Johnny P joined Louie on Rabaut & Co.
They discussed the late pick 3 at Laurel Park on Saturday, and the Oaks and Derby preps at Turfway.
Johnny P joined Louie on Rabaut & Co.
They discussed the late pick 3 at Laurel Park on Saturday, and the Oaks and Derby preps at Turfway.
John Piazza with us this morning here on our horse racing
segment. He's up at Yonkers.
Does a lot of work with the racing biz.
John, I am completely mesmerized by by curling and the fact that
Switzerland is led by a woman who looks like she's on her way
to the grocery store. How are you?
I am doing great. I was thrilled that the American
women won the gold medal yesterday in hockey for the
men's hockey semifinals today, and I am not.
And I know I'm the same way as you.
Every four years I get such a kick out of curling and I always
say to myself, I'm going to start following curling even
outside of the Olympics, and then I never do.
So maybe this is going to be the year.
That's it where I start watching it in the four years in between.
You're the guy who watches the Derby and says I'm going to pay
attention to horse racing in January.
There it is all right, 437968 our UPS job sex line.
If you have any questions for John Piazza, find them online at
their off on the socials up there at Yonkers Raceway in New
York City, but of course does a ton of work with the racing
biztheracingbiz.com a pair of three-year old stakes on the
road to Preakness 151. If you are unfamiliar with their
program there at Laurel Park, they run a series of races
leading into what's called the Federico Tessio, named for one
of the most important icons in Maryland's history, racing
history at least. And if you win that race, you
get a spot in the starting gate for the Preakness.
So we are always trying to find out who is going to be starting
in our classic races. What are the trends we need to
be watching right now at Laurel Park?
John, as far as, I don't know, trainers, jocks, anything like
that. Is there a track bias or
frontrunners doing well right now?
What's what's, what's the the haps right now at Laurel Park?
I'd say, I mean, knock on wood, the track has been playing fair
or meet. I would say front runners and
closers both have a equal advantage.
I mean, obviously Yazzy Hazelwood we've talked about
many times both here and on the Happy Hour podcast, he's really
been heating up. He started off the meet by his
standards, a bit slow, but he won 10 races last week,
including a pair of riding hat tricks.
He now has 22 wins on the meet. So he's clearly getting back to
his old self. JD Torreal also having a solid
meet in the training standings. Brittany Russell, who is usually
the queen pin of Maryland, if you will, had a big losing
streak to start the season. She has been heating up late.
But guys like Gary Tapuano, Hugh McMahon, Jose Corrales, who are
well known in Maryland but not so much nationally, they've been
doing great work all meet long. The wide country will be our
first discussed race here. We're working our way up to the
mile and a 16th race that we will run in the Black Eyed
Susan. But the wide country is a 7
furlong Sprint on the dirt at Laurel Park.
They have a one mile shoot there in Maryland.
Philly's three years old in this one Smaller field here, but I
think a couple of interesting runners.
Are you leaning more law school or are you leaning more Peach
time? Law School is my top pick in
here. I was very impressed by each of
her last two races. She wanted them by a combined 21
length one here going a mile and a 16th back in December.
For who? For any 2 year old to win that
impressively at a mile and a 16th that early in their career,
it's very impressive. Came back to validate that form
with a big win in In the Future Stars Philly Stakes at Parks,
which she got a great trip, but still took full advantage of it
and won by 7 lengths. The aforementioned Yazid
Hazelwood is up for training Jamie Ness, another one of
Maryland's top trainers. I'm kind of hoping that she gets
some pace to close into. Just about everybody in here has
some speed and law school has of course proven that she going to
run well from off the pace. Peach Tie has the flashiest
resume, but I'm I'm not quite sure what to make of the horses
that she's beaten. She only beat three other horses
in a first level allowance back in November, then beat only two
others in the Gin Talking stakes last time out to speed figures.
Really not blowing anybody away. I mean, I think she has a high
ceiling, but I don't quite know what to make it feel.
I don't know what she's capable of.
I know what law school is capable of and that is a huge
effort. John Piazza with U.S. law
School, written by the aforementioned Yetzied
Hazelwood, who wrote her in that future.
Star fillies at parks over the seven furlongs and We'll keep
Them Out here was amongst the three finalists for The
Apprentice Jockey of the Year at the Eclipse Awards this past
year. Miracle Wood is the Preakness
prep on the card a mile over the one turn mile there at at Laurel
Park. I had this debate with Frank
Vespi on the podcast yesterday. John, do you consider A1 turn
mile to be a route race? I would not I I think you have
to go at least one mile and at least 2 tons.
Eat it, Barry Spears. Yeah, the good stuff for sure.
I agree. The two turns matters.
I was telling the the way I know that it matters for me is I look
at the Breeders Cup Mile at Belmont and Churchill
differently than I look at the Breeders Cup Mile at Santa Anita
Del Mar. I just absolutely.
There you go. The Miracle Wood is a mile on
the dirt here. 3 year olds in here as well.
John. A couple of higher, excuse me,
lower price favorites in here, but a much, much more wide open
field. I wanted to ask you about
Balboa. You'll hear me talk about Balboa
tonight on the Kentucky Racing Spotlight at 6:00.
John, I think they are pulling him off the Preakness as I
should say the Tessio trail to try the the the Derby trail.
He's 2 good shows at Aqueduct, one in the Remsen, one in the
Jerome. The horses he lost two of those
races are no longer on the Wood Memorial Trail.
And so frankly, probably a little bit more space up there
for that son of not this time out of the Brittany Russell
barn, but she will start Taj Mahal in this spot.
Is he the favorite in your mind? He's going to be my second
choice. And folks wondering, Balboa is
going to go in the Gotham next week at Aqueduct.
I was really impressed by Taj Mahal's debut win.
He actually faced, by Maryland standards, a pretty salty Maiden
field. They're very, very professional.
4 wide move kept going under urging 1 by 4 and a quarter
length for the very nice speed figure.
Had great late pace figures as well.
I think it's encouraging that Brittany Russell is bringing him
back fairly quickly on only 15 days rest.
That's pretty fast by her standards.
I think that shows that he's sitting on a big race and could
Welch run an absolute hole in the wind.
My topic in here though is #7 Let's Go Lando.
And 1 angle that I really like in these kind of races is horses
who have already beaten winners and with a scratch of Balboa,
Let's Go Lando is the only one here who's done that.
He won a first level allowance on opening weekend of the Winter
Meat by 6 lengths against a pretty nice group that included
Code of Silence, won the Maryland Juvenile back in
December, Let's Go and also won by 8 and 1/4 lengths in his
maiden win last November. The fan of jockey team of Gary
Capuano and Yadjeet Hazelwood is fantastic and I think this one
had a huge upside and it's half brother.
It's Hammer Time who was one of the top 2 year olds in the
region in 2024, missed most of last year with various problems.
He is back in action earlier on the card in the fifth race.
Good stuff there, for sure. Some others in here that I
wanted to ask you about. What do you make of close the
gate in here just for this race? And on top of close the Gate,
who is in your mind the most likely Preakness starter in this
field? For me it's Taj Mahal.
So close the gate. I liked him a lot in a
spectacular bit. I'm trying not to let him fall
through the cracks in in my handicapping of this race.
Ran huge in in his maiden win. Ran his eyeballs out in the
spectacular bit. He gave Hollywood import all he
could handle down the stretch. Those two engaged in a thrilling
battle. close the gate only lost by three parts of a length.
Also coming back fairly quickly, but he's the current third
choice on the morning line with the scratch of Balboa.
I think he is very live. So of the horses who are going
to be in this race, close the Gate is the only one who's
Triple Crown nominated at this time.
There's still time to supplement, but I do think at
this point it's both Closed the Gate and also let's go.
Lando, I think has a good being supplemented only because he has
a fantastic pedigree. He's proven he can go along.
I think he'll handle a mile and 316th just fine if his if his
connections go that route. Close the gate of Pennsylvania
Bread Engage who's a son of Into Mischief on the sire side.
Victor Gallup on the damn side. You know he can get the distance
for sure. Taj Mahal, son of Nyquist
Quality Rd. on the damn side. That's the Starlight folks that
we know here locally in the state of Kentucky as well.
Let's do a quick pick. If people want to put a pick
three together there at Laurel Park, who would you have in the
closer on Saturday? So that is more wide open than I
thought it was on first glance. I think there's a lot of ways
you can go. A top pick in here is the one
hoof and boots, who was second to a runaway odds on winner last
time out. Still, I'll kick the rest with a
nice four wide move and and ran a career best speed figure on
the Brisbane on that scale. I'd also throw in the two kind
of crazy who ran well focused off a long layoff last time out
and the five nothing less will do who has hit the board in all
three of us starts. All right, so that's Laurel Park
on Saturday. Of course, they're pair of
stakes there. We move up the road, Cincinnati
tonight, the Cincinnati Trophy, I should say, excuse me, up
there in Florence, KY, $175,000 on the line over a mile on the
synthetic for three-year old fillies here.
We're on the Oaks Trail. John, I ask you the question as
a guy outside the market, how seriously do you take the The
Oaks Trail and the Derby Trail through Turfway Park?
I think with the money out there you almost have to.
I mean these posts are just gigantic.
I know the Jeff Ruby is going for bonafide money, so you're
already starting to see a lot of legitimate Oaks and Derby horses
starting to prep you and it's only a matter of time until they
get more and more serious. So I would not dismiss anybody
coming out of these races going into the Oaks.
Got a fair, a fair number of interesting ones running
tonight. It looks like Coco Connect is
going to stay in the race here for trainer John Ennis.
I talked with him on the Kentucky Racing Spotlight just
last week. She comes out of the Valdale at
6 1/2 furlongs. We'll have to stretch out in
this spot. Other favorites in here include
Map of the Moon, who we saw in the go.
Well, winning that one as well, pulling away for Kelsey Danner.
Where'd you land in the trophy? So going back to the idea of of
looking for horses who have already beaten winners #11
resist at 12:50 on morning line has beaten winners and beaten
winners at this distance. She won a first level allowance
going a mile last time out. Had a bit of traffic in the
stretch, got bumped while making her rally, but still got up and
won by a nose in the thrilling effort.
Improved slightly off that race, has had a workout sense.
Should be fine to make another good move.
I think Dame Laura and the aforementioned map to the moon
are also interesting, but he won't get as good of a price on
them as you will on Resist. Resist breaks from the 11:00 if
you're worried about the outside post position.
She won that allowance John just talked about from the 9 hole out
of ten horses last time she ran daughter of Mcleans music point
of entry on the damn side. God have her point of entry,
man. You know what I think when I
think of point of entry? This is how boy going back and I
I hope someone listening remembers this.
He that that group advertised a lot on horse racing radio
network, which you can hear tomorrow morning here.
And I just remember point of entry standing, you know, like
it's like I think it was gameplay, but I just I just I
remember that name. And so gosh, it's nice to see
his name on the list here. What do you make of the others
in this group, though, that maybe some of those that are
stretching out map of the moon? Obviously we've seen Dame Laura
do it over the mile as well. Would you put Dame Laura in
favoritism here, but resist an obvious include at that price?
I think that's how I would see it.
I think Dame Laura is most likely winner, but in a in a
race like this where a lot of them have chances, it's hard to
take a low price like 2 to one. I think that this is going to
offer much better value. But if you plan a pick four or a
pick five, I could not blame you for using Dame Laura as well.
Speaking of expensive horses at Turfway Park, Dame Laura a good
off at home, bred for sure. Munnings on the sire side, tap
it on the dam side should be there contender for the Bourbon
at Oaks on Saturday. Of course we get the Battaglia
leading into the aforementioned $777,000.
Jeff Ruby Stakes will be the penultimate race on the card
race 9:00 tomorrow night up at Turfway Park just before 10:00 a
mile and a 16th on the synthetic.
John will run it for $175,000 here in a horse that that I am
really fascinated to see the rest of his career will break
from the post from the 1 hole here.
John in Street Beast and I think Ben Colebrook has done just a
masterful job with this horse. Debuts him at Ellis Park.
Knows that he likes Kentucky Downs after winning in an
allowance, so he runs them back in the $1,000,000 juvenile.
Wins that race. Ships him out West and I thought
he showed really well in the Breeders Cup.
Comes back for the Leonatus. Hey, let's find out if we've got
a horse that likes the Turfway surface because as you've
mentioned, there's plenty of money up there.
He ran for $125,000 last time and won that one.
Is there a potential that we've got a superstar kind of, you
know, maybe a future turf superstar in this race?
Well, to your point about him possibly being a grass
superstar, I'd be really interested to see if Colebrook
would send this horse to the Derby or, or if he'll keep him
on grass. It's pretty clear based on the
way he's campaigned him so far, he thinks of this horse as a
grass runner first and foremost. But if he wins this gate to wire
and he wins the Jeff Ruby gate to wire, then there's going to
have to be a a decision made. And there's really no indication
that he can or can't handle dirt.
The Derby is a really tough place to find that out.
So I do hope if they truly believe he's a grass horse and
they stick to their guns and he has kind of a campaign like
Victoria Ministic had two, two years ago in which he bypassed
the Derby after winning the Gotham and won a series of nice
grass stakes. Midway racing, by the way, does
have a bunch of horses at Laurel as well, so it's interesting
that they got this one in at Turfway Park.
Who do you got in the Battaglia man?
So I'm picking probably enough as I am a New Yorker, a New York
based horse. September 7 at Field for Tom
Moily with Ricardo Santana coming in for the mount.
He poke his maiden to some fanfare at Saratoga back in
August over the very, very hyped up Schwarzenegger.
Last time out he stretched out beyond six furlongs for the
first time, went a mile and a 16th in the Central Park Stakes
at Aqueduct, ran a very nice race from off a moderate pace
and won by 1/2 length. He's worked well since then.
He's he's had some time off since that remember 7th effort.
But you have to figure that Tom Morley has had this race circle
on his calendar for a long time. He's 8 to 1 on the morning line.
I don't think you'll quite get that price, but I think him and
St. Beast have the highest ceilings
in this field. Yeah.
I agree with you, I think full effort in here is an obvious
interesting one. Kind of put it together last
race first time on the synthetic right behind St. beast.
That's a Brad Cox fan, so show me no combination and then two
out hero for Kevin Attard. Boy, I was there when Oh gosh,
why am I forgetting her name right now?
Who is the Philly he brought down She Oh, my goodness, I
apologize. I will look it up, John, But
Kevin Attard back in town, we're seeing more and more of his
runners end up the turfway for these purses and different
things. What do you make it to our hero
here, Breaking from the outside? So he obviously has a lot of
back class as well. He won easily at Woodbine back
in August, but he hasn't raced in a long time.
He hasn't raced since September 13th and in fact he is coming
off the longest layoff of anybody in this group.
He's never been two turn actually now that is A2 turn
mile on wood buying grass. But he didn't do that much and I
set up that day and and and couldn't quite convert.
I think he merits some respect, but I don't know how he'll do
First off the layoff. I don't know how he'll do from
the outside post. I don't know how he'll do the
first time going two turns on synthetic and that's too many
questions for me. Take 72 are.
By the way, the Kevin Atard horse I couldn't remember was
Caitlin, her greatness, and that's a terrible job by me.
She's awesome. That's a bad job.
That's a bad job by me. But yes, we've seen Kevin down
there at Turfway Park. Well, John, tell people where to
find you, especially at the Raising Biz.
You guys are doing a bunch of great work.
If you are a, a handicapping head or, or whatever, they are
doing a bunch of, they're doing a series of podcasts about the
different tracks there in the Mid-Atlantic, Laurel DE
etcetera. So get in with them at the
Raising biz.com. Where can people find your
stuff, John? So I I have my full code write
ups on the racing biz. I also am part of the Laurel
Park Handicapping Guide and initiative done by the Maryland
Jockey Club. Tons of great resources in
there, including my daily picks and a roundup of the previous
day's racing action. You can find me on Twitter at
their off and I will be sure to be spreading a good word of
Maryland racing both in print and voice as we inch closer to
Tessio Day there. You go get closer to Tessio Day
there at Laurel Park, John. Appreciate it man.
Have a great weekend. Thanks, Louis.
You too? No.
Problem. There you go.
John Piazza at their Off on the Socials preview in the weekend
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