Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) joins to discuss his Eclipse Awards voting.
Steve Kornacki – Eclipse Awards 2023
Full Transcript
Here we go. Clips Boats Edition Horse Racing
Happy Hour hanging out with Steve Kornacki.
I'm Louis Rebbeau. We got you for the next however
long Steve decides to hang out with this ridiculous show.
So question for you, young Steve Kornacki.
Do you realize you've made a very serious decision by being
on the show again today? I What's the serious decision I
made? OK, so every person that makes a
repeat appearance on the happy hour becomes a friend of the
show. Are you prepared?
Oh, you need to be a friend of the show.
I'd be honored to be considered one.
Well, how about that little Steve Kornacki, friend of the
show, like here, December 28th edition.
Obviously that means we're talking eclipse vote.
Steve, you and I have a very few things in common.
We're both Americans, we're both dudes, and we get the vote on
the Eclipse Awards because we're in the same class of the NTWAB
of all things. Growing up, did you think you'd
be the rolled up sleeves guy on NBC?
And did you think you'd get an Eclipse vote?
No, I didn't know the first role would ever exist and the the
second role no. But I'm I'm glad to have both.
Yeah, no, it's it's a lot of fun.
It's also stunningly time consuming if you take this
seriously, I think. What is Steve's process?
I know you and I both did this for the first time last year.
What's your Do you go category by category?
Do you try to sit down in one sitting and do this, or does
this take you multiple days? What's your process?
I thought last year for me at least, was instructive because I
learned what some of what to do and some of what not to do.
And I I think I put off a lot till the end last year.
And so it felt more like in in some cases cramming you know for
the the final exam the night before.
So I was much more I think conscientious throughout the
year this year to take note of certain horses, certain races,
just certain trends, whatever that that I I recognized I'd I'd
probably want to remember and think of as I was filling out
the ballot. So I really I I think I I made
it much more of a year round process this year and you know
kind of watched races more with an eye to the specific
categories in mind. So and I think though this year
it was, I don't know your experience was, but last year
most of the categories were layups for the winners and I
think there were some tough ones this year.
Yeah. No, there's no flight line this
year, right? Is the one of the things for
sure that stands out. three-year old male.
I I didn't agree with the winner last year.
You may have voted for essential quality, but I did not.
I thought Modern Games was a better three-year old last year
in the North American circuit. So I I maybe small disagreements
with people, but I'm with you. Even on the 2 year old side, it
was pretty obvious who was going to win last year, but let's
start with that, that category, one of the more difficult ones,
I think 3 year old male, something we concentrate a lot
on, something you work on with the Triple Crown with your
coverage there on NBCI. Think Archangelo is going to get
a lot of votes here Steve, just because obviously the the
results on the track, four straight wins to close his
career there in a maiden special wins to grade three and then two
grade ones. I think people like the Jenna
Antonucci story. She's been on this show and
she's, I mean she's delightful. It's really hard to root against
her but there are some other options in here But man Steve
this is A to be this is the grand what if year of three-year
old right. And and that's really how good
could 2 fills have been had he kept running How good could a go
rocket ride Been out at Santa Anita in the Breeders Cup
classic this year. This practical move with a bunch
more races if he's able to run. Where did you land in this one?
And did you have a similar sort of reaction that I did?
Yeah. And what?
What if Flint had been able to run in the Derby and got off to
a better, you know, I mean, yeah, I I agree with you.
There's a lot of kind of incompletes in this category.
I think you're right just I I went with Archangelo because I
think it was the most complete of the incompletes.
You know when you can have a a Belmont and a Traverse, you got
two grade ones. You know the Peter, Peter Pan is
you know not too bad either and you just look what what the
alternatives are here. And I, you know Mays got off to
the great start but couldn't win the you know couldn't win the
the Preakness go rocket ride incredible.
What if I I think I I put go Rocket ride second in this one
and I put you know I looking around I put Arabian night third
you know Arabian Night who beat go rocket ride in the Pacific
classic lost to him in the in the Haskell had a graded you
know graded win at Oak Lawn early in the year just a romp
Arabian. You know, Knight to me is a what
if, too, 'cause he was just, he was sidelined, you know, for so
much of the year. And I just wonder if he'd been
more consistently in training, if if he would have had a bigger
year. How He just showed so much
potential to me. But that's true with with so
many of these. So yeah, I just thought
Archangelo and the strength of those two grade ones, there were
a lot of horses in here who were probably 1-1 more grade, one
away from, you know, from being right up there.
But I just think in the end it's the most complete resume.
Steve, moving on then to three-year old Phillies, sort of
sort of an interesting year on this side as well.
You gave a ceiling crusher ahead of her, her win in the cotillion
there in the the wettest I've ever seen a racetrack there at
Parks this year they cancelled everything except for what they
were doing there. Obviously you know we had some
different horses come along this year.
Defining purpose is the one I think that stands out as the one
that could have been another one of these sort of on the outside,
pretty mischievous runs off a bunch of races in the middle of
the year that I think put her in very unusual category here.
Almost picks off that cotillion right there behind Ceiling
Crusher. How much do you look at horses
like Moge for example, that only run a couple of times in North
America, run against very good competition when the QE 2 for
example, come back, run really well against the boys in that
Breeders' Cup mile finishes ahead of horses that I think
could be considered for an eclipse award on the turf side.
Where do you lean here? More on the dirt side with the
three-year old Phillies? Or is the turf totally OK with
you? I do learn more towards the dirt
and I do lean. I know the rule on this and it's
it's, it's interesting to hear the discussions around it is One
North American start. You just need One North American
start and you are eligible. So make of that guidance what
you will. But to me, I think mentally I I
need now you got two here. If you're going to have a career
that's or a season it's mainly based overseas and you're going
to come over and it's going to be 1-2, maybe three races In my
view. You pretty much got to win them
all. And I I like a horse like Moge.
You know with a full season here I think would have won a ton and
and I think would absolutely be up for this award in my mind.
But I think there's just a little I put a little extra
burden on a horse's only run here twice, came close.
Very, very close as you say, you know against the boys on the
biggest stage. But ultimately, A turf horse
based overseas who goes one for two here is not going to be
enough for me. And did you lean on?
Pretty mischievous has your choice here.
Yeah, I I did. I mean, you know technically
it's three grade one wins the test stakes at Saratoga this
summer that was the tragic one where Maple Leaf Mill had it won
and in pre mischievous even even, you know the trainer said
this was not a win for pre mischievous.
So I don't count that. But on the other hand as you
mentioned the cotillion at parks half a length from another grade
one there. So two grade ones technically a
third could have been another one there.
So I just think that's the most consistent elite performance of
all these horses. I I looked at randomized you
know the best second-half of the season and if randomized had
been able to get up and win that that distaff.
I think randomized runs away with this category but falling
just short there. I think it was just a more
consistently elite season for a previous choice.
Yeah, I think you and I are the same here.
We haven't totally turned our votes in yet, and I'm leading
right now toward randomized. I'll be really honest.
I'm I I count that Breeders' Cup distaff more than I count a
restricted race against other three-year olds in the Cotillion
for example. So for me I would lean on
randomizing this thought but I totally understand.
Pretty mischievous and she won a lot of different ways too Steve
she wins the two turns in the Kentucky Oaks she wins the fair
wins runs second and that fairgrounds Oaks going two turns
comes back in the 8 cord over one turn wins there.
So she showed a lot of different styles and was able to win in
those. So if someone voted for her, I
definitely would would not take any kind of grief with that, for
sure. So older dirt male.
Good luck with this one. Do you think that our guy, a
friend of the show, Whiteabario, who's actually never been on the
show, do you think, do you think there's a chance that he just
outperformed horses in two races and they were easily the the
most visibly dominating races this year and he ends up
winning? Yeah, I mean that's I'm seeing a
lot of buzz there and this is such a tough one for me because
you've got, in my view you've got three horses in contention
here who do three different things.
One is a pure sprinter that's elite power, at least in my
view, who's in in contention in this category.
Then you've got White a barrio who has this unbelievable turn
around in the middle of the season and you know is you know
can run the classic distance can stretch out and and then you got
Cody's Wish who's kind of in the middle not a pure sprinter but
they took the shot at Saratoga this summer to go a mile and an
eighth I think with an eye obviously towards running in the
Breeders Cup Classic. It went terribly.
Goes back to the dirt mile see you've got you know it's it's
tough to compare these horses you know in my view when you're
looking at this what holds me back on White Abario is I don't
want to overrate. They were two great performances
and I I'm excited to see what that horse can do next year.
But the totality of the season, the totality that worked for me
puts Cody's wish on top there. Just you know from start to
finish there's you know the one blemish is the mile and an
eighth every time at a mile or 7.
Furlongs source. One grade one grade 2.
Just consistent. I don't know how you're supposed
to wait in the the kind of the story around Cody's wish, the
the just incredible kind of, you know, what it did for racing to
get that kind of attention. I don't know if that's if that's
worth considering the sentimental value of it.
I think a lot of voters from what I hear are going to do
that. And I I just think that was, you
know, it was a little more success in terms of number of
races for for Cody's wish than for elite power.
So I went Cody's wish, elite power, and I put White Abario
third. Yeah.
I think that's a good trio, and I think you'll be in good
company that way. A horse I'm considering putting
in my top three just because he ran so damn much this year and
he won the best finish I saw in the Pimlico specialist rattle
and roll. He might get a third place vote
for me just because he runs the he runs the the Pimlico special.
Comes back and runs the the Ben Ali.
Not even wait, wait, wait. I got to get the order right
here. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
He runs the blame after that. Two weeks later at Churchill
Downs. I just love that kind of stuff.
Just kind of, you know. Oh, they can't run the triple
crowd. It's too close together.
They rattle and rolls like sure, I'll.
I'll deal with traffic. That's not a problem.
No, no issue at all. So he might get a vote for me
just for how he finished it out. Let's move on to that.
Oh, I just, yeah, I was going to say that.
To me, that's interesting. As a voter.
I'm curious what your experience with it is.
That third place slot. I don't know if it's an
invitation sometimes. Sometimes there's a clear top
three, but sometimes it's an invitation, I think, to get a
little creative and and reward something that's short of kind
of a complete season, but you think deserves some recognition.
I think there's a couple categories here where I did
that. Yeah.
And I think well and frankly if if you're you know the way that
you just talked about Cody's wish, if if you can use that
part of the story to vote for clubs awards, why can't I use
something, some other kind of criteria to vote for Rattleable.
So that's you know that's how I would look at that for sure.
I voted, for example, second place in breeders last year for
Ashby Farm because they had the top two.
They have about 20 Brood mares. They had the top two finishers
in the Belmont last year. Yeah, that's exactly them.
That's a cool story. I mean and I think that's that's
the kind of stuff if you can, I mean that's that's high level
stuff for someone breeding twenty horses.
Yeah, I had in the trainer category last year.
I mean, I think a lot did I put Sadler in there because of
Flight 1, You know, stat wise he didn't measure up, but you train
that horse. I think you deserve a vote.
Yeah, I think that's a reasonable take as well.
Let's move on to those older dirt females.
This is a lot less listed horses than usual in this category.
This is usually one on this show, Steve, that we tell people
to really pay attention to because look, if Colt's good,
he's done after he's three and he never races again.
These Phillies, we might see him at 4:00 and 5:00 if they're
really, really good running his mayors and this year just a
little bit less, you know, obviously.
Secret off. Goodnight, olive EZ.
Idiomatic. The quality is there.
The quantity simply is not. Yeah.
And I mean it was a year we talked about this a little bit
too earlier. Just the the what ifs.
There's a lot of what ifs I think in this category.
Huge expectations for Nest coming into this year and just
you know didn't really deliver. Secret Oath coming back starting
the year out with the win in the Azeri and you thought wow this
this horse is due for a big year and maybe a really fun rivalry
with Claire. And then they had that Apple
blossom, that really weird 4 horse Apple blossom and and
Secret Oath just gets caught at the wire.
But then she had a couple of those and then she had the
injury late in the year. You know she's one you know
could have been without the injury.
I think she might have been able to make some noise in the
spinster maybe even into this staff who knows.
But there was only one horse in this in this category who I
think had a complete year. And it's it's clearly idiomatic
and it's just that the the volume, the number of races,
number of different tracks, the different levels, just the
consistency of success. Clear ear for instance, yeah,
wins the apple blossom early in the year, second in the Azeri,
but they're really, I think tailed off at the end of the
year. And you know, there's a Dare
Manor from out West, but I just think the quality that that she
was running against just does not measure up.
So this is what this was a category where I really thought,
I there's three slots on my ballot.
I only had use for one. I'm going to fill out the other
two. But idiomatic to me is just the
runaway. Yeah, you know, I agree with
you. And I think she's kind of an
interesting tale of the modern horse.
Forget where they break their maiden sometimes.
If they can run, they can run, right?
And she's one of those horses, for sure.
Is she a Turfway maidener? She is.
I mean, that kind of stuff. It just once in a while it just
stands out that you know they like you said if they could just
run on any surface. I mean you know, and I I was not
surprised she won the distaff, but I was surprised at how
easily she got the the lead and then was able to maintain those
things as well. A horse like EZ, is she going to
get in your top three? Is it clear ear?
Do you prefer the two turners in this kind of race, or is the
sprinter OK with you? A sprinter could be OK and it
but it you know and it's look unfortunately it's an injury
talk about the the modern realities of racing.
They race so much fewer to begin with.
Injuries happen and I think there's obviously a tendency,
I'm not saying that happened in the case of EZ obviously, but
there's a tendency to be even more sensitive around injuries.
And so it's just I I need, I would need to me in this
category, I would need to see more than the three races in the
one grade one even though you just look at those three races
and you said boy if this horse had been able to run six or
seven times this year, I mean this horse might have been six
and O, 7 and O and just a ascension this category.
But I just it's it's too much what could have been, what
should have been, what might have been to me to to get a vote
here. There you go.
All right, well, let's go ahead and talk about the juveniles.
We'll get to the 2 year olds now going back by the way, shout out
the nice people I know. Steve's looking at his as well.
The DRF folks send us these nice packets for the Eclipse Awards
so that we can have all of the information right in front of us
in one place. It also is a touch of nostalgia,
Steve. A printed piece of paper that
you can hold in your hand. How about that kids?
This is called paper, just so you know.
All right, so 2 year old male man, I thought this was the fun
one. I was trying to figure out who
the juvenile winners were. I think last year we had a
little bit more clarity. Forte was so obviously better in
the fall. Last year we had some
interesting Phillies too as well.
Last year. This year, man, all over the
place. Wine, Stewart, Prince of Monaco,
Liberal Arts, Loch Butte. No day.
Mets is just faster than blazes. Just all kinds of horses all
over the place. Timberlake.
Unquestionable, endlessly. Otter Marie won that Kentucky
Jockey Club here at Churchill Downs.
Boy oh boy, Steve, where'd you land?
Well, yeah, and this is, look, this is a category.
I forgot what the stat is exactly but the the Breeders Cup
Juvenile winner basically gets this one it seems by default
every year in part just because it's clearly the biggest 2 year
old race of the year and there's just such a limited body of work
with a lot of these. You just you just see the
potential in in so many of these so in a lot of these horses who
obviously won't be on my ballot won't make the top three.
I I look at as legit prospects that monster years as three-year
olds obviously it's a big question in in a lot of
different ways but yeah I mean I just I thought fierceness.
Look it's it's it's three races looks brilliant in the in the
first race you know gets the off track in the champagne gets back
on a fast surface in the in the Breeders Cup juvenile and it's
it's a runaway and I just to me that's that's enough to be #1 in
this category. Yeah, I mean, I think you could
just even look at speed figures and go, OK, this is an improving
horse. He was the best at the end of
the year. Maybe I just throw it there,
man. I really wish no day Mets had
won at the Breeders Cup because then I think we'd have to have a
conversation. And I hated for him that he lost
the big EPS who ran one, you know, one race here and all of a
sudden he's on this list. It's not vote for that horse.
He's only been on here in North America for one race.
But I really, I really do wish he had run more or you know a
horse like locked or something like that.
One of the Breeders cup juvenile with a little bit more of a of a
resume behind it. But yeah, no interesting,
interesting category. And frankly, if you were, if you
were a betting man, Steve, which I know you are, would you bet
that fierceness qualifies for the Kentucky Derby or does not
qualify the Kentucky? Oh, interesting.
That's what this show's all about.
Steve. No, I, well, I I like the horse.
So I'm going to I I don't think, I don't think there's anything.
I think that surface might have made all the difference in the
in the one loss there and 'cause it's it's two dominant
performances and one on a on a wet track.
So yeah, I I think so. It's also, I mean, if we want to
go down the list, Repoli, Pletcher, Velasquez or Iran,
like everything's there, right? Everything's there for that
horse to have a really really good early spring and into
spring ahead of the Kentucky Derby had qualified that way.
If I had to lean rare, rare for me but I would lean on
fierceness being one of the 20 starters on the 1st Saturday in
May on the 2 year old side trying to get see if we can
figure out who the oak starters might be here.
Man this one's all over the place.
Hard to justify winning obviously in the the juvenile
Philly mare turf Utterflavia and Pratt you've got.
Jeez, I mean just candy. You got Buchi, you got bright
work you got live talk just FYI. Horses all over the place Steve.
This was a stunning number of horses.
Phoebe's dream was really good for a stretch a horse that I got
to see in person. I'm trying after last year with
Hoosier Philly not to let those things stick too hard.
This year. Phoebe's dream would be that
horse for sure. Where did Steve Kradacke land on
this one? Yeah, it's interesting you
mentioned Hoosier Philly because that was the the one coming out
of the the two year old season the the performances were
visually. Stunning.
But the seed figures never quite matched it and and that was I
always had hesitation and then yeah that was kind of the year
she has a three-year old didn't live up to the the expectations.
I always say that because I I voted.
You know again this is like the male category.
I I think there's just a lot of weight that's going to be placed
on the juvenile Phillies and I think just the NYI 3 for three
you know two grade ones. I think you you just have to
just because on paper that's going to be about the best A2
year old can do. The speed figures are not.
There are some more impressive speed figures for a lot of
these. For some of these two year old
Phillies. So I'm not sure what that's
going to translate into as a three-year old.
I would like if I was looking ahead.
I don't think just FYI is my top you know, Philly prospect next
year. There are some others in here
but I just think the resume to me takes me to just FYI this is
one you were asking about you know giving a hike compared to
turf horses and the dirt horses. I did use just hard to justify
in this one 3 for three on the term Breeders' Cup win again
just resume. I think you got to reward that
And then I just, I I used candied I thought you know right
there in in the in the Breeders cup has the Alcibiades and and a
win before that. So that was my top three for
this. But yeah, I just, I I put a lot
in that juvenile Phillies only because there's there's just so
little else for these two year olds.
Yeah, I thought back for training.
Nothing like you was another interesting one.
Won her last three races of the year.
She goes 7 furlongs in that. Desi Arnaz at Del Mar, comes
back at LaSalle over the two turns in the Starland and the
grade two and wins that one. I think she'll get a vote for
me. Maybe not for first place, but I
think she'll be in my top three for sure.
Man, I'm leading toward hard to justify on top.
I was just so. Impressed with her this.
Year. She's really just really just an
impressive, impressive Philly and so interested to see what
they do with her in the spring because that three-year old
Philly, it's it's a stunning number of races, Steve that we
actually have set aside for just three-year old Phillies on the
turf. And so if she can keep her form
together, she can have another really, really big year and
really, I think, force us into looking at her as the three-year
old Philly candidate next year when we talk about these awards,
Did you as well? Did you, I'm curious what you
made of. Did you give any thought to
Tamara in this category? Oh, sure.
I really wish she had run better when we were out there for the
Breeders Cup because I do find her to be a really interesting
Philly as well. And the story there when we
talked to, I don't know if you listened to Thoroughbred LA and
all with John Lindo and those guys.
But we talked to John about this horse I remember ahead of that
the debutante at Del Mar. He's like this this, this is the
one she's going to she's going to turn out she's going to be
the one. And so I hate how she, how it
turned out in Santa Anita a month later for two months
later, I should say, for that Breeders' Cup Juvenile Phillies.
But yeah, I mean, I looked at her, but I I mean, it's hard to
mess with the record of a hard to justify or a justify.
It just just feels that way. And by the way, justify showing
up more and more. And there's a reason that his
stud fee is now private. So there you go.
That's at least I have that in common with justify.
No one knows what my stud fee is.
All right. So let's go to trainers next.
I think that's another tough spot here.
And I think there's a lot of different ways, Steve, to
approach this category. In other words, is it wins, Is
it starts? Is it graded wins?
Is it, is it earnings, all of those kinds of things.
I will tell you right now, I think I'm leaning toward Chad
Brown because I think his stakes record this year was incredible.
And I think he for all of the other, you know all the things
about New York and Kentucky and his he he only runs in a very
specific number of places. It's actually very interesting.
I was doing a, you know, a piece on my Derby top five the other
day and I went, I wonder where he ships his Derby.
He doesn't ship his Derby horses.
They just run in Aqueduct and then they run in Belmont and
then they're ready for the Derby if if they are or not.
Essentially I think I'm leading Chad Brown.
I have Brad Cox right there with him, a rare year where I'm not
probably putting Bob Baffert in my top three just and that's
something I haven't said. I, you know, I've been doing
these interviews for 3-4 years. I've been voting.
Obviously this is my second year, but I didn't think I'd say
that. But you know, a guy like Belmont
had a really exceptional year as well.
Where's Steve Kornacki? This was this was one of the
hardest categories, you know, for me and I I kind of I well,
this is also one as we're talking, I still have a few days
to change my mind and I am, I am tempted to do something with a
third place. But I was saying this earlier
where you kind of get a little creative and there's there's I
have a thought here on the 3rd place vote and I'm curious I'll
run it by you what you think of it but yeah I, I, I pretty sure
I'm going with Cox on top OK grade one wins just you know
number of winners all you know things like that.
I right now I have Bill Mott 2nd and you know he's I think he's
there with ten grade ones you know compared to 15 and or 12
excuse me. And I to me it was I looked at
my horse of the year list and I said two of my final three were
trained by Bill Mott. So you know if you got Cody's
wish and you got elite power and it's the same trainer I think
that's worth something you know the three Breeders' Cup of wins
I start looking at. I said there's a quality over
quantity argument there. I think with with Mott, so I put
him second. Now third is where it gets
interesting because logically that's where I wouldn't go to.
I'm going to put Chad Brown at the very, very logical, you
know, part of my head wins out on this.
And for all the reasons you just said, if you go off the beaten
path here it's going to be Rick Dutrow.
And it's because you know, comes back in the middle of the year
off a 10 year ban and trains the Breeders Cup Classic winner.
And it's not just taking over a horse who was already in
grateful. I mean White Abario looked
finished to a lot of people and he gets that horse going, you
know, in the MIT mile and then just takes off Whitney Breeders'
Cup Classic and all of a sudden we're talking about you know the
best older dirt male in the country potentially.
So that turn around job winning a couple of others, I mean he
turned around, you know a week after that Breeders' Cup and and
won the great stakes. So it's one of those.
The stats obviously aren't there, but the accomplishment,
the singular accomplishment of White Abario?
With all of the other factors at play, I'm I'm tempted to put in
3rd there. Yeah, I'm always fascinated too
by but because I imagine a lot of 2nd and 3rd place votes are
going to go to places like Jenna Antonucci, right.
And I I think if if you applied dual logic about Bill Mott to
her right, smaller barn got Archangelo to a level that we
didn't see with another three-year old dirt male for
example. If you wanted to make that
argument, I think I would. I would listen for sure.
It wouldn't be on my ballot. I think I would listen to it for
sure. Other people that I just like
like I think Mike Maker is such an interesting trainer just
switching surfaces kind of has a Doug O'Neill east of the Rocky
Mountains. Kind of like why not us, You
know figure it out kind of attitude, which I like a guy
like Larry Ravelli who's you know, balling out at Hawthorne
and Turfway in different places like that.
I have a soft spot for these smaller tracks and that sort of
thing. But yeah, no, just an
interesting, it's actually an interesting year if you wanted
to get down into the weeds of things.
You know, Brittany Russell is an incredible trader on the
Maryland circuit. And I I'm sure she's not going
to get many votes, but I think she, you know, if you voted for
her, I think it would be totally acceptable.
We haven't brought up, you know, traders like Brendan Walsh or
Doug O'Neill or Graham Motion or any of those guys who've done a
great job as well. But it's going to be it's going
to be the best I I the guy I didn't mention that now that
you've made your case about Bill Mott that I might put in mind is
Todd Fletcher because he had the best 2 two year olds in my
opinion. So I think there's a chance that
that's the guy that I'll end up putting at the top of my list.
All right jockey. Speaking of Speaking of the next
category here, IRAD is probably going to win this thing, and I
don't think it's a bad thing that IRAD would win again
because I do think he's the most talented jockey that we have in
North American racing. After him, though, who?
Who is Steve Kornacki leaning on?
I'm doing my best in my head to get away from focusing in on
Tyler Gaffilion, who I see right a lot because I finish my show
at noon less than a mile from Churchill Downs and I leave the
studio and then I go watch Tyler win 5 races a day at Churchill
Downs. I I'm with you.
I, you know, I just I think it's, I think it's Irad.
It has to be Irad. Just it's hard to make an
argument against that body of work.
My second place vote though went to Javier Castellano and I just,
it's a great story. You know when we talk about that
forever, whatever is that that's worth.
And it may be worth nothing in his voting, but it was just a
big year for him to get the Derby, to get the Belmont, to
get the traffic, to get these marquee races.
It's sort of like the the quality over quantity argument
I'm making with Mott. I think I'm making with
Castellano too on some of the biggest days and some of the
biggest spots he was there. So I I I want to reward that and
then I kind of revert a little bit.
Not that creative, but I revert more to the stats for 3rd place
and that leads me to Flavi and Pratt for 3rd place.
Again, just just on the the wins, the grade, the grade,
stakes wins, all that sort of thing.
I mean he he'll be second to IRAD there.
So I I put him on my ballot for that reason.
I'm in a college market here for radio, Steven, so we talk a lot
of college football. And one of the arguments I've
made recently is that we were better off before the BCS and
before the 14th playoff, just regionally voting on who the
national title winner was. Because the new system is so
convoluted now, I think moving to more teams and actually
having a legitimate playoff will change sort of the the landscape
of that. And I wonder if we were thinking
about old time college football, how many votes, say, from
California writers Juan Hernandez would get right?
Because the guy just dominates out West and you know, before
his move to New York and then, you know still summering, excuse
me, wintering. I had said I needed with Flavia
and Pratt how many people really soft lobbying for what he is.
I think he might be actually the best stakes rider in the
country. I think he's right there with
IRAD might be a touch better in my in my eyes and just number of
starts. I mean he's got what, 600 less
starts, 550 less starts than IRAD and only three less grade
one wins. I mean that's something, right?
And so that kind of stands out to me.
If we're doing purely quality, I probably would lean toward
Flavian Pratt. I think he's that good.
The other guy you didn't mention and it goes along with the Bill
motto arguments. Junior Alvarado Junior's had a
really, really fine year as well, third and grade one wins
with eight of them. That's a lot more than Javier
Castellano, who had a banner year for Javier freaking
Castellano, who's had an unbelievable career as well.
So yeah, it's a fun, it's a fun category this year.
I do think IRAD ends up winning it just by numbers and and
volume in general. But if someone wanted to make
the case for a Pratt or an Alvarado or Castellano, I would
not. I wouldn't argue.
Yeah, no, actually I I agree with you on Alvarado.
I think ultimately my thought on on Castellano too wasn't just
winning those marquee signature races.
It was also it was the fact that those horses weren't favorites.
You know to do it with mage, you know to do it with.
I mean now we we say one thing about Archangelo, but we weren't
saying it before Belmont, you know so I I think that that goes
he wasn't riding horses that were supposed to win.
His record in the Traverse is unbelievable.
I mean, it's stunning, frankly. I mean, and so yeah, no, it's
fun, fun watching those things as well.
How do you do your owner vote? Yeah, I mean, this is 1 again
where I look at the stat. I mean, it's just pretty much
statistical based. And I what I came up with was
actually, I'll tell you exactly how I did it.
Good Dolphin, to me just just towers in in every category and
you know it. It gets my first place vote and
I just look at Juddmont and Clairevich and to me it was
between them for 2nd and 3rd and I just they were very close and
I ran the the win percentage for each and for Clairevich it was
25.7 and for Juddmont it was 24.8 so I gave 2nd place to
Clairevich. Well, math from Steve Kornacki.
Who knew? Yeah, it's unbelievable, man.
Grade one wins this year. Golden twelve.
Grade one winners this year. That's an insane number.
When Juddmont had seven, Rappoli came in with five this year and
didn't get to run Forte. I think he's going to end up in
my That group's going to end up in my top three this year, just
because I think we talk about making headlines and doing those
things. I think his conversation around
the MTA and those kinds of things, even if it doesn't work,
is good for the sport long term. Like, those kinds of
conversations I think are really positive.
Once in a while, in any field, you need someone just kind of
pushing the envelope and pushing things along, and Michael Poli
is willing to do that. Now.
He's got lots of advantages to doing that, but at least if
someone's willing to do it, he might get a vote for me just for
that reason. That's interesting.
I hadn't thought of that, but that angle in terms of good for
the sport, But I agree with you, I like Ripoli, I think he is
good for the sport. I think what he's doing is just
getting at least the conversation started.
So I I think that's a good contribution.
You got Axel Concepcion for your apprentice rider.
I, yeah, I think so. Again, just look at those, look
at those stats that. Guy.
That guy can ride, man. I could.
We watched the lot in. Kentucky I got, yeah, yeah,
yeah, he's my. I got him in the top slot there.
I got Jaime Torres second, third.
I'm kind of going back and forth a little bit.
But yeah, that's that's one of those categories where I I knew
last year when I got my ballot, I said I wasn't as prepared for
this one as I should be. So I paid a little attention, I
think, this year. There you go.
Did you get nominated for an Eclipse award ever?
Have you won one, Steve? Have I won?
I'm sorry, no, I I have not not been dominated.
But I I consider an honor to vote.
There you go, dude. So like, they just do, they just
hand it to Britney Ertin. How does that work on the NBC
side? No, she, I think she's been.
She plays a role in the ceremony, right?
Yeah, yeah. So she it's this year, it's her
Nick Luck and Gabby got. It.
OK. That's great.
Yeah. Do you make the trip for that?
I think we're going to go just because it's in South Florida in
January. Yeah.
I would. I would love to.
It's it's yeah, well it's timed out too with the, you know with
the Pegasus. But unfortunately for me,
that'll be right between the New Hampshire primary and the Nevada
caucuses. So I'm I'm.
Going to How busy is How busy are zero and four years for you?
Yeah, I mean it's it's, I'm bracing myself.
We're less than three weeks from Iowa and it's do.
You travel for those. Do you Are you actually like,
are you going to Iowa to do it? No, because that that board I
use with the election results doesn't travel well.
So we leave it in the studio. It's like, it's like trying to
get a horse across the country to, you know, to run in or.
But now Steven? Is shipping container and send
him to Des Moines, that's. Right.
Can't invade it out to Des Moines, so you know.
Well, that extra Steve Kornacki, I like it.
All right, Well, Steve, how do people find your stuff?
And I heard you have a podcast that isn't this one.
I did it, yeah. It's a it's not a regular
podcast. It's an episodic one if you're
interested in politics at all. If you're interested in modern
political history, it's about the 1994 Republican revolution.
The rise of Newt Gingrich called the revolution.
Just search for that and any of your podcast things.
I I thought it came out really well and I was happy with it.
And yeah, I mean, I'm on Twitter, but it's the most
boring account you could possibly.
Follow. It's just I disagree, I, you did
a cool. You did a cool analysis the
other day, and I appreciated this and and I'll let you go
after this. You compared this year's primary
candidates on the Republican side, especially to candidates
for the George W Bush, John McCain election.
And I thought that was really interesting because it gave some
perspective of here's what happened before, here's how
people are polling, here's what came of that election.
And you kind of applied it to today, which is interesting.
We obviously don't need to get into who those people are or
anything else, but you can find that on Steve's Twitter feed for
sure, and of course on NBC with all of his coverage.
I got one question. I don't want to blow up.
If you do this to somebody else. Did we do Horse of the year?
Did you want to? We did not do Horse of the Year.
That's a good catch by Steve Kornacki as it is my nose.
We did not go through it. Do you have a Horse of the Year,
young Steve? The reason I mentioned it was,
yeah, this is the one. This is the one I was I was most
ready for because this is the vote.
I I you know again like the expectations are Cody's wish is
going to get this. My vote is going to Idiomatic
and I part of this is just I had a real hard time looking at the
like Cody's wish for instance. You know the inability to
stretch out and you know this you know ran five times.
But sort of, you know to run as often in as many places as
idiomatic did and to win and to win and to win.
I just think it's the most consistent body of work that any
horse put up at an elite level. And I know the knock one of the
knocks an idiomatic is never ran against males.
And it's true. Although you know I was looking
back to see if I could find some precedent for that.
There's Azeri in 2002 and and I think in a year when to me, you
know, there was no male horse that really just stood out to
take the award. I think it's the kind of year
where you can look at a horse like Idiomatic and say, you know
what, I think this is the best resume, the best body of work,
and it's nice to reward a horse that runs, relatively speaking,
as often as she did. No, that's a great point by you.
I really wish Master the Season won the Turf Mile at Keeneland,
'cause then he would have been 3 for three this year after a win
and ask it and I could have just been like, it's my horse of the
year, kind of unfortunately buy a Nose homage there at Keeneland
late in the year. So, Steve Kornacki, we
appreciate you very much. We will talk to you next time,
my friend. But Zach, go ahead and play the
music. Get us out of here.
I'm Louie Rebeau at Radio Louie. You can find our our show at
Horse Happy Hour, of course, on Twitter as well.
Back tonight's 7:00 show, Road to the Preakness.
We begin those episodes Danielman, John Piasik as well
tonight. So we'll see you everybody here
on the horse racing.