Louie & Barry are back with another episode of SoCal Saturday.
The Robert B Lewis, a Derby prep, is the feature.
Sign up with AmWager! They have a 100% deposit match up to $150 for new customers – check them out today!
Louie & Barry are back with another episode of SoCal Saturday.
The Robert B Lewis, a Derby prep, is the feature.
Sign up with AmWager! They have a 100% deposit match up to $150 for new customers – check them out today!
Lindo, Sean Collins, all these bums to tell you what, it's
merchant, everybody that I work with.
How about that man? Oh, man, Who else?
Barry Spears. What a bum.
Red Carruthers this morning. Not a bum.
She's pretty great, actually. All right, Welcome, man.
SoCal Saturday's hanging out with you on the horse racing
happy hour. Lou, your boat.
And Barry Spears, We got you every week at this time ahead of
the racing on Saturday in Southern California.
The Robert B Lewis Derby prep this weekend on Saturday as well
as part of the car, the late pick three there at Santa Anita.
He's Barry. I'm Louie.
Thanks for hanging out with us. We're presented by Amwager and
amwager.com. Of course, the new sign up bonus
right now, 100% deposit match up to $150.00.
Get in with our friends at amwagerandamwager.com.
Barry, good day to you. Are you back above 70°?
Can I talk to you is essentially the question because running
under 70 people, Barry is like an iguana.
He's frozen, he falls out of trees and you cannot find them.
That's a negative Ghost Rider. We are not at 70 yet and and I'm
very upset about that. It's a tough day for Barry.
We're not yet at 30, Barry, so you should feel a little better
about that. We'll go.
Through the card here. It is the same to you, 30 and 70
to you, 70 to you 30 to me seems to be the same.
That's exactly right. Nine race card on Saturday.
And Barry, I was talking with my our mutual friend John Lindo who
you met out at at Delmar on on British Cup weekend and he was
on the show yesterday. I was saying the Suite Life to
close this card, man 6 1/2 down the hill when none of them have
gone down the hill before. Let's go. 3 year old Phillies
there. We'll start with race one, of
course, because it's the first race of the day.
That's why we do that, Barry. No way.
It's a mile on the turf, like every race.
Should be at Santa Anita Park, at least to start the day.
It's a state, State bread main special.
Wait for California bread or sired four and five year old
Phillies and Maresbury. Where'd you land in Race 1?
I landed on the 5 Jenny's Wine girl and it's only because of
speed, speed speed which there is not much of in this space
really has one horse to beat which is the horse outside of
them, the six dancing till dawn and I think this horse is
quicker and they get to the lead.
It might be lights out, curtains, what have you say?
Goodnight. All of the above.
You know, the fat lady might be singing at that point.
Hopefully. So yeah, we're going with the
five all the way here. I am going to use the same horse
as you did. I'm just gonna go in a slightly
different order 25 and 3 for me here.
I'll go with tis sunrise on top of the Diego Herrera ridden Mike
Pipi train train E excuse me was fourth in that race that we see
so many runners back from in this spot here.
I'm essentially going for value here.
I think the nine to two number is more than fair Berry and
frankly just a second off the bench here.
It's a decent angle for Mike and he's really good at made special
weights, man 17%. So he's eventually going to
breakthrough with this one. I think just getting better and
better. Good works on the Tepita
recently at at Santa Anita as well.
SO25 and three for me. Not too much to add to yours.
Why don't you go ahead and talk about French Moonlight here.
I think 8 to 5 is obviously both of us agree he's a little short
on this one, enough to like here, though.
Second off the layoff here, a decent angle, yeah.
Yeah, yeah, I mean, this horse has run good races pretty much
every time, just hasn't been close enough to win, except for
last time they they were really close.
Should get the same sort of trip.
I I just starting to doubt as these starts keep piling up, how
much desire this horse has to finish races off.
Got a question? Yeah, no, that's exactly right.
Unfortunately, horses sometimes figure out before their first
race that if they run third, second or first, they get the
same meal when they get back to the Bardis.
Barry Spears, like Louis Rebeau. That was race one on Saturday at
Santa Anita. This is Socal Saturdays on the
Horse Racing Happy Hour Network. We are here every Friday to
preview the races tomorrow. Give you about 24 hours to
listen to this thing before we get there.
You can always check out my article at
sportingtribunethesportingtribune.com. Certainly check us out there.
All of it presented by our friends at Amwager.
Dime Claimer and race two, $10,000 to buy a horse in here.
18K in the purse. 5 1/2 on the dirt here.
Barry in these races continue to fill up the starting gates out
there at Santa Anita. Appreciate these being part of
it. Your horse named for you in this
one. And no more Ding Dongs in race
2, but I'm not going to land there in this spot.
I'm going to go 26 and seven in here.
I'm going to try a different spot.
Magic connection we have seen at the 25 level with non 2 lifers,
2 back at Losal, almost got it done under Kyle Frey, who gets
the mount back today. And I'm going to lean on that
experience. Also one at the maiden 32 level
at Del Mar to break her his main, excuse me back then
obviously a Kinect gelding in this spot.
Not great at Santa NIA last time, but that was against
$25,000 kind of company. And I think that the step down
here will be a big relief for this one, Barry.
So I'll land on the 2 on top. I went to the six next and we're
going to go with a couple of long shots that have been
running most recently at Los Alamitos in mixed company
against quarter horses at the $5000 level was the seven.
Got your six last outran really, really well in a very fast race
in a 4 1/2 furlong effort. But at 1000 last time the six
make it a large who will be 8 to 1 or longer.
I think in this race for Brian Corner comes in out of that
mixed company. So technically still a maiden on
the. So I mean you're going to see
all those zeros on there, Barry. I think there's a real chance
this horse goes off at 12:15 to 1, something like that, and I
think has a legitimate shot in here to continue the good form
of late. So many of the other horses in
here, Barry, have just shown me that they have no interest in
winning. So I'll take the ones that have
at least been competitive. Even if I had a lower level at
Los Alamitos, give me two, six and seven here.
I know you win a very different way.
Yeah, I try not to overthink these things.
No more. I try.
It's an attempt to not tell me. Tell me, just stir it straight.
At me. I love it.
Keep going. I like horses that win Louie's
over thinking it. I do it.
I do it. Yeah.
Go ahead. No more Ding dongs.
No more Ding dongs. To me is is kind of like an Omni
fig horse. His last two are are higher.
His last two buyers are just superior than everybody else by
about 10 points and usually as bad as they look on paper.
Horses like this don't lose in situations like that.
So yeah, 3:00 to 2:00 on the morning line makes sense to me
anyway. Seems to lay over this field.
Magic Connection looks like the second best horse in the race.
Cutting the price less than half and should get a good trip here.
So we're going to take those two and then round it out with
Novimophobia, who's another one that likes to close and and
should be on the scene late. Do you know what no vino means?
Is it girlfriend? OK, so I really like you.
Yeah, it's a very good. It's it's actually, believe it
or not, it is a nine day prayer novena.
And so this is a person who's afraid of prayer.
How about that? Oh wow, didn't know.
Didn't know that was a thing. It's never heard of prayer.
How about that Novitophobia? There you go.
Things you learned on SoCal Saturdays on the Horse Racing
Happy Hour Network, hanging out with Louis Rabo.
He's Barry Spears. We move on to Race 3 on the card
on Saturday out there at Santa Anita, a $1.00 pick three starts
here. It's a maiden special weight
open company on the Philly side of things. 3 year old 6 1/2
furlongs on the dirt here, Barry.
An interesting field we're it feels like Barry, we're getting
these 66 horse, 7 horse kind of fields out West for a lot of
these three-year old maiden races.
Interesting time of year for these kinds of races out West.
Of course had the win by Potente over the weekend.
Last weekend we talked about that on this show, the the trio
of Bafferts in race 6 out there. Maybe a a quote UN quote Derby
prep last last weekend, maybe an Oaks prep here.
Anybody in here's catch your eye?
Not particularly I I guess, you know, there's some potential,
but we gotta see him run, gotta see him run.
You know, one start really isn't anything but this horse this
this horse, this race is is pretty interesting from the
standpoint of everybody's kind of coming back in their second
start. You would think everybody's
going to run better than they did the first time.
And that kind of makes this race a little bit interesting.
You know me, I like to fade Bob Baffert horses that are stabled
at low Sal and that's what we have in #3 she's limitless.
So whenever I see that, I want to kind of get away from him.
I mean, obviously that horse can win This race has some
SolidWorks, but I'm going to side.
Otherwise, I'm going to go with the five.
Brooklyn Blonde on top. Was in a pretty tough race there
with Bottle Rouge and Super Corridora and.
May have heard of her. Yeah, maybe, maybe one of those
two didn't run all that poorly. I didn't think I I know the
running line says they lost by or seven in 7th place, 14 and
and 1/4 lengths back. I tend to think it was, you
know, it was a better race out of this horse than what you saw.
Should get a better trip this time.
Should get everything better. Getting Lasix, Michael McCarthy
second time out is much, much better than first.
So that's where we're landing. Yeah, you went 5-4 and six here.
I went 6-4 and three. So we obviously agree on the
McCarthy angle, but on different McCarthy's.
I'll go to the outside for Piney Woods.
Ricardo Gonzalez picks it up here.
This is one second timer. I thought Barry, this was one.
I love watching first timers that break from the gate and
then you you see them go, Oh, crap, That's right.
I'm in a race. And the jockeys just really,
really please go. Please go.
And this 1 ended up third after what was a wandering trip in
10th and 9th place big field last time of 10 horses in that
one at San Anita. Beginning of this month or
beginning of January. Excuse me.
And I just think getting back at it.
Second time starter, we watched that first time number take up
for Michael McCarthy. He's been consistent with second
time starter. So I'll use the 6 Piney woods
part of that certainly value here Barry as well.
Better than 9:00 to 2:00. But I in my mind, frankly, I
would take this one in that case head to head.
No, no matter what, 6-4 and three for me means that I also
went to feisty redhead, which by the way, if Gandolfo were still
on the show would be a single for him.
Like just an absolute ridiculous single.
And so that would be like Gandolfo in this spot landed
second in my handicapping here. Second timer Mike Smith gets the
the mound here. This is one that I think if it
just starts better, if she just starts better, Barry, I think
she'll be in the the equation much, much more.
This is a Curlin, so I'm sure getting distance underneath her
is the eventual goal. But trying the 6 1/2 here I
think makes a lot of sense, at least at this stage of her
development. And then she's limitless as a
second time starter for Baffert, as you mentioned, was on the
turf the first time. I can't remember the last time
the old turf to dirt angle for a second timer was what we held up
working well at LaSalle. But like you said, this is 1 of
Baffert's LaSalle trainees and tend to be less than.
And we've sort of seen that over and over on their show as well.
So I'll go ahead and agree with you on that.
So I'll go 64 and 3 in here. Barry, you went 4-5 and six or
five, four and six. What did you also see with
Feisty Redhead here? Yeah, there's a lot of potential
there. You know, this horse should
stretch out. I, I, I just, I didn't put the
source on top because I think this horse just wants more
distance and that would make a lot of sense.
But not like this horse couldn't win this race.
I I mean, sure, they're, they're all pretty talented.
It's it's funny that we didn't even talk about the 9:00 to 5:00
morning line favorite Peter Erten's horse, who has a bullet
a really fast one too. I don't know this this could go
a lot of directions. I just didn't want to take a a
short price Brooklyn blonde coming out of that fast race
seemed pretty logical here. Yeah, and A and a bullet from a
horse that, frankly, the last time we saw this horse just
flattened out in the most flat way in that was in August.
I think that was in August. I mean, just nine to five seems
a little short, which of course means, of course, that horse
will win by a panel race 4, of course.
Up next starts the Pick 6, the $2.00 Pick 6.
I don't know this yet because Friday hasn't run, but I assume
there will be a carryover in the pick 6 on Saturday.
It's a good joke. You should laugh at it people.
Race 4 is a maiden special way for state friends.
I got you. I appreciate you 3 year olds on
the colt side for this one. Barry, I'll go first in an even
numbered race and I already made the graphic.
How about that? Look at me. 5, three and two in
the maiden here went to Parnelli, Jones and Barry.
I think this is the third time in the history of this show
which we've now almost certainly handicapped more than 500 races.
Third time you and I have the same exact top three in order.
We went 532 in here. The newly gelded son of tough
Sunday, Parnelli Jones, will break from the five.
Second time starter for Mark Blatt, Abo Lozgano picks up the
mount here. The two of them are really good
together at Santa Anita. And when he gets a horse off of
this kind of layoff, he doesn't miss. 29 percent, 25% with
second time starters, 30% first time LASIK, etcetera, etcetera.
All the numbers here line up really well for Mark Glatt.
I'll put Parnelli Jones on top in this field. 5, three and two
for me means galloping goes second.
First timer here. Like the gate work.
Last time Barry had an earlier gate work that wasn't as fast as
the most recent one. So I like the progression for
this horse. Son of Grayson in the spot,
first timer, like I said. And Craig Lewis started to pick
up his numbers in maiden special weights.
He's up to 8% in these kinds of races. 10% with first time
starters. I think the booking of Juan
Hernandez shows you what they think about this horse and so
I'll I'll put him second positive times, another second
time starter once in a while Bear.
We just get horses that just show up way better the second
time. Ryan Hansen very good with those
kinds of starters, wins 12% of his main specials as well.
So I'll put 5, three and two in here.
Where did you land in Race 4? I landed on 5/3 and 2:00, but
that was only after I figured out what day it was because I
had a little trouble with that this week for some reason.
That was a very strange set of text messages that you and I had
together. Hang on one second, ladies and
gentlemen. You only have to sit through the
mind of Spears one hour a week on this show.
I have Barry's phone number and he has mine.
And so I have to live in the mind of Spears many times, many,
many times throughout the week. And it can be very funny.
It can be very offensive. It can be offensively funny, but
it can also be deep inside the mind of Spears when he tells me
yesterday that our 2:00 show, he's got a heart out at 3:00.
We ain't do no show together. Yesterday I did that with John
Lindo, my guy, the real Southern California member of this
franchise. And so, yeah, no, no, I got, I
got nothing for you, Barry. But you're here 543, my friend.
Yeah, and the five Parnell? 532 Excuse me.
The the makeover package from Mark Glatt and he does well with
this sort of thing. His his numbers are pretty
gaudy, getting sort of lay. Just a makeover.
Hey, it it, you know, for for humans, it's like a it's day
surgery isn't. It it's it's something that you
get done like the Tuesday of the NCAA tournament so that you can
sit through the first couple of days.
Yeah. Right.
Yeah. No, that's it.
Yeah, you're right. Yeah.
Yeah. So it's a makeover.
That's a makeover, Yeah, if you. Can still watch basketball.
It's a makeover. 5 three and two there in race 4.
I agree with you on the old on the old makeover package for him
for sure in race 4. What do you make of Tommy
Norrison here? The four has been kind of all
over the place started to main special way.
It's been close before. Ran out of gas last time only
got Lasix for the first time. Last time we saw him in the King
Glorious etcetera. I just two to one on a horse
that's failed that many times to me is not worth it.
Yeah, he's not. He hasn't gotten any better
since October and and that's kind of alarming in this race.
I know he he was in the king glorious where he had no shot
after that is in a race just like this one and just spit it
out. I I, I think there's some speed
in here. Anybody gets close to this
horse, I think he's going to just going to fold up like a
lawn chair. Spitting it up with Barry Spears
I'm Lou Rebell. This is the horse racing happy
hour. Thanks for hanging out with us
on socal Saturdays represented by amwager, whether they are
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screen for you trying to be nice.
The Thunder Rd. is race 5, very rare that I get this excited
about A5 horse field, but here we are Barry grade three mile on
the turf. Gas Me Up is in here out of the
win in the Hernandez. We we get some other runners in
here that we've seen in other spots. 3rd place finisher El
Potente in the Sea Biscuit, the 2nd place finisher in the Mathis
Mile. So this is a group of horses
outside of Gas Me up trying to breakthrough in this graded
company here. We even got a couple of
interesting runners on the side here, Barry that have won an
optional claiming kind of company, high level, you know,
allowance kind of company out West.
Interesting, interesting field of five.
Where'd you land? Yeah, this is this is really,
really straightforward as they say in the business.
But yeah, Gas Me Up looks like the best horse in this race
should be able to run down El Potente despite the speed pace
advantage. I just think Gas Me Up is a
really, really, really good horse.
Ran really well in the Breeders Cup Mile was really wide a lot
of reallys in this and kind of finished well behind notable
speech who who sort of dominated that event came out of that one
ran in the Hernandez and and looked excellent.
The stretch out makes sense. I I like this horse a lot in
this spot. You know, when I talked with
with Lindo yesterday about going down the hill, what he said was,
you know, the thing you and I talk about a lot about the, the
route to Sprint angle there of going from a mile to 6 1/2 makes
a lot of sense as far as an angle.
And he said even, you know, they watch horses go from a mile and
1/4 and win on 6 1/2. And, and what stands out in this
field, Barry, is, is gas me up going from that mile to down the
hill and winning, right. And, and what he said was when
you get to the bottom of the hill, it actually almost feels
like you're going uphill for the horse because you've been going
downhill, right. It's almost as though there is a
second turn there. And so gas me up.
It's interesting to get back to the mile.
I think we'll take to it just fine.
Merger tomorrow has been really good on the grass as of late.
I agree with you on El Patente. I'm fascinated in here by a
couple different horses. I'm actually going to try El
Patente on top here, Barry, because I think I think Hector
Barrios is going to try to get the lead.
If it works right, if it works out, it works out.
If it doesn't, it doesn't. And I'll trust Hector out West,
especially if I can get maybe 5 to 2 on this horse, something
like that, because I think Gasby Up's going to get a ton of money
and deservedly, by the way, you. Get 5 to 2.
I might change my pick, but I don't think you're going to get
5:00 to 2:00 on that horse. You.
Think it'll stay close to 2:00 to 1:00 or lower even maybe 7 to
5 or something. I think you'll get like a a
three to five, six to five sort of scenario here.
Will Kurt Hoover make the one or the four here?
What do you think? I think he takes the one and
calls it a day. Flora Giroux has moved his
attack out West. You and I have not had a
conversation to talk about, you know, a chance to talk about
this yet, a conversation to talk yet.
Thank you. Louis, we haven't had a chance
to talk about this yet. What do you make of him moving
out West? Obviously filling in for Umberto
while he's on the mend? I think this move actually, I
know one last race day, but I think it's worth it for him.
Solid and the the reason being he's the first one to do it
because if he was the second guy to go out there, I mean
technically he is if you want to count Harmio, but that was pre
respoli injury. So since the injury this is a
very good move for him. I'm sure he could pick up
business and possibly a Derby mount what have you.
That's the thing. And, and it puts him in a in a
position to win a lot of races that he might not have since
what happened to him where Jose Ortiz came out to the
fairgrounds started dominating. Then it was a different sort of
scenario. So I understand the move he's
doing at the right time. And it will affect races out
there because of the fact his riding style will bring
something different to what's already there.
So it it, it could shake things up and, and, and be very, very
advantageous to him, almost sort of like Mario Gutierrez coming
down here to Gulfstream. He is really riding out of his
mind well. Hopefully that went to went to
Turfway after Golden Gate closed up.
Man, he's great there. He went to Indiana like those
makes those, some of these moves make sense.
The thing about floral that makes the most sense for me is
especially for dirt racing, Barry, you and I watched so many
times Umberto who almost rides dirt races, like their turf
races. He's willing to drop back.
He's willing to do work later in races.
Florent because he ran, you know, so many races for for Brad
Cox trainees, etcetera. He's expected to be more in the
pocket, be upfront, etcetera. And that'll play really well out
West. That'll play really damned well
on the dirt out West. And so I'm, I'm really
fascinated to see him here. I threw him into the top three
because I do think a lot of the horse he's on in this spot in
Namoron. I think that this is a horse
that frankly is 1 finish away from about a half, $1,000,000 a
year last year and instead is sitting on 1/3 place finish and
a third place finish and a third place finish in graded stakes
and then a, you know, $2,000,000 race in the Gun runner last
year. I this one, because it's Floran
Giroud, this horse is going to sit in the pocket and try to
pass El Potente with gas me up flying on the outside, right.
That's essentially how I see this race And if the five can be
there, man, I, I, I think that the likely scenario here, Barry,
is the four gets out front, the five's right behind the one
comes running and we go 415 in your mind, 1 ends up finishing
and then we go 145 right. So it's not terribly different.
You and I probably see this race the same.
We just see someone getting the finish line first differently.
Yep, that's that's pretty much it.
I mean, those are pretty much the two scenarios that I kind of
came up with as well. I just think Nameron's just a
bit below this level. Yeah, maybe, you know, had three
chances at it and and just couldn't get over the hump.
This field isn't as weak as it seems.
I mean, the two horses that that we've picked on top are pretty
good horses, so maybe they'll get a spot where they can win,
but it's just not this one. I think 1 and or both will be
Breeders' Cup horses at the end of the year, right?
Like maybe not El Potente just because he's 7, but I think Gas
me Up could get back into it. I do.
Absolutely get. Back into it.
I I think that Woodbine mile, if you wanted to make the case for
gas me up that Woodbine mile was freaking excellent.
That really, really good. Nobody was touching notable
speeds like come on, Bill Buick flies in for that one.
Give me a break now though please.
Normal speech was always winning that race and so to run a good
third in that race I think does matter.
You know better post position in the in the Breeders Cup Mile, he
probably could have got second there so.
Dude, you're right. Yeah.
He would have ran right behind Notable speech again and you
know this this race would look a lot different, but I think this
horse is really good. Move on to race 6 and it's
another grade at stakes. It's the grade 2D Wayne Lucas
it's $200,000. It's a 7 for a long race for
Phillies and mares who are 4 and up.
And Barry, you have been around this game a lot longer than I
have. And a guy like Lucas Wayne off
the plane, I'm calling you old and the but you were a fan of
the sport. What I'm getting at as you were
a fan of the sport when Lucas was rolling.
And it is it is very, very difficult to think about modern
horse racing without talking about Dwayne Lucas and other
sports. Berry, we talk about coaching
trees. We talk about guys who learn
from other players. I got you know, we talk about
like, you know, who came out of, you know, you know, Belichick's
coaching tree or Coach K's coaching tree, something like
that. We have those conversations.
The trainer tree for Dewayne Lucas the coach quite literally
is as good as any coaching tree on the planet.
His runners are names that you know over and over and over
again. And I wore this hoodie on
purpose today because right before the Preakness last year,
Sean Collins and I, who are Co hosts on Blood Horse Monday,
unknowingly did Dewayne Lucas's last sit down interview.
And I will obviously never forget it.
And I'm glad I got up early on that Sunday to go sit in his
office. And it is is very cool to see
all of the different tributes to him.
And it's very cool to see it at Santa Anita.
And here's why. Certainly he had a very strong
string out there for for a long time, but the D Wayne off the
plane thing came from going there, right?
And that's that's where it started.
And so this is a cool, a cool moniker for this race.
I'm excited to see it. Barry, do you have a Wayne Lucas
story? I mean, I, I obviously mine is
so I, I, I think about that interview when I think about
anything, 'cause he was so gracious, he was so funny.
Sharp as ever. You know that.
You know that sound you make when you get out of a chair,
Barry. Yeah, all the crackle.
Yeah, Wayne never did that. There was none of that.
He was still 89. He was dude, he was crushing.
He he hopped off a horse to talk.
To him. I mean, like the dude was
crushing and like I just, I the, the, the thing about him too,
you know, he gets sick and they go to him and they say we can,
we can help you recover, but you'll never go back to the
track. And he said, yeah, never mind.
As a guy who works a lot, as a guy who loves his stuff, I, I
understand that in a, in a really personal way and I
respect it a lot. And so RIP for sure.
So glad I got to spend that time with him.
Sean and me and and and so cool to cool to get the handicap race
as well. Race 6 means I get to go first
here. Barry.
Obviously the Wayne Lucas trainee in Lemon Muffin
previously now in the Patrick Gallagher bar is in this race as
the, as the two horse in here. Barry, I am doing the Wayne
Lucas thing for this race and I'm throwing one way downfield
and I'm going with no bad beats who I thought looked really
good. Les Flores last out and that was
on the 11th of January. And that is out of the barn of a
man named Doug O'Neill. And if you know how to handicap
Doug O'Neill's horses, congratulations because I don't.
Barry doesn't. And this is one that we've seen
before at Santa Anita. Win a couple of times a second
place finished amongst, you know, those three races in four
starts. And you've got a favorite in
this race, Barry in Splendora, who's one for six at Santa
Anita. And before everybody yells about
the Breeders Cup Sprint, that was at Del Mar and that's a
different animal all together. So if you're going to try to
beat an odds on favorite in a race, I think this is the spot.
And I by the way, I think Barry agrees with me and sort of you
sort of do. But Oh no, you don't agree on
this horse. I think you agree on trying to
beat Splendora in the spot and I, I am starting to wonder if
we're in a spot where Splendora is more of a Del Mar track
specialist than anything else, where she's one for three at
this distance in general, but one for six at Santa Anita.
Now, I admit, why what very readily the, you know, she lost
to Copeion and those guys of horses in Santa Anita before.
I want to be very clear, but I'm just going to throw 1 downfield
here, Barry. I'm going to go with no bad
beats to win this race. How do I mean, you know, second
time aboard. Just got to get to the wire
here. She's going to get in.
She'll be in the lead at some point in my mind.
Can she get it done? I'll go ahead.
The Wayne Lucas Special in the inaugural Wayne Lucas Stakes, 65
and 3 for me. Barry, you went 7-5 and four.
We're both trying to beat Splidora here, which means
she'll win by, I don't know, 8 or 9 likes.
What do you like about Ford Miller Rosier?
Well, when I was handicapping this, I, I did take a second
look at no bad beats, OK, But I, I estimated that she'd have to
get in front of Splendora and Molly me, me and Molly McGee as
well to get the lead and hold it.
I mean, it's certainly possible the source could do it, but I I
just kind of feel like they might be lining up or, you know,
somebody else to take over and formula Rosa seems to have the
right running style for it and might sit a fantastic trip.
The real wild card to me might be simply joking, but.
Yeah. I'm not sure what that horse
really wants to do. And, and they're stuck on the
rail, so they're kind of have to go and they're going to be
pushing this pace and it, and that kind of to me sets it up a
lot more for Formula Rosa. One quick note about Dwayne
Lucas is, you know, when I was a kid, I didn't understand him
winning and him having more than one horse in races and him
running 12A lot. You know, the Super trainer
thing wasn't readily a thing at that point.
He was the guy that changed the game with that.
And, and I, I wouldn't be surprised if most, if not all
tracks have a Dewayne Lucas stake on their season card, what
have you, because he changed the game so much and like you said,
the training tree that came from him and everything else.
So he is definitely at the top of the game and we'll always be
honest. 75 and four for Barry in the Lucas.
I will try to go down field 65 and 3.
By the way, I wanted to talk about the three horse just a
little bit and me and Molly McGee, who they tried in the
test at Saratoga last summer, just didn't quite get there.
But I saw this one in June. It's at Churchill Downs, which
she's good, man. She's good, good.
She was fast that day. 108 and two at Churchill over six
furlongs. That is not something that
happens very often. She was fantastic that day.
I'm hoping that she had to be, she had to be ambulanced off at
Saratoga. And that used to be very.
I love this modern era of of horse racing that used to be we
we're not seeing her again. And now she's back at a stakes
race. I love this stuff, man.
And so, yeah, give me all of that.
Hopefully she she turns back up for Peter, and heck, maybe
we'll. Do you want to mention?
Yeah, yeah. Or real quick because I do like
this horse quite a bit. If you look at this horse's
races sprinting on the dirt, this horse stacks up as an
improving horse at the right time.
You know, they they went long and on the turf a couple of
times and it really didn't do this horse any good as far as
the record. But when they dropped this horse
back in and went 6 1/2, they were one going away.
And this race kind of sets up for a horse like this because I
think they're going to be in front of a horse like Lemon
Muffin anyway. I would look out, especially at
a big price. This horse is going to be at
least 20 to 1. Arena's charm did win last out
under Kazushi Kamara. Armando Yuso picks up the mount.
She broke her maiden at Ellis Park in that in their program
last July going 6 1/2 furlong. So she's taking her talents to
different places. Should be an interesting Lucas
on Lucas race on a Saturday. That's what we're doing right
now. We are previewing the races on
Saturday at Santa Anita. My name's Lou your bow, he's
Barry Spears. This is the horse racing happy
hours. So Cal Saturdays were presented
by Amwager and amwager.com. Appreciate them hanging out with
us every single week on the program.
Race 7 starts the late pick three.
If you are new to betting in Southern California, check out
am wager but also $3 minimum late pick three with a 15% take
out the the pays tend to be as good as the pick five there in
the late sequence at Santa Anita.
So turn your gaze to this. We're going to mile on the turf
optional claimer state breads, non twos, blah, blah, blah.
Let's go forward up here, Barry, who you got in this one?
The two Sir Percival, I like when horses do what Sir
Percival's doing, coming off the layoff, doing something
different and running just as fast as they did off the layoff.
This is usually how I connect on a lot of long shots.
This one isn't going to be that long, but should be a good
enough price because I think the seven's a fairly solid favorite.
Should get bet quite a bit in here, but I think Sir Percival's
sitting on a really big race. You have sun and brew, warm sun
and brew. Your second choice here comes
out of a Sprint. Do you think that was just kind
of a warm up from Mark? Glad to get back to routing.
I would think so. I mean, not to mention that this
horse got beat by Sir Percival first time out.
I, I would think that going longer would be this horse's
game. So I, I don't know, I, I just
doesn't look all that great to me.
I know the number is what people are going to bet that last buyer
figure, but I, I'm not really sure he's better than that.
And honestly, a horse like Freeport Joe has a chance in
this race despite, you know, his age and and running style.
It could get hot up front and that would spell curtains for a
lot of these horses. Other than Freeport Joe and
maybe the three cart of crack, there's versions of this race
where one of those two gets it done.
But I'm going to go with Sir Percival getting a better trip.
There's some speed in here. They can kind of follow Cullen
Jay and I think that might be the best move.
Do you know the saddest part about this race, Barry?
That it's not in Kentucky. After this race, free Poyos
performances will not include Golden Gate Fields.
Oh yeah, you need the. That's yeah, you have to go
further than the classics. That's exactly right.
I man, I love man. I bet the bleep out of him a
gold game. It was great.
But yes, Barry goes 727 and three.
I have the two in my handicapping as well, but don't
do that Please program. There we go 4/2 and five for me
in this one I landed on straight up country.
John Lindo told me this is a bad pick yesterday, so I decided to
go with it today. Juan Hernandez picks up the
mount. This horse is going to have to
be faster than last time. Good news, we're second off the
layoff here and the horse should take a step forward under Juan
Hernandez as well. The two of them have won four of
their last eleven races together at Santa Anita Park.
I then went to the two horse agree with Barry on many of his
points about Sir Percival. This is who John has on top in
his late pick three. And then I went to the 5 speed
of Elon here. This is one that broke.
It's made in the last time in March of 2025.
Barry downfield very much just hoping that the works are what
they are at San Louis Ray and that Daniel Dunham gets his
first win of the season. How about that?
I don't think he's going to win, but I do think you could spice
up your try with him. Spicy, Very spicy.
How much spice? How much?
How much spice is that? Like a ghost pepper spice.
No, no, no, little. Frank Red hot Spice.
Little less than that even. So like like like a Louisiana
hot sauce that you just. Red pepper flakes on a pizza
like that Or is that too spicy? Oh that's delicious.
That's not for Berry Berry Berry anti spice.
Yeah, not a spice guy. That is the like.
The more disappointing thing about you is that you can't.
I can't just be. Able to get.
Spicy bowls of food and you're like, you know what?
No, we're not. And that's that's pretty
disappointing, man. I'm not going to lie to you, but
you want to talk about the Louis now?
Yeah, let's do that. The Robert B Lewis is the Grade
3 on the card, the 2nd Grade 3 on the card, mile on the dirt
here. And we have met a lot of great
horses in this race. Barry, what was your favorite
Breeders' Cup race last year? The Oh, come on.
Turf, Breeders' Cup Turf. That was, well, yeah, Ethical
diamond, right? OK, that yes, OK, good answer.
But really, you love the dirt mile between Nicos and Citizen
Bowl? Yeah.
The last two winners of this race, in fact, says the bull and
Isos. Ready for this list?
You think this is a predictor of future success?
Newgate. Messier Medita.
Spirit 1000 Words in mucho gusto.
The winner since 2019. Also on this list.
More spirit. Dortmund.
I'll have another pioneer of the Nile.
Who else is on this list? Our tax is on here, main
ministers on here, Ferdinand's on here going all the way back.
So I mean, just tons and tons of great horses have won this race
before. Barry, who'd you land on in the
Lewis, which is generally a predictor of very, very good
success moving forward? I landed on the 1 desert gate
looks like they might be the controlling speed and I don't
see much else behind this horse. Unfortunately was really good in
all their starts. I mean lost to Brant by a length
who came out of that race to to stretch out pretty good.
Then they went stretched out pretty good.
Just kind of kind of awkward trip.
I I would say more than the fact that they ran bad or poorly
against Intrepido in the American Pharaoh.
I think they're they're going to be able to turn the tables,
although it could almost be a repeat of that race.
I'm kind of banking on that, actually.
So Barry landed in in this race, by the way. 27 and 3, Barry.
No, that's me, isn't it? Why did I put you on there?
I ain't you at all. Well, it's seven Race 7.
I'm sorry, there's Race 8. That's not race 8 at all.
Where's your flyer? What am I doing here?
You went 1-3 and four in here. Barry, go ahead and talk about
Cherokee Nation. Yeah, Cherokee Nation's a horse
that probably will get a decent trip.
I mean, I it's hard to tell how good this horse really is
because they were kind of knocking at the door going a
mile in October at Santa Anita. Then they came out, shipped out
to to Churchill to try the stake out there.
Got beat by a further ado. Didn't run all that poorly.
I know the feel wasn't huge, but they weren't that bad.
Came back to Santa Anita when a mile.
Just missed a robusta. Who's in this race?
But they might get a better setup.
It's it's hard to tell because you know, the other three
baffords of as as to how they're going to ride this horse, but
they're in here and I think they might have a shot to to kind of
get in the picture. It's time for Louise Bafford
Play of the Day here in Race 8. I'm going with the other other
Baffert, the one that just won on turf in a maiden special
weight in November. His name is Plutarch.
This is the son of Into Mischief.
I just watched his other Into Mischief win with Potente over
the weekend. And this is one that did try the
American Pharaoh and frankly was in that race very, very closely,
Barry. And so I'll put Plutarch second
in my handicapping here. But Intrepido does land on top
here for me. And so if we're looking at the
race in here, I went 4-2 and one Jeff Bolens.
I was saying yesterday, Barry, unite now that we, you know,
watch the circuit as closely as we do.
If you had like an awards for best trainer out West or best
year out West or whatever, Mullins in top three like no
question, I had a great year at all levels.
I mean, fantastic year out West. And so real chance, I think to
to continue that here. It's really rare, Barry, that we
see that Breeders' Cup juvenile winner come back.
And I'm not trying to make a joke about setting off here or
anything like that. It's just it's a super rare sort
of thing to go from one to the other, you know, in November all
the way to the first Saturday in May.
Intrepido seems to follow a little bit more of the pattern
that we would accept expect, excuse me, some success as a 2
year old, but really has to come into his own as a three-year
old. He is a big question mark though
for a stallion that's getting a little bit of momentum.
And maximum Miss Maxim, Miss Mischief, who?
Boy, if you get 90% of your dad, you're probably going to win two
derbies, right? So like that's a thing as well.
I went 4-2 and one here. Barry, what do you make?
You also have the two in here in Plutarch in your top three.
What do you make of I? I'm of the same opinion as John
Lindo that I talked to you yesterday about him, which is
the mile and an eighth on the turf was more to just get him a
longer race, just to get him as much distance as possible.
You look at the works, Barry. He's only working at six or
longer, right? I mean, like this is just he
wants distance, distance, distance for this horse.
I think eventually it's going to work out.
I don't know that it works out for Plutarch at a mile, but I
think a Santa Anita Derby win for him is not out of the
question. Yeah, that that does make a lot
of sense, especially depending on what this source does here,
it could be a really good setup for this horse going into the
Derby, kind of more stepped up races like the the Santa Anita
Derby, things like that. Because I think they might have
options and they they might not even want to stay in Santa Anita
or in California for that. You know, at some point I would
think that he's going to break with, with some of these horses.
I know Butane's out of Oak Lawn. So I mean, this could be another
one that could go that route. Seems like that kind of horse
too. But we'll see how how this horse
performs. I mean seems to be pointing in
the right direction for an outfit ownership group that
would want to see a horse get in the Derby.
Again here Barry is 1/3 and four.
I will go 4, two and one in of the Lewis today again, Citizen,
Bold, Nisos, Newgate, Messier, Medina Spirit, 1000 Words and
Mucho gusto. Not a bad list of winners in
this one. Baffert sends the 1-2 and three
two. The post for this one,
Intrepidal will break from the four.
The closer on the card, of course, is Race 9.
We move on there. This is Socal Saturdays on the
horse racing happy hour hanging out with Barry Spears.
I'm Louis Rabeau. It is time for Barry to tell us
who is going to win the Suite Life and if we're going down the
hill for this one. 6 1/2 furlongs on that turf course and
then the turf course and then the turf course once again,
$100,000 on the line. 3 year old Phillies in here bare wedge
land. Well, if you make it this far
into any any horizontal bets and you're sitting there like, well,
who should I have? It should be the two La villa
lumair, right? La vie lumair, right?
No, man. The first one was better, but
I'm not going to tell you what to say.
Keep going. Hey, I'm trying man.
No, not the linguist. Her name Her name literally
means City of Light. She's the daughter of.
City of Light. Yes, yes, I like that last race.
The blue Northerner. Oh yeah, she came running like a
freight train under Pratt. And you need that usually,
usually down the hill, you need that, right.
You need to be the freight train at the end of the race.
That's exactly. Right, exactly.
And I, I think this, you know, will accentuate this horse's
kick. It's a decent post position.
I'm not really too fond of the inside post on down the hill,
but I think this one will not be so close up.
So it's not really going to matter too much then keeping
really good company. I I just think they just need to
get this horse in the gate and out of it to the finish.
All right. You have one on your
handicapping that I was fascinated by as well.
Floral. Giroux picks up the mount on the
seven here. I don't and I'm not picking on
floral. It's just not something you
always get to do. I'd love to know if he's
actually ever been down the hill but he will I I don't care
totally. But he'll be going down the hill
here with struck by her. The Irish bread started her
career overseas did break her maiden just a couple of weeks
ago in a six furlong Sprint at Santa Anita.
First time trying a North American track she filled the
model puts her in here. I don't think it's an accident.
Barry, I agree with you. Yeah, I, you know, people will
kind of hesitate because of that 56 buyer, but I think that was,
you know, kind of relative to the level more than it was about
the horse and how this horse performed.
I I think there's potential in there.
Barry, she finished the six furlongs in in a sub 110.
It's not like she was going slowly.
I mean it's it's I mean, that's why with the buyer number always
look at the final time because if if it doesn't, if it's in the
50s and it's like 112 or something like, but one O 9 is
fine. Yeah, for sure.
And not to mention that, you know, doesn't, doesn't have a
whole lot of starts in general. And I think that that gives that
potential, especially the way they they ran in that race in
particular, they should get a setup.
I I I just don't want any part of Himika at all in in a race
like this or in most races anyway.
And and I think the setups there, it's just all about the
trip and the price. I hope this horse stays around
that 12 to one because that this horse is definitely going to be
on all my tickets. All right, well, I'm going to do
something I usually don't like to do.
I'm taking the inside horses 321 for me in the sweet life.
Agree with Barry ton of things he said about veal Lumiere.
Your sincerely comes out of a six furlong Sprint.
But before that was very good in the Jimmy Durani and in the
surfer girl. Both of those are at a mile.
He was in. She, excuse me, was in within 3
lengths of both of those finishes.
Went down the hill last or excuse me, went sprinting last
time, I thought was a little bit better of a spot for her.
Another one of Phil d'amato's, formerly based in Ireland
runners here. Kazushi picks up the mount for
an injured Umberto Rispoli in this spot.
Been working really well in the Tepita as well out there.
So I'll go with the three on top.
The two you already talked about, Hypergamy on the inside
is one of these that I'm including Barry because I, I
know with Doug O'Neill that if I don't, I'm going to miss this
horse at some point and I feel like this might be the spot.
She was really good in the blue Northern, I thought OK in the
Jimmy Duranty, but was really good before that at Del Mar.
Another one where we're just going to find out if she likes
going down the hill or not. All right, so we have not
mentioned a single previous dirt horse in here.
By the way, you agree with me on Hypergamy, which is good to see.
Is there a dirt horse in here that you do want to see go down
the hill that you're interested in?
I've got. I, I want to see the five light
one up the city of light for Doug O'Neill.
I, I think there's a lot of potential there too, and I I
would gather that this horse wouldn't want to be up close to
the pace either. Kept good company previously
lost the Percy's bar the last time back in June.
Seems like they they really wanted to point towards a grass
race in general, so why not this spot?
I I you know this isn't the toughest of spots, so why not
get a piece of it? I'm I'm actually fascinated by a
different dirt runner in this one in I don't know that one's
been on the turf thinking of a different horse.
Brawley, by the way, is an interesting horse in here.
The eight horse for John Sadler. Just setting that one out there.
Ran in an optional claimer last time.
Mow Haven, That's who it is the cowbread actually who's in here,
the 10 coming out of the Golden State juvenile Phillies.
She was really, really good at Del Mar.
I love this. You know, if if you've got a
horse like this fits the condition.
Mary, I love finding out if she likes it or not.
I I think this is a this one makes a ton of sense because
especially with a Cal bread go find out right now because if
she's in if she likes the Donald Trump course, you're probably
going to have four opportunities this year to run in Cal only
kind of company. And she can if she can do it
against this field or if she's even competitive against this
field. Almost certainly she's going to
pick up a bunch of nice checks going down the hill this year in
Cal bread company out there at Santa Anita.
So there you go, little Robert B Lewis, Tampa Bay tomorrow, you
will be there. Yes Sir.
Should people be looking for a specific outfit or just the six
foot three guy that's going to be out?
There. Hey, listen, Steve Unger is
going to love my outfit tomorrow.
Oh, I'll just say that and I'm going to take a pic, I always
say. Steve was going to be there.
I wish he was that's, that's my man.
He could come hang out with me for the.
Day. But yeah, he's going to love my
outfit. Watch.
OK, all right, OK, all right, OK, All right.
Steve Unger, big noted, noted Cards fans.
So we'll we'll leave it at that. Well, you've been inside the
mind of Spears. You've seen Barry's boring play
of the day and certainly by Baffert, second place play of
the day there as well. Appreciate you hanging out with
us here on the horse racing happy hour.
So Cal Saturdays, of course, presented by our friends at
amwager@amwager.com. Tomorrow, make sure you check me
out at the Sporting Tribune where we will have a full
preview of the Lewis and the late pick three and how I will
be playing it right there at Sporting Tribune all over the
place. And of course you can find him
at Urban Handicapper and me at Radio Louis on the socials as
well. This has been So Cal Saturdays
on the horse racing happy hour. Have a great weekend.
We'll see you next week and stream and and.
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