handicapping as well.
Wayne the Brain. Do you know anyone named Wayne
the Brain? Definitely not anybody that I
know named Wayne is not the smartest person I've met.
All right, Mind of Spears, not Wayne of Wayne the Brain.
Why do you like Wayne the Brain? Kind of the best of the rest.
Ran 2 pretty good races at Del Mar previously.
Mark Glatt again is is real stellar off layoffs like this
gets the go to rider in in Kimura.
So there might be something there.
But a word about Firmus. If you look at that horses,
who's got beat by this or who this?
Oh, it's unbelievable. Yeah, Jonathan's way.
Magnitude. Owen Almighty, Giacoso
California Burrito was second in one of those races.
I think all those horses are really, really stakes winners.
Yeah, yeah. I I mean, you got to give Firmus
a chance and I think that that 5 to 1 is not gonna hold.
This horse is probably the second choice, maybe even
favored. But really interesting this to
see what this horse is gonna do, especially going from Catalano
to Baffert. It's.
I don't know what we're gonna get, but we'll see.
Yeah, that is a a bit of a change there.
The late pick three does start with the Cal, the California
Dreaming $150,000 mile and a 16th race.
It's a black type for for California breads that are three
and up. We're going on that little shoot
in the middle of the turf course there.
Barry at Delmar Allegato in here at 4:00 to 1:00 for Mark Glatt
and Antonio Freizu. We've also got Coalinga Rd. in
here, who we see often, but of course at even money is Kings
River Knight. My man, you're trying to beat
Kings River Knight. Talk me into it.
Of course there's a lot of speed in here.
I mean Kings River Knight is fast, but there's other horses
in here. Mystic Spirit outside of that
one which is interesting is fast.
Pure Madness outside of Kings River Knight is fast.
Mr. Disrespectful of obviously has to be fast.
Miss Joe's curling is fast. Even if they don't get the lead,
just pushing the pace that fast for for a horse like Kings River
Knight might do that horse in and that that's what I'm hoping
for. I think Coalinga Rd. is the most
likely horse to to benefit from that and that kind of trip.
Also Coaling Rd. likes Delmar, has two or five wins or two or
four wins there in one second. Came off the layoff January 18th
to run a bang up race in a similar spot kind of tailed off.
I think the layoff helps this horseshoe fire fresh.
I like Coaling Rd. at 8:00 to 1:00 here.
Olinga Rd. 8 to 1 does have Mirko Demuro in the in the
irons. They're looking for his second
win of the meet. Impossible to imagine that that
guy only has one win so far in the meet.
You've got Aligado in the second spot here in really well in the
Trip Classic last out. Yeah, I, I, it was really tough
for me not to put Aligado on top.
OK, but I just think this horse is going to be farther back
behind Kolinga Road and and Kolinga Rd's just going to get
the jump on the 2 and that I think might be the difference.
This horse ran good behind Kings River Knight in the past, namely
January 13th, 2024. Nice.
You know, third place finish half length behind Kings River
Knight. So if Kings River Knight kind of
stubs his toe, which I'm I'm betting on, I think Allegato's
going to come running. And they did this sort of thing
back in 2023 in the Turf Classic at Santa Anita, where calling a
road beat Allegato in in a similar fashion, where calling a
road got the jump on him. And and that's what I think is
going to happen. So hopefully we can get a replay
of that and get that exacto. I've got Kings River Night on
top. I have Mr. Disrespectful who
finished second in the San Bertrondo second and then my
third is a longer shot. Pure madness.
The 10 horse here 15 to 1. Tyler Bayes gets the ride for
Brian Corner and this is a horse that's never been worse than
second and all the races are made in special weights or state
bred races. This one tried Stakes Company 3
back in the real good deal at Del Mar that was on the dirt.
Did not fire that day. Finished second by 5 lengths
behind a Curlins. Chaos came back.
Tried the turf at a mile on the 16th.
Looked awesome, good fractions. All the stuff Went back like a
month later. Wins on the dirt at Santa Anita
going a mile and we've been off since then.
I don't love the layoff here, but Brian Corner is not putting
this horse in this race unless he thinks it's got a serious
shot. So I think you know you love
your cold exactness. Yes, I do.
I'm. Going to try a cold try here.
How about oh? That's a weed.
And you do like that I know 9 and then five and then ten.
That is going to be my cold try and I'm going to hope that
really what I'm trying to play is a 510 exacta behind it Kicks
River Night. So there you go.
All right, so that was the the second feature on the card here.
Fun little race there in the Cal Dream and we move on to the
Clemenhirsch. Of course, the grade one on the
card out here. This is for Phillies and mares
that are three and up a mile and a 16th on the dirt course there
at Delmar at $400,000 on the line, a pair of Bafferts at the
top of of the handicapping here. Berry Seismic Beauty, the one
very likely the favorite Rishi who we've seen I talked about on
this show numerous times. Last seen winning the Santa
Maria at at Santa Anita in April, Also back in this one.
And of course, we see the return of Copian coming off of her
defeat in the 6 1/2 furlong Great Lady M at Los Alamitos.
Where did you land in here? What a race, What a race man,
what a fun field. Yeah, I landed on Copian.
I, I think that horse, you know, just didn't get a a great trip
was, was kind of just chasing sweet Azteca who's razor, razor
sharp on July 5th when we were at Indianapolis.
I, I, I just think I'm going to forgive that race.
Not that Copian ran bad or anything, I think this race just
sets up way better. Second time off the layoff, this
this horse should be ready to roll and I think will.
You and I have two horses in our handicapping together in Rishi
and in Royal Spa that we both really like.
I'm going to let you talk about Rishi.
I do not have her on top. I have her in my second spot in
my handicapping. What do you like about Rishi in
this spot? That because she's quote UN
quote the other Baffert in this spot.
It seems she's the other Baffert, but at least on paper,
I think she might be the one that they're intending to to try
to win this because Seismic Beauty is going to fly out of
the gate. There's some horses that are
going to get in the way. I think Ritchie actually
probably needs a target. Those races back in January and
last year kind of show how this horse rated a little bit and
even got beat by Copian with those tactics, then gets away
from coping, goes to the lead and runs lights out.
So I just think that they're gonna try to use Seismic Beauty,
or is that the name? I was right, yeah.
Seismic Beauty as kind of the rabbit, because what are you
gonna do? One of them can't.
They can't duel each other into submission.
So I, I, I just think the one is going to be forced to go.
Maybe Royal Spa kind of hangs with that one to to make things
a little interesting to have Kopi and and Rishi kind of come
late. I can't get over that Santa
Margarita. She looks so, so darn good in it
at at Santa Anita and I and I'm just, I'm stuck on it.
She looked really good at Del Mar last fall as well.
Last fall, last night of August when she broke her maiden there.
I, I, I'm just, I, I think size and beauty is the class here.
I do think Rishi is very, very good.
It's interesting because I've always thought that Baffert's
best older dirt female out West was Cavalieri, but obviously
she's not in training right now. And so this is his other group
underneath that. And I do think that that those
two are the class here. But Royal spot.
I love that they're shipping this horse for this race.
And what I love about it is this is a horse that was in the
heavenly Cause 3 back at Laurel, right was in the the Barber
Fritchie for 98 grand a couple back at Laurel, but really did
show her muster last out in the Fleur de Lee, I think is
learning a little bit won the Shawnee before that ahead of
Jinjin, ahead of Alpine Princess.
And here's what's fascinating to me, Barry.
And this is one of the things you always have to watch for
when horses ship from different places.
The final time on the Santa Margarita at a mile and an
eighth at Santa Anita was 148 and one the final time of the
Florida Lee at Churchill Downs was 148 and two 110th of a
second different. And it's a one O 4 buyer out
West for seismic beauty and they're running 90s something at
Churchill Downs. OK, so before we get and look, I
I have seismic beauty on top before we get all excited about
the one O 4, I'm looking at real legitimate timed races here and
and I do wonder if royal spot isn't fast enough to keep up.
I think she might be, yeah. I think so too.
Yeah, and I think she can grind this.
I think she can grind her way to win in this one.
Yeah, it's it's so hard because what you'll see especially in
the racing form with with wins like Seismic Beauty has in the
Santa Margarita where it's it's inflated, you know that that's a
higher than normal buyer, especially for this horse.
It really hasn't shown the affinity to do that.
Did it once, but doesn't mean they can do it again.
And that's where the consistency comes into play.
But you can view that Santa Margarita as a perfect win that
that horse didn't get any kind of straw on his path in her path
that whole time. Not going to get that optimal
circumstance on Saturday, which means Royal Spa can be the fly
in the ointment here to get my horse in the winner's circle.
There you go, another trip inside the mind of Spears.
We will close the day with Race 11.
You don't want that I. I agree every.
Once in a while, hey? Hey, I'm I'm just, I'm just the
host and the guy who came up with the idea for the no.
All right, so I'll race 11 again.
We're presented by Amwager. Where are they?
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the line. It's an optional claimer to
close the car to mile on the turf there for Cal brats 3 and
up. Another one of those $21,000
races here, Barry. As far as the condition book, I
have a yeah. I love a long shot in here.
Love me a long shot in here, Barry.
I love one. I love it.
Not a boring play. Not Barry.
I'm not boring like Barry. How about that?
Just 23 hours a day. Sonyo de Vito.
I'm going with Sonyo de Vito, Daughter of Vito Rose or son of
Vito Rosso. Excuse me.
The Peter Miller barn. This one broke its maiden last
out at Los Al. But what I want everyone to look
at is the race before that, which was a maiden special,
finishing fifth but by less than a length on the turf, going a
mile at Santa Anita. This one is way closer to the
level of everyone else in this race than any of the other sort
of indicators would tell you. Speed figures, etcetera.
Like winning Patriots in this race at 12:50.
Beat this horse by a nose in that maiden race.
Since then, hasn't run. This one went ahead and won at
La Salle by 3 1/2 lengths, right.
And what do we talk about all the time when we talk about that
dirt course at Los Alamitos, we talk about it translated well,
when we get back to turf courses or from turf to that Los Al
course, I'm going to take a shot here in the last one.
Sonyo Divino will be in all of my boxes.
And so 15 to 1, I know you like that one.
Don't pretend, Barry. I know you like that.
One. Absolutely not.
I know you landed on a different one, by the way.
By the way, Cardiff crack has anyone, I gotta say, like I love
my family and I love horse racing and and you know, I love
oxygen, you know, things like that.
Does anybody love crack more than Hunter Biden?
What a guy man. He really, he talked it up like
it was just, I mean, he made it seem like that was the.
Like he's a connoisseur. You could tell by the way he was
talking about it. Like he knew it.
He had levels, flashbacks. Yeah, he was.
He was into it. This guy I.
Wonder if he's had crack in Cardiff?
Why do you like Cardiff crack? This horse's race is on the turf
going a mile. We're pretty good in recent
history. If you go back to the the races
that this horse had in 2024, the turf races going a mile or
longer, they're all competitive in this spot.
This horse fits at this level. You can see this horse ran
August 3rd, 2024. Ran a pretty good race with Ray
Luguchi. Areas at 20 to one in a spot
just like this one. Fast forward to June 7th, 2025.
Didn't run a step going down the hill as expected at a way higher
level. Drops back in on the dirt at
Losal where there isn't any turf.
They probably would have tried the turf there if there was any.
Just missed on a non preferred surface.
Gets back to the preferred surface and the preferred
distance. I'll give this one a shot in a
race that really, it looks like nobody really would want to win
it. I went 3-12 and nine of the 12
horses on the outside. The only part that I hate is the
post position. But I think because of how this
one races, Barry Juan Hernandez is going to have to get her out
of him. Excuse me out of the gate here,
Miles Finch, the 12 horse here, son of Ronski.
And look, when I think of these Ronski's, I think of sprinters,
right? So this is going to be a horse
that's going to have to get out. But that mile on the turf thing
in Southern California ran at six last time, breaks its maiden
off the bench a little bit here, second in the form cycle.
I love everything about this. John Sadler sprints around at 24
percent, 19% of turf races as horses go back-to-back at 19%.
I think the 12 sets up really, really well here.
Frankly, Barry, if this one were breaking, if they were switching
spots and the three and the 12 are in different spots, I might
be singling the 12 here. I I think I picked the 12 twice
on the show and I am done with that horse for good.
Just disappointed the tie I I even made a big bet on this
horse on in February 22nd to be exact and just didn't do
anything. King of clubs, the horse you
picked actually beat me that day.
Let's. Go literally and.
Actually, I hit that pick 3. So thank you.
Yeah. All right, I appreciate it.
You don't want to go on the mind of of Barry Spears on that day
because he was very upset. No bowling plays.
Nod. Get out of here.
All right? Yeah.
So Barry, you went 49 and 11. We both have the 9 in our in our
handicap here in mining District.
Tech Barrios getting the call for Doug O'Neill here.
Very logical horse that's on the improve.
I'm not so sure about the turf, right, but question definitely
fits at this level. Should be better than most of
these sources, I think, and that's why I put that one
second. Yeah, I, I also don't know what
to make of the accelerate babies, right?
If they're gonna be able to do the turf thing or not.
And I just, I, I haven't figured that out yet.
So the old accelerate babies, a four year old gelding son, a
gelding son. Excuse me, mining district, the
9 horse there. So I went 3-12 and nine.
You at 49 and 11 make the case for Chrome Flash.
Yeah, this horse is stretching out.
I I'm not really sure if this horse can stretch out, but the
races at this level have been pretty good and looks like a
horse on paper that would want more distance.
I mean if you've seen horses on the dirt that like to go longer,
usually they run sort of even. They don't really change
positions, or at least lengths beaten, so you'll see a bunch of
threes with different numbers next to them, let's say, and you
see that a lot in this horse's past performances, which to me
suggests this horse might appreciate a little bit of a
stretch out. So why not give him a chance in
a race that to me seems a little bit wide open?
Amwager.com that 100% deposit match right now up to 150 bucks
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our friends there at am wager they would love to have you on
the platform there. Well, it's been another 11 races
we have spoken about in fact, including the Clement Hirsch.
Good luck with all those wagers this weekend.
Who's winning the Whitney? Who's winning?
The Whitney Fierceness. No, just kidding.
Sierra Leone. There's a lot of speed in that
race to the hoop. Chad Brown.
Let's go. You weren't kidding.
Actually, fierceness is going to win that race.
I've learned about these. Barry Spears, another edition of
SoCal Saturdays. We'll see you next week.
Thanks, everybody at the Sporting Tribune and of course,
at AM Wager. We'll see you next week.
Have a great weekend.
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