Louis talks with Zach about Oaks / Derby Points and gives his Pick 3 for the Prairie Bayou.
The Prairie Bayou and Oaks / Derby Points Hottakes. Sponsored by Green Sheets Racing
Full Transcript
All right, welcome in audio only December Edition.
Horse racing. Happy hour hanging out with you.
SOG starting over on me for no reason that Gator Louis Robo
hanging out with you for the next?
I don't know. Six seven minutes.
Something like that. To remind you that we had a
song. There You Go.
Apparently, we're streaming to Twitch.
You may want to kill that Zach. I am lubos Exeter hanging out
with you. It is Prairie by you weekend.
It's her fate. Park the weekend.
All of us look forward to get out of the way Breeders Cup.
Get out of the way. Kentucky Derby.
It is Prairie by you Saturday at Turfway Park.
Zack, how you doing man? Doing good.
You know, we're headed out an RV trip for the holidays.
Oh yeah. This next year is looking great
for horse racing. You know, who talked to me about
it, you know, you know. So we had a one of our singles
of the weekend came through. We had a nice weekend, it will
get out last week. And phase that comes through
wins the Starlet. I mentioned last week to Jose
Contreras when he was on something that I look at when I
when I watch the bathroom horses to rolls three-year-olds, I
think he tips his hand with how he trains.
Them Faisal was the only horse that had a seven.
Furlong time to work out prior to the weekend that to me just
you know flashing lights, Flavia private hanging around it right
at freaking love salad so that the Hello, all of those things
added up to her being the favorite for that last race of
the day and she comes through in the grade 1 and of course
because of that being trained by Bob, baffert is not eligible for
those. Kentucky Oaks points and I got a
nice, note, the day after, and still editing me Johns River,
from the only times pointing out that in the current system.
My complaints about them. Moving horses up into slots is
not true. They just vacate the spots now
and actually I agree with that. I'm glad they're doing that now.
That's what we talked about being the right decision in
general. Correct.
Yeah and so obviously they're already doing that, which is
great. So no winners points out of the
Scarlet, D grade 1, Starlet out at La Salle, last weekend,
that's just sort of the re the reality these things.
Of course, Pride to the Nile comes in that race as well.
He's part of the know she'll purr.
I don't know. Yes, she ran second in the
Starlet obviously daughter Pioneer than I'll And so, she
gets four points out of that race.
Whoo. And it just the dumbest.
I can't believe they're doing this and it's so of course on
the Oakside got water wheel on top.
She's had the performances can't hold anything against her.
Yeah, she wins. She wins the Breeders Cup.
Juvenile fillies at Keeneland. She wins the alcibiades takes at
Keeneland as well beforehand in October with the debutante at
Churchill Downs, Windsor Maiden race.
First time out in June horse has done.
Absolutely nothing. Wrong four runs and four wins
for her. She sits Atop The Leaderboard on
the Oakside. Everyone who listens to this.
Show knows that I'm a Hoosier, Philly, absolute Maniac.
I think she's the best two-year-old in training right
now, male or female going to turns wins Goldenrod, like to
come out, great to at Churchill Downs.
Love that she has that experience at Churchill, while
the rags to riches. Also to -16 that Churchill, that
was a Halloween weekend. And the previous month.
And then of course one of the Bourbon Trail steaks at five and
a half furlongs earlier in her career in September.
So I just I haven't seen a horse quite as good as who's your
Filly. Again, I don't think Thomas is
one that leans into hyperbole to terribly often.
So I trust him when he says this is the best horse I've ever
trained. He even made a comment after
that, Golden Rod, that maybe he'd be in the Winner's Circle
across the track, which is where only the Derby winner goes.
And so I've been very clear Mike and I are going to start order
be rankings in January, I think there's a very very good chance.
Hoosier Philly will be on the top of my Derby rankings.
Despite the fact that again Wonder Wheel trademark Cassie,
it's a three chimneys product, almost a million and a half
bucks in earnings and her life has done.
Absolutely nothing wrong. We get another Derby prep this
weekend out at La Salle it is the low self eternity Five
Horses, unfortunately, shorter filled.
Their those Health attorney is a pretty good predictor for good
horse. Bob baffert uses it as A spring,
a spring board for many of his three-year-old campaigns and it
is a, you know, I mean if you think about who's won it, it
slow down ND last year, but Messier was also in that race.
You know, you get that you get that kind of pedigree of horses
that that you want, frankly, in those kinds of things, it
includes Stevens. Odyssey snow, Chief, best pal,
AP Indy. Shared belief.
I mean, this is a who's who of top.
Horses come out of this race at the little o self.
Eternity, the sort of ridiculous thing about it is of course,
because of the new point system, they will give out five slots of
points and there are only five runners in the field.
So if you just show up, you get points on the Kentucky Derby
Trail. As long as you're not trained by
my back, and so look at that field on Saturday, in the, in
the low sound Futurity, if you're wondering who those
horses were and we talked a little bit last week with and
that that As early in the card, by the way, to 450 Eastern Time
race, they moved it up to race for because of the short field.
Excuse me a caramel roads in that race trained by Bob baffert
Fort. Bragg is then that race trained
by Bob baffert Fort Bragg coming out of a maiden win caramel Road
ran last time out in that breeders Futurity at Keeneland
we were wondering if we were going to see some of those
horses come from Keeneland to run in the fraternity.
We're only going to get him and then and that's and then Arabia
lion who is Bob baffert's, what do we have here?
Kind of horses, son to justify six hundred thousand dollar
purchase for the design of the zidane team.
Excuse me, John Velazquez aboard for that?
One comes out of an optional claim or a hundred thousand
dollar not to lifers. Not a baby available.
Of course for claim that day at Keeneland random bit, right?
A big race ramps. Second was one of Bob's more
disappointing horses on that Friday Breeders Cup went off is
a massive favorite lesson less than even money will be 4 to 5.
In this one is probably your likely Winner of course is
stretching out to go to turns for the first time caramel road.
If you wanted someone else to look at did go the two terms but
was not very good in the Breeders fraternity.
Unfortunately. So I don't think you could glean
a lot from that performance Fort Bragg.
His other horse here, they did Stretch him out with Edwin
Maldonado. Flavia Pratt's gonna ride this
weekend for his Maiden, win at Santa Anita.
So they, you know, tried. They tried them.
I'll try the five and a half for a long before that did win that
second race out. Going a mile But was
disqualified in a second place with Juan Hernandez aboard.
I don't think that Fabien Pratt's on this horse by
accident. And so, if you wanted a longer
horse, try to get a little bit of a price.
Maybe look at Fort Bragg, who doesn't have that experience?
Go to turns and gets quality and pedalboard in that one and so
it'll be interesting to see. Timmy acting trains the for
practical move here, who did run in the Bob, Hope and did not run
a terrible race that all you do get Ramon Vasquez here.
So we're doing a jockey chain. For drain VanDyke but the horse
does not have that to turn experience quite yet.
And so did break his Maiden in that Grace actually against Fort
Bragg, moved up a spot because the DQ over at Santa Anita and
so it'll be interesting to see how he reacts to the mile and a
16th at La Salle. But I don't this is one Zach
unfortunately because of whose training that I just I don't
know that we're going to learn a lot you know for Avian lion,
here we go, we go. Well yeah you know that's that's
that's Bob baffert and I can't talk about the training patterns
and then not bring them up. All three of these horses are
training, like you think they're serious horses, five for a long
six, furlongs sort of workouts. Some from, you know, it all in
all the pattern that he likes where, you know, they're all
training pretty much exactly the same way and six furlongs, five
for lunch and cetera. All of them in 111 or 59 or a
minute or minute 12 and 14, that kind of thing.
And so all of you horses, Civ Arabian line six hundred
thousand dollar purchase Fort Bragg seven hundred thousand
dollar purchase calmer Road. Six hundred fifty thousand
dollar purchase. I mean, apparently to get into
this race, you had spent over half a million bucks to get in.
It's time. It is what it is.
We're going to have five horses out there and only two of them
are going to get dirty points. And so it's just the reality of
the situation. I think the ironic part is Timmy
acting does train, the for here in Practical move.
How many of these horses will tip you actually be training
quote-unquote in April so that they can qualify for the Derby
is the question. Yeah.
Probably find out later. That was my laypersons question
of the week which is like what's the cool-off period?
If I want Bob baffert to train my horse but I want to run in
the Kentucky Derby. Yeah.
So I think there are two schools of thought on this.
The first is there's the Grinders pass to the Kentucky
Derby where you're trying to pick off points, you know, we
can call it even the, you know, the king Guillermo, where you
pick off a 50 pointer and then run second or third and
100-point race. And if you heard King Guillermo,
you do need to drink, you know, it could be that path to the
derby or you're the hunter Point path of the Derby.
If you just win, the Santa Anita Derby, the Arkansas Derby, the
Florida Derby, something like that.
By the way, did you see the news this week?
The Jeff Ruby Stakes is now, a grade three, seven hundred
thousand dollars, That wasn't the question that I
was asking what I'm asking is Bob.
Baffert is my trainer now. What's my cool-off period?
Which trainers? So is there a 5-4 as long as
your horse qualifies under someone else's name in any of
those qualifying races you're good to go.
Do you think he could stop being the traitor from they did it
last year and it was not a success on Derby day?
I don't know that it was Tim yet, teens fault.
I'm sure that he had very specific instructions from Bob
baffert about what to do for a derby.
But you know, there is yeah, no seriously.
And then there's, but there is There is something about the
individual trainer that you can't replicate with another
person, just right? Because if that were the case,
you know all the horses would go to the gate of 521 to be never
be able to figure it out. So it's you know, with with the
baffert trainees, you know, let's look at the ownership
groups here. So for Bragg's is star is a star
light. Caramel roads of Starlight
Arabian line is add on all of those are groups that expect to
have a derby starter. That's just how they are they
operate. Starlet racing of course, is a
partly owned by local group here in Louisville.
You know, Kelly met farmer owns. The one in this race as well.
Practical move is owned by the a mistake family, you know?
So I but those other three horses that are with a fur right
now. I mean, I think there's an
expectation that, you know, you run in the low self returning,
you are one of those horses that we mentioned, right?
Yeah, eventually, you turn into either grade one winner or a
super high level horse. Like an AP Indy a shared belief
as well. And so, to answer your question,
Zack, I think you get to February.
You start making decisions, you get to risen star time at the
50-point races start, and you got to make a decision on
whether your horse is going to stay there or maybe move to a
different Barn, it'll be interesting.
I think after the results last year if people decide to stay
and do the go, the Timmy I tear out or if we see I don't know if
you see a caramel road with atop pleasure or a brad Cox or a
Steve asmussen or you know Tommy and it's one of those guys
right. Someone who's had success the
first weekend in May, who is that person going to be this
year as Bob, baffert has to sit out one more dirty before he's
really Reinstated and allowed to run horses at Churchill Downs.
We will be talking late sequence at Turfway on Saturday,
Seventy-Six thousand dollar allowance, that Prairie by you.
That I think is a excuse me, as good a field as we have this
weekend, I think there's a reason that the leading Rider a
Turf way is on the favorite in the favorites for 21 as
lukewarm, my friends and so that'll be a fun one and then
we'll talk about the main. The clothes that card as well.
My sequence in the sheet Green Sheet racing Green Street
Racing.com is the late Pick 3. We're going to try to punch it
for two bucks plate for like a 24-inch dollar ticket.
Which means, you know, if you just wanted to bleep around, you
could play it for six bucks. It's it.
So you could just have five six bucks on over the weekend and
kind of watch and play. That way, I do have a single in
the sequence that I think improves the value of the ticket
itself. Again, Green Street Racing.com,
we were going to have met you Michael's house key on this
week, because I think something significant happened last month
and he wrote what I consider to be the most important article
about it. Matt's been on the show before
Vegas guy, New York guy, and Saratoga kid on his birthday
gets whooping cough and covid both.
I'm here to tell you is the guy whose head covid, but never had
Open, golf. I don't want any part of that.
I want it digitally. I don't want it in my house.
I don't want it in my town, like none of it.
I mean, and it is someone I don't want to.
Movie about it. I don't want to read an article
like none of its people. Yeah, man.
Oh man. No, I just it's not a terribly
texted me last night he's like I can't talk.
Sorry man. Let's try to let you give me
time to make plans for this it's okay but I want to go through
this in 20 years or next week. Okay.
But on November 29 on USPS.com Matt, Matt published an article
titled DraftKings to launch horse racing platform in deal
with Churchill Downs and Yes, Zack.
You listen to this show for a long time and something that
Mike and I talked about, I mean, as long as I could remember, is
who is going to figure out the platform where the funds mingle
interchangeably between sports betting in horse betting?
Yeah, this is it sounds like this is at least people are
setting themselves up to be able to do it.
This isn't going to be exactly that but between the deals that
Churchill science with FanDuel in September and now with Of
Kings. But MGM has a deal now with my
row with the New York Racing Association, you know, Caesars
sponsored several other graded Stakes that Aires summer meet.
And so people are seeing the value in this in, here's where I
think this goes back, remember with that, with sports bets,
you're betting against the house and so if someone sits down on a
Sunday and Bets, I don't know the the Steelers.
Is money line for the Steelers Patriots over.
They got to wait three and a half four hours for that to come
back and it's a neat and it's an even money bet.
You can bet on a horse and a minute and 30 seconds later you
can all whether I got money. Well in on top of it you can bet
probably 30 horse races during the one football game.
Oh my gosh. Yes.
And and remember for them Yes, but obviously the sports
betting, is the bigger number overall, but the churn of sports
of horse racing during that game can start to add up pretty
quickly for them. So if they can find that
crossover, what they want you to do, is sit on your couch, you've
got the game on your big screen or you got red zone or whatever.
It is, you're watching your fantasy team, whatever it might
be, you know, your fantasy team results.
And then on your phone, you're looking at the horse races and
I'm sure plenty of people do this already in States, like
Michigan and Indiana. And in other places Florida and
so I'm sure this is going on in lots of spots, but the idea is
to do it all on one spot so that they're getting both that atw
percentage and events deposit wagering by the way, sorry, on
the horse racing side and then we're getting you to just lose
your overbet Patriots, Steelers game that we reference that does
not actually exist. I just made it up, but I thought
this was interesting because it's something that we I've
talked about for a long time, how do you not officially mingle
the funds so that you don't, you know, come under the ire of
regulators. But how do you do it in a way on
an app? Where the funds can go back and
forth between the accounts? If you hit a 12:45 kind of horse
or you hit an Exacta for you know that $2 Act of the pays 80
bucks, can you turn around then it bet that as a 55 Dollar Bet
to win 50 for the on the lines or something moneyline you know,
that kind of thing. And so that's what I'm looking
forward to. I think that it can be a net
Mega positive for Jason and I mean yeah, make a positive going
forward. If they can get can get guys
during your college. Saturday during a NFL Sunday to
be just, you know. Okay who's running today, great
loss, A Locum that looks out who's running today.
Okay, Gulfstream crate I'm bettin Gloucester who's running
Aqueduct great. I'll do that.
So I think you'd be in that positive that way and frankly
pretty significant positive Zack.
What are your thoughts on it? So the thing for me and you're
going to laugh is these companies are used to fixed
odds. Wagering.
Yeah. And I am wondering interesting
up how soon it's going to be Matt, mentions it at the end of
the article how soon it's going to be before those companies are
just like, hey guess what, we're going to do our own fixed odd,
wagering on top of being and you know the trick paramutual and
and then that way, They are there bookmakers.
They're not doing paramutual bets there.
You're betting against the house and, and they just they try and
get people on that string. Now, the book of horse racing,
as you said, multiple times, when I bring this up, they're
not going fixed odds. People like paramutual like
millions and millions of dollars going to paramutual No One.
You know, the vast majority of people are not unhappy with the
way pari-mutuel betting works. But if you can bring in even 10%
more people by bringing on fixed odds and letting them like you
said, during a Chiefs Chargers game be like, boom.
I'm gonna bet three, two, one on this horse.
Whoo, let's go find box here. Folks are ya?
You could limit the amount that you're allowed to bet on fixed
odds. Like you could do all of course
to make it so that you don't have, you know, mattress Matt
comes in and is like, I'll take 10 to 1 odds on this horse three
days before and the horses like 52 for the day of.
Yeah. Right, bam.
Yeah, you know, so it'll be interesting to watch, but I do
think that that will be a big litmus test for horse racing
going forward because you know, essentially for many years, the
only for you could bet on your phone was horse race.
Icing. And we spent 20 years quibbling
between the states and not figuring it out.
It's here we are. And so this is a chance for them
to to, right, some wrongs in the last couple of decades, and
it'll be interesting to see going forward with that is again
available at US, Vets USPS.com and our guide by Rivals house
key. Happy birthday.
Matt feel better. We'll talk to you.
That horrible blow. It sounds awful.
But let's get out through our, our third segment here, which is
the handicapping out at I should probably have this in front of
me so that I sound a reasonably intelligent for from our friends
at Green Street Racing in Greece.
You racing.com go find all of my Lake sequence work out there.
My looks likely winner, the day, the favorite I me and all of
those things in the sheet and of course you can find all of their
handicappers work as well compared to mine and to your own
views of the sheep at Green Sheet racing.com.
All right. So you know, I'm intentionally
if anyone's wondering hey, why is it Louis talking about the
Olympics for I will be completely transparent with you.
Good listener, Race by the Turfway Park on Saturday, is a
nightmare. It's a nightmare, and I want
nothing to do with it. I mean, nothing.
I don't want to be near it. I don't want to bet it.
I don't want to thing to do with it.
I think there are horses in here that I look at, and I'm like,
you're 41. Why you're 62 one?
That seems too long. You're coming out of a tent
first sloppy track at Churchill, going to turns and other cutting
you back to a Sprint. Why like?
I like I don't get any of it. I don't get any of it.
So I'm staying away from that race.
I'm just I'm punting. All I would be doing is telling
you to punch like eight horses in that race in race five.
There, I just, if that's how you want to play the pig for try to
get some value, try to, you know, figure it out on the way,
go, skinnier later in the ticket.
I would not blame you. I think that's a reasonable tack
to take light the card on Peru by you day here at church.
Turf way. I'm simply not going to join you
in that effort instead up, like I said, I'm gonna punch the the
pick three. I'm gonna probably play two
dollar ticket. Try to hit it four times and the
idea there being, you know, that if it does pay sixty seventy to
one that, you know, will get, you know, 250, $300 back on our
$24 bat, something like that. So let's go to worry.
It is it allows for not horses, who have never won three races
three year olds and up six. And I for a long, On that
synthetic course they're in Florence and Seventy-Six
thousand dollar purse. It's it's it's silly.
What they're doing out there? It's unbelievable.
I would I would again because I'm playing the pick three and
I'm going to try to play it for a couple bucks.
I had to go skinny in a couple races.
This was one of them. I think the favorites here, our
favorites for a reason. Cool, houses in this race, the
nine trade by Paulo Lobo written by Gerardo torrado careless with
the lead writer of Pthere. And this is a horse.
Coming off a claim that from Brad Cox who had this horse.
Going to terms Apollo was going to turn this horse back off, the
layoff, from June, listen to all of these.
Coming off a six month. Layoff 27%.
Winners route to Sprint, 26% winners.
First time with the trainer 36% winners and in allowance races,
he wins at 24 percent of the time, 27% in Sprints, obviously,
they think they have something here.
What's interesting is, if you look at how the horse was
running over to turns and they were running them in high-level
competition at Churchill Downs, the reason that that he was so
successful is because he was a front runner who got out front,
stayed out fun. Well, guess what we're doing
here. We're spreading.
So if the horse can get out front, stay out front.
He's going to be just fine. Even just going six and a half
lakhs. I trust you around Carlos, who's
winning at 34% going to get to today at Turfway park that is an
absurd number. The two of them will Top my pic
here in this race. I do think we'll to run the one
who's coming out of a huge run at five furlongs at Churchill
Downs. For three-year-olds and up my
bed and Colebrook Lou Ann Machado another Rider that I
really like it to head out to her.
Play comes in on this one. The two of them do hook up, a
fair amount of times, they hit a 22% together and this horse just
I think a little, this is bias. I have watched this race.
Just shot out of the cannon last time and one with China was the
board last time. Guess who's on this horse?
Before that her attacker Ellis. Well, he can't ride two horses.
And so will the run is going to be in this gets Lasix for the
third time. I like this horse in this spot
because I think that he's going to be part of that early speed.
I don't think the rails of problem because amicable the
horse next to him isn't going to break very quickly and I do want
to be clear, I'm trying to beat the favorite here which is the
three prime factor 522 with with Kieran else in the in a irons.
He is 04:29 to start the meat. Cherie Devoe is a very fine
strainer, she's very good but she is she's not having the good
meat with very few horses, excuse me.
Right now at surf way the two of them very very rarely hook up.
The throne, the blinkers on this one, Randa Aqueduct, last time
out in that Belmont meet their did run a good second under
Manny Franco on the turf. So if this horse jumps up and
wins don't be surprised. Randy 92 speed figure 185
thousand dollar purchase on a quality Road four-year-old would
not be so shocking. I'm just going to try to beat
this horse here and I'm going to use the nine cool house in the
one-wheel to run to try to beat that horse in this one.
The next is the furry body. The Prayer by you is a listed
Six Mile and an eighth on the synthetic for three-year-olds
and up its 125 thousand dollars in the purse in this this race.
If you if you watch horse racing has a bunch of horses you know
from Turf stakes and listed stakes and different things in
love, the Brazilian bread for Apollo 11.
Sweater Corrales is the one in this race accredits in this race
who just won the Sycamore, excuse me, a credit, just won
the duel and ground stir. Last year at Kentucky down, took
a fair amount of time off came back.
This year has yet to win this year but as run third twice, and
second, once in four starts this year filled past everybody drink
friend of the show, one of my favorite horses.
The last couple of years has only won once this year in 8
runs and it was through disqualification at the Texas
curve classic out of Milan and a that Lone Star.
They took a megacity down in that race under Javier
Castellano, but that horse has graded Stakes wins.
It's in its past including the Seabiscuit handicap out of
telmar going to turns on the turf beatboxes in this race.
This is a horse that's 1/3 times the Turfway Park, it's the five.
I expect him to be part of the equation as well has been at the
lower level running in some of those races but did when the
Duck Commander in February here and that was at a mile and a
sixteenth has been off since April and that but that is for
Sheree de vaux who would just talked about in the last race is
the Jingle for her horses. Come back at 26 percent off a
layoff with her 25%, when they've been off, first off the
claim, or at least switching bars, she was at one out of nine
ish in steaks right now. Her Declan Cannon have never
connected on a horse but Declan starting to ride a bit more at
Turfway. Again, the horse 141 of the
distance and has won three times of Turfway Park, so he might be
one that you want to use chalices in this race and other
horse. That people probably know has
won this year in the Louisville. Over the mile and a half over
good go in May at Churchill when the turquoise was still a
turkey. And then came back and ran to
that Arlington million in Turf way.
Excuse me, Churchill nowhere to be found and then was part of
that blanket finish in the mile and a half.
Sycamore last timeout. It at Keeneland in October, give
the horse a little bit of time off here.
A couple months off and for Rusty Arnold.
That's, it's an okay tag for who percent.
The two of them are 149 him and Chris Landeros Slade arrows.
Having a slower start to this meat than I expected at Turfway.
I don't know if it's the mounts or just what's going on with
him. But it's just not not been as
good for him as it has been in another interesting horse here.
That's been running all over the place.
Frankly is Hozier. The 74 rid of per se in Alex's
sharp. Last time out to show was on the
tour. C 1 over 2 turns at Indiana and
a horseshoe. Go to my little 16 on that.
Turf course, interesting entry. Here comes back on the dirt at a
mile and an eighth in the River City handicap listed Stakes at
Churchill Downs. Wins again.
So goes dirt. It seems.
His Turf goes dirt, wins those back-to-back and now is coming
back and possibly running on the synthetic.
He is entered at Oaklawn Park as well on December 17th.
And so we will see if he decides to run at her point or in Excuse
me or in Oakland Park. I also think hear me song is an
interesting horse. Here are the nine.
Massive feat figures the last couple of times out one over
sloppy. Go at Churchill over that one
mile one. Turn course going second place
in an optional claimer 250,000 dollars at Gerber else in the
irons for that one Alex. Richard was in the in the short
and the irons for this horse before what it wanted.
These optional claimer level before two enzymes runs this
year. I think this is the kind of
course you have to include it. Your exact or Trifecta has won
at Turf way before five seconds this year and nine runs act has
made almost a quarter million dollars.
Just this year as a four-year-old gelding son of
cross traffic. It can be imagined dude.
Yeah, he breathes his horse and for 7,500 dollars.
He's made over three hundred fifty thousand dollars in his
life. That's a that's an awesome
horse. So the connections there, you
know, Stinson in the training in the trainer group, they're not
Not a guy that I think of as a Stakes winning trainer.
So this could be a, this is an opportunity for him to jump up
with a with a four year old gelding and really put his name
on the map. That way, I mean in some of
these horses like be Doc is in this race.
The 10 for this Cano and Mora and the two of them don't hook
up a lot. It's the horse first off, the
claim, coming out of Keeneland Dead Heat for first place.
Last time out. And I just Sometimes that
translates off the dirt to the synthetic, he's 1418 land.
Remora is with his last 18, synthetic Runner.
So that's a horse. I'm leaving off of my ticket
price. Talk is coming in here, man.
And this feels like a brad Cox special.
Fernando de la Cruz in the irons of to them hitting together at
30% recently horses, 5413 Lifetime, on Excuse me on the
turf 142 over sloppy go as well. Most recently go running second
in a Belmont. Optional claimer, back in June
over sloppy, go did win back-to-back listed steaks over
sloppy, go and Mountaineer in the West Virginia speaker and
then and then came back in the green at Remington Park over
firm. Go at a mile and an eighth slow
fractions. There got a perfect stocking
Pace. It's going to be faster than
that. Just Because of the nature
Turfway, you know, 23 to 23, that kind of thing.
So he's going to have to be a little bit faster that way, but
we've seen him do it before in other spots ran, just ahead
behind an optional clamored. Any integrand at Horseshoe three
back with Fernando de la Cruz, who gets them out again here.
And that was a considerably faster racing.
So he's capable of it, we'll just see if he's able to put it
together that day. Man, I mentioned a bunch of
horseshit so that's how old would wide open.
I think the Prairie by you is, I'm going to use four horses
here. I'm going Try to beat the one in
in love who hasn't won this year's run five times?
I don't think that's a product of him being a bad horse or
being in, you know, in, you know, in the wrong spots.
Just it really tough back-to-back grade once to open
the year and then heads down to Kentucky Downs.
Not everybody loves Kentucky down, this is a horse, Right?
Comes back to Keeneland in in an allowance finish a second behind
Kentucky, ghost who's a fine? Horse comes back next time out.
Losses to Hozier. Who's in this race again?
Gerardo karelis had the had them out there.
Runs third, but that was over dirt, right?
So we're getting back to a surface within love.
That might be better. You dig it, you do get her
across leading Rider up there at Turfway.
I have them in the fourth spot though, I'm going to put the 6
on top here. I've got cellist on top 12:52.
Chris Landeros, Rusty Arnold. Hoping we get some of that form
back from this horse. Feel past Man. 2 for 2 on
synthetic. Now, it was before Turfway
change the synthetic surface. He won the Jeff Ruby Stakes.
Yep. And so it was on the old black
surface, instead of the new tan surface or whatever you want to
call it. And so it's different but he's
the kind of horse wins all over the place.
Nine wins, 31 starts, he's made over almost a million to in his
career. Has 100 speed.
Figure has run in the 90s this year and so I'm hopeful that
that turns back up for him again, didn't like Kentucky
Downs when he was out there. All together, didn't make a
really, really good, run on the mint million finishing fourth,
by two lengths. Came back in that Knickerbocker
at aqueducts, in that Belmont, meet over for a mile and an
eighth and ran forth by two and a half lengths or two and
quarter length. So it's not like he hasn't shown
up. He absolutely has my hope is
that with you know, with Joe Ramos who I really like in this
pot and Mike, make sure the two of them only two runs recently
at Turfway together, but do have a win that he's able to put that
race together. I think he absolutely can win.
I went to the 11, then next price talk.
I mentioned him for Brad Cox coming in here, out of that.
Twin at Remington Park. I don't think it's an accident
that that Brad's shipping them in for this one.
And I am going to include the one because if in love wins here
and I lose my ticket over in love and her Acropolis, I'll be
sick to my stomach so. Well include the top Rider there
as well. So we'll go six for 11 and 1 in
the prairie by you, all right? And then the final race of the
day is my single of the day, we're going to try to use
Gerardo in the last with Wilma mankiller.
The 10 comes in is the favorite here at three, two, one dropping
out of the maiden special weight.
Ranking ranks ranks, excuse me at both Colonial and at
Hawthorne course, has been has been sprinting.
They try to try to stretch her out a little bit.
At Colonial, did not work and so getting back to sprinting here,
Joel Berry had been in the, in the irons before we pick up
Gerardo here, which I really, really like he had Larry,
Reveille are hitting it 35%, it's halfway here.
Larry Reveille is numbers in this race.
Two months off for a horse. They went at 39% when he moves a
horse or Maiden special weight of Maiden claimer, they win at
36%, he hits it 28% with two year olds 35% on synthetic 31%
in Sprint's at 26% Maiden claimer.
Give me all those. That's my single for the day.
I'll just follow them numbers. I'll follow the daughter of
American pharoah. I'll follow Gerardo karelis.
All of it. Give me all of it and so we'll
go with that as our pick three here again.
Then you can play a two dollar base, pick three on that
sequence for 16 bucks, it's a very very approachable race.
I said, eight bucks. That's a four dollar fifty
cents. Ticket.
If you just want to pour Dollar Bet up its are play this
weekend, just to have some action.
Obviously, that's just an a ticket for me.
You can add horses around that you could cut it back to a
dollar base and add some horses and try to catch some prices
again. There's only one, two, three,
four, five six, there's only seven horses and three races
there. You could probably crap.
Pick for ticket out of that if you had a stronger opinion about
race five than I do because everyone has a stronger opinion
about race five than I do the yeah.
So fun day out of turf. Wait, is it has been nice
watching them? You know, be able to add, you
know, money to those purses and get the kind of horses that
they're going to have, you know, in a race like the Prairie by
you this weekend. Alright, folks.
We will, we will have one more show before Christmas next week
and then we will take, we will take the week off.
Did that. And then we will start in
Earnest our, our year in review shows Zach.
I got my first email this week with my Eclipse award ballot.
So how's the sound those come in?
Because I'm on the main account. Okay, that's right.
Yeah. And so those are like, you get
to vote in Eclipse. I was like, who are we voting
for our? So we will do that.
And we will try to put together our very best ticket that we are
very best balance. You can through, through all of
our Eclipse votes, I'll have a bunch of eclipse voters on.
We will have a bunch of your interview shows where people
around the country so that we make sure that we hear from
people about Apprentice, jocks, about all the different things
that we're going to need to vote for and try to have as few
abstentions from votes, we can Zack.
So get all of that in line. But this has been the
horse-racing. Happy are presented by Green
Sheet racing and Green Sheet racing.com.
Zack, let's get out of here, a compact 37 minutes, show.
We'll see you next week here.